A Risk Is Not a Harm: Abortion Exceptions in State Laws.

This letter responds to the article "Beneath the Sword of Damocles: Moral Obligations of Physicians in a Post-Dobbs Landscape," by Anne Drapkin Lyerly, Ruth R. Faden, and Michelle M. Mello, in the May-June 2024 issue of the Hastings Center Report.

Fetal exposure to the Ukraine famine of 1932-1933 and adult type 2 diabetes mellitus.

The short-term impact of famines on death and disease is well documented, but estimating their potential long-term impact is difficult. We used the setting of the man-made Ukrainian Holodomor famine of 1932-1933 to examine the relation between prenatal famine and adult type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This ecological study included 128,225 T2DM cases diagnosed from 2000 to 2008 among 10,186,016 male and female Ukrainians born from 1930 to 1938. Individuals who were born in the first half-year of 1934, and hence exposed in early gestation to the mid-1933 peak famine period, had a greater than twofold likelihood of T2DM compared with that of unexposed controls. There was a dose-response relationship between severity of famine exposure and increase in adult T2DM risk.

The lasting effects of famine.

Early exposure to food scarcity in Ukraine increases diabetes risk in later life.

Life-Suspending Technologies, Cryonics, and Catastrophic Risks.

I defend the claim that life-suspending technologies can constitute a catastrophic and existential security factor for risks structurally similar to those related to climate change. The gist of the argument is that, under certain conditions, life-suspending technologies such as cryonics can provide self-interested actors with incentives to efficiently tackle such risks-in particular, they provide reasons to overcome certain manifestations of generational egoism, a risk factor of several catastrophic and existential risks. Provided we have reasons to decrease catastrophic and existential risks such as climate change, we also have a (defeasible) reason for investing in developing and making life-suspending technologies (more) widespread.

Higher risk of upper respiratory tract infection post marathon running: when physical exercise becomes a threat to the immune system.

Background: Several studies have reported that marathon runners have a higher risk of upper respiratory tract infections (URTI) post marathon than non-exercising controls. However, other studies did not find a higher risk of URTI in the same participants before and after a marathon, precluding a conclusive consensus. Besides the between-subjects effects, another important confounding factor in these results is the different pre and post follow-up time to track URTI. Objectives: Identify by meta-analysis whether a marathon Running increases the risk of URTI, adjusting the follow-up time to track URTI. Data sources: We searched for articles using MEDLINE (PubMed), Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and EBSCOhost, combining the marathon and respiratory infection descriptor synonyms, on 1st December 2022. Eligibility criteria: The PICOS framework included human population, comparison between pre and post marathon running, of URTI symptoms (assessed from one to 4 weeks), in noncontrolled intervention studies. Data Synthesis: Because follow-up was longer before the marathon in many studies, we adjusted the number of subjects with infections before marathon to the equivalent post-marathon follow-up duration. There was 18% higher incidence of URTI post-marathon (OR 1.18 95%CI [1.05-1.33], p= 0.005) in a very consistent meta-analysis (I2 = 0%, p = 0.69), with no risk of publication bias (Egger test p-value = 0.82) for the 7 studies included. The main issues with quality of the studies were bias in measuring the outcome, bias in classification of intervention (participation in the marathon) and time-varying confounding (corrected for analysis), and therefore the quality of evidence was moderate (GRADE approach = 3). Limitations: The need for follow-up time adjustment is a limitation, since the number of URTI recorded could be different if the original studies had used the same follow-up time pre and post marathon. The subjectivity of the URTI assessments is another limitation in this field. Conclusions: There is an increased risk of URTI post marathon running and research on this topic to understand mechanisms might support runners to find efficient interventions to reduce this risk. Protocol: Protocol registration on in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO): CRD42022380991.

Associations of Nutrients and Dietary Preferences with Recurrent Pregnancy Loss and Infertility.

