Plasma phosphorylated tau181 outperforms [18F] fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography in the identification of early Alzheimer disease.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: This study was undertaken to compare the performance of plasma p-tau181 with that of [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) in the identification of early biological Alzheimer disease (AD). METHODS: We included 533 cognitively impaired participants from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. Participants underwent PET scans, biofluid collection, and cognitive tests. Receiver operating characteristic analyses were used to determine the diagnostic accuracy of plasma p-tau181 and [18F]FDG-PET using clinical diagnosis and core AD biomarkers ([18F]florbetapir-PET and cerebrospinal fluid [CSF] p-tau181) as reference standards. Differences in the diagnostic accuracy between plasma p-tau181 and [18F]FDG-PET were determined by bootstrap-based tests. Correlations of [18F]FDG-PET and plasma p-tau181 with CSF p-tau181, amyloid ß (Aß) PET, and cognitive performance were evaluated to compare associations between measurements. RESULTS: We observed that both plasma p-tau181 and [18F]FDG-PET identified individuals with positive AD biomarkers in CSF or on Aß-PET. In the MCI group, plasma p-tau181 outperformed [18F]FDG-PET in identifying AD measured by CSF (p = 0.0007) and by Aß-PET (p = 0.001). We also observed that both plasma p-tau181 and [18F]FDG-PET metabolism were associated with core AD biomarkers. However, [18F]FDG-PET uptake was more closely associated with cognitive outcomes (Montreal Cognitive Assessment, Mini-Mental State Examination, Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes, and logical memory delayed recall, p < 0.001) than plasma p-tau181. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, although both plasma p-tau181 and [18F]FDG-PET were associated with core AD biomarkers, plasma p-tau181 outperformed [18F]FDG-PET in identifying individuals with early AD pathophysiology. Taken together, our study suggests that plasma p-tau181 may aid in detecting individuals with underlying early AD.

Insights into the use of biomarkers in clinical trials in Alzheimer's disease.

Biomarkers have been instrumental in population selection and disease monitoring in clinical trials of recently FDA-approved drugs targeting amyloid-ß to slow the progression of Alzheimer's disease (AD). As new therapeutic strategies and biomarker techniques emerge, the importance of biomarkers in drug development is growing exponentially. In this emerging landscape, biomarkers are expected to serve a wide range of contexts of use in clinical trials focusing on AD and related dementias. The joint FDA-NIH BEST (Biomarkers, EndpointS, and other Tools) framework provides standardised terminology to facilitate communication among stakeholders in this increasingly complex field. This review explores various applications of biomarkers relevant to AD clinical trials, using the BEST resource as a reference. For simplicity, we predominantly provide contextual characterizations of biomarkers use from the perspective of drugs targeting amyloid-ß and tau proteins. However, general definitions and concepts can be extrapolated to other targets.

Comparison Between Brain and Cerebellar Autoradiography Using [18F]Flortaucipir, [18F]MK6240, and [18F]PI2620 in Postmortem Human Brain Tissue.

Our objective was to evaluate the in vitro binding properties of [18F]flortaucipir, 6-(fluoro-18F)-3-(1H-pyrrolo[2,3-c]pyridin-1-yl)isoquinolin-5-amine ([18F]MK6240), and 2-(2-([18F]fluoro)pyridin-4-yl)-9H-pyrrolo[2,3-b:4,5c']dipyridine ([18F]PI2620) head-to-head in postmortem human brain tissue. Methods: Autoradiography was used to assess uptake of [18F]flortaucipir, [18F]MK6240, and [18F]PI2620 in control and Alzheimer disease (AD) autopsy-confirmed brain tissues. The study focused on the analysis of the prefrontal cortex, hippocampus, and cerebellum sections in 12 controls and 12 AD cases, as well as whole-brain hemisphere in 1 control and 1 AD sample, for each radiotracer. The binding values of [18F]flortaucipir, [18F]MK6240, and [18F]PI2620 were calculated from regions of interest manually drawn in the prefrontal, hippocampal, and cerebellar cortices. Results: For all 3 radioligands investigated, we observed significant tracer binding differences between control and AD tissues in the whole-brain hemisphere, prefrontal cortex, and hippocampus but not in the cerebellar cortex. [18F]MK6240 and [18F]PI2620 had higher effect sizes to differentiate control and AD cases than did [18F]flortaucipir. Bland-Altman analyses revealed strong correlations between [18F]MK6240, [18F]PI2620, and [18F]flortaucipir, with the highest agreement found for [18F]MK6240 versus [18F]PI2620. Conclusion: The 3 radioligands showed comparable diagnostic properties to assess tau aggregates in vitro. Binding to AD brain tissues was higher for [18F]MK6240 and [18F]PI2620 than for [18F]flortaucipir. Additionally, [18F]MK6240 and [18F]PI2620 had greater selectivity, displaying decreased uptake in control brain tissue compared with [18F]flortaucipir. These results might provide insights on ongoing initiatives to create a universal scale for tau imaging studies.

