Auditing learner driver information about floodwaters: An environmental scan of government issued resources in Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Vehicles driving, or being swept, into floodwaters is a leading cause of flood-related death. Establishing safe behaviors among learner drivers may reduce risk throughout their driving lifetime. METHODS: An environmental scan of publicly available government issued learner and driver handbooks across the eight Australian jurisdictions was conducted to identify information provided regarding floodwaters. Search terms included 'flood,' 'rain,' 'water,' and 'wet.' A visual audit of flood-related signage was also conducted. RESULTS: Twelve documents, across eight jurisdictions, were analyzed. Four jurisdictions' documents provided no information on flooding. Of the four jurisdictions that provided information, content varied. This included highlighting risks and discouraging entering floodwaters in a vehicle, including penalties associated with travel on closed roads, to advising depth and current checks if crossing a flooded roadway, with recommendations based on vehicle size (preference given to bigger vehicles, i.e., 4wds). Information on flood-related signage was found in one jurisdiction. DISCUSSION: Learner and driver handbooks represent a missed opportunity to provide flood safety information. Currently, information is not provided in all jurisdictions, despite flood-related vehicle drowning deaths of drivers and passengers being a national issue. Where information is presented, it is limited, often lacks practical guidance on how to assess water depth, current, and road base stability, and could better use evidence regarding the psychological factors underpinning, and behavioral prompts for performing, or avoiding, risky driving behavior during floods. CONCLUSIONS: The provision and content of information in learner driver and driver handbooks must be improved, particularly within the context of increasing flooding and extreme weather associated with the effects of climate change. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: We encourage all jurisdictions to provide practical information that draws on evidence-based risk factors and empirically established psychological factors for behavioral change to help establish safe driver behaviors around floods in the formative years of learning to drive.

Multigroup invariance of measure for angry drivers (MAD) scale using a representative sample of drivers in Australia.

INTRODUCTION: Driver anger and aggression have been linked to crash involvement and injury outcomes. Improved road safety outcomes may be achieved through understanding the causes of driver anger, and interventions designed to reduce this anger or prevent it from becoming aggression. Scales to measure anger propensities will be an important tool in this work. The measure for angry drivers (MAD; Stephens et al., 2019) is a contemporary scale designed to measure tendencies for anger across three types of driving scenarios: perceived danger from others, travel delays, and hostility or aggression from other drivers. METHOD: This study aimed to validate MAD using a representative sample of Australian drivers, stratified across age, gender, and location. Participants completed a 10-minute online survey that included MAD, sought demographic information (age, gender, driving purpose, crash history), as well as the frequency of aggressive driving. Multigroup confirmatory factor analyses (MGCFA) assessed how stable the structure of the MAD was across drivers of different ages, gender, purposes for driving and those who do or do not display anger aggressively. MAD was invariant across all groups, showing that all drivers interpreted and responded to MAD in the same way. RESULTS: A comparison of latent means showed anger tendencies were higher for men compared to women, for younger drivers compared to older drivers, and for those who drive mainly for work compared to those who mainly drive for other reasons. When controlling for driver factors, driving anger was associated with increased odds of being aggressive while driving. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Overall, this study demonstrated that MAD is an appropriate scale to measure anger tendencies and can be used to support interventions, and evaluation of interventions, to reduce anger and aggressive driving.

Comprehensive analysis of trends, distribution, and odds of wrong-way driving fatal crashes on divided highways in the United States (2004-2020).

