Association between achieving adequate antenatal care and health-seeking behaviors: A study of Demographic and Health Surveys in 47 low- and middle-income countries.

BACKGROUND: Antenatal care (ANC) is essential for ensuring the well-being of pregnant women and their fetuses. This study models the association between achieving adequate ANC and various health and health-seeking indicators across wealth quintiles in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We analyzed data from 638,265 women across 47 LMICs using available Demographic and Health Surveys from 2010 to 2022. Via multilevel logistic regression analyses adjusted for a series of confounding variables and country and wealth quintile fixed effects, we estimated the projected impact of achieving adequate ANC utilization and quality on a series of health and health care indicators: facility birth, postnatal care, childhood immunizations, and childhood stunting and wasting. Achieving adequate levels of ANC utilization and quality (defined as at least 4 visits, blood pressure monitoring, and blood and urine testing) was positively associated with health-seeking behavior across the majority of countries. The strongest association was observed for facility birth, followed by postnatal care and child immunization. The strength of the associations varied across countries and wealth quintiles, with more significant ones observed in countries with lower baseline ANC utilization levels and among the lower wealth quintiles. The associations of ANC with childhood stunting and wasting were notably less statistically significant compared to other indicators. Despite rigorous adjustments for potential confounders, a limitation to the methodology is that it is possible that unobserved variables may still impact outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Strengthening ANC is associated with improved use of other health care in LMICs. ANC could serve as a critical platform for improving health outcomes for mothers and their children, emphasizing its importance beyond direct impact on maternal and neonatal mortality.

How did the introduction of the measles-containing vaccine second dose (MCV2) affect measles vaccine uptake? - evidence from Nigeria.

Nigeria has the highest burden of measles worldwide, as measles vaccine uptake remains low. Recently, the second dose of the measles-containing vaccine (MCV2) was introduced as part of the routine immunization (RI) program, and this study examined how it changed the uptake of the measles vaccine and the factors associated with vaccination behavior. The Nigeria Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) 2021 was used to compare measles vaccination uptake as well as factors associated with vaccination uptake between children before MCV2 introduction (cohort 1) and after the introduction (cohort 2). The overall rate of measles vaccine uptake was higher among cohort 1 (64%-95%) than among cohort 2 (56%-92%) in all zones because of younger age among cohort 2. The dropout from the first to second measles vaccines was similar between the cohorts (around 24%). Higher maternal education levels and higher household wealth levels were both correlated with the vaccine uptake or both cohorts but a positive correlation between the dropout and mother's education level was observed only among cohort 2, especially in the North West and South West zones. The positive correlation between the dropout and mother's education level among cohort 2 indicates that the introduction of MCV2 as part of RI might have helped to narrow the disparity in measles vaccine uptake in North West and South West zones. Further study is required to investigate strategies employed to reduce the disparity in these zones to apply nationwide.

Evolution in key indicators of maternal and child health across the wealth gradient in 41 sub-Saharan African countries, 1986-2019.

BACKGROUND: Aggregate trends can be useful for summarizing large amounts of information, but this can obscure important distributional aspects. Some population subgroups can be worse off even as averages climb, for example. Distributional information can identify health inequalities, which is essential to understanding their drivers and possible remedies. METHODS: Using publicly available Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 41 sub-Saharan African countries from 1986 to 2019, we analyzed changes in coverage for eight key maternal and child health indicators: first dose of measles vaccine (MCV1); Diphtheria-Pertussis-Tetanus (DPT) first dose (DPT1); DPT third dose (DPT3); care-seeking for diarrhea, acute respiratory infections (ARI), or fever; skilled birth attendance (SBA); and having four antenatal care (ANC) visits. To evaluate whether coverage diverged or converged over time across the wealth gradient, we computed several dispersion metrics including the coefficient of variation across wealth quintiles. Slopes and 5-year moving averages were computed to identify overall long-term trends. RESULTS: Average coverage increased for all quintiles and indicators, although the range and the speed at which they increased varied widely. There were small changes in the wealth-related gap for SBA, ANC, and fever. The wealth-related gap of vaccination-related indicators (DPT1, DPT3, MCV1) decreased over time. Compared to 2017, the wealth-gap between richest and poorest quintiles in 1995 was 7 percentage points larger for ANC and 17 percentage points larger for measles vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal and child health indicators show progress, but the distributional effects show differential evolutions in inequalities. Several reasons may explain why countries had smaller wealth-related gap trends in vaccination-related indicators compared to others. In addition to service delivery differences, we hypothesize that the allocation of development assistance for health, the prioritization of vaccine-preventable diseases on the global agenda, and indirect effects of structural adjustment programs on health system-related indicators might have played a role.

