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1.
BMC Infect Dis ; 24(1): 696, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38997625

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The seroprevalence of antibodies against measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) was evaluated 17 years following a mass vaccination campaign in individuals aged 2 to 22 years who had received routine immunization but were not eligible for an extended immunization program. METHODS: Samples were acquired from Iran's National Measles Laboratory (NML), with individuals showing positive IgM results excluded. Out of the samples collected in 2020, a random selection of 290 serum samples was chosen, representing individuals between the ages of 2 and 22 years from diverse regions in the country. These samples were subjected to analysis using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) to quantify specific IgG antibodies against MMR. RESULTS: The seroprevalence rates of antibodies for measles, mumps, and rubella were determined to be 76.2%, 89.3%, and 76.9%, respectively. Younger age groups exhibited higher seropositivity rates for measles and mumps, whereas the 7- to 11-year-old group demonstrated the highest seropositivity rate for rubella. A reduction in antibody status was observed from younger to older age groups, particularly those aged 17-22. CONCLUSION: The study unveiled suboptimal antibody levels for measles and rubella, highlighting the necessity for further investigation and potential adjustments to future vaccination strategies. Moreover, the decline in antibody status post-vaccination can accumulate in seronegative individuals over time, elevating the risk of outbreaks.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais , Vacinação em Massa , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola , Sarampo , Caxumba , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão) , Humanos , Criança , Adolescente , Irã (Geográfico)/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola/imunologia , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola/administração & dosagem , Pré-Escolar , Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/imunologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/imunologia , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/epidemiologia , Rubéola (Sarampo Alemão)/prevenção & controle , Caxumba/imunologia , Caxumba/epidemiologia , Caxumba/prevenção & controle , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática
2.
Clin Infect Dis ; 79(Supplement_1): S33-S42, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38996035

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cholera is a public health priority in Ethiopia. The Ethiopian National Cholera Plan elaborates a multi-year scheme of oral cholera vaccine (OCV) use. Aligned with this, a preemptive OCV campaign was conducted under our Ethiopia Cholera Control and Prevention project. Here, we present the OCV vaccination outcomes. METHOD: Cholera high-priority hotspots in the Oromia Region, Shashemene Town (ST) and Shashemene Woreda (SW), were selected. Four kebelles (Abosto, Alelu, Arada, and Awasho) in ST and 4 clusters (Faji Gole, Harabate, Toga, and Chabi) in SW were study sites with OCV areas nested within. A total of 40 000 and 60 000 people in ST and SW, respectively, were targeted for a 2-dose OCV (Euvichol-Plus) campaign in 11-15 May (first round [R1]) and 27-31 May (second round [R2]) 2022. Daily administrative OCV coverage and a coverage survey in 277 randomly selected households were conducted. RESULTS: The administrative OCV coverage was high: 102.0% for R1 and 100.5% for R2 in ST and 99.1% (R1) and 100.0% (R1) in SW. The coverage survey showed 78.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 73.1-82.9) of household members with 2-dose OCV and 16.8% (95% CI: 12.4-21.3) with no OCV in ST; and 83.1% (95% CI: 79.6-86.5) with 2-dose OCV and 11.8% (95% CI: 8.8-14.8) with no OCV in SW. The 2-dose coverages in 1-4-, 5-14-, and ≥15-year age groups were 88.3% (95% CI: 70.6-96.1), 88.9% (95% CI: 82.1-95.7), and 71.3% (95% CI: 64.2-78.3), respectively, in ST and 78.2% (95% CI: 68.8-87.7), 91.0% (95% CI: 86.6-95.3), and 78.7% (95% CI: 73.2-84.1) in SW. CONCLUSIONS: High 2-dose OCV coverage was achieved. Cholera surveillance is needed to assess the vaccine impact and effectiveness.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Cólera , Cólera , Vacinação em Massa , Humanos , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Cólera/prevenção & controle , Cólera/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Cólera/administração & dosagem , Adolescente , Criança , Masculino , Adulto , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Lactente , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Cobertura Vacinal/estatística & dados numéricos
3.
Clin Infect Dis ; 79(Supplement_1): S20-S32, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38996040

