Association of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease with new-onset atrial fibrillation stratified by age groups.

BACKGROUND: The association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) has been inconsistent, and the impact of hepatic fibrosis on this relationship remains uncertain. We investigated the association between NAFLD and the risk of new-onset AF across different age groups. METHODS: A total of 3,179,582 participants from the 2009 Korean National Health Screening Program were divided into five groups based on NAFLD status: no NAFLD (fatty liver index [FLI] < 30); grade 1 NAFLD without advanced fibrosis (FLI 30-59 & BARD < 2); grade 1 NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (FLI 30-59 & BARD ≥ 2); grade 2 NAFLD without advanced fibrosis (FLI ≥ 60 & BARD < 2); and grade 2 NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (FLI ≥ 60 & BARD ≥ 2). The primary outcome was incident AF. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 9.3 years, 62,542 patients were diagnosed with new-onset AF. In the age- and sex-adjusted model, the risk of new-onset AF increased across NAFLD grades and fibrosis categories: grade 1 NAFLD without advanced fibrosis (hazard ratio [HR] 1.120, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.081-1.161); grade 1 NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (HR 1.275, 95% CI 1.251-1.300); grade 2 NAFLD without advanced fibrosis (HR 1.305, 95% CI: 1.252-1.360); and grade 2 NAFLD with advanced fibrosis (HR 1.627, 95% CI: 1.586-1.670). In the multivariate model, the excess risk of AF in patients with NAFLD and advanced fibrosis remained significant, even in participants aged 20-39 years. CONCLUSION: Patients with NAFLD had a higher risk of new-onset AF, which increased progressively with NAFLD severity, particularly in those aged 20-29 years.

A machine learning model to predict liver-related outcomes after the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic decompensation persists after hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model to predict the risk of liver-related outcomes (LROs) following HBsAg seroclearance. METHODS: A total of 4,787 consecutive patients who achieved HBsAg seroclearance between 2000 and 2022 were enrolled from six centers in South Korea and a territory-wide database in Hong Kong, comprising the training (n = 944), internal validation (n = 1,102), and external validation (n = 2,741) cohorts. Three machine learning-based models were developed and compared in each cohort. The primary outcome was the development of any LRO, including HCC, decompensation, and liver-related death. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 55.2 (IQR 30.1-92.3) months, 123 LROs were confirmed (1.1%/person-year) in the Korean cohort. The model with the best predictive performance in the training cohort was selected as the final model (designated as PLAN-B-CURE), which was constructed using a gradient boosting algorithm and seven variables (age, sex, diabetes, alcohol consumption, cirrhosis, albumin, and platelet count). Compared to previous HCC prediction models, PLAN-B-CURE showed significantly superior accuracy in the training cohort (c-index: 0.82 vs. 0.63-0.70, all p <0.001; area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.86 vs. 0.62-0.72, all p <0.01; area under the precision-recall curve: 0.53 vs. 0.13-0.29, all p <0.01). PLAN-B-CURE showed a reliable calibration function (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p >0.05) and these results were reproduced in the internal and external validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: This novel machine learning model consisting of seven variables provides reliable risk prediction of LROs after HBsAg seroclearance that can be used for personalized surveillance. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Using large-scale multinational data, we developed a machine learning model to predict the risk of liver-related outcomes (i.e., hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation, and liver-related death) after the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The new model named PLAN-B-CURE was constructed using seven variables (age, sex, alcohol consumption, diabetes, cirrhosis, serum albumin, and platelet count) and a gradient boosting machine algorithm, and it demonstrated significantly better predictive accuracy than previous models in both the training and validation cohorts. The inclusion of diabetes and significant alcohol intake as model inputs suggests the importance of metabolic risk factor management after the functional cure of CHB. Using seven readily available clinical factors, PLAN-B-CURE, the first machine learning-based model for risk prediction after the functional cure of CHB, may serve as a basis for individualized risk stratification.

The Predictive Value of Time-Varying Noninvasive Scores on Long-Term Prognosis of NAFLD in South Korea.

