Virological History Predicts Non-sustained Viral Suppression with Long-Acting Cabotegravir and Rilpivirine Therapy, independent of Pharmacokinetic Parameters.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate factors contributing to non-sustained viral suppression, including intermittent viremia and persistent low-level viremia, during cabotegravir (CAB) plus rilpivirine (RPV) long-acting (LA) injectable therapy, with a focus on pharmacokinetics (PK). METHODS: A prospective cohort study was conducted on people with HIV (PWH) transitioning from stable oral antiretroviral therapy (ART) to bimonthly CAB+RPV LA. Standardized follow-up included close monitoring through blood sampling for plasma HIV-1 viral load (VL) and multiple plasma drug concentrations measurements to analyze the connection between PK parameters and virologic outcomes. RESULTS: Among 173 patients with a median (IQR) follow-up of 11.1(7.1-13.2) months and 789 pre-dose measurements, 38.7% experienced VL≥20 copies/mL, and 16.2% had levels ≥50 copies/mL. Intermittent viremia occurred in 34.7% of patients, and persistent low-level viremia in 4%. Virological failure developed in two cases. Predictors of non-sustained viral suppression included VL at HIV diagnosis [AHR: 1.49 per log10 VL, 95% CI: 1.04-2.12, P =.027], detectable viremia on oral ART [AHR: 2.45, 95% CI: 1.29-4.65, P =.006], and the level of viral suppression at transition [AHR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.19-0.75, P =.004]. We found a significant association between low trough concentrations of CAB and RPV and episodes of detectable viremia exceeding 50 copies/mL. However, none of the assessed PK covariates predicted non-sustained viral suppression in multivariable models. CONCLUSION: Non-sustained viral suppression in PWH transitioning from stable oral ART to CAB+RPV LA was linked to pre-existing factors before transition. Higher VL pre-ART and incomplete suppression on oral therapy increased the risk, independent of PK parameters.

Integrated analysis of viral blips, residual viremia, and associated factors in people with HIV: Results from a retrospective cohort study.

The etiology of viral blips is not yet fully elucidated. One of the hypotheses is that blips reflect variations in residual viremia (RV) near the detectability threshold. In this study, we evaluated whether RV is associated with viral blips and which factors are associated with RV. All treatment regimens in 2010-2020 consisting of two nucleos(-t)ide reverse transcriptase inhibitors and one anchor (integrase strand transfer inhibitor [INSTI], non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor [NNRTI], or protease inhibitor [PI]) in people with HIV (PWH) were evaluated for RV (detectable viremia <50 cp/mL) and blips (isolated viral loads [VLs] 50-499 cp/mL between measurements <50 cp/mL). All medical records were reviewed and regimens in which a VL ≥ 50 cp/mL was deemed to result from non-adherence (based on the documented conclusion by the treating physician) were excluded. Factors associated with blips and RV were identified using generalized linear mixed models. In total, 24 518 VLs from 1658 PWH were analyzed. VLs were measured during INSTI- (n = 5119; 20.9%), PI- (n = 8935; 36.4%), and NNRTI-use (n = 10 464; 42.7%). VLs were categorized as blips in 1.4% (n = 332). The 24,186 non-blip VLs were RNAneg (no RV) (n = 15 326; 63.4%), 1-19 cp/mL (n = 6318; 26.1%), 20-49 cp/mL (n = 1620; 6.7%), or <50 cp/mL with an unknown RV level (n = 922; 3.8%). In 193/1658 PWH (11.6%), the RV level was RNAneg in all VLs assessed. RV 1-19 cp/mL and 20-49 cp/mL (vs. RNAneg ) were significantly associated with subsequent viral blips (respective odds ratio 2.66 and 4.90 [95% confidence intervals: 1.98-3.58 and 3.41-7.04]). Zenith VL and use of PIs (vs. INSTIs/NNRTIs) were associated with higher RV and blip odds. This large cohort study showed that blips were associated with higher preceding RV. Both the anchor type and factors previously linked to the latent viral reservoir were associated with RV, suggesting blips having a multifactorial origin.

