[Spatial structure and distribution simulation of Aphis gossipii Glover population based on GIS].

ABSTRACT

Based on geographic information system (GIS) and geostatistical analysis, this paper studied the spatial structure of Aphis gossipii Glover population in Xiangshan District of Zhongwei City, Ningxia Province, with the spatial distribution of the population simulated by ordinary Kriging interpretation. The spatial structure of A. gossipii population varied with its occurrence stage (initial, blossom, and final stage). The semivariograms of A. gossipii could be described by exponential or Gaussian model, indicating that A. gossipii had an aggregated spatial arrangement. The aggregation degrees at different occurrence stages were all beyond 45%, and the spatial correlation ranged from 10.37 km to 29.11 km. The spatial variance was greatly affected by spatial autocorrelation. The population dynamics of A. gossipii at its different occurrence stages could be easily analyzed and intuitively simulated from the two aspects of time and space by spatial distribution simulation, and thus, the occurrence position and degree of A. gossipii could be easily determined.