Invert global and China's terrestrial carbon fluxes over 2019-2021 based on assimilating richer atmospheric CO2 observations.

ABSTRACT

With China's commitment to reach carbon peak by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, it is particularly important to obtain terrestrial ecosystem carbon fluxes with low uncertainty both globally and in China. The use of more observation data may help reduce the uncertainty of inverting carbon fluxes. This study uses the observation data from global stations, background stations and provincial stations in China, as well as the OCO-2 satellite, and uses the China Carbon Monitoring, Verification and Supporting System for Global (CCMVS-G) to estimate the carbon fluxes of global and Chinese terrestrial ecosystems from 2019 to 2021. The results revealed that the global terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink was approximately -3.40 Pg C/yr from 2019 to 2021. The carbon sinks in the Northern Hemisphere are large, especially in Asia, North America, and Europe. From 2019 to 2021, the carbon sink of China's terrestrial ecosystem was approximately -0.44 Pg C/yr. Carbon sinks exhibit significant seasonal and interannual variations in China. After assimilating the observation data, the uncertainty of the posterior flux is smaller than that of the prior flux, a more reasonable distribution of carbon sources and sinks can be obtained, and more accurate boundary conditions can be provided for the China Carbon Monitoring, Verification and Supporting System for Regional (CCMVS-R). In the future, it is important to establish a well-designed CO2 ground-based observation network.