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Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China.
Zhang, Nan; Cheng, Xiao-Qing; Deng, Bin; Rui, Jia; Qiu, Luxia; Zhao, Zeyu; Lin, Shengnan; Liu, Xingchun; Xu, Jingwen; Wang, Yao; Yang, Meng; Zhu, Yuanzhao; Huang, Jiefeng; Liu, Chan; Liu, Weikang; Luo, Li; Li, Zhuoyang; Li, Peihua; Yang, Tianlong; Li, Zhi-Feng; Liang, Shu-Yi; Wang, Xiao-Chen; Hu, Jian-Li; Chen, Tianmu.
Afiliação
  • Zhang N; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China.
  • Cheng XQ; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China.
  • Deng B; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Rui J; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Qiu L; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Zhao Z; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Lin S; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Liu X; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Xu J; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Wang Y; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Yang M; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Zhu Y; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Huang J; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Liu C; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Liu W; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Luo L; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Li Z; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Li P; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Yang T; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China.
  • Li ZF; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China.
  • Liang SY; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China.
  • Wang XC; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China.
  • Hu JL; Department of Acute Infectious Diseases Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, 172, Jiangsu Rd, Nanjing, 210009, China. jshjl@jscdc.cn.
  • Chen T; State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361102, Fujian, People's Republic of China. 13698665@qq.com.
Parasit Vectors ; 14(1): 237, 2021 May 06.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33957950
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:

Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease that is regionally distributed in Asia, with high fatality. Constructing the transmission model of SFTS could help provide clues for disease control and fill the gap in research on SFTS models.

METHODS:

We built an SFTS transmission dynamics model based on the susceptible-exposed-infectious-asymptomatic-recovered (SEIAR) model and the epidemiological characteristics of SFTS in Jiangsu Province. This model was used to evaluate the effect by cutting off different transmission routes and taking different interventions into account, to offer clues for disease prevention and control.

RESULTS:

The transmission model fits the reported data well with a minimum R2 value of 0.29 and a maximum value of 0.80, P < 0.05. Meanwhile, cutting off the environmental transmission route had the greatest effect on the prevention and control of SFTS, while isolation and shortening the course of the disease did not have much effect.

CONCLUSIONS:

The model we have built can be used to simulate the transmission of SFTS to help inform disease control. It is noteworthy that cutting off the environment-to-humans transmission route in the model had the greatest effect on SFTS prevention and control.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Contexto em Saúde: 1_ASSA2030 Problema de saúde: 1_doencas_transmissiveis Assunto principal: Febre Grave com Síndrome de Trombocitopenia Tipo de estudo: Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies Limite: Animals / Humans / Middle aged País/Região como assunto: Asia Idioma: En Revista: Parasit Vectors Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: China
Texto completo
Adicionar na Minha BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Contexto em Saúde: 1_ASSA2030 Problema de saúde: 1_doencas_transmissiveis Assunto principal: Febre Grave com Síndrome de Trombocitopenia Tipo de estudo: Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies Limite: Animals / Humans / Middle aged País/Região como assunto: Asia Idioma: En Revista: Parasit Vectors Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: China