Epidemiology and geographical patterns of common childhood cancers in Iran: Evidence from the National Cancer Registry.

INTRODUCTION: Cancer is projected to become the primary cause of death in the 21st century. Although childhood cancer is relatively rare, it remains a significant contributor to mortality among children. This study examines the geographical distribution of childhood cancer incidence in Iranian provinces using data from the National Cancer Registry between 2014 and 2018. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This registry-based study analyzed data from 14,711 children under 20 diagnosed with common childhood cancers, sourced from the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry for the period 2014-2018. The age-standardized incidence rates (ASR) were calculated using direct standardization methods and reported per 1 million person-years. Spatial autocorrelation measures, including global and local indices such as Moran's I and Getis-Ord's G, were employed to identify high-risk and low-risk areas, assess overall spatial dependence, and pinpoint specific clusters and hotspots of incidence rates. RESULTS: ASR for childhood cancer in Iran was 119.56 per 1 million individuals aged 0-19 years. Boys had a higher ASR (129.98) than girls (107.68). Childhood cancer cases increased from 2765 in 2014 to 3354 in 2018, with leukemia as the most common type, followed by brain and nervous system, lymphoma, bone, and connective and soft tissue cancers. Spatial analysis identified high-risk clusters in central Iran (Isfahan, Yazd, Tehran) and low-risk clusters in the northeast (Kermanshah, West and East Azerbaijan, Kurdistan). CONCLUSION: This study highlights high childhood cancer incidence in Iran, particularly among boys and in central regions, with elevated leukemia rates. These findings call for targeted prevention strategies and further research to address geographic and gender disparities and to improve care programs.

Incidence Rates and Time Trends of Pancreatic Cancer in the Golestan Province, Northeastern Iran, 2006-2019.

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is one of the most malignant cancers with a poor prognosis. Despite advances in the diagnosis and management of PC, the survival rate remains low. In Iran, the incidence of PC is increasing, with mortality rates nearly doubling over the past 25 years. Therefore, this study was designed to assess the temporal variations and incidence of PC in Golestan province, as a prominent hub for gastrointestinal cancers in Iran. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, patient information was obtained from the Golestan Population-Based Cancer Registry (GPCR) from 2006 to 2019. We calculated age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) using the World standard population and reported the rates per 100000 persons-year. To compare ASRs across sexes and residence areas, incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated using Poisson regression models. We calculated the estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) to assess time trends in incidence rates of PC in Golestan during the study period. RESULTS: Among a total of 560 PC new cases (mean age of 63.72 years), 46.61% were diagnosed through clinical or paraclinical methods. The crude incidence rate and ASR were 2.24 and 2.95 (95% CI: 2.70‒3.20) per 100000 persons-year, respectively. The ASR of PC was significantly higher in males (3.78; 95% CI: 3.37‒4.19) than females (2.17; 95% CI: 1.88‒2.46) (IRR=1.71; P<0.01). The ASR was higher in the urban (3.23; 95% CI: 2.88‒3.58) compared to the rural population (2.65; 95% CI: 2.30‒3.00) (IRR=1.23; P=0.02). The ASR of PC increased from 1.97 to 3.53 during 2006 to 2019 with an EAPC of 4.39 (95% CI: -3.56 to 12.75). The EAPCs were 4.85% and 4.37% in women and men, respectively. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that the incidence of PC is increasing in the Golestan province. Also, the incidence rate was higher in men, elderly people, and the urban population.

Effect of mild gestational diabetes mellitus on histological, ultrastructural, and quantitative morphometric alterations of rat fetal liver.

Objectives: Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), one of the most common metabolic disorders in pregnancy, impacts maternal and fetal health. This study was designed to assess the effects of mild GDM on the histology, ultrastructure, and morphometry of fetal liver tissue. Materials and Methods: In this experimental study, twenty pregnant rats were randomly allocated into control and streptozotocin (STZ)-induced diabetic groups. Mild hyperglycemia was induced by intraperitoneal injection of STZ (40 mg/kg/bw) on the 5th day of gestation. At day 19 of gestation, fetal livers were separated and subjected to histological, transmission electron microscopic, and quantitative morphometric examinations. Results: In the GDM group, PAS staining was positive, revealing scattered eosinophilic inclusions in some hepatocytes. Masson trichrome staining was also positive and showed some fibrous tissue as fine fibers in the portal spaces that extended to the central vein. Reticulin staining in the GDM group was focally positive in the areas of fibrosis and the portal spaces. Ultrastructural examination showed pyknotic nuclei, karyolysis, degranulation and vesiculation of the rough endoplasmic reticulum, and degeneration of mitochondria in the GDM group. The morphometric examination demonstrated that the mean area of hepatocytes was significantly lower in the GDM group than in the control group (P<0.05). Moreover, the mean diameter of the central vein and the density of megakaryocytes were significantly higher in the GDM group than in the control group (P<0.05). Conclusion: Uncontrolled mild GDM induced the histological, ultrastructural and morphometric alterations in the fetal liver.

