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BACKGROUND: The effects of a diverse spectrum of malaria interventions were evaluated through a deterministic Plasmodium vivax transmission model. This approach aimed to provide theoretical evidence of the performance of these interventions once implemented for achieving malaria elimination. METHODS: An integrated intervention portfolio, including mass drug administration, insecticide treatment, and untreated bed nets, was analyzed through modeling. Additionally, data-driven calibration was implemented to infer coverages that effectively reproduced historical malaria patterns in China from 1971 to 1983. RESULTS: MDA utilizing primaquine emerged as the most effective single intervention, achieving a 70% reduction in malaria incidence when implemented at full coverage. Furthermore, a strategic combination of MDA with primaquine, chloroquine, untreated bed nets, and seasonal insecticide treatments effectively eradicated malaria, attaining elimination at a coverage level of 70%. It was conclusively demonstrated that an integrated approach combining MDA and vector control measures is essential for the successful elimination of malaria. CONCLUSION: High coverage of mass drug administration with primaquine and chloroquine before transmission was the key driver of the malaria decline in China from 1971 to 1983. The best-fit intervention coverage combinations derived from calibration are provided as a reference for malaria control in other countries.
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Antimaláricos , Malária Vivax , Malária Vivax/prevenção & controle , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , China/epidemiologia , Humanos , Antimaláricos/uso terapêutico , Plasmodium vivax/efeitos dos fármacos , Primaquina/uso terapêutico , Administração Massiva de Medicamentos , Cloroquina/uso terapêutico , Controle de Mosquitos/métodosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: This study investigates the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prevalence, management, and control of the neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) highlighting the current or prospective impact of COVID-19 on research and development funding for, and execution of, NTD programmes. This review was conducted to determine if, and how, NTDs were affected by COVID-19, and whether those effects will delay the elimination goals of the Sustainable Development goals. METHODS: Using open-source available data from policy and documentation from official websites of the relevant stakeholders including but not limited to World Health Organization (WHO) documents and policies, government foreign aid documents, and the Policy Cures G-Finder reports, this scoping review explored ongoing challenges to supporting research and development (R&D) for the NTDs and in maintaining NTD control programs; examined the constraints posed for NTD management by the pandemic from disruptions to healthcare services, reduction of finance and explored the potential long-term implications and consequences for those poorer, neglected populations in low and middle income-countries (LMICs). This was done by a scoping review literature search, publications were subject to an initial practical screening step to ensure the most relevant publications were selected for full screening, with the focus on scoping the designated topic of the impact of COVID-19 on NTDs. We further undertook an evaluation of the socio-economic factors exacerbating the impact of COVID-19 on NTD burden. RESULTS: Multiple disruptions and setbacks, likely to affect NTD programmes and progress towards their elimination targets were identified in this study. R&D funding for the NTDs and AIDs and TB has declined since the funding high point of 2019, and for malaria since the high point of 2018. Significant changes in allocation of R&D funding within the NTDs are observed post pandemic, likely because of prioritization among donors. Diseases for which the least R&D investment was reported in place, prior to the pandemic (mycetoma, taeniasis/cysticercosis, trachoma and Buruli ulcer) have been particularly impacted post pandemic. We identified specific NTDs including schistosomiasis, leprosy, and rabies that have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and disruptions caused to on ongoing NTD control and elimination programs. Pandemic restrictions disrupted essential medical supply manufacturing and distribution impacting immunization programs and hindered efforts to control the spread of infectious diseases. NTD programmes have experienced numerous setbacks including delays in mass drug administration programs (e.g. for schistosomiasis), cancelled or delayed vaccination programs (e.g. for rabies) and closure of testing facilities has resulted in reduced diagnosis, treatment, and disease elimination for all NTDs. Lockdowns and clinic closures causing disruption to essential healthcare services restricted NTD surveillance and treatment programs. Community fears around contracting COVID-19 exacerbated the constraints to service delivery. Disparities in global vaccine distribution have widened with LMICs facing limited access to vaccines and disruption to immunization programs. Finally, the pandemic has led to increased poverty with poor and marginalized communities, impacting nutrition, healthcare access and education all of which have long term implications for NTD management and control. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic profoundly impacted global health research and global health equity. Attention and funding were diverted from all sectors, significantly affecting research and development efforts set out in the World Health Organization's NTD elimination Roadmaps. Ongoing changes to funding, economic crises, logistics and supply chain disruptions as well as deepening poverty has put a strain on already weak healthcare systems and exacerbated LMIC healthcare challenges. In particular, the delays and constraints to NTD management and elimination programs will have long-reaching consequences highlighting the need for global cooperation and renewed investment to put the NTD roadmap back on track. Targets and milestones are unlikely to be met without significant investment for recovery, in place.