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cholera outbreaks in Ethiopia necessitate frequent mass oral cholera vaccine (OCV) campaigns. Despite this, there is a notable absence of a comprehensive summary of these campaigns. Understanding national OCV vaccination history is essential to design appropriate and effective cholera control strategies. Here, we aimed to retrospectively review all OCV vaccination campaigns conducted across Ethiopia between 2019 and 2023. METHODS: The OCV request records from 2019 to October 2023 and vaccination campaign reports for the period from 2019 to December 2023 were retrospectively accessed from the Ethiopia Public Health Institute (EPHI) database. Descriptive analysis was conducted using the retrospective data collected. RESULTS: From 2019 to October 2023, Ethiopian government requested 32 044 576 OCV doses (31 899 576 doses to global stockpile; 145 000 doses to outside of stockpile). Around 66.3% of requested doses were approved; of which 90.4% were received. Fifteen OCV campaigns (12 reactive and 3 pre-emptive) were conducted, including five two-dose campaigns with varying dose intervals and single-dose campaigns partially in 2019 and entirely in 2021, 2022 and 2023. Overall vaccine administrative coverage was high; except for Tigray region (41.8% in the 1st round; 2nd round didn't occur). The vaccine administrative coverage records were documented, but no OCV coverage survey data was available. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents the first comprehensive review of OCV campaigns in Ethiopia spanning the last five years. Its findings offer valuable insights into informing future cholera control strategies, underscoring the importance of monitoring and evaluation despite resource constraints. Addressing the limitations in coverage survey data availability is crucial for enhancing the efficacy of future campaigns.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Cólera , Cólera , Surtos de Doenças , Vacinas contra Cólera/administração & dosagem , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Humanos , Cólera/prevenção & controle , Cólera/epidemiologia , Administração Oral , Estudos Retrospectivos , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Programas de Imunização , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1371996, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38993707

RESUMO

Background: To combat the hesitancy towards implementing a hepatitis A universal mass vaccination (UMV) strategy and to provide healthcare authorities with a comprehensive analysis of the potential outcomes and benefits of the implementation of such a vaccination program, we projected HAV seroprevalence and incidence rates in the total population of the Russian Federation and estimated the pediatric vaccination threshold required to achieve an incidence level of less than 1 case per 100,000 using a new mathematical model. Methods: A dynamic age-structured SEIRV (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered-vaccinated) compartmental model was developed and calibrated using demographic, seroprevalence, vaccination, and epidemiological data from different regions of the Russian Federation. This model was used to project various epidemiological measures. Results: The projected national average age at the midpoint of population immunity increases from 40 years old in 2020 to 50 years old in 2036 and is shifted even further to the age of 70 years in some regions of the country. An increase of varying magnitude in the incidence of symptomatic HAV infections is predicted for all study regions and for the Russian Federation as a whole between 2028 and 2032, if the HAV vaccination coverage level remains at the level of 2022. The national average vaccination coverage level required to achieve a symptomatic HAV incidence rate below 1 case per 100,000 by 2032 was calculated to be 69.8% if children aged 1-6 years are vaccinated following the implementation of a UMV program or 34.8% if immunization is expanded to children aged 1-17 years. Conclusion: The developed model provides insights into a further decline of herd immunity to HAV against the background of ongoing viral transmission. The current favorable situation regarding hepatitis A morbidity is projected to be replaced by an increase in incidence rates if vaccination coverage remains at the current levels. The obtained results support the introduction of a hepatitis A UMV strategy in the Russian Federation.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Hepatite A , Hepatite A , Humanos , Hepatite A/epidemiologia , Hepatite A/prevenção & controle , Federação Russa/epidemiologia , Criança , Incidência , Pré-Escolar , Vacinas contra Hepatite A/administração & dosagem , Adolescente , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Lactente , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Idoso , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto Jovem , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Modelos Teóricos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos
5.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 15910, 2024 Jul 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38987306

