Machine learning-based model to predict composite thromboembolic events among Chinese elderly patients with atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: Accurate prediction of survival prognosis is helpful to guide clinical decision-making. The aim of this study was to develop a model using machine learning techniques to predict the occurrence of composite thromboembolic events (CTEs) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation(AF). These events encompass newly diagnosed cerebral ischemia events, cardiovascular events, pulmonary embolism, and lower extremity arterial embolism. METHODS: This retrospective study included 6,079 elderly hospitalized patients (≥ 75 years old) with AF admitted to the People's Liberation Army General Hospital in China from January 2010 to June 2022. Random forest imputation was used for handling missing data. In the descriptive statistics section, patients were divided into two groups based on the occurrence of CTEs, and differences between the two groups were analyzed using chi-square tests for categorical variables and rank-sum tests for continuous variables. In the machine learning section, the patients were randomly divided into a training dataset (n = 4,225) and a validation dataset (n = 1,824) in a 7:3 ratio. Four machine learning models (logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, XGBoost) were trained on the training dataset and validated on the validation dataset. RESULTS: The incidence of composite thromboembolic events was 19.53%. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) method, using 5-fold cross-validation, was applied to the training dataset and identified a total of 18 features that exhibited a significant association with the occurrence of CTEs. The random forest model outperformed other models in terms of area under the curve (ACC: 0.9144, SEN: 0.7725, SPE: 0.9489, AUC: 0.927, 95% CI: 0.9105-0.9443). The random forest model also showed good clinical validity based on the clinical decision curve. The Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) showed that the top five features associated with the model were history of ischemic stroke, high triglyceride (TG), high total cholesterol (TC), high plasma D-dimer, age. CONCLUSIONS: This study proposes an accurate model to stratify patients with a high risk of CTEs. The random forest model has good performance. History of ischemic stroke, age, high TG, high TC and high plasma D-Dimer may be correlated with CTEs.

Psychosocial Stressors at Work and Atrial Fibrillation Incidence: An 18-Year Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Psychosocial stressors at work, defined by the job strain and effort-reward imbalance at work (ERI) models, were shown to increase coronary heart disease risk. No previous study has examined the adverse effect of psychosocial stressors at work from both models on atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence. The objective of this study was to examine the separate and combined effect of psychosocial stressors at work from the job strain and ERI models on AF incidence in a prospective cohort study. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 5926 white-collar workers (3021 women and 2905 men) free of cardiovascular disease at baseline were followed for an average of 18 years. Job strain (high psychological demands combined with low decision latitude) and ERI were assessed using validated instruments. AF events were identified in medical databases with universal coverage. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were estimated using Cox regression models, controlling for socioeconomic characteristics and lifestyle-related and clinical risk factors. A total of 186 AF incident events were identified over 18 years. Workers exposed to job strain (HR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.14-2.92]) and ERI (HR, 1.44 [95% CI, 1.05-1.98]) had a higher risk of AF in fully adjusted models. Combined exposure to job strain and ERI was associated with a 2-fold AF risk increase (HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.26-3.07]). CONCLUSIONS: Psychosocial stressors at work from the job strain and ERI models are associated with an increased risk of AF, separately and in combination. Workplace prevention strategies targeting these psychosocial stressors at work may be effective to reduce the burden associated with AF.

Effect of Ticagrelor Versus Clopidogrel After Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting on Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to explore the effect of a P2Y12 inhibitor regimen on the occurrence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after off-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery in carriers with the cytochrome P450 family 2 subfamily C member19 loss-of-function allele. METHODS AND RESULTS: From May 2019 to November 2023, patients containing the cytochrome P450 family 2 subfamily C member19*2 or *3 allele undergoing elective first-time off-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery including aspirin 100 mg/d and ticagrelor 180 mg/d (AT group; n=95) versus clopidogrel 75 mg/d (aspirin and clopidogrel group; n=95) were prospectively followed. The primary end point was the cumulative incidence of POAF in a week. The secondary end points were POAF burden, platelet aggregability, systemic immune-inflammation index and heart rate variability. The incidence of POAF was 21.1% in the AT group versus 41.1% in the aspirin and clopidogrel group (hazard ratio, 0.46 [95% CI, 0.27-0.76]; P=0.003). POAF burden, ADP-induced platelet aggregation and systemic immune-inflammation index was notably lower in the AT group than the aspirin and clopidogrel group. Heart rate variability data showed an increase in both high-frequency and SD of normal-to-normal RR intervals in the AT group with a decreased low-frequency/high-frequency ratio, suggesting that the sympathetic/parasympathetic activation was balanced. CONCLUSIONS: In patients carrying the cytochrome P450 family 2 subfamily C member19 loss-of-function allele, an AT regimen after off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting was associated with a lower incidence of POAF, paralleled by lower atrial fibrillation burden, ADP-induced platelet aggregation, lower systemic immune-inflammation index reaction, and a balanced automatic nerve system compared with an aspirin and clopidogrel regimen. Inhibiting the systemic immune-inflammation response and sustaining automatic nerve balance may underlie the therapeutic effect of POAF by a potent antiplatelet combination.

