Association of increased participation in social activity in later life with risk of all-cause mortality and heart diseases in older people: results from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS).

Background: Previous studies have shown social activity is associated with reduced risk of health outcomes. However, among older people (≥65 years) who were socially inactive at baseline, limited study explored whether increased participation in social activity in later life was associated with reduced risk of health outcomes; therefore, using the data from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey, the study was performed. Methods: The study outcomes were 10-year all-cause mortality (sample number = 9,984) and 10-year heart diseases (sample number = 7,496). The exposure was the change of social activity frequency. Cox regression analysis was used for data analysis. Results: During the follow-up, there were 6,407 all-cause mortalities and 1,035 heart diseases, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that cumulative incidences of all-cause mortality were significantly lower in participants with changes into more frequent social activity (log-rank p < 0.001), while no significant difference was observed for heart diseases (log-rank p = 0.330). Compared with the subgroup who never participated in social activity at baseline, adjusted HRs of all-cause mortality were 0.79 (95% CI: 0.70-0.90, p < 0.001), 0.78 (95% CI: 0.63-0.96, p = 0.019), 0.74 (0.59-0.92, p = 0.006), and 0.70 (95% CI: 0.56-0.88, p = 0.002) for the subgroup of switching to sometimes, the subgroup of switching to once a month, the subgroup of switching to once a week, and the subgroup of switching to everyday, respectively. The corresponding HRs of heart diseases were 0.83 (95% CI: 0.65-1.08, p = 0.170), 0.82 (95% CI: 0.51-1.31, p = 0.412), 0.91 (0.58-1.42, p = 0.675) and 0.75 (95% CI: 0.47-1.20, p = 0.227), respectively. Stratified and sensitivity analyses revealed similar results. Conclusion: Among older people who never participated in social activity, increased participation in social activity in later life was associated with reduced risk of all-cause mortality, but was not associated with reduced risk of heart diseases.

Clinical, epidemiological characteristics and mortality of pregnant and postpartum women associated with COVID-19 in Brazil: cohort study.

Objective: To analyze the death of Brazilian pregnant and postpartum women due to COVID-19 or unspecific cause. Methods: This is retrospective, descriptive-exploratory, population-based study carried out with the Sistema de Informação de Vigilância Epidemiológica da Gripe (SIVEP-Gripe) database, with pregnant and postpartum women of reproductive age who died from confirmed COVID-19 between 2020 and 2021. The chosen variables were: age, gestational period, type and number of comorbidities, skin color, using the statistical software R Foundation for Statistical Computing Platform, version 4.0.3 and Statistical Package for Social Science, version 29.0 for analysis. Results: A total of 19,333 cases of pregnant and postpartum women aged between 10 and 55 years diagnosed with SARS were identified, whether due to confirmed COVID-19 or unspecific causes. Of these, 1,279 died, these cases were classified into two groups according to the cause of death: deaths from COVID-19 (n= 1,026) and deaths from SARS of unspecific cause (n= 253). Conclusion: The risk of death increased among black and brown women, in the postpartum period and with the presence of comorbidities, mainly diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and obesity. The data presented here draw attention to the number of deaths from SARS, especially among sociodemographic profiles, precarious access to health, such as the black population. In addition, limitations in adequate access to health care are reinforced by even lower rates of ICU admissions among women who died from SARS of an unspecified cause.

Association of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: NHANES 2007‒2018 results.

