ABSTRACT
Purpose: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted medical care. Little is known about how radiation therapy (RT) ordering behavior changed during the pandemic. This study examined (1) whether there was a change in the rate at which orders for lumpectomy were followed by orders for RT and (2) whether there was a change in the percentage of RT orders for hypofractionated (HF) RT rather than conventionally fractionated (CF) RT. Methods and Materials: Prior authorization order data from 2019 and 2020, pertaining to patients with commercial and Medicare Advantage health plans, were reviewed to determine whether patients had an order for RT in the 90 days after lumpectomy and if it was for CF or HF RT. Univariate analyses were conducted using χ2 tests, and adjusted analyses were conducted using multivariate logistic regression, controlling for patient age, urbanicity, local median income, region, if the lumpectomy facility was academic, and if the lumpectomy facility was a hospital. Results: In 2019, 47.7% of included lumpectomy orders (2200/4610) were followed by an RT order within 90 days, in contrast to 45.6% (1944/4263) in 2020 (P = .048). Of the RT orders meeting this study's definition of CF or HF, 75.3% of orders placed in 2019 (1387/1843) and 79.0% of orders placed in 2020 (1261/1597) were for HF (P = .011). Adjusted analysis found patients receiving a lumpectomy order in the first quarter of 2020 had significantly reduced odds (odds ratio, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.71-0.99) of receiving an order for RT after lumpectomy, relative to those with orders placed in the first quarter of 2019. Adjusted analysis likewise found significant evidence of increased use of HF RT during the pandemic. Conclusions: In the population examined, physicians were less likely to order RT after lumpectomy in 2020 than in 2019, and if they did, were more likely to order HF RT.
ABSTRACT
AIMS: The New Zealand National Intestinal Failure and Rehabilitation Service (NZ-NIFRS) was established in October 2015 to gather longitudinal data on the aetiology, clinical course and outcomes of children with intestinal failure (IF). One main objective is to achieve health equity for patients with IF in NZ. METHODS: Clinical outcomes (enteral autonomy, parenteral nutrition (PN) dependence, death or intestinal transplantation) for IF patients diagnosed from October 2015 to 2018 were analysed; comparisons were made by ethnicity and socio-economic status (SES) using published 'prioritised-ethnicity' health data and the NZ index of deprivation, respectively. The Cox proportional-hazards model was used to assess time to enteral autonomy. RESULTS: Of the 208 patients (55.77% male, 43.75% preterm), 170 (81.73%) achieved enteral autonomy and 14 (6.73%) remained PN dependent. Pacific and Maori children accounted for 12.98% and 27.88% of the patient cohort, respectively, compared to 9.46% and 25.65% of the NZ paediatric population. More significantly, IF patients with a high NZ socio-economic deprivation score were overrepresented, with 35.92% in the highest deprivation quintile and 10.19% in the least deprived quintile, compared to 23.53% and 20.31%, respectively, of the NZ paediatric population. There were no significant differences in primary clinical outcomes for any patients based on ethnicity or SES. CONCLUSION: While disparities in ethnicity and social deprivation do exist in the incidence of IF in NZ children, clinical outcomes are similar for children regardless of ethnicity or SES. NZ-NIFRS has achieved one of its core objectives: to achieve health equity for all patients with IF nationwide.
Subject(s)
Intestinal Failure , Child , Child, Preschool , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Ethnicity , Health Status Disparities , Healthcare Disparities/ethnology , Incidence , New Zealand/epidemiology , Social Class , Socioeconomic Factors , Pacific Island People , Maori PeopleABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Prior data have demonstrated relationships between patient characteristics, the use of surgery to treat lung cancer, and the timeliness of treatment. Our study examines whether these relationships were observable in 2019 in patients with Medicare Advantage health plans being treated for lung cancer. METHODS: Claims data pertaining to patients with Medicare Advantage health plans who had received radiation therapy (RT) or surgery to treat lung cancer within 90 days of diagnostic imaging were extracted. Other databases were used to determine patients' demographics, comorbidities, the urbanicity of their ZIP code, the median income of their ZIP code, and whether their treatment was ordered by a physician at a hospital. Multivariable logistic and Cox Proportional Hazards models were used to assess the association between patient characteristics, receipt of surgery, and time to non-systemic treatment (surgery or RT), respectively. RESULTS: A total of 2,682 patients were included in the analysis. In an adjusted analysis, patients were significantly less likely to receive surgery if their first ordering physician was based in a hospital, if they were older, if they had a history of congestive heart failure (CHF), if they had a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or if they had stage III lung cancer. Likewise, having stage III cancer was associated with significantly shorter time to treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Within a Medicare Advantage population, patient demographics were found to be significantly associated with the decision to pursue surgery, but factors other than stage were not significantly associated with time to non-systemic treatment.
Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Time-to-Treatment , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/therapy , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Male , Female , Aged , United States/epidemiology , Aged, 80 and over , Time-to-Treatment/statistics & numerical data , Medicare Part C/statistics & numerical data , Middle Aged , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
AIM: This study aims to establish whether digital surveillance methods for notifiable diseases in Australia collect and report data in relation to marginalised populations. METHODS: The literature was systematically reviewed to identify primary research studies published between January 2005 and July 2023. Studies were included if they described an Australian digital surveillance system for notifiable conditions. The results were synthesised with a focus on evaluating the collection and reporting of data in relation to marginalised populations. RESULTS: A total of 13 articles reporting on seven surveillance systems were identified. Influenza and adverse events following immunisation were the two most common notifiable conditions monitored. A total of six surveillance systems encompassing 16 articles reported information on sub-populations. Of these, three surveillance systems (nine articles) included data on marginalised populations. CONCLUSION: The data collected or reported in relation to sub-groups that characterise diversity in terms of health care needs, access, and marginalised populations are minimal. It is recommended that a set of equity and reporting principles is established for the future creation and use of any digital surveillance system.
Subject(s)
Population Surveillance , Humans , Australia/epidemiology , Disease Notification/methods , Population Surveillance/methodsABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Achievement of enteral autonomy (EA) is the ultimate treatment goal in pediatric intestinal failure (IF). We aimed to assess predictors of EA in pediatric short bowel syndrome (SBS) and explore the impact of residual small bowel (SB) and large bowel (LB) length on EA. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed on infants aged <12 months (n = 367, six centers) with SBS referred between 2010 and 2015. The cohort was stratified based on the achievement of EA. Statistical testing was completed using t-test, chi-square, Cox proportional hazards regression model, and Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: EA was achieved in 229 patients. In the multivariable analysis, the percentage of residual LB (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.02; 95% CI = 1.01-1.02) and SB (HR = 1.01; 95% CI = 1.01-1.02) length, presence of the ileocecal valve (HR = 2.02; 95% CI=1.41-2.88), and not coming from a high-volume transplantation center (HR = 2.42; 95% CI = 1.68-3.49) were positively associated with EA, whereas a negative association was seen with the presence of stoma at the time when shortest remnant was documented (HR = 0.72; 95% CI = 0.52-1.00). EA achievement was significantly different between the anatomical subgroups (log-rank test P < 0.001) with an EA rate of 80.4% in infants with ≥50% SB and LB (median time 209 days); 62.5% with ≥50% SB and <50% LB (397 days); 58.3% with <50% SB and ≥50% LB (1192 days), and 25.9% with <50% SB and LB. Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) was not associated with a better achievement of EA (NEC vs other etiologies: log-rank test P = 0.33). CONCLUSIONS: Overall, 62% of infants with IF secondary to SBS achieved EA over a mean time of follow-up of 2.3 years. A colon length of >50% can compensate for the loss of small bowel (<50%) and account for similar EA rates as those in children with residual SB > 50%.