The causality of atrial fibrillation on frailty index: A Mendelian randomization study.

Prior epidemiological research has indicated a possible association between atrial fibrillation (AF) and frailty status. Our study used Mendelian randomization to estimate its causality. The genome-wide association studies for AF were utilized as the exposure for individuals included in the UK Biobank (n = 463,010) and publicly available summary statistics data sets of genome-wide association studies meta-analyses for frailty index in individuals of European descent (n = 175,226) was used as the outcome. The inverse variance weighting method was utilized to evaluate causality. To further confirm the reliability of the results, sensitivity analyses were conducted. The inverse variance weighting analysis indicated that the presence of AF was found to be statistically linked to an increased risk of frailty (odds ratio = 3.017, CI: 1.106-8.232, P = .031). MR-Egger intercept test indicated no pleiotropy (Egger intercept = .002, P = .808). The leave-one-out method indicated that the individual SNPs did not have an impact on the robustness of the findings. The research implies a causal relationship between AF and frailty. Early detection and timely intervention of AF can control the occurrence of frailty.

Determinants of adverse outcomes following patent foramen ovale closure in elderly patients.

BACKGROUND: Limited data are available on transcatheter patent foramen ovale (PFO) closure outcomes in the elderly. AIMS: Through this study, we aimed to determine the incidence and predictors of adverse events (recurrent cerebrovascular events [CVE] and atrial fibrillation [AF]) post-PFO closure in older patients with cryptogenic events. METHODS: This multicentre international study included patients over 60 years undergoing PFO closure for cryptogenic thromboembolic events. A dedicated database compiled baseline, procedural, and follow-up data. Competing risk and adjusted outcome predictor analyses were conducted. RESULTS: A total of 689 patients were included (median age 65 years, 41.2% female, mean Risk of Paradoxical Embolism [RoPE] score 4.5). The procedural success rate was 99.4%. After a median follow-up of 2 (interquartile range 1-5) years, 66 patients (9.6%) had died. CVE and stroke rates were 1.21 and 0.55 per 100 patient-years, respectively. Diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 3.89, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.67-9.07; p=0.002) and atrial septal aneurysm (ASA; HR 5.25, 95% CI: 1.56-17.62; p=0.007) increased the CVE risk. New-onset AF occurred at a rate of 3.30 per 100 patient-years, with 51.3% within one month post-procedure. Older age (HR 1.05 per year, 95% CI: 1.00-1.09; p=0.023) and the absence of hypertension (HR 2.04, 95% CI: 1.19-3.57; p=0.010) were associated with an increased risk of AF. CONCLUSIONS: Older patients undergoing PFO closure had a relatively low rate of CVE and new-onset AF after a median follow-up of 2 years. The presence of diabetes, ASA, and a more advanced age determined an increased risk of adverse clinical events. These factors may be considered in the clinical decision-making process regarding PFO closure in this challenging population.

Sex differences in early-onset atrial fibrillation in Norwegian primary care: a retrospective national database analysis.