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COVID-19 , Doenças Negligenciadas , Medicina Tropical , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Doenças Negligenciadas/epidemiologia , Doenças Negligenciadas/prevenção & controle , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Países em DesenvolvimentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Poverty contributes to the transmission of schistosomiasis via multiple pathways, with the insufficiency of appropriate interventions being a crucial factor. The aim of this article is to provide more economical and feasible intervention measures for endemic areas with varying levels of poverty. METHODS: We collected and analyzed the prevalence patterns along with the cost of control measures in 11 counties over the last 20 years in China. Seven machine learning models, including XGBoost, support vector machine, generalized linear model, regression tree, random forest, gradient boosting machine and neural network, were used for developing model and calculate marginal benefits. RESULTS: The XGBoost model had the highest prediction accuracy with an R2 of 0.7308. Results showed that risk surveillance, snail control with molluscicides and treatment were the most effective interventions in controlling schistosomiasis prevalence. The best combination of interventions was interlacing seven interventions, including risk surveillance, treatment, toilet construction, health education, snail control with molluscicides, cattle slaughter and animal chemotherapy. The marginal benefit of risk surveillance is the most effective intervention among nine interventions, which was influenced by the prevalence of schistosomiasis and cost. CONCLUSIONS: In the elimination phase of the national schistosomiasis program, emphasizing risk surveillance holds significant importance in terms of cost-saving.
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Moluscocidas , Esquistossomose , Animais , Bovinos , Esquistossomose/epidemiologia , Esquistossomose/prevenção & controle , Esquistossomose/tratamento farmacológico , Moluscocidas/farmacologia , China/epidemiologia , Caramujos , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Microplastics (MPs), as a new type of pollutant, are widely detected in sewage treatment plants. Currently, research on MPs in traditional sewage treatment systems has mainly been focused on the pollution level and distribution characteristics, with a lack of studying the impact of MPs on the sludge granulation. In order to explore the effect of MPs on the granulation process, a microplastic exposure test was conducted by adding polyethylene terephthalate microplastics (PET-MPs), which are widespread in the environment. The operating performance of the system, extracellular polymeric substance (EPS) composition, and flora enrichment were analyzed on the sludge granulation. The results showed that the exposure of PET-MPs significantly accelerated the sludge granulation process, whereas the increase in EPS content dominated by PN enhanced the sludge surface hydrophobicity; the granulation rate and EPS secretion were proportional to the exposed particle size. Microplastics and EPS secretions synergistically promoted the formation of granular sludge. However, continuous microplastic exposure led to deterioration of the system decontamination performance and inhibited the degradation process of pollutants, with the most negative effect of nitrite nitrogen accumulation under 250 µm PET-MPs exposure, as high as (5.08±0.24) mg·L-1. The high-throughput sequencing revealed that the microbial community diversity fell in the experimental group. The dominant bacteria at the phylum level were Proteobacteria and Bacteroidota on the sludge granulation. Rhodocyclaceae, Sphingomonadaceae, Flavobacteriaceae, and Rhodanobacteraceae promoted flocculation by increasing EPS secretion. The decrease in Comamonadaceae and Chitinophagaceae weakened the ammonia and nitrite oxidation capacity of the system, whereas the decrease in Rhodobacteraceae, Hyphomonadaceae, and Xanthomonadaceae inhibited the removal of nitrate nitrogen.