Subject(s)
Intestinal Failure , Short Bowel Syndrome , Infant , Humans , Infant, Newborn , Child , Short Bowel Syndrome/therapy , Retrospective Studies , Parenteral Nutrition , Intestine, SmallABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alagille syndrome (ALGS) is characterized by chronic cholestasis with associated pruritus and extrahepatic anomalies. Maralixibat, an ileal bile acid transporter inhibitor, is an approved pharmacologic therapy for cholestatic pruritus in ALGS. Since long-term placebo-controlled studies are not feasible or ethical in children with rare diseases, a novel approach was taken comparing 6-year outcomes from maralixibat trials with an aligned and harmonized natural history cohort from the G lobal AL agille A lliance (GALA) study. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Maralixibat trials comprise 84 patients with ALGS with up to 6 years of treatment. GALA contains retrospective data from 1438 participants. GALA was filtered to align with key maralixibat eligibility criteria, yielding 469 participants. Serum bile acids could not be included in the GALA filtering criteria as these are not routinely performed in clinical practice. Index time was determined through maximum likelihood estimation in an effort to align the disease severity between the two cohorts with the initiation of maralixibat. Event-free survival, defined as the time to first event of manifestations of portal hypertension (variceal bleeding, ascites requiring therapy), surgical biliary diversion, liver transplant, or death, was analyzed by Cox proportional hazards methods. Sensitivity analyses and adjustments for covariates were applied. Age, total bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase, and alanine aminotransferase were balanced between groups with no statistical differences. Event-free survival in the maralixibat cohort was significantly better than the GALA cohort (HR, 0.305; 95% CI, 0.189-0.491; p <0.0001). Multiple sensitivity and subgroup analyses (including serum bile acid availability) showed similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates a novel application of a robust statistical method to evaluate outcomes in long-term intervention studies where placebo comparisons are not feasible, providing wide application for rare diseases. This comparison with real-world natural history data suggests that maralixibat improves event-free survival in patients with ALGS.
Subject(s)
Alagille Syndrome , Humans , Alagille Syndrome/complications , Alagille Syndrome/drug therapy , Female , Male , Retrospective Studies , Child , Infant , Child, Preschool , Progression-Free Survival , Adolescent , Carrier Proteins , Membrane GlycoproteinsABSTRACT
Introduction: Lung cancer is treated using systemic therapy, radiation therapy (RT), and surgery. This study evaluates how utilization of these modalities and cancer stage at initial treatment shifted from 2019 to 2021. Methods: Claims for lung cancer treatment were extracted from the database of a national health care organization offering Medicare Advantage health plans and paired with enrollment data to determine utilization rates. Seasonally adjusted rates were trended, with monotonicity evaluated using Mann-Kendall tests. Using contemporaneous prior authorization order data, the association between year and the patient's cancer stage at the time of the initial RT or surgery order was evaluated through univariable and multivariable analyses. Results: The study considered 140.9 million beneficiary-months of data. There were negative and significantly monotonic trends in utilization of RT (p = 0.033) and systematic therapy (p = 0.003) for initial treatment between January 2020 and December 2021. Analysis of RT and surgery order data revealed that the patients were significantly (p < 0.001) more likely to have advanced (stage III or IV) cancer at the time of their surgery order in 2020 and 2021 than in 2019. After adjusting for urbanicity, age, and local income, a significant relationship between year of the initial order and presence of advanced cancer at the time of ordering was found for surgery orders placed in 2020 (p < 0.001) and 2021 (p < 0.01), but not for RT orders. Conclusions: There was a per-capita reduction in lung cancer treatment in 2020 and 2021, and patients receiving initial orders for surgery after the onset of the pandemic had more advanced cancer.
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: When a physician determines that a patient needs radiation therapy (RT), they submit an RT order to a prior authorization program which assesses guideline-concordance. A rule-based clinical decision support system (CDSS) evaluates whether the order is appropriate or potentially non-indicated. If potentially non-indicated, a board-certified oncologist discusses the order with the ordering physician. After discussion, the order is authorized, modified, withdrawn, or recommended for denial. Although patient race is not captured during ordering, bias prior to and during ordering, or during the discussion, may influence outcomes. This study evaluated if associations existed between race and order determinations by the CDSS and by the overall prior authorization program. METHODS: RT orders placed in 2019, pertaining to patients with Medicare Advantage health plans from one national organization, were analyzed. The association between race and prior authorization outcomes was examined for RT orders for all cancers, and then separately for breast, lung, and prostate cancers. Analyses controlled for the patient's age, urbanicity, and the median income in the patient's ZIP code. Adjusted analyses were conducted on unmatched and racially-matched samples. RESULTS: Of the 10,145 patients included in the sample, 8,061 (79.5%) were White and 2,084 (20.5%) were Black. Race was not found to have a significant association with CDSS or prior authorization outcomes in any of the analyses. CONCLUSIONS: CDSS and prior authorization outcomes suggested similar rates of clinical appropriateness of orders for patients, regardless of race. IMPLICATIONS: Prior authorization utilizing rule-based CDSS was capable of enforcing guidelines without introducing racial bias.