INTRODUCTION: This study presents a comprehensive analysis of wrong-way driving (WWD) fatal crashes on divided highways in the United States over a 17-year period, from 2004 to 2020. The study aims to uncover trends, distribution patterns, and factors contributing to these fatal crashes. Data were extracted from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) database. METHODS: Descriptive statistical analysis was used to reveal general crash characteristics, while trends were updated through an examination of the annual occurrence of WWD fatal crashes. The study further employed binomial logistic regression to compute odds ratios, identifying significant contributing factors. These factors encompassed temporal variables, crash characteristics, and driver characteristics. The odds ratios shed light on the relationship between WWD fatal crashes and other fatal crashes, allowing for the identification of key elements that drive WWD incidents. RESULTS: On average, 302 WWD fatal crashes occurred annually, resulting in 6,953 fatalities during the study period. The frequency of WWD fatal crashes remained relatively stable, with a slight increase over time. According to the model, variables include day of week, time of day, month, lighting conditions, weather conditions, roadway profile, collision type, passenger presence, driver age, gender, license status, and driver injury severity were found to significantly impact the occurrence of WWD fatal crashes. One significant finding is that road profiles like sag curves or hillcrests can increase the likelihood of WWD fatal crashes. PRACTICAL APPLICATION: The findings of this study contribute to an improved understanding of WWD fatal crashes on divided highways, thereby aiding in the development of strategies for prevention and mitigation.

Development of an algorithm for analysis of routes: Case studies using novice and older drivers.

INTRODUCTION: This study addresses the lack of methods to quantify driver familiarity with roadways, which poses a higher risk of crashes. METHOD: We present a new approach to assessing driving route diversity and familiarity using data from the DrivingApp, a smartphone-based research tool that collects trip-level information, including driving exposure and global positioning system (GPS) data, from young novice drivers (15-19 years old) to older drivers (67-78 years old). Using these data, we developed a GPS data-based algorithm to analyze the uniqueness of driving routes. The algorithm creates same route trip (SRT) arrays by comparing each trip of an identified user, employing statistically determined thresholds for GPS coordinate proximity and trip overlap. The optimal thresholds were established using a General Linear Model (GLM) to examine distance, and repeated observations. The Adjusted Breadth-First Search method is applied to the SRT arrays to prevent double counting or trip omission. The resulting list is classified as geographically distinct routes, or unique routes (URs). RESULTS: Manual comparison of algorithm output with geographical maps yielded an overall precision of 0.93 and accuracy of 0.91. The algorithm produces two main outputs: a measure of driving diversity (number of URs) and a measure of route-based familiarity derived from the Rescorla-Wagner model. To evaluate the utility of these measures, a Gaussian mixture model clustering algorithm was used on the young novice driver dataset, revealing two distinct groups: the low-frequency driving group with lower route familiarity when having higher route diversity, whereas the high-frequency driving group with the opposite pattern. In the older driver group, there was a significant correlation found between the number of URs and Geriatric Depression Score, or walking gait speed. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: These findings suggest that route diversity and familiarity could complement existing measures to understand driving safety and how driving behavior is related to physical and psychological outcomes.

Examining strategies, policies, and guidance for addressing wrong-way driving in the United States: A comprehensive national survey.

INTRODUCTION: This paper presents a comprehensive investigation into the current and emerging solutions, policies, and guidance employed by various agencies to mitigate wrong-way driving (WWD) activities in the United States. The study utilized a two-pronged approach, involving an online survey and follow-up phone interviews with respondents from state transportation agencies, tollway authorities, and law enforcement. METHODS: The initial step involved conducting an online survey to gather general insights about the existing strategies and practices used to combat WWD. The survey questionnaire, consisting of 12 questions, covered topics such as mitigation strategies/policies, guidance for selecting countermeasures, and topics/needs for national handbook. The survey was emailed to traffic and safety engineers from all 50 state transportation agencies and 59 tollway authorities across the nation. As the second step, follow-up phone interviews were conducted with respondents identified from the online survey. The interviews delved deeper into specific aspects such as crash/incident data collection methods, identification of crash-prone locations, countermeasure selection and implementation, experience with Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) applications, and future initiatives. RESULTS: The findings from the survey and interviews indicated an increasing awareness and adoption of best practices to combat WWD. Various states have implemented new policies and advanced technologies to deter WWD incidents. The insights gathered from the survey and interviews with different agencies are invaluable in shaping safe system approaches and guidelines for the national handbook on WWD solutions. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Overall, this study sheds light on the efforts and progress made by state transportation agencies, tollway authorities, and law enforcement in addressing the critical issue of WWD. By gathering valuable lessons and practices from the various agencies, this research lays the groundwork for developing national guidelines to reduce WWD crashes and incidents on divided highways.

