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Purpose: The aims of the study were to monitor circulating lymphocyte subset counts before and after therapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), and investigate their relationships with patient outcomes. Patients and Methods: Subjects comprised patients with TNM stage I-IVA NPC who underwent radiotherapy. Peripheral venous blood samples were collected before and after treatment. Lymphocyte subset counts were analyzed by flow cytometry. Differences between post-treatment and baseline counts were calculated to determine Δ values. Patients were divided into high and low groups, based on median lymphocyte subset counts; propensity score matching was applied to balance groups. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves and compared using a Log rank test. Relationships between lymphocyte subset counts and patient survival were subjected to Cox regression analysis. Results: Patients with NPC (n=746) were enrolled from 2012-2022. Higher CD8+ and total T cell baseline counts were associated with better 5-year PFS (73.7% vs 63.1%, P=0.002 and 73.8% vs 64.1%, P=0.005, respectively). Similarly, higher Δ values of CD4+ and total T cells were associated with higher 5-year PFS (76.2% vs 63.5%, P=0.001; 74.3% vs 65.4%, P=0.010) and OS (89.8% vs 81.6%, P=0.005; 88.6% vs 82.5%, P=0.009). Multivariate Cox regression revealed that CD8+ (hazard ratio (HR) 0.651, P=0.002) and total T (HR 0.600, P<0.001) cells were significantly associated with PFS. CD4+ (HR 0.708, P=0.038) and total T (HR 0.639, P=0.031) cells were independent prognostic factors for OS. Conclusion: NPC patients with low total or CD8+ T cell counts before treatment had worse prognosis; however, those with more significant decreases in total or CD4+ T cells possibly had better outcomes. T cell counts can be reliable indicators to predict prognosis.
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PURPOSE: Distant metastasis is the main pattern of treatment failure in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT). We aimed to establish and validate a prognostic nomogram to identify patients with a high risk of distant metastasis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 503 patients with nonmetastatic NPC were included in this retrospective study. We established a prognostic nomogram for distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) based on the Cox proportional hazards model. The predictive discriminative ability and accuracy of the nomogram were assessed with the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and calibration curve. The nomogram's clinical utility was also evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier method. The predictive ability of the nomogram was validated in an independent cohort. RESULTS: The multivariate analysis showed that circulating CD4+ T lymphocytes, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), serum ferritin (SF), and N stage were independent prognostic factors for DMFS. Then, we constructed the nomogram based on these factors. The C-indexes of the nomogram for distant metastasis were 0.763 (95% CI: 0.685-0.841) and 0.760 (95% CI: 0.643-0.877) in the training cohort and validation cohort, respectively, which was higher than the 8th TNM staging system (0.672 and 0.677). The calibration curve showed that the prediction results of the nomogram were in high agreement with the actual observation. The ROC curve indicated that the nomogram had a better predictive ability than TNM staging. The DCA also demonstrated that the nomogram was clinically beneficial. In addition, the patients were classified into two different risk groups (high-risk, low-risk) by the nomogram. CONCLUSION: As a supplement to TNM staging, our nomogram could provide a more effective and accurate prognostic prediction of distant metastasis in NPC patients. It has the potential to guide the individualized treatment of patients to improve their survival.
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PURPOSE: We set out to explore the prognostic value of circulating lymphocyte subsets in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) before treatment and to investigate changes in lymphocyte subsets resulting from chemoradiotherapy. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 677 patients with non-metastatic NPC. The cutoff value of lymphocyte subsets was determined by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and the prognostic significance of lymphocyte subsets was evaluated by the Log rank test and Cox proportional hazards model. The endpoints were overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS). Differences in lymphocyte subsets before and after chemoradiotherapy were analyzed by Wilcoxon signed rank test. RESULTS: NPC patients with high levels of CD19+ B cells (>9.55%) had better 5-year OS (90.4% VS 76.8%, P < 0.001), 5-year PFS (85.3% VS 71.6%, P < 0.001) and 5-year DMFS (94% VS 86.8%, P = 0.002) than patients with low levels of CD19+ B cells. Patients with high levels of CD4+ T cells (> 37.05%) had better 5-year PFS (83% VS 74.2%, P = 0.015) and better 5-year DMFS (95.8% VS 86.7%, P < 0.001) than those with low levels of CD4+ T cells. Multivariate analyses indicated that CD19+ B cell was an independent prognostic factor for OS, PFS and DMFS in NPC. And CD4+ T cell was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and DMFS. Within 1 month after chemoradiotherapy, the percentages of CD4+ T cells, CD19+ B cells, and the CD4/CD8 ratio decreased significantly, while the percentages of CD8+ T cells increased significantly. CONCLUSION: NPC patients with low levels of CD19+ B cells or CD4+ T cells before treatment have a poor prognosis. In addition, chemoradiotherapy may reduce the body's immune function in NPC patients.
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PURPOSE: We aimed to construct of a nomogram to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC) with risk stratification using computed tomography (CT) radiomics features and clinical factors. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 311 patients diagnosed with LA-NPC (stage III-IVa) at our hospital between 2010 and 2014 were included. The region of interest (ROI) of the primary nasopharyngeal mass was manually outlined. Independent sample t-test and LASSO-logistic regression were used for selecting the most predictive radiomics features of PFS, and to generate a radiomics signature. A nomogram was built with clinical factors and radiomics features, and the risk stratification model was tested accordingly. RESULTS: In total, 20 radiomics features most associated with prognosis were selected. The radiomics nomogram, which integrated the radiomics signature and significant clinical factors, showed excellent performance in predicting PFS, with C-index of 0.873 (95% CI: 0.803~0.943), which was better than that of the clinical nomogram (C-index, 0.729, 95% CI: 0.620~0.838) as well as of the TNM staging system (C-index, 0.689, 95% CI: 0.592-0.787) in validation cohort. The calibration curves and the decision curve analysis (DCA) plot obtained suggested satisfying accuracy and clinical utility of the model. The risk stratification tool was able to predict differences in prognosis of patients in different risk categories (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: CT-based radiomics features, an in particular, radiomics nomograms, have the potential to become an accurate and reliable tool for assisting with prognosis prediction of LA-NPC.
