Closing the Chasm: Understanding and Addressing the Anesthesia Workforce Supply and Demand Imbalance.

The imbalance in anesthesia workforce supply and demand has been exacerbated post-COVID due to a surge in demand for anesthesia care, especially in non-operating room anesthetizing sites, at a faster rate than the increase in anesthesia clinicians. The consequences of this imbalance or labor shortage compromise healthcare facilities, adversely affect the cost of care, worsen anesthesia workforce burnout, disrupt procedural and surgical schedules, and threaten academic missions and the ability to educate future anesthesiologists. In developing possible solutions, one must examine emerging trends that are affecting the anesthesia workforce, new technologies that will transform anesthesia care and the workforce, and financial considerations, including governmental payment policies. Possible practice solutions to this imbalance will require both short- and long-term multifactorial approaches that include increasing training positions and retention policies, improving capacity through innovations, leveraging technology, and addressing financial constraints.

An algorithm to detect dicrotic notch in arterial blood pressure and photoplethysmography waveforms using the iterative envelope mean method.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Detection of the dicrotic notch (DN) within a cardiac cycle is essential for assessment of cardiac output, calculation of pulse wave velocity, estimation of left ventricular ejection time, and supporting feature-based machine learning models for noninvasive blood pressure estimation, and hypotension, or hypertension prediction. In this study, we present a new algorithm based on the iterative envelope mean (IEM) method to detect automatically the DN in arterial blood pressure (ABP) and photoplethysmography (PPG) waveforms. METHODS: The algorithm was evaluated on both ABP and PPG waveforms from a large perioperative dataset (MLORD dataset) comprising 17,327 patients. The analysis involved a total of 1,171,288 cardiac cycles for ABP waveforms and 3,424,975 cardiac cycles for PPG waveforms. To evaluate the algorithm's performance, the systolic phase duration (SPD) was employed, which represents the duration from the onset of the systolic phase to the DN in the cardiac cycle. Correlation plots and regression analysis were used to compare the algorithm against marked DN detection, while box plots and Bland-Altman plots were used to compare its performance with both marked DN detection and an established DN detection technique (second derivative). The marking of the DN temporal location was carried out by an experienced researcher using the help of the 'find_peaks' function from the scipy Python package, serving as a reference for the evaluation. The marking was visually validated by both an engineer and an anesthesiologist. The robustness of the algorithm was evaluated as the DN was made less visually distinct across signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) ranging from -30 dB to -5 dB in both ABP and PPG waveforms. RESULTS: The correlation between SPD estimated by the algorithm and that marked by the researcher is strong for both ABP (R2(87,343) =0.99, p<.001) and PPG (R2(86,764) =0.98, p<.001) waveforms. The algorithm had a lower mean error of DN detection (s): 0.0047 (0.0029) for ABP waveforms and 0.0046 (0.0029) for PPG waveforms, compared to 0.0693 (0.0770) for ABP and 0.0968 (0.0909) for PPG waveforms for the established 2nd derivative method. The algorithm has high rate of detectability of DN detection for SNR of >= -9 dB for ABP waveforms and >= -12 dB for PPG waveforms indicating robust performance in detecting the DN when it is less visibly distinct. CONCLUSION: Our proposed IEM- based algorithm can detect DN in both ABP and PPG waveforms with low computational cost, even in cases where it is not distinctly defined within a cardiac cycle of the waveform ('DN-less signals'). The algorithm can potentially serve as a valuable, fast, and reliable tool for extracting features from ABP and PPG waveforms. It can be especially beneficial in medical applications where DN-based features, such as SPD, diastolic phase duration, and DN amplitude, play a significant role.

Comparison of differences in cohort (forwards) and case control (backwards) methodological approaches for validation of the Hypotension Prediction Index.