Background: This study aimed to examine whether repeated measurements on noninvasive fibrosis scores during follow-up improve long-term nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) outcome prediction. Methods: A cohort study of 2,280 NAFLD patients diagnosed at the Seoul National University Hospital from 2001 to 2015 was conducted. Multivariable Cox regression models with baseline and designated time-point measurements of the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) were used to assess the association between these scores and overall mortality, liver-related outcomes, and cardiovascular events. Results: Higher baseline NFS (high versus low probability for advanced fibrosis groups) was associated with higher risk of mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), (95% confidence interval (CI)), 2.80, [1.39-5.63]) and liver-related outcomes (3.70, [1.27-10.78]). Similar findings were observed for the association of baseline FIB-4 with mortality (2.49, [1.46-4.24]) and liver-related outcomes (11.50, [6.17-21.44]). In models considering designated time-point measurements of the scores, stronger associations were noted. For NFS, a higher time-point measurement was associated with a significantly higher risk of mortality (3.01, [1.65-5.49]) and liver-related outcomes (6.69, [2.62-17.06]). For FIB-4, higher time-point measurements were associated with significantly higher mortality (3.01, [1.88-4.82]) and liver-related outcomes (13.26, [6.89-25.53]). An annual increase in FIB-4 (2.70, [1.79-4.05]) or NFS (4.68, [1.52-14.44]) was associated with an increased risk of liver-related outcomes. No association between NFS/FIB-4 and risk of cardiovascular events was observed in both models. Conclusions: Higher aHRs describing the associations of FIB-4/NFS with overall mortality and liver-related outcomes were observed in the models that included designated time-point measurements of the scores. In addition to the baseline measurement, a routine monitoring on these scores may be important in predicting prognosis of NAFLD patients.

Similar recurrence after curative treatment of HBV-related HCC, regardless of HBV replication activity.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Antiviral therapy (AVT) is required in patients with newly diagnosed hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), if HBV DNA is detectable. We compared the risk of recurrence according to HBV replication activity at the curative treatment of HBV-related HCC. METHODS: Patients with HBV-related HCC who underwent surgical resection or radiofrequency ablation between 2013 and 2018 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Patients were categorized into two groups according to HBV replication activity at the curative treatment of HBV-related HCC (group 1: patients who met the AVT indication for HBV-related HCC due to detectable HBV DNA but did not meet the AVT indication if without HCC; group 2: patients who met the AVT indication, regardless of HCC). RESULTS: In the entire cohort (n = 911), HCC recurred in 303 (33.3%) patients during a median follow-up of 4.7 years. After multivariate adjustment, group 2 showed a statistically similar risk of HCC recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.18, P = 0.332) compared to that of group 1. In addition, group 2 showed statistically similar risks of early (< 2 years; aHR = 1.31) and late (≥ 2 years; aHR = 0.83) recurrence than that of group 1 (all P>0.05). Propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis also yielded similar risks of HCC recurrence between the two groups (all P>0.05, log-rank tests). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of HCC recurrence in patients who received curative treatment for newly diagnosed HBV-related HCC was similar regardless of HBV replication activity, if AVT was properly initiated.

Incremental high power radiofrequency ablation with multi-electrodes for small hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective study.

Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) offers a minimally invasive treatment for small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but it faces challenges such as high local recurrence rates. This prospective study, conducted from January 2020 to July 2022, evaluated a novel approach using a three-channel, dual radiofrequency (RF) generator with separable clustered electrodes to improve RFA's efficacy and safety. The study employed a high-power, gradual, stepwise RFA method on HCCs (≤ 4 cm), utilizing real-time ultrasound-computed tomography (CT)/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) fusion imaging. Involving 110 participants with 116 HCCs, the study reported no major complications. Local tumor progression (LTP) and intrahepatic remote recurrence (IRR) rates were low, with promising cumulative incidences at 1, 2, and 3 years for LTP (0.9%, 3.6%, 7.0%) and IRR (13.9%, 20.5%, 31.4%). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were similarly encouraging: LTP (99.1%, 96.4%, 93.0%) and IRR (86.1%, 79.5%, 68.6%). This innovative gradual, incremental high-power RFA technique, featuring a dual switching monopolar mode and three electrodes, represents an effective and safer management option for small HCCs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrial.gov identifier: NCT05397860, first registered on 26/05/2022.

