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1.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 5037, 2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38866743

RESUMO

This study on severe malarial anemia (SMA: Hb < 6.0 g/dL), a leading global cause of childhood morbidity and mortality, compares the entire expressed whole blood host transcriptome between Kenyan children (3-48 mos.) with non-SMA (Hb ≥ 6.0 g/dL, n = 39) and SMA (n = 18). Differential expression analyses reveal 1403 up-regulated and 279 down-regulated transcripts in SMA, signifying impairments in host inflammasome activation, cell death, and innate immune and cellular stress responses. Immune cell profiling shows decreased memory responses, antigen presentation, and immediate pathogen clearance, suggesting an immature/improperly regulated immune response in SMA. Module repertoire analysis of blood-specific gene signatures identifies up-regulation of erythroid genes, enhanced neutrophil activation, and impaired inflammatory responses in SMA. Enrichment analyses converge on disruptions in cellular homeostasis and regulatory pathways for the ubiquitin-proteasome system, autophagy, and heme metabolism. Pathway analyses highlight activation in response to hypoxic conditions [Hypoxia Inducible Factor (HIF)-1 target and Reactive Oxygen Species (ROS) signaling] as a central theme in SMA. These signaling pathways are also top-ranking in protein abundance measures and a Ugandan SMA cohort with available transcriptomic data. Targeted RNA-Seq validation shows strong concordance with our entire expressed transcriptome data. These findings identify key molecular themes in SMA pathogenesis, offering potential targets for new malaria therapies.


Assuntos
Anemia , Transcriptoma , Humanos , Anemia/genética , Anemia/sangue , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Feminino , Malária/sangue , Malária/genética , Quênia , Masculino , Perfilação da Expressão Gênica , Imunidade Inata/genética , Espécies Reativas de Oxigênio/metabolismo , Espécies Reativas de Oxigênio/sangue
2.
PLoS One ; 19(3): e0287161, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38512826

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Molecular surveillance of infectious diseases allows the monitoring of pathogens beyond the granularity of traditional epidemiological approaches and is well-established for some of the most relevant infectious diseases such as malaria. The presence of genetically distinct pathogenic variants within an infection, referred to as multiplicity of infection (MOI) or complexity of infection (COI) is common in malaria and similar infectious diseases. It is an important metric that scales with transmission intensities, potentially affects the clinical pathogenesis, and a confounding factor when monitoring the frequency and prevalence of pathogenic variants. Several statistical methods exist to estimate MOI and the frequency distribution of pathogen variants. However, a common problem is the quality of the underlying molecular data. If molecular assays fail not randomly, it is likely to underestimate MOI and the prevalence of pathogen variants. METHODS AND FINDINGS: A statistical model is introduced, which explicitly addresses data quality, by assuming a probability by which a pathogen variant remains undetected in a molecular assay. This is different from the assumption of missing at random, for which a molecular assay either performs perfectly or fails completely. The method is applicable to a single molecular marker and allows to estimate allele-frequency spectra, the distribution of MOI, and the probability of variants to remain undetected (incomplete information). Based on the statistical model, expressions for the prevalence of pathogen variants are derived and differences between frequency and prevalence are discussed. The usual desirable asymptotic properties of the maximum-likelihood estimator (MLE) are established by rewriting the model into an exponential family. The MLE has promising finite sample properties in terms of bias and variance. The covariance matrix of the estimator is close to the Cramér-Rao lower bound (inverse Fisher information). Importantly, the estimator's variance is larger than that of a similar method which disregards incomplete information, but its bias is smaller. CONCLUSIONS: Although the model introduced here has convenient properties, in terms of the mean squared error it does not outperform a simple standard method that neglects missing information. Thus, the new method is recommendable only for data sets in which the molecular assays produced poor-quality results. This will be particularly true if the model is extended to accommodate information from multiple molecular markers at the same time, and incomplete information at one or more markers leads to a strong depletion of sample size.


Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis , Malária , Humanos , Prevalência , Modelos Estatísticos , Frequência do Gene
3.
J Cell Biochem ; 125(3): e30533, 2024 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38345373

RESUMO

Dihydrofolate reductase (DHFR) is a ubiquitous enzyme that regulates the biosynthesis of tetrahydrofolate among various species of Plasmodium parasite. It is a validated target of the antifolate drug pyrimethamine (Pyr) in Plasmodium falciparum (Pf), but its clinical efficacy has been hampered due to the emergence of drug resistance. This has made the attempt to screen Food & Drug Administration-approved drugs against wild- and mutant PfDHFR by employing an in-silico pipeline to identify potent candidates. The current study has followed a virtual screening approach for identifying potential DHFR inhibitors from DrugBank database, based on a structure similarity search of candidates, followed by absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion estimation. The screened drugs were subjected to various parameters like docking, molecular mechanics with generalized born and surface area solvation calculations, and molecular simulations. We have thus identified two potential drug candidates, duloxetine and guanethidine, which can be repurposed to be tested for their efficacy against wild type and drug resistant falciparum malaria.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos , Antagonistas do Ácido Fólico , Malária , Humanos , Antimaláricos/farmacologia , Antimaláricos/química , Tetra-Hidrofolato Desidrogenase/genética , Tetra-Hidrofolato Desidrogenase/química , Tetra-Hidrofolato Desidrogenase/metabolismo , Preparações Farmacêuticas , Reposicionamento de Medicamentos , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Antagonistas do Ácido Fólico/farmacologia , Antagonistas do Ácido Fólico/química , Resistência a Medicamentos , Ácido Fólico
4.
J Infect Dis ; 2023 Dec 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38041852

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Antimalarial drug resistance surveillance and containment are crucial for countries aiming to eliminate malaria. Monitoring resistance evolution through studies before and after treatment policy changes is crucial. METHOD: A total of 939 P. falciparum-positive blood samples were collected between 2014 and 2015 across ten sites in India, categorized into four geographic clusters. PCR-amplified products were sequenced to identify point mutations at drug-resistance-conferring genes (Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, Pfmdr1, Pfk13). RESULT: Triple Pfdhfr mutants were found only in northeast India bordering Myanmar, while the wildtype was dominant in central India. Pfdhps wildtypes were prevalent in all areas, and no double mutants were found. Except in Northwest India, Pfmdr1 wildtype was dominant in all clusters. Nonsynonymous double mutations were only found in northwest India. Only synonymous mutations occurred in Pfk13. These were found in Central India at low frequency. The pattern of linkage disequilibrium and principal component analysis reflects low pressure for drug resistance and heterogeneity between the geographic clusters. CONCLUSION: Resistance levels were highest in Northeast India, close to the Myanmar border, where resistance is common. Primaquine has been widely used as a gametocidal and schizonticidal drug, has likely contributed to maintaining low drug resistance levels and preventing strong selection for resistance.