Improvement of esophageal cancer survival in Northeast Iran: A two-decade journey in a high-risk, low- resource region.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Two decades ago, an international initiative (GEMINI) was launched in a high-risk, low-resource region in Northeast Iran, aiming to investigate incidence, etiology, early detection, and treatment of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). An earlier report from this area, highlighted poor ESCC survival rates, with a 5-year survival probability of 3.3% and the median survival time of 7 months. Our study assesses whether ESCC survival has improved since the implementation of the GEMINI initiative in this region. MATERIAL AND METHODS: 490 adult patients with histologically-confirmed ESCC were recruited from the Atrak clinic, Golestan, Iran, between 2007 and 2018. At recruitment, information on demographics and various exposures were collected. Active (telephone surveys) and passive (linkage to Golestan population-based cancer and death registries) follow-up methods were used to determine patients' vital status though March 2019. Survival estimates were obtained by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS: Over the study period 340 deaths were recorded. Five-year ESCC survival probability was 23% (95% Confidence Interval: 19% to 28%), and the median survival time was 19 months. Five-year survival probability was higher among individuals who were younger (35% in <60-year-olds vs. 12% for >70-year-olds, p<0.001), educated (34% vs. 21% for no formal education, p = 0.027), never used opium (28% vs. 15%, p = 0.0016), and received cancer treatment (37% vs. 4%, p<0.001). In the adjusted models, a higher hazard of death was associated with older age [HR for each 10-year increase = 1.36 (95% CI = 1.22 to 1.51)], Turkman ethnicity [HR = 1.35 (95%CI: 1.07 to 1.70)], opium use [HR = 1.53 (95%CI: 1.20 to 1.94)],and receiving no cancer treatment [HR = 5.81 (95%CI: 3.97 to 8.52)]. CONCLUSION: Over the last two decades, ESCC survival in this population has significantly improved, highlighting the potential of enhancing healthcare infrastructure and ensuring access to affordable medical care in resource-limited, high-risk regions. Older age at diagnosis, Turkman ethnicity, opium use, and untreated cases (indicative of advanced disease at diagnosis) were identified as the main ESCC prognostic factors in this population.

Prevalence and Characteristics of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease among an Iranian Adult Population with Ethnic and Genetic Diversity: Results of the PolyIran-Liver Study.

Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is a rising global public health concern. It has been demonstrated that its prevalence and characteristics vary by region and racial/ethnicity. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of MAFLD and its characteristics among Turkmen and non-Turkmen ethnic groups in a multiethnic population region of Iran. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, we analyzed baseline data for 1614 participants, aged above 50 years, from the PolyIran-Liver trial who were randomly selected from Gonabad city and determined the prevalence of MAFLD and its demographic and metabolic disorders for both the Turkmen and non-Turkmen ethnic groups. Multivariate binary logistic regressions were applied to identify MAFLD-associated factors for men and women separately for the Turkmen and non-Turkmen populations. Results: The mean (SD) age of the participants was 59.1(6.7) years. Of the participants, 51.5% (n=831) were men, and 52.9% (n=854) were Turkmen. The prevalence of MAFLD among the overall study population was 39.8% (n=614). It was more common among women (45.8% vs. 34.1% in men, P<0.001), non-Turkmens (43.9% vs. 36.1% in Turkmens, P<0.001), and at age 50-64 (41.5% vs.36.1% in age≥65 P=0.004). The fully adjusted multivariate analysis in sex strata exhibited an independent negative association between Turkmen ethnicity only among men but not among women. The increased waist circumference (WC) was the most common metabolic disorder, observed in more than 95.5% of patients with MAFLD (P<0.001). Multivariate analysis in sex/ethnic strata with adjustment for potential confounders revealed an independent association of MAFLD with increased WC, insulin resistance, impaired fasting glucose/diabetes type 2, and high alanine aminotransferase (ALT) among women in both ethnic groups while with elevated triglyceride (TG) only among Turkmen and high body mass index (BMI) only among non-Turkmen women. Increased WC had the strongest independent association with MAFLD among women and the highest odds ratio (OR) with MAFLD in Turkmen women (OR: 6.10; 95% CI 1.56-23.86 vs. 4.80 in non-Turkmen women). Among men, MAFLD was independently associated with insulin resistance, high BMI, and high ALT in both ethnic groups and elevated TG only in non-Turkmen men (all P<0.001). Insulin resistance had the strongest independent OR with MAFLD among men with similar size in both ethnic groups (4.68 [95% CI 2.56-8.55]) in non-Turkmen men and 4.37 (95% CI 2.27-8.42 in Turkmen men). Conclusion: This study revealed the high prevalence of MAFLD with a sex and ethnic disparity in the middle-aged population of Gonabad city. Further research is needed to understand the factors contributing to the higher prevalence of MAFLD in this region, particularly in women. Furthermore, considering the diverse ethnic population of Iran, it is suggested that future investigations on the sex and ethnic aspects of MAFLD in the Iranian population be conducted to provide targeted prevention strategies better suited for the Iranian population.