Cost analysis of an innovative eHealth program in Nigeria: a case study of the vaccine direct delivery system.

INTRODUCTION: Vaccine stockout is a severe problem in Africa, including Nigeria, which could have an adverse effect on vaccination coverage and even health outcomes among the population. The Vaccine Direct Delivery (VDD) program was introduced to manage vaccine stockouts using eHealth technology. This study conducts a cost analysis of the VDD program and calculates the incremental costs of reaching an additional child for vaccination through the VDD program. METHODS: We used the expense reports from eHealth Africa, an NGO which implemented the VDD program, to calculate the VDD program's overall operating costs. We also used the findings from the literature to translate the effect of VDD on the reduction of vaccine stockouts into its effect on the increase in vaccination coverage. We calculated the incremental costs of reaching an additional child for vaccination through the VDD program. RESULTS: We calculated that implementing the VDD program cost USD10,555 monthly for the 42 months that the VDD program was operating in Bauchi state. This figure translates to an incremental cost of USD20.6 to reach one additional child for vaccination. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: Our study is one of the first to conduct a cost analysis of eHealth technology in Africa. The incremental cost of USD20.6 was within the range of other interventions that intended to increase vaccine uptake in low- and middle-income countries. The VDD program is a promising technology to substantially reduce vaccine stockout, leading to a reduction of over 55% at a reasonable cost, representing 26% of the total budget for routine immunization activities in Bauchi state. However, there is no comparable costing study that evaluates the cost of a supply chain strengthening intervention. Future studies should investigate further the feasibility of eHealth technology, as well as how to minimize its costs of implementation while keeping the efficacy of the program.

Factors associated with knowledge and use of home pregnancy test kits in Uganda.

Early detection of pregnancy status may help women initiate earlier antenatal care and healthy pregnancy behaviors, which could lead to healthier mothers and infants. Pregnancy tests are inexpensive and easy to use; meanwhile, little attention has been given to understanding women's knowledge and use of home pregnancy tests, especially in developing countries. We analyze cross-sectional data collected from 1,008 women ages 18-35, living in Northern Uganda in 2019, who are most likely to be uncertain about their pregnancy status. The survey asked women if they had knowledge of or had ever used a home pregnancy test kit, and barriers to purchasing a home pregnancy test kit. Among the 1,008 women, 65 percent report knowledge of home pregnancy test kits, and 29 percent report having ever used a test kit. Women who have heard of pregnancy test kits have higher levels of education, are in higher wealth quintiles, are more likely to have a salaried occupation and live closer to a health facility. Among women who report knowledge of home pregnancy test kits (N = 657), 90 percent report needing to ask their husband or partner for money to purchase a test kit, seven percent report they would hide the purchase, and 31 percent report that their husband or partner would not support the purchase. Women who report a lack of support from their husband or partner tend to be older, are more likely to have had prior pregnancies, are less likely to have a salaried occupation, are less likely to want a/another child, and are more likely to have a husband or partner desiring more children than herself. Future research aimed at understanding how and whether these barriers affect the utilization of home pregnancy test kits could help inform policymakers on how to increase the use of home pregnancy test kits. Trial registration: NCT03975933. Registered 05 June 2019, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/record/NCT03975933.