RESUMO

Mass vaccinations are crucial public health interventions for curbing infectious diseases. Canine rabies control relies on mass dog vaccination campaigns (MDVCs) that are held annually across the globe. Dog owners must bring their pets to fixed vaccination sites, but sometimes target coverage is not achieved due to low participation. Travel distance to vaccination sites is an important barrier to participation. We aimed to increase MDVC participation in silico by optimally placing fixed-point vaccination locations. We quantified participation probability based on walking distance to the nearest vaccination site using regression models fit to participation data collected over 4 years. We used computational recursive interchange techniques to optimally place fixed-point vaccination sites and compared predicted participation with these optimally placed vaccination sites to actual locations used in previous campaigns. Algorithms that minimized average walking distance or maximized expected participation provided the best solutions. Optimal vaccination placement is expected to increase participation by 7% and improve spatial evenness of coverage, resulting in fewer under-vaccinated pockets. However, unevenness in workload across sites remained. Our data-driven algorithm optimally places limited resources to increase overall vaccination participation and equity. Field evaluations are essential to assess effectiveness and evaluate potentially longer waiting queues resulting from increased participation.


Assuntos
Doenças do Cão , Raiva , Zoonoses , Animais , Raiva/prevenção & controle , Raiva/veterinária , Raiva/epidemiologia , Zoonoses/prevenção & controle , Zoonoses/epidemiologia , Humanos , Cães , Doenças do Cão/prevenção & controle , Doenças do Cão/epidemiologia , Vacina Antirrábica/administração & dosagem , Vacina Antirrábica/imunologia , Vacinação , Vacinação em Massa/métodos , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Algoritmos , Epidemias/prevenção & controle
6.
Virus Res ; 346: 199411, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38823689

RESUMO

In the present study, first, rotaviruses that caused acute gastroenteritis in children under five years of age during the time before the vaccine was introduced in Iran (1986 to 2023) are reviewed. Subsequently, the antigenic epitopes of the VP7 and VP4/VP8 proteins in circulating rotavirus strains in Iran and that of the vaccine strains were compared and their genetic differences in histo-blood group antigens (HBGAs) and the potential impact on rotavirus infection susceptibility and vaccine efficacy were discussed. Overall data indicate that rotavirus was estimated in about 38.1 % of samples tested. The most common genotypes or combinations were G1 and P[8], or G1P[8]. From 2015 to 2023, there was a decline in the prevalence of G1P[8], with intermittent peaks of genotypes G3P[8] and G9P[8]. The analyses suggested that the monovalent Rotarix vaccine or monovalent vaccines containing the G1P[8] component might be proper in areas with a similar rotavirus genotype pattern and genetic background as the Iranian population where the G1P[8] strain is the most predominant and has the ability to bind to HBGA secretors. While the same concept can be applied to RotaTeq and RotasIIL vaccines, their complex vaccine technology, which involves reassortment, makes them less of a priority. The ROTASIIL vaccine, despite not having the VP4 arm (P[5]) as a suitable protection option, has previously shown the ability to neutralize not only G9-lineage I strains but also other G9-lineages at high titers. Thus, vaccination with the ROTASIIL vaccine may be more effective in Iran compared to RotaTeq. However, considering the rotavirus genotypic pattern, ROTAVAC might not be a good choice for Iran. Overall, the findings of this study provide valuable insights into the prevalence of rotavirus strains and the potential effectiveness of different vaccines in the Iranian and similar populations.


Assuntos
Gastroenterite , Genótipo , Infecções por Rotavirus , Vacinas contra Rotavirus , Rotavirus , Infecções por Rotavirus/prevenção & controle , Infecções por Rotavirus/virologia , Infecções por Rotavirus/epidemiologia , Irã (Geográfico)/epidemiologia , Rotavirus/genética , Rotavirus/imunologia , Rotavirus/classificação , Gastroenterite/virologia , Gastroenterite/prevenção & controle , Gastroenterite/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/imunologia , Vacinas contra Rotavirus/administração & dosagem , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Vacinas Atenuadas/imunologia , Vacinas Atenuadas/administração & dosagem , Vacinas Atenuadas/genética , Vacinação em Massa , Antígenos Virais/genética , Antígenos Virais/imunologia , Variação Antigênica , Filogenia
7.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(19): 430-434, 2024 May 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753544

