Saccular and Fusiform Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms Treated With Endovascular Repair Differ in Presentation and Treatment Threshold: Analyses Using a National Clinical Database in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Saccular abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) are considered to be at higher risk of rupture than fusiform AAAs, but not much is known about the extent of this risk. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the rupture presentation between fusiform and saccular AAAs. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a retrospective cohort study on 27 290 patients who underwent primary endovascular repair for a degenerative AAA between 2016 and 2019, and who were registered in the National Clinical Database in Japan. At operation for nonruptured case, the aneurysm diameter was significantly smaller in saccular AAAs than in fusiform AAAs (median, 44.0 versus 51.0 mm; P<0.001). Similarly, aneurysm diameter at rupture was significantly smaller in saccular AAAs than in fusiform AAAs (median, 55.6 versus 68.0 mm; P<0.001). The likelihood of repair for rupture was significantly higher in saccular AAAs than in fusiform AAAs in the 40- to 54-mm diameter range, in which saccular morphology was found to be an independent risk factor for rupture against fusiform morphology by adjusting for sex and aneurysm diameter (odds ratio, 2.54 [95% CI, 1.75-3.69]). In addition, receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that the cutoff diameter to predict rupture was smaller in saccular AAAs than in fusiform AAAs (50.5 and 59.5 mm, respectively) based on the Youden index. CONCLUSIONS: Saccular AAAs presented at smaller diameters than fusiform AAAs in patients with ruptured AAAs treated with endovascular aortic repair, which supports the idea that saccular AAAs should be treated at smaller diameters.

Requirements for hospitals in Japan to have low operative mortality and failure-to-rescue rates.

Aim: We explored institutional factors in Japan associated with lower operative mortality and failure-to-rescue (FTR) rates for eight major gastrointestinal procedures. Methods: A 22-item online questionnaire was sent to 2119 institutional departments (IDs) to examine the association between institutional factors and operative mortality and FTR rates. IDs were classified according to the number of annual surgeries, board certification status, and locality. In addition, the top 20% and bottom 20% of IDs were identified based on FTR rates and matched with the results of the questionnaire survey. Factors associated with operative mortality were selected by multivariate analysis. Results: Of the 1083 IDs that responded to the questionnaire, 568 (213 382 patients) were included in the analysis. Operative morbidity, operative mortality, and FTR rates in the top 20% and bottom 20% of IDs were 13.1% and 8.4% (p < 0.001), 0.52% and 4.3% (p < 0.001), and 4.0% and 51.2% (p < 0.001), respectively. Based on the patients' background characteristics, the top 20% of IDs handled more advanced cases. No significant difference in locality was seen between better or worse hospital FTR rates, but fewer esophagectomies, hepatectomies, and pancreatoduodenectomies were performed in depopulated areas. Six items were found to be associated with operative mortality by multivariate logistic analysis. Only 50 (8.8%) IDs met all five factors related to better FTR rates. Conclusions: The present findings indicate that several hospital factors surrounding surgical treatment, characterized by abundant human resources, are closely related to better postoperative recovery from severe complications.

Prognostic factors after open and endovascular repair for infected native aneurysms of the abdominal aorta and common iliac artery.