BACKGROUND: Vitamin D insufficiency is a prevalent issue in patients suffering from CKD. The purpose of this study was to determine whether serum 25(OH)D levels are associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with CKD. METHODS: To examine the associations between 25(OH)D levels and cardiovascular mortality, this retrospective cohort study used the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) and the National Death Index (NDI) 2007‒2018 database. A total of 2,668 eligible subjects were included in this study, with follow-up conducted until December 31, 2019. The associations were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression, restricted cubic splines, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and competing risks survival analysis. Furthermore, subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 72 months in a weighted population of 11,715,452 eligible participants, there were 665 deaths from any cause, including 196 cardiovascular-related deaths. After adjusting for covariates, lower levels of 25(OH)D were significantly associated with increased risks for both all-cause mortality (HR= 0.85, 95 % CI 0.77∼0.94) and cardiovascular mortality (SHR= 0.80, 95 % CI 0.67∼0.94). Consistent results were also observed when analyzing 25(OH)D as a categorical variable (quartile). Compared to group Q1, both group Q3 (HR = 0.71, 95 % CI 0.54‒0.93) and group Q4 (HR = 0.72, 95 % CI 0.55‒0.94) exhibited a significantly reduced mortality risk. Weighted restricted cubic splines revealed an inverse J-shaped linear association between levels of 25(OH) D and all-cause mortality ((PNonliner > 0.05). Subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis yielded similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: All-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease-related mortality were significantly increased by lower 25(OH)D levels, both as continuous and categorical variables. 25(OH)D has an inverse J-shaped linear association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Planetary Health Diet Index and risk of total and cause-specific mortality in three prospective cohorts.

BACKGROUND: In 2019, the EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a healthy dietary pattern that, along with reductions in food waste and improved agricultural practices, could feed the increasing global population sustainably. We developed a Planetary Health Diet Index (PHDI) to quantify adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess associations between PHDI and total and cause-specific mortality in 3 prospective cohorts of males and females in the United States. METHODS: We followed 66,692 females from the Nurses' Health Study (1986-2019), 92,438 females from the Nurses' Health Study II (1989-2019), and 47,274 males from the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018) who were free of cancer, diabetes, and major cardiovascular diseases at baseline. The PHDI was calculated every 4 y using a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using multivariable proportional-hazards models. RESULTS: During follow-up, we documented 31,330 deaths among females and 23,206 among males. When comparing the highest with the lowest quintile of PHDI, the pooled multivariable-adjusted HRs were 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75, 0.80] for all-cause mortality (P-trend < 0.0001). The PHDI was associated with lower risk of deaths from cardiovascular diseases (HR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.81, 0.91), cancer (HR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.85, 0.95), respiratory diseases (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.48, 0.59), and neurodegenerative diseases (HR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.67, 0.78). In females, but not males, the PHDI was also significantly associated with a lower risk of deaths from infectious diseases (HR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.51, 0.76). PHDI scores were also associated inversely with greenhouse gas emissions and other environmental impacts. CONCLUSIONS: In 3 large United States-based prospective cohorts of males and females with up to 34 y of follow-up, a higher PHDI was associated with lower risk of total and cause-specific mortality and environment impacts.

Association between triglyceride-glucose related indices and mortality among individuals with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) related indices in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is still unclear. This study aimed to determine the associations between TyG-related indices and long-term mortality in this population. METHODS: The data came from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) and National Death Index (NDI). Baseline TyG, TyG combining with body mass index (TyG-BMI), and TyG combining with waist circumference (TyG-WC) indices were calculated, and mortality status was determined through 31 December 2019. Multivariate Cox and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression models were performed to evaluate the relationship between TyG-related indices and long-term mortality among participants with NAFLD/MASLD. In addition, we examined the association between TyG-related indices and all-cause mortality within subgroups defined by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). RESULTS: There were 10,390 participants with completed ultrasonography and laboratory data included in this study. NAFLD was diagnosed in 3672/10,390 (35.3%) participants, while MASLD in 3556/10,390 (34.2%) amongst the overall population. The multivariate Cox regression analyses showed high levels of TyG-related indices, particularly in TyG-BMI and TyG-WC indices were significantly associated with the all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and diabetes mortality in either NAFLD or MASLD. The RCS curves showed a nonlinear trend between three TyG-related indices with all-cause mortality in either NAFLD or MASLD. Subgroup analyses showed that TyG-BMI and TyG-WC indices were more suitable for predicting all-cause mortality in patients without advanced fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights the clinical value of TyG-related indices in predicting the survival of the NAFLD/MASLD population. TyG-BMI and TyG-WC indices would be the surrogate biomarkers for the follow-up of the population without advanced fibrosis.