Subject(s)
Decision Support Systems, Clinical , Medicare , United States , Male , Humans , Aged , Prior Authorization , Certification , PatientsABSTRACT
Imbalances in thyroid hormones have been linked with Alzheimer's dementia. Several studies have reported an association between thyroid disorders, such as hyper- or hypothyroidism, with Alzheimer's disease. However, there remains no consensus about the precise role of thyroid dysfunction in Alzheimer's disease. In this study we systematically searched PubMed, Embase and Scopus for clinical studies which reported the prevalence of hyper- or hypothyroidism in people with Alzheimer's disease compared to controls. Meta-analysis was performed to compare thyroid disorder prevalence in Alzheimer's disease and controls. Subgroup analysis was performed to assess the clinical and subclinical thyroid dysfunction, separately. Seven studies, including 1189 people with Alzheimer's disease and 72711 controls, were included in our sample. Hypothyroidism was significantly more prevalent in Alzheimer's disease compared with controls (6.4% vs 2.4%, p=0.01). Subgroup analysis showed that clinical hypothyroidism was not significantly different between Alzheimer's disease compared to controls (10.0% vs 5.3%, p=0.35). There was no difference in the crude overall prevalence of clinical and subclinical hyperthyroidism in Alzheimer's disease versus controls (2.4 vs 1.9%, p=0.73). Our analyses revealed a higher prevalence of hypothyroidism in Alzheimer's disease. Whether this finding is explained by hypothyroidism being a risk factor for, or consequence of, Alzheimer's disease requires longitudinal analysis. Our review supports further work into a potential role for treatment of hypothyroidism in the prevention or delay of Alzheimer's disease.
Subject(s)
Alzheimer Disease , Hyperthyroidism , Hypothyroidism , Thyroid Gland , Humans , Alzheimer Disease/complications , Alzheimer Disease/epidemiology , Hyperthyroidism/complications , Hyperthyroidism/epidemiology , Hypothyroidism/complications , Hypothyroidism/epidemiology , Thyroid Gland/physiology , Thyroid Gland/physiopathologyABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: High rates of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) are reported in children of South Asian (SA) descent in some western countries. This population-based study describes the incidence and clinical course of IBD in SA children compared to non-South Asian (NSA) children in New Zealand (NZ). METHODS: Children (≤15 years) with new-onset IBD presenting to a centralized tertiary referral center in Auckland, NZ from 2010 to 2020 were identified. Disease phenotype, clinical characteristics, response to exclusive enteral nutrition, clinical remission rates at 3 and 12 months, biologic use, corticosteroid exposure, and disease complications were compared by ethnicity; IBD incidence was calculated. RESULTS: There were 127 (26 SA; 101 NSA) children with Crohn disease, 41 (10 SA; 31 NSA) with ulcerative colitis, and 10 (3 SA; 7 NSA) with IBD-unclassified. IBD incidence in SA and NSA children was 14.1 per 100,000 and 4.3 per 100,000 respectively ( P < 0.001). IBD incidence increased by 5.6% per year ( P = 0.022), due to a greater rise in incidence in SA (SA 16.8% per year, P = 0.015; NSA 4.5% per year, P = 0.317). At presentation, SA children had worse biochemical parameters, severe colitis, and vitamin D deficiency. SA children had lower rates of remission following exclusive enteral nutrition (28.5% vs 65.0%, P < 0.001) or biologic induction (35.7% vs 70.8%, P = 0.020), at 3-month (35.3% vs 69.8%, P < 0.001) and 12-month follow-up (29.4% vs 55.0%, P = 0.005). No significant differences were found in disease location or corticosteroid burden. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing incidence of IBD was disproportionately represented by SA children with more severe disease and lower remission rates following exclusive enteral nutrition or biologic therapy.