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Poluentes Ambientais , Matriz Extracelular de Substâncias Poliméricas , Microplásticos , Plásticos , Esgotos , Bacteroidetes , NitrogênioRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Rabies continues to be a serious threat to global public health endangering people's health and public health safety. In the People's Republic of China, multi-sectoral and comprehensive prevention and control strategies have aimed to extensively curb human rabies transmission. Here, we examine the current state of rabies infection in China, explore strategic interventions put in place in response to WHO's ambition of "Zero rabies deaths by 2030" and critically assess the constraints and feasibility of dog-mediated rabies elimination in China. METHODS: This study analyzed and evaluated the process towards dog-mediated rabies elimination in China from five perspectives: namely, human, dog, policy, challenge, and prospects. Evidence-based data on progress of dog-mediated rabies elimination in China was derived from a number of sources; a literature search was undertaken using PubMed, Web of Science and CNKI databases, distribution data for human rabies cases as derived from the Data-center of the China Public Health Science and policy and document data were obtained from official websites of the relevant China ministries and commissions. RESULTS: The incidence of human rabies cases in China have shown a downward trend year-on-year since 2007. Implementation of a government-led, multi-sectoral "One Health" approach to combating rabies has driven down the total number of rabies deaths nationwide to around 200 in 2020. The number of provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) reporting human cases of rabies has also decreased to 21 in 2020, 13 of which reported less than 10 cases. Furthermore, the number of outpatient visits seeking rabies post-exposure prophylaxis has risen dramatically over the past two decades, with demand being 15 times higher than it was initially. There remain however, significant gaps in rabies elimination outcomes across the different regions of China. To date the target of achieving a canine rabies vaccination rate of > 75% has not been met. The challenges of rabies immunization of dogs and dog management in underdeveloped cities and rural areas need to be addressed together with more effective animal surveillance and rabies risk from and too wildlife and livestock. CONCLUSIONS: The Chinese government-led, multi-sectoral "One Health" approach to combating rabies and has made significant progress over the past decade. Development and adoption of more cost-effective One Health strategies can achieve more nationally beneficial rabies elimination outcomes. The ambitious target of "Zero rabies deaths by 2030" can be met through establishment of long-lasting herd immunity in dogs by means of dog mass vaccination campaigns, dog population management, epidemiological surveillance and the application of large-scale oral rabies vaccine to eliminate rabies in wild animals coupled with deployment of cost-effective human post-exposure prophylaxis, and community education.
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Doenças do Cão , Vacina Antirrábica , Raiva , Animais , Cães , Humanos , Raiva/epidemiologia , Raiva/prevenção & controle , Raiva/veterinária , Doenças do Cão/epidemiologia , Doenças do Cão/prevenção & controle , Animais Selvagens , China/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Substantial research is underway to develop next-generation interventions that address current malaria control challenges. As there is limited testing in their early development, it is difficult to predefine intervention properties such as efficacy that achieve target health goals, and therefore challenging to prioritize selection of novel candidate interventions. Here, we present a quantitative approach to guide intervention development using mathematical models of malaria dynamics coupled with machine learning. Our analysis identifies requirements of efficacy, coverage, and duration of effect for five novel malaria interventions to achieve targeted reductions in malaria prevalence. METHODS: A mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics is used to simulate deployment and predict potential impact of new malaria interventions by considering operational, health-system, population, and disease characteristics. Our method relies on consultation with product development stakeholders to define the putative space of novel intervention specifications. We couple the disease model with machine learning to search this multi-dimensional space and efficiently identify optimal intervention properties that achieve specified health goals. RESULTS: We apply our approach to five malaria interventions under development. Aiming for malaria prevalence reduction, we identify and quantify key determinants of intervention impact along with their minimal properties required to achieve the desired health goals. While coverage is generally identified as the largest driver of impact, higher efficacy, longer protection duration or multiple deployments per year are needed to increase prevalence reduction. We show that interventions on multiple parasite or vector targets, as well as combinations the new interventions with drug treatment, lead to significant burden reductions and lower efficacy or duration requirements. CONCLUSIONS: Our approach uses disease dynamic models and machine learning to support decision-making and resource investment, facilitating development of new malaria interventions. By evaluating the intervention capabilities in relation to the targeted health goal, our analysis allows prioritization of interventions and of their specifications from an early stage in development, and subsequent investments to be channeled cost-effectively towards impact maximization. This study highlights the role of mathematical models to support intervention development. Although we focus on five malaria interventions, the analysis is generalizable to other new malaria interventions.