5.
BMC Genomics ; 24(1): 542, 2023 Sep 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37704951

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Plasmodium falciparum malaria is a leading cause of pediatric morbidity and mortality in holoendemic transmission areas. Severe malarial anemia [SMA, hemoglobin (Hb) < 5.0 g/dL in children] is the most common clinical manifestation of severe malaria in such regions. Although innate immune response genes are known to influence the development of SMA, the role of natural killer (NK) cells in malaria pathogenesis remains largely undefined. As such, we examined the impact of genetic variation in the gene encoding a primary NK cell receptor, natural cytotoxicity-triggering receptor 3 (NCR3), on the occurrence of malaria and SMA episodes over time. METHODS: Susceptibility to malaria, SMA, and all-cause mortality was determined in carriers of NCR3 genetic variants (i.e., rs2736191:C > G and rs11575837:C > T) and their haplotypes. The prospective observational study was conducted over a 36 mos. follow-up period in a cohort of children (n = 1,515, aged 1.9-40 mos.) residing in a holoendemic P. falciparum transmission region, Siaya, Kenya. RESULTS: Poisson regression modeling, controlling for anemia-promoting covariates, revealed a significantly increased risk of malaria in carriers of the homozygous mutant allele genotype (TT) for rs11575837 after multiple test correction [Incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 1.540, 95% CI = 1.114-2.129, P = 0.009]. Increased risk of SMA was observed for rs2736191 in children who inherited the CG genotype (IRR = 1.269, 95% CI = 1.009-1.597, P = 0.041) and in the additive model (presence of 1 or 2 copies) (IRR = 1.198, 95% CI = 1.030-1.393, P = 0.019), but was not significant after multiple test correction. Modeling of the haplotypes revealed that the CC haplotype had a significant additive effect for protection against SMA (i.e., reduced risk for development of SMA) after multiple test correction (IRR = 0.823, 95% CI = 0.711-0.952, P = 0.009). Although increased susceptibility to SMA was present in carriers of the GC haplotype (IRR = 1.276, 95% CI = 1.030-1.581, P = 0.026) with an additive effect (IRR = 1.182, 95% CI = 1.018-1.372, P = 0.029), the results did not remain significant after multiple test correction. None of the NCR3 genotypes or haplotypes were associated with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Variation in NCR3 alters susceptibility to malaria and SMA during the acquisition of naturally-acquired malarial immunity. These results highlight the importance of NK cells in the innate immune response to malaria.


Assuntos
Anemia , Malária Falciparum , Malária , Humanos , Criança , Anemia/genética , Genótipo , Malária Falciparum/genética , Alelos , Receptor 3 Desencadeador da Citotoxicidade Natural
6.
PNAS Nexus ; 2(8): pgad259, 2023 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37649584

RESUMO

Epidemiological data across the United States of America illustrate health disparities in COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and mortality by race/ethnicity. However, limited information is available from prospective observational studies in hospitalized patients, particularly for American Indian or Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations. Here, we present risk factors associated with severe COVID-19 and mortality in patients (4/2020-12/2021, n = 475) at the University of New Mexico Hospital. Data were collected on patient demographics, infection duration, laboratory measures, comorbidities, treatment(s), major clinical events, and in-hospital mortality. Severe disease was defined by COVID-related intensive care unit requirements and/or death. The cohort was stratified by self-reported race/ethnicity: AI/AN (30.7%), Hispanic (47.0%), non-Hispanic White (NHW, 18.5%), and Other (4.0%, not included in statistical comparisons). Despite similar timing of infection and comparable comorbidities, admission characteristics for AI/AN patients included younger age (P = 0.02), higher invasive mechanical ventilation requirements (P = 0.0001), and laboratory values indicative of more severe disease. Throughout hospitalization, the AI/AN group also experienced elevated invasive mechanical ventilation (P < 0.0001), shock (P = 0.01), encephalopathy (P = 0.02), and severe COVID-19 (P = 0.0002), consistent with longer hospitalization (P < 0.0001). Self-reported AI/AN race/ethnicity emerged as the highest risk factor for severe COVID-19 (OR = 3.19; 95% CI = 1.70-6.01; P = 0.0003) and was a predictor of in-hospital mortality (OR = 2.35; 95% CI = 1.12-4.92; P = 0.02). Results from this study highlight the disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on hospitalized AI/AN patients, who experienced more severe illness and associated mortality, compared to Hispanic and NHW patients, even when accounting for symptom onset and comorbid conditions. These findings underscore the need for interventions and resources to address health disparities in the COVID-19 pandemic.