One-carbon metabolism biomarkers and upper gastrointestinal cancer in the Golestan Cohort Study.

Incidence of esophageal and gastric cancer has been linked to low B-vitamin status. We conducted matched nested case-control studies of incident esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC; 340 case-control pairs) and gastric cancer (GC; 352 case-control pairs) within the Golestan Cohort Study. The primary exposure was plasma biomarkers: riboflavin and flavin mononucleotide (FMN) (vitamin B2), pyridoxal phosphate (PLP) (B6), cobalamin (B12), para-aminobenzoylglutamate (pABG) (folate), and total homocysteine (tHcy); and indicators for deficiency: 3-hydroxykyurenine-ratio (HK-r for vitamin B6) and methylmalonic acid (MMA for B12). We estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using conditional logistic regression adjusting for matching factors and potential confounders. High proportions of participants had low B-vitamin and high tHcy levels. None of the measured vitamin B levels was associated with the risk of ESCC and GC, but elevated level of MMA was marginally associated with ESCC (OR = 1.42, 95% CI = 0.99-2.04) and associated with GC (OR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.05-2.22). Risk of GC was higher for the highest versus lowest quartile of HK-r (OR = 1.95, 95%CI = 1.19-3.21) and for elevated versus non-elevated HK-r level (OR = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.13-2.25). Risk of ESCC (OR = 2.81, 95% CI = 1.54-5.13) and gastric cancer (OR = 2.09, 95%CI = 1.17-3.73) was higher for the highest versus lowest quartile of tHcy. In conclusion, insufficient vitamin B12 was associated with higher risk of ESCC and GC, and insufficient vitamin B6 status was associated with higher risk of GC in this population with prevalent low plasma B-vitamin status. Higher level of tHcy, a global indicator of OCM function, was associated with higher risk of ESCC and GC.

Molecular Characterization of Antimicrobial Resistance and Virulence Genotyping among Helicobacter pylori-Positive Dyspeptic Patients in North Iran.

BACKGROUND: Iran has a relatively high prevalence of H. pylori, which correlates with high-risk areas for gastric cancer worldwide. METHODS: Our study aimed to investigate the underlying genetic mechanisms associated with resistance to metronidazole (frxA, rdxA), clarithromycin (23S rRNA), tetracycline (16S rRNA), and fluoroquinolone (gyrA) in H. pylori-positive dyspeptic patients using PCR and sequencing. We further examined the potential correlation between resistance profiles and various virulence genotypes. RESULTS: The rates of genetic mutations associated with resistance to metronidazole, fluoroquinolone, clarithromycin, and tetracycline were found to be 68%, 32.1%, 28.4%, and 11.1%, respectively. Well-documented multiple antibiotic resistance mutations were detected, such as rdxA and frxA (with missense and frameshift alterations), gyrA (Asp91, Asn87), 23S rRNA (A2142G, A2143G), and 16S rRNA (triple-base-pair substitutions AGA926-928→TTC). The cagA+ and vacA s1/m1 types were the predominant genotypes in our study. With the exception of metronidazole and tetracycline, no significant correlation was observed between the cagA+ and cagL+ genotypes and resistance-associated mutations. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of antibiotic resistance-associated mutations in H. pylori was remarkably high in this region, particularly to metronidazole, ciprofloxacin, and clarithromycin. By conducting a simultaneous screening of virulence and resistance genotypes, clinicians can make informed decisions regarding the appropriate therapeutic regimen to prevent the escalation of antibiotic resistance against H. pylori infection in this specific geographical location.