RESUMO

Measles is a highly infectious, vaccine-preventable disease that can cause severe illness, hospitalization, and death. A measles outbreak associated with a migrant shelter in Chicago occurred during February-April 2024, in which a total of 57 confirmed cases were identified, including 52 among shelter residents, three among staff members, and two among community members with a known link to the shelter. CDC simulated a measles outbreak among shelter residents using a dynamic disease model, updated in real time as additional cases were identified, to produce outbreak forecasts and assess the impact of public health interventions. As of April 8, the model forecasted a median final outbreak size of 58 cases (IQR = 56-60 cases); model fit and prediction range improved as more case data became available. Counterfactual analysis of different intervention scenarios demonstrated the importance of early deployment of public health interventions in Chicago, with a 69% chance of an outbreak of 100 or more cases had there been no mass vaccination or active case-finding compared with only a 1% chance when those interventions were deployed. This analysis highlights the value of using real-time, dynamic models to aid public health response, set expectations about outbreak size and duration, and quantify the impact of interventions. The model shows that prompt mass vaccination and active case-finding likely substantially reduced the chance of a large (100 or more cases) outbreak in Chicago.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Sarampo , Humanos , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Chicago/epidemiologia , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Modelos Epidemiológicos , Saúde Pública , Fatores de Tempo , Previsões , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Vacinação em Massa , Adulto
8.
MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep ; 73(19): 424-429, 2024 May 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38753539

RESUMO

Measles, a highly contagious respiratory virus with the potential to cause severe complications, hospitalization, and death, was declared eliminated from the United States in 2000; however, with ongoing global transmission, infections in the United States still occur. On March 7, 2024, the Chicago Department of Public Health (CDPH) confirmed a case of measles in a male aged 1 year residing in a temporary shelter for migrants in Chicago. Given the congregate nature of the setting, high transmissibility of measles, and low measles vaccination coverage among shelter residents, measles virus had the potential to spread rapidly among approximately 2,100 presumed exposed shelter residents. CDPH immediately instituted outbreak investigation and response activities in collaboration with state and local health departments, health care facilities, city agencies, and shelters. On March 8, CDPH implemented active case-finding and coordinated a mass vaccination campaign at the affected shelter (shelter A), including vaccinating 882 residents and verifying previous vaccination for 784 residents over 3 days. These activities resulted in 93% measles vaccination coverage (defined as receipt of ≥1 recorded measles vaccine dose) by March 11. By May 13, a total of 57 confirmed measles cases associated with residing in or having contact with persons from shelter A had been reported. Most cases (41; 72%) were among persons who did not have documentation of measles vaccination and were considered unvaccinated. In addition, 16 cases of measles occurred among persons who had received ≥1 measles vaccine dose ≥21 days before first known exposure. This outbreak underscores the need to ensure high vaccination coverage among communities residing in congregate settings.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças , Vacina contra Sarampo , Sarampo , Migrantes , Humanos , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Chicago/epidemiologia , Masculino , Lactente , Adulto , Adulto Jovem , Pré-Escolar , Adolescente , Criança , Vacina contra Sarampo/administração & dosagem , Migrantes/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos
9.
Hum Vaccin Immunother ; 20(1): 2348839, 2024 Dec 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38804600

RESUMO

In Singapore, population aging and rising life expectancy are increasing herpes zoster (HZ) burden, which may be reduced by vaccination. The present study modeled the public health impact of HZ vaccination in Singapore using ZOster ecoNomic Analysis (ZONA) model adapted with Singapore-specific key model inputs, where available. Base case analysis was conducted in adults ≥ 50 years of age (YOA), exploring three vaccination strategies (no vaccination, recombinant zoster vaccine [RZV], zoster vaccine live [ZVL]) under mass vaccination setting (30% coverage). Scenario and sensitivity analyses were performed. Out of 1.51 million adults in 2021 (base case population), 406,513 (27.0%) cases of HZ, 68,264 (4.5%) cases of post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN), and 54,949 (3.6%) cases of other complications were projected without vaccination. RZV was estimated to avoid 73,129 cases of HZ, 11,094 cases of PHN, and 9,205 cases of other complications over the subjects' remaining lifetime; ZVL would avoid 17,565 cases of HZ, 2,781 cases of PHN, and 1,834 cases of other complications. The number needed to vaccinate to prevent one case of HZ/PHN was lower for RZV (7/41) than ZVL (26/163). Among all five age-stratified cohorts (50-59/60-64/65-69/70-79/≥80 YOA), RZV (versus no vaccination/ZVL) avoided the largest number of cases in the youngest cohort, 50-59 YOA. Results were robust under scenario and sensitivity analyses. Mass vaccination with RZV is expected to greatly reduce the public health burden of HZ among Singapore individuals ≥ 50 YOA. Findings support value assessment and decision-making regarding public health vaccination strategies for HZ prevention in Singapore.