BACKGROUND: Individual variation in the need for healthcare constitutes knowledge gaps for young atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. We aimed to estimate the prevalence and primary care burden of early-onset AF in Norway, emphasising sex differences, in a nationwide healthcare database. METHODS: We used data from the Norwegian Control and Payment of Health Reimbursement database to identify all Norwegian residents ≥18 years of age registered with a primary care physician (PCP) in 2019, with onset of AF at ≤50 years of age (early-onset AF) in the period 2006-2019. From the accumulated number of early-onset AF cases among current residents, we calculated the prevalence in 2019. The group-level primary care burden was calculated as the total number of annual AF consultations divided by the annual number of AF patients (2014-2018), and individual burden as the mean number of consultations per AF patient per year within the study period. We analysed the distribution of AF consultations between PCP and primary care emergency room (ER) services in total and by sex. RESULTS: We identified 10 925 Norwegian residents with early-onset AF in 2019 (26.3% women, mean age 48.4 years). The prevalence of early-onset AF was 0.34% (women: 0.19%, men: 0.50%). The early-onset AF population had on average one annual primary care consultation for AF. The individual burden of annual AF consultations varied widely; <1: 66% of women and 54% of men, (1-5]: 25% of women and 36% of men, (5-10]: 6% of women and 8% of men, ≥10: 2% of women and 2% of men. A higher proportion of men (71%) than women (38%) attended both PCP and ER services due to AF. CONCLUSIONS: The study confirmed a low prevalence of early-onset AF, with substantial sex differences and individual variation in primary healthcare needs. Our results signal a need for a higher resolution with regard to age groups in future research on burden and sex differences in early-onset AF.

Prevalence and associated factors of atrial fibrillation among patients with rheumatic heart disease attending public referral hospitals in Bahir Dar city, Northwest Ethiopia, 2023.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a supraventricular arrhythmia associated with uncoordinated atrial activation. Atrial fibrillation is complication of rheumatic heart disease and is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. It is a growing public health problem and economic and social burden. Studies investigating the prevalence and factors associated with atrial fibrillation among chronic rheumatic heart disease patients in Ethiopia are scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the prevalence and factors associated with atrial fibrillation in patients with chronic rheumatic heart disease. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted. A total of 410 patients were selected using a systematic random sampling method. The data were entered into Epi-Data version 4.6 and subsequently exported to SPSS version 26 software for analysis. A binary logistic regression model was applied to identify significant variables related to AF. RESULTS: In this study, 410 patient charts were reviewed. The prevalence of atrial fibrillation was 43% (95% CI of 38% up to 48%). Male (AOR = 3.81, 95% CI 2.00-7.26), age greater than 30 years (AOR = 7.26, 95% CI 3.93-13.41), heart failure (AOR = 4.65, 95% CI 2.39-9.04), mitral valve stenosis (AOR = 6.36, 95% CI 2.92-13.87), and left atrial diameter enlargement (AOR = 3.41, 95% CI 1.64-7.09) were associated with atrial fibrillation. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS: Atrial fibrillation leads patients to frequent hospital admission and increases hospital mortality. As a result, health care professionals need to pay more attention to and apply more clinical treatment for older patients, those with heart failure, those with mitral valve stenosis, and those with left atrial diameter enlargement-associated causes of atrial fibrillation.

Sex, Atrial Fibrillation, and Long-Term Mortality After Cardiac Surgery.

Importance: There are limited data on the association of sex with the incidence of postoperative atrial fibrillation (poAF) and subsequent long-term mortality after cardiac surgery. Objective: To evaluate whether the incidence of poAF and associated long-term mortality after cardiac surgery differ by sex. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study was conducted at 2 tertiary care centers in Massachusetts from January 1, 2002, until October 1, 2016, with follow-up until December 1, 2022. Adult (aged >20 years) women and men undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery, aortic valve surgery, mitral valve surgery, and combined procedures with cardiopulmonary bypass were examined using medical records. Patients who had data on poAF were included in data analyses. Exposures: Sex and poAF. Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcomes were the incidence of poAF and all-cause mortality. poAF was defined as any atrial fibrillation detected on electrocardiogram (EKG) during the index hospitalization in patients presenting for surgery in normal sinus rhythm. Data on poAF were obtained from EKG reports and supplemented by information from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. All-cause mortality was assessed via hospital records. The hypotheses were formulated prior to data analysis. Results: Among 21 568 patients with poAF data (mean [SD] age, 66.5 [12.4] years), 2694 of 6601 women (40.8%) and 5805 of 14 967 men (38.8%) developed poAF. In a multivariable logistic regression model, women had lower risk of poAF (odds ratio [OR], 0.85; 95% CI, 0.79-0.91; P < .001). During the follow-up study period, 1294 women (50.4%) and 2376 men (48.9%) in the poAF group as well as 1273 women (49.6%) and 2484 men (51.1%) in the non-poAF group died. Cox proportional hazards analysis found that the association between poAF and mortality was significantly moderated (ie, effect modified) by sex. Compared with same-sex individuals without poAF, men with poAF had a 17% higher mortality hazard (hazard ratio [HR], 1.17; 95% CI, 1.11-1.25; P < .001), and women with poAF had a 31% higher mortality hazard (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.21-1.42; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this retrospective cohort study of 21 568 patients who underwent cardiac surgery, women were less likely to develop poAF than men when controlling for other relevant characteristics; however, women who did develop poAF had a higher risk of long-term mortality than men who developed poAF. This observed elevated risk calls for a tailored approach to perioperative care in women undergoing cardiac surgery.