Descriptive Epidemiology of Early-Onset Gastrointestinal Cancers in Iran, 2014-2018.

Background: We aim to present incidence rates and geographical distribution of most common early-onset gastrointestinal cancers (EOGICs), including early-onset esophageal cancer (EOEC), gastric cancer (EOGC) and colorectal cancer (EOCRC) in Iran, 2014-2018. Methods: Data on new cases of EOEC, EOGC and EOCRC were obtained from publicly available annual reports of the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry (INPCR). Incidence rates were calculated using the population data available from the Statistical center of Iran. We considered the World standard population for calculation of age-standardized incidence rates (ASR). We also calculated 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for ASR. All rates are presented per 100000 person-years. Results: Overall, 19,679 new cases of EOGIC were registered by the INPCR between 2014 and 2018. The ASRs (95% CI) of EOEC, EOGC and EOCRC were 0.49 (95% CI: 0.47-0.51), 1.67 (1.63-1.71), and 3.07 (3.01-3.13) per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Our findings indicate decreasing and constant trends in the ASR of EOEC and EOGC during the study period, 2014-2018. There was an increasing trend in the ASR of EOCRC. We also found geographical disparities in the incidence rates of EOGICs across provinces of Iran, suggesting the highest ASRs of EOEC in Golestan (1.3), EOGC in Ilam (2.99) and EOCRC in Ilam (4.49). Conclusion: Our findings suggested that the incidence rate of EOCRC is consistently increasing. We also found variations in the incidence of EOGICs among different provinces. Further investigations are recommended to clarify the time trends and risk factors of EOGICs in Iran.

Incidence Rates and Time Trends of Skin Cancer in Golestan Province, Northeastern Iran, 2005-2018.

BACKGROUND: Given the significant occurrence of skin cancer in the Middle East and the existing research gap concerning its incidence and trends, this research aimed to study the epidemiology and trend changes of skin cancer in the Golestan province, Northeastern Iran. METHODS: The Golestan Population-based Cancer Registry's (GPCR's) data bank was utilized to gather information on confirmed skin cancer cases in the province during 2005-2018. We used Poisson regression analysis for comparing incidence rates between groups. P values less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant. RESULTS: Of 1690 patients (mean age: 62.05±15.83 years), most were male (60.1%) and resided in urban areas (61.5%). The age-standardized rate (ASR) of non-melanoma and melanoma skin cancer was 8.49 and 0.56 per 100000 persons-year, respectively. A notably higher ASR for non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) was observed in men (ASR: 10.60; 95% CI: 9.91-11.29) (P<0.01) and urban residents (ASR: 10.19; 95% CI: 9.52-10.82) (P<0.01). There was no significant difference in the ASR of melanoma skin cancer based on gender (P=0.24) and place of residence (P=0.48). The incidence trend of melanoma (estimated annual percent change [EAPC]: -3.28; 95% CI: -18.54 to 14.83) and NMSC (EAPC: 0.39; 95% CI: -3.99 to 4.97) did not differ significantly. CONCLUSION: During the 14-year study period, the ASR of both types of skin cancer exhibited a consistent pattern, except for NMSC, which showed higher rates among men and urban residents. This should be taken into consideration when formulating preventive and control strategies in the study area.

Incidence and risk factors of pancreatic cancer during 15 years follow-up in the Golestan Cohort Study in Iran.