Metabolic effects and cardiovascular disease risks of antiviral treatments in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Different antiviral treatments for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) have been known to have different metabolic effects. This study aimed to reveal whether tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)-induced dyslipidemia and its associated outcomes are significant. This study utilized 15-year historical cohort including patients with CHB in Korea and consisted of two parts: the single-antiviral and switch-antiviral cohorts. In the single-antiviral cohort, patients were divided into four groups (entecavir [ETV]-only, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF]-only, TAF-only, and non-antiviral). Propensity score matching (PSM) and linear regression model were sequentially applied to compare metabolic profiles and estimated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risks longitudinally. In the switch-antiviral cohort, pairwise analyses were conducted in patients who switched NAs to TAF or from TAF. In the single-antiviral cohort, body weight and statin use showed significant differences between groups before PSM, but well-balanced after PSM. Changes in total cholesterol were significantly different between groups (-2.57 mg/dL/year in the TDF-only group and +2.88 mg/dL/year in the TAF-only group; p = 0.002 and p = 0.02, respectively). In the TDF-only group, HDL cholesterol decreased as well (-0.55 mg/dL/year; p < 0.001). The TAF-only group had the greatest increase in ASCVD risk, followed by the TDF-only group and the non-antiviral group. In the switch-antiviral cohort, patients who switched from TDF to TAF had a higher total cholesterol after switching (+9.4 mg/dL/year) than before switching (-1.0 mg/dL/year; p = 0.047). Sensitivity analysis on data with an observation period set to a maximum of 3 years for NA treatment showed consistent results on total cholesterol (-2.96 mg/dL/year in the TDF-only group and +3.09 mg/dL/year in the TAF-only group; p = 0.001 and p = 0.005, respectively). Another sensitivity analysis conducted on statin-treated patients revealed no significant change in cholesterol and ASCVD risk. TAF was associated with increased total cholesterol, whereas TDF was associated with decreased total and HDL cholesterol. Both TAF and TDF were associated with increased ASCVD risks, and statin use might mitigate these risks.

Effect of direct-acting antivirals on disease burden of hepatitis C virus infection in South Korea in 2007-2021: a nationwide, multicentre, retrospective cohort study.

Background: It is unclear whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) treatment improves the disease burden in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study aimed to investigate the effect of DAA treatment on the reduction of disease burden in patients with HCV infection using individual participant data. Methods: This nationwide multicentre retrospective cohort study recruited patients with HCV infection from 29 tertiary institutions in South Korea. The data collection was done from medical records in each institution. The study included the untreated patients and the DAAs-treated patients and excluded those with a history of interferon-based treatments. Disease burden was the primary outcome, as represented by disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Improvement in fibrosis after DAA treatment was assessed using APRI, FIB-4 index, and liver stiffness (LS) as assessed by transient elastography. Clinical outcomes were hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensation, and mortality. Findings: Between January 1, 2007, and February 17, 2022, data from 11,725 patients with HCV infection, 8464 (72%) of whom were treated with DAAs, were analysed. DAA treatment significantly improved APRI- (median 0.64 [interquartile range (IQR), 0.35-1.31]-0.33 [0.23-0.52], p < 0.0001), FIB-4- (median 2.42 [IQR, 1.48-4.40]-1.93 [1.31-2.97], p < 0.0001), and liver LS-based fibrosis (median 7.4 [IQR, 5.3-12.3]-6.2 [4.6-10.2] kPa, p < 0.0001). During the median follow-up period of 27.5 months (IQR, 10.6-52.4), 469 patients died (4.0%), 586 (5.0%) developed HCC, and 580 (4.9%) developed decompensation. The APRI-based DALY estimate was significantly lower in the DAA group than in the untreated group (median 4.55 vs. 5.14 years, p < 0.0001), as was the FIB-4-based DALY estimate (median 5.43 [IQR, 3.00-6.44] vs. 5.79 [3.85-8.07] years, p < 0.0001). The differences between the untreated and DAA groups were greatest in patients aged 40-60 years. In multivariable analyses, the DAA group had a significantly reduced risk of HCC, decompensation, and mortality compared with the untreated group (hazard ratios: 0.41 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.34-0.48], 0.31 [95% CI, 0.30-0.38], and 0.22 [95% CI, 0.17-0.27], respectively; p < 0.0001). Interpretation: Our findings suggest that DAA treatment is associated with the improvement of liver-related outcomes and a reduction of liver fibrosis-based disease burden in patients with HCV infection. However, further studies using liver biopsy are needed to clarify the effect of DAA treatment on the reduction in the exact fibrosis-based disease burden beyond noninvasive tests. Funding: The Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency.