The impact of the M184V resistance mutation on treatment outcomes in patients with HIV infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

HIV is a global deliberating infectious disease. Of note, more than 36 million people living with HIV (PLHIV) with approximately newly diagnosed 1.5 million cases annually. M184V is a single base mutation in the highly conserved YMDD domain of reverse transcriptase (RT). It is one of the most encountered resistances associated with mutations to nucleoside RT inhibitors. There were continuous efforts to evaluate the impact of M184V mutation on the treatment outcomes in PLHIV. Therefore, the present systematic review was executed to reveal the virological failure, virological suppression, and resistance to antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens in PLHIV with the M184V mutation. All clinical studies comparing the treatment outcomes among PLHIV harboring or not harboring M184V mutation were appropriate for systematic review and meta-analysis. The present systematic review included six articles, encompassing 4760 PLHIV. Of them, 1222 (25.67%) patients had M184V mutation, while 3538 (74.32%) PLHIV did not. The meta-analysis showed that patients with M184V mutation were 1.87 times more liable to virological failure (risk ratio [RR] 1.87; 95% 1.09, 3.20; p = 0.02). Furthermore, pooling the data from two studies revealed a significantly higher risk of viral blips (RR 2.26; 95% 1.47, 3.46; p = 0.0002). Concerning discontinuation of ART, there was no statistical difference between patients with and without M184V mutation (RR: 0.99; 95% 0.78, 1.25; p = 0.90). The present study revealed the negative impact of the M184V mutation on treatment outcomes in PLHIV. This included a higher risk of virological failure and viral blips, relative to patients without the mutation. Such patients may benefit from more aggressive and combined therapy for better disease management.

Influencing factors and adverse outcomes of virologic rebound states in anti-retroviral-treated individuals with HIV infection.

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) aims to inhibit HIV replication, decrease CD4 T cell loss, and immune function recovery in order to reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with the infection. Treatment should also, improve quality of life and control HIV spread. However, incomplete viral suppression still occurs during ART. Viral suppression and virological failure (VF) thresholds vary between studies in terms of virological rebound (VR) states using different detection thresholds. Further understanding of influencing factors and adverse outcomes in various VR states should provide important guidance for HIV treatment.

A Prognostic Model Based on Clinical Biomarkers for Heart Failure in Adult Patients Following Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation.

Heart failure (HF) is an uncommon but serious cardiovascular complication after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). Unfortunately, knowledge about early mortality prognostic factors in patients with HF after allo-HSCT is limited, and an easy-to-use prognostic model is not available. This study aimed to develop and validate a clinical-biomarker prognostic model capable of predicting HF mortality following allo-HSCT that uses a combination of variables readily available in clinical practice. To investigate this issue, we conducted a retrospective analysis at our center with 154 HF patients who underwent allo-HSCT between 2008 and 2021. The patients were separated according to the time of transplantation, with 100 patients composing the derivation cohort and the other 54 patients composing the external validation cohort. We first calculated the univariable association for each variable with 2-month mortality in the derivation cohort. We then included the variables with a P value <.1 in univariate analysis as candidate predictors in the multivariate analysis using a backward stepwise logistic regression model. Variables remaining in the final model were identified as independent prognostic factors. To predict the prognosis of HF, a scoring system was established, and scores were assigned to the prognostic factors based on the regression coefficient. Finally, 4 strongly significant independent prognostic factors for 2-month mortality from HF were identified using multivariable logistic regression methods with stepwise variable selection: pulmonary infection (P = .005), grade III to IV acute graft-versus-host disease (severe aGVHD; P = .033), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) >426 U/L (P = .049), and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) >1799 pg/mL (P = .026). A risk grading model termed the BLIPS score (for BNP, LDH, cardiac troponin I, pulmonary infection, and severe aGVHD) was constructed according to the regression coefficients. The validated internal C-statistic was .870 (95% confidence interval [CI], .798 to .942), and the external C-statistic was .882 (95% CI, .791-.973). According to the calibration plots, the model-predicted probability correlated well with the actual observed frequencies. The clinical use of the prognostic model, according to decision curve analysis, could benefit HF patients. The BLIPS model in our study can serve to identify HF patients at higher risk for mortality early, which might aid designing timely targeted therapies and eventually improving patients' survival and prognosis.