This review examines associations of nutrients and dietary preferences with recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL), miscarriage, and infertility. Research articles, reviews, and meta-analyses of RPL and infertility that focused on nutrition, meals, and lifestyle were reviewed, and associations of nutrients and dietary preferences with pregnancy are discussed in relation to recent research findings. Studies related to RPL were given the highest priority, followed by those dealing with miscarriage and infertility. Multivitamin supplements-even when lacking folic acid or vitamin A-reduced total fetal loss. High-dose folic acid supplementation before conception reduced the risk of miscarriage and stillbirth. A meta-analysis revealed a strong association of vitamin D deficiency/insufficiency with miscarriage. Another meta-analysis revealed that seafood and dairy products reduced the risk of miscarriage, whereas a caffeine intake of 300 mg/day or more was associated with miscarriage. A balanced diet that included nutrients with antioxidant properties helped prevent miscarriage, whereas a diet that included processed foods and nutrients with proinflammatory effects increased the risk of miscarriage. Associations of nutrients with RPL warrant further research.

Systemic risk spillover between the stock market and banking deposits: Evidence from a sustainability perspective in the South Asian countries.

This research explores the link between stock markets and banking deposits in South Asian (Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka, Nepal) countries. This study empirically examines the systemic risk potential of financial institutions in South Asia using current systemic risk statistics. Yearly data on stock prices and banking deposits from January 2000 to December 2020 were analyzed using a two-stage process. In the first phase, we measure VaR (value at risk), and in the second step, we measure the DCC GARCH model for our empirical analysis. The study findings reveal systemic risk spillover between the stock markets of South Asian countries and the relevant country's banking system deposits. The policymakers can use our study findings to create a more sustainable financial sector.

Study on the Association between Cesarean Section Birth and Asthma Risk in the Pediatric Population of the Health Area of Palencia between 1993 and 2020.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Both asthma prevalence and the percentage of cesarean sections have increased in parallel in recent years. Research studies suggest an increased risk of developing atopic diseases and asthma after cesarean section birth compared to vaginal delivery. The main objective of this study is to analyze the risk of asthma admission after cesarean section birth compared to vaginal delivery in the pediatric population. POPULATION AND METHODS: Retrospective observational analytical case-control study from 1993 to 2020. The cases include all admitted patients to our health area hospital, for patients aged 7 to 16 diagnosed with asthma. For each case, a control without a diagnosis of asthma is selected with the same age, and that has also caused an episode of admission. RESULTS: A total of 290 admission episodes with a diagnosis of asthma were obtained, caused by 155 patients. Out of these, 145 cases with documented delivery types were selected. For cases, 155 controls were selected. The historical proportion of cesarean sections in the asthmatic group is 18.6%, compared to 14.2% in the non-asthmatic group. There is a statistically non-significant difference of 4.4% more cesarean sections in the asthmatic group compared to the control group. DISCUSSION: We have not demonstrated a statistically significant association between being born by cesarean section and an increased risk of asthma admission. Based on this finding, we cannot conclude that there is an association between being born by cesarean section and a higher risk of suffering from asthma, unlike what has been postulated in other research studies.

Cushion hypothesis and credit risk: Islamic versus conventional banks from the MENA region.

Conventional banks are 'indirectly' allowed to take more risk under the shadow of sovereign guarantees. Banks commit moral hazards as any major banking crisis will be 'cushioned' by deposit insurance and bailed out using the taxpayer's money. This study offers an alternative explanation for the determinants of banks' credit risk, particularly those from the Islamic regions. Although conventional banks and Islamic banks may share state and social cushioning systems, Islamic banks are strictly prohibited by moral and religious principles from gambling with depositors' funds, even if there is a cushion available to bail them out. However, banks belonging to collective societies, such as those in the MENA area, may be inclined to take more risks due to the perception of having a larger safety net to protect them in the event of failure. We analyse these theoretical intersections by utilising a dataset consisting of 320 banks from 20 countries, covering the time span from 2006 to 2021. Our analysis employs a combination of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Fixed Effects (FE), and 2-step System-GMM methodologies. Our analysis reveals that Islamic banks are less exposed to credit risk compared to conventional banks. We contend that the stricter ethical and moral ground and multi-layer monitoring system amid protracted geopolitical and post-pandemic crises impacting Islamic countries contribute to the lower credit risk. We examine the consequences for credit and liquidity management in Islamic banks and the risk management strategies employed by Islamic banks, which can serve as a valuable reference for other banks.

