Correlation of Clinicopathological Profile, Prognostic Factors, and Survival Outcomes with Baseline Alfa-Fetoprotein Levels in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Biomarker that is Bruised but Not Broken.

Background and aims: The role of Alfa-fetoprotein (AFP) in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is still debated, with differences in recommendations between international guidelines. We analyzed the relationship of the clinicopathological profile, prognostic features, and survival outcomes with baseline serum AFP levels in patients with HCC. Methods: Retrospective analysis of a prospectively accrued dataset of consecutive HCC patients was done. Results: 508 treatment naive patients were included in the analysis. AFP at presentation was normal (<10 ng/ml) in 18% patients. Patients with very high AFP (>400 ng/ml) had poor hepatic reserves (higher mean serum bilirubin, AST, ALT, INR, and lower mean albumin) and advanced disease at presentation (higher incidence of extrahepatic metastasis, and less proportion of patients with well-differentiated tumors). AFP >400 ng/ml was an independent predictor for presence of portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) (OR, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.34-7.12; P < 0.001), higher tumor size (OR, 2.19; 95% CI, 1.36-3.54, P = 0.001) and advanced BCLC stage (OR, 4.19; 95% CI, 2.51-7.03; P < 0.001). Two-third of patients with small HCC (MTD <3 cm) and more than half with early-stage HCC (BCLC stage 0/A) had elevated AFP levels. No significant relationship was seen between overall survival (OS) and baseline AFP in patients who underwent surgery, but median OS in patients subjected to nonsurgical therapies was 19.4,10.5 and 5.7 months in patients having AFP <10 ng/ml, 10-400 ng/ml and >400 ng/ml respectively (P = 0.003). AFP >400 ng/ml was an independent predictor of survival in patients receiving any form of therapy (HR = 2.23; 95% CI = 1.19-4.18, P = 0.012). Conclusion: AFP as a biomarker still has a significant role to play in the management of HCC patients and is here to stay till the search for an ideal biomarker in HCC is over.