RESUMO
Oropouche virus has recently caused outbreaks in South America and the Caribbean, expanding into areas to which the virus was previously not endemic. This geographic range expansion, in conjunction with the identification of vertical transmission and reports of deaths, has raised concerns about the broader threat this virus represents to the Americas. We review information on Oropouche virus, factors influencing its spread, transmission risk in the United States, and current status of public health response tools. On the basis of available data, the risk for sustained local transmission in the continental United States is considered low because of differences in vector ecology and in human-vector interactions when compared with Oropouche virus-endemic areas. However, more information is needed about the drivers for the current outbreak to clarify the risk for further expansion of this virus. Timely detection and control of this emerging pathogen should be prioritized to mitigate disease burden and stop its spread.
Assuntos
Infecções por Bunyaviridae , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Orthobunyavirus , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Animais , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/transmissão , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/virologia , Surtos de Doenças , América/epidemiologia , América do Sul/epidemiologiaRESUMO
On 2 February 2024, the Pan American Health Organization/World Health Organization issued an epidemiological alert on rising Oropouche virus (OROV) infections in South America. By 3 August 2024, this alert level had escalated from medium to high. OROV has been a public health concern in Central and South America since its emergence in Brazil in the 1960s. However, the 2024 outbreak marks a turning point, with the sustained transmission in non-endemic regions of Brazil, local transmission in Cuba, two fatalities and several cases of vertical transmission. As of the end of August 2024, 9852 OROV cases have been confirmed. The 2024 OROV outbreak underscores critical gaps in our understanding of OROV pathogenesis and highlights the urgent need for antivirals and vaccines. This review aims to provide a concise overview of OROV, a neglected orthobunyavirus.
Assuntos
Infecções por Bunyaviridae , Orthobunyavirus , Orthobunyavirus/genética , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/virologia , Infecções por Bunyaviridae/transmissão , Humanos , Animais , Surtos de Doenças , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , América do Sul/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Usutu virus (USUV, Flaviviridae) is an emerging arbovirus that has led to epizootic outbreaks in birds and numerous human neuroinvasive disease cases in Europe. It is maintained in an enzootic cycle with Culex mosquitoes and passerine birds, a transmission cycle that is shared by West Nile virus (WNV) and St. Louis encephalitis virus (SLEV), two flaviviruses that are endemic in the United States. USUV and WNV co-circulate in Africa and Europe, and SLEV and WNV co-circulate in North America. These three viruses are prime examples of One Health issues, in which the interactions between humans, animals, and the environments they reside in can have important health impacts. The three facets of One Health are interwoven throughout this article as we discuss the mechanisms of flavivirus transmission and emergence. We explore the possibility of USUV emergence in the United States by analyzing the shared characteristics among USUV, WNV, and SLEV, including the role that flavivirus co-infections and sequential exposures may play in viral emergence. Finally, we provide insights on the importance of integrated surveillance programs as One Health tools that can be used to mitigate USUV emergence and spread.
Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Infecções por Flavivirus , Flavivirus , Saúde Única , Animais , Infecções por Flavivirus/virologia , Infecções por Flavivirus/transmissão , Infecções por Flavivirus/epidemiologia , Humanos , Flavivirus/fisiologia , Flavivirus/genética , Flavivirus/patogenicidade , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Aves/virologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Mosquitos Vetores/virologia , Coinfecção/virologia , Coinfecção/epidemiologia , Culex/virologia , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/fisiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Arbovírus/fisiologiaRESUMO
Mathematical modelling of (re)emerging infectious respiratory diseases among humans poses multiple challenges for modellers, which can arise as a result of limited data and surveillance, uncertainty in the natural history of the disease, as well as public health and individual responses to outbreaks. Here, we propose a COVID-19-inspired health state diagram (HSD) to serve as a foundational framework for conceptualising the modelling process for (re)emerging respiratory diseases, and public health responses, in the early stages of their emergence. The HSD aims to serve as a starting point for reflection on the structure and parameterisation of a transmission model to assess the impact of the (re)emerging disease and the capacity of public health interventions to control transmission. We also explore the adaptability of the HSD to different (re)emerging diseases using the characteristics of three respiratory diseases of historical public health importance. We outline key questions to contemplate when applying and adapting this HSD to (re)emerging infectious diseases and provide reflections on adapting the framework for public health-related interventions.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Humanos , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Saúde Pública , Infecções Respiratórias/transmissão , Infecções Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Infecções Respiratórias/virologia , Modelos TeóricosAssuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Planejamento em Desastres , Pandemias , Humanos , Regiões Árticas/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/prevenção & controle , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Planejamento em Desastres/tendências , Pandemias/prevenção & controleRESUMO
Rodents are ubiquitous and typically unwelcome dwellers in human habitats worldwide, infesting homes, farm fields, and agricultural stores and potentially shedding disease-causing microbes into the most human-occupied of spaces. Of the vertebrate animal taxa that share pathogens with us, rodents are the most abundant and diverse, with hundreds of species of confirmed zoonotic hosts, some of which have nearly global distributions. However, only 12% of rodent species are known to be sources of pathogens that also infect people, and those rodents that do are now recognized as tending to share a suite of predictable traits. Here, we characterize those traits and explore them in the context of three emerging or reemerging rodent-borne zoonotic diseases of people: Lassa fever, Lyme disease, and plague.
Assuntos
Febre Lassa , Doença de Lyme , Peste , Roedores , Zoonoses , Animais , Febre Lassa/transmissão , Febre Lassa/epidemiologia , Humanos , Zoonoses/transmissão , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Peste/transmissão , Peste/epidemiologia , Peste/microbiologia , Doença de Lyme/transmissão , Doença de Lyme/microbiologia , Doença de Lyme/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/veterinária , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Reservatórios de DoençasRESUMO
The emergence and spread of novel viral pathogens is a major threat to human health, particularly in the context of climate and human-induced change in land use. Alongshan virus (ALSV) is a tick-borne virus associated with human disease, which was first identified in northeast China. More recently, several studies reported the emergence of ALSV in mammalian and arthropod hosts in multiple different countries outside of Asia, and the first viral genome sequencing data has become available. ALSV is a member of the Jingmenvirus group closely related to the Flaviviridae family. Unusually, the positive-sense, single-stranded RNA genome of ALSV is segmented and consists of four distinct segments, two of which show homology with the NS3 and NS5 protein encoding regions of non-segmented flaviviruses. Transmission of arthropod-borne pathogens will likely increase in the future due to environmental change mediated by a variety of environmental and ecological factors and increasing human encroachment into wild animal habitats. In this review, we present current knowledge of global ALSV distribution and emergence patterns, highlight genetic diversity, evolution and susceptible species. Finally, we discuss the role of this emerging tick-borne virus in the context of urbanization and global health.
Assuntos
Carrapatos , Humanos , Animais , Carrapatos/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Genoma Viral , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/virologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/transmissão , Saúde Global , Filogenia , Flaviviridae/genética , Flaviviridae/classificação , Flaviviridae/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Flaviviridae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Flaviviridae/virologia , Infecções por Flaviviridae/transmissão , Variação GenéticaRESUMO
We studied a community cluster of 25 mpox cases in Vietnam caused by emerging monkeypox virus sublineage C.1 and imported into Vietnam through 2 independent events; 1 major cluster carried a novel APOBEC3-like mutation. Three patients died; all had advanced HIV co-infection. Viral evolution and its potential consequences should be closely monitored.