Cryo-EM structure of Alzheimer's disease tau filaments with PET ligand MK-6240.

Positron Emission Tomography (PET) ligands have advanced Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis and treatment. Using autoradiography and cryo-EM, we identify AD brain tissue with elevated tau burden, purify filaments, and determine the structure of second-generation high avidity PET ligand MK-6240 at 2.31 Å resolution, which bound at a 1:1 ratio within the cleft of tau paired-helical filament (PHF), engaging with glutamine 351, lysine 353, and isoleucine 360. This information elucidates the basis of MK-6240 PET in quantifying PHF deposits in AD and may facilitate the structure-based design of superior ligands against tau amyloids.

Modeling the progression of neuropsychiatric symptoms in Alzheimer's disease with PET-based Braak staging.

In Alzheimer's disease (AD), neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) correlate with tau deposition in the brain. Here, we investigated the association of PET-based Braak stages with NPS and assessed whether they predict annual changes in NPS. We evaluated 231 individuals in the aging and AD continuum. Participants were assigned a Braak stage at baseline and followed for 1.97 (s.d. 0.62) years. NPS were investigated using the Mild Behavioral Impairment Checklist (MBI-C) and the Neuropsychiatric Inventory Questionnaire severity (NPI-Q-S) and distress (NPI-Q-D) scales. Multiple linear regressions (MLR) assessed the association of Braak stages with baseline NPS and the annual change in NPS scores. At baseline, stages I-II, III-IV, and V-VI were associated with higher MBI-C, NPI-Q-S, and NPI-Q-D scores. Stages V-VI were associated with a significant annual increase in MBI-C scores. These findings suggest that tau accumulation may manifest clinically with an increase in NPS, which seems to be an early event in AD pathophysiology. Moreover, PET-based Braak staging appears to be a good predictor of NPS severity progression.

PET radiomics-based lymphovascular invasion prediction in lung cancer using multiple segmentation and multi-machine learning algorithms.

The current study aimed to predict lymphovascular invasion (LVI) using multiple machine learning algorithms and multi-segmentation positron emission tomography (PET) radiomics in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients, offering new avenues for personalized treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. One hundred and twenty-six patients with NSCLC were enrolled in this study. Various automated and semi-automated PET image segmentation methods were applied, including Local Active Contour (LAC), Fuzzy-C-mean (FCM), K-means (KM), Watershed, Region Growing (RG), and Iterative thresholding (IT) with different percentages of the threshold. One hundred five radiomic features were extracted from each region of interest (ROI). Multiple feature selection methods, including Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance (MRMR), Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE), and Boruta, and multiple classifiers, including Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Logistic Regression (LR), XGBoost (XGB), Naive Bayes (NB), and Random Forest (RF), were employed. Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) was also used to determine if it boosts the area under the ROC curve (AUC), accuracy (ACC), sensitivity (SEN), and specificity (SPE). Our results indicated that the combination of SMOTE, IT (with 45% threshold), RFE feature selection and LR classifier showed the best performance (AUC = 0.93, ACC = 0.84, SEN = 0.85, SPE = 0.84) followed by SMOTE, FCM segmentation, MRMR feature selection, and LR classifier (AUC = 0.92, ACC = 0.87, SEN = 1, SPE = 0.84). The highest ACC belonged to the IT segmentation (with 45 and 50% thresholds) alongside Boruta feature selection and the NB classifier without SMOTE (ACC = 0.9, AUC = 0.78 and 0.76, SEN = 0.7, and SPE = 0.94, respectively). Our results indicate that selection of appropriate segmentation method and machine learning algorithm may be helpful in successful prediction of LVI in patients with NSCLC with high accuracy using PET radiomics analysis.