7.
Front Genet ; 13: 977810, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36186473

RESUMO

Background: Severe malarial anemia (SMA; Hb < 5.0 g/dl) is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality in holoendemic Plasmodium falciparum transmission regions such as western Kenya. Methods: We investigated the relationship between two novel complement component 5 (C5) missense mutations [rs17216529:C>T, p(Val145Ile) and rs17610:C>T, p(Ser1310Asn)] and longitudinal outcomes of malaria in a cohort of Kenyan children (under 60 mos, n = 1,546). Molecular modeling was used to investigate the impact of the amino acid transitions on the C5 protein structure. Results: Prediction of the wild-type and mutant C5 protein structures did not reveal major changes to the overall structure. However, based on the position of the variants, subtle differences could impact on the stability of C5b. The influence of the C5 genotypes/haplotypes on the number of malaria and SMA episodes over 36 months was determined by Poisson regression modeling. Genotypic analyses revealed that inheritance of the homozygous mutant (TT) for rs17216529:C>T enhanced the risk for both malaria (incidence rate ratio, IRR = 1.144, 95%CI: 1.059-1.236, p = 0.001) and SMA (IRR = 1.627, 95%CI: 1.201-2.204, p = 0.002). In the haplotypic model, carriers of TC had increased risk of malaria (IRR = 1.068, 95%CI: 1.017-1.122, p = 0.009), while carriers of both wild-type alleles (CC) were protected against SMA (IRR = 0.679, 95%CI: 0.542-0.850, p = 0.001). Conclusion: Collectively, these findings show that the selected C5 missense mutations influence the longitudinal risk of malaria and SMA in immune-naïve children exposed to holoendemic P. falciparum transmission through a mechanism that remains to be defined.

10.
11.
Trop Med Health ; 50(1): 41, 2022 Jun 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35752805

RESUMO

Plasmodium falciparum infections remain among the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in holoendemic transmission areas. Located within region 5q31.1, the colony-stimulating factor 2 gene (CSF2) encodes granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), a hematopoietic growth factor that mediates host immune responses. Since the effect of CSF2 variation on malaria pathogenesis remains unreported, we investigated the impact of two genetic variants in the 5q31.1 gene region flanking CSF2:g-7032 G > A (rs168681:G > A) and CSF2:g.64544T > C (rs246835:T > C) on the rate and timing of malaria and severe malarial anemia (SMA, Hb < 5.0 g/dL) episodes over 36 months of follow-up. Children (n = 1654, aged 2-70 months) were recruited from a holoendemic P. falciparum transmission area of western Kenya. Decreased incidence rate ratio (IRR) for malaria was conferred by inheritance of the CSF2:g.64544 TC genotype (P = 0.0277) and CSF2 AC/GC diplotype (P = 0.0015). Increased IRR for malaria was observed in carriers of the CSF2 AT/GC diplotype (P = 0.0237), while the inheritance of the CSF2 AT haplotype increased the IRR for SMA (P = 0.0166). A model estimating the longitudinal risk of malaria showed decreased hazard rates among CSF2 AC haplotype carriers (P = 0.0045). Investigation of all-cause mortality revealed that inheritance of the GA genotype at CSF2:g-7032 increased the risk of mortality (P = 0.0315). Higher risk of SMA and all-cause mortality were observed in younger children (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.0015), HIV-1(+) individuals (P < 0.0001 and P < 0.0001), and carriers of HbSS (P = 0.0342 and P = 0.0019). Results from this holoendemic P. falciparum area show that variation in gene region 5q31.1 influences susceptibility to malaria, SMA, and mortality, as does age, HIV-1 status, and inheritance of HbSS.

12.
Math Biosci ; 350: 108832, 2022 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35718220

RESUMO

A deterministic differential equation model for the dynamics of terrestrial forms of mosquito populations is studied. The model assesses the impact of multiple probing attempts by mosquitoes that quest for blood within human populations by including a waiting class for mosquitoes that failed a blood feeding attempt. The equations are derived based on the idea that the reproductive cycle of the mosquito can be viewed as a set of alternating egg laying and blood feeding outcomes realised on a directed path called the gonotrophic cycle pathway. There exists a threshold parameter, the basic offspring number for mosquitoes, whose nature is affected by the way we interpret the transitions involving the different classes on the gonotrophic cycle path. The trivial steady state for the system, which always exists, can be globally asymptomatically stable whenever the threshold parameter is less than unity. The non-trivial steady state, when it exists, is stable for a range of values of the threshold parameter but can also be driven to instability via a Hopf bifurcation. The model's output reveals that the waiting class mosquitoes do contribute positively to sustain mosquito populations as well as increase their interactions with humans via increased frequency and initial amplitude of oscillations. We conclude that to understand human-mosquito interactions, it is informative to consider multiple probing attempts; known to occur when mosquitoes quest for blood meals within human populations.