Understanding speeding behavior on interstate horizontal curves and ramps using networkwide probe data.

INTRODUCTION: Lane departure collisions account for many roadway fatalities across the United States. Many of these crashes occur on horizontal curves or ramps and are due to speeding. This research investigates factors that impact the odds of speeding on Interstate horizontal curves and ramps. METHOD: We collected and combined two unique sources of data. The first database involves comprehensive curve and ramp characteristics collected by an automatic road analyzer (ARAN) vehicle; the second database includes volume, average speed, and speed distribution gathered from probe data provided by StreetLight Insight®. We evaluated the impacts of level of service (LOS), which reflects traffic density or level of congestion, time of the day (morning, evening, and off-peak hours), time of the week (weekdays and weekends), and month of the year (Jan-Dec), and various information about geometric characteristics, such as curve radius, arc angle, and superelevation, on odds of speeding. RESULTS: The results show that the odds of speeding increases at horizontal curves with improved levels of service, as well as those with larger radii and superelevation. The odds of speeding decreases on curves with larger arc angles and during the winter months of the year. The findings indicate a reduction in odds of speeding at diagonal/loop ramps with larger arc angles and narrower lane widths. CONCLUSION: The results show the importance of using speed enforcement and other countermeasures to reduce speeding on curves with low traffic volumes, high speed limits, and large radius and superelevation, especially for those in rural areas. PRACTICAL APPLICATION: The results could be used to prioritize locations for the installation of speed countermeasures or dispatch enforcement resources to high-priority locations and times.

Daily motor vehicle traffic volume and other risk factors associated with road deaths in U.S. counties.

INTRODUCTION: Road death risk is often characterized as deaths per volume of traffic in geographic regions, the denominator in miles or kilometers supposedly indicative of the magnitude of risk exposure. This paper reports an examination of the differences in the predictive value of factors hypothesized to influence traffic volume and road death risk. METHOD: The association of 11 risk factors in U.S. counties during the first 7 months of 2020 was examined for consistency of predictions of road death and traffic volume measured by cell phone and vehicle location data. The study employed least squares regression for traffic volume and Poisson regression for deaths with the population as the offset variable. RESULTS: The directions of the regression coefficients for traffic volume and odds of road deaths per population were opposite from one another for 9 of the 11 variables in the analysis of vehicle occupant deaths. Only the coefficients for maximum daily temperature and Saturday travel were in the same direction. The confidence intervals of three risk ratios for pedestrian deaths indicated low reliability but most of the predictor variables were opposite in association with traffic volume and odds of death. Although traffic volume plunged in the first weeks of the pandemic, the results for the months before and during the COVID-19 pandemic were similar. PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS: Traffic volume is an inverse risk factor for road deaths at the local level, likely the result of lower speeds on congested roads. Without the application of countermeasures aimed at reducing speed and other risk factors, the reduction of road congestion is likely to increase deaths.

Are electric vehicles riskier? A comparative study of driving behaviour and insurance claims for internal combustion engine, hybrid and electric vehicles.

Electric vehicles (EVs) differ significantly from their internal combustion engine (ICE) counterparts, with reduced mechanical parts, Lithium-ion batteries and differences in pedal and transmission control. These differences in vehicle operation, coupled with the proliferation of EVs on our roads, warrant an in-depth investigation into the divergent risk profiles and driving behaviour of EVs, Hybrids (HYB) and ICEs. In this unique study, we analyze a novel telematics dataset of 14,642 vehicles in the Netherlands accompanied by accident claims data. We train a Logistic Regression model to predict the occurrence of driver at-fault claims, where an at-fault claim refers to First and Third Party damages where the driver was at fault. Our results reveal that EV drivers are more exposed to incurring at-fault claims than ICE drivers despite their lower average mileage. Additionally, we investigate the financial implications of these increased at-fault claims likelihoods and have found that EVs experience a 6.7% increase in significant first-party damage costs compared to ICE. When analyzing driver behaviour, we found that EVs and HYBs record fewer harsh acceleration, braking, cornering and speeding events than ICE. However, these reduced harsh events do not translate to reducing claims frequency for EVs. This research finds evidence of a higher frequency of accidents caused by Electric Vehicles. This burden should be considered explicitly by regulators, manufacturers, businesses and the general public when evaluating the cost of transitioning to alternative fuel vehicles.