Endometriosis Typology and Ovarian Cancer Risk.

Importance: Endometriosis has been associated with an increased risk of ovarian cancer; however, the associations between endometriosis subtypes and ovarian cancer histotypes have not been well-described. Objective: To evaluate the associations of endometriosis subtypes with incidence of ovarian cancer, both overall and by histotype. Design, Setting, and Participants: Population-based cohort study using data from the Utah Population Database. The cohort was assembled by matching 78 893 women with endometriosis in a 1:5 ratio to women without endometriosis. Exposures: Endometriosis cases were identified via electronic health records and categorized as superficial endometriosis, ovarian endometriomas, deep infiltrating endometriosis, or other. Main Outcomes and Measures: Estimated adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs), adjusted risk differences (aRDs) per 10 000 women, and 95% CIs for overall ovarian cancer, type I ovarian cancer, and type II ovarian cancer comparing women with each type of endometriosis with women without endometriosis. Models accounted for sociodemographic factors, reproductive history, and past gynecologic operations. Results: In this Utah-based cohort, the mean (SD) age at first endometriosis diagnosis was 36 (10) years. There were 597 women with ovarian cancer. Ovarian cancer risk was higher among women with endometriosis compared with women without endometriosis (aHR, 4.20 [95% CI, 3.59-4.91]; aRD, 9.90 [95% CI, 7.22-12.57]), and risk of type I ovarian cancer was especially high (aHR, 7.48 [95% CI, 5.80-9.65]; aRD, 7.53 [95% CI, 5.46-9.61]). Ovarian cancer risk was highest in women with deep infiltrating endometriosis and/or ovarian endometriomas for all ovarian cancers (aHR, 9.66 [95% CI, 7.77-12.00]; aRD, 26.71 [95% CI, 20.01-33.41]), type I ovarian cancer (aHR, 18.96 [95% CI, 13.78-26.08]; aRD, 19.57 [95% CI, 13.80-25.35]), and type II ovarian cancer (aHR, 3.72 [95% CI, 2.31-5.98]; aRD, 2.42 [95% CI, -0.01 to 4.85]). Conclusions and Relevance: Ovarian cancer risk was markedly increased among women with ovarian endometriomas and/or deep infiltrating endometriosis. This population may benefit from counseling regarding ovarian cancer risk and prevention and could be an important population for targeted screening and prevention studies.

The incidence and relative risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and hypertension in patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors plus tyrosine-kinase inhibitors for solid tumors: a systemic review and meta-analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Combinations of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) can be responsible for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs). We performed a meta-analysis to assess the relative risk (RR) of MACEs and hypertension in cancer patients treated with ICI+TKI combinations. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We selected prospective trials through MEDLINE/PubMed, Cochrane Library, and ASCOMeeting abstracts. We calculated combined ORs, RRs, and 95% CIs using RevMansoftware for meta-analysis (v.5.2.3). RESULTS: Seven studies were selected for the analysis of MACEs (3849 patients). The incidence MACEs were 0.8% with ICI+TKI combinations, compared to 0.2% in the control arms for both any- and high-grade. ICI+TKI combinations significantly increased the risk of any- (OR = 3.21; p = 0.01) and high-grade MACEs (OR = 2.72; p = 0.05). Ten studies were selected for the analysis of hypertension (5744 patients). The incidence of treatment-related hypertension of any-grade and high-grade was41.3% (vs. 20.8%) and 26.1% (vs. 12.3%) with ICI+TKI combinations, respectively. ICI+TKI combinations significantly increased the risk of treatment-related hypertension of any-grade (RR = 2.10; p = 0.001), but not of high-grade (p = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: ICI+TKI combinations increase the risk of MACEs compared to controls, although the absolute incidence is eventually low. Routine cardiovascular monitoring in asymptomatic patients is therefore not recommended.