Assuntos
Culicidae , Malária , Animais , Comportamento Alimentar , Humanos , Modelos Biológicos , Mosquitos Vetores , Oviposição , Dinâmica Populacional
13.
Exp Biol Med (Maywood) ; 247(8): 672-682, 2022 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34842470

RESUMO

Severe malarial anemia (SMA) is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality in holoendemic Plasmodium falciparum transmission regions. To gain enhanced understanding of predisposing factors for SMA, we explored the relationship between complement component 3 (C3) missense mutations [rs2230199 (2307C>G, Arg>Gly102) and rs11569534 (34420G>A, Gly>Asp1224)], malaria, and SMA in a cohort of children (n = 1617 children) over 36 months of follow-up. Variants were selected based on their ability to impart amino acid substitutions that can alter the structure and function of C3. The 2307C>G mutation results in a basic to a polar residue change (Arg to Gly) at position 102 (ß-chain) in the macroglobulin-1 (MG1) domain, while 34420G>A elicits a polar to acidic residue change (Gly to Asp) at position 1224 (α-chain) in the thioester-containing domain. After adjusting for multiple comparisons, longitudinal analyses revealed that inheritance of the homozygous mutant (GG) at 2307 enhanced the risk of SMA (RR = 2.142, 95%CI: 1.229-3.735, P = 0.007). The haplotype containing both wild-type alleles (CG) decreased the incident risk ratio of both malaria (RR = 0.897, 95%CI: 0.828-0.972, P = 0.008) and SMA (RR = 0.617, 95%CI: 0.448-0.848, P = 0.003). Malaria incident risk ratio was also reduced in carriers of the GG (Gly102Gly1224) haplotype (RR = 0.941, 95%CI: 0.888-0.997, P = 0.040). Collectively, inheritance of the missense mutations in MG1 and thioester-containing domain influence the longitudinal risk of malaria and SMA in children exposed to intense Plasmodium falciparum transmission.


Assuntos
Anemia , Complemento C3 , Malária Falciparum , Anemia/genética , Anemia/parasitologia , Criança , Complemento C3/genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Malária Falciparum/complicações , Malária Falciparum/genética , Mutação , Plasmodium falciparum
14.
Front Genet ; 12: 764759, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34880904

RESUMO

Background: Malaria remains one of the leading global causes of childhood morbidity and mortality. In holoendemic Plasmodium falciparum transmission regions, such as western Kenya, severe malarial anemia [SMA, hemoglobin (Hb) < 6.0 g/dl] is the primary form of severe disease. Ubiquitination is essential for regulating intracellular processes involved in innate and adaptive immunity. Although dysregulation in ubiquitin molecular processes is central to the pathogenesis of multiple human diseases, the expression patterns of ubiquitination genes in SMA remain unexplored. Methods: To examine the role of the ubiquitination processes in pathogenesis of SMA, differential gene expression profiles were determined in Kenyan children (n = 44, aged <48 mos) with either mild malarial anemia (MlMA; Hb ≥9.0 g/dl; n = 23) or SMA (Hb <6.0 g/dl; n = 21) using the Qiagen Human Ubiquitination Pathway RT2 Profiler PCR Array containing a set of 84 human ubiquitination genes. Results: In children with SMA, 10 genes were down-regulated (BRCC3, FBXO3, MARCH5, RFWD2, SMURF2, UBA6, UBE2A, UBE2D1, UBE2L3, UBR1), and five genes were up-regulated (MDM2, PARK2, STUB1, UBE2E3, UBE2M). Enrichment analyses revealed Ubiquitin-Proteasomal Proteolysis as the top disrupted process, along with altered sub-networks involved in proteasomal, protein, and ubiquitin-dependent catabolic processes. Conclusion: Collectively, these novel results show that protein coding genes of the ubiquitination processes are involved in the pathogenesis of SMA.