15 Years of Longitudinal Genetic, Clinical, Cognitive, Imaging, and Biochemical Measures in DIAN.

This manuscript describes and summarizes the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network Observational Study (DIAN Obs), highlighting the wealth of longitudinal data, samples, and results from this human cohort study of brain aging and a rare monogenic form of Alzheimer's disease (AD). DIAN Obs is an international collaborative longitudinal study initiated in 2008 with support from the National Institute on Aging (NIA), designed to obtain comprehensive and uniform data on brain biology and function in individuals at risk for autosomal dominant AD (ADAD). ADAD gene mutations in the amyloid protein precursor (APP), presenilin 1 (PSEN1), or presenilin 2 (PSEN2) genes are deterministic causes of ADAD, with virtually full penetrance, and a predictable age at symptomatic onset. Data and specimens collected are derived from full clinical assessments, including neurologic and physical examinations, extensive cognitive batteries, structural and functional neuro-imaging, amyloid and tau pathological measures using positron emission tomography (PET), flurordeoxyglucose (FDG) PET, cerebrospinal fluid and blood collection (plasma, serum, and whole blood), extensive genetic and multi-omic analyses, and brain donation upon death. This comprehensive evaluation of the human nervous system is performed longitudinally in both mutation carriers and family non-carriers, providing one of the deepest and broadest evaluations of the human brain across decades and through AD progression. These extensive data sets and samples are available for researchers to address scientific questions on the human brain, aging, and AD.

Omics-derived biological modules reflect metabolic brain changes in Alzheimer's disease.

INTRODUCTION: Brain glucose hypometabolism, indexed by the fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography ([18F]FDG-PET) imaging, is a metabolic signature of Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, the underlying biological pathways involved in these metabolic changes remain elusive. METHODS: Here, we integrated [18F]FDG-PET images with blood and hippocampal transcriptomic data from cognitively unimpaired (CU, n = 445) and cognitively impaired (CI, n = 749) individuals using modular dimension reduction techniques and voxel-wise linear regression analysis. RESULTS: Our results showed that multiple transcriptomic modules are associated with brain [18F]FDG-PET metabolism, with the top hits being a protein serine/threonine kinase activity gene cluster (peak-t(223) = 4.86, P value < 0.001) and zinc-finger-related regulatory units (peak-t(223) = 3.90, P value < 0.001). DISCUSSION: By integrating transcriptomics with PET imaging data, we identified that serine/threonine kinase activity-associated genes and zinc-finger-related regulatory units are highly associated with brain metabolic changes in AD. HIGHLIGHTS: We conducted an integrated analysis of system-based transcriptomics and fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography ([18F]FDG-PET) at the voxel level in Alzheimer's disease (AD). The biological process of serine/threonine kinase activity was the most associated with [18F]FDG-PET in the AD brain. Serine/threonine kinase activity alterations are associated with brain vulnerable regions in AD [18F]FDG-PET. Zinc-finger transcription factor targets were associated with AD brain [18F]FDG-PET metabolism.