OBJECTIVE: Infected native aneurysms (INAs) of the abdominal aorta and iliac arteries are uncommon, but potentially fatal. Endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) has recently been introduced as a durable treatment option, with outcomes comparable to those yielded by conventional open repair. However, owing to the rarity of the disease, the strengths and limitations of each treatment remain uncertain. The present study aimed to separately assess post-open repair and post-EVAR outcomes and to clarify factors affecting the short-term and late prognosis after each treatment. METHODS: Using a nationwide clinical registry, we investigated 600 patients treated with open repair and 226 patients treated with EVAR for INAs of the abdominal aorta and/or common iliac artery. The relationships between preoperative or operative factors and postoperative outcomes, including 90-day and 3-year mortality and persistent or recurrent aneurysm-related infection, were examined. RESULTS: Prosthetic grafts were used in >90% of patients treated with open repair, and in situ and extra-anatomic arterial reconstruction was performed in 539 and 57 patients, respectively. Preoperative anemia and imaging findings suggestive of aneurysm-enteric fistula were independently associated with poor outcomes in terms of both 3-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.62; P = .046, and HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.12-4.46; P = .022, respectively) and persistent or recurrent infection (odds ratio [OR], 2.16; 95% CI, 1.04-4.49; P = .039, and OR, 4.96; 95% CI, 1.81-13.55; P = .002, respectively) after open repair, whereas omental wrapping or packing and antibiotic impregnation of the prosthetic graft for in situ reconstruction contributed to improved 3-year survival (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.39-0.92; P = .019, and HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.32-0.88; P = .014, respectively). Among patients treated with EVAR, abscess formation adjacent to the aneurysm was significantly associated with the occurrence of persistent or recurrent infection (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.06-4.72; P = .034), whereas an elevated preoperative white blood cell count was predictive of 3-year mortality (HR, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.00-3.13; P = .048). CONCLUSIONS: Profiles of prognostic factors differed between open repair and EVAR in the treatment of INAs of the abdominal aorta and common iliac artery. Open repair may be more suitable than EVAR for patients with concurrent abscess formation.

The Efficacy of an mHealth App in Facilitating Weight Loss Among Japanese Fitness Center Members: Regression Analysis Study.

BACKGROUND: Self-tracking smartphone apps have emerged as promising tools to encourage healthy behaviors. In this longitudinal study, we used gym use data from members of a major fitness club that operates gyms throughout Japan from January 2014 to December 2019. OBJECTIVE: Our objective was to assess the extent to which a health and fitness self-tracking mobile app introduced to gym members on January 1, 2018, contributed to their weight loss. The app allows users to input information regarding diet, sleep, weight, and gym exercise so that they can receive personalized feedback from an artificial intelligence chatbot to improve their health behaviors. METHODS: We used linear regression to quantify the association between app use and weight loss. The primary outcome of the study was the weight loss achieved by each gym user, which was calculated as the difference between their initial and final weights in kilograms, as recorded in the app. Individuals who did not attend the gym or failed to use the mobile app at least twice during the study period were excluded from the analysis. The model accounted for age, gender, distance between the gym and the member's residence, average weekly number of times a member used the gym, user's gym membership length in weeks, average weekly number of times a member input information into the app, and the number of weeks that the app was used at least once. RESULTS: Data from 26,589 participants were analyzed. Statistically significant associations were detected between weight loss and 2 metrics related to app use: the average weekly frequency of use and the total number of weeks in which the app was used at least once. One input per week was found to be associated with a loss of 62.1 (95% CI 53.8-70.5) g, and 1 week of app use was associated with 21.7 (95% CI 20.5-22.9) g of weight loss from the day of the first input to that of the final input to the app. Furthermore, the average number of times that a member used the gym weekly was also shown to be statistically significantly associated with weight loss: 1 use per week was associated with 255.5 (95% CI 228.5-282.6) g of weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: This empirical study demonstrated a significant association between weight loss among gym members and not only the frequency of weekly gym use but also the use of a health and fitness self-tracking app. However, further work is needed to examine the mechanisms through which mobile apps affect health behaviors and to identify the specific app features that are most effective in promoting weight loss.

Report of the 23rd nationwide follow-up survey of primary liver cancer in Japan (2014-2015).

For the 23rd Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan, data from 20 889 newly registered patients and 42 274 previously registered follow-up patients were compiled from 516 institutions over a 2-year period from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2015. Basic statistics compiled for patients newly registered in the 23rd survey were cause of death, past medical history, clinical diagnosis, imaging diagnosis, treatment-related factors, pathological diagnosis, recurrence status, and autopsy findings. Compared with the previous 22nd survey, the population of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was older at the time of clinical diagnosis, had more female patients, had more patients with non-B non-C HCC, had smaller tumor diameter, and was more frequently treated with hepatectomy. Cumulative survival rates were calculated for HCC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (combined HCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma) by treatment type and background characteristics for patients newly registered between 2004 and 2015 whose final outcome was survival or death. The median overall survival and cumulative survival rates for HCC were calculated by dividing patients by combinations of background factors (number of tumors, tumor diameter, Child-Pugh grade, or albumin-bilirubin grade) and by treatment type (hepatectomy, radiofrequency ablation therapy, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy, and systemic therapy). The same values were also calculated according to registration date by dividing patients newly registered between 1978 and 2015 into five time period groups. The data obtained from this nationwide follow-up survey are expected to contribute to advancing clinical research and treatment of primary liver cancer in the world.

