Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin as an early predictor of disease severity and mortality in acute pancreatitis.

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: In reference to our earlier publication, laboratory tests that reflect severe intravascular volume depletion can be used for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). The aim of the study was to assess whether urinary level of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) could represent a useful marker of AP severity. METHODS: We observed a cohort of 104 prospectively enrolled patients. The patients were classified into 3 groups mild AP, moderately severe AP, and severe AP. Urine samples were collected on admission (NGAL-as) and during the first 24 hours (NGAL-first day) for examination of urinary level of NGAL concentrations from the first day. RESULTS: Acute pancreatitis was considered severe in 16 (15%) patients, moderately severe in 25 (24%) patients, and mild in 63 (61%) patients.There were statistically significant trends for an increase in severity (P = 0.04, P = 0.003) and mortality (P < 0.031, P = 0.01) with raising NGAL-as and NGAL-first day concentrations, respectively. The areas under the curve for severity predicted by NGAL-as and NGAL-first day were 0.75 and 0.93, respectively. The areas under the curve for mortality prediction by NGAL-as and NGAL-first day were 0.980 and 0.92, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The urinary level of NGAL is a promising new diagnostic and prognostic factor for severe AP in an early stage of the disease.