Childhood exposure to armed conflict and nutritional health outcomes in Nigeria.

BACKGROUND: Armed conflicts are associated with an increased risk of food insecurity, the leading cause of malnutrition in low-and-middle-income countries. Multiple studies have uncovered significant influences of childhood malnutrition on children's overall health and development. As a result, it is increasingly important to understand how childhood experience of armed conflict intersects with childhood malnutrition in conflict-prone countries like Nigeria. This study examined the association between different measures of childhood experiences of armed conflicts and the nutritional health outcomes of children aged 36-59 months. METHODS: We used data from the Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey linked with Uppsala Conflict Data Program Geo-Referenced Events Dataset using geographic identifiers. Multilevel regression models were fitted on a sample of 4226 children aged 36-59 months. RESULTS: The prevalence of stunting, underweight and wasting was 35%, 20% and 3%, respectively. Armed conflicts were mostly recorded in the North-eastern states of Borno (222 episodes) and Adamawa (24 episodes). Exposure to armed conflicts ranged from 0 (no experience of armed conflict) to 3.75 conflicts per month since the child's birth. An increase in the frequency of armed conflicts is associated with increased odds of childhood stunting [AOR = 2.52, 95%CI: 1.96-3.25] and underweight [AOR = 2.33, 95%CI: 1.19-4.59] but not wasting. The intensity of armed conflict was only marginally associated with stunting and underweight but not wasting. Longer conflicts that occurred in the last year were also associated with the odds of stunting [AOR = 1.25, 95%CI: 1.17-1.33] and underweight [AOR = 1.19, 95%CI: 1.11-1.26] but not wasting. CONCLUSION: Childhood exposure to armed conflict is associated with long-term malnutrition in children aged 36-59 months in Nigeria. Strategies that aim to end childhood malnutrition could target children exposed to armed conflicts.

Out-of-pocket expenditures and financial risks associated with treatment of vaccine-preventable diseases in Ethiopia: A cross-sectional costing analysis.

BACKGROUND: Vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) remain major causes of morbidity and mortality in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Universal access to vaccination, besides improved health outcomes, would substantially reduce VPD-related out-of-pocket (OOP) expenditures and associated financial risks. This paper aims to estimate the extent of OOP expenditures and the magnitude of the associated catastrophic health expenditures (CHEs) for selected VPDs in Ethiopia. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a cross-sectional costing analysis, from the household (patient) perspective, of care-seeking for VPDs in children aged under 5 years for pneumonia, diarrhea, measles, and pertussis, and in children aged under 15 years for meningitis. Data on OOP direct medical and nonmedical expenditures (2021 USD) and household consumption expenditures were collected from 995 households (1 child per household) in 54 health facilities nationwide between May 1 and July 31, 2021. We used descriptive statistics to measure the main outcomes: magnitude of OOP expenditures, along with the associated CHE within households. Drivers of CHE were assessed using a logistic regression model. The mean OOP expenditures per disease episode for outpatient care for diarrhea, pneumonia, pertussis, and measles were $5·6 (95% confidence interval (CI): $4·3, 6·8), $7·8 ($5·3, 10·3), $9·0 ($6·4, 11·6), and $7·4 ($3·0, 11·9), respectively. The mean OOP expenditures were higher for inpatient care, ranging from $40·6 (95% CI: $12·9, 68·3) for severe measles to $101·7 ($88·5, 114·8) for meningitis. Direct medical expenditures, particularly drug and supply expenses, were the major cost drivers. Among those who sought inpatient care (345 households), about 13·3% suffered CHE, at a 10% threshold of annual consumption expenditures. The type of facility visited, receiving inpatient care, and wealth were significant predictors of CHE (p-value < 0·001) while adjusting for area of residence (urban/rural), diagnosis, age of respondent, and household family size. Limitations include inadequate number of measles and pertussis cases. CONCLUSIONS: The OOP expenditures induced by VPDs are substantial in Ethiopia and disproportionately impact those with low income and those requiring inpatient care. Expanding equitable access to vaccines cannot be overemphasized, for both health and economic reasons. Such realization requires the government's commitment toward increasing and sustaining vaccine financing in Ethiopia.