Virologic Failure Following Low-level Viremia and Viral Blips During Antiretroviral Therapy: Results From a European Multicenter Cohort.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether low-level viremia (LLV), defined as repeatedly detectable viral load (VL) of <200 copies/mL, and/or transient viremic episodes (blips) during antiretroviral therapy (ART), predict future virologic failure. We investigated the association between LLV, blips, and virologic failure (VF) in a multicenter European cohort. METHODS: People with HIV-1 who started ART in 2005 or later were identified from the EuResist Integrated Database. We analyzed the incidence of VF (≥200 copies/mL) depending on viremia exposure, starting 12 months after ART initiation (grouped as suppression [≤50 copies/mL], blips [isolated VL of 51-999 copies/mL], and LLV [repeated VLs of 51-199 copies/mL]) using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for age, sex, injecting drug use, pre-ART VL, CD4 count, HIV-1 subtype, type of ART, and treatment experience. We queried the database for drug-resistance mutations (DRM) related to episodes of LLV and VF and compared those with baseline resistance data. RESULTS: During 81 837 person-years of follow-up, we observed 1424 events of VF in 22 523 participants. Both blips (adjusted subhazard ratio [aHR], 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-2.2) and LLV (aHR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.6-3.0) were associated with VF, compared with virologic suppression. These associations remained statistically significant in subanalyses restricted to people with VL <200 copies/mL and those starting ART 2014 or later. Among people with LLV and genotype data available within 90 days following LLV, 49/140 (35%) had at least 1 DRM. CONCLUSIONS: Both blips and LLV during ART are associated with increased risk of subsequent VF.

Dynamics of a new HIV model with the activation status of infected cells.

The activation status can dictate the fate of an HIV-infected CD4+ T cell. Infected cells with a low level of activation remain latent and do not produce virus, while cells with a higher level of activation are more productive and thus likely to transfer more virions to uninfected cells during cell-to-cell transmission. How the activation status of infected cells affects HIV dynamics under antiretroviral therapy remains unclear. We develop a new mathematical model that structures the population of infected cells continuously according to their activation status. The effectiveness of antiretroviral drugs in blocking cell-to-cell viral transmission decreases as the level of activation of infected cells increases because the more virions are transferred from infected to uninfected cells during cell-to-cell transmission, the less effectively the treatment is able to inhibit the transmission. The basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the model is shown to determine the existence and stability of the equilibria. Using the principal spectral theory and comparison principle, we show that the infection-free equilibrium is locally and globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text] is less than one. By constructing Lyapunov functional, we prove that the infected equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when [Formula: see text] is greater than one. Numerical investigation shows that even when treatment can completely block cell-free virus infection, virus can still persist due to cell-to-cell transmission. The random switch between infected cells with different activation levels can also contribute to the replenishment of the latent reservoir, which is considered as a major barrier to viral eradication. This study provides a new modeling framework to study the observations, such as the low viral load persistence, extremely slow decay of latently infected cells and transient viral load measurements above the detection limit, in HIV-infected patients during suppressive antiretroviral therapy.

Two cases of novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) with transient viral elevation using semi-quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR and symptom relapse after completion of 10 days of favipiravir treatment.

The coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19), which began in Wuhan, China, at the end of 2019, is spreading around the world and causing many deaths, mainly from pneumonia. Currently, there are no specific drugs to treat COVID-19, and existing antiviral drugs are being used as an alternative. One of these is favipiravir, a new type of influenza drug. However, its efficacy, dosage, and duration of administration are still under study. In this case study, we administered favipiravir to patients with COVID-19 and determined the viral load of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the COVID-19 pathogen, using semi-quantitative real-time reverse transcription PCR in sputum samples. We report on two patients in whom the viral load increased again after completion of 10 days of favipiravir treatment and a transient relapse of symptoms was observed.

A smartphone-based petrographic microscope.

Photomicrographs of thin sections provide a swift and efficient means of sharing information for consultation, education, documentation and publication within the Geosciences and related areas. In general terms, the main way to capture digital microscopic images involves the use of a mounted camera unit on a high-end costly benchtop microscope. However, freehand methods to capture microscope-scale images using a smartphone, as well as smartphone adapters that can be attached to a microscope have emerged during recent years. This paper presents the design features of a costless system able to obtain photomicrographs without requiring a conventional microscope. The imaging device is comprised of a mini-objective lens attached to a smartphone and a structure that allows it to focus as well as to rotate the stage and to insert/remove a polarized sheet. The quality and magnification of the images attainable from the new design is comparable to the images normally obtained by a conventional petrographic microscope using a ×4 objective and a ×10 ocular (total magnification ×40).

Development and characterization of portable smartphone-based imaging device.