Trends and disparities in alcohol-DWI license suspensions by suspension duration, North Carolina, 2007-2016.

PURPOSE: To examine trends and potential disparities in North Carolina (NC) driving while impaired by alcohol (alcohol-DWI) license suspensions from 2007-2016. Specific objectives included: 1) examining personal (e.g., race/ethnicity) and contextual (e.g., residential segregation) characteristics of alcohol-DWI license suspensions by suspension duration; and 2) examining trends in annual suspension rates by race/ethnicity, sex, and duration. METHODS: We linked NC administrative licensing and county-level survey data from several sources from 2007-2016. Suspensions were categorized by duration: 1 to <4 years and 4 years or longer (proxies for initial and repeat suspensions, respectively). We calculated counts, percentages, and suspensions rates (per 1,000 person-years) with 95% confidence intervals, examined trends in annual suspension rates by race/ethnicity, sex, and suspension duration. RESULTS: We identified 220,471 initial and 41,526 repeat license suspensions. Rates among males were three times that of females. 21-24-year-old (rates: 6.9 per 1,000 person-years for initial; 1.5 for repeat) and Black (4.1 for initial; 1.0 for repeat) individuals had the highest suspension rates. We observed decreases in annual initial and repeat suspension rates among males, but only in repeat suspensions for females during the study period. A substantial decrease in annual initial suspension rates was observed among Hispanic individuals relative to other racial/ethnic groups, while annual repeat suspension rates exhibited large decreases for most racial/ethnic groups. The highest overall suspension rates occurred in counties with higher proportions of the population without health insurance and with the highest levels of Black/White residential segregation. CONCLUSIONS: Potential disparities by race/ethnicity and sex existed by alcohol-DWI license suspension duration (i.e., initial vs. repeat suspensions) in NC. Contextual characteristics associated with suspensions, including a high degree of residential segregation, may provide indications of underlying structures and mechanisms driving potential disparities in alcohol-DWI outcomes.

Meta-analysis of the safety effect of electronic stability control.

OBJECTIVE: Electronic Stability Control (ESC) is a standard feature on most modern cars, due to its reported efficiency to reduce the number of crashes of several types. However, empirical studies of safety effects of ESC for passenger vehicles have not considered some methodological problems that might have inflated the effects. This includes self-selection of drivers who buy/use ESC and behavioral adaptation to the system over long time periods, but also the dominant method of induced exposure. This study aimed to investigate whether such methodological problems might have influenced the results. METHOD: A meta-analysis was undertaken to investigate whether there are systematic differences between published studies. Moderators tested included when the study was undertaken, the type of vehicle studied, the percent ESC in the sample, size of sample, the length of the study, whether matched or un-matched vehicles were studied, whether induced exposure was used, and two variants of types of crashes used as controls. RESULTS: The effects found ranged from 38% to 75% reduction of crashes for the main targets of singles, running off road and rollover crashes. However, these effects were heterogeneous, and differed depending on the methods used. Most importantly, information that could have allowed more precise analyses of the moderators were missing in most publications. CONCLUSIONS: Although average effects were large and in agreement with previous meta-analyses, heterogeneity of the data was large, and lack of information about important moderators means that firm conclusions about what kind of mechanisms were influencing the effects cannot be drawn. The available data on ESC efficiency are not unanimous, and further investigations into the effects of ESC on safety using different methodologies are warranted.