Subject(s)
Biological Products , Colitis, Ulcerative , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases , Humans , Retrospective Studies , Incidence , New Zealand/epidemiology , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/therapy , Inflammatory Bowel Diseases/drug therapy , Colitis, Ulcerative/epidemiology , Colitis, Ulcerative/therapy , Colitis, Ulcerative/complications , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use , Biological Products/therapeutic useABSTRACT
AIM: There are increasing reports of atopy/allergy following solid organ transplantation, especially paediatric liver transplantation (LT) with minimal New Zealand (NZ) data. We describe the prevalence of transplant-acquired atopy and allergy (TAA) in NZ paediatric liver transplant recipients, compared to paediatric kidney and adult liver transplants. METHODS: TAA focussed health questionnaires were sent to patients selected from the NZ transplant registry (transplanted between January 2003 and December 2017). Demographic and clinical data were also obtained from electronic health records and follow-up phone calls. RESULTS: A total of 232 patients (62% male) participated (111 adult liver, 82 paediatric liver, 39 paediatric kidney transplant recipients). Tacrolimus was primary immunosuppression for all LT patients; with combined tacrolimus, mycophenolate and corticosteroids for kidney transplants. The number of patients who developed TAA was significantly higher (P < 0.001) in the paediatric LT group (36/82, 44%) compared to adult liver (12/111, 11%) and paediatric kidney transplants (4/39, 10%). Eczema was most common (73%), then IgE-mediated food allergy (FA, 33%), allergic rhinitis (19%) and asthma (17%). Six paediatric LT recipients developed eosinophilic oesophagitis (EoE). Egg was the most common allergen in the IgE-mediated FA group. TAAs were severe enough to warrant a switch from tacrolimus to another agent in seven paediatric LT patients. For paediatric LT patients, female gender and younger age at transplant were risk factors for developing TAA. CONCLUSIONS: TAA is common in paediatric liver transplant recipients, with female gender and younger age at transplant being risk factors identified. This highlights the need for detailed atopic and allergy history to be incorporated in all pre-transplant assessments.
Subject(s)
Food Hypersensitivity , Hypersensitivity, Immediate , Organ Transplantation , Adult , Child , Humans , Male , Female , Tacrolimus/adverse effects , Hypersensitivity, Immediate/epidemiology , Hypersensitivity, Immediate/etiology , Organ Transplantation/adverse effects , Food Hypersensitivity/epidemiology , Immunoglobulin EABSTRACT
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alagille syndrome (ALGS) is a multisystem disorder, characterized by cholestasis. Existing outcome data are largely derived from tertiary centers, and real-world data are lacking. This study aimed to elucidate the natural history of liver disease in a contemporary, international cohort of children with ALGS. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This was a multicenter retrospective study of children with a clinically and/or genetically confirmed ALGS diagnosis, born between January 1997 and August 2019. Native liver survival (NLS) and event-free survival rates were assessed. Cox models were constructed to identify early biochemical predictors of clinically evident portal hypertension (CEPH) and NLS. In total, 1433 children (57% male) from 67 centers in 29 countries were included. The 10 and 18-year NLS rates were 54.4% and 40.3%. By 10 and 18 years, 51.5% and 66.0% of children with ALGS experienced ≥1 adverse liver-related event (CEPH, transplant, or death). Children (>6 and ≤12 months) with median total bilirubin (TB) levels between ≥5.0 and <10.0 mg/dl had a 4.1-fold (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-10.8), and those ≥10.0 mg/dl had an 8.0-fold (95% CI, 3.4-18.4) increased risk of developing CEPH compared with those <5.0 mg/dl. Median TB levels between ≥5.0 and <10.0 mg/dl and >10.0 mg/dl were associated with a 4.8 (95% CI, 2.4-9.7) and 15.6 (95% CI, 8.7-28.2) increased risk of transplantation relative to <5.0 mg/dl. Median TB <5.0 mg/dl were associated with higher NLS rates relative to ≥5.0 mg/dl, with 79% reaching adulthood with native liver ( p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large international cohort of ALGS, only 40.3% of children reach adulthood with their native liver. A TB <5.0 mg/dl between 6 and 12 months of age is associated with better hepatic outcomes. These thresholds provide clinicians with an objective tool to assist with clinical decision-making and in the evaluation of therapies.