Annual report on National Clinical Database 2020 for gastroenterological surgery in Japan.

Aim: The National Clinical Database (NCD) of Japan is a nationwide data entry system for surgery, and it marked its 10th anniversary in 2020. The aim was to present the 2020 annual report of gastroenterological surgery of the NCD. Methods: The data of the surgical procedures stipulated by the training curriculum for board-certified surgeons of the Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery in the NCD from 2011 to 2020 were summarized. Results: In total, 5 622 845 cases, including 593 088 cases in 2020, were extracted from the NCD. The total number of gastroenterological surgeries increased gradually in these 10 years, except for the year 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The annual number of surgeries of each organ, except the pancreas and liver, decreased by 0.4%-13.1% in 2020 compared to 2019. The surgical patients were consistently aging, with more than 20% of all gastroenterological surgeries in 2020 involving patients aged 80 years or older. The participation of board-certified surgeons increased for each organ (75.9%-95.7% in 2020). The rates of endoscopic surgery also increased constantly. Although the incidences of postoperative complications of each organ increased by 0.7%-7.9% in these 10 years, postoperative mortality rates decreased by 0.2%-1.5%. Conclusions: We present here the short-term outcomes of each gastroenterological operative procedure in 2020. This review of the 10-years of NCD data of gastroenterological surgery revealed a consistent increase of the number of surgeries (except for in 2020), especially endoscopic procedures, and aging of the Japanese population. The good safety of Japanese gastroenterological surgeries was also indicated.

Surgical Treatment for Popliteal Artery Entrapment Syndrome in Japan: a Retrospective, Multicentre Study Using a National Clinical Registry.

OBJECTIVE: Surgical treatment is an established method for popliteal artery entrapment syndrome (PAES), which, however, mainly derives from single centre experiences where PAES cases are centralised and treated periodically. This study evaluated clinical outcomes of surgical treatment for PAES in a clinical setting where PAES cases were not centralised. METHODS: Multicentre, retrospective cohort study using a national clinical registry. From a Japanese nationwide clinical registry, data for patients who underwent surgical treatment for PAES between 2013 and 2018, including 58 limbs from 41 institutes, were retrieved and evaluated. Patency was analysed using Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: The mean patient age was 36 ± 19 years, 78% were male, and the incidence of PAES was 0.24 limbs/centre/year, reflecting a clinical setting where PAES cases are not centralised. The most frequent arterial symptom was intermittent claudication (90%). Computed tomography was performed in 57 limbs (98%) for the diagnosis, however active manoeuvres such as dorsiflexion and plantarflexion during the examination was performed in only 13 limbs (22%), and occlusion of the popliteal artery was present in 38 limbs (66%) at diagnosis. Regarding surgical treatment, myotomy alone was performed in only seven limbs (12%), and other limbs were revascularised. Mean follow up was 26 ± 20 months, and surgical treatment was effective as it relieved symptoms in > 96% of limbs, with five year primary and secondary patency of the surgical treatment for PAES of 72% and 93%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Results of surgical treatment were acceptable even in a clinical setting where PAES cases were not centralised. However, a low incidence of active manoeuvres performed during the examination and a high incidence of occlusion at diagnosis suggests there may be delayed or underdiagnosis of PAES in Japan, and increased awareness for PAES is warranted.

Comprehensive registry of esophageal cancer in Japan, 2015.