Musculoskeletal disorders among taxi drivers: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Taxi drivers, as professional drivers, encounter numerous ergonomic risk factors related to musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) because of the demands of their jobs. This study conducted as a systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the prevalence of MSDs among taxi drivers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The present study followed the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, and its protocol was registered in the international prospective register of systematic review (PROSPERO) under the code CRD42024509258. Searches were carried out using various databases, such as PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Science Direct, SID, ISC, and Google Scholar, with no time restrictions until February 7th, 2024. A random effects model was utilized for meta-analysis, and the I2 index was employed to assess heterogeneity among studies. Lastly, data analysis was conducted using STATA software (version 14). RESULTS: After the initial search, 1606 articles were extracted from the reviewed sources. Following screening, study selection, and quality evaluation, a total of 11 studies were chosen for meta-analysis, involving 5277 taxi drivers. Based on the results of the meta-analysis, the highest prevalence of MSDs among taxi drivers was related to the lower back region (53.87% (95% CI:40.89-66.84, I2= 98.7%, P < 0.001)). Additionally, the prevalence rates of MSDs in different body regions, such as the neck (38.15%), shoulder (34.97%), upper back (18.30%), and knee (14.10%), were also reported. CONCLUSION: Based on the findings of this study, the prevalence of MSDs among taxi drivers is relatively high, and specific risk factors may contribute to the development of these disorders. Therefore, to prevent the occurrence of MSDs among taxi drivers, it is advisable to implement essential measures concerning the development of training programs, ergonomic interventions, and evaluation of the work environment.

Driver's license, head protection devices and severity of motorcyclists' injuries in traffic accidents.

OBJECTIVES: to describe traffic accidents involving motorcyclists and analyze the association between possession of a motorcycle driver's license and use of helmets according to the severity of injuries. METHODS: a cross-sectional study was conducted among all patients hospitalized in the traumatology and orthopedics sector of a public reference hospital in northeastern Brazil. RESULTS: 170 patients were surveyed, the majority were male (95.9%). Their ages ranged from 18 to 67 years. Most were black or brown (52.3%), had completed elementary school (58.9%) and had monthly income smaller than two minimum wages (56.5%). An association was found between being licensed to drive a motorcycle and wearing a helmet. Among those who suffered moderate injuries, this association was OR=5.66(1.85-17.23) and among those who suffered severe injuries it was OR=13.57(2.82-65.14). CONCLUSIONS: people who were licensed to drive motorcycles used a helmet as protective equipment more often and, in accidents, suffered fewer injuries.

A negative binomial Lindley approach considering spatiotemporal effects for modeling traffic crash frequency with excess zeros.

Statistical analysis of traffic crash frequency is significant for figuring out the distribution pattern of crashes, predicting the development trend of crashes, formulating traffic crash prevention measures, and improving traffic safety planning systems. In recent years, the theory and practice for traffic safety management have shown that road crash data have characteristics such as spatial correlation, temporal correlation, and excess zeros. If these characteristics are ignored in the modeling process, it may seriously affect the fitting performance and prediction accuracy of traffic crash frequency models and even lead to incorrect conclusions. In this research, traffic crash data from rural two-way two-lane from four counties in Pennsylvania, USA was modeled considering the spatiotemporal effects of crashes. First, a negative binomial Lindley spatiotemporal effect model of crash frequency was constructed at the micro level; Simultaneously, the characteristics and problems of excess zeros and potential heterogeneity of the crash data were resolved; Finally, the effects of road characteristics on crash frequency were analyzed. The results indicate a significant spatial correlation between the crash frequency of adjacent road sections. Compared with the negative binomial model, the negative binomial Lindley model can better handle the excess zeros characteristics in traffic crash data. The model that considers both spatial correlation and temporal conditional autoregressive effects has the best fit for the observed data. In addition, for road sections that allow passing and have a speed limitation of not less than 50 miles per hour, the crash frequency corresponding to these sections is lower due to their good visibility and road conditions. The increase in average turning angle and intersection density on the horizontal curve of the road section corresponds to an increase in crash frequency.

