Identifying the early predictors of non-response to steroids in patients with flare of autoimmune hepatitis causing acute-on-chronic liver failure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Early identification of non-response to steroids is critical in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We assessed if this non-response can be accurately identified within first few days of treatment. METHODS: Patients with AIH-ACLF without baseline infection/hepatic encephalopathy were identified from APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) database. Diagnosis of AIH-ACLF was based mainly on histology. Those treated with steroids were assessed for non-response (defined as death or liver transplant at 90 days for present study). Laboratory parameters, AARC, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were assessed at baseline and day 3 to identify early non-response. Utility of dynamic SURFASA score [- 6.80 + 1.92*(D0-INR) + 1.94*(∆%3-INR) + 1.64*(∆%3-bilirubin)] was also evaluated. The performance of early predictors was compared with changes in MELD score at 2 weeks. RESULTS: Fifty-five out of one hundred and sixty-five patients (age-38.2 ± 15.0 years, 67.2% females) with AIH-ACLF [median MELD 24 (IQR: 22-27); median AARC score 7 (6-9)] given oral prednisolone 40 (20-40) mg per day were analyzed. The 90 day transplant-free survival in this cohort was 45.7% with worse outcomes in those with incident infections (56% vs 28.0%, p = 0.03). The AUROC of pre-therapy AARC score [0.842 (95% CI 0.754-0.93)], MELD [0.837 (95% CI 0.733-0.94)] score and SURFASA score [0.795 (95% CI 0.678-0.911)] were as accurate as ∆MELD at 2 weeks [0.770 (95% CI 0.687-0.845), p = 0.526] and better than ∆MELD at 3 days [0.541 (95% CI 0.395, 0.687), p < 0.001] to predict non-response. Combination of AARC score > 6, MELD score > 24 with SURFASA score ≥ - 1.2, could identify non-responders at day 3 (concomitant- 75% vs either - 42%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Baseline AARC score, MELD score, and the dynamic SURFASA score on day 3 can accurately identify early non-response to steroids in AIH-ACLF.

Low Volume Plasma Exchange and Low Dose Steroid Improve Survival in Patients With Alcohol-Related Acute on Chronic Liver Failure and Severe Alcoholic Hepatitis - Preliminary Experience.

Background: Alcohol-related acute on chronic liver failure (A-ACLF) patients have high short-term mortality and are poor candidates for steroid therapy. Plasma exchange (PLEX) improves survival in ACLF patients. We analyzed our experience with low volume PLEX (50% of plasma volume exchanged per session) and low dose steroids to treat A-ACLF patients. Methods: We retrospectively compared the efficacy of low volume PLEX and low-dose steroids with standard medical treatment (SMT) in A-ACLF patients treated at our center between November 2017 to June 2019. The primary study outcome was one-year survival. Results: Twenty-one A-ACLF patients in PLEX group [age 40 (29-56) years, median (range); MELD score 31 (29-46)] and 29 A-ACLF patients in SMT group [age 41.5 (28-63) years, MELD score 37 (21-48)] were studied. All 50 study patients had severe alcoholic hepatitis [mDF 84.7 (50-389)]. PLEX group patients had 3 (1-7) PLEX sessions with 1.5 (1.4-1.6) liters of plasma exchanged per session and oral Prednisolone 20 mg daily, tapered over 1 month. Kaplan Meier analysis showed better survival over 1 year in the PLEX group compared to the SMT group (P = 0.03). There was renal dysfunction in 10 patients in the PLEX group, which normalized in six patients after PLEX. Conclusion: In this preliminary report, compared to SMT, low volume PLEX and low dose steroid improved survival over one year in A-ACLF patients with severe alcoholic hepatitis. In patients with renal dysfunction, 60% showed improvement in renal function with PLEX. Studies with a larger number of patients are needed to validate these results.

Liver failure determines the outcome in patients of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): comparison of APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) and CLIF-SOFA models.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a progressive disease associated with rapid clinical worsening and high mortality. Early prediction of mortality and intervention can improve patient outcomes. We aimed to develop a dynamic prognostic model and compare it with the existing models. METHODS: A total of 1402 ACLF patients, enrolled in the APASL-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) with 90-day follow-up, were analyzed. An ACLF score was developed in a derivation cohort (n = 480) and was validated (n = 922). RESULTS: The overall survival of ACLF patients at 28 days was 51.7%, with a median of 26.3 days. Five baseline variables, total bilirubin, creatinine, serum lactate, INR and hepatic encephalopathy, were found to be independent predictors of mortality, with AUROC in derivation and validation cohorts being 0.80 and 0.78, respectively. AARC-ACLF score (range 5-15) was found to be superior to MELD and CLIF SOFA scores in predicting mortality with an AUROC of 0.80. The point scores were categorized into grades of liver failure (Gr I: 5-7; II: 8-10; and III: 11-15 points) with 28-day cumulative mortalities of 12.7, 44.5 and 85.9%, respectively. The mortality risk could be dynamically calculated as, with each unit increase in AARC-ACLF score above 10, the risk increased by 20%. A score of ≥11 at baseline or persisting in the first week was often seen among nonsurvivors (p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The AARC-ACLF score is easy to use, dynamic and reliable, and superior to the existing prediction models. It can reliably predict the need for interventions, such as liver transplant, within the first week.