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Malária , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Modelos Teóricos , PrevalênciaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: With the recent certification by World Health Organization that the People's Republic of China is malaria-free, it is timely to consider how elimination of malaria was completed in People's Republic of China over the last 7 decades. Of the four widespread species of human malaria, Plasmodium vivax was the last to be eliminated by the national program of China. Understanding the incubation periods and relapses patterns of P. vivax through historical data from China is relevant for planning disease elimination in other malaria-endemic countries, with residual P. vivax malaria. METHODS: We collated data from both published and unpublished malaria parasite inoculation experiments conducted between 1979 and 1988 with parasites from different regions of the People's Republic of China. The studies had at least two years of follow-up. We categorized P. vivax incubation patterns via cluster analysis and investigated relapse studies by adapting a published within-host relapse model for P. vivax temperate phenotypes. Each model was fitted using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm initialized by hierarchical model-based agglomerative clustering. RESULTS: P. vivax parasites from the seven studies of five southern and central provinces in the People's Republic of China covering geographies ranging from the south temperate to north tropical zones. The parasites belonged to two distinct phenotypes: short- (10-19 days) or long-incubation (228-371 days). The larger the sporozoite inoculation, the more likely short incubation periods were observed, and with more subsequent relapses (Spearman's rank correlation between the number of inoculated sporozoites and the number of relapses of 0.51, p-value = 0.0043). The median of the posterior distribution for the duration of the first relapse interval after primary infection was 168.5 days (2.5% quantile: 89.7; 97.5% quantile: 227.69 days). The predicted survival proportions from the within-host model fit well to the original relapse data. The within-host model also captures the hypnozoite activation rates and relapse frequencies, which consequently influences the transmission possibility of P. vivax. CONCLUSIONS: Through a within-host model, we demonstrate the importance of clearance of hypnozoites. A strategy of two rounds of radical hypnozoite clearance via mass drug administration (MDA) deployed during transmission (summer and autumn) and non-transmission (late spring) seasons had a pronounced effect on outbreaks during the malaria epidemics in China. This understanding can inform malaria control strategies in other endemic countries with similar settings.
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Malária Vivax , Malária , Animais , China/epidemiologia , Erradicação de Doenças , Humanos , Malária Vivax/tratamento farmacológico , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , Malária Vivax/prevenção & controle , Plasmodium vivax , Recidiva , EsporozoítosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Malaria was once a serious public health problem in China, with Plasmodium vivax the major species responsible for more than 90% of local transmission. Following significant integrated malaria control and elimination programmes, malaria burden declined, and since 2017 China has not recorded any indigenous case. To understand the historical malaria transmission patterns and epidemic characteristics in China and insights useful to guide P. vivax malaria control and elimination elsewhere, a retrospective study was carried out. METHODS: Historical data from a pilot study conducted in Guantang, Luyi in central China from 1971-1995, were digitized. The data included monthly numbers of reported cases, febrile cases, parasite carriage rates, the neonatal infection rate, and entomological data regarding Anopheles sinensis. RESULTS: Following 25 years of continuous integrated malaria control activities, malaria incidence in Guantang decreased from 4,333 cases per 10,000 in 1970 before integrated implementation to 0.23 cases per 10,000 in 1991, and no cases in 1992-1995. Some fluctuations in incidence were observed between 1977 and 1981. During the period parasite rates, antibody levels and the neonatal infection rate also decreased. The pattern of seasonality confirmed that P. vivax in Henan Province was primarily of the long incubation type (temperate) during non-transmission period. The findings retrospectively provide a scientific basis for the implementation of mass campaigns of liver stage hypnozoite clearance. Entomological studies indicated that An. sinensis was the only vector, and it preferred bovine to human hosts, predominantly biting and resting outdoors. Mosquito densities declined between 1971 and 1984. CONCLUSION: The integrated malaria control approach in Guantang effectively controlled malaria and achieved elimination. Analysis of the effectiveness of the programme can provide guidance to other regions or countries with similar ecological settings aiming to move from malaria control to elimination. There is a potential challenge in the maintenance of non-transmission status owing to imported cases and the long dormancy of liver stage hypnozoites.
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Anopheles/parasitologia , Erradicação de Doenças , Surtos de Doenças , Malária Vivax/epidemiologia , Malária Vivax/prevenção & controle , Plasmodium vivax/isolamento & purificação , Animais , China/epidemiologia , Incidência , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In December 2019, an outbreak of coronavirus disease (later named as COVID-19) was identified in Wuhan, China and, later on, detected in other parts of China. Our aim is to evaluate the effectiveness of the evolution of interventions and self-protection measures, estimate the risk of partial lifting control measures and predict the epidemic trend of the virus in the mainland of China excluding Hubei province based on the published data and a novel mathematical model. METHODS: A novel COVID-19 transmission dynamic model incorporating the intervention measures implemented in China is proposed. COVID-19 daily data of the mainland of China excluding Hubei province, including the cumulative confirmed cases, the cumulative deaths, newly confirmed cases and the cumulative recovered cases between 20 January and 3 March 2020, were archived from the National Health Commission of China (NHCC). We parameterize the model by using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and estimate the control reproduction number (Rc), as well as the effective daily reproduction ratio- Re(t), of the disease transmission in the mainland of China excluding Hubei province. RESULTS: The estimation outcomes indicate that Rc is 3.36 (95% CI: 3.20-3.64) and Re(t) has dropped below 1 since 31 January 2020, which implies that the containment strategies implemented by the Chinese government in the mainland of China are indeed effective and magnificently suppressed COVID-19 transmission. Moreover, our results show that relieving personal protection too early may lead to a prolonged disease transmission period and more people would be infected, and may even cause a second wave of epidemic or outbreaks. By calculating the effective reproduction ratio, we prove that the contact rate should be kept at least less than 30% of the normal level by April, 2020. CONCLUSIONS: To ensure the pandemic ending rapidly, it is necessary to maintain the current integrated restrict interventions and self-protection measures, including travel restriction, quarantine of entry, contact tracing followed by quarantine and isolation and reduction of contact, like wearing masks, keeping social distance, etc. People should be fully aware of the real-time epidemic situation and keep sufficient personal protection until April. If all the above conditions are met, the outbreak is expected to be ended by April in the mainland of China apart from Hubei province.
