Estimating survival in advanced cancer: a comparison of estimates made by oncologists and patients.

PURPOSE: To compare estimates of expected survival time (EST) made by patients with advanced cancer and their oncologists. METHODS: At enrolment patients recorded their "understanding of how long you may have to live" in best-case, most-likely, and worst-case scenarios. Oncologists estimated survival time for each of their patients as the "median survival of a group of identical patients". We hypothesized that oncologists' estimates of EST would be unbiased (~ 50% longer or shorter than the observed survival time [OST]), imprecise (< 33% within 0.67 to 1.33 times OST), associated with OST, and more accurate than patients' estimates of their own survival. RESULTS: Twenty-six oncologists estimated EST for 179 patients. The median estimate of EST was 6.0 months, and the median OST was 6.2 months. Oncologists' estimates were unbiased (56% longer than OST), imprecise (27% within 0.67 to 1.33 times OST), and significantly associated with OST (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.93, p < 0.01). Only 41 patients (23%) provided a numerical estimate of their survival with 107 patients (60%) responding "I don't know". The median estimate by patients for their most-likely scenario was 12 months. Patient estimates of their most-likely scenario were less precise (17% within 0.67 to 1.33 times OST) and more likely to overestimate survival (85% longer than OST) than oncologist estimates. CONCLUSION: Oncologists' estimates were unbiased and significantly associated with survival. Most patients with advanced cancer did not know their EST or overestimated their survival time compared to their oncologist, highlighting the need for improved prognosis communication training. Trial registration ACTRN1261300128871.

Author Correction: Chemotherapy with radiotherapy influences time-to-development of radiation-induced sarcomas: a multicenter study.

Since the publication of this paper, the authors noticed an error in Fig. 1. The X-axis on all the figure panels should read 'Time (years)', not 'Time (months)'. The corrected Fig. 1 is shown below.

Chemotherapy with radiotherapy influences time-to-development of radiation-induced sarcomas: a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: An increasing number and proportion of cancer patients with apparently localised disease are treated with chemotherapy and radiation therapy in contemporary oncology practice. In a pilot study of radiation-induced sarcoma (RIS) patients, we demonstrated that chemotherapy was associated with a reduced time to development of RIS. We now present a multi-centre collaborative study to validate this association. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of RIS cases across five large international sarcoma centres between 1 January 2000 to 31 December 2014. The primary endpoint was time to development of RIS. RESULTS: We identified 419 patients with RIS. Chemotherapy for the first malignancy was associated with a shorter time to RIS development (HR 1.37; 95% CI: 1.08-1.72; P=0.009). In the multi-variable model, older age (HR 2.11; 95% CI 1.83-2.43; P<0.001) and chemotherapy for the first malignancy (HR 1.61; 95% CI 1.26-2.05; P<0·001) were independently associated with a shorter time to RIS. Anthracyclines and alkylating agents significantly contribute to the effect. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms an association between chemotherapy given for the first malignancy and a shorter time to development of RIS.

Outcomes of patients with non-melanoma solid tumours receiving self-funded pembrolizumab at Chris O'Brien Lifehouse.