Rethinking real-time risk prediction from multi-step time series forecasting on highway car-following scenarios.

Driving risk prediction emerges as a pivotal technology within the driving safety domain, facilitating the formulation of targeted driving intervention strategies to enhance driving safety. The driving safety undergoes continuous evolution in response to the complexities of the traffic environment, representing a dynamic and ongoing serialization process. The evolutionary trend of this sequence offers valuable information pertinent to driving safety research. However, existing research on driving risk prediction has primarily concentrated on forecasting a single index, such as the driving safety level or the extreme value within a specified future timeframe. This approach often neglects the intrinsic properties that characterize the temporal evolution of driving safety. Leveraging the high-D natural driving dataset, this study employs the multi-step time series forecasting methodology to predict the risk evolution sequence throughout the car-following process, elucidates the benefits of the multi-step time series forecasting approach, and contrasts the predictive efficacy on driving safety levels across various temporal windows. The empirical findings demonstrate that the time series prediction model proficiently captures essential dynamics such as risk evolution trends, amplitudes, and turning points. Consequently, it provides predictions that are significantly more robust and comprehensive than those obtained from a single risk index. The TsLeNet proposed in this study integrates a 2D convolutional network architecture with a dual attention mechanism, adeptly capturing and synthesizing multiple features across time steps. This integration significantly enhances the prediction precision at each temporal interval. Comparative analyses with other mainstream models reveal that TsLeNet achieves the best performance in terms of prediction accuracy and efficiency. Concurrently, this research undertakes a comprehensive analysis of the temporal distribution of errors, the impact pattern of features on risk sequence, and the applicability of interaction features among surrounding vehicles. The adoption of multi-step time series forecasting approach not only offers a novel perspective for analyzing and exploring driving safety, but also furnishes the design and development of targeted driving intervention systems.

A novel framework for crash frequency prediction: Geographic support vector regression based on agent-based activity models in Greater Melbourne.

The field of spatial analysis in traffic crash studies can often enhance predictive performance by addressing the inherent spatial dependence and heterogeneity in crash data. This research introduces the Geographical Support Vector Regression (GSVR) framework, which incorporates generated distance matrices, to assess spatial variations and evaluate the influence of a wide range of factors, including traffic, infrastructure, socio-demographic, travel demand, and land use, on the incidence of total and fatal-or-serious injury (FSI) crashes across Greater Melbourne's zones. Utilizing data from the Melbourne Activity-Based Model (MABM), the study examines 50 indicators related to peak hour traffic and various commuting modes, offering a detailed analysis of the multifaceted factors affecting road safety. The study shows that active transportation modes such as walking and cycling emerge as significant indicators, reflecting a disparity in safety that heightens the vulnerability of these road users. In contrast, car commuting, while a consistent factor in crash risks, has a comparatively lower impact, pointing to an inherent imbalance in the road environment. This could be interpreted as an unequal distribution of risk and safety measures among different types of road users, where the infrastructure and policies may not adequately address the needs and vulnerabilities of pedestrians and cyclists compared to those of car drivers. Public transportation generally offers safer travel, yet associated risks near train stations and tram stops in city center areas cannot be overlooked. Tram stops profoundly affect total crashes in these areas, while intersection counts more significantly impact FSI crashes in the broader metropolitan area. The study also uncovers the contrasting roles of land use mix in influencing FSI versus total crashes. The proposed framework presents an approach for dynamically extracting distance matrices of varying sizes tailored to the specific dataset, providing a fresh method to incorporate spatial impacts into the development of machine learning models. Additionally, the framework extends a feature selection technique to enhance machine learning models that typically lack comprehensive feature selection capabilities.

Interactive effects analysis of road, traffic, and weather characteristics on shared e-bike speeding risk: A data-driven approach.