BACKGROUND: The registration committee for esophageal cancer in the Japan Esophageal Society (JES) has collected the patients' characteristics, treatment, and outcomes of patients who underwent any treatment during 2015 in Japan. METHODS: We analyzed patients' data who had visited the participating hospitals in 2015. We collected the data using the National Clinical Database with a web-based data collection system. We used the Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer 10th edition by JES and the TNM classification by the Union of International Cancer Control (UICC) for cancer staging. RESULTS: A total of 9368 cases were registered from 355 institutions in Japan. Squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma accounted for 86.7% and 7.4%, respectively. The 5-year survival rates of patients treated by endoscopic resection, concurrent chemoradiotherapy, radiotherapy alone, and esophagectomy were 87.2%, 33.5%, 24.2%, and 59.9%, respectively. Esophagectomy was performed in 5172 cases. Minimally invasive approaches were selected for 60.6%, and 54.4% underwent thoracoscopic esophagectomy. The operative mortality (within 30 days after surgery) was 0.79% and the hospital mortality was 2.3%. The survival curves showed an excellent discriminatory ability both in the clinical and pathologic stages by the JES system. The survival of pStage IV was better than IIIC in the UICC system because pStage IV included the patients with supraclavicular lymph node metastasis (M1 LYM). CONCLUSION: We hope this report improves all aspects of diagnosing and treating esophageal cancer in Japan.

Impact of the hospital volume and setting on postoperative complications of surgery for gastroenterological cancers in a regional area of Western Japan.

PURPOSE: A research subgroup was established by the Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery to improve the health care quality in the Chushikoku area of Western Japan. METHODS: The records of four surgical procedures were extracted from the Japanese National Clinical Database and analyzed retrospectively to establish the association between hospital characteristics, defined using a combination of hospital case-volume and patients' hospital travel distance, and the incidences of perioperative complications of ≥ Grade 3 of the Clavien-Dindo classification after gastroenterological surgery. RESULTS: This study analyzed 11,515 cases of distal gastrectomy for gastric cancer, 4,705 cases of total gastrectomy for gastric cancer, 4,996 cases of right hemicolectomy for colon cancer, and 5,243 cases of lower anterior resection for rectal cancer, with composite outcome incidences of 5.6%, 10.2%, 5.5%, and 10.7%, respectively. After adjusting for patient characteristics and surgical procedures, no association was identified between the hospital category and surgical outcomes. CONCLUSION: The findings of our study of the Chushikoku region did not provide positive support for the consolidation and centralization of hospitals, based solely on hospital case volume. Our grouping was unique in that we included patient travel distance in the analysis, but further investigations from other perspectives are needed.

Total Synthesis of Alcyonolide.

The total synthesis of alcyonolide, an antitumor xenicn diterpenoid, has been achieved. The inverse electron demand hetero-Diels-Alder reaction using a dienophile possessing an electron-withdrawing group provided the endo adduct which included a condensed lactone and dihydropyran rings with the desired three stereogenic centers. After introduction of the side chain by the Negishi coupling, the lactone ring was opened to form a Weinreb amide. The sequential transformation including conversion of Weinreb amide to aldehyde, PMB to acetate, and allylation of the aldehyde gave a mixture of separable four diastereomers. The desired stereoisomer was submitted to the 2,2,6,6-tetramethylpiperidine 1-oxyl oxidation, which afforded the δ-lactone and the methyl ketone side chain. Finally, the olefin metathesis of the desired isomer gave racemic alcyonolide.

Factors associated with reversals of COVID-19 vaccination willingness: Results from two longitudinal, national surveys in Japan 2021-2022.

Background: Research characterizing changes of heart with respect to vaccine intention is scarce, and very little research considers those who were initially vaccine willing but became hesitant. Here, we sought to assess the factors related to reversals of vaccine willingness. Methods: We conducted a longitudinal, national survey on vaccination intention among Japanese adults aged 20 years or older, with the first questionnaire performed in February-March 2021 (N = 30,053) and the follow-up in February 2022 (N = 19,195, response rate 63.9%). The study population comprised those who reported vaccine willingness in the first survey, with the outcome variable being development of vaccine hesitancy at follow-up. We performed a regression analysis of vaccination status using sociodemographic, health-related, psychologic/attitudinal, and information-related variables as predictors. We used the sparse group minimax concave penalty (MCP) to select the optimum group of covariates for the logistic regression. Findings: Of 11,118 (57.9%) respondents who previously expressed interest in vaccination, 10,684 (96.1%) and 434 (3.9%) were in the vaccine willing and hesitant groups, respectively. Several covariates were found to significantly predict vaccine hesitancy, including marital status, influenza vaccine history, COVID-19 infection/testing history, engagement in COVID-19 preventive measures, perceived risks/benefits of the COVID-19 vaccine, and attitudes regarding vaccination policies and norms. The use of certain information sources was also associated with vaccine hesitancy. Interpretation: Sociodemographic, health-related, psychologic/attitudinal, and information-related variables predicted the development of vaccine hesitancy among those with prior willingness. Most of these predictors were also associated with vaccination status. Funding: The present work was supported in part by a grant from the Kanagawa Prefectural Government of Japan and by AIST government subsidies.