Many diseases in rural areas and developing countries are detected late at an advanced stage when treatment might involve complications and higher cost, resulting in a greater number of fatalities. This study aims to make early disease detection simpler and affordable for people living in remote areas and developing countries. A new age optical microscope with high sensitivity diagnosis can revolutionize this gap in disease detection. Here, a smartphone-based imaging device (SID) using optics and a smartphone interface was developed to speedup the process of diagnosis in areas that do not have easy access to health centers and diagnostic clinics. The device was built using acrylic sheets to make it less bulky and customizable and three-dimensional (3D) printed mechanical parts were used to increase stability. The study includes calibration, and testing the device with various samples to determine its capabilities. Images were acquired using the various types of BLIPS lens integrated onto the smartphone camera lens and compared with optical microscope images. The device can visualize single human blood cell which is 8 µm in size using ultra-BLIPS lens and magnification is comparable to an objective lens used in an optical microscope.

Models Predicting Psychosis in Patients With High Clinical Risk: A Systematic Review.

OBJECTIVE: The present study reviews predictive models used to improve prediction of psychosis onset in individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR), using clinical, biological, neurocognitive, environmental, and combinations of predictors. METHODS: A systematic literature search on PubMed was carried out (from 1998 through 2019) to find all studies that developed or validated a model predicting the transition to psychosis in CHR subjects. RESULTS: We found 1,406 records. Thirty-eight of them met the inclusion criteria; 11 studies using clinical predictive models, seven studies using biological models, five studies using neurocognitive models, five studies using environmental models, and 18 studies using combinations of predictive models across different domains. While the highest positive predictive value (PPV) in clinical, biological, neurocognitive, and combined predictive models were relatively high (all above 83), the highest PPV across environmental predictive models was modest (63%). Moreover, none of the combined models showed a superiority when compared with more parsimonious models (using only neurocognitive, clinical, biological, or environmental factors). CONCLUSIONS: The use of predictive models may allow high prognostic accuracy for psychosis prediction in CHR individuals. However, only ten studies had performed an internal validation of their models. Among the models with the highest PPVs, only the biological and neurocognitive but not the combined models underwent validation. Further validation of predicted models is needed to ensure external validity.

Features of Cytomegalovirus DNAemia Blips in Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients: Implications for Optimization of Preemptive Antiviral Therapy Strategies.

Cytomegalovirus (CMV) DNAemia occurs frequently in allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplant recipients (allo-HSCT). There is limited information about the incidence, features, and clinical impact of CMV DNAemia blips (episodes defined by an isolated positive PCR result) in this setting. In this retrospective study, 225 consecutive adult patients undergoing any modality of allo-HSCT at our center between May 2012 and July 2019 were included. Plasma CMV DNA load was monitored using a highly sensitive real-time PCR assay. In all, 187 of 225 patients had CMV DNAemia through day 365 after allo-HSCT (total number of episodes, n = 379). Eighty-three of the 187 patients had 1 or more blips (n = 104). Blips occurred as a first episode of CMV DNAemia as opposed to prolonged CMV DNAemia (≥2 consecutive positive PCR results) in 47 patients; in 20 of these patients, blips represented the only documented episode throughout the study period, and in 27 patients, blips preceded a prolonged CMV DNAemia episode. In the remaining 36 patients, blips developed as recurrences. Blips presenting as initial episodes occurred more frequently (P < .001) in patients receiving an allograft from a CMV-seropositive donor. The cumulative incidence of recurrent CMV DNAemia following initial blips, self-resolving prolonged CMV DNAemia episodes, or CMV DNAemia episodes treated preemptively with antivirals was not significantly different (P = .34). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that a CMV DNA load cutoff of 48 IU/mL yielded the highest combined sensitivity (66%) and specificity (70.2%) for predicting a prolonged CMV DNAemia episode. The practical implications of our data in the optimization of preemptive antiviral therapy strategies are discussed.

Unmet needs for treatment in 102 individuals with brief and limited intermittent psychotic symptoms (BLIPS): implications for current clinical recommendations.