Vaccine hesitancy against COVID-19 vaccine over time in Nigeria.

INTRODUCTION: While COVID-19 pandemic is an ongoing threat for our lives, the rapid development of effective vaccines against COVID-19 provided us hopes for manageable disease control. However, vaccine hesitancy across the globe is a concern which could attenuate efforts of disease control. This study examined the extent and trend of vaccine hesitancy in Nigeria. METHODS: The COVID-19 National Longitudinal Phone Survey conducted between 2020 and 2021 was used for the analysis. The extent and trend of vaccine hesitancy across different zones within Nigeria, over time, as well as reasons of the hesitancy were evaluated. RESULTS: Vaccine hesitancy was more prevalent in southern zones, which on average have better socioeconomic status than northern zones. Overtime, vaccine hesitancy became more prevalent, and respondents became more resistant to the COVID-19 vaccine across the country. CONCLUSION: While the nature of interventions to improve the uptake of COVID-19 vaccine should differ by regions due to differential barriers to vaccination, it might be important to prebunk and debunk any misinformation related to COVID-19 vaccine to mitigate the vaccine hesitancy across the country.

Joint distribution of child mortality and wealth across 30 sub-Saharan African countries over 2000-2019.

Background: While reductions in child mortality have been observed across sub-Saharan African countries in the last 30 years, narrowing the gaps in under-five mortality across socioeconomic groups also requires an understanding of the multiple associations between health and welfare and socioeconomic drivers. We examined the probability density distributions in under-five mortality within countries and joint pathways of under-five mortality and wealth over time. Methods: We used 69 Demographic and Health Surveys and 19 Malaria Indicator Surveys from 30 sub-Saharan African countries, with each country having at least two surveys conducted since 2000. We constructed a cross-country wealth index and estimated under-five death prevalence. We examined the pure distribution in under-five mortality prevalence and the joint probability distribution of wealth and under-five mortality prevalence over time, including the area of confidence ellipse which spanned the two dimensions of mortality and wealth and covered 75% of the mass of the joint distribution. Results: Most countries experienced decreases in under-five mortality along with increases in wealth over time. However, we observed great variations in the evolution of the joint distributions across countries over time. For instance, the areas of confidence ellipse ranged from 0.178 in Ethiopia (2000) to 1.119 in Angola (2006). The change (over time) in the area of confidence ellipses ranged from 0.010 in Tanzania to 0.844 in Angola between the 2000s and 2010s. The ranking of country performance on under-five mortality varied greatly, depending on whether performance summary indicators were based on disaggregation by wealth or on full non-disaggregated distributions. Conclusions: Our analysis points to the relevance of full distributions of health and joint distributions of health and wealth as complementary indicators of distributions of health across socioeconomic status, in assessing country performance on health.

Zero-Dose, Under-Immunized, and Dropout Children in Nigeria: The Trend and Its Contributing Factors over Time.

INTRODUCTION: This study analyzes the trend of prevalence of, and factors contributing to, children with incomplete vaccination status, namely zero-dose, under-immunized, and dropout children, over time from 2003 to 2018 in Nigeria, one of the countries with the highest number of children with incomplete vaccination. METHODS: Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey data from 2003 to 2018 were analyzed to calculate the prevalence of children with incomplete vaccination status by geographical zone over time and to investigate the factors contributing to the change in the prevalence of such children over time based on the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis. RESULTS: The prevalence of children with incomplete vaccination status substantially decreased from 2003 to 2018 in most of zones in Nigeria. Rural areas and the northern zones had consistently higher prevalence of children with incomplete vaccination status than urban areas and the southern zones. It was identified that mothers' education and the household wealth level explained the reduction in the prevalence of zero-dose and under-immunized children, but the degree of contribution of each factor varied by zone and place of residence, i.e., urban or rural. Both the mother's education and household wealth level only weakly contributed to the reduction in the number of dropout children. DISCUSSIONS AND CONCLUSION: Future studies should explore further how to improve the vaccination coverage in Nigeria over time. Examples of topics for future study include other contributing factors beyond education and wealth level, differential factors influencing the reduction in the number of children with incomplete vaccination status by area of residence (urban vs. rural), why the reduction in the number of dropout children is not explained by either education or wealth, and the significant contributors to the reduction in the number of such children.