General anaesthesia compared to conscious sedation for first-time atrial fibrillation catheter ablation-a Danish nationwide cohort study.

AIMS: Catheter ablation (CA) is a well-established treatment option for atrial fibrillation (AF), where sedation and analgesia are pivotal for patient comfort and lesion formation. The impact of anaesthesia type on AF recurrence rates remains uncertain. This study aimed to examine AF recurrence rates depending on conscious sedation (CS) vs. general anaesthesia (GA) during CA. METHODS AND RESULTS: Utilizing nationwide data from the Danish healthcare registries, we conducted this cohort study involving adults (≥18 years) undergoing first-time CA for AF between 2010 and 2018. Patients were categorized by anaesthesia type (CS or GA), with the primary endpoint being AF recurrence, defined by a composite endpoint of either antiarrhythmic drug (AAD) prescriptions, AF-related hospital admissions, electrical cardioversions, or AF re-ablation. The impact of anaesthesia type was evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis. The study cohort comprised 7957 (6421 CS and 1536 GA) patients. Persistent AF, hypertension, and heart failure, as well as use of AAD, were more prevalent in the GA group. Cumulative incidences of recurrent AF were higher in the CS group at 1 (46% vs. 37%) and at 5 (68% vs. 63%) years. Multivariate analysis revealed CS as significantly associated with increased risk of AF recurrence at 5-year follow-up [hazard ratio 1.26 (95% confidence interval 1.15-1.38)], consistent across paroxysmal and persistent AF subtypes. CONCLUSION: This nationwide cohort study suggests a higher risk of AF recurrence with CS during CA compared to GA. These results advocate for considering GA as the preferred anaesthesia type for improved CA outcomes.

Risk of stroke in male and female patients with atrial fibrillation in a nationwide cohort.

Female sex has been suggested as a risk modifier for stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) with comorbid prevalent stroke risk factors. Management has evolved over time towards a holistic approach that may have diminished any sex difference in AF-related stroke. In a nationwide cohort of AF patients free from oral anticoagulant treatment, we examine the time trends in stroke risk overall and in relation to risk differences between male and female patients. Here we show that among 158,982 patients with AF (median age 78 years (IQR: 71 to 85); 52% female) the 1-year thromboembolic risk was highest between 1997-2000 with a risk of 5.6% and lowest between 2013-2016 with a risk of 3.8%, declining over the last two decades. The excess stroke risk for female vs male patients has also been declining, with risk-score adjusted relative risk estimates suggesting limited sex-difference in recent years.

The association between antiphospholipid syndrome and atrial fibrillation: a single center retrospective case-control study.

Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is a systemic autoimmune syndrome characterized by arterial or venous thrombosis, pregnancy complications and thrombocytopenia. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between APS and atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients in Peking University People's Hospital. A single center retrospective study was conducted. Cases were hospitalized patients diagnosed with AF by a cardiologist while the control group patients did not exhibit cardiac diseases. The results of the study revealed that in multivariable logistic regression, APS, anticardiolipin antibody (aCL) positivity and anti-beta-2-glycoprotein antibody (anti-ß2GPI) positivity are independent risk factors of AF. APS, aCL positivity and anti-ß 2GPI positivity are statistically different between AF patients and non-AF patients. Forthcoming studies are needed to clarify the potential link between APS and AF.