Extrahepatic malignancies and antiviral drugs for chronic hepatitis B: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is related to an increased risk of extrahepatic malignancy (EHM), and antiviral treatment is associated with an incidence of EHM comparable to controls. We compared the risks of EHM and intrahepatic malignancy (IHM) between entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) treatment. METHODS: Using data from the National Health Insurance Service of Korea, this nationwide cohort study included treatment-naïve CHB patients who initiated ETV (n=24,287) or TDF (n=29,199) therapy between 2012 and 2014. The primary outcome was the development of any primary EHM. Secondary outcomes included overall IHM development. E-value was calculated to assess the robustness of results to unmeasured confounders. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 5.9 years, and all baseline characteristics were well balanced after propensity score matching. EHM incidence rate differed significantly between within versus beyond 3 years in both groups (P<0.01, Davies test). During the first 3 years, EHM risk was comparable in the propensity score-matched cohort (5.88 versus 5.84/1,000 person-years; subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]=1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.88-1.17, P=0.84). After year 3, however, TDF was associated with a significantly lower EHM incidence compared to ETV (4.92 versus 6.91/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.70, 95% CI=0.60-0.81, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.21). Regarding IHM, the superiority of TDF over ETV was maintained both within (17.58 versus 20.19/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.88, 95% CI=0.81-0.95, P<0.01) and after year 3 (11.45 versus 16.20/1,000 person-years; SHR=0.68, 95% CI=0.62-0.75, P<0.01; E-value for SHR=2.30). CONCLUSION: TDF was associated with approximately 30% lower risks of both EHM and IHM than ETV in CHB patients after 3 years of antiviral therapy.

Gamma-glutamyl transferase and the risk of all-cause and disease-specific mortality in patients with diabetes: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: There exists a paucity of data regarding whether gamma-glutamyl transferase is associated with disease-specific mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. This study aimed to investigate the association of serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels with all-cause and disease-specific mortality in patients with diabetes mellitus using a Korean nationwide health-screening database. METHODS: A total of 9 687 066 patients without viral hepatitis or liver cirrhosis who underwent health examination in 2009 were included. These patients were divided into four groups according to sex-specific quartiles of serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 8.1 years, 222 242 deaths were identified. The all-cause mortality rate increased as the serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels became higher (highest quartile vs lowest quartile: hazard ratio [HR], 1.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.55-1.59; p for trend <.001). Similar trends were observed for cardiovascular disease (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.53-1.62), ischemic heart disease (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.33-1.48), and stroke (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.60-1.85) in the highest quartile, as compared with the lowest quartile (p for trend <.001). As the gamma-glutamyl transferase quartiles became higher, mortality rates related to cancer (HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.52-1.60), liver disease (HR, 9.42; 95% CI, 8.81-10.07), respiratory disease (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.49-1.62), and infectious disease (HR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.59-1.87) also increased in the highest quartile, compared with the lowest quartile (p for trend <.001). CONCLUSIONS: Serum gamma-glutamyl transferase levels may be useful for the risk assessment of all-cause and disease-specific mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

No-Touch Radiofrequency Ablation Using Twin Cooled Wet Electrodes for Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma Following Locoregional Treatments.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the therapeutic outcomes of no-touch radiofrequency ablation (NT-RFA) using twin cooled wet (TCW) electrodes in patients experiencing recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after undergoing locoregional treatments. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a prospective, single-arm study of NT-RFA involving 102 patients, with a total of 112 recurrent HCCs (each ≤ 3 cm). NT-RFA with TCW electrodes was implemented under the guidance of ultrasonography (US)-MR/CT fusion imaging. If NT-RFA application proved technically challenging, conversion to conventional tumor puncture RFA was permitted. The primary metric for evaluation was the mid-term cumulative incidence of local tumor progression (LTP) observed post-RFA. Cumulative LTP rates were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression was used to explore factors associated with LTP. Considering conversion cases from NT-RFA to conventional RFA, intention-to-treat (ITT; including all patients) and per-protocol (PP; including patients not requiring conversion to conventional RFA alone) analyses were performed. RESULTS: Conversion from NT-RFA to conventional RFA was necessary for 24 (21.4%) out of 112 tumors. Successful treatment was noted in 111 (99.1%) out of them. No major complications were reported among the patients. According to ITT analysis, the estimated cumulative incidences of LTP were 1.9%, 6.0%, and 6.0% at 1, 2, and 3 years post-RFA, respectively. In PP analysis, the cumulative incidence of LTP was 0.0%, 1.3%, and 1.3% at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively. The number of previous locoregional HCC treatments (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.265 per 1 treatment increase; P = 0.004), total bilirubin (aHR, 7.477 per 1 mg/dL increase; P = 0.012), and safety margin ≤ 5 mm (aHR, 9.029; P = 0.016) were independently associated with LTP in ITT analysis. CONCLUSION: NT-RFA using TCW electrodes is a safe and effective treatment for recurrent HCC, with 6.0% (ITT analysis) and 1.3% (PP analysis) cumulative incidence of LTP at 2 and 3-year follow-ups.