Risk of shingles (herpes zoster) increases with age, especially from 50 years. Shingles is a major public health concern in Singapore, given its rapidly aging population. Vaccination can prevent shingles and reduce its public health burden. Two shingles vaccines are available in Singapore: recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) since 2021, zoster vaccine live (ZVL) since 2008. To understand the value of preventing shingles via vaccination, this study assessed the public health impact of shingles vaccination. Three vaccination strategies (no vaccination, vaccination with RZV, vaccination with ZVL) were compared in 1.51 million Singapore adults aged 50 years and above. Without vaccination, public health burden of shingles would be high; an estimated 406,513 (27.0%) would have shingles, 68,264 (4.5%) would have shingles-related long-term nerve pain, 54,949 (3.6%) would have other shingles-related complications, and 17,762 (1.2%) would be hospitalized due to shingles. Shingles vaccination could reduce this public health burden: RZV avoided 73,129 cases of shingles, 11,094 cases of shingles-related long-term nerve pain, 9,205 cases of other shingles-related complications, and 2,827 hospitalizations due to shingles, which was 4­6 times that avoided with ZVL (shingles: 17,565; shingles-related long-term nerve pain: 2,781; other shingles-related complications: 1,834; hospitalizations due to shingles: 484). Shingles vaccination for adults aged 50 years and above, especially early vaccination from 50­59 years, could reduce its public health burden more than vaccination at later ages and contribute toward healthy aging, preventive care, and the Healthier SG initiative. Results support local public health value assessments and decision-making for shingles prevention.


Assuntos
Vacina contra Herpes Zoster , Herpes Zoster , Saúde Pública , Humanos , Singapura/epidemiologia , Herpes Zoster/prevenção & controle , Herpes Zoster/epidemiologia , Vacina contra Herpes Zoster/administração & dosagem , Vacina contra Herpes Zoster/imunologia , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neuralgia Pós-Herpética/prevenção & controle , Neuralgia Pós-Herpética/epidemiologia , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos
10.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis ; 18(5): e0012173, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38739650

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Yellow fever (YF), a mosquito-borne viral hemorrhagic fever, is endemic in Uganda and causes frequent outbreaks. A total of 1.6 million people were vaccinated during emergency mass immunization campaigns in 2011 and 2016. This study explored local perceptions of YF emergency mass immunization among vulnerable groups to inform future vaccination campaigns. METHODOLOGY: In this qualitative study, we conducted 43 semi-structured interviews, 4 focus group discussions, and 10 expert interviews with 76 participants. Data were collected in six affected districts with emergency mass vaccination. We included vulnerable groups (people ≥ 65 years and pregnant women) who are typically excluded from YF vaccination except during mass immunization. Data analysis was conducted using grounded theory. Inductive coding was utilized, progressing through open, axial, and selective coding. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Participants relied on community sources for information about the YF mass vaccination. Information was disseminated door-to-door, in community spaces, during religious gatherings, and on the radio. However, most respondents had no knowledge of the vaccine, and it was unclear to them whether a booster dose was required. In addition, the simultaneous presidential election during the mass vaccination campaign led to suspicion and resistance to vaccination. The lack of reliable and trustworthy information and the politicization of vaccination campaigns reinforced mistrust of YF vaccines. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: People in remote areas affected by YF outbreaks rely on community sources of information. We therefore recommend improving health education, communication, and engagement through respected and trusted community members. Vaccination campaigns can never be seen as detached from political systems and power relations.