Risk Factors and Prognosis of Perioperative Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Patients Undergoing VATS Lung Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) has become the most common postoperative arrhythmia of thoracic surgery. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors and complications of perioperative atrial fibrillation (PoAF) in elderly patients who underwent video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS). Methods: Data were collected from patients who underwent VATS between January 2013 and December 2022 at Peking Union Medical College Hospital (PUMCH). Univariable analyses and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to determine the factors correlated with PoAF. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the discrimination of the indicators to predict PoAF. Results: The study enrolled 2920 patients, with a PoAF incidence of 5.2% (95% CI 4.4%-6.0%). In the logistic regression analyses, male sex (OR=1.496, 95% CI 1.056-2.129, P=0.024), left atrial anteroposterior dimension (LAD) ≥40 mm (OR=2.154, 95% CI 1.235-3.578, P=0.004), hypertension (HTN) without regular treatment (OR=2.044, 95% CI 0.961-3.921, P=0.044), a history of hyperthyroidism (OR=4.443, 95% CI 0.947-15.306, P=0.030), surgery of the left upper lobe (compared to other lung lobes) (OR=1.625, 95% CI 1.139-2.297, P=0.007), postoperative high blood glucose (BG) (OR=2.482, 95% CI 0.912-5.688, P=0.048), and the time of chest tube removal (per day postoperatively) (OR=1.116, 95% CI 1.038-1.195, P=0.002) were found to be significantly associated with PoAF. The area under the ROC curve was 0.707 (95% CI 0.519-0.799). 86.9% patients were successfully converted to sinus rhythm. Compared with the non-PoAF group, the PoAF group had significantly greater risks of prolonged air leakage, postoperative acute coronary syndrome, longer ICU stays, and longer hospital stays. Conclusion: Male sex, LAD≥40 mm, HTN without regular treatment, a history of hyperthyroidism, surgery of the left upper lobe, postoperative BG, and the time of chest tube removal were associated with PoAF. These findings may help clinicians identify high-risk patients and take preventive measures to minimize the incidence and adverse prognosis of PoAF.

Leisure-time physical activity and the incidence of atrial fibrillation in senior adults: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Whether physical activity could reduce the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear. This study was to investigate the relationship of leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) with AF incidence among Chinese older adults. METHODS: A total of 3253 participants aged ≥60 years from the Guangzhou Heart Study were successfully followed between March 2018 and September 2019. LTPA was assessed using a modified Global Physical Activity Questionnaire. AF was ascertained by 12-lead electrocardiograms, 24-hour single-lead Holter and clinical examination. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to the estimate hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) after adjustment for confounders, and the population-attributable fraction (PAF) was estimated. RESULTS: A total of 76 (2.34%) new-onset cases of AF were identified during a median of 31.13 months of follow-up. After adjustment for confounders, subjects who had LTPA at least 10.0 metabolic equivalent (MET)-hours/week had a 55% lower risk of developing AF (HR: 0.45, 95%CI: 0.25-0.81), and at least 20 MET-hours/week reduced the risk by 45% (HR: 0.55, 95%CI: 0.34-0.92). At least 11% (PAF: 11%, 95%CI: 0%-20%) or 14% (PAF: 14%, 95%CI: 0%-26%) of AF cases could be avoided, respectively, if the subjects do LTPA at least 10 MET-hours/week or 20 MET-hours/week. A significant exposure-response trend was also observed between LTPA and AF risk (Plinear-trend = 0.002). For a specific LTPA, doing housework was associated with a 43% reduced risk, while engaging in ball games was associated with an increased risk. CONCLUSION: This prospective cohort study indicated that a higher LTPA volume was associated with a lower AF risk in Chinese older adults.