Assuntos
Monkeypox virus , Mpox , Filogenia , Vietnã/epidemiologia , Humanos , Mpox/epidemiologia , Mpox/virologia , Mpox/transmissão , Monkeypox virus/genética , Monkeypox virus/classificação , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/transmissão , Infecções por HIV/virologia , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , História do Século XXI , Mutação , Coinfecção/virologiaRESUMO
Non-pharmaceutical personal protective (NPP) measures such as face masks use, and hand and respiratory hygiene can be effective measures for mitigating the spread of aerosol/airborne diseases, such as COVID-19, in the absence of vaccination or treatment. However, the usage of such measures is constrained by their inherent perceived cost and effectiveness for reducing transmission risk. To understand the complex interaction of disease dynamics and individuals decision whether to adopt NPP or not, we incorporate evolutionary game theory into an epidemic model such as COVID-19. To compare how self-interested NPP use differs from social optimum, we also investigated optional control from a central planner's perspective. We use Pontryagin's maximum principle to identify the population-level NPP uptake that minimizes disease incidence by incurring the minimum costs. The evolutionary behavior model shows that NPP uptake increases at lower perceived costs of NPP, higher transmission risk, shorter duration of NPP use, higher effectiveness of NPP, and shorter duration of disease-induced immunity. Though social optimum NPP usage is generally more effective in reducing disease incidence than self-interested usage, our analysis identifies conditions under which both strategies get closer. Our model provides new insights for public health in mitigating a disease outbreak through NPP.
Assuntos
COVID-19 , Teoria dos Jogos , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/transmissão , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Equipamento de Proteção Individual , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/prevenção & controle , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissãoRESUMO
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: This review aims to discuss the current state of human infections with Avian Influenza A (H5) and (H9) viruses, to support awareness of the global epidemiology among clinicians and public health professionals interested in emerging respiratory infections. RECENT FINDINGS: Among increasing numbers of detections in avian species of Avian Influenza A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b globally, reported human cases of severe infection have been rare.Enhanced surveillance of persons exposed to avian species infected with Influenza A (H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b in different countries has identified small numbers of asymptomatic individuals with Avian Influenza A (H5N1) detected by PCR from the upper respiratory tract; some of these instances have been considered to represent contamination rather than infection.There have also been recent sporadic human cases of Avian Influenza A(H9N2) internationally, including in China and Cambodia. SUMMARY: Human infections with Avian Influenza A(H5) and (H9) viruses remain of interest as an emerging infection both to clinicians and public health professionals. While maintaining effective surveillance is essential, one health strategies to control infection in avian species will be key to mitigating these risks.
Assuntos
Virus da Influenza A Subtipo H5N1 , Influenza Aviária , Influenza Humana , Zoonoses , Humanos , Animais , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/transmissão , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Influenza Humana/virologia , Influenza Aviária/epidemiologia , Influenza Aviária/transmissão , Influenza Aviária/virologia , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/virologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Aves/virologia , Vírus da Influenza A Subtipo H9N2 , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Zoonoses Virais/transmissão , Zoonoses Virais/epidemiologia , Zoonoses Virais/virologia , Saúde GlobalRESUMO
The eco-epidemiology of zoonoses is often oversimplified to host-pathogen interactions while findings derived from global datasets are rarely directly transferable to smaller-scale contexts. Through a systematic literature search, we compiled a dataset of naturally occurring zoonotic interactions in Austria, spanning 1975-2022. We introduce the concept of zoonotic web to describe the complex relationships between zoonotic agents, their hosts, vectors, food, and environmental sources. The zoonotic web was explored through network analysis. After controlling for research effort, we demonstrate that, within the projected unipartite source-source network of zoonotic agent sharing, the most influential zoonotic sources are human, cattle, chicken, and some meat products. Analysis of the One Health 3-cliques (triangular sets of nodes representing human, animal, and environment) confirms the increased probability of zoonotic spillover at human-cattle and human-food interfaces. We characterise six communities of zoonotic agent sharing, which assembly patterns are likely driven by highly connected infectious agents in the zoonotic web, proximity to human, and anthropogenic activities. Additionally, we report a frequency of emerging zoonotic diseases in Austria of one every six years. Here, we present a flexible network-based approach that offers insights into zoonotic transmission chains, facilitating the development of locally-relevant One Health strategies against zoonoses.
