Tumor volume and sphericity as predictors of local control after stereotactic radiosurgery for limited number (1-4) brain metastases from nonsmall cell lung cancer.

AIM: This study aims to evaluate the usage of brain metastases (BM) tumor volume and sphericity as prognostic factors in local control (LC) after stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) for limited number (1-4) BM from nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 80 patients, with 141 BM, who were treated with SRS from 2012 to 2017. Local failure was defined as an increase in lesion size after SRS. LC and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. The Cox proportional hazards model was used for univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: The median clinical and radiographic follow-up was 11.2 and 9.0 months, respectively. The median BM tumor volume was 0.31 cm3 (0.01-21.64 cm3 ) and the median tumor sphericity was 0.76 (0.39-0.95). The median LC of the entire cohort was 28.8 months. LC rate at last follow-up was achieved in 84.4% of patients (35.5% CR, 35.5% PR, and 13.5% SD). LC was 83.8% at 1 year and 56.3% at 2 years. On multivariate analysis, only sphericity (P < .001) and volume (P = .004) were found to be a strong predictor for LC. The median OS of the entire cohort was 24.1 months. On multivariate analysis, only GPA score was found to be a predictor for OS. CONCLUSION: BM tumor sphericity and volume were found to be strong predictors for LC. Tumor sphericity and volume should be taken into consideration when treating patients with BM and when designing future prospective studies and developing prognostic indices.