BACKGROUND: Cancer is one of the main causes of death in the worldwide. Pancreatic Cancer (PC) is prevalent in developed and increasing in developing countries. PC is important because of its low survival rate, high fatality, and increasing incidence. Therefore, identifying risk factors to prevent its development is necessary. This study aimed to determine incidence of PC and its risk factors in the Golestan Cohort Study (GCS) in Iran. METHOD: This study is a prospective population-based cohort study in the frame of GCS with 15 years of follow-up for PC. GCS was launched in the Golestan province of Iran with 50045 participants who were 40 to 75 years old. variables included: age, gender, education status, smoking, alcohol consumption, opium usage, type of blood group, dyslipidemia, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), family history (FH) of PC, ethnicity, and history of diabetes mellitus (DM). RESULT: Among 50045 participants of GCS during 15 years of follow up, 100 people were diagnosed PC. PC incidence was 0.2%. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASR) of PC in the study population was 11.12 per 100,000 person-years. People with age ≥60 years were 46, in 50-59 years old group were 36, and 18 of them were <50 years (p<0.001). The smoking rate in PC group was 27% (p<0.01). Univariate model of cox regression analysis showed age 50-59, ≥60 years compared to <50 years [HR:3.006, 95%CI (1.707-5.294), p<0.001], [HR: 6.727, 95% CI (3.899-11.608), p<0.001], male gender [HR:1.541, 95%CI (1.041-2.281), p = 0.031], opium use [HR:1.436, 95% CI (0.887-2.324), p = 0.141], and smoking [HR:1.884, 95%CI (1.211-2.929), p = 0.005] were predictors for PC. In the multivariate model after adjusting, age 50-59 [HR:2.99, 95% CI (1.698-5.265), p<0.001], and ≥60 years [HR: 6.564, 95% CI (3.797-11.346), p<0.001] was the only predictor for PC. CONCLUSION: This study revealed an incidence of PC 0.2% in GCS in Iran. Main risk factor for PC was older age.

Population attributable fractions of cancer mortality related to indoor air pollution, animal contact, and water source as environmental risk factors: Findings from the Golestan Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Environmental risk factors are significant contributors to cancer mortality, which are neglected. PURPOSE: This study aimed to estimate the population attributable fraction of cancer mortality due to the environmental risk factors. METHODS: Golestan cohort study is a population-base cohort on 50045 participants between 40-75 with about 18 years of follow up. We detected 2,196 cancer mortality and applied a multiple Cox model to compute the hazard ratio of environmental risk factor on all cancer and cancer-specific mortality. The population attributable fraction was calculated, accordingly. RESULTS: Biomass fuels for cooking, as an indoor air pollution, increased the risk of colorectal, esophageal, gastric cancer, and all-cancer mortality by 84%, 66%, 37%, and 17% respectively. Using gas for cooking, particularly in rural areas, could save 6% [Population Attributable Fraction: 6.36(95%CI: 1.82, 10.70)] of esophageal cancer, 3% [Population Attributable Fraction: 3.43 (0, 7.33)] of gastric cancer, and 6% [Population Attributable Fraction: 6.25 (1.76, 13.63)] of colorectal cancer mortality. Using a healthy tap water source could save 5% [Population Attributable Fraction:5.50(0, 10.93)] of esophageal cancer mortality, particularly in rural areas. There was no significant association between indoor air pollution for heating purposes and animal contact with cancer mortality. CONCLUSION: Considering the results of this study, eliminating solid fuel for most daily usage, among the population with specific cancer types, is required to successfully reduce cancer related mortality. Adopting appropriate strategies and interventions by policymakers such as educating the population, allocating resources for improving the healthy environment of the community, and cancer screening policies among susceptible populations could reduce cancer related mortalities.

Cost effectiveness analysis of a fixed dose combination pill for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease from an individual participant data meta-analysis.

Background: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) continues to impart a large burden on the global population, especially in lower income countries where affordability limits the use of cardiovascular medicines. A fixed dose combination strategy of at least 2 blood pressure lowering medications and a statin with aspirin in a single pill has been shown to reduce the risk of incident CVD by 38% in primary prevention in a recent meta-analysis. We report the in-trial (median follow-up: 5 years) cost-effectiveness of a fixed dose combination (FDC) pill in different income groups based on data from that meta-analysis. Methods: Countries were categorized using World Bank economic groups: Lower Middle Income Countries (LMIC), Upper Middle Income Countries (UMIC) and High Income Countries (HIC). Country specific costs were obtained for hospitalized events, procedures, and non-study medications (2020 USD). FDC price was based on the cheapest equivalent substitute (CES) for each component. Findings: For the CES-FDC pill versus control the difference in cost was $346 (95% CI: $294-$398) per participant in Lower Middle Income Countries, $838 (95% CI: $781-$895) in Upper Middle Income Countries and $42 (95% CI: -$155 to $239) (cost-neutral) in High Income Countries. During the study period the CES-FDC pill was associated with incremental gain in quality-adjusted life years of 0.06 (95% CI: 0.04-0.08) resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $5767 (95% CI: 5735-$5799), $13,937 (95% CI: $13,893-$14,041) and $700 (95% CI: $662-$738) respectively. In subgroups analyses, the highest 10 years CVD risk subgroup had ICERs of $2033, $7322 and -$6000/QALY. Interpretation: A FDC pill produced at CES costs is cost-neutral in HIC. Governments of LMI and UMI countries should assess these results based on the ICER threshold accepted in their own country and own specific health care priorities but should consider prioritizing this strategy for patients with high 10 years CVD risk as a first step. Funding: Population Health Research Institute.