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Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/transmissão , Modelos Estatísticos , Pneumonia Viral/epidemiologia , Pneumonia Viral/transmissão , Betacoronavirus/isolamento & purificação , COVID-19 , China/epidemiologia , Infecções por Coronavirus/prevenção & controle , Transmissão de Doença Infecciosa/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov , Método de Monte Carlo , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Pneumonia Viral/prevenção & controle , SARS-CoV-2 , ViagemRESUMO
Alpine meadows account for 46.7% of grassland area on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, which is an important part of grasslands in China. Under the effects of climate change and human activities in recent years, alpine meadow has been degraded seriously. Vegetation and soil have shown different degradation trends. At large spatial scales, the degraded alpine meadows are characterized by decreases of vegetation coverage, increases of weed vegetation, soil degradation and even desertification. At the micro-scale, soil particle size, soil microorganisms, and soil enzymes in degraded alpine meadows changed. We analyzed the changes of vegetation and soil during the degradation of alpine meadow ecosystems by considering species diversity, plant community structure, plant biomass, soil physical properties, soil microorganisms, soil enzymes, and soil nutrients. We put forward some uncertainties in the current research and problems that needed further study. This review provided a scientific basis for a comprehensive understanding of the degradation mechanisms and patterns of alpine meadows, effective intervention in alpine meadow, and restoration of ecological function.
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Pradaria , Solo , China , Ecossistema , Humanos , TibetRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To compare the biomechanical stability of different fixation methods for anterior ring injury of unstable pelvic fractures, and to provide reference for clinical treatment. METHODS: An unstable pelvic fracture model (Tile C) with one side of the sacroiliac joint dislocation and the pubic rami fracture was constructed via three-dimensional finite element analysis. Five different fixation methods were used in the front, and the rear was fixed with sacroiliac screws. The von Mises stress and strain distributions of different combinations of fixation methods were analyzed under mimicking standing conditions. RESULTS: After being loaded with 500 N vertically, the maximum stress in the anterior fracture was 3.56 MPa in anterior pelvic external fixation (AEF) group, the total displacement and the vertical displacement of the Y axis at the sacroiliac joint and the fracture were not more than 1.5 mm. The maximum stress at fixation, the front of the fracture and sacroiliac joints in the anterior pelvic subcutaneous approach(APA) group and AEF, was significantly higher than anterior modified Stoppa approach(ASA) group, anterior pelvic Ilioinguinal approach (AIA) group, and canulated screw fixation(CSF) group. The total displacement and the vertical displacement of the Y axis at the sacroiliac joint and the fracture in APA group and AEF group were also greater than the other three groups. CONCLUSIONS: Anterior ring injury of unstable pelvic fractures can be significantly improved after the fixation of the implants in the five combined methods. However, overall biomechanical properties of ASA, AIA and CSF group are superior to APA and AEF group.
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Fraturas Ósseas , Ossos Pélvicos , Parafusos Ósseos , Análise de Elementos Finitos , Fixação Interna de Fraturas , HumanosRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate clinical efficaly of intractable lateral epicondylitis by extracurricular arthroscopic operation based on pressure point. METHODS: From October 2015 to September 2017, 19 patients with intractable lateral epicondylitis were treated with extraarticylar arthroscopic operation based in pressure point. Among patients, including 7 males and 12 females, aged from 33 to 62 years old with an average of(43.16±8.12) years old, The courses of conservative treatment ranged from 7 to 41 months, with an average of(15.47±7.08) months. Postoperative complications were observed, VAS score and Mayo score before and after operation at 3 months were observed and compared. RESULTS: All patients were followed up from 6 to 26 months, with an average (17.16±5.25) months. No infection, skin necrosis and nerve injury occurred. No group weakness occurred within six months after operation. VAS score decreased from 4.42±1.17 before operation to 0.53±0.61 after operation at 3 months. Mago was improved from 62.63±7.88 before operation to 93.42±5.28 after operation at 3 months. According to Mayo score, 17 cases got excellent results, and 2 cases were good. CONCLUSIONS: Intractable lateral epicondylitis by arthroscopic extracurricular operation based on pressure point, which deal with main extracurricular root cause, could anatomical level is understand easily, field of vision is good and diseased tissue is cleaned up thoroughly, and has obvious curative effect.