Influence of Different Diagnostic Criteria on Alzheimer Disease Clinical Research.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Updates in Alzheimer disease (AD) diagnostic guidelines by the National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer's Association (NIA-AA) and the International Working Group (IWG) over the past 11 years may affect clinical diagnoses. We assessed how these guidelines affect clinical AD diagnosis in a cohort of cognitively unimpaired (CU) and cognitively impaired (CI) individuals. METHODS: We applied clinical and biomarker data in algorithms to classify individuals from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort according to the following diagnostic guidelines for AD: 2011 NIA-AA, 2016 IWG-2, 2018 NIA-AA, and 2021 IWG-3, assigning the following generic diagnostic labels: (1) not AD (nAD), (2) increased risk of developing AD (irAD), and (3) AD. Diagnostic labels were compared according to their frequency, convergence across guidelines, biomarker profiles, and prognostic value. We also evaluated the diagnostic discordance among the criteria. RESULTS: A total of 1,195 individuals (mean age 73.2 ± 7.2 years, mean education 16.1 ± 2.7, 44.0% female) presented different repartitions of diagnostic labels according to the 2011 NIA-AA (nAD = 37.8%, irAD = 23.0%, AD = 39.2%), 2016 IWG-2 (nAD = 37.7%, irAD = 28.7%, AD = 33.6%), 2018 NIA-AA (nAD = 40.7%, irAD = 9.3%, AD = 50.0%), and 2021 IWG-3 (nAD = 51.2%, irAD = 8.4%, AD = 48.3%) frameworks. Discordant diagnoses across all guidelines were found in 512 participants (42.8%) (138 [91.4%] occurring in only ß-amyloid [CU 65.4%, CI 34.6%] and 191 [78.6%] in only tau-positive [CU 71.7%, CI 28.3%] individuals). Differences in predicting cognitive impairment between nAD and irAD groups were observed with the 2011 NIA-AA (hazard ratio [HR] 2.21, 95% CI 1.34-3.65, p = 0.002), 2016 IWG-2 (HR 2.81, 95% CI 1.59-4.96, p < 0.000), and 2021 IWG-3 (HR 3.61, 95% CI 2.09-6.23, p < 0.000), but not with 2018 NIA-AA (HR 1.69, 95% CI 0.87-3.28, p = 0.115). DISCUSSION: Over 42% of the studied population presented discordant diagnoses when using the different examined AD criteria, mostly in individuals with a single positive biomarker. Except for 2018 NIA-AA, all guidelines identified asymptomatic individuals at risk of cognitive impairment. Our findings highlight important differences between the guidelines, emphasizing the necessity for updated criteria with enhanced staging metrics, considering clinical, research, therapeutic, and trial design aspects.

Glial reactivity is linked to synaptic dysfunction across the aging and Alzheimer's disease spectrum.

Previous studies have shown that glial and neuronal changes may trigger synaptic dysfunction in Alzheimer's disease(AD). However, the link between glial and neuronal markers and synaptic abnormalities in the living brain is poorly understood. Here, we investigated the association between biomarkers of astrocyte and microglial reactivity and synaptic dysfunction in 478 individuals across the aging and AD spectrum from two cohorts with available CSF measures of amyloid-ß(Aß), phosphorylated tau(pTau181), astrocyte reactivity(GFAP), microglial activation(sTREM2), and synaptic biomarkers(GAP43 and neurogranin). Elevated CSF GFAP levels were linked to presynaptic and postsynaptic dysfunction, regardless of cognitive status or Aß presence. CSF sTREM2 levels were associated with presynaptic biomarkers in cognitively unimpaired and impaired Aß + individuals and postsynaptic biomarkers in cognitively impaired Aß + individuals. Notably, CSF pTau181 levels mediated all associations between GFAP or sTREM2 levels and synaptic dysfunction biomarkers. These results suggest that neuronal-related synaptic biomarkers could be used in clinical trials targeting glial reactivity in AD.

Prediction of future cognitive decline among cognitively unimpaired individuals using measures of soluble phosphorylated tau or tau tangle pathology.