The contribution of metabolic risk factors to cardiovascular mortality in Golestan cohort study: Population attributable fraction estimation.

Background: Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are the leading causes of global mortality and disability. Several studies demonstrated that metabolic risk factors increase cardiovascular mortality. The aim of this study is to examine CVDs deaths and population attributable fractions (PAFs) of their metabolic risk factors in Iran. Methods: This is a study on 8621 participants aged 45-75 years and older, recruited in the repeated measurement phase of the Golestan cohort study (GCS) in northeast of Iran. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs). PAFs were calculated to enumerate CVDs mortality avoidable in the population if metabolic risk factors were eliminated. Results: The mortality of CVDs was attributable to metabolic factors, including high waist circumference (PAF, 28 %, [95 % CI: 16%-38 %]), high fasting blood sugar (FBS) (20 %, [15%-24 %]), overweight and obesity (19 %, [8%-28 %]), high blood pressure (16 %, [11%-21 %]), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) (8 %, [1%-15 %]), and high triglyceride (TG) (7 %, [3%-11 %]). Collectively, these metabolic risk factors accounted for 50 % of CVDs deaths. Females (67 %, [50%-78 %]) had a higher joint PAF of metabolic risk factors compared to males (43 %, [27%-55 %]). Conclusions: The pattern of CVDs mortality attributable to metabolic risk factors in this study is not the same as similar studies in other parts of the world and previous studies in Iran. It is imperative that CVDs risk factors be specifically evaluated and addressed in various populations due to variety in geographical and temporal patterns in contribution of metabolic risk factors to CVD mortality.

Colorectal Cancer Incidence in Iran Based on Sex, Age, and Geographical Regions: A Study of 2014-2017 and Projected Rates to 2025.

BACKGROUND: While there has been extensive research on colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and its associated factors in Iran, a significant gap exists in studies predicting its future trends. Our study aimed to thoroughly report CRC incidence across Iran from 2014 to 2017, by sex, age, and geographical regions, and provide a projection for 2025. METHODS: This retrospective study utilized data from the Iranian National Population-based Cancer Registry (INPCR). Patients with the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, 3rd Edition (ICD-O-3) codes C18 to C21 were included. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASR), was calculated per 100000 individuals annually, and crude incidence rates were retrieved for various demographic groups and years. RESULTS: Between 2014 and 2017, a total of 43580 new CRC cases (55.96% males) were registered. Men exhibited an ASR of 134.45, while women's ASR was 94.85. The highest ASRs were observed in Tehran, Qom, and Ilam (18.99, 18.26, and 18.06, respectively). Incidence rates surpassed 20 after age 50 for both genders, reaching their peak within the 80-84 age group. Adenocarcinoma was the most frequent histological type of CRC in nearly all provinces. Case numbers and ASRs are projected to continuously rise until 2025, with a predominance of male cases. CONCLUSION: The anticipated increase in CRC incidence in Iran emphasizes the need for additional studies to better identify risk factors. Furthermore, implementing screening programs is recommended for individuals at a higher risk of CRC, including men, the elderly population, and those residing in regions with a notable prevalence of CRC.

Colorectal Cancer: Epidemiology, Risk Factors, and Prevention.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cancer and the second most common cause of cancer mortality worldwide. There are disparities in the epidemiology of CRC across different populations, most probably due to differences in exposure to lifestyle and environmental factors related to CRC. Prevention is the most effective method for controlling CRC. Primary prevention includes determining and avoiding modifiable risk factors (e.g., alcohol consumption, smoking, and dietary factors) as well as increasing protective factors (e.g., physical activity, aspirin). Further studies, especially randomized, controlled trials, are needed to clarify the association between CRC incidence and exposure to different risk factors or protective factors. Detection and removal of precancerous colorectal lesions is also an effective strategy for controlling CRC. Multiple factors, both at the individual and community levels (e.g., patient preferences, availability of screening modalities, costs, benefits, and adverse events), should be taken into account in designing and implementing CRC screening programs. Health policymakers should consider the best decision in identifying the starting age and selection of the most effective screening strategies for the target population. This review aims to present updated evidence on the epidemiology, risk factors, and prevention of CRC.

Effectiveness of polypill for primary and secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease: a pragmatic cluster-randomised controlled trial (PolyPars).

BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate the effectiveness of fixed-dose combination therapy (polypill) for primary and secondary prevention of major cardiovascular diseases in a typical rural setting. METHODS: The PolyPars Study is a two-arm pragmatic cluster-randomised trial nested within the PARS cohort study, including all residents aged over 50 years in the entire district in southern Iran. The 91 villages underwent random allocation into two arms: the control arm, encompassing 45 clusters, was subjected to non-pharmacological intervention (educational training on healthy lifestyle), whereas the intervention arm, comprising 46 clusters, received the non-pharmacological interventions in conjunction with a once-daily polypill tablet. This tablet comprised two antihypertensive agents, a statin and aspirin. The primary outcome was the first occurrence of major cardiovascular events defined as a composite of hospitalisation for acute coronary syndrome (non-fatal myocardial infarction and unstable angina), fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal and fatal stroke, sudden death and heart failure. The Cox regression model, with shared frailty, was used to account for clustering effect. RESULTS: During December 2015-December 2016, a total of 4415 participants aged 50-75 years were recruited (2200 participants in the intervention arm and 2215 participants in the control arm). The overall median of follow-up duration was 4.6 years (interquartile interval 4.4-4.9). The achieved adherence rate to polypill in intervention arm was 86%. In the control group, 176 (8.0%) of 2215 participants developed primary outcome, compared with 88 (4.0%) of 2200 participants in the polypill group. We found substantial reduction in risk of primary outcome both in relative and absolute scales (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.65; absolute risk reduction 4.0%, 95% CI 2.5% to 5.3%). No difference in serious adverse events was observed between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: The fixed-dose combination therapy using polypill can safely halve the risk of major cardiovascular diseases at the population level. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03459560.

Burden of upper gastrointestinal cancers in the east of Golestan province (Golestan cohort study).

BACKGROUND: Cancers, especially Upper Gastrointestinal Cancers (UGCs), pose a substantial burden on society, particularly in developing nations. Golestan province, Iran, is known for its high UGC rates globally. AIMS: This study delves into the disease burden of UGCs in the eastern part of Golestan province. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study was conducted using the results of the Golestan cohort study. 2711 patients participating in this cohort, who visited Atrak Clinic during 2001-2020, participated in this study. After excluding patients with incomplete records, 2481 patients were included in the study. To compute the metrics of years of life lost (YLL), years of life lived with disability (YLD), and disability-adjusted life years (DALY), we utilized the World Health Organization's standard life table, stratified by age and gender. The majority of UGC patients in our study were married (81.8%), had limited formal education (82.6%), and were predominantly male (61.1%). A substantial proportion resided in suburban areas (85.8%), and over half of the patients (52%) reported a history of drug addiction. The mean age at diagnosis for men was 65.76 years with a standard deviation of 11.34, while for women, it was 64.38 years with a standard deviation of 11.66. Regarding disease impact, YLL, YLD, and DALY for men were 21 240, 1956, and 23 196 (307.8 per 100 000), respectively. For women, these figures were 15 609 for YLL, 1367 for YLD, and 16 976 (223.1 per 100 000) for DALY. CONCLUSION: After the increasing trend of the burden of UGCs in Golestan province in the early years of the study, this rate has been decreasing in recent years. Effective strategies necessitate collaborative efforts across various sectors to alleviate this burden, focusing on preventive measures, timely diagnosis, and well-coordinated therapeutic interventions.

Efficacy of a self-monitoring traffic light diary on outcomes of patients with heart failure: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Patients with heart failure experience high hospitalization. However, patients cannot recognize symptoms according to current approaches, which needs to be improved by new self-monitoring instruments and strategies. Thus, we aimed to assess a self-monitoring traffic light diary on outcomes of patients with heart failure. METHODS: This was a single-blind, two-arm parallel group randomized controlled trial at the heart failure clinic of Tehran Heart Center (Tehran, Iran). Adult patients with a definitive diagnosis of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (i.e., ejection fraction of less than 40 %), and New York Heart Association functional classes II-IV were included. A block-balanced randomization method was used to assign eligible subjects to the intervention or control group. Baseline data were collected before random allocation. Participants in the intervention group received a comprehensive intervention consisting of (1) self-care education by an Australian Heart Foundation booklet on heart failure, (2) regular self-monitoring of weight and shortness of breath at home, and (3) scheduled call follow-ups for three months. Patients in the control group received usual care. The primary outcome was heart failure self-care; the secondary outcomes were heart failure quality of life, knowledge, and all-cause hospitalization. RESULTS: From June to August 2017, 68 patients were included in the study. The overall age of participants was 55 (13.6) years old, and 71 % of patients were male. A significant association between the intervention and self-care maintenance (ß 5.1; 95 % CI 2.50 to 7.70, P < 0.001), self-care management (ß 10.6; 95 % CI 6.50 to 14.8, P < 0.001), self-care confidence (ß 8.0; 95 % CI 5.0 to 11.0, P < 0.001) and heart failure knowledge (ß 1.7; 95 % CI 1.30, 2.04; P < 0.001) was found. However, there was no association between the intervention and quality of life (ß 2.5; 95 % CI -0.79, 5.88, P 0.135) and hospitalization-free survival of the two groups (Log-Rank P 0.540). CONCLUSION: A self-monitoring traffic light diary can improve self-care behaviors and heart failure knowledge in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. RCT APPROVAL ID: Iranian Registry of Clinical Trials IRCT2017021032476N1. STUDY PROTOCOL: PMCID: PMC6262204.