Associations of metabolic changes and polygenic risk scores with cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across BMI categories: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Associations between metabolic status and metabolic changes with the risk of cardiovascular outcomes have been reported. However, the role of genetic susceptibility underlying these associations remains unexplored. We aimed to examine how metabolic status, metabolic transitions, and genetic susceptibility collectively impact cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across diverse body mass index (BMI) categories. METHODS: In our analysis of the UK Biobank, we included a total of 481,576 participants (mean age: 56.55; male: 45.9%) at baseline. Metabolically healthy (MH) status was defined by the presence of < 3 abnormal components (waist circumstance, blood pressure, blood glucose, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol). Normal weight, overweight, and obesity were defined as 18.5 ≤ BMI < 25 kg/m2, 25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2, and BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively. Genetic predisposition was estimated using the polygenic risk score (PRS). Cox regressions were performed to evaluate the associations of metabolic status, metabolic transitions, and PRS with cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across BMI categories. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14.38 years, 31,883 (7.3%) all-cause deaths, 8133 (1.8%) cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths, and 67,260 (14.8%) CVD cases were documented. Among those with a high PRS, individuals classified as metabolically healthy overweight had the lowest risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratios [HR] 0.70; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65, 0.76) and CVD mortality (HR 0.57; 95% CI 0.50, 0.64) compared to those who were metabolically unhealthy obesity, with the beneficial associations appearing to be greater in the moderate and low PRS groups. Individuals who were metabolically healthy normal weight had the lowest risk of CVD morbidity (HR 0.54; 95% CI 0.51, 0.57). Furthermore, the inverse associations of metabolic status and PRS with cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across BMI categories were more pronounced among individuals younger than 65 years (Pinteraction < 0.05). Additionally, the combined protective effects of metabolic transitions and PRS on these outcomes among BMI categories were observed. CONCLUSIONS: MH status and a low PRS are associated with a lower risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality across all BMI categories. This protective effect is particularly pronounced in individuals younger than 65 years. Further research is required to confirm these findings in diverse populations and to investigate the underlying mechanisms involved.

Trends in socioeconomic inequalities in life expectancy and lifespan variation in Chile.

Background: Socioeconomic disparities in life expectancy are well-documented in various contexts, including Chile. However, there is a lack of research examining trends in life expectancy inequalities and lifespan variation over time. Addressing these gaps can provide crucial insights into the dynamics of health inequalities. Methods: This study utilizes data from census records, population surveys, and death certificates to compare the life expectancy and the lifespan variation at age 26 of individuals according to their rank in the distribution of years of education within their own birth cohort. The analysis spans three periods (1991, 2002, and 2017) and focuses on two educational groups: individuals in the first (lowest) quintile and tenth (highest) decile of educational attainment. Changes in life expectancy are disaggregated by major causes of death to elucidate their contributions to overall trends. Results: Consistent with existing literature, our findings confirm that individuals with lower education levels experience lower life expectancy and higher lifespan variation compared to their more educated counterparts. Notably, by 2017, life expectancy for individuals in the lowest quintile of education has caught up with that of the top decile in 1991, albeit with contrasting trends between genders. Among women, the gap has reduced, while it has increased for males. Moreover, lifespan variation decreased (increased) over time for individuals in the tenth decile (first quintile). The leading causes of death that explain the increase in life expectancy in women and men in the tenth decile as well as women in the first quintile are cardiovascular, cancer, respiratory and digestive diseases. In the case of males in the first quintile, few gains have been made in life expectancy resulting from cancer and a negative contribution is associated with digestive conditions. Conclusions: This study underscores persistent socioeconomic disparities in life expectancy in Chile, emphasizing the importance of ongoing monitoring of health inequalities across different demographic segments. The gender-specific and educational gradient trends highlight areas for targeted interventions aimed at reducing health disparities and improving overall population health outcomes. Further research is warranted to delve into specific causes of death driving life expectancy differentials and to inform evidence-based policy interventions.