Inhibition of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 and liver-related complications in individuals with diabetes: a Mendelian randomization and population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: No medication has been found to reduce liver-related events. We evaluated the effect of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) on liver-related outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with SGLT2 inhibition were identified, and a genetic risk score (GRS) was computed using the UK Biobank data (n=337,138). Two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted using the FinnGen (n=218,792) database and the UK Biobank data. In parallel, a nationwide population-based study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database was conducted. The development of liver-related complications (ie, hepatic decompensation, HCC, liver transplantation, and death) was compared between individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus and steatotic liver diseases treated with SGLT2i (n=13,208) and propensity score-matched individuals treated with dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor (n=70,342). After computing GRS with 6 single nucleotide polymorphisms (rs4488457, rs80577326, rs11865835, rs9930811, rs34497199, and rs35445454), GRS-based MR showed that SGLT2 inhibition (per 1 SD increase of GRS, 0.1% lowering of HbA1c) was negatively associated with cirrhosis development (adjusted odds ratio=0.83, 95% CI=0.70-0.98, p =0.03) and this was consistent in the 2-sample MR (OR=0.73, 95% CI=0.60-0.90, p =0.003). In the Korean NHIS database, the risk of liver-related complications was significantly lower in the SGLT2i group than in the dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor group (adjusted hazard ratio=0.88, 95% CI=0.79-0.97, p =0.01), and this difference remained significant (adjusted hazard ratio=0.72-0.89, all p <0.05) across various sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Both MRs using 2 European cohorts and a Korean nationwide population-based cohort study suggest that SGLT2 inhibition is associated with a lower risk of liver-related events.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after curative treatment when switching from tenofovir disoproxil fumarate or entecavir to tenofovir alafenamide: A real-world multicenter cohort study.

AIM: Antiviral treatment reduces the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. However, there is a lack of high-quality evidence regarding the preventive effects of tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) on HCC. We evaluated the impact of TAF use after curative treatment on HCC recurrence. METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery or radiofrequency ablation as a curative treatment for HCC were selected. Those patients who continued antiviral treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs; entecavir [ETV] or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate [TDF]) or switched to TAF were included. The primary outcome was HCC recurrence, and the time-varying effect of NA use on HCC recurrence was analyzed using various statistical methods. RESULTS: Among 2794 consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis B who received curative treatment for HCC, 199 subsequently switched from ETV or TDF to TAF. After a median of 3.0 years, 1303 patients (46.6%) experienced HCC recurrence. After propensity score matching (ratio 1:10), switching to TAF was not associated with an increased HCC recurrence (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.68-1.47; p = 1.00) by time-varying Cox analysis. Switching to TAF was not associated with HCC recurrence in subgroups of NA (HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.67-1.67; p = 0.81 for TDF, and HR 1.09, 95% CI 0.51-2.33; p = 0.82 for ETV). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed comparable HCC recurrence-free survival between patients who switched to TAF and those who continued with their NA (p = 0.08). Time-varying Cox analyses in various subgroups confirmed the primary findings. CONCLUSIONS: TAF is as effective as TDF and ETV in preventing HCC recurrence after curative treatment.

Machine learning-based clinical decision support system for treatment recommendation and overall survival prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma: a multi-center study.