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Cotovelo de Tenista , Adulto , Artroscopia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Rotação , Cotovelo de Tenista/cirurgia , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Based on an ensemble of global circulation models (GCMs), four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) and several ongoing and planned Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects (CMIPs), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predicts that global, average temperatures will increase by at least 1.5 °C in the near future and more by the end of the century if greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions are not genuinely tempered. While the RCPs are indicative of various amounts of GHGs in the atmosphere the CMIPs are designed to improve the workings of the GCMs. We chose RCP4.5 which represented a medium GHG emission increase and CMIP5, the most recently completed CMIP phase. Combining this meteorological model with a biological counterpart model accounted for replication and survival of the snail intermediate host as well as maturation of the parasite stage inside the snail at different ambient temperatures. The potential geographical distribution of the three main schistosome species: Schistosoma japonicum, S. mansoni and S. haematobium was investigated with reference to their different transmission capabilities at the monthly mean temperature, the maximum temperature of the warmest month(s) and the minimum temperature of the coldest month(s). The set of six maps representing the predicted situations in 2021â»2050 and 2071â»2100 for each species mainly showed increased transmission areas for all three species but they also left room for potential shrinkages in certain areas.
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BACKGROUND: Paragonimiasis, caused by helminths of the genus Paragonimus spp., is a neglected tropical disease. Human suffering from paragonimiasis is often misunderstood and its quantification by the disability weight of the disability-adjusted life years largely varies in different global burden of disease (GBD) estimates. This paper is to systematically review clinical paragonimiasis cases and requantify the disability weight of human paragonimiasis. METHODS: A systematic analysis was conducted using articles from the following databases: PubMed, Institute for Scientific Information Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Chinese scientific journal databases Wanfang Data and CQVIP, Africa Journal Online, and the System for Information on Grey Literature in Europe. Search terms were the combination of "paragonim*" with "clinical" or "infection". Only articles fulfilling the following conditions were recruited for this study: the occurrence of clinical signs and symptoms of paragonimiasis in human beings were reported; diagnosis was confirmed; no comorbidities were reported; the reviewed clinical cases or epidemiological findings were not already included in any other articles. The information and frequencies of paragonimiasis outcomes from included articles using predefined data fields were extracted two times by two separate individuals. Outcome disability weights were selected mainly from the GBD 2004 and GBD 2013 datasets. Frequencies and disability weights of paragonimiasis outcomes were modelled into a decision tree using the additive approach and multiplicative approach, respectively. Monte Carlo simulations were run 5000 times for an uncertainty analysis. RESULTS: The disability weight estimates of paragonimiasis were simulated with 5302 clinical cases from 80 general articles. The overall disability weight was estimated at 0.1927 (median 0.1956) with a 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of 0.1632-0.2378 using the additive approach, and 0.1791 (median 0.1816) with a 95% UI of 0.1530-0.2182 using the multiplicative approach. The simulated disability weights of Paragonimus westermani cases were higher than that of P. skrjabini cases. Lung outcomes and headache were the top two contributors to disability weight for both species. CONCLUSIONS: The use of paragonimiasis disability weight needs to be reconsidered with regard to availability of morbidity data and species variation. Calculating the disease burden of paragonimiasis requires further modification and thus has considerable implications for public health prioritization in research, monitoring, and control.