U-shaped association between serum Klotho and all-cause mortality in US cardiovascular patients: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Increased levels of serum Klotho have been associated with a reduced risk of several cardiovascular diseases (CVD). However, limited studies exist on the association between serum Klotho and mortality in patients with CVD. Methods: We collected data from CVD patients in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 2007 to 2016. We linked NHANES data with the National Death Index to determine the survival status of participants. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression models were used to investigate the relationship between serum Klotho levels and mortality in CVD patients. The relationship between serum Klotho quartiles and mortality in CVD patients was visualized using Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves and restricted cubic spine. Finally, subgroup analyses were used to examine the association between serum Klotho and all-cause mortality in different populations. Results: 1905 patients with CVD were finally enrolled in our study with a mean follow-up of 7.1 years. The average age of the participants was 63.4 years, with 58.40% being male. KM showed that lower Klotho levels were associated with lower survival rates. After adjusting for potential confounders, patients with higher serum Klotho levels had lower all-cause mortality (Q1: 1.00, Q2: 0.58 (0.42-0.80), Q3: 0.69 (0.47-1.01), and Q4:0.64 (0.45-0.92). However, the relationship between serum Klotho levels and cardiovascular mortality was not statistically significant. Dose-response analysis shows a U-shaped relationship between serum Klotho levels and all-cause mortality in patients with CVD (P nonlinear=0.002). Subgroup analysis indicated that participants with a history of hypertension had a higher risk of all-cause mortality in serum Klotho Q4 compared to Q1 (P trend <0.05). Conclusion: The relationship between serum Klotho levels and all-cause mortality in CVD patients exhibits a U-shaped association. The underlying mechanisms of this association need further investigation.

Tracking Missing Deaths: An Exploratory Study on the Mortality Impact of COVID-19 in Kozhikode City, India.

BACKGROUND: The debate over the extent of the mortality impact of COVID-19 in India is still unsettled. OBJECTIVES: This article contributes to the debate, seeking to explore the true mortality impact of the pandemic, by answering four interrelated questions. First, is there any discrepancy between recorded and actual death count? Second, if so, how large it is? Third, what is the extent of misclassification of COVID-19 mortality, and fourth, what is the magnitude of deaths that could be indirectly linked to COVID-19? MATERIALS AND METHODS: To answer the questions, we explored three sources of data-all-cause mortality data from the civil registration system, records maintained at the burial grounds/cemeteries and crematoriums, and a household survey. The data collection period was between August 2021 and November 2021. The instrument used for data collection of verbal autopsies was built on the instrument proposed by the World Health Organization for adult mortality. RESULTS: The results revealed that deaths due to various causes including COVID-19 increased considerably at some points in 2020-2021 compared to the base year 2019 in the study setting. Notably, 5.5% of the noninstitutional deaths were unreported at the time of the survey and many deaths were plausibly misclassified, leading to undercounting of COVID-19 deaths. Overall, about half of our sampled deaths (48%) had either direct or indirect attribution to the pandemic. CONCLUSION: The extent of undercounting of pandemic-related deaths is likely to be either similar or worse in other states. To get reliable state and national estimates, policymakers should conduct a large-scale study.

Association of the systemic immune-inflammation index with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with rheumatoid arthritis.

The systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), a metric reflecting systemic inflammatory response and immune activation, remains underexplored concerning its correlation with mortality among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients. This study aimed to delineate the association between SII and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality within the cohort of American adults diagnosed with RA, utilizing data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) spanning 1999 to 2018. The investigation extracted data from NHANES cycles between 1999 and 2018, identifying RA patients through questionnaire responses. The SII was computed based on complete blood counts, employing the formula: (platelets × neutrophils) / lymphocytes. The optimal SII cutoff value for significant survival outcomes was determined using maximally selected rank statistics. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models assessed the relationship between SII levels and mortality (all-cause and cardiovascular) among RA patients, with subgroup analyses examining potential modifications by clinical confounders. Additionally, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were conducted to explore the linearity of the SII-mortality association. The study encompassed 2070 American adults with RA, among whom 287 exhibited a higher SII (≥ 919.75) and 1783 a lower SII (< 919.75). Over a median follow-up duration of 108 months, 602 participants died. After adjustments for demographic, socioeconomic, and lifestyle variables, a higher SII was associated with a 1.48-fold increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21-1.81, P < 0.001) and a 1.51-fold increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR = 1.51, 95% CI 1.04-2.18, P = 0.030) compared to a lower SII. Kaplan-Meier analyses corroborated significantly reduced survival rates within the higher SII cohort for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality (Pall-cause mortality < 0.0001 and Pcardiovascular mortality = 0.0004). RCS analyses confirmed a positive nonlinear relationship between SII and mortality rates. In conclusion, the SII offers a straightforward indicator of the equilibrium between detrimental innate inflammation and beneficial adaptive immunity. Our investigation, utilizing a comprehensive and nationally representative sample, reveals that elevated SII levels independently forecast a greater risk of mortality from all causes, as well as cardiovascular-specific mortality, in individuals suffering from RA. These insights underscore the clinical relevance of the SII as an affordable and readily accessible biomarker. Its incorporation into regular clinical practice could significantly enhance the precision of risk assessment and forecasting for patients with RA, facilitating more tailored and effective management strategies. Specifically, patients with high SII levels could be identified for more stringent cardiovascular risk management, including closer monitoring, lifestyle interventions, and aggressive pharmacological treatments to mitigate their increased risk of mortality.

Association between dietary patterns and the risk of all-cause mortality among old adults with obstructive sleep apnea.

BACKGROUND: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) was associated with the increased cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. And anti-inflammatory dietary has potential to improve the prognosis of OSA. This study aimed to investigate the association of anti-inflammatory dietary patterns with all-cause mortality among individuals with OSA. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study involved 1522 older adults with OSA from 2005 to 2008 in the National Health and Nutrition Examinations Survey (NHANES). Mortality status was determined by routine follow-up through December 31, 2019, using the National Death Index. Anti-inflammatory dietary patterns included Alternate Mediterranean Diet Score (aMED), Healthy Eating Index-2015 (HEI-2015), and Alternate Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI-2010). Weighted Cox proportional hazard regression models were performed to investigate the association between anti-inflammatory dietary pattern and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 131 months, 604 participants were recorded all-cause mortality. The mean age of OSA patients was 68.99 years old, of whom 859 were male (52.34%). Higher adherence of aMED (HR = 0.61, 95%CI: 0.48 to 0.78) and HEI-2015 (HR = 0.75, 95%CI: 0.60 to 0.95) were associated with lower all-cause mortality risk in the elderly with OSA. Conversely, no association was found between AHEI-2010 dietary pattern and all-cause mortality in individuals with OSA. In the component analysis of aMED, it was found that a higher intake of vegetables and olive oil potentially contributes to the reduction all-cause mortality risk in the elderly with OSA (HR = 0.60, 95%CI: 0.48 to 0.76; HR = 0.67, 95%CI: 0.63 to 0.71). CONCLUSION: Higher adherence to the aMED and the HEI-2015 was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality in OSA. Future interventions in the elderly with OSA should considering adopting anti-inflammatory dietary patterns.

Mortality in an Italian cohort of former asbestos cement workers.

BACKGROUND: A pooled study on Italian asbestos cement plant cohorts observed mortality risk for asbestos-related diseases. This study analysed the mortality of workers cohort of an asbestos cement plant in Syracuse, Italy. METHODS: Workers' vital status and causes of death, during 1970-2018, were identified in regional health databases. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) by sex and temporal variables were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 900 cohort's subjects (636 men, 259 women, 5 unknown sex), for 867 the vital ascertainment was possible: 505 died during study period. All-cause mortality is similarly to the expected among men and lower among women. Pleural and lung malignant neoplasms (MN) exceeded in men (SMR=27.1, SMR=1.95), retroperitoneal and peritoneal MN in both sexes, no cases of larynx MN were observed. Mortality excess for ovarian MN (SMR=1.5) and asbestosis in both sexes (men: SMR=431.9, women: SMR=116.6) were found. CONCLUSIONS: Exceeding mortality from asbestos-related diseases, particularly in men was highlighted.

Metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) predicts all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general population: evidence from NHANES 2001-2018.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of obesity-associated insulin resistance (IR) is increasing along with the increase in obesity rates. In this study, we compared the predictive utility of four alternative indexes of IR [triglyceride glucose index (TyG index), metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), the triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR)] for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the general population based on key variables screened by the Boruta algorithm. The aim was to find the best replacement index of IR. METHODS: In this study, 14,653 participants were screened from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2001-2018). And TyG index, METS-IR, TG/HDL-C and HOMA-IR were calculated separately for each participant according to the given formula. The predictive values of IR replacement indexes for all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality in the general population were assessed. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up period of 116 months, a total of 2085 (10.23%) all-cause deaths and 549 (2.61%) cardiovascular disease (CVD) related deaths were recorded. Multivariate Cox regression and restricted cubic splines analysis showed that among the four indexes, only METS-IR was significantly associated with both all-cause and CVD mortality, and both showed non-linear associations with an approximate "U-shape". Specifically, baseline METS-IR lower than the inflection point (41.33) was negatively associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 0.972, 95% CI 0.950-0.997 for all-cause mortality]. In contrast, baseline METS-IR higher than the inflection point (41.33) was positively associated with mortality (HR 1.019, 95% CI 1.011-1.026 for all-cause mortality and HR 1.028, 95% CI 1.014-1.043 for CVD mortality). We further stratified the METS-IR and showed that significant associations between METS-IR levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were predominantly present in the nonelderly population aged < 65 years. CONCLUSIONS: In conjunction with the results of the Boruta algorithm, METS-IR demonstrated a more significant association with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the U.S. population compared to the other three alternative IR indexes (TyG index, TG/HDL-C and HOMA-IR), particularly evident in individuals under 65 years old.

Physical activity is associated with lower mortality in adults with obesity: a systematic review with meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a complex chronic disease associated with several adverse health outcomes that increase mortality risk. Physical activity (PA) is recommended for the prevention and treatment of obesity and is related to a decreased risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and all-cause mortality. This systematic review and meta-analysis estimates the effect of PA levels on mortality (cardiovascular, cancer and all-cause mortality) in adults with obesity. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted in MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science and SPORTDiscus from inception to June 2024. Prospective cohort studies that explored the association between PA and mortality in adults with obesity (according to their body mass index, ≥ 30 kg/m2) aged ≥ 18 years were included. Our main outcomes were all-cause mortality, and cardiovascular, and cancer mortality reported in primary studies by hazard ratios or relative risk, which were pooled for the meta-analysis when at least two studies reported the effect estimate for the same outcome. The PRISMA recommendations and the MOOSE guidelines were followed. The reported mortality risk estimates comparing insufficiently active versus active (moderate to very active) adults with obesity were pooled using the DerSimonian and Laird random-effects model. RESULTS: A total of 9 prospective cohort studies involving 199,425 adults with obesity (age range: 35-85 years) were included, of which 59,873 were insufficiently active and 84,328 were active. Active individuals had a 21% lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.79, 95%CI: 0.74 to 0.84; I2 = 38.2%), and a 24% lower risk of cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.66 to 0.87; I2 = 0.0%) than insufficiently active individuals. The HR for cancer mortality was 0.91 (95%CI: 0.80 to 1.02; I2 = 0.0%), and although this was mostly consistent with a benefit, it was based on only two studies. CONCLUSION: Our data support that moderate to high levels of PA are associated with a 21% lower risk of all-cause and 24% cardiovascular disease mortality in adults with obesity. Although data from the only two published studies seem to indicate a protective effect of PA on cancer risk, the estimates are not statistically significant. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42022309346.