Characterising reasons for reversals of COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy among Japanese people: One-year follow-up survey.

Background: Vaccine hesitancy is a global public health threat. We present unique data that characterises those who experienced reversals of COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy in Japan. Methods: We administered a questionnaire on vaccination intention among 30053 Japanese adults aged 20 years or older before the COVID-19 vaccination was available to the general population (first survey) and conducted a follow-up survey on vaccination status one year later in February 2022 (second survey). Those who responded in the first survey that they did not intend to be vaccinated or were unsure and then responded in the second survey that they were vaccinated or intend to be vaccinated were asked about the reasons for their change of heart. Based on previous literature and expert opinion, 31 reasons for changing vaccination intention were compiled and respondents were asked to choose which among them applied to themselves, with multiple responses possible. Based on the results of those responses, each individual was then clustered using the Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection (UMAP) dimensionality reduction technique and Ordering Points To Identify the Clustering Structure (OPTICS) algorithm. We then identified unique characteristics among each of the sub-populations (clusters). Findings: In the second survey we received 19195 responses (response rate 63.9%), of which 8077 responded 'no' or 'not sure' in the first survey regarding their intention to be vaccinated. Of these, 5861 responded having received or intending to receive the vaccine (72.6%). We detected six and five sub-populations (clusters) among the 'no' group and 'not sure' group, respectively. The clusters were characterized by perceived benefits of vaccination, including the COVID-19 vaccine, awareness of the COVID-19 vaccination status of those close to them, recognition of the social significance of COVID-19 vaccination for the spread of infection, and dispelled concerns about short-term adverse reactions and the safety of the COVID-19 vaccine. Work and personal relationship reasons were also found to be a unique overarching reason for vaccination changes of heart only among those who did not intend to vaccinate. Interpretation: Those who changed their intention to accept COVID-19 vaccination as well as their unique characteristics as detailed in this study will be important entry points when discussing how to promote vaccination to those who are hesitant to vaccinate in the future. Funding: The present work was supported in part by a grant from the Kanagawa Prefectural Government of Japan and by AIST government subsidies.

Current status of primary liver cancer and decompensated cirrhosis in Japan: launch of a nationwide registry for advanced liver diseases (REAL).

BACKGROUND: We developed a nationwide database that stores data of patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC) on an admission basis. METHODS: A database was constructed using the National Clinical Database, a nationwide registry platform for various diseases in Japan. Mutual data exchange was possible with the Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan. The stored data on the admission of patients with PLC, DC, or both, included treatment details as well as patient characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 37,705 admissions (29,489 PLC, 10,077 DC, and 1862 for both) in 21,376 patients from 224 hospitals were analyzed. The proportions of patients with hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and non-viral etiology were 11.9%, 36.2%, and 42.6%, respectively, in PLC, and 7.5%, 23.8%, and 55.0%, respectively, in DC. The mean ages (± standard deviation) on admission with PLC and DC were 73 ± 10 and 68 ± 13 years, respectively. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage for PLC was 0, A, B, C, and D in 22.0%, 17.1%, 29.6%, 15.1%, and 5.1%, respectively. Treatment modalities for PLC were resection, ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and systemic therapy in 18.4%, 22.8%, 33.7%, and 11.4%, respectively. A vasopressin receptor V2 antagonist was used in 38.2% in addition to conventionally used loop diuretics and aldosterone antagonists for DC. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of treatment options for PLC on admission differed from that of the initial treatment. Newly introduced drugs are widely used in patients with DC.