Identifying pulmonary embolism - high risk patients after total knee replacement: systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the incidence, onset, risk factors and mortality of pulmonary embolism in total knee replacement patients. METHODS: The systematic review was conducted in September 2022, and comprised search on PubMed, ScienceDirect, Scopus and Crossref databases for studies published from 1977 till September 7, 2022, in the English language related to the incidence of pulmonary embolism after primary total knee replacement. Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions was used to assess risk of bias, and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used to assess the quality of evidence. RESULTS: Of the 3,910 studies initially identified, 66(1.68%) were analysed in detail, which together had 13,258,455 total knee replacement patients. Pulmonary embolism was reported in 76,515(0.58%) cases. The onset of pulmonary embolism ranged 2-150 days post-surgery. Patients with older age, diabetes mellitus, higher body mass index, atrial fibrillation, previous venous thromboembolism, high Charlson Comorbidity Index score, hypertension, arrhythmia and chronic heart failure were at significantly higher risk (p<0.05). The overall mortality rate of pulmonary embolism in such cases ranged 10.53-100%. CONCLUSIONS: Pulmonary embolism is a rare complication after orthopaedic surgery, but it has a very high mortality rate. By recognising the risk factors, attending physicians can optimise the use of chemoprophylaxis, thus preventing pulmonary embolism.

The burden of atrial fibrillation/flutter in the Middle East and North Africa region and its associated risk factors from 1990 to 2019.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation and flutter (AFF) are the most common cardiac arrhythmias globally, contributing to substantial morbidity and mortality. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region face unique challenges in managing cardiovascular diseases, including AFF, due to diverse sociodemographic factors and healthcare infrastructure variability. This study aims to comprehensively evaluate the burden of AFF in MENA from 1990 to 2019. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019, a comprehensive source incorporating diverse data inputs. The study collected global, regional, and national Age-Standardized Incidence Rate (ASIR), Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR), and Age-Standardized Disability-Adjusted Rate (ASDR), Mortality across sex, age groups, and years. LOESS regression was employed to determine the relationship between age-standardized rates attributed to AFF and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). RESULTS: The study found minimal change in ASIR of AFF in MENA from 1990 to 2019, with a slight increase observed in ASMR and ASDR during the same period. Notably, AFF burden was consistently higher in females compared to males, with age showing a direct positive relationship with AFF burden. Iraq, Iran, and Turkey exhibited the highest ASIR, while Qatar, Bahrain, and Oman had the highest ASMR and ASDR in 2019. Conversely, Kuwait, Libya, and Turkey displayed the lowest ASMR and ASDR rates. CONCLUSION: This study underscores the persistent burden of AFF in MENA and identifies significant disparities across countries. High systolic blood pressure emerged as a prominent risk factor for mortality in AFF patients. Findings provide crucial insights for policy-making efforts, resource allocation, and intervention strategies aimed at reducing the burden of cardiovascular diseases in the MENA region.

Cardio-cerebrovascular adverse outcomes in patients with influenza with and without preexisting cardiovascular disease: Oral antiviral agents impact.

This study aimed to compare the 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular adverse outcomes of patients with influenza with and without preexisting cardiovascular disease (preCVD) treated with oral antiviral agents in the outpatient clinic. Oral antiviral agents are routinely prescribed to treat influenza infection with a positive rapid-antigen test in the outpatient clinic; however, influenza-associated cardio-cerebrovascular outcomes have not yet been characterized in patients with preCVD treated with oral antiviral agents. Data between 2006 and 2016 were extracted from the National Health Database of South Korea. A total of 865,522 patients with influenza treated with oral antiviral agents were selected in South Korea and classified as preexisting ischemic heart disease (IHD), heart failure (HF), or atrial fibrillation (AF), and 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular outcomes were analyzed using a Cox proportional hazard regression model. Among the participants, 96,433 had preCVD (11.1%; mean age, 46 years) including IHD (86.4%), HF (23.1%), and AF (12.5%). The incidence of new-onset IHD, AF, HF, and death was similar between patients with influenza with and without preCVD. The incidences of IHD and stroke were 0.489 and 0.047 per 100-person year in the preCVD group, respectively. The incidence of cardiovascular mortality was 0.489 per 100-person year in the preCVD group, and the hazard ratio for cardiovascular mortality in the preCVD group was not significantly different from that in patients without preCVD. Based on the national health data, 2-year cardio-cerebrovascular adverse outcomes were not significantly different between patients with and without preCVD treated with oral antiviral agents.

Mitochondrial biological function and risk of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter: A 2-sample Mendelian randomization study.