BACKGROUND: Immunotherapy agents show anti-cancer activity in several solid cancers. Efficacy in non-melanoma solid tumours for non-approved indications is unknown. AIM: To evaluate patient and disease characteristics, rate and duration of response, and toxicity of self-funded pembrolizumab in patients with non-melanoma solid cancers. METHOD: Retrospective review describing outcomes and toxicity of self-funded pembrolizumab in patients with non-melanoma solid cancers treated at Chris O'Brien Lifehouse. RESULTS: From April 2015 to December 2015, 21 patients received or were planned to receive self-funded pembrolizumab. The median age was 50 years (16-76), 28 and 10% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 2, and 3-4 respectively. Sixty-two percent received at least two to four lines of prior drug treatment. Median follow-up was 3.0 months (range, 0.4-9.6). Fourteen (67%) patients requested pembrolizumab. Pembrolizumab was clinician offered for 7 (33%) patients. Patients who requested pembrolizumab had worse outcomes. Three patients died before receiving pembrolizumab. Of the 18 patients that received at least one dose, a partial response was observed in 3 (17%). Progressive disease occurred in 83%. Four patients received only one cycle of pembrolizumab and died after a median of 27 days (range 13-43). Immune-related adverse events of any grade occurred in 33%. No grade 3-4 events were observed. CONCLUSION: Pembrolizumab was well tolerated. Meaningful responses were observed in 17% of treated patients. Response continues after 5-6.5 months follow-up in 11% and >8 months of follow-up for the other responding patient. Financial impact to the patient can be substantial. Outcomes for 33% were poor with three patients dying prior to receiving therapy and four dying within weeks of receiving one dose. This highlights issues regarding the careful selection of patients, futility of anti-cancer therapy at the end-of-life and patients' perceived benefit of receiving this therapy.

Immigrants' perceptions of the quality of their cancer care: an Australian comparative study, identifying potentially modifiable factors.

BACKGROUND: Recent data show a falling cancer mortality in the general population without a similar shift in immigrant outcomes, leading to a greater cancer burden and mortality for immigrants. Our aims were to compare perceived patterns of care in immigrants and native-born cancer patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a hospital-based sample of first-generation immigrants and Australian-born Anglo patients in the first year following diagnosis. It was restricted to Chinese, Arabic, or Greek speakers. Eligible participants, recruited via 16 oncology clinics, were over 18, with cancer (any type or stage), and having commenced treatment at least 1 month previously. Five hundred and seventy-one CALD patients (comprising 145 Arabic, 248 Chinese, and 178 Greek) and a control group of 274 Anglo-Australian patients participated. RESULTS: Immigrants had difficulty communicating with the doctor (73% versus 29%) and understanding the health system (38% versus 10%). Differences were found in 'difficulty knowing who to see' (P = 0.0002), 'length of time to confirm diagnosis' (P = 0.04), wanting more choice about a specialist and hospital (P < 0.0001); being offered the opportunity to see a counselor (P < 0.0001); and actually seeing one (P < 0.0001). There were no significant self-reported differences regarding how cancer was detected, time to see a health professional, or type first seen; however, immigrants reported difficulty knowing who to see. Previous studies showed differences in patterns of care according to socioeconomic status (SES) and educational level. Despite adjusting for age, sex, education, marital status, SES, time since diagnosis, and type of cancer, we did not find significant differences. Instead, we found that understanding of the health system and confidence understanding English were important factors. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed that immigrants with cancer perceive an inferior quality of cancer care. We highlight potentially modifiable factors including assistance in navigating the health system, translated information, and cultural competency training for health professionals.

Limb preservation surgery with extracorporeal irradiation in the management of malignant bone tumor: the oncological outcomes of 101 patients.

BACKGROUND: En bloc resection, extracorporeal irradiation (ECI) and reimplantation have been used selectively at our centers as part of limb preservation surgery of malignant bone tumors since 1996. We report the long-term oncological outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred one patients were treated with ECI at two Australian centers between 1996 and 2011. A single dose of 50 Gy was delivered to the resected bone segments. The irradiated bones were reimplanted immediately as a biological graft. Patients were treated with chemotherapy as per standard protocol. The three main histological diagnoses were Ewing's sarcoma (35), osteosarcoma (37) and chondrosarcoma (20). There were nine patients with a range of different histologies. RESULTS: There was one local recurrence (2.86%) in Ewing's sarcoma and the 5-year cumulative overall survival was 81.9%. There was no local recurrence in osteosarcoma and five distant recurrences. The 5-year cumulative overall survival was 85.7%. The local recurrence rate was 20% (4 of 20) in chondrosarcoma, and the 5-year cumulative overall survival was 80.8%. Limb preservation was achieved in 97 patients. For the 64 patients with disease in the pelvis or lower limb, 53 (82.3%) could walk without aids at the time of last follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This large series of ECI shows an excellent long-term local control. It is a good alternative reconstruction method in selected patients. The overall survival is comparable to other published series.