AIMS: To investigate clinical outcomes and unmet needs in individuals at Clinical High Risk for Psychosis presenting with Brief and Limited Intermittent Psychotic Symptoms (BLIPS). METHODS: Prospective naturalistic long-term (up to 9 years) cohort study in individuals meeting BLIPS criteria at the Outreach And Support In South-London (OASIS) up to April 2016. Baseline sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, specific BLIPS features, preventive treatments received and clinical outcomes (psychotic and non-psychotic) were measured. Analyses included Kaplan Meier survival estimates and Cox regression methods. RESULTS: One hundred and two BLIPS individuals were followed up to 9 years. Across BLIPS cases, 35% had an abrupt onset; 32% were associated with acute stress, 45% with lifetime trauma and 20% with concurrent illicit substance use. The vast majority (80%) of BLIPS individuals, despite being systematically offered cognitive behavioural therapy for psychosis, did not fully engage with it and did not receive the minimum effective dose. Only 3% of BLIPS individuals received the appropriate dose of cognitive behavioural therapy. At 4-year follow-up, 52% of the BLIPS individuals developed a psychotic disorder, 34% were admitted to hospital and 16% received a compulsory admission. At 3-year follow-up, 52% of them received an antipsychotic treatment; at 4-year follow-up, 26% of them received an antidepressant treatment. The presence of seriously disorganising and dangerous features was a strong poor prognostic factor. CONCLUSIONS: BLIPS individuals display severe clinical outcomes beyond their very high risk of developing psychosis and show poor compliance with preventive cognitive behavioural therapy. BLIPS individuals have severe needs for treatment that are not met by current preventive strategies.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Significance of Brief Limited Intermittent Psychotic Symptoms (BLIPS) in Individuals at Ultra High Risk.

BACKGROUND: Brief Limited Intermittent Psychotic Symptoms (BLIPS) are key inclusion criteria to define individuals at ultra high risk for psychosis (UHR). Their diagnostic and prognostic significance is unclear. OBJECTIVES: To address the baseline diagnostic relationship between BLIPS and the ICD-10 categories and examine the longitudinal prognostic impact of clinical and sociodemographic factors. METHODS: Prospective long-term study in UHR individuals meeting BLIPS criteria. Sociodemographic and clinical data, including ICD-10 diagnoses, were automatically drawn from electronic health records and analyzed using Kaplan-Meier failure function (1-survival), Cox regression models, bootstrapping methods, and Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Eighty BLIPS were included. At baseline, two-thirds (68%) of BLIPS met the diagnostic criteria for ICD-10 Acute and Transient Psychotic Disorder (ATPD), most featuring schizophrenic symptoms. The remaining individuals met ICD-10 diagnostic criteria for unspecified nonorganic psychosis (15%), mental and behavioral disorders due to use of cannabinoids (11%), and mania with psychotic symptoms (6%). The overall 5-year risk of psychosis was 0.54. Recurrent episodes of BLIPS were relatively rare (11%) but associated with a higher risk of psychosis (hazard ratio [HR] 3.98) than mono-episodic BLIPS at the univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed that seriously disorganizing or dangerous features increased greatly (HR = 4.39) the risk of psychosis (0.89 at 5-year). Bootstrapping confirmed the robustness of this predictor (area under the ROC = 0.74). CONCLUSIONS: BLIPS are most likely to fulfill the ATPD criteria, mainly acute schizophrenic subtypes. About half of BLIPS cases develops a psychotic disorder during follow-up. Recurrent BLIPS are relatively rare but tend to develop into psychosis. BLIPS with seriously disorganizing or dangerous features have an extreme high risk of psychosis.

Frequent Episodes of Detectable Viremia in HIV Treatment-Experienced Children is Associated with a Decline in CD4+ T-cells Over Time.

BACKGROUND: The clinical consequences of the magnitude and the duration of detectable viremia in HIV-infected children have not been well characterized. We examined the predictors and immunologic consequences over time of frequent episodes of detectable viremia in HIV-infected children followed at Yale-New Haven Hospital. METHODS: We analyzed the CD4+ T-cell and HIV viral load over a 19-year period (1996 to 2013) of 104 HIV-infected children enrolled in the Yale Prospective Longitudinal Pediatric HIV Cohort. Both CD4+ T-lymphocytes and HIV viral load were measured at clinic visits every 3 to 4 months. Longitudinal data analyses using polynomial random coefficients models were conducted to examine overtime changes in CD4+ T-cell counts by frequency of episodes of detectable viremia. Moreover, regression analyses using logistic regression models were used to assess the predictors of frequent episodes of detectable viremia. RESULTS: One hundred and four (104) HIV-infected children with more than one HIV viral load measurement between 1996 and November 2013 were included in the analysis. Over 80% (N=86) of the children had detectable viral load (HIV RNA viral load ≥50 copies/ml) during more than 50% of their clinic visits. Children with infrequent episodes of detectable viremia had significantly higher CD4+ T-cell counts overtime compared to those with frequent episodes of detectable viremia (P<0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Both frequency and magnitude of episodes of detectable viremia had effect on CD4+ T-cells. Strict adherence to a treatment goal of undetectable HIV viremia in children is likely to be beneficial.