Assuntos
Conhecimentos, Atitudes e Prática em Saúde , Vacinação em Massa , Pesquisa Qualitativa , Vacina contra Febre Amarela , Febre Amarela , Humanos , Uganda/epidemiologia , Feminino , Febre Amarela/prevenção & controle , Febre Amarela/epidemiologia , Masculino , Vacina contra Febre Amarela/administração & dosagem , Vacinação em Massa/psicologia , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Populações Vulneráveis , Adulto , Gravidez , Surtos de Doenças/prevenção & controle , Grupos Focais
11.
Health Policy ; 145: 105082, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781708

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic is one of the most significant public health crises in modern history, with considerable impacts on the policy frameworks of national governments. In response to the pandemic, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and mass vaccination campaigns have been employed to protect vulnerable groups. Through the lens of Political Budget Cycle (PBC) theory, this study explores the interplay between incumbent electoral concerns and political dynamics in influencing the implementation of NPIs and vaccination rollout within the administrative regions of Italy and Spain during the period spanning June 2020 to July 2021. The results reveal that incumbents up for the next scheduled election are 5.8 % more likely to increase the stringency of containment measures than those that face a term limit. The findings also demonstrate that the seats of the incumbent and coalition parties in parliament and the number of parties in the coalition have a negative effect on both the efficiency of the vaccination rollout and the stringency of NPIs. Additionally, the competitiveness of the election emerges as an important predictor of the strictness of NPIs. Therefore, our results suggest that incumbents may strategically manipulate COVID-19 policy measures to optimize electoral outcomes. The study underscores the substantive influence of political incentives, competitive electoral environments, and government coalitions on policy formulation during health emergencies.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Política de Saúde , Política , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Espanha/epidemiologia , Itália , Vacinas contra COVID-19/provisão & distribuição , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação em Massa/organização & administração
13.
Vaccine ; 42(18): 3851-3856, 2024 Jul 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38749822

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Case-control studies involving test-negative (TN) and syndrome-negative (SN) controls are reliable for evaluating influenza and rotavirus vaccine effectiveness (VE) during a random vaccination process. However, there is no empirical evidence regarding the impact in real-world mass vaccination campaigns against SARS-CoV-2 using TN and SN controls. OBJECTIVE: To compare in the same population the effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination on COVID-19-related hospitalization rates across a cohort design, TN and SN designs. METHOD: We conducted an unmatched population-based cohort, TN and SN case-control designs linking data from four data sources (public primary healthcare system, hospitalization registers, epidemiological surveillance systems and the national immunization program) in a Chilean municipality (Rancagua) between March 1, 2021 and August 31, 2021. The outcome was COVID-19-related hospitalization. To ensure sufficient sample size in the unexposed group, completion of follow-up in the cohort design, and sufficient time between vaccination and hospitalization in the case-control design, VE was estimated comparing 8-week periods for each individual. RESULTS: Among the 191,505 individuals registered in the primary healthcare system of Rancagua in Chile on March 1, 2021; 116,453 met the cohort study's inclusion criteria. Of the 9,471 hospitalizations registered during the study period in the same place, 526 were COVID-19 cases, 108 were TN controls, and 1,628 were SN controls. For any vaccine product, the age- and sex-adjusted vaccine effectiveness comparing fully and nonvaccinated individuals was 67.2 (55.7-76.3) in the cohort design, whereas it was 67.8 (44.1-81.4) and 77.9 (70.2-83.8) in the TN and SN control designs, respectively. CONCLUSION: The VE of a COVID-19 vaccination program based on age and risk groups tended to differ across the three observational study designs. The SN case-control design may be an efficient option for evaluating COVID-19 VE in real-world settings.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Hospitalização , Vacinação em Massa , SARS-CoV-2 , Eficácia de Vacinas , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Chile/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Idoso , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Adolescente , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Vacinação em Massa/métodos , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Estudos de Coortes , Programas de Imunização , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais
14.
PLoS Comput Biol ; 20(5): e1012128, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38820570