Survey Regarding Gastrointestinal Stoma Construction and Closure in Japan.

Background and Aim: In Japan, the actual number of stoma constructions and stoma closures is not known. The aim of this study was to conduct a survey to determine the number of gastrointestinal stoma constructions and closures in Japan. Methods: Enrolled participants comprised patients undergoing selected gastrointestinal surgeries who were recorded in the National Clinical Database. This database uses the "Common Items for Gastrointestinal Surgeons." These procedures were formulated by the Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery during 2013-2018. Results: According to the National Clinical Database, a total of 154,323 gastrointestinal stomas were constructed between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2018. By procedure, there were 78,723 cases of stoma construction, 39,653 of abdominoperineal resection, 2470 total pelvic exenteration procedures, and 33,572 Hartmann's procedures. The ratio of stoma closures to stoma constructions increased annually in patients under 70 y of age but not in older patients. Approximately 35% of total colectomies, 60% of proctocolectomies, and 20% of low anterior resections were accompanied by stoma construction. The number of patients with rectal cancer who underwent colostomy increased gradually during the study period and the number who underwent stoma construction increased among older patients. Conclusion: The number of cases of gastrointestinal stoma construction has increased gradually in Japan, and the proportion of older patients is increasing each year. The purposes and surgical techniques for stoma construction are diverse and are expected to increase in Japan, a super-aged society.

Comprehensive registry of esophageal cancer in Japan, 2014.

BACKGROUND: The registration committee for esophageal cancer in the Japan Esophageal Society (JES) has collected the patients' characteristics, treatment, and outcomes annually. METHODS: We analyzed the data of patients who had visited the participating hospitals in 2014. We collected the data with a web-based data collection system using the National Clinical Database. We used the Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer 10th edition by JES and the TNM classification 7th edition by the Union of International Cancer Control (UICC) for cancer staging. RESULTS: A total of 9026 cases were registered from 344 institutions in Japan. Squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma accounted for 87.9% and 7.1%, respectively. The 5-year survival rates of patients treated using endoscopic resection, concurrent chemoradiotherapy, radiotherapy alone, and esophagectomy were 87.1%, 33.7%, 25.3%, and 59.3%, respectively. Esophagectomy was performed in 5204 cases. Concerning the approach used for esophagectomy, 48.1% of the cases were treated thoracoscopically. The operative mortality (within 30 days after surgery) was 0.75%, and the hospital mortality was 2.0%. The survival curves showed an excellent discriminatory ability both in the clinical and pathologic stages by the JES system. The survival of pStage IV was better than IIIC in the UICC system, because pStage IV included the patients with supraclavicular lymph-node metastasis (M1 LYM). CONCLUSION: We hope that this report contributes to improving all aspects of diagnosing and treating esophageal cancer in Japan.

Geriatric Risk Prediction Models for Major Gastroenterological Surgery Using the National Clinical Database in Japan: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of geriatric variables on 5 newly added outcomes and create risk models for predicting these outcomes. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Because there is a current lack of geriatric research focusing on geriatric outcomes using a national surgical database in Japan, there is a need to investigate outcomes associated with major gastro-enterological surgery using these data. METHODS: This multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted at 26 surgery departments across 21 institutions in Japan using the NCD surgical registry. in total, 22 new geriatric variables were imported from the ACS National Surgical Quality Improvement Program geriatric pilot study. The following 5 geriatric outcomes were defined: (1) postoperative delirium, (2) physical function on postoperative day 30, (3) fall risk on discharge, (4) discharge other than home with social service, and (5) functional decline on discharge, and geriatric risk prediction models for major gastroenterological surgery were created. RESULTS: Between January 2018 and December 2018, data on 3981 procedures from 7 major gastroenterological surgeries were collected and analyzed. Older age and preoperative geriatric variables (Origin status from home, History of dementia, Use of mobility aid, fall history, and not competent on admission) were strongly associated with postoperative outcomes. Geriatric risk prediction models for these outcomes were created, with C-statistic values ranging from 0.74 to 0.90, demonstrating model validity and sufficiency of fit. CONCLUSIONS: The risk models for the newly defined 5 geriatric outcomes that we created can be used in the decision-making process or provision of care in geriatric patients.