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Pessoas com Deficiência/estatística & dados numéricos , Paragonimíase/epidemiologia , Animais , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Tomada de Decisões , Árvores de Decisões , Humanos , Paragonimíase/parasitologia , Paragonimus , Avaliação de Resultados da Assistência ao PacienteRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectivity and the improvement of elbow arthroscopic techniques of treating obstinate tennis elbow using debridement and repair under elbow arthroscopy combined with small incision. METHODS: From March 2014 to February 2017, 36 patients(total 36 elbows) with obstinate tennis elbow were treated consecutively using debridement and repair under elbow arthroscopy combined with small incision open, the two methods alternate. In key process, the first 18 cases [group A including 8 males and 12 females with an average age of (43.89±9.71) years old, the treatment time was(17.39±10.53) months] used direct-looking operation and arthroscopic verification, the latter 18 cases[group B including 7 males and 11 females with an averave age of (44.28±8.04) years old, the treatment time was(15.50±9.18) months] used arthroscopic operation and direct-looking verification. The arthroscopic and gross pathological findings were observed during the operation. After operation serious neurovascular complications were observed. The operation time was compared between two groups. MEPS (Mayo Elbow Performance Score) and VAS scores were recorded preoperatively and postoperatively. RESULTS: All patients were followed up for an average of (17.22±8.47) months in group A and (17.83±8.83) months in group B. There was 1 case of nerve injury without infection. VAS score was improved from preoperative 4.33±1.24 to postoperative 0.61±0.70 in group A, and from 4.50±1.47 to postoperative 0.67±0.69 in group B. MEPS of group A was improved from preoperative 62.22±7.90 to postoperative 93.06±5.18 in group A, and from preoperative 61.94±8.93 to postoperative 92.22±5.21 in group B. There were no statistical differences between two groups in MEPS and VAS score. The operation time in group B(54.06±8.43) min was less than that in group A(73.39±12.78) min. Thirty-two cases were satisfied greatly with treatment results, 3 cases satisfied, 1 case unsatisfied. The main reasons that results in dissatisfaction were nerve injury. CONCLUSIONS: Treating obstinate tennis elbow using debridement and repair under elbow arthroscopy combined with small incision have open and arthroscopic surgery advantages, with thorough therapeutic effect. The procedure is suitable to try to explore and improve the elbow arthroscopic technique.
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Articulação do Cotovelo , Cotovelo de Tenista , Adulto , Artroscopia , Desbridamento , Cotovelo , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In China since the first human infection of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus was identified in 2013, it has caused serious public health concerns due to its wide spread and high mortality rate. Evidence shows that bird migration plays an essential role in global spread of avian influenza viruses. Accordingly, in this paper, we aim to identify key bird species and geographical hotspots that are relevant to the transmission of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus in China. METHODS: We first conducted phylogenetic analysis on 626 viral sequences of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus isolated in chicken, which were collected from the Global Initiative on Sharing All Influenza Data (GISAID), to reveal geographical spread and molecular evolution of the virus in China. Then, we adopted the cross correlation function (CCF) to explore the relationship between the identified influenza A (H7N9) cases and the spatiotemporal distribution of migratory birds. Here, the spatiotemporal distribution of bird species was generated based on bird observation data collected from China Bird Reports, which consists of 157 272 observation records about 1145 bird species. Finally, we employed a kernel density estimator to identify geographical hotspots of bird habitat/stopover that are relevant to the influenza A (H7N9) infections. RESULTS: Phylogenetic analysis reveals the evolutionary and geographical patterns of influenza A (H7N9) infections, where cases in the same or nearby municipality/provinces are clustered together with small evolutionary differences. Moreover, three epidemic waves in chicken along the East Asian-Australasian flyway in China are distinguished from the phylogenetic tree. The CCF analysis identifies possible migratory bird species that are relevant to the influenza A(H7N9) infections in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Fujian, Jiangxi, and Guangdong in China, where the six municipality/provinces account for 91.2% of the total number of isolated H7N9 cases in chicken in GISAID. Based on the spatial distribution of identified bird species, geographical hotspots are further estimated and illustrated within these typical municipality/provinces. CONCLUSIONS: In this paper, we have identified key bird species and geographical hotspots that are relevant to the spread of influenza A (H7N9) virus. The results and findings could provide sentinel signal and evidence for active surveillance, as well as strategic control of influenza A (H7N9) transmission in China.