As electric bikes (e-bikes) rapidly develop in China, their traffic safety issues are becoming increasingly prominent. Accurately detecting risky riding behaviors and conducting mechanism analysis on the multiple risk factors are crucial in formulating and implementing precise management policies. The emergence of shared e-bikes and the advancements in interpretable machine learning present new opportunities for accurately analyzing the determinants of risky riding behaviors. The primary objective of this study is to examine and analyze the risk factors related to speeding behavior to aid urban management agencies in crafting necessary management policies. This study utilizes a large-scale dataset of shared e-bike trajectory data to establish a framework for detecting speeding behavior. Subsequently, the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model is employed to identify the level of speeding risk by leveraging its excellent identification ability. Moreover, based on measuring the degree of interaction among road, traffic, and weather characteristics, the investigation of the complex interactive effects of these risk factors on high-risk speeding is conducted using bivariate partial dependence plots (PDP) by its superior parsing ability. Feature importance analysis results indicate that the top five ranked variables that significantly affect the identified results of speed risk levels are land use density, rainfall, road level, curbside parking density, and bike lane width. The interaction analysis results indicate that higher levels of road and bike lane width correspond to an increased possibility of high-risk speeding among riders. Land use density, curbside parking density, and rainfall display a nonlinear effect on high-risk speeding. Introducing road level, bike lane width, and time interval could change the patterns of nonlinear effects in land use density, curbside parking density, and rainfall. Finally, several policy recommendations are proposed to improve e-bike traffic safety by utilizing the extracted feature values associated with a higher probability of high-risk speeding.

Near miss road traffic accidents and associated factors among truck drivers in Gamo zone, southern Ethiopia by using a contributory factors interaction model.

Background: Road traffic accidents (RTAs) are among the leading causes of injuries, fatalities, and the resulting increase in financial burdens worldwide. Every year, RTAs cause numerous serious injuries and fatalities in Ethiopia. it is important to understand how prevalent near-miss crash accidents are, and which by definition could have injured the victim but did not result in an actual accident. The determinants of these near-misses are essential in road crash accident reduction strategies. In spite of the fact that near-miss accidents are much more common than actual losses or injuries, very little research has been conducted on them. Thus, this study was intended to assess the near-miss accidents and associated factors among truckers in Gamo zone, southern Ethiopia. Methodology: The community-based cross-sectional study was employed from May 12 to July 10,2022, using a structured interviewer-administered questionnaire. A simple random sampling technique was used to select participants. The data were analyzed using the statistical package for social sciences. A binary and multivariate logistic regression model was used to identify the determinants of near-miss accidents. A statistical significance level was set at p < 0.05. Results: About 72.5% of truckers had experienced near-miss road traffic accidents. The majority of the near-miss accidents were caused by speeding, followed by driving on the wrong side of the road and skidding, 65 (22.6%), 39 (13.5%), and 38 (13.2%), respectively. Driving frequency per week, location of accidents, condition of the road, sleeping status, and weather conditions were significantly associated with near-miss accidents. Conclusion: The prevalence of near-miss accidents is high in the Gamo zone. Being a younger and less educated driver, high driving frequency per week, driving on major roads and junctions, foggy weather, and inadequate sleep all contribute to the occurrence of accidents. Road safety measures that could address these identified factors are required to mitigate potential RTAs.