15.
PLoS One ; 16(12): e0261889, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34965279

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The UN's Sustainable Development Goals are devoted to eradicate a range of infectious diseases to achieve global well-being. These efforts require monitoring disease transmission at a level that differentiates between pathogen variants at the genetic/molecular level. In fact, the advantages of genetic (molecular) measures like multiplicity of infection (MOI) over traditional metrics, e.g., R0, are being increasingly recognized. MOI refers to the presence of multiple pathogen variants within an infection due to multiple infective contacts. Maximum-likelihood (ML) methods have been proposed to derive MOI and pathogen-lineage frequencies from molecular data. However, these methods are biased. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Based on a single molecular marker, we derive a bias-corrected ML estimator for MOI and pathogen-lineage frequencies. We further improve these estimators by heuristical adjustments that compensate shortcomings in the derivation of the bias correction, which implicitly assumes that data lies in the interior of the observational space. The finite sample properties of the different variants of the bias-corrected estimators are investigated by a systematic simulation study. In particular, we investigate the performance of the estimator in terms of bias, variance, and robustness against model violations. The corrections successfully remove bias except for extreme parameters that likely yield uninformative data, which cannot sustain accurate parameter estimation. Heuristic adjustments further improve the bias correction, particularly for small sample sizes. The bias corrections also reduce the estimators' variances, which coincide with the Cramér-Rao lower bound. The estimators are reasonably robust against model violations. CONCLUSIONS: Applying bias corrections can substantially improve the quality of MOI estimates, particularly in areas of low as well as areas of high transmission-in both cases estimates tend to be biased. The bias-corrected estimators are (almost) unbiased and their variance coincides with the Cramér-Rao lower bound, suggesting that no further improvements are possible unless additional information is provided. Additional information can be obtained by combining data from several molecular markers, or by including information that allows stratifying the data into heterogeneous groups.


Assuntos
Simulação por Computador , Interpretação Estatística de Dados , Infecções/epidemiologia , Modelos Estatísticos , Viés , Humanos , Funções Verossimilhança
16.
J Cell Biochem ; 122(10): 1326-1336, 2021 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33998049

RESUMO

The emergence and spread of drug resistance in Plasmodium falciparum, the parasite causing the most severe form of human malaria, is a major threat to malaria control and elimination programs around the globe. With P. falciparum having evolved widespread resistance against a number of previously widely used drugs, currently, artemisinin (ART) and its derivatives are the cornerstones of first-line treatments of uncomplicated malaria. However, growing incidences of ART failure reflect the spread of ART-resistant P. falciparum strains. Despite current efforts to understand the primary cause of ART resistance due to mutations in the Kelch 13 gene (PfK13), the mechanism underlying ART resistance is still not completely unclear and no feasible strategies to counteract the causes and thereby restoring the efficiency of ART have been developed. We use a polypharmacology approach to identify potential drugs that can be used for the novel purpose (target). Of note, we have designed a multimodal stratagem to identify approved drugs with a potential antimalarial activity using computational drug reprofiling. Our investigations suggest that oxetacaine, simvastatin, repaglinide, aclidinium, propafenone, and lovastatin could be repurposed for malaria control and prevention.


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/farmacologia , Artemisininas/farmacologia , Reposicionamento de Medicamentos/métodos , Malária Falciparum/tratamento farmacológico , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinase/química , Plasmodium falciparum/efeitos dos fármacos , Proteínas de Protozoários/antagonistas & inibidores , Desenvolvimento de Medicamentos/métodos , Resistência a Medicamentos , Ensaios de Triagem em Larga Escala , Humanos , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Malária Falciparum/patologia , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinase/metabolismo , Plasmodium falciparum/isolamento & purificação , Plasmodium falciparum/patogenicidade
17.
BMC Infect Dis ; 20(1): 859, 2020 Nov 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33213360