Assuntos
Aves/virologia , Subtipo H7N9 do Vírus da Influenza A , Influenza Aviária/epidemiologia , Influenza Aviária/virologia , Animais , China/epidemiologia , Genes Virais , Geografia , Subtipo H7N9 do Vírus da Influenza A/classificação , Subtipo H7N9 do Vírus da Influenza A/genética , Filogenia , FilogeografiaRESUMO
Microalgae cultivation in wastewater has received increasing attention in recent years due to its many advantages. In this work, microalgae were cultured in seafood processing wastewater (SPW) for algal biomass and lipid production as well as nutrient removal. The biomass yield of Chlorella sp. achieved in the batch cultivation was 896â¯mgâ¯L-1, indicating that SPW contains a certain amount of nutrients which can be used for the growth of microalgae. However, the maximum specific growth rate of Chlorella sp. cultured in SPW throughout the whole cultivation period was only 0.040â¯d-1, suggesting that the growth of algal cells was inhibited during the culture process. High concentration of unionized ammonia in the SPW was found to be a factor inhibiting the growth of Chlorella sp. Aerated SPW (ASPW) and diluted SPW (DSPW) proved to be better culture media than SPW without pretreatment. The maximum specific growth rates of Chlorella sp. cultured in ASPW and DSPW during the culture interval were 0.156 and 0.091â¯d-1, respectively. Aeration pretreatment of SPW reduced the amount of toxic unionized ammonia, while most of the nutrients were retained in the wastewater. Therefore, higher biomass productivity (77.7â¯mgâ¯L-1â¯d-1) and higher lipid productivity (20.4â¯mgâ¯L-1â¯d-1) of microalgae were achieved in ASPW. Additionally, improved nutrient removal rates from ASPW were also achieved due to the faster growth of microalgae. The average nutrient removal rates in ASPW during the whole cultivation period were 4.98 and 1.91â¯mgâ¯L-1â¯d-1 for nitrogen and phosphorus, respectively.
Assuntos
Chlorella/fisiologia , Alimentos Marinhos/estatística & dados numéricos , Eliminação de Resíduos Líquidos/métodos , Biomassa , Lipídeos , Microalgas , Nitrogênio/análise , Nitrogênio/metabolismo , Águas Residuárias , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Poluentes Químicos da Água/metabolismoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The objective of this meta-analysis was to evaluate the efficacy and safety of tranexamic acid (TXA) in shoulder arthroplasty (SA). METHODS: Academic articles were identified from the Cochrane Library, Medline (1966-2017.2), PubMed (1966-2017.2), Embase (1980-2017.2), and ScienceDirect (1966-2017.2). Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs studying TXA in SA were included. Two independent reviewers conducted independent data abstraction. The I statistic was used to assess heterogeneity. Fixed- or random-effects models were used for meta-analysis. RESULTS: Two RCTs and 2 non-RCTs met the inclusion criteria. This meta-analysis found significant differences in postoperative hemoglobin reduction (MD = -0.71âg/dL), drainage volume (MD = -133.21 mL), and total blood loss (MD = -226.82 mL) between TXA groups and controls. There were no significant differences in blood transfusion requirements, operation time, or length of hospital stay. CONCLUSIONS: The use of TXA in SA decreases postoperative hemoglobin reduction, drainage volume, and total blood loss and does not increase the risk of complications. Because of the limited high-quality evidence currently available, additional randomized controlled trials are required.
Assuntos
Antifibrinolíticos/uso terapêutico , Artroplastia do Ombro/métodos , Perda Sanguínea Cirúrgica/prevenção & controle , Transfusão de Sangue/estatística & dados numéricos , Ácido Tranexâmico/uso terapêutico , Idoso , Antifibrinolíticos/administração & dosagem , Antifibrinolíticos/efeitos adversos , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Feminino , Hemoglobinas/análise , Humanos , Masculino , Ácido Tranexâmico/administração & dosagem , Ácido Tranexâmico/efeitos adversosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In order to achieve the goal of malaria elimination, the Chinese government launched the National Malaria Elimination Programme in 2010. However, as a result of increasing cross-border population movements, the risk of imported malaria cases still exists at the border areas of China, resulting in a potential threat of local transmission. The focus of this paper is to assess the Plasmodium vivax incidences in Tengchong, Yunnan Province, at the border areas of China and Myanmar. METHODS: Time series of P. vivax incidences in Tengchong from 2006 to 2010 are collected from the web-based China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention, which are further separated into time series of imported and local cases. First, the seasonal and trend decomposition are performed on time series of imported cases using Loess method. Then, the impact of climatic factors on the local transmission of P. vivax is assessed using both linear regression models (LRM) and generalized additive models (GAM). Specifically, the notion of vectorial capacity (VCAP) is used to estimate the transmission potential of P. vivax at different locations, which is calculated based on temperature and rainfall collected from China Meteorological Administration. RESULTS: Comparing with Ruili County, the seasonal pattern of imported cases in Tengchong is different: Tengchong has only one peak, while Ruili has two peaks during each year. This may be due to the different cross-border behaviors of peoples in two locations. The vectorial capacity together with the imported cases and the average humidity, can well explain the local incidences of P. vivax through both LRM and GAM methods. Moreover, the maximum daily temperature is verified to be more suitable to calculate VCAP than the minimal and average temperature in Tengchong County. CONCLUSION: To achieve malaria elimination in China, the assessment results in this paper will provide further guidance in active surveillance and control of malaria at the border areas of China and Myanmar.