A National Study Exploring the Association between Fasting Duration and Mortality among the Elderly.

(1) Background: The benefits of weight management are widely recognized, and prolonged fasting duration has become a common method for weight control. The suitability of time-restricted eating (TRE) for elderly individuals remains controversial. This study aims to examine the correlation between fasting duration and mortality within a nationally representative cohort of elderly individuals in the United States. (2) Methods: Data were extracted from a prospective cohort study conducted as part of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2005 to 2018. Participants aged over 60 with complete data on dietary intake and mortality follow-up information were included. Fasting duration was assessed using two 24 h dietary recalls. All the participants were categorized into fasting duration quartiles. Mortality outcomes were ascertained through the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to analyze the association between fasting duration and mortality. (3) Results: The final analysis included 10,561 elderly participants (mean age 69.89, 45.58% male). Individuals with the longest fasting duration (over 12.38 h) had a significantly higher risk of CVD mortality compared to those with a normal fasting duration (10.58-12.38 h). This elevated CVD mortality risk was particularly pronounced in males, individuals over 70 years old, and non-shift workers. A non-linear relationship was observed between fasting duration and all-cause mortality and CVD mortality. (4) Conclusions: Prolonged fasting periods are associated with a higher risk of CVD mortality in the elderly population, although this correlation is not evident for all-cause, cancer, or other-cause mortality. A fasting duration of 11.49 h correlates with the lowest mortality risk. Additionally, elderly individuals with the shortest fasting duration exhibit elevated hazard ratios for both cancer and other-cause mortality. As with any health intervention, clinicians should exercise caution when recommending a fasting regimen that is personalized to the health condition of people who are older. Further research through randomized controlled trials should be conducted to comprehensively investigate the impact of TRE on mortality.

Effect of Meal-Timing on the Association of Unsaturated Fatty Acids with All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality among Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study with 10-Year Follow-Up.

BACKGROUND: Conflicting results have been reported on the association of dietary unsaturated fatty acids (UFAs) with longevity and cardiovascular health. Most previous studies have focused only on the amount of UFAs consumed, not the timing of intake. METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from 30,136 adults aged 18 years and older. Intakes of UFAs by meal time and types were assessed by a 24-h dietary recall for two days. The covariate-adjusted survey-weighted Cox proportional hazards models were performed to evaluate the associations of dietary total unsaturated fatty acid (TUFA), polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA), and monounsaturated fatty acid (MUFA) intakes throughout the day and three meals with mortality. RESULTS: During a median of 10.0 years of follow-up, 4510 total deaths occurred. All-cause mortality decreased with increasing intakes at dinner of TUFA (HR: 0.87 [0.77-0.98]), PUFA (HR: 0.81 [0.73-0.91]), and MUFA (HR: 0.88 [0.77-0.99]). With an increased intake of PUFA at dinner, CVD mortality showed a decreasing trend. However, the inverted L-shaped non-linear trend in all-cause mortality was found with increasing intake at breakfast of TUFA (HR: 1.35 [1.17-1.57], Q3 vs. Q1), PUFA (HR: 1.30 [1.13-1.50]), and MUFA (HR: 1.28 [1.13-1.45]). Meanwhile, increased breakfast intake of UFAs was associated with increased CVD and heart disease mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Meal timing influences the association of UFAs with all-cause and CVD-related mortality.

The trend of the quality of cause-of-death data and its association with socio-economic indicators in Serbia in the period 2005-19.