Factors associated with HIV viral load "blips" and the relationship between self-reported adherence and efavirenz blood levels on blip occurrence: a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: The uncertain etiology of HIV viral load (VL) blips may lead to increased use of clinical resources. We evaluated the association of self-reported adherence (SRA) and antiretroviral (ART) drug levels on blip occurrence in US Military HIV Natural History Study (NHS) participants who initiated the single-tablet regimen efavirenz/emtricitabine/tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (EFV/FTC/TDF). METHODS: ART-naïve NHS participants started on EFV/FTC/TDF between 2006 and 2013 who achieved VL suppression (<50 copies/mL) within 12 months and had available SRA and stored plasma samples were included. Participants with viral blips were compared with those who maintained VL suppression without blips. Untimed EFV plasma levels were evaluated on consecutive blip and non-blip dates by high performance liquid chromatography, with a level ≥1 mcg/mL considered therapeutic. SRA was categorized as ≥85 or <85 %. Descriptive statistics were performed for baseline characteristics and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the relationship between covariates and blip occurrence. RESULTS: A total of 772 individuals met inclusion criteria, including 99 (13 %) blip and 673 (87 %) control participants. African-American was the predominant ethnicity and the mean age was 29 years for both groups. SRA ≥ 85 % was associated with therapeutic EFV levels at both blip and non-blip time points (P = 0.0026); however no association was observed between blips and SRA or EFV levels among cases. On univariate analysis of cases versus controls, blips were associated with higher mean pre-treatment VL (HR 1.45, 95 % CI 1.11-1.89) and pre-treatment CD4 count <350 cells/µL (68.1 vs 49.7 %). Multivariate analysis also showed that blips were associated with a higher mean VL (HR 1.42, 95 % CI 1.08-1.88; P = 0.0123) and lower CD4 count at ART initiation, with CD4 ≥500 cells/µL having a protective effect (HR 0.45, 95 % CI 0.22-0.95; P = 0.0365). No association was observed for demographic characteristics or SRA. CONCLUSION: Blips are commonly encountered in the clinical management of HIV-infected patients. Although blip occurrence was not associated with SRA or EFV blood levels in our study, blips were associated with HIV-related factors of pre-ART high VL and low CD4 count. Additional studies are needed to determine the etiology of blips in HIV-infected patients.

EPA guidance on the early detection of clinical high risk states of psychoses.

The aim of this guidance paper of the European Psychiatric Association is to provide evidence-based recommendations on the early detection of a clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis in patients with mental problems. To this aim, we conducted a meta-analysis of studies reporting on conversion rates to psychosis in non-overlapping samples meeting any at least any one of the main CHR criteria: ultra-high risk (UHR) and/or basic symptoms criteria. Further, effects of potential moderators (different UHR criteria definitions, single UHR criteria and age) on conversion rates were examined. Conversion rates in the identified 42 samples with altogether more than 4000 CHR patients who had mainly been identified by UHR criteria and/or the basic symptom criterion 'cognitive disturbances' (COGDIS) showed considerable heterogeneity. While UHR criteria and COGDIS were related to similar conversion rates until 2-year follow-up, conversion rates of COGDIS were significantly higher thereafter. Differences in onset and frequency requirements of symptomatic UHR criteria or in their different consideration of functional decline, substance use and co-morbidity did not seem to impact on conversion rates. The 'genetic risk and functional decline' UHR criterion was rarely met and only showed an insignificant pooled sample effect. However, age significantly affected UHR conversion rates with lower rates in children and adolescents. Although more research into potential sources of heterogeneity in conversion rates is needed to facilitate improvement of CHR criteria, six evidence-based recommendations for an early detection of psychosis were developed as a basis for the EPA guidance on early intervention in CHR states.

HIV virological rebounds but not blips predict liver fibrosis progression in antiretroviral-treated HIV/hepatitis C virus-coinfected patients.