Plasma p-tau217 and Tau-PET are strong prognostic biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but their relative performance in predicting future cognitive decline among cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals is unclear. In this head-to-head comparison study including 9 cohorts and 1534 individuals, we found that plasma p-tau217 and medial temporal lobe Tau-PET signal showed similar associations with cognitive decline on a global cognitive composite test (R2 PET=0.32 vs R2 PLASMA=0.32, pdifference=0.812) and with progression to mild cognitive impairment (Hazard ratio[HR]PET=1.56[1.43-1.70] vs HRPLASMA=1.63[1.50-1.77], pdifference=0.627). Combined plasma and PET models were superior to the single biomarker models (R2=0.36, p<0.01). Furthermore, sequential selection using plasma p-tau217 and then Tau-PET reduced the number of participants required for a clinical trial by 94%, compared to a 75% reduction when using plasma p-tau217 alone. We conclude that plasma p-tau217 and Tau-PET showed similar performance for predicting future cognitive decline in CU individuals, and their sequential use (i.e., plasma p-tau217 followed by Tau-PET in a subset with high plasma p-tau217) is useful for screening in clinical trials in preclinical AD.

Harmonizing tau positron emission tomography in Alzheimer's disease: The CenTauR scale and the joint propagation model.

INTRODUCTION: Tau-positron emission tomography (PET) outcome data of patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) cannot currently be meaningfully compared or combined when different tracers are used due to differences in tracer properties, instrumentation, and methods of analysis. METHODS: Using head-to-head data from five cohorts with tau PET radiotracers designed to target tau deposition in AD, we tested a joint propagation model (JPM) to harmonize quantification (units termed "CenTauR" [CTR]). JPM is a statistical model that simultaneously models the relationships between head-to-head and anchor point data. JPM was compared to a linear regression approach analogous to the one used in the amyloid PET Centiloid scale. RESULTS: A strong linear relationship was observed between CTR values across brain regions. Using the JPM approach, CTR estimates were similar to, but more accurate than, those derived using the linear regression approach. DISCUSSION: Preliminary findings using the JPM support the development and adoption of a universal scale for tau-PET quantification. HIGHLIGHTS: Tested a novel joint propagation model (JPM) to harmonize quantification of tau PET. Units of common scale are termed "CenTauRs". Tested a Centiloid-like linear regression approach. Using five cohorts with head-to-head tau PET, JPM outperformed linearregressionbased approach. Strong linear relationship was observed between CenTauRs values across brain regions.

Hormone therapy is associated with lower Alzheimer's disease tau biomarkers in post-menopausal females -evidence from two independent cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Females represent approximately 70% of the Alzheimer's disease (AD) cases and the literature has proposed a connection between the decreased estrogen levels during menopause and an increased AD risk. Previous investigations have predominantly focused on assessing how hormone therapy (HT) affects the likelihood of AD development and cognitive deterioration. However, as the research framework has shifted toward a biomarker-defined AD and alterations in specific biomarkers could take place years before cognitive decline becomes discernible, it is crucial to examine how HT influences AD biomarkers. The main goal of this study was to evaluate the impact of HT on AD biomarker-informed pathophysiology in both cognitively unimpaired (CU) and cognitively impaired (CI) post-menopausal females across the aging and AD spectrum. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included post-menopausal females without HT history (HT-) and with HT (HT+) at the time of PET imaging assessment from two cohorts: the Translational Biomarkers in Aging and Dementia (TRIAD) cohort, and the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). Participants underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), positron emission tomography (PET) and biofluid collection. Voxel-based t-tests were performed to assess the differences in amyloid-ß (Aß) and tau neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs) loads between HT- and HT + females. Linear regression models with interaction terms were also conducted to examine the interactive effects of HT and Aß-PET on regional tau-PET. RESULTS: HT + females demonstrated significantly lower tau-PET standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) in Braak I-II ROIs (P < 0.05, Hedges' g = 0.73), Braak III-IV ROIs (P < 0.0001, Hedges' g = 0.74) and Braak V-VI ROIs (P < 0.0001, Hedges' g = 0.69) compared to HT- females. HT + females also showed significantly lower CSF p-tau181 (P < 0.001) and plasma p-tau181 (P < 0.0001) concentrations. Additionally, results from multivariate linear regression models indicated that HT interacts with cortical Aß and is associated with lower regional NFT load. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, findings from this observational study suggest that HT is associated with lower tau neuroimaging and fluid biomarkers in postmenopausal females. Due to the close link between tau and cognition, this study highlights the need for large randomized controlled trials designed to systemically study the influences of HT on AD biomarkers and disease progression.

