ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: In view of the fact that Paget's disease of bone (PD) tends to appear in so-called 'foci', a case-control study was undertaken with the dual aim of: 1) identifying areas having a higher likelihood of constituting PD 'foci'; and 2) detecting the geographic origin of 'PD-carrier' families. METHODS: Two data sets were analysed, one covering the place of birth of 231 cases and 436 controls, and the other covering the place of birth of cases, controls and their parents. Analysis was restricted to six Autonomous Regions accounting for 60% of Spain's towns and cities. To identify geographical areas of high prevalence we used the scan statistic. RESULTS: In the first analysis, 6 possible clusters were detected, corresponding to the districts of Avila (Avila), Lozoya-Somosierra (Madrid), Tierra de Campos(Palencia), the Guadalajara Range, South-west Madrid and Cuenca Hills. The second analysis confirmed the 6 groupings identified by the above procedure and, in addition, detected a further 8 possible clusters. Geographical proximity suggests that in some cases, rather than individual groupings, these may instead constitute larger foci. CONCLUSION: The results point to the possible existence of different PD foci, some coinciding with clusters that have already been reported, and others indicating familial origin in areas that had never previously received PD-specific attention.
Subject(s)
Osteitis Deformans/epidemiology , Cluster Analysis , Epidemiologic Methods , Humans , Middle Aged , Prevalence , Spain/epidemiologyABSTRACT
Recent data have suggested secular changes implying a current trend toward decreased clinical severity of Paget's disease of bone (PD). To test this hypothesis, we conducted a study comparing the characteristics of two groups of PD patients, as disclosed from a sample assessed systematically. The investigation was a hospital-based study of all cases followed up at our unit since 1980. Throughout the follow-up period, diagnosis was based on standard X-ray criteria and the same clinical assessment was applied. Group I (n = 124) represented patients born before 1926, whereas group II (n = 109) included those born after that year. A bone scan performed with 99mTc-EHDP was available for all patients. X-rays of the pelvis and spine, and views of any hot spot observed on the scintigraphy scans were reviewed. The skeletal extent of PD, based on bone scan uptake, was determined by using the index proposed by Coutris. Alkaline phosphatase and hydroxyproline excretion levels were determined in blood and urine, respectively. Baseline characteristics were recorded on a purpose-designed computerized database. The proportion of males (47% in group I vs. 65% in group II; p = 0.007) and the mean (+/-SD) age at diagnosis (69.0 +/- 8.15 vs. 54.3 +/-9.14; p < 0.001) differed significantly between groups. The year of birth showed a strong negative correlation with age at diagnosis (r = -0.83, p < 0.0001) and a weak, but significant, negative correlation with extent of bone lesion (r = -0.20; p = 0.002). Likewise, subjects born prior to 1926 showed a greater percentage of affected skeleton cases (9.6 plus minus 8.01 vs. 7.06 +/- 5.79; p = 0.001). Group I individuals who had pelvic and/or femoral bone lesions were more prone to suffer "pagetic coxopathy" (65% vs. 40%; p = 0.003) with "protrusio acetabuli" (32% vs. 17%; p = 0.01), and the percentage of patients showing radiographic Monckeberg-type vascular calcifications (36% vs. 14%; p = 0.0006) was higher than in those born after 1926. No other epidemiologically clinically, or biochemically relevant differences were seen in the crude analysis. Multivariate analysis identified extent of skeletal lesions (OR = 0.76; p = 0.01), age at diagnosis (OR = 0.79; p = 0.008), number of bones involved (OR = 1.53; p = 0.03), and occupation (p < 0.0001) as the predictive variables linked to year of birth. Our data are consistent with a temporal tendency toward a smaller number of bone lesions and a decreased percentage of instances of affected skeleton. An earlier age at recent diagnosis times and absence of any relevant clinical or biochemical differences seems more likely linked to recent changes in referral and sociological patterns.