Global burden of HIV among long-distance truck drivers: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to systematically summarise the empirical evidence on the prevalence of HIV among long-distance truck drivers (LDTDs) from all parts of the world. DESIGN: A systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted. DATA SOURCES: We searched PubMed, ProQuest Central, PubMed Central, Cumulated Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature and Global Index Medicus to identify relevant information published from 1989 to 16 May 2023. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Peer-reviewed publications of English language reporting on the prevalence of HIV among LDTDs were included. Non-empirical studies like literature reviews were excluded. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Using a standardised data abstraction form, we extracted information on study characteristics and HIV prevalence levels. Crude prevalence estimates per 100 participants were computed and later transformed using logit transformation to have them follow a normal distribution. A meta-analysis of prevalences using the random effects model was performed. The I2 statistic was used to quantify the degree of heterogeneity across studies. A subgroup analysis using meta-regression was performed to investigate factors that could explain variability across studies. The Joanna Briggs Institute tools and Newcastle-Ottawa Scale were used to assess the quality of the included studies. To assess the certainty of evidence, the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation approach was used. RESULTS: Of the 1787 articles identified, 42 were included. Most of the included studies were conducted in sub-Saharan Africa (45.23%, n=19) and Asia and the Pacific (35.71%, n=15). The pooled prevalence of HIV was 3.86%, 95% CI (2.22% to 6.64%). The burden of HIV was highest in sub-Saharan Africa at 14.34%, 95% CI (9.94% to 20.26%), followed by Asia and the Pacific at 2.12%, 95 CI (0.94% to 4.7%) and lastly Western, Central Europe and North America at 0.17%, 95% CI (0.03% to 0.82%). The overall heterogeneity score was (I2=98.2%, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: The global burden of HIV among LDTDs is 3.86%, six times higher than that of the general population globally. Compared with other regions, the burden of HIV is highest in sub-Saharan Africa at 14.34%, where it is estimated to be 3% in the general population. Thus, LDTDs endure a disproportionately high burden of HIV compared with other populations. Consequently, more LDTD-centred HIV research and surveillance is needed at national and regional levels to institute tailored preventive policies and interventions. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023429390.

Study on ring-road incident duration based on latent class accelerated hazard model.

Accurately estimating the duration of freeway incidents can enhance emergency management practices and reduce the likelihood of secondary incidents. To investigate the mechanisms through which key factors influence incident duration, this study sorted out the characteristics and variables of the incident duration on a special freeway in Zhejiang Province, that is, the ring road, and developed a latent class accelerated hazard model. Heterogeneity was incorporated into the model. Three distributions (Weibull, Log-normal, and Log-logistic) were compared, and the Log-logistic distribution exhibited superior performance. The analysis revealed two distinct latent classes: Latent Class 1 and Class 2, had class membership probability of 0.53 and 0.47, respectively, with a total of 11 variables being statistically significant at the 0.05 significance level. It is worth noting that, some neglected explanatory variables are discussed in depth in this study. For example, the mechanism of which specific lane is closed has an impact on the incident duration, rather than a general discussion of the number of lane closures. Furthermore, the way in which the driver involved in the incident reports to the police has a significant impact on the duration of incidents. Notably, potential heterogeneity and its influencing mechanism are captured in the model. Additionally, by predicting class membership using posterior probabilities, it was determined that most data points were more likely to belong to Class 1, and the incident duration primarily ranged between 0 and 60 minutes. These findings are helpful to reduce the duration of incidents on ring-roads and freeways in China, and provide theoretical support for the formulation of freeway incident management and treatment policies.

Beyond the surface: Exploring the temporally stable factors influencing injury severities in large-truck crashes using mixed logit models.

An analysis of crash data spanning four years (January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2018) from the State of Washington is conducted to investigate factors influencing injury severity outcomes in large truck-involved crashes. The study utilizes a mixed logit model that accounts for unobserved heterogeneity to capture the variation influenced by other variables. Transferability and temporal stability across the years are assessed using the likelihood ratio test. A wide range of attributes, including driver characteristics, vehicle features, crash-related attributes, roadway conditions, environmental factors, and temporal elements, are considered. Despite a significant temporal instability warranted by the likelihood ratio test across the years, twenty-one parameters consistently exhibit stable effects on injury severity over the years of which thirteen are new. The identified stable parameters included over speeding, following too closely, falling asleep, missing/ faulty airbags, head-on collisions, crashes involving two or more than three vehicles, rear-end collisions, lane width, low-light conditions, sag curves, New Jersey barriers, snowy weather, and morning hours. The temporally stable factors affecting injury severities in large truck crashes are crucial in developing the needed to address these crashes. The findings of this study offer valuable insights for researchers, stakeholders in the trucking industry, and policymakers, empowering them to develop targeted policies that not only improve traffic safety but also alleviate associated economic losses.