This study aims to evaluate the temporal trend in the quality of cause-of-death data and garbage code profiles and to determine its association with socio-economic status in Serbia. A longitudinal study was assessed using data from mortality registers from 2005 to 2019. Computer application Analysis of Causes of National Deaths for Action (ANACONDA) calculates the distribution of garbage codes by severity and composite quality indicator: Vital Statistics Performance Index for Quality (VSPI(Q)). A relationship between VSPI(Q) and country development was estimated by analysing two socio-economic indicators: the Socio-demographic Index and the Human Development Index (HDI). Serbia indicates progress in strengthening cause-of-death statistics. The steady upward trend of the VSPI(Q) index has risen from 55.6 (medium quality) to 70.2 (high quality) over the examined years. Significant reduction of 'Insufficiently specified causes with limited impact' (Level 4) and an increase in the trend of 'High-impact garbage codes' (Levels 1 to 3) were evident. Decreased deaths of no policy value (annual percentage change of -1.41%) have manifested since 2014. A strong positive association between VSPI(Q) and socio-economic indicators was assessed, where the HDI has shown a stronger association with VSPI(Q). Improved socio-economic conditions on the national level are followed by enhanced cause-of-death data quality. Upcoming actions to improve quality should be directed at high-impact garbage codes. The study underlines the need to prioritise the education and training of physicians with a crucial role in death certification to overcome many cause-of-death quality issues identified in this assessment.

[Call for attention to the prevention of perinatal death attributed to birth defect].

Birth defect and perinatal death are major public issues threatening the health of women and children in China. However, perinatal death attributed to birth defects has not yet received sufficient attention. To minimize the occurrence of perinatal death caused by birth defects, this review article deeply analyzed the current status of epidemiology, clinical, and basic research on perinatal death attributed to birth defects both domestically and internationally, and proposed to encourage the conduct of national research on perinatal causes. We should also pay attention to the application of the perinatal cause of death classification system, and focus on accurate diagnosis and the three-level prevention and control of perinatal death attributed to birth defect.

Phenogrouping heart failure with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction using electronic health record data.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction includes a heterogenous group of patients. Reclassification into distinct phenogroups to enable targeted interventions is a priority. This study aimed to identify distinct phenogroups, and compare phenogroup characteristics and outcomes, from electronic health record data. METHODS: 2,187 patients admitted to five UK hospitals with a diagnosis of HF and a left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 40% were identified from the NIHR Health Informatics Collaborative database. Partition-based, model-based, and density-based machine learning clustering techniques were applied. Cox Proportional Hazards and Fine-Gray competing risks models were used to compare outcomes (all-cause mortality and hospitalisation for HF) across phenogroups. RESULTS: Three phenogroups were identified: (1) Younger, predominantly female patients with high prevalence of cardiometabolic and coronary disease; (2) More frail patients, with higher rates of lung disease and atrial fibrillation; (3) Patients characterised by systemic inflammation and high rates of diabetes and renal dysfunction. Survival profiles were distinct, with an increasing risk of all-cause mortality from phenogroups 1 to 3 (p < 0.001). Phenogroup membership significantly improved survival prediction compared to conventional factors. Phenogroups were not predictive of hospitalisation for HF. CONCLUSIONS: Applying unsupervised machine learning to routinely collected electronic health record data identified phenogroups with distinct clinical characteristics and unique survival profiles.

Random survival forest for predicting the combined effects of multiple physiological risk factors on all-cause mortality.

Understanding the combined effects of risk factors on all-cause mortality is crucial for implementing effective risk stratification and designing targeted interventions, but such combined effects are understudied. We aim to use survival-tree based machine learning models as more flexible nonparametric techniques to examine the combined effects of multiple physiological risk factors on mortality. More specifically, we (1) study the combined effects between multiple physiological factors and all-cause mortality, (2) identify the five most influential factors and visualize their combined influence on all-cause mortality, and (3) compare the mortality cut-offs with the current clinical thresholds. Data from the 1999-2014 NHANES Survey were linked to National Death Index data with follow-up through 2015 for 17,790 adults. We observed that the five most influential factors affecting mortality are the tobacco smoking biomarker cotinine, glomerular filtration rate (GFR), plasma glucose, sex, and white blood cell count. Specifically, high mortality risk is associated with being male, active smoking, low GFR, elevated plasma glucose levels, and high white blood cell count. The identified mortality-based cutoffs for these factors are mostly consistent with relevant studies and current clinical thresholds. This approach enabled us to identify important cutoffs and provide enhanced risk prediction as an important basis to inform clinical practice and develop new strategies for precision medicine.