In-vivo neuronal dysfunction by Aß and tau overlaps with brain-wide inflammatory mechanisms in Alzheimer's disease.

The molecular mechanisms underlying neuronal dysfunction in Alzheimer's disease (AD) remain uncharacterized. Here, we identify genes, molecular pathways and cellular components associated with whole-brain dysregulation caused by amyloid-beta (Aß) and tau deposits in the living human brain. We obtained in-vivo resting-state functional MRI (rs-fMRI), Aß- and tau-PET for 47 cognitively unimpaired and 16 AD participants from the Translational Biomarkers in Aging and Dementia cohort. Adverse neuronal activity impacts by Aß and tau were quantified with personalized dynamical models by fitting pathology-mediated computational signals to the participant's real rs-fMRIs. Then, we detected robust brain-wide associations between the spatial profiles of Aß-tau impacts and gene expression in the neurotypical transcriptome (Allen Human Brain Atlas). Within the obtained distinctive signature of in-vivo neuronal dysfunction, several genes have prominent roles in microglial activation and in interactions with Aß and tau. Moreover, cellular vulnerability estimations revealed strong association of microglial expression patterns with Aß and tau's synergistic impact on neuronal activity (q < 0.001). These results further support the central role of the immune system and neuroinflammatory pathways in AD pathogenesis. Neuronal dysregulation by AD pathologies also associated with neurotypical synaptic and developmental processes. In addition, we identified drug candidates from the vast LINCS library to halt or reduce the observed Aß-tau effects on neuronal activity. Top-ranked pharmacological interventions target inflammatory, cancer and cardiovascular pathways, including specific medications undergoing clinical evaluation in AD. Our findings, based on the examination of molecular-pathological-functional interactions in humans, may accelerate the process of bringing effective therapies into clinical practice.

Tau follows principal axes of functional and structural brain organization in Alzheimer's disease.

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a brain network disorder where pathological proteins accumulate through networks and drive cognitive decline. Yet, the role of network connectivity in facilitating this accumulation remains unclear. Using in-vivo multimodal imaging, we show that the distribution of tau and reactive microglia in humans follows spatial patterns of connectivity variation, the so-called gradients of brain organization. Notably, less distinct connectivity patterns ("gradient contraction") are associated with cognitive decline in regions with greater tau, suggesting an interaction between reduced network differentiation and tau on cognition. Furthermore, by modeling tau in subject-specific gradient space, we demonstrate that tau accumulation in the frontoparietal and temporo-occipital cortices is associated with greater baseline tau within their functionally and structurally connected hubs, respectively. Our work unveils a role for both functional and structural brain organization in pathology accumulation in AD, and supports subject-specific gradient space as a promising tool to map disease progression.

Neuromodulatory subcortical nucleus integrity is associated with white matter microstructure, tauopathy and APOE status.

The neuromodulatory subcortical nuclei within the isodendritic core (IdC) are the earliest sites of tauopathy in Alzheimer's disease (AD). They project broadly throughout the brain's white matter. We investigated the relationship between IdC microstructure and whole-brain white matter microstructure to better understand early neuropathological changes in AD. Using multiparametric quantitative magnetic resonance imaging we observed two covariance patterns between IdC and white matter microstructure in 133 cognitively unimpaired older adults (age 67.9 ± 5.3 years) with familial risk for AD. IdC integrity related to 1) whole-brain neurite density, and 2) neurite orientation dispersion in white matter tracts known to be affected early in AD. Pattern 2 was associated with CSF concentration of phosphorylated-tau, indicating AD specificity. Apolipoprotein-E4 carriers expressed both patterns more strongly than non-carriers. IdC microstructure variation is reflected in white matter, particularly in AD-affected tracts, highlighting an early mechanism of pathological development.

Plasma p-tau217 predicts cognitive impairments up to ten years before onset in normal older adults.