Estimated travel time and staffing constraints to accessing the Ethiopian health care system: A two-step floating catchment area analysis.

Background: Despite large investments in the public health care system, disparities in health outcomes persist between lower- and upper-income individuals, as well as rural vs urban dwellers in Ethiopia. Evidence from Ethiopia and other low- and middle-income countries suggests that challenges in health care access may contribute to poverty in these settings. Methods: We employed a two-step floating catchment area to estimate variations in spatial access to health care and in staffing levels at health care facilities. We estimated the average travel time from the population centers of administrative areas and adjusted them with provider-to-population ratios. To test hypotheses about the role of travel time vs staffing, we applied Spearman's rank tests to these two variables against the access score to assess the significance of observed variations. Results: Among Ethiopia's 11 first-level administrative units, Addis Ababa, Dire Dawa, and Harari had the best access scores. Regions with the lowest access scores were generally poorer and more rural/pastoral. Approximately 18% of the country did not have access to a public health care facility within a two-hour walk. Our results suggest that spatial access and staffing issues both contribute to access challenges. Conclusion: Investments both in new health facilities and staffing in existing facilities will be necessary to improve health care access within Ethiopia. Because rural and low-income areas are more likely to have poor access, future strategies for expanding and strengthening the health care system should strongly emphasize equity and the role of improved access in reducing poverty.

Geospatial and Time Trend of Prevalence and Characteristics of Zero-Dose Children in Nigeria from 2003 to 2018.

INTRODUCTION: While recent years have observed a substantial improvement in vaccination coverage among children in developing countries, many children are still left out and remain unvaccinated. This study analyzes the trend of the prevalence and characteristics of zero-dose children in Nigeria over time. METHODS: Using data from the Demographic and Health Survey in Nigeria from 2003 to 2018, I analyzed the prevalence and determinants of zero-dose children who had not received any DTP vaccine by geographical zone and over time. In addition, I conducted Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition analysis to evaluate the reasons for the change in the prevalence of zero-dose children over time. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of zero-dose children reduced from over 60% in 2003 to 40% in 2018 in Nigeria. Rural areas had a higher prevalence of zero-dose children than urban areas and the gap was consistent over time. Southern zones consistently had a lower prevalence of zero-dose children, but northern zones observed more reductions in the prevalence of zero-dose children. The mother's education and wealth level in a household are strongly associated with a lower likelihood of having zero-dose children. In both urban and rural areas, an improvement in the mother's education level strongly explained the reduction in zero-dose children over time, while an increase in the wealth level also explained the reduction in zero-dose children in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: While Nigeria has observed a substantial reduction in the prevalence of zero-dose children in the 15 years since 2003, the pattern of and explanatory factors for the reduction differ by geographical region. This analysis can be useful for identifying a targeting strategy to further reduce the prevalence of zero-dose children in Nigeria in the future.

Geographical and time trends of measles incidence and measles vaccination coverage and their correlation in Nigeria.