Current research suggests that mitochondrial dysfunction can be a contributing factor in the development of cardiac arrhythmias. In pursuit of elucidating the causal link between the biological functions of mitochondria and the occurrence of atrial fibrillation/flutter, we conducted a 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study. Mitochondrial proteins were selected for exposure in this study. To enhance the accuracy of our study, we selected data on AF/AFL from the FinnGen study and the UK Biobank for MR analysis, respectively. The inverse variance-weighted method was utilized as the primary analysis technique for MR. In addition, we performed a series of sensitivity analyses to detect heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy. MR results indicated a significant positive association between NAD-dependent protein deacylase sirtuin-5 and AF/AFL (odds ratio = 1.084, 95% confidence interval: 1.037-1.133, P = 3.679 × 10-4, Adjusted P = .024), with consistent outcomes observed in replication analysis (odds ratio = 1.002, 95% confidence interval: 1.001-1.003, P = 4.808 × 10-4, Adjusted P = .032). NAD-dependent protein deacylase sirtuin-5 can significantly promote the occurrence of AF/AFL, and its specific mechanisms warrant further investigation.

The association between systemic inflammation markers and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation markers have recently been identified as being associated with cardiac disorders. However, limited research has been conducted to estimate the pre-diagnostic associations between these markers and paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF). Our aim is to identify potential biomarkers for early detection of PAF. METHODS: 91 participants in the PAF group and 97 participants in the non-PAF group were included in this study. We investigated the correlations between three systemic inflammation markers, namely the systemic immune inflammation index (SII), system inflammation response index (SIRI), and aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI), and PAF. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with PAF gradually increased with increasing logSII, logSIRI, and logAISI tertiles. Compared to those in the lowest tertiles, the PAF risks in the highest logSII and logSIRI tertiles were 3.2-fold and 2.9-fold, respectively. Conversely, there was no significant correlation observed between logAISI and PAF risk within the highest tertile of logAISI. The restricted cubic splines (RCS) analysis revealed a non-linear relationship between the elevation of systemic inflammation markers and PAF risk. Specifically, the incidence of PAF is respectively increased by 56%, 95%, and 150% for each standard deviation increase in these variables. The ROC curve analysis of logSII, logSIRI and logAISI showed that they had AUC of 0.6, 0.7 and 0.6, respectively. It also demonstrated favorable sensitivity and specificity of these systemic inflammation markers in detecting the presence of PAF. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our study reveals significant positive correlations between SII, SIRI, and AISI with the incidence of PAF.

Secondary tricuspid regurgitation: incidence, types, and outcomes in atrial fibrillation vs. sinus rhythm.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Incidence and types of secondary tricuspid regurgitation (TR) are not well defined in atrial fibrillation (AFib) and sinus rhythm (SR). Atrial secondary TR (A-STR) is associated with pre-existing AFib; however, close to 50% of patients with A-STR do not have AFib. The aim of this study was to assess incidence, types, and outcomes of ≥ moderate TR in AFib vs. SR. METHODS: Adults with and without new-onset AFib without structural heart disease or ≥ moderate TR at baseline were followed for the development of ≥ moderate TR. Tricuspid regurgitation types were pacemaker, left-sided valve disease, left ventricular (LV) dysfunction, pulmonary hypertension (PH), isolated ventricular, and A-STR. RESULTS: Among 1359 patients with AFib and 20 438 in SR, 109 and 378 patients developed ≥ moderate TR, respectively. The individual types of TR occurred more frequently in AFib related to the higher pacemaker implantation rates (1.12 vs. 0.19 per 100 person-years, P < .001), larger right atrial size (median 78 vs. 53 mL, P < .001), and higher pulmonary pressures (median 30 vs. 28 mmHg, P < .001). The most common TR types irrespective of rhythm were LV dysfunction-TR and A-STR. Among patients in SR, those with A-STR were older, predominantly women with more diastolic abnormalities and higher pulmonary pressures. All types of secondary TR were associated with all-cause mortality, highest in PH-TR and LV dysfunction-TR. CONCLUSIONS: New-onset AFib vs. SR conferred a higher risk of the individual TR types related to sequelae of AFib and higher pacemaker implantation rates, although the distribution of TR types was similar. Secondary TR was universally associated with increased mortality.