Assuntos
Saúde Única , Zoonoses , Zoonoses/transmissão , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Humanos , Animais , Bovinos , Áustria/epidemiologia , Galinhas , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Interações Hospedeiro-PatógenoRESUMO
Cat-transmitted sporotrichosis is caused by the emerging fungal pathogen Sporothrix brasiliensis and constitutes a significant public health issue that affects people living in resource-poor urban centers in Brazil. The lack of knowledge about transmission dynamics makes it difficult to propose public health policies to contain the advance of sporotrichosis. We describe the recent emergence of 1,176 cases of sporotrichosis in cats (2016 to 2021) in the metropolitan region of Recife, Brazil, leading to significant zoonotic transmission and an overwhelming occurrence of S. brasiliensis as the etiological agent. Most cases were from cats in the cities of Olinda (408/1,176; 34.70%), Jaboatão dos Guararapes (332/1,176; 28.23%), and Recife (237/1,176; 20.15%). Molecular typing using amplified fragment length polymorphism (EcoRI-GA/MseI-AG) revealed low polymorphic information content (PIC = 0.2499) and heterozygosity (H = 0.2928), typical of an outbreak scenario. Dendrogram and multivariate cluster analysis revealed that isolates from Pernambuco are closely related to Rio de Janeiro isolates. We report a substantial occurrence of MAT1-2 idiomorphs in the metropolitan region of Recife (0:60 ratio; χ2 = 60.000, P < 0.0001). The limited population differentiation and genetic diversity of the isolates from Pernambuco suggest a recent introduction, possibly via a founder effect, from the parental population in Rio de Janeiro. Our findings emphasize the critical importance of molecular surveillance of S. brasiliensis for outbreak response. A comprehensive one-health strategy is mandatory to control the spread of cat-transmitted sporotrichosis driven by S. brasiliensis, encompassing sanitary barriers, quick diagnosis, and treatment.
Assuntos
Doenças do Gato , Sporothrix , Esporotricose , Esporotricose/transmissão , Esporotricose/microbiologia , Esporotricose/veterinária , Esporotricose/epidemiologia , Gatos , Brasil/epidemiologia , Sporothrix/genética , Sporothrix/isolamento & purificação , Sporothrix/classificação , Animais , Doenças do Gato/microbiologia , Doenças do Gato/transmissão , Doenças do Gato/epidemiologia , Tipagem Molecular , Zoonoses/transmissão , Zoonoses/microbiologia , Análise do Polimorfismo de Comprimento de Fragmentos Amplificados , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/microbiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Genótipo , FilogeniaRESUMO
Hawai'i, the United States' most western geographic state in the Pacific, lies between the North and South American continents and the Indo-Pacific regions, including Japan. The tropical environmental conditions of the Hawaiian Islands provide favorable ecosystems for various infectious pathogens, their vectors, and reservoirs. This creates an environment conducive to the transmission of zoonotic diseases affecting both humans and animals. Hawai'i has experienced an increase in dengue, leptospirosis, and murine typhus outbreaks. Furthermore, toxoplasmosis and neuroangiostrongyliasis cases remain prevalent throughout the state, and the putative presence of autochthonous Zika cases identified in a retrospective study may be of national public health concern. Understanding the factors that affect the transmission and distribution of zoonoses is necessary to identify at-risk locations and populations. The One Health approach seeks to understand, report, and interpret these factors and requires collaboration between private and governmental institutions. One Health should focus on neglected tropical diseases (NTD) and prioritize development of interventions to control and prevent the transmission of diseases that spread between animals and humans. This review focuses on the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of under-recognized zoonotic and NTD affecting Hawai'i, including leptospirosis, murine typhus, neuroangiostrongyliasis, toxoplasmosis, dengue, and Zika.
Assuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Doenças Negligenciadas , Zoonoses , Humanos , Animais , Havaí/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Doenças Negligenciadas/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissãoRESUMO
Anthropogenic pressures have increasingly disrupted the integrity of ecosystems worldwide, jeopardizing their capacity to provide essential contributions to human well-being. Recently, the role of natural ecosystems in reducing disease emergence risk has gained prominence in decision-making processes, as scientific evidence indicates that human-driven pressure, such as habitat destruction and deforestation, can trigger the emergence of zoonotic infectious diseases. However, the intricate relationship between biodiversity and emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) remains only partially understood. Here, we updated the most comprehensive zoonotic EID event database with the latest reported events to analyse the relationship between EIDs of wildlife origin (zoonoses) and various facets of ecological integrity. We found EID risk was strongly predicted by structural integrity metrics such as human footprint and ecoregion intactness, in addition to environmental variables such as tropical rainforest density and mammal species richness. EID events were more likely to occur in areas with intermediate levels of compositional and structural integrity, underscoring the risk posed by human encroachment into pristine, undisturbed lands. Our study highlights the need to identify novel indicators and targets that can effectively address EID risk alongside other pressing global challenges in sustainable development, ultimately informing strategies for preserving both human and environmental health.
Assuntos
Zoonoses , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Animais , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Ecossistema , BiodiversidadeRESUMO
The increasing frequency of zoonotic spillover events and viral mutations in low and middle-income countries presents a critical global health challenge. Contributing factors encompass cultural practices like bushmeat consumption, wildlife trade for traditional medicine, habitat disruption, and the encroachment of impoverished settlements onto natural habitats. The existing "vaccine gap" in many developing countries exacerbates the situation by allowing unchecked viral replication and the emergence of novel mutant viruses. Despite global health policies addressing the root causes of zoonotic disease emergence, there is a significant absence of concrete prevention-oriented initiatives, posing a potential risk to vulnerable populations. This article is targeted at policymakers, public health professionals, researchers, and global health stakeholders, particularly those engaged in zoonotic disease prevention and control in low and middle-income countries. The article underscores the importance of assessing potential zoonotic diseases at the animal-human interface and comprehending historical factors contributing to spillover events. To bridge policy gaps, comprehensive strategies are proposed that include education, collaborations, specialized task forces, environmental sampling, and the establishment of integrated diagnostic laboratories. These strategies advocate simplicity and unity, breaking down barriers, and placing humanity at the forefront of addressing global health challenges. Such a strategic and mental shift is crucial for constructing a more resilient and equitable world in the face of emerging zoonotic threats.
Assuntos
Países em Desenvolvimento , Zoonoses , Humanos , Animais , Zoonoses/prevenção & controle , Zoonoses/virologia , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Mutação , Política de Saúde/legislação & jurisprudência , Saúde Global , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/prevenção & controle , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissãoRESUMO
SUMMARYSeveral examples of high-impact cross-species transmission of newly emerging or re-emerging bat-borne viruses, such as Sudan virus, Nipah virus, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, have occurred in the past decades. Recent advancements in next-generation sequencing have strengthened ongoing efforts to catalog the global virome, in particular from the multitude of different bat species. However, functional characterization of these novel viruses and virus sequences is typically limited with regard to assessment of their cross-species potential. Our understanding of the intricate interplay between virus and host underlying successful cross-species transmission has focused on the basic mechanisms of entry and replication, as well as the importance of host innate immune responses. In this review, we discuss the various roles of the respective molecular mechanisms underlying cross-species transmission using different recent bat-borne viruses as examples. To delineate the crucial cellular and molecular steps underlying cross-species transmission, we propose a framework of overall characterization to improve our capacity to characterize viruses as benign, of interest, or of concern.