The treatment decisions for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma are determined by a wide range of factors, and there is a significant difference between the recommendations of widely used staging systems and the actual initial treatment choices. Herein, we propose a machine learning-based clinical decision support system suitable for use in multi-center settings. We collected data from nine institutions in South Korea for training and validation datasets. The internal and external datasets included 935 and 1750 patients, respectively. We developed a model with 20 clinical variables consisting of two stages: the first stage which recommends initial treatment using an ensemble voting machine, and the second stage, which predicts post-treatment survival using a random survival forest algorithm. We derived the first and second treatment options from the results with the highest and the second-highest probabilities given by the ensemble model and predicted their post-treatment survival. When only the first treatment option was accepted, the mean accuracy of treatment recommendation in the internal and external datasets was 67.27% and 55.34%, respectively. The accuracy increased to 87.27% and 86.06%, respectively, when the second option was included as the correct answer. Harrell's C index, integrated time-dependent AUC curve, and integrated Brier score of survival prediction in the internal and external datasets were 0.8381 and 0.7767, 91.89 and 86.48, 0.12, and 0.14, respectively. The proposed system can assist physicians by providing data-driven predictions for reference from other larger institutions or other physicians within the same institution when making treatment decisions.

Extrahepatic malignancies in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease: A nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) encompasses heterogeneous fatty liver diseases associated with metabolic disorders. We aimed to evaluate the association between MAFLD and extrahepatic malignancies based on MAFLD subtypes. METHODS: This nationwide cohort study included 9 298 497 patients who participated in a health-screening programme of the National Health Insurance Service of Korea in 2009. Patients were further classified into four subgroups: non-MAFLD, diabetes mellitus (DM)-MAFLD, overweight/obese-MAFLD and lean-MAFLD. The primary outcome was the development of any primary extrahepatic malignancy, while death, decompensated liver cirrhosis and liver transplantation were considered competing events. The secondary outcomes included all-cause and extrahepatic malignancy-related mortality. RESULTS: In total, 2 500 080 patients were diagnosed with MAFLD. During a median follow-up of 10.3 years, 447 880 patients (6.0%) with extrahepatic malignancies were identified. The DM-MAFLD (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.11-1.14; p < .001) and the lean-MAFLD (aSHR = 1.12; 95% CI = 1.10-1.14; p < .001) groups were associated with higher risks of extrahepatic malignancy than the non-MAFLD group. However, the overweight/obese-MAFLD group exhibited a similar risk of extrahepatic malignancy compared to the non-MAFLD group (aSHR = 1.00; 95% CI = .99-1.00; p = .42). These findings were reproduced in several sensitivity analyses. The DM-MAFLD was an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.41; 95% CI = 1.40-1.43; p < .001) and extrahepatic malignancy-related mortality (aHR = 1.20; 95% CI = 1.17-1.23; p < .001). CONCLUSION: The diabetic or lean subtype of MAFLD was associated with a higher risk of extrahepatic malignancy than non-MAFLD. As MAFLD comprises a heterogeneous population, appropriate risk stratification and management based on the MAFLD subtypes are required.

Demographic, clinical and psychological predictors of malnutrition among people with liver cancer.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to explore the nutritional status and examine the demographic, clinical, nutritional, and psychosocial characteristics associated with malnutrition among people with liver cancer. METHODS: A descriptive cross-sectional design was used. Data were collected from a convenience sample of 162 liver cancer outpatients at a tertiary university hospital. Nutritional status was evaluated using the Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PG-SGA). Self-administered structured questionnaires were administered, and medical records were reviewed for demographic, clinical, nutritional, and psychosocial characteristics. RESULTS: Based on PG-SGA scores, 27 patients (16.7%) were classified into the malnutrition group. The stages of liver cancer, chemotherapy, physical and psychological symptom distress, global distress index, levels of alpha-fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonists, body mass index, appetite, hemoglobin and albumin levels, and depression were statistically significantly associated with malnutrition. Logistic regression model revealed that physical symptom distress, liver cancer stage, depression, and body mass index influenced statistically significantly malnutrition. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, clinical, nutritional, and psychosocial characteristics predicted malnutrition among people with liver cancer. Nurses should consider these characteristics when evaluating the nutritional status of people with liver cancer.

Urinary microbiome-based metagenomic signature for the noninvasive diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Gut microbial dysbiosis is implicated in chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the role of microbiomes from various body sites remains unexplored. We assessed disease-specific alterations in the urinary microbiome in HCC patients, investigating their potential as diagnostic biomarkers. METHODS: We performed cross-sectional analyses of urine samples from 471 HCC patients and 397 healthy controls and validated the results in an independent cohort of 164 HCC patients and 164 healthy controls. Urinary microbiomes were analyzed by 16S rRNA gene sequencing. A microbial marker-based model distinguishing HCC from controls was built based on logistic regression, and its performance was tested. RESULTS: Microbial diversity was significantly reduced in the HCC patients compared with the controls. There were significant differences in the abundances of various bacteria correlated with HCC, thus defining a urinary microbiome-derived signature of HCC. We developed nine HCC-associated genera-based models with robust diagnostic accuracy (area under the curve [AUC], 0.89; balanced accuracy, 81.2%). In the validation, this model detected HCC with an AUC of 0.94 and an accuracy of 88.4%. CONCLUSIONS: The urinary microbiome might be a potential biomarker for the detection of HCC. Further clinical testing and validation of these results are needed in prospective studies.