RESUMO

We evaluate approaches to vaccine distribution using an agent-based model of human activity and COVID-19 transmission calibrated to detailed trends in cases, hospitalizations, deaths, seroprevalence, and vaccine breakthrough infections in Florida, USA. We compare the incremental effectiveness for four different distribution strategies at four different levels of vaccine supply, starting in late 2020 through early 2022. Our analysis indicates that the best strategy to reduce severe outcomes would be to actively target high disease-risk individuals. This was true in every scenario, although the advantage was greatest for the intermediate vaccine availability assumptions and relatively modest compared to a simple mass vaccination approach under high vaccine availability. Ring vaccination, while generally the most effective strategy for reducing infections, ultimately proved least effective at preventing deaths. We also consider using age group as a practical surrogate measure for actual disease-risk targeting; this approach also outperforms both simple mass distribution and ring vaccination. We find that quantitative effectiveness of a strategy depends on whether effectiveness is assessed after the alpha, delta, or omicron wave. However, these differences in absolute benefit for the strategies do not change the ranking of their performance at preventing severe outcomes across vaccine availability assumptions.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Florida/epidemiologia , Vacinação/métodos , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise de Sistemas , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinação em Massa/métodos , Biologia Computacional/métodos
15.
Sci Rep ; 14(1): 8009, 2024 04 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38580716

RESUMO

Understanding the factors that influence people's decisions regarding vaccination is essential to promote vaccination. We aimed to clarify the motivations for receiving booster vaccines. We conducted a paper-based questionnaire distributed during January-February 2022 involving students and faculty staff who received the first COVID-19 vaccination at the mass vaccination program during June-September 2021 at Keio University. A total of 1725 participants were enrolled, and all completed the survey. Among these, 64.9% reported a significant adverse event (AEs) affecting daily life after the second vaccine. "Fear of severe COVID-19 illness" (72.6%) was the most common reason for getting vaccinated, followed by "concern of infecting others" (68.4%) and "fear of COVID-19 infection itself" (68.3%). Television emerged as the most influential source of information (80%), followed by university information (50.2%) and social networking sites (42.8%). Multivariate analysis revealed "fear of severe COVID-19 illness", "fear of COVID-19 infection itself", and "trust in the efficacy and safety of the vaccines in general" were significantly correlated with willingness to receive paid vaccinations. The severity of AEs and source of information were not related to participants' willingness to receive booster vaccinations. Participants with positive reasons for vaccination were more likely to accept a third dose.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Motivação , Estudos Transversais , Japão/epidemiologia , Universidades , Vacinação em Massa , Estudantes , Vacinação
16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38673402

RESUMO

In the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, vaccine accessibility was limited, impacting large metropolitan areas such as Los Angeles County, which has over 10 million residents but only nine initial vaccination sites, which resulted in people experiencing long travel times to get vaccinated. We developed a mixed-integer linear model to optimize site selection, considering equitable access for vulnerable populations. Analyzing 277 zip codes between December 2020 and May 2021, our model incorporated factors such as car ownership, ethnic group disease vulnerability, and the Healthy Places Index, alongside travel times by car and public transit. Our optimized model significantly outperformed actual site allocations for all ethnic groups. We observed that White populations faced longer travel times, likely due to their residences being in more remote, less densely populated areas. Conversely, areas with higher Latino and Black populations, often closer to the city center, benefited from shorter travel times in our model. However, those without cars experienced greater disadvantages. While having many vaccination sites might improve access for those dependent on public transit, that advantage is diminished if people must search among many sites to find a location with available vaccines.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinação em Massa , Humanos , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Los Angeles , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , SARS-CoV-2
17.
J Public Health Manag Pract ; 30(3): 411-415, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38603747

RESUMO

During the COVID-19 vaccine rollout, local public health agencies were responsible for vaccinating a wide variety of communities. Dakota County Public Health (Dakota County, Minnesota) implemented a program that offered COVID-19 vaccines in a variety of settings, such as county public health buildings, community sites, in-home, mass vaccination clinics, and a mobile clinic unit. The purpose of this analysis is to compare the demographics of vaccinations administered at Dakota County COVID-19 vaccination clinics based on clinic site. More than half (52.5%) of vaccinations administered at mobile clinic sites were administered to Hispanic or Latino clients, while at the mass vaccination clinic site, 5.4% of vaccinations were administered to Hispanic or Latino clients. In addition, 59.6% of in-home vaccinations were administered to adults 65 years and older. Offering COVID-19 vaccination clinics in a variety of clinic settings strategically throughout the community helped increase vaccine reach to diverse communities.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas contra Influenza , Adulto , Humanos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/uso terapêutico , Vacinação em Massa , Saúde Pública , Unidades Móveis de Saúde , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinação
18.
Public Health ; 231: 15-22, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38593681