Subject(s)
Alagille Syndrome , Cholestasis , Hypertension, Portal , Humans , Child , Male , Female , Alagille Syndrome/epidemiology , Retrospective Studies , Hypertension, Portal/etiologyABSTRACT
AIM: To explore the perceptions and practices of Australasian paediatric gastroenterologists in diagnosing coeliac disease (CD) before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Paediatric gastroenterologists in Australasia were invited via email to complete an anonymous online questionnaire over a 2-week period in 2021. RESULTS: The questionnaire was completed by 39 respondents: 33 from Australia and six from New Zealand (NZ) equating to a 66% response rate. Thirty-four (87%) of the 39 respondents reported they currently practised non-biopsy diagnosis of CD in eligible children, while the rest diagnosed CD using biopsy confirmation only. All NZ respondents practised non-biopsy CD diagnosis. A majority of responders (76%) who practised non-biopsy CD diagnosis followed the 2020 European Society for Paediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition (ESPGHAN) guidelines. Twenty-two (56%) respondents reported that they started using a non-biopsy CD diagnosis protocol before the pandemic and did not change their practice during the pandemic, 10 (26%) started diagnosing non-biopsy CD during the pandemic, 5 (13%) stated their practices of CD were not impacted by the pandemic and 2 (5%) did not respond on whether the pandemic changed their practice. CONCLUSION: The majority of Australasian gastroenterologist respondents reported they routinely utilised the 2020 ESPGHAN diagnostic criteria in eligible children; half of them started prior to the pandemic and another quarter started this approach due to the pandemic. A minority of practitioners routinely rely only on biopsy confirmation to diagnose CD.
Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Celiac Disease , Gastroenterologists , Gastroenterology , Child , Humans , Celiac Disease/diagnosis , Celiac Disease/epidemiology , Pandemics , COVID-19/diagnosis , COVID-19/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Deciding which patients would benefit from intestinal transplantation (IT) remains an ethical/clinical dilemma. New criteria* were proposed in 2015: ≥2 intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, loss of ≥3 central venous catheter (CVC) sites, and persistently elevated conjugated bilirubin (CB ≥ 75 µmol/L) despite 6 weeks of lipid modification strategies. We performed a retrospective, international, multicenter validation study of 443 children (61% male, median gestational age 34 weeks [IQR 29-37]), diagnosed with IF between 2010 and 2015. Primary outcome measure was death or IT. Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, PPV, and probability of death/transplant (OR, 95% confidence intervals) were calculated for each criterion. Median age at IF diagnosis was 0.1 years (IQR 0.03-0.14) with median follow-up of 3.8 years (IQR 2.3-5.3). Forty of 443 (9%) patients died, 53 of 443 (12%) were transplanted; 11 died posttransplant. The validated criteria had a high predictive value of death/IT; ≥2 ICU admissions (p < .0001, OR 10.2, 95% CI 4.0-25.6), persistent CB ≥ 75 µmol/L (p < .0001, OR 8.2, 95% CI 4.8-13.9). and loss of ≥3 CVC sites (p = .0003, OR 5.7, 95% CI 2.2-14.7). This large, multicenter, international study in a contemporary cohort confirms the validity of the Toronto criteria. These validated criteria should guide listing decisions in pediatric IT.