Assuntos
Quirópteros , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Animais , Quirópteros/virologia , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Viroses/transmissão , Viroses/virologia , Imunidade Inata , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/fisiologia , Vírus/genética , Replicação Viral , Vírus Nipah/genética , Vírus Nipah/fisiologia , Zoonoses Virais/transmissão , Zoonoses Virais/virologiaRESUMO
South American ecosystems host astonishing biodiversity, with potentially great richness in viruses. However, these ecosystems have not yet been the source of any widespread, epidemic viruses. Here we explore a set of putative causes that may explain this apparent paradox. We discuss that human presence in South America is recent, beginning around 14,000 years ago; that few domestications of native species have occurred; and that successive immigration events associated with Old World virus introductions reduced the likelihood of spillovers and adaptation of local viruses into humans. Also, the diversity and ecological characteristics of vertebrate hosts might serve as protective factors. Moreover, although forest areas remained well preserved until recently, current brutal, sudden, and large-scale clear cuts through the forest have resulted in nearly no ecotones, which are essential for creating an adaptive gradient of microbes, hosts, and vectors. This may be temporarily preventing virus emergence. Nevertheless, the mid-term effect of such drastic changes in habitats and landscapes, coupled with explosive urbanization and climate changes, must not be overlooked by health authorities.
Assuntos
Ecossistema , Humanos , América do Sul/epidemiologia , Animais , Viroses/epidemiologia , Viroses/transmissão , Viroses/virologia , Biodiversidade , Vírus/genética , Vírus/classificação , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Mudança ClimáticaAssuntos
Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Viroses , Humanos , Animais , Viroses/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Zoonoses/virologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Vírus/genética , Vírus/classificaçãoRESUMO
ABSTRACTImproved sanitation, increased access to health care, and advances in preventive and clinical medicine have reduced the mortality and morbidity rates of several infectious diseases. However, recent outbreaks of several emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) have caused substantial mortality and morbidity, and the frequency of these outbreaks is likely to increase due to pathogen, environmental, and population effects driven by climate change. Extreme or persistent changes in temperature, precipitation, humidity, and air pollution associated with climate change can, for example, expand the size of EID reservoirs, increase host-pathogen and cross-species host contacts to promote transmission or spillover events, and degrade the overall health of susceptible host populations leading to new EID outbreaks. It is therefore vital to establish global strategies to track and model potential responses of candidate EIDs to project their future behaviour and guide research efforts on early detection and diagnosis technologies and vaccine development efforts for these targets. Multi-disciplinary collaborations are demanding to develop effective inter-continental surveillance and modelling platforms that employ artificial intelligence to mitigate climate change effects on EID outbreaks. In this review, we discuss how climate change has increased the risk of EIDs and describe novel approaches to improve surveillance of emerging pathogens that pose the risk for EID outbreaks, new and existing measures that could be used to contain or reduce the risk of future EID outbreaks, and new methods to improve EID tracking during further outbreaks to limit disease transmission.
Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes , Humanos , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/prevenção & controle , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/transmissão , Animais , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controleRESUMO
Monkeypox (mpox), a zoonotic disease caused by the monkeypox virus (MPXV), poses a significant public health threat with the potential for global dissemination beyond its endemic regions in Central and West Africa. This study explores the multifaceted aspects of monkeypox, covering its epidemiology, genomics, travel-related spread, mass gathering implications, and economic consequences. Epidemiologically, mpox exhibits distinct patterns, with variations in age and gender susceptibility. Severe cases can arise in immunocompromised individuals, underscoring the importance of understanding the factors contributing to its transmission. Genomic analysis of MPXV highlights its evolutionary relationship with the variola virus and vaccinia virus. Different MPXV clades exhibit varying levels of virulence and transmission potential, with Clade I associated with higher mortality rates. Moreover, the role of recombination in MPXV evolution remains a subject of interest, with implications for understanding its genetic diversity. Travel and mass gatherings play a pivotal role in the spread of monkeypox. The ease of international travel and increasing globalization have led to outbreaks beyond African borders. The economic ramifications of mpox outbreaks extend beyond public health. Direct treatment costs, productivity losses, and resource-intensive control efforts can strain healthcare systems and economies. While vaccination and mitigation strategies have proven effective, the cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination in non-endemic countries remains a subject of debate. This study emphasizes the role of travel, mass gatherings, and genomics in its spread and underscores the economic impacts on affected regions. Enhancing surveillance, vaccination strategies, and public health measures are essential in controlling this emerging infectious disease.