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: This study comprehensively analyzed the temporal and spatial dynamics of COVID-19 cases and deaths within the obstetric population in Brazil, comparing the periods before and during mass COVID-19 vaccination. We explored the trends and geographical patterns of COVID-19 cases and maternal deaths over time. We also examined their correlation with the SARS-CoV-2 variant circulating and the social determinants of health. STUDY DESIGN: This is a nationwide population-based ecological study. METHODS: We obtained data on COVID-19 cases, deaths, socioeconomic status, and vulnerability information for Brazil's 5570 municipalities for both the pre-COVID-19 vaccination and COVID-19 vaccination periods. A Bayesian model was used to mitigate indicator fluctuations. The spatial correlation of maternal cases and fatalities with socioeconomic and vulnerability indicators was assessed using bivariate Moran. RESULTS: From March 2020 to June 2023, a total of 23,823 cases and 1991 maternal fatalities were recorded among pregnant and postpartum women. The temporal trends in maternal incidence and mortality rates fluctuated over the study period, largely influenced by widespread COVID-19 vaccination and the dominant SARS-CoV-2 variant. There was a significant reduction in maternal mortality due to COVID-19 following the introduction of vaccination. The geographical distribution of COVID-19 cases and maternal deaths exhibited marked heterogeneity in both periods, with distinct spatial clusters predominantly observed in the North, Northeast, and Central West regions. Municipalities with the highest Human Development Index reported the highest incidence rates, while those with the highest levels of social vulnerability exhibited elevated mortality and fatality rates. CONCLUSION: Despite the circulation of highly transmissible variants of concern, maternal mortality due to COVID-19 was significantly reduced following the mass vaccination. There was a heterogeneous distribution of cases and fatalities in both periods (before and during mass vaccination). Smaller municipalities and those grappling with social vulnerability issues experienced the highest rates of maternal mortality and fatalities.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Feminino , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Gravidez , Mortalidade Materna/tendências , Vacinação em Massa/estatística & dados numéricos , Teorema de Bayes , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , Morte Materna/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Fatores Socioeconômicos
19.
Drug Saf ; 47(7): 607-615, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38592665

RESUMO

During the COVID-19 vaccination campaign, observed-to-expected analysis was used by the European Medicines Agency to contextualise data from spontaneous reports to generate real-time evidence on emerging safety concerns that may impact the benefit-risk profile of COVID-19 vaccines. Observed-to-expected analysis compares the number of cases spontaneously reported for an event of interest after vaccination ('observed') to the 'expected' number of cases anticipated to occur in the same number of individuals had they not been vaccinated. Observed-to-expected analysis is a robust methodology that relies on several assumptions that have been described in regulatory guidelines and scientific literature. The use of observed-to-expected analysis to support the safety monitoring of COVID-19 vaccines has provided valuable insights and lessons on its design and interpretability, which could prove to be beneficial in future analyses. When undertaking an observed-to-expected analysis within the context of safety monitoring, several aspects need attention. In particular, we emphasise the importance of stratified and harmonised data collection both for vaccine exposure and spontaneous reporting data, the need for alignment between coding dictionaries and the crucial role of accurate background incidence rates for adverse events of special interest. While these considerations and recommendations were determined in the context of the COVID-19 mass vaccination setting, they are generalisable in principle.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Vacinação em Massa , Humanos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/efeitos adversos , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Sistemas de Notificação de Reações Adversas a Medicamentos , SARS-CoV-2
20.
Intern Med J ; 54(6): 1031-1034, 2024 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38651497

RESUMO

The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Mpox Vaccination Clinic opened in response to the 2022 multicountry mpox outbreak. A total of 9500 vaccinations were administered intradermally and subcutaneously during the first 16 weeks of clinic operation. The rate of adverse events was 0.1%. Compared to people who received the vaccine intradermally, those who received it subcutaneously were more likely to be aged 30-39 years (P = 0.047), sexual partners of gay and bisexual men (P < 0.001), eligible for Medicare (P < 0.001) and born in the Philippines (P = 0.01) or Malaysia (P = 0.04).


Assuntos
Vacinação em Massa , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Injeções Subcutâneas/efeitos adversos , Injeções Intradérmicas , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Austrália/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem , Prevalência , Adolescente , Idoso , Vacinação/efeitos adversos
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