Association between prehospital transfer distance and surgical mortality in emergency thoracic aortic surgery.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether there is an association between prehospital transfer distance and surgical mortality in emergency thoracic aortic surgery. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study using a national clinical database in Japan was conducted. Patients who underwent emergency thoracic aortic surgery from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2016, were included. Patients with type B dissection were excluded. A multilevel logistic regression analysis was performed to examine the association between prehospital transfer distance and surgical mortality. In addition, an instrumental variable analysis was performed to address unmeasured confounding. RESULTS: A total of 12,004 patients underwent emergency thoracic aortic surgeries at 495 hospitals. Surgical mortality was 13.8%. The risk-adjusted mortality odds ratio for standardized distance (mean 12.8 km, standard deviation 15.2 km) was 0.94 (95% confidence interval, 0.87-1.01; P = .09). Instrumental variable analysis did not reveal a significant association between transfer distance and surgical mortality as well. CONCLUSIONS: No significant association was found between surgical mortality and prehospital transfer distance in emergency thoracic aortic surgery cases. Suspected cases of acute thoracic aortic syndrome may be transferred safely to distant high-volume hospitals.

Report of the 22nd nationwide follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan (2012-2013).

In the 22nd Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan, data from 21 155 newly registered patients and 43 041 previously registered follow-up patients were compiled from 538 institutions over a 2-year period from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2013. Basic statistics compiled for patients newly registered in the 22nd survey were cause of death, past medical history, clinical diagnosis, imaging diagnosis, treatment-related factors, pathologic diagnosis, recurrence status and autopsy findings. Compared with the previous 21st survey, the population of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was older at the time of clinical diagnosis, had more female patients, more patients with non-B non-C HCC, smaller tumor diameter and was more frequently treated with hepatectomy. Cumulative survival rates were calculated for HCC, intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and combined hepatocellular cholangiocarcinoma (combined HCC and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma) by treatment type and background characteristics for patients newly registered between 2002 and 2013 whose final outcome was survival or death. Median overall survival and cumulative survival rates for HCC were calculated by dividing patients by combinations of background factors (number of tumors, tumor diameter or Child-Pugh grade) and by treatment type (hepatectomy, radiofrequency ablation therapy, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy and systemic therapy). The same values were also calculated according to registration date by dividing patients newly registered between 1978 and 2013 into five time period groups. The data obtained from this nationwide follow-up survey are expected to contribute to advancing clinical research and treatment of primary liver cancer worldwide.

Surgical outcomes in gastroenterological surgery in Japan: Report of the National Clinical Database 2011-2019.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to present the 2019 annual report of the gastroenterological section of the National Clinical Database (NCD). METHODS: We reviewed 609,589 cases recorded in 2019 and 5,029,764 cases registered from 2011 to 2019 for the 115 selected gastroenterological surgical procedures. RESULTS: The main features of gastroenterological surgery in Japan were similar to those described in the 2018 annual report, namely, that 1) operative numbers gradually increased in all procedures, except gastrectomy and hepatectomy, which decreased in these years; 2) in all eight major gastroenterological surgeries, the age distribution tended toward older patients; 3) the morbidity of esophagectomy, hepatectomy, and pancreaticoduodenectomy increased, but mortality was minimized in all procedures; 4) all eight major gastroenterological procedures have increasingly been performed under laparoscopy; and 5) board-certified surgeons were increasingly involved. These trends in recent years were more prominent in 2019. CONCLUSIONS: Thanks to the continuous cooperation and dedication of the surgeons, medical staff, and surgical clinical reviewers who registered the clinical data into the NCD, it is possible to understand the comprehensive landscape of surgery in Japan and to disclose new evidence in this field. The Japanese Society of Gastroenterological Surgery will continue to promote the value of this database and encourage the use of feedback and clinical studies using the NCD, now and in the future. Generating further approaches to surgical quality improvement are important directions for future research.