BACKGROUND: The Hypotension Prediction Index (the index) software is a machine learning algorithm that detects physiological changes that may lead to hypotension. The original validation used a case control (backwards) analysis that has been suggested to be biased. We therefore conducted a cohort (forwards) analysis and compared this to the original validation technique. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data from previously reported studies. All data were analysed identically with 2 different methodologies and receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) constructed. Both backwards and forwards analyses were performed to examine differences in area under the ROC for HPI and other haemodynamic variables to predict a MAP < 65mmHg for at least 1 minute 5, 10 and 15 minutes in advance. RESULTS: Two thousand and twenty-two patients were included in the analysis, yielding 4,152,124 measurements taken at 20 second intervals. The area-under-the-curve for the index predicting hypotension analysed by backward and forward methodologies respectively was 0.957 (95% CI, 0.947-0.964) vs 0.923 (95% CI, 0.912-0.933) 5 minutes in advance, 0.933 (95% CI, 0.924-0.942) vs 0.923 (95% CI, 0.911-0.933) 10 minutes in advance , and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918-0.938) vs. 0.926 (95% CI, 0.914-0.937) 15 minutes in advance. No other variable had an area-under-the-curve > 0.7 except for MAP. Area-under-the-curve using forward analysis for MAP predicting hypotension 5, 10, and 15 minutes in advance was 0.932 (95% CI, 0.920-0.940), 0.929 (95% CI, 0.918-0.938), and 0.932 (95% CI, 0.921-0.940). The R 2 for the variation in the index due to MAP was 0.77. CONCLUSION: Using an updated methodology, we found the utility of the HPI index to predict future hypotensive events is high, with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristics curve similar to that of the original validation method.

Differences in the Receipt of Regional Anesthesia Based on Race and Ethnicity in Colorectal Surgery.

BACKGROUND: Health equity in pain management during the perioperative period continues to be a topic of interest. The authors evaluated the association of race and ethnicity with regional anesthesia in patients who underwent colorectal surgery and characterized trends in regional anesthesia. METHODS: Using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database from 2015 to 2020, the research team identified patients who underwent open or laparoscopic colorectal surgery. Associations between race and ethnicity and use of regional anesthesia were estimated using logistic regression models. RESULTS: The final sample size was 292,797, of which 15.6% (n = 45,784) received regional anesthesia. The unadjusted rates of regional anesthesia for race and ethnicity were 15.7% white, 15.1% Black, 12.8% Asian, 29.6% American Indian or Alaska Native, 16.3% Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander, and 12.4% Hispanic. Black (odds ratio [OR] 0.93, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.90-0.96, p < 0.001) and Asian (OR 0.76, 95% CI 0.71-0.80, p < 0.001) patients had lower odds of regional anesthesia compared to white patients. Hispanic patients had lower odds of regional anesthesia compared to non-Hispanic patients (OR 0.72, 95% CI 0.68-0.75, p < 0.001). There was a significant annual increase in regional anesthesia from 2015 to 2020 for all racial and ethnic cohorts (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: There was an annual increase in the use of regional anesthesia, yet Black and Asian patients (compared to whites) and Hispanics (compared to non-Hispanics) were less likely to receive regional anesthesia for colorectal surgery. These differences suggest that there are racial and ethnic differences in regional anesthesia use for colorectal surgery.

An algorithm to detect dicrotic notch in arterial blood pressure and photoplethysmography waveforms using the iterative envelope mean method.

Background and Objective: Detection of the dicrotic notch (DN) within a cardiac cycle is essential for assessment of cardiac output, calculation of pulse wave velocity, estimation of left ventricular ejection time, and supporting feature-based machine learning models for noninvasive blood pressure estimation, and hypotension, or hypertension prediction. In this study, we present a new algorithm based on the iterative envelope mean (IEM) method to detect automatically the DN in arterial blood pressure (ABP) and photoplethysmography (PPG) waveforms. Methods: The algorithm was evaluated on both ABP and PPG waveforms from a large perioperative dataset (MLORD dataset) comprising 17,327 patients. The analysis involved a total of 1,171,288 cardiac cycles for ABP waveforms and 3,424,975 cardiac cycles for PPG waveforms. To evaluate the algorithm's performance, the systolic phase duration (SPD) was employed, which represents the duration from the onset of the systolic phase to the DN in the cardiac cycle. Correlation plots and regression analysis were used to compare the algorithm with an established DN detection technique (second derivative). The marking of the DN temporal location was carried out by an experienced researcher using the help of the 'find_peaks' function from the scipy PYTHON package, serving as a reference for the evaluation. The marking was visually validated by both an engineer and an anesthesiologist. The robustness of the algorithm was evaluated as the DN was made less visually distinct across signal-to-noise ratios (SNRs) ranging from -30 dB to -5 dB in both ABP and PPG waveforms. Results: The correlation between SPD estimated by the algorithm and that marked by the researcher is strong for both ABP (R2(87343) =.99, p<.001) and PPG (R2(86764) =.98, p<.001) waveforms. The algorithm had a lower mean error of dicrotic notch detection (s): 0.0047 (0.0029) for ABP waveforms and 0.0046 (0.0029) for PPG waveforms, compared to 0.0693 (0.0770) for ABP and 0.0968 (0.0909) for PPG waveforms for the established 2nd derivative method. The algorithm has high accuracy of DN detection for SNR of >= -9 dB for ABP waveforms and >= -12 dB for PPG waveforms indicating robust performance in detecting the DN when it is less visibly distinct. Conclusion: Our proposed IEM- based algorithm can detect DN in both ABP and PPG waveforms with low computational cost, even in cases where it is not distinctly defined within a cardiac cycle of the waveform ('DN-less signals'). The algorithm can potentially serve as a valuable, fast, and reliable tool for extracting features from ABP and PPG waveforms. It can be especially beneficial in medical applications where DN-based features, such as SPD, diastolic phase duration, and DN amplitude, play a significant role.

Control of mean arterial pressure using a closed-loop system for norepinephrine infusion in severe brain injury patients: the COMAT randomized controlled trial.

Brain injury patients require precise blood pressure (BP) management to maintain cerebral perfusion pressure (CPP) and avoid intracranial hypertension. Nurses have many tasks and norepinephrine titration has been shown to be suboptimal. This can lead to limited BP control in patients that are in critical need of cerebral perfusion optimization. We have designed a closed-loop vasopressor (CLV) system capable of maintaining mean arterial pressure (MAP) in a narrow range and we aimed to assess its performance when treating severe brain injury patients. Within the first 48 h of intensive care unit (ICU) admission, 18 patients with a severe brain injury underwent either CLV or manual norepinephrine titration. In both groups, the objective was to maintain MAP in target (within ± 5 mmHg of a predefined target MAP) to achieve optimal CPP. Fluid administration was standardized in the two groups. The primary objective was the percentage of time patients were in target. Secondary outcomes included time spent over and under target. Over the four-hour study period, the mean percentage of time with MAP in target was greater in the CLV group than in the control group (95.8 ± 2.2% vs. 42.5 ± 27.0%, p < 0.001). Severe undershooting, defined as MAP < 10 mmHg of target value was lower in the CLV group (0.2 ± 0.3% vs. 7.4 ± 14.2%, p < 0.001) as was severe overshooting defined as MAP > 10 mmHg of target (0.0 ± 0.0% vs. 22.0 ± 29.0%, p < 0.001). The CLV system can maintain MAP in target better than nurses caring for severe brain injury patients.

A Prospective Observational Cohort Study of Language Preference and Preoperative Cognitive Screening in Older Adults: Do Language Disparities Exist in Cognitive Screening and Does the Association Between Test Results and Postoperative Delirium Differ Based on Language Preference?

BACKGROUND: A greater percentage of surgical procedures are being performed each year on patients 65 years of age or older. Concurrently, a growing proportion of patients in English-speaking countries such as the United States, United Kingdom, Australia, and Canada have a language other than English (LOE) preference. We aimed to measure whether patients with LOE underwent cognitive screening at the same rates as their English-speaking counterparts when routine screening was instituted. We also aimed to measure the association between preoperative Mini-Cog and postoperative delirium (POD) in both English-speaking and LOE patients. METHODS: We conducted a single-center, observational cohort study in patients 65 years old or older, scheduled for surgery and evaluated in the preoperative clinic. Cognitive screening of older adults was recommended as an institutional program for all patients 65 and older presenting to the preoperative clinic. We measured program adherence for cognitive screening. We also assessed the association of preoperative impairment on Mini-Cog and POD in both English-speaking and LOE patients, and whether the association differed for the 2 groups. A Mini-Cog score ≤2 was considered impaired. Postoperatively, patients were assessed for POD using the Confusion Assessment Method (CAM) and by systematic chart review. RESULTS: Over a 3-year period (February 2019-January 2022), 2446 patients 65 years old or older were assessed in the preoperative clinic prior. Of those 1956 patients underwent cognitive screening. Eighty-nine percent of English-speaking patients underwent preoperative cognitive screening, compared to 58% of LOE patients. The odds of having a Mini-Cog assessment were 5.6 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.6-7.0) P < .001 for English-speaking patients compared to LOE patients. In English-speaking patients with a positive Mini-Cog screen, the odds of having postop delirium were 3.5 times higher (95% CI, 2.6-4.8) P < .001 when compared to negative Mini-Cog. In LOE patients, the odds of having postop delirium were 3.9 times higher (95% CI, 2.1-7.3) P < .001 for those with a positive Mini-Cog compared to a negative Mini-Cog. The difference between these 2 odds ratios was not significant (P = .753). CONCLUSIONS: We observed a disparity in the rates LOE patients were cognitively screened before surgery, despite the Mini-Cog being associated with POD in both English-speaking and LOE patients. Efforts should be made to identify barriers to cognitive screening in limited English-proficient older adults.

Closing the loop: automation in anesthesiology is coming.

Anesthesiology and intensive care medicine provide fertile ground for innovation in automation, but to date we have only achieved preliminary studies in closed-loop intravenous drug administration. Anesthesiologists have yet to implement these tools on a large scale despite clear evidence that they outperform manual titration. Closed-loops continuously assess a predefined variable as input into a controller and then attempt to establish equilibrium by administering a treatment as output. The aim is to decrease the error between the closed-loop controller's input and output. In this editorial we consider the available intravenous anesthesia closed-loop systems, try to clarify why they have not yet been implemented on a large scale, see what they offer, and propose the future steps towards automation in anesthesia.

Tight control of mean arterial pressure using a closed loop system for norepinephrine infusion after high-risk abdominal surgery: a randomized controlled trial.

Intensive care unit (ICU) nurses frequently manually titrate norepinephrine to maintain a predefined mean arterial pressure (MAP) target after high-risk surgery. However, achieving this task is often suboptimal. We have developed a closed-loop vasopressor (CLV) controller to better maintain MAP within a narrow range. After ethical committee approval, fifty-three patients admitted to the ICU following high-risk abdominal surgery were randomized to CLV or manual norepinephrine titration. In both groups, the aim was to maintain MAP in the predefined target of 80-90 mmHg. Fluid administration was standardized in the two groups using an advanced hemodynamic monitoring device. The primary outcome of our study was the percentage of time patients were in the MAP target. Over the 2-hour study period, the percentage of time with MAP in target was greater in the CLV group than in the control group (median: IQR25-75: 80 [68-88]% vs. 42 [22-65]%), difference 37.2, 95% CI (23.0-49.2); p < 0.001). Percentage time with MAP under 80 mmHg (1 [0-5]% vs. 26 [16-75]%, p < 0.001) and MAP under 65 mmHg (0 [0-0]% vs. 0 [0-4]