Nigeria has one of the highest measles burdens in the world. While measles-containing vaccine is proven to be effective in reducing measles cases, empirical studies on the correlation between measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage in Nigeria has been limited. The aim of this study was to conduct a detailed analysis on measles incidence, measles vaccine coverage, and their correlation between 2012 and 2021. A retrospective observational study was conducted based on the Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) data for the measles incidence in each Nigerian state over time, District Health Information System, V.2 (DHIS2) and Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) for the coverage of the first dose of measles containing vaccine (MCV1) over time (2012-2021). We observed the trend of measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage, as well as their correlation. Out of the study period from 2012 to 2021, we found that the majority of measles outbreaks occurred in the northeastern states in recent years after 2019, especially in Borno state, where Boko Haram insurgency has negatively impacted health service delivery, including routine vaccination. We observed a significant negative correlation between measles incidence and measles vaccine coverage across Nigerian states. However, there was no sudden drop in measles vaccine coverage before the recent outbreak in Borno state in 2019, which could be due to various factors other than the overall vaccine coverage.

The relationships between adverse life events, depression, economic activities, and human capital investment in Nigeria.

This paper examines the links between adverse events, depression, and decision-making in Nigeria. It investigates how events such as conflicts, shocks, and deaths of family members can affect short-term mental health, as well as longer-term decisions on economic activities and human capital investments. First, the findings show that exposure to conflict has the largest and strongest relationship with depression, associated with a 21-26 percentage point increase in the probability of depressive symptomatology. Second, depression is associated with lower labour force participation, child educational investment, and annual per capita income, holding constant covariates such as exposure to adverse events. People with depressive symptoms are 8 percentage points less likely to work. In addition, parents exhibiting depressive symptoms spend 18% less on their children's education. These findings show the links between adverse events and important outcomes such as labour and education through mental health. As such, policymakers must consider both the direct and indirect effects that adverse events - particularly conflicts - and depression can have on welfare.

COVID-19 Vaccine Hesitancy and Trust in Government in Nigeria.

INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 has been impacting our lives globally, including in Nigeria. While the COVID-19 vaccine is available free of charge, vaccination coverage remains low. This study evaluates the relationship between trust in government and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. METHODS: We used an Afrobarometer survey for data on trust in government and the COVID-19 National Longitudinal Phone Survey (NLPS) for data on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy, merged by strata (states and urban/rural). The simple correlation was evaluated using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression. RESULTS: Distrust in government was strongly associated with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy as well as with perceptions that the vaccine was not safe, and concerns about side effects were given as reasons for vaccine refusal. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Distrust of government is an important predictor of vaccine hesitancy in Nigeria. This result is consistent with findings in the literature, especially in developed countries. Vaccine refusers, who distrust the government, refuse vaccines because they think that vaccines do them harm. Policy makers should be cautious when it comes to strategizing for COVID-19 vaccine distribution, especially in places where trust in government is weak.

Evaluation of catastrophic health expenditure risk due to measles in Nigeria.

Measles can have a substantial negative impact not only on people's health but also on their finances, especially in developing countries. This study evaluates the household risk of catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) due to measles, according to regions and wealth quintiles. The CHE risk due to measles was computed based on (1) the likelihood of health service utilization to treat measles, (2) out-of-pocket (OOP) expenditure and indirect costs associated with disease treatment, and (3) household consumption expenditures. I derived the CHE risk associated with measles, conditional on contracting the disease, across regions and wealth quintiles in Nigeria, using secondary data sources for health-care utilization, OOP expenditures, and consumption expenditures. There was a large variation in CHE risk according to regions and wealth quintiles. Among the poorest households, those in the northeast and northwest would have the highest risk of CHE, up to 17%, while those in the southwest would have the lowest risk of 5%. For all regions, as the wealth increases, the CHE risk would decrease. There would be zero or very little CHE risk among the richest households in any regions. Given the proven efficacy of measles vaccines, immunizations can prevent households, especially poorer households in northeast and northwest regions, from facing the CHE risk due to measles.

Catastrophic health expenditure and its determinants among Nigerian households.