Physician-patient-companion communication and decision-making: a systematic review of triadic medical consultations.

OBJECTIVE: To systematically review quantitative and qualitative studies exploring physician-adult patient-adult companion (triadic) communication and/or decision-making within all medical encounters. METHODS: Studies were identified via database searches and reference lists. One author assessed eligibility of studies, verified by two co-authors. Data were extracted by one author and cross-checked for accuracy. Two authors assessed the quality of included articles using standardized criteria. RESULTS: Of the 8409 titles identified, 52 studies were included. Summary statements and tables were developed for each of five identified themes. Results indicated companions regularly attended consultations, were frequently perceived as helpful, and assumed a variety of roles. However, their involvement often raised challenges. Patients with increased need were more often accompanied. Some companion behaviours were felt to be more helpful (e.g. informational support) and less helpful (e.g. dominating/demanding behaviours), and preferences for involvement varied widely. CONCLUSION: Triadic communication in medical encounters can be helpful but challenging. Based on analysis of included studies, preliminary strategies for health professionals are proposed. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Preliminary strategies for health professionals include (i) encourage/involve companions, (ii) highlight helpful companion behaviours, (iii) clarify and agree upon role preferences of patient/companions. Future studies should develop and evaluate specific strategies for optimizing triadic consultations.

Using scenarios to explain life expectancy in advanced cancer: attitudes of people with a cancer experience.

PURPOSE: We sought the attitudes of people with a cancer experience to using best case, worst case, and typical scenarios for survival to explain life expectancy. METHODS: Oncology clinic attendees and Breast Cancer Network Australia (BCNA) members completed a survey describing two formats for explaining life expectancy to a hypothetical patient with advanced cancer-providing either three scenarios for survival or just the median survival time. RESULTS: Characteristics of the 505 respondents from outpatient clinics (n = 251) and BCNA (n = 254) were median age of 58 years, female 74 %, and breast primary 64 %. More respondents agreed that explaining three scenarios (vs. median survival) would make sense (93 vs. 75 %), be helpful (93 vs. 69 %), convey hope (68 vs. 44 %), and reassure (60 vs. 40 %), while fewer respondents agreed that explaining three scenarios (vs. median survival) would upset people (24 vs. 36 %); all p values < 0.001. Most respondents agreed that each scenario should be presented: best case 89 %, worst case 82 %, and typical 92 %. For information about their own prognosis, 88 % preferred all three scenarios and 5 % a single estimate of the median. Respondents with higher education were more likely to agree that presenting three scenarios would be helpful (95 vs. 90 %, p = 0.05). Respondents with breast cancer were more likely to agree that explaining three scenarios would upset people (31 vs. 13 %, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Most respondents judged presentation of best case, worst case, and typical scenarios preferable and more helpful and reassuring than presentation of just the median survival time when explaining life expectancy to patients with advanced cancer.

Estimating typical, best-case and worst-case life expectancy scenarios for patients starting chemotherapy for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: a systematic review of contemporary randomized trials.