Comparison of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib for hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein tumor thrombosis.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib are currently available as first-line therapy for the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, comparative efficacy studies are still limited. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness of these treatments in HCC patients with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT). METHODS: We retrospectively included patients who received either atezolizumab plus bevacizumab or lenvatinib as first-line systemic therapy for HCC with PVTT. Primary endpoint was overall survival (OS), and secondary endpoints included progressionfree survival (PFS) and disease control rate (DCR) determined by response evaluation criteria in solid tumors, version 1.1. RESULTS: A total of 52 patients were included: 30 received atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and 22 received lenvatinib. The median follow-up duration was 6.4 months (interquartile range, 3.9-9.8). The median OS was 10.8 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.7 to not estimated) with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and 5.8 months (95% CI, 4.8 to not estimated) with lenvatinib (P=0.26 by log-rank test). There was no statistically significant difference in OS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.71; 95% CI, 0.34-1.49; P=0.37). The median PFS was similar (P=0.63 by log-rank test), with 4.1 months (95% CI, 3.3-7.7) for atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and 4.3 months (95% CI, 2.6-5.8) for lenvatinib (aHR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.51-1.69; P=0.80). HRs were similar after inverse probability treatment weighting. The DCRs were 23.3% and 18.2% in patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib, respectively (P=0.74). CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab and lenvatinib was comparable for the treatment of HCC with PVTT.

Reappraisal of Portal Vein Tumor Thrombosis as a Prognostic Factor for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

Background/Aims: : This study aimed to assess whether hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) could have favorable prognoses with proper treatment under selective conditions. Methods: : This retrospective, single-center study involved 1,168 patients diagnosed with HCC between January 2005 and December 2006, before the introduction of sorafenib. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify and adjust the variables associated with OS. Results: : In nodular-type HCC, the OS differed significantly according to the presence of PVTT (log-rank p<0.001), and the level of PVTT, not only its presence, was a major independent factor affecting OS. PVTT at the Vp1-3 branch was associated with significantly longer OS than was PVTT at the Vp4 level (hazard ratio [HR], 1.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 3.21). In multivariate analysis, the OS was further stratified according to the PVTT level and tumor type, representing that nodular HCC without PVTT exhibited the best OS, whereas nodular HCC with Vp4 PVTT (adjusted HR, 2.59; 95% CI, 1.57 to 4.28) showed a poor prognosis similar to that of infiltrative HCC. The PVTT level was consistently correlated with OS in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization. Nodular HCC without PVTT showed the best prognosis, while nodular HCC with Vp1-3 PVTT also exhibited a favorable OS, although inferior to that without PVTT (adjusted HR, 1.47, 95% CI, 0.92 to 2.36). Conclusions: : Active treatment such as transarterial chemoembolization can be considered for selected PVTT cases. The level of PVTT and type of HCC were independent prognostic factors.

A circulating cell-free DNA methylation signature for the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma.

To address the shortcomings of current hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance tests, we set out to find HCC-specific methylation markers and develop a highly sensitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based method to detect them in circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA). The analysis of large methylome data revealed that Ring Finger Protein 135 (RNF135) and Lactate Dehydrogenase B (LDHB) are universally applicable HCC methylation markers with no discernible methylation level detected in any other tissue types. These markers were used to develop Methylation Sensitive High-Resolution Analysis (MS-HRM), and their diagnostic accuracy was tested using cfDNA from healthy, at-risk, and HCC patients. The combined MS-HRM RNF135 and LDHB analysis detected 57% of HCC, outperforming the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) test's sensitivity of 45% at comparable specificity. Furthermore, when used with the AFP test, the methylation assay can detect 70% of HCC. Our findings suggest that the cfDNA methylation assay could be used for HCC liquid biopsy.