Can the Glasgow prognostic score predict ischemic stroke in patients with infective endocarditis?

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVE: The Glasgow prognosis score is a simple parameter calculated using serum levels of albumin and C-reactive protein. The aim of this study was to examine whether this parameter may predict ischemic stroke in patients with infective endocarditis. METHODS: A total of 80 patients who were diagnosed with definitive infective endocarditis according to Duke criteria between 2016 and 2023 were included in the study. Glasgow prognosis score was based on serum levels of albumin and C-reactive protein. In imaging methods, patients were divided into two groups according to whether they had a stroke or not. These two groups were compared in terms of biochemical parameters, and infective endocarditis findings on echocardiography and Glasgow prognosis score. RESULTS: We found that the results were statistically similar except for serum C-reactive protein (Group 1 54.9±71.1 and Group 2 39±70.7; p=0.03), neutrophil (Group 1 19.8±10.8*109/L and Group 2 13.3±7.3*109/L; p=0.014), albumin (Group 1 2.3±0.6 and Group 2 2.8±0.5; p=0.03), and Glasgow prognosis score (Group 1 median 2, min.-max. (1-2) and Group 2 median 1, min.-max. (0-1); p=0.004). In the receiver operating characteristics analysis, Glasgow prognosis score had 82.4% sensitivity and 58.3% specificity in predicting ischemic stroke if the Glasgow prognosis score cutoff was ≥1. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, chronic renal failure [odds ratio (OR) 1.098; 95% confidence interval 1.054-1.964; p=0.044], age (OR 1.050; 95%CI 1.006-1.096; p=0.024), and Glasgow prognosis score (OR 0.695; 95%CI 0.411-0.949; p=0.035) were independent variables in predicting ischemic stroke. CONCLUSION: High Glasgow prognosis score is an independent predictor of ischemic stroke in patients with infective endocarditis. Glasgow prognosis score, determined using albumin and C-reactive protein levels, is a simple and practical index for predicting the prognosis of patients hospitalized with infective endocarditis.