Dental health and lung cancer risk in the Golestan Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Poor oral health has been linked to various systemic diseases, including multiple cancer types, but studies of its association with lung cancer have been inconclusive. METHODS: We examined the relationship between dental status and lung cancer incidence and mortality in the Golestan Cohort Study, a large, prospective cohort of 50,045 adults in northeastern Iran. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between three dental health measures (i.e., number of missing teeth; the sum of decayed, missing, or filled teeth (DMFT); and toothbrushing frequency) and lung cancer incidence or mortality with adjustment for multiple potential confounders, including cigarette smoking and opium use. We created tertiles of the number of lost teeth/DMFT score in excess of the loess adjusted, age- and sex-specific predicted numbers, with subjects with the expected number of lost teeth/DMFT or fewer as the reference group. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14 years, there were 119 incident lung cancer cases and 98 lung cancer deaths. Higher DMFT scores were associated with a progressively increased risk of lung cancer (linear trend, p = 0.011). Compared with individuals with the expected DMFT score or less, the HRs were 1.27 (95% CI: 0.73, 2.22), 2.15 (95% CI: 1.34, 3.43), and 1.52 (95% CI: 0.81, 2.84) for the first to the third tertiles of DMFT, respectively. The highest tertile of tooth loss also had an increased risk of lung cancer, with a HR of 1.68 (95% CI: 1.04, 2.70) compared with subjects with the expected number of lost teeth or fewer (linear trend, p = 0.043). The results were similar for lung cancer mortality and did not change substantially when the analysis was restricted to never users of cigarettes or opium. We found no associations between toothbrushing frequency and lung cancer incidence or mortality. CONCLUSION: Poor dental health indicated by tooth loss or DMFT, but not lack of toothbrushing, was associated with increased lung cancer incidence and mortality in this rural Middle Eastern population.

Breast cancer incidence trends in Golestan, Iran: An age-period-cohort analysis by ethnic region, 2004-2018.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to examine the effects of age, diagnosis year (calendar period) and birth year (cohort) on the incidence trends of breast cancer among Golestan women, Northeast Iran, 2004-2018. METHODS: Incidence data were obtained by residential status (urban/rural) and ethnic region (Turkmens/non-Turkmens). We calculated age-standardized incidence rates (ASRs) per 100,000 person-years. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were calculated, and age-period-cohort (APC) models fitted to assess non-linear effects of period and cohort as incidence rate ratios (IRRs). RESULTS: The total number of female breast cancer cases in Golestan, 2004-2018, were 3853, with an overall ASR of 31.3. We found higher rates in urban population (40.5) and non-Turkmens region (38.5) compared to rural area (20.8) and Turkmens region (20.2), respectively. There were increasing trends in incidence rates overall (EAPC= 4.4; 95%CI: 2.2, 6.7), with greater changes in rural areas (EAPC=5.1), particularly among non-Turkmens (EAPC=5.8). The results of the APC analysis indicate the presence of significant non-linear cohort effects with increasing IRRs across successive birth cohorts (IRR=0.1 and IRR= 2.6 for the oldest and the youngest birth cohorts vs. the reference birth cohort, respectively). CONCLUSION: We found increasing trends in breast cancer incidence among Golestan women over the study period, with disparities in patterns and trends by residence area and ethnic region. The observed cohort effects suggest an increasing prevalence of key risk factors for breast cancer in this Iranian population. Further investigations are warranted to clarify the relationships between determinants such as reproductive factors and ethnicity in the region.