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Efficient control and management in the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic needs to carefully balance economical and realizable interventions. Simulation models can play a cardinal role in forecasting possible scenarios to sustain decision support. METHODS: We present a sophisticated extension of a classical SEIR model. The simulation tool CovidSIM Version 1.0 is an openly accessible web interface to interactively conduct simulations of this model. The simulation tool is used to assess the effects of various interventions, assuming parameters that reflect the situation in Austria as an example. RESULTS: Strict contact reduction including isolation of infected persons in quarantine wards and at home can substantially delay the peak of the epidemic. Home isolation of infected individuals effectively reduces the height of the peak. Contact reduction by social distancing, e.g., by curfews, sanitary behavior, etc. are also effective in delaying the epidemic peak. CONCLUSIONS: Contact-reducing mechanisms are efficient to delay the peak of the epidemic. They might also be effective in decreasing the peak number of infections depending on seasonal fluctuations in the transmissibility of the disease.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/patologia , Pneumonia Viral/patologia , Interface Usuário-Computador , Áustria/epidemiologia , Betacoronavirus/isolamento & purificação , COVID-19 , Simulação por Computador , Busca de Comunicante , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Humanos , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , Quarentena , SARS-CoV-2
18.
Malar J ; 19(1): 378, 2020 Oct 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33092587

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) is the only anti-malarial drug formulation approved for intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy (IPTp). However, mutations in the Plasmodium falciparum dhfr (Pfdhfr) and dhps (Pfdhps) genes confer resistance to pyrimethamine and sulfadoxine, respectively. Here, the frequencies of SP resistance-associated mutations from 2005 to 2018 were compared in samples from Kenyan children with malaria residing in a holoendemic transmission region. METHODS: Partial sequences of the Pfdhfr and Pfdhps genes were amplified and sequenced from samples collected in 2005 (n = 81), 2010 (n = 95), 2017 (n = 43), and 2018 (n = 55). The frequency of known mutations conferring resistance to pyrimethamine and sulfadoxine were estimated and compared. Since artemisinin-based combination therapy (ACT) is the current first-line treatment for malaria, the presence of mutations in the propeller domain of P. falciparum kelch13 gene (Pfk13) linked to ACT-delayed parasite clearance was studied in the 2017/18 samples. RESULTS: Among other changes, the point mutation of Pfdhps S436H increased in frequency from undetectable in 2005 to 28% in 2017/18. Triple Pfdhfr mutant allele (CIRNI) increased in frequency from 84% in 2005 to 95% in 2017/18, while the frequency of Pfdhfr double mutant alleles declined (allele CICNI from 29% in 2005 to 6% in 2017/18, and CNRNI from 9% in 2005 to undetectable in 2010 and 2017/18). Thus, a multilocus Pfdhfr/Pfdhps genotype with six mutations (HGEAA/CIRNI), including Pfdhps S436H, increased in frequency from 2010 to 2017/18. Although none of the mutations associated with ACT-delayed parasite clearance was observed, the Pfk13 mutation A578S, the most widespread Pfk13 SNP found in Africa, was detected in low frequency (2.04%). CONCLUSIONS: There were changes in SP resistance mutant allele frequencies, including an increase in the Pfdhps S436H. Although these patterns seem consistent with directional selection due to drug pressure, there is a lack of information to determine the actual cause of such changes. These results suggest incorporating molecular surveillance of Pfdhfr/Pfdhps mutations in the context of SP efficacy studies for intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy (IPTp).


Assuntos
Antimaláricos/farmacologia , Resistência a Medicamentos/genética , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Polimorfismo Genético , Proteínas de Protozoários/genética , Tetra-Hidrofolato Desidrogenase/genética , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Quênia , Mutação , Plasmodium falciparum/efeitos dos fármacos , Proteínas de Protozoários/metabolismo , Tetra-Hidrofolato Desidrogenase/metabolismo
19.
Malar J ; 19(1): 176, 2020 May 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32380999