INTRODUCTION: We sought to estimate life expectancy scenarios for patients starting chemotherapy for advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: We searched for randomized first-line chemotherapy trials published from January 2000 to April 2008. We recorded median time to progression (TTP) and median overall survival (OS) and extracted the following percentiles (represented scenario) from each OS curve: 90th (worst-case), 75th (lower-typical), 25th (upper-typical) and 10th (best-case). For each OS curve we divided these percentiles (scenarios) in turn by the median to determine if a simple relationship existed between each scenario and the median. RESULTS: From 60 trials (29,657 patients), the mean for median TTP was 4.8 months (interquartile range [IQR] 4.0-5.3), the mean for median OS was 9.2 months (IQR 8.1-10.1) and the mean ratio for median OS to median TTP was 2.0 (IQR 1.7-2.2). The mean (IQR) in months for each OS scenario was: worst-case, 2.4 (1.9-2.7); lower-typical, 4.8 (4.2-5.4); upper-typical, 16.3 (14.4-18.1); and best-case, 25 (21.0-28.0). The mean values (IQR) for each scenario divided by the median were: worst-case/median 0.26 (0.21-0.29); lower-typical/median 0.53 (0.5-0.57); upper-typical/median 1.81 (1.69-1.93) and best-case/median 2.84 (2.57-3.19). These values can be approximated by the simple multiples: 0.25, 0.5, 2 and 3. Independent predictors of longer OS were ECOG PS<2, adenocarcinoma, and longer TTP; all p-values<0.001. CONCLUSION: Simple multiples of an OS curve's median provided accurate estimates of typical (half to double the median), best-case (triple the median), and worst-case (one quarter of the median) life expectancy scenarios for patients starting chemotherapy for advanced NSCLC.

Impact of a cancer clinical trials web site on discussions about trial participation: a cluster randomized trial.

BACKGROUND: Cancer patients want access to reliable information about currently recruiting clinical trials. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Oncologists and their patients were randomly assigned to access a consumer-friendly cancer clinical trials web site [Australian Cancer Trials (ACT), www.australiancancertrials.gov.au] or to usual care in a cluster randomized controlled trial. The primary outcome, measured from audio recordings of oncologist-patient consultations, was the proportion of patients with whom participation in any clinical trial was discussed. Analysis was by intention-to-treat accounting for clustering and stratification. RESULTS: Thirty medical oncologists and 493 patients were recruited. Overall, 46% of consultations in the intervention group compared with 34% in the control group contained a discussion about clinical trials (P=0.08). The mean consultation length in both groups was 29 min (P=0.69). The proportion consenting to a trial was 10% in both groups (P=0.65). Patients' knowledge about randomized trials was lower in the intervention than the control group (mean score 3.0 versus 3.3, P=0.03) but decisional conflict scores were similar (mean score 42 versus 43, P=0.83). CONCLUSIONS: Good communication between patients and physicians is essential. Within this context, a web site such as Australian Cancer Trials may be an important tool to encourage discussion about clinical trial participation.

A case of uterine tumour resembling ovarian sex cord tumour responding to second-line, single agent anastrazole.

Uterine tumour resembling ovarian sex cord tumour (UTROSCT) are a histological variant of endometrial stromal sarcomas (ESS). There is no established medical management of metastatic UTROSCT or ESS, although there is evidence supporting the use of hormonal therapy. Given the success of aromatase inhibitors in breast cancer, their potential role in ESS and UTROSCT is of current interest. We report the first case of response to second-line, single agent anastrazole in a patient with metastatic UTROSCT.

An examination of the initial cancer consultation of medical and radiation oncologists using the Cancode interaction analysis system.

This study provides an analysis of the structure of the initial cancer consultation, the consultation styles of medical and radiation oncologists, and their effect on patient outcomes. One hundred and fifty-five cancer patients attending their first consultation with either a medical or radiation oncologist were audiotaped and the transcripts were analysed using the Cancode computer interaction analysis system. Findings revealed that medical oncologists allowed patients and their families more input into the consultation and were rated as warmer and more patient-centred compared with radiation oncologists. However, radiation oncologists spent a longer period discussing, and were more likely to bring up, social support issues with patients. Both medical and radiation oncologists varied their consultation style according to the patient's gender, age, anxiety levels, prognosis, and education. Patients seeing an oncologist who was rated as warmer and discussed a greater number of psychosocial issues had better psychological adjustment and reduced anxiety after consultation. These findings provide current evidence that may be used to inform improvements of communication skills training for oncologists and highlight the need for future communication research to separately consider oncologists from different disciplines.

Enhancing treatment decision-making: pilot study of a treatment decision aid in stage IV non-small cell lung cancer.

