Improved predictions of total kidney volume growth rate in ADPKD using two-parameter least squares fitting.
Sci Rep
; 14(1): 13794, 2024 06 14.
Article
em En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-38877066
ABSTRACT
Mayo Imaging Classification (MIC) for predicting future kidney growth in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) patients is calculated from a single MRI/CT scan assuming exponential kidney volume growth and height-adjusted total kidney volume at birth to be 150 mL/m. However, when multiple scans are available, how this information should be combined to improve prediction accuracy is unclear. Herein, we studied ADPKD subjects ( n = 36 ) with 8+ years imaging follow-up (mean = 11 years) to establish ground truth kidney growth trajectory. MIC annual kidney growth rate predictions were compared to ground truth as well as 1- and 2-parameter least squares fitting. The annualized mean absolute error in MIC for predicting total kidney volume growth rate was 2.1 % ± 2 % compared to 1.1 % ± 1 % ( p = 0.002 ) for a 2-parameter fit to the same exponential growth curve used for MIC when 4 measurements were available or 1.4 % ± 1 % ( p = 0.01 ) with 3 measurements averaging together with MIC. On univariate analysis, male sex ( p = 0.05 ) and PKD2 mutation ( p = 0.04 ) were associated with poorer MIC performance. In ADPKD patients with 3 or more CT/MRI scans, 2-parameter least squares fitting predicted kidney volume growth rate better than MIC, especially in males and with PKD2 mutations where MIC was less accurate.
Texto completo:
1
Coleções:
01-internacional
Base de dados:
MEDLINE
Assunto principal:
Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética
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Rim Policístico Autossômico Dominante
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Rim
Limite:
Adult
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle aged
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Sci Rep
Ano de publicação:
2024
Tipo de documento:
Article
País de afiliação:
Estados Unidos