Subject(s)
Intensive Care Units , Intestines , Child , Humans , Male , Infant, Newborn , Infant , Female , Retrospective Studies , Treatment Outcome , Intestines/transplantation , Cohort StudiesABSTRACT
STUDY QUESTION: Can an artificial intelligence (AI) model predict human embryo ploidy status using static images captured by optical light microscopy? SUMMARY ANSWER: Results demonstrated predictive accuracy for embryo euploidy and showed a significant correlation between AI score and euploidy rate, based on assessment of images of blastocysts at Day 5 after IVF. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: Euploid embryos displaying the normal human chromosomal complement of 46 chromosomes are preferentially selected for transfer over aneuploid embryos (abnormal complement), as they are associated with improved clinical outcomes. Currently, evaluation of embryo genetic status is most commonly performed by preimplantation genetic testing for aneuploidy (PGT-A), which involves embryo biopsy and genetic testing. The potential for embryo damage during biopsy, and the non-uniform nature of aneuploid cells in mosaic embryos, has prompted investigation of additional, non-invasive, whole embryo methods for evaluation of embryo genetic status. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: A total of 15 192 blastocyst-stage embryo images with associated clinical outcomes were provided by 10 different IVF clinics in the USA, India, Spain and Malaysia. The majority of data were retrospective, with two additional prospectively collected blind datasets provided by IVF clinics using the genetics AI model in clinical practice. Of these images, a total of 5050 images of embryos on Day 5 of in vitro culture were used for the development of the AI model. These Day 5 images were provided for 2438 consecutively treated women who had undergone IVF procedures in the USA between 2011 and 2020. The remaining images were used for evaluation of performance in different settings, or otherwise excluded for not matching the inclusion criteria. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: The genetics AI model was trained using static 2-dimensional optical light microscope images of Day 5 blastocysts with linked genetic metadata obtained from PGT-A. The endpoint was ploidy status (euploid or aneuploid) based on PGT-A results. Predictive accuracy was determined by evaluating sensitivity (correct prediction of euploid), specificity (correct prediction of aneuploid) and overall accuracy. The Matthew correlation coefficient and receiver-operating characteristic curves and precision-recall curves (including AUC values), were also determined. Performance was also evaluated using correlation analyses and simulated cohort studies to evaluate ranking ability for euploid enrichment. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: Overall accuracy for the prediction of euploidy on a blind test dataset was 65.3%, with a sensitivity of 74.6%. When the blind test dataset was cleansed of poor quality and mislabeled images, overall accuracy increased to 77.4%. This performance may be relevant to clinical situations where confounding factors, such as variability in PGT-A testing, have been accounted for. There was a significant positive correlation between AI score and the proportion of euploid embryos, with very high scoring embryos (9.0-10.0) twice as likely to be euploid than the lowest-scoring embryos (0.0-2.4). When using the genetics AI model to rank embryos in a cohort, the probability of the top-ranked embryo being euploid was 82.4%, which was 26.4% more effective than using random ranking, and â¼13-19% more effective than using the Gardner score. The probability increased to 97.0% when considering the likelihood of one of the top two ranked embryos being euploid, and the probability of both top two ranked embryos being euploid was 66.4%. Additional analyses showed that the AI model generalized well to different patient demographics and could also be used for the evaluation of Day 6 embryos and for images taken using multiple time-lapse systems. Results suggested that the AI model could potentially be used to differentiate mosaic embryos based on the level of mosaicism. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: While the current investigation was performed using both retrospectively and prospectively collected data, it will be important to continue to evaluate real-world use of the genetics AI model. The endpoint described was euploidy based on the clinical outcome of PGT-A results only, so predictive accuracy for genetic status in utero or at birth was not evaluated. Rebiopsy studies of embryos using a range of PGT-A methods indicated a degree of variability in PGT-A results, which must be considered when interpreting the performance of the AI model. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: These findings collectively support the use of this genetics AI model for the evaluation of embryo ploidy status in a clinical setting. Results can be used to aid in prioritizing and enriching for embryos that are likely to be euploid for multiple clinical purposes, including selection for transfer in the absence of alternative genetic testing methods, selection for cryopreservation for future use or selection for further confirmatory PGT-A testing, as required. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): Life Whisperer Diagnostics is a wholly owned subsidiary of the parent company, Presagen Holdings Pty Ltd. Funding for the study was provided by Presagen with grant funding received from the South Australian Government: Research, Commercialisation, and Startup Fund (RCSF). 'In kind' support and embryology expertise to guide algorithm development were provided by Ovation Fertility. 'In kind' support in terms of computational resources provided through the Amazon Web Services (AWS) Activate Program. J.M.M.H., D.P. and M.P. are co-owners of Life Whisperer and Presagen. S.M.D., M.A.D. and T.V.N. are employees or former employees of Life Whisperer. S.M.D, J.M.M.H, M.A.D, T.V.N., D.P. and M.P. are listed as inventors of patents relating to this work, and also have stock options in the parent company Presagen. M.V. sits on the advisory board for the global distributor of the technology described in this study and also received support for attending meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: N/A.