We developed a decision aid (DA) for patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), to better inform patients of their prognosis and treatment options, and facilitate involvement in decision-making. In a pilot study, 20 patients with metastatic NSCLC attending outpatient clinics at a major cancer centre, who had already made a treatment decision, reviewed acceptability of the DA. The median age of the patients was 61 years (range 37-77 years), 35% were male, 20% had a university education, and most (75%) had English as a first language. Most had received chemotherapy, with 65% currently on treatment. Patients were not anxious at baseline and had clear understanding of the goals and toxicity of chemotherapy in advanced NSCLC. After reviewing the DA, patients' anxiety decreased slightly (P=0.04) and knowledge scores improved by 25% (P<0.001). Most improvements in understanding were of prognosis with and without chemotherapy, although patients still believed advanced NSCLC to be curable. Patients rated the DA highly with respect to information clarity, usefulness and were positive about its use in practice, although 40% found the prognostic information slightly upsetting. The DA for advanced NSCLC is feasible, acceptable to patients and improves understanding of advanced NSCLC without increasing patient anxiety.

Prostaglandin F2-alpha receptor regulation in human uterine myocytes.

Investigations of the modulation of prostaglandin F(2alpha) receptor (FP) expression in primary cultures of human uterine myocytes showed that FP mRNA expression was reduced by progesterone, unaltered by cAMP (8-bromo cAMP or forskolin), but increased by the PKA antagonist H89. Interleukin (IL)-1beta, tumour necrosis factor-alpha and oxytocin increased FP mRNA expression and IL-6 and prostaglandin E(2) reduced FP mRNA expression. The changes in FP protein levels were similar to the mRNA responses. We found that the IL-1beta-induced increase in FP expression was mediated at least in part via protein kinase C (PKC), but was independent of mitogen-activated protein kinase, phospholipase C and PI3 kinase. Since IL-1beta activates NFkappaB, AP-1 and C/EBP, we over-expressed these transcription factors alone and in combination and found that only NFkappaB alone increased FP mRNA expression. Finally, we found that the IL-1beta-induced increase in FP expression was unaffected by progesterone and/or cAMP, but was accentuated by H89. These data suggest that the pregnancy-induced down-regulation in myometrial FP expression is mediated by progesterone and cAMP and that the increase with labour is induced by inflammatory cytokine activation of PKC and NFkappaB.

The context influences doctors' support of shared decision-making in cancer care.

Most cancer patients in westernised countries now want all information about their situation, good or bad, and many wish to be involved in decision-making. The attitudes to and use of shared decision-making (SDM) by cancer doctors is not well known. Australian cancer clinicians treating breast, colorectal, gynaecological, haematological, or urological cancer were surveyed to identify their usual approach to decision-making and their comfort with different decision-making styles when discussing treatment with patients. A response rate of 59% resulted in 624 complete surveys, which explored usual practice in discussing participation in decision-making, providing information, and perception of the role patients want to play. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify predictors of use of SDM. Most cancer doctors (62.4%) reported using SDM and being most comfortable with this approach. Differences were apparent between reported high comfort with SDM and less frequent usual practice. Multivariate analysis showed that specialisation in breast or urological cancers compared to other cancers (AOR 3.02), high caseload of new patients per month (AOR 2.81) and female gender (AOR 1.87) were each independently associated with increased likelihood of use of SDM. Barriers exist to the application of SDM by doctors according to clinical situation and clinician characteristics.

Seeking informed consent to cancer clinical trials; evaluating the efficacy of doctor communication skills training.