Importance: Positron emission tomography (PET) biomarkers are the gold standard for detection of Alzheimer amyloid and tau in vivo . Such imaging can identify cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals who will subsequently develop cognitive impartment (CI). Plasma biomarkers would be more practical than PET or even cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) assays in clinical settings. Objective: Assess the prognostic accuracy of plasma p-tau217 in comparison to CSF and PET biomarkers for predicting the clinical progression from CU to CI. Design: In a cohort of elderly at high risk of developing Alzheimer's dementia (AD), we measured the proportion of CU individuals who developed CI, as predicted by Aß (A+) and/or tau (T+) biomarker assessment from plasma, CSF, and PET. Results from each method were compared with (A-T-) reference individuals. Data were analyzed from June 2023 to April 2024. Setting: Longitudinal observational cohort. Participants: Some 228 participants from the PREVENT-AD cohort were CU at the time of biomarker assessment and had 1 - 10 years of follow-up. Plasma was available from 215 participants, CSF from 159, and amyloid- and tau-PET from 155. Ninety-three participants had assessment using all three methods (main group of interest). Progression to CI was determined by clinical consensus among physicians and neuropsychologists who were blind to plasma, CSF, PET, and MRI findings, as well as APOE genotype. Exposures: Plasma Aß 42/40 was measured using IP-MS; CSF Aß 42/40 using Lumipulse; plasma and CSF p-tau217 using UGOT assay. Aß-PET employed the 18 F-NAV4694 ligand, and tau-PET used 18 F-flortaucipir. Main Outcome: Prognostic accuracy of plasma, CSF, and PET biomarkers for predicting the development of CI in CU individuals. Results: Cox proportional hazard models indicated a greater progression rate in all A+T+ groups compared to A-T-groups (HR = 6.61 [95% CI = 2.06 - 21.17] for plasma, 3.62 [1.49 - 8.81] for CSF and 9.24 [2.34 - 36.43] for PET). The A-T+ groups were small, but also characterized with individuals who developed CI. Plasma biomarkers identified about five times more T+ than PET. Conclusion and relevance: Plasma p-tau217 assessment is a practical method for identification of persons who will develop cognitive impairment up to 10 years later. Key Points: Question: Can plasma p-tau217 serve as a prognostic indicator for identifying cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals at risk of developing cognitive impairments (CI)?Findings: In a longitudinal cohort of CU individuals with a family history of sporadic AD, almost all individuals with abnormal plasma p-tau217 concentrations developed CI within 10 years, regardless of plasma amyloid levels. Similar findings were obtained with CSF p-tau217 and tau-PET. Fluid p-tau217 biomarkers had the main advantage over PET of identifying five times more participants with elevated tau.Meaning: Elevated plasma p-tau217 levels in CU individuals strongly indicate future clinical progression.

Personalized whole-brain neural mass models reveal combined Aß and tau hyperexcitable influences in Alzheimer's disease.

Neuronal dysfunction and cognitive deterioration in Alzheimer's disease (AD) are likely caused by multiple pathophysiological factors. However, mechanistic evidence in humans remains scarce, requiring improved non-invasive techniques and integrative models. We introduce personalized AD computational models built on whole-brain Wilson-Cowan oscillators and incorporating resting-state functional MRI, amyloid-ß (Aß) and tau-PET from 132 individuals in the AD spectrum to evaluate the direct impact of toxic protein deposition on neuronal activity. This subject-specific approach uncovers key patho-mechanistic interactions, including synergistic Aß and tau effects on cognitive impairment and neuronal excitability increases with disease progression. The data-derived neuronal excitability values strongly predict clinically relevant AD plasma biomarker concentrations (p-tau217, p-tau231, p-tau181, GFAP) and grey matter atrophy obtained through voxel-based morphometry. Furthermore, reconstructed EEG proxy quantities show the hallmark AD electrophysiological alterations (theta band activity enhancement and alpha reductions) which occur with Aß-positivity and after limbic tau involvement. Microglial activation influences on neuronal activity are less definitive, potentially due to neuroimaging limitations in mapping neuroprotective vs detrimental activation phenotypes. Mechanistic brain activity models can further clarify intricate neurodegenerative processes and accelerate preventive/treatment interventions.