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria incidence has reached staggering numbers in Venezuela. Commonly, Bolívar State accounted for approximately 70% of the country cases every year. Most cases cluster in the Sifontes municipality, a region characterized by an extractive economy, including gold mining. An increase in migration to Sifontes, driven by gold mining, fueled a malaria spillover to the rest of the country and the region. Here samples collected in 2018 were compared with a previous study of 2003/2004 to describe changes in the parasites population structures and the frequency of point mutations linked to anti-malarial drugs. METHODS: A total of 88 Plasmodium falciparum and 94 Plasmodium vivax isolates were collected in 2018 and compared with samples from 2003/2004 (106 P. falciparum and 104 P. vivax). For P. falciparum, mutations linked to drug resistance (Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, and Pfcrt) and the Pfk13 gene associated with artemisinin delayed parasite clearance, were analysed. To estimate the multiplicity of infection (MOI), and perform P. falciparum and P. vivax population genetic analyses, the parasites were genotyped by using eight standardized microsatellite loci. RESULTS: The P. falciparum parasites are still harbouring drug-resistant mutations in Pfdhfr, Pfdhps, and Pfcrt. However, there was a decrease in the frequency of highly resistant Pfdhps alleles. Mutations associated with artemisinin delayed parasite clearance in the Pfk13 gene were not found. Consistent with the increase in transmission, polyclonal infections raised from 1.9% in 2003/2004 to 39% in 2018 in P. falciparum and from 16.3 to 68% in P. vivax. There is also a decrease in linkage disequilibrium. Bayesian clustering yields two populations linked to the time of sampling, showing that the parasite populations temporarily changed. However, the samples from 2003/2004 and 2018 have several alleles per locus in common without sharing multi-locus genotypes. CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of mutations linked with drug resistance in P. falciparum shows only changes in Pfdhps. Observations presented here are consistent with an increase in transmission from the previously circulating parasites. Following populations longitudinally, using molecular surveillance, provides valuable information in cases such as Venezuela with a fluid malaria situation that is affecting the regional goals toward elimination.


Assuntos
Resistência a Medicamentos/genética , Genes de Protozoários/genética , Malária Falciparum/transmissão , Malária Vivax/transmissão , Plasmodium falciparum/genética , Plasmodium vivax/genética , Antimaláricos/farmacologia , Malária Falciparum/epidemiologia , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , Malária Vivax/parasitologia , Repetições de Microssatélites/genética , Mutação Puntual , Prevalência , Venezuela/epidemiologia
20.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 13(3): e0007310, 2019 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30921317

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Malaria remains endemic in several countries of South America with low to moderate transmission intensity. Regional human migration through underserved endemic areas may be responsible for significant parasite dispersion making the disease resilient to interventions. Thus, the genetic characterization of malarial parasites is an important tool to assess how endemic areas may connect via the movement of infected individuals. Here, four sites in geographically separated areas reporting 80% of the malaria morbidity in Colombia were studied. The sites are located on an imaginary transect line of 1,500 km from the northwest to the south Pacific Coast of Colombia with a minimal distance of 500 km between populations that display noticeable ethnic, economic, epidemiological, and ecological differences. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: A total of 624 Plasmodium vivax samples from the four populations were genotyped by using eight microsatellite loci. Although a strong geographic structure was expected between these populations, only moderate evidence of genetic differentiation was observed using a suite of population genetic analyses. High genetic diversity, shared alleles, and low linkage disequilibrium were also found in these P. vivax populations providing no evidence for a bottleneck or clonal expansions as expected from recent reductions in the transmission that could have been the result of scaling up interventions or environmental changes. These patterns are consistent with a disease that is not only endemic in each site but also imply that there is gene flow among these populations across 1,500 km. CONCLUSION /SIGNIFICANCE: The observed patterns in P. vivax are consistent with a "corridor" where connected endemic areas can sustain a high level of genetic diversity locally and can restore parasite-subdivided populations via migration of infected individuals even after local interventions achieved a substantial reduction of clinical cases. The consequences of these findings in terms of control and elimination are discussed.


Assuntos
Doenças Endêmicas , Variação Genética , Genética Populacional , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , Plasmodium vivax/genética , Algoritmos , Teorema de Bayes , Análise por Conglomerados , Colômbia/epidemiologia , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Frequência do Gene , Genótipo , Geografia , Humanos , Desequilíbrio de Ligação , Malária Vivax/parasitologia , Malária Vivax/prevenção & controle , Repetições de Microssatélites/genética , Plasmodium vivax/isolamento & purificação
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