Health expenditure can be substantial, especially in countries without national health insurance schemes, and it can negatively affect people's welfare. This study uses recent data to evaluate the extent to which Nigerian households suffer from catastrophic health expenditure (CHE) and evaluates its determinants. We used the Living Standards Survey 2018-2019 to estimate the headcount of Nigerian households that experience CHE-the proportion of health expenditures exceeding a certain ratio of such expenditures to non-food expenditures. To evaluate the determinants of CHE, we used ordinary least square regression with state fixed effects. The total sample was 22,110 nationally representative households. Many households, especially poorer ones, do not have any health care expenses; only 60.6% of the poorest households had some health-related expenditure. Even with the limited health-seeking behaviors in this demographic, the percentage of households that suffered from CHE was very high: with a 15% cutoff for CHE thresholds, 34.9 to 44.2% of households experienced CHE. Lower education, higher non-food consumption, and rural residence were correlated with higher amounts of health expenditure and higher odds of CHE. Health-seeking behaviors such as clinic visits for sickness treatment and prevention are limited, especially among the poorer households. Even so, the headcount of households experiencing CHE is very high in Nigeria. Advancing the implementation of national health insurance scheme is important to reduce the burden of health expenditure, especially among the poor, as well as to remove financial barriers to their seeking adequate health services.

Utilization patterns, outcomes and costs of a simplified acute malnutrition treatment programme in Burkina Faso.

Access to treatment for acute malnutrition remains a challenge, in part due to the fragmentation of treatment programmes based on case severity. This paper evaluates utilization patterns, outcomes and associated costs for treating acute malnutrition cases among a cohort of children in Burkina Faso. This study is a secondary analysis of a proof-of-concept trial, called Optimizing treatment for acute Malnutrition (OptiMA), conducted in Burkina Faso in 2016. A total of 4958 eligible children whose mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) was less than 125 mm or with oedema were followed weekly and given ready-to-use therapeutic foods (RUTF). We evaluated the service utilization and outcomes among patients and estimated resource use and variable cost per patient, and examined factors driving variation in resource use. Children with lower initial MUAC level grew faster but required more time to recover than those with higher initial MUAC level. They also had higher rates of death, default and nonresponse. The simplified OptiMA approach for treating acute malnutrition achieved high rates of recovery overall (84%), especially among less severe cases, with modest quantities of RUTF. The average overall variable cost per child admitted was US$38.0 (SD: 20.5) half of which was accounted for by the cost of RUTF. Cost per recovered case was correlated with case severity, ranging from US$35.1 to US$132.8. If simplified integrated programmes using severity-based RUTF dosing can increase access to treatment at earlier, less severe stages of acute malnutrition, they can help avoid more serious and costlier cases.

Modeling the relative risk of incidence and mortality of select vaccine-preventable diseases by wealth group and geographic region in Ethiopia.

Immunization is one of the most effective public health interventions, saving millions of lives every year. Ethiopia has seen gradual improvements in immunization coverage and access to child health care services; however, inequalities in child mortality across wealth quintiles and regions remain persistent. We model the relative distributional incidence and mortality of four vaccine-preventable diseases (VPDs) (rotavirus diarrhea, human papillomavirus, measles, and pneumonia) by wealth quintile and geographic region in Ethiopia. Our approach significantly extends an earlier methodology, which utilizes the population attributable fraction and differences in the prevalence of risk and prognostic factors by population subgroup to estimate the relative distribution of VPD incidence and mortality. We use a linear system of equations to estimate the joint distribution of risk and prognostic factors in population subgroups, treating each possible combination of risk or prognostic factors as computationally distinct, thereby allowing us to account for individuals with multiple risk factors. Across all modeling scenarios, our analysis found that the poor and those living in rural and primarily pastoralist or agrarian regions have a greater risk than the rich and those living in urban regions of becoming infected with or dying from a VPD. While in absolute terms all population subgroups benefit from health interventions (e.g., vaccination and treatment), current unequal levels and pro-rich gradients of vaccination and treatment-seeking patterns should be redressed so to significantly improve health equity across wealth quintiles and geographic regions in Ethiopia.