OBJECTIVES: Antiretroviral interruption is associated with liver fibrosis progression in HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection. It is not known what level of HIV viraemia affects fibrosis progression. METHODS: We evaluated 288 HIV/HCV-coinfected cohort participants with undetectable HIV RNA (<50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) on two consecutive visits while on combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) without fibrosis [aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) <1.5], end-stage liver disease or HCV therapy. An HIV blip was defined as a viral load of ≥ 50 and <1000 copies/mL, preceded and followed by undetectable values. HIV rebound was defined as: (i) HIV RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL on two consecutive visits, or (ii) a single HIV RNA measurement ≥ 1000 copies/mL. Multivariate discrete-time proportional hazards models were used to assess the effect of different viraemia levels on liver fibrosis progression (APRI ≥ 1.5). RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 45 years, 74% were male, 81% reported a history of injecting drug use, 51% currently used alcohol and the median baseline CD4 count was 440 [interquartile range (IQR) 298, 609] cells/µL. Fifty-seven (20%) participants [12.4/100 person-years (PY); 95% confidence interval (CI) 9.2-15.7/100 PY] progressed to an APRI ≥ 1.5 over a mean 1.1 (IQR 0.6, 2.0) years of follow-up time at risk. Virological rebound [hazard ratio (HR) 2.3; 95% CI 1.1, 4.7] but not blips (HR 0.5; 95% CI 0.2, 1.1) predicted progression to APRI ≥ 1.5. Each additional 1 log10 copies/mL HIV RNA exposure (cumulative) was associated with a 20% increase in the risk of fibrosis progression (HR 1.2; 95% CI 1.0-1.3). CONCLUSIONS: Liver fibrosis progression was associated with HIV rebound, but not blips, and with increasing cumulative exposure to HIV RNA, highlighting the importance of achieving and maintaining HIV suppression in the setting of HIV/HCV coinfection.

Immune activation despite suppressive highly active antiretroviral therapy is associated with higher risk of viral blips in HIV-1-infected individuals.

OBJECTIVES: Viral blips are thought to represent random biological variations around a steady state of residual HIV viraemia and to lack clinical significance. We aimed to assess the association of immune activation and the occurrence of blips. METHODS: HIV-infected patients from our out-patient cohort who developed a blip after having been on fully suppressive highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) for at least 180 days were matched with patients without blips according to duration of complete viral suppression (CVS), age, sex and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) stage. Frequencies of CD3(+), CD3(+) CD4(+), CD3(+) CD8(+), CD3(+) HLA-DR(+), CD4(+) CD45RA(+), CD16(+) CD56(+) CD3(-) and CD19(+) cells, as well as C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and clinical parameters, were included in conditional logistic regression models. Adherence to HAART was assessed by measuring prescribed nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) or protease inhibitor (PI) plasma levels in a sample of 57 patients. RESULTS: Eighty-two patients with viral blip were matched with 82 controls from the same cohort. The mean age was 47.2 years [standard deviation (SD) 12.1 years], 80.5% of patients were male and 42.7% had CDC stage C disease. Viral blips occurred after a median of 14 months [interquartile range (IQR) 8-34 months] of CVS. In the logistic regression, activated CD3(+) HLA-DR(+) lymphocytes [odds ratio (OR) 1.25 per 100 cells/µL; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.54; P = 0.03] were significantly associated with blips and there was a trend for an association of longer time on HAART with blips (OR 1.31 per year; 95% CI 0.96-1.78; P = 0.09). No between-group difference regarding subtherapeutic drug levels was found (P = 0.46). CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of viral blips after suppressive HAART was associated with elevated markers of T-cell activation. Blips may identify a subset of patients with higher immune activation and increased risk for HIV disease progression.

Comparing HIV viral load assays and frequency of low level virological rebound in clinical practice.

Research suggests that some low-level virological rebound results occurring for no obvious clinical cause, in patients stable on antiretroviral therapy (ART), may be a consequence of the viral load assay used. We compared the relative frequency of clinically unexplained low-level virological rebound results when using the Roche HIV Taqman version-1 (CTM v1), the Roche HIV Taqman version-2 (CTM v2) and the Abbott RealTime (Abbott RT) assays in clinical practice. In all, 247 patients from our centre who had their viral loads measured by the three different assays over a period of 3 consecutive years (each assay used for a period of 1 year each) were included in the study. Low-level virological rebound was defined as <1000 copies/ml. Over similar time periods, there was significant discrepancy between the three assays when considering the proportion of clinically unexplained low-level virological rebound results in patients stable on ART: the CTM v2 assay produced the highest percentage (93%), CTM v1 much lower (65%) and Abbott RT even less (35%). There is further research required regarding what, if any, implications this has for patients who experience clinically unexplained low-level virological rebound on the more sensitive assays.