Subject(s)
Preimplantation Diagnosis , Aneuploidy , Artificial Intelligence , Australia , Blastocyst/pathology , Female , Fertilization in Vitro/methods , Humans , Pregnancy , Preimplantation Diagnosis/methods , Probability , Retrospective StudiesABSTRACT
New Zealand (NZ) guidelines for the approach to diagnosis and management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in children were developed in 2014. Objectives: This study aimed to assess the application of the guidelines in a group of children diagnosed with IBD in regards to baseline investigations. Methods: This retrospective observational study analyzed the application of recommended baseline investigations included in the NZ guidelines in a group of children aged <16 years diagnosed consecutively with IBD at the 2 NZ tertiary pediatric gastroenterology centers. Results: Fifty children were included from each center. Seventy-two were diagnosed with Crohn's disease (CD), 15 with ulcerative colitis (UC), and 13 were with IBD unclassified. The children with CD had a mean Pediatric Crohn's Disease Activity Index score of 31 and almost half had ileocolonic involvement (47%). The 15 children with UC had a mean PUCAI score of 42, and 13 had pancolonic involvement. All 100 children underwent upper and lower gastrointestinal endoscopy with biopsies, and 92% had magnetic resonance enterography at diagnosis. Iron studies, folate, and vitamin B12 were measured in >70 children. Serum zinc, magnesium, and phosphate were infrequently measured. Current anthropometry was recorded in all children but historical growth data were variably recorded. Vaccination status was also inconsistently recorded. Conclusion: Most of this group of children diagnosed with IBD in 2 NZ centers underwent key recommended investigations at diagnosis including gastrointestinal endoscopy and small bowel imaging. Other baseline assessments, including measurement of micronutrient levels, were completed variably. Measures to enhance consistent baseline assessments are required.
ABSTRACT
We describe a female toddler with rectal bleeding from extensive colonic polyposis, and diagnosed with familial adenomatous polyposis. She has epilepsy from infancy attributed to focal cortical dysplasia. Hepatoblastoma was diagnosed at 13 months of age. Germline testing detected a pathogenic APC (adenomatous polyposis coli gene) variant. We discuss the anecdotal management of this case, including the clinical utility of genetic confirmation. We review the genotype-phenotype correlation of the APC mutational spectrum, and the existing evidence supporting the hypothesis that cortical dysplasia is part of the APC-related spectrum.
Subject(s)
Adenomatous Polyposis Coli , Liver Neoplasms , Malformations of Cortical Development , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli/complications , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli/diagnosis , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli/genetics , Adenomatous Polyposis Coli Protein/genetics , Female , Genes, APC , Genetic Association Studies , Germ-Line Mutation , Humans , Liver Neoplasms/genetics , Malformations of Cortical Development/geneticsABSTRACT
OBJECTIVES: To assess the natural history and outcomes of children with intestinal failure in a large, multicenter, geographically diverse contemporary cohort (2010-2015) from 6 pediatric intestinal failure programs. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of a multicenter intestinal failure cohort (n = 443). Competing-risk analysis was used to obtain cumulative incidence rates for the primary outcome (enteral autonomy, transplantation, or death). The χ2 test and Cox proportional hazard regression were used for bivariate and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: The study cohort comprised 443 patients (61.2% male). Primary etiologies included short bowel syndrome (SBS), 84.9%; dysmotility disorder, 7.2%; and mucosal enteropathy, 7.9%. Cumulative incidences for enteral autonomy, transplantation, and death at 6 years of follow-up were 53.0%, 16.7%, and 10.5%, respectively. Enteral autonomy was associated with SBS, ≥50% of small bowel length, presence of an ileocecal valve (ICV), absence of portal hypertension, and follow-up in a non-high-volume transplantation center. The composite outcome of transplantation/death was associated with persistent advanced cholestasis and hypoalbuminemia; age <1 year at diagnosis, ICV, and intact colon were protective. CONCLUSIONS: The rates of death and transplantation in children with intestinal failure have decreased; however, the number of children achieving enteral autonomy has not changed significantly, and a larger proportion of patients remain parenteral nutrition dependent. New strategies to achieve enteral autonomy are needed to improve patient outcomes.