INTRODUCTION: Clinical trials have come to be regarded as the gold standard for treatment evaluation. However, many doctors and their patients experience difficulties when discussing trial participation, leading to poor accrual to trials and questionable quality of informed consent. We have previously developed a communication skills training program based on a typology for ethical communication about Phase II and III clinical trials within four categories. The training program consisted of a 1 day experiential workshop that included didactic teaching, exemplary video and role play. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of the communication skills training workshop. METHOD: Oncologists were recruited from three major teaching hospitals conducting oncology outpatient clinics in three Australian capital cities. Ten oncologists and 90 of their adult cancer patients who were eligible for a Phase II or III clinical trial participated. Ninety informed consent consultations were audiotaped before (n = 59) and after (n = 31) training, and fully transcribed. The presence or absence of each domain component was coded and these were summed within categories. A coding manual was produced which enabled standardization of the coding procedure. Patients completed questionnaires before and after the consultation, and doctors completed a short measure of satisfaction after the consultation. RESULTS: Doctors increased their use of some aspects of shared decision-making behavior (t(87) = -1.945, p = 0.05) and described some aspects of essential ethical/clinical information more commonly. In addition they used less coercive behaviors (z = -1.976, p = 0.048). However, they did not provide more clinical information or structure their consultations in the recommended fashion. Patients in the post-training cohort reported more positive attitudes to clinical trials, but other outcomes were not affected by the intervention. CONCLUSIONS: This short training programme demonstrated limited success in improving the oncologist's communication skills when gaining informed consent. A larger randomized controlled trial of extended training is now underway.

Consumer impact of an interactive decision aid for rectal cancer patients offered adjuvant therapy.

OBJECTIVE: There is increasing interest in the use of decision aids (DAs) to facilitate patient involvement in clinical decisions. This study explored the views of patients with colorectal cancer and participants in a community bowel screening service regarding an interactive DA concerning adjuvant treatment for rectal cancer, and the impact of the aid on knowledge, anxiety, attitudes and preferences for treatment options. METHOD: Fourteen patients with colorectal cancer participated in four focus groups. Eighty-nine participants in a community bowel screening service completed a questionnaire before and 1 week after viewing the DA. Thirty were randomly selected to participate in a telephone interview to obtain qualitative feedback about the DA. RESULTS: Focus group participants reported using information to evaluate their doctor's care and expertise, or to prepare themselves for future symptoms and side-effects. Most supported the use of a DA and preferred pie charts to convey risk information. Within the community sample, anxiety remained stable and knowledge increased after exposure to the DA. Almost all participants found the DA useful and easy to understand, and felt it would make the process of decision making easier. CONCLUSION: A DA regarding adjuvant therapy for rectal cancer appears to be valued and to produce positive outcomes. A randomized controlled trial of this intervention is now required.

Disarming the guarded prognosis: predicting survival in newly referred patients with incurable cancer.

People affected by cancer want information about their prognosis but clinicians have trouble estimating and talking about it. We sought to determine the nature and accuracy of medical oncologists' estimates of life expectancy in newly referred patients with incurable cancer. With reference to each patient, medical oncologists estimated how long they thought 90, 50, and 10% of similar patients would live. These proportions were chosen to reflect worst case, predicted, and best case scenarios suitable for discussions. After a median follow-up of 35 months, 86 of the 102 patients had died with an observed median survival of 12 months. Oncologists' estimates of each patient's worst case, predicted and best case scenarios were well-calibrated: 10% of patients lived for fewer months than estimated for the worst 10% of similar patients; 50% lived for at least as long as estimated for 50% of similar patients (predicted survival), and 17% lived for more months than estimated for the best 10% of similar patients. Oncologists' estimates of each patient's predicted survival were imprecise: 29% were within 0.67-1.33 times the patient's actual survival, 35% were too optimistic (>1.33 times the actual survival), and 39% were too pessimistic (<0.67 times the actual survival). The proportions of patients with actual survival times bounded by simple multiples of their predicted survival were as follows: 61% between half to double their predicted, 6% at least three to four times their predicted, and 4% no more than 1/6 of their predicted; similar to the proportions in an exponential distribution (about 50%, 10% and 10% respectively). Ranges based on simple multiples of the predicted survival time appropriately convey prognosis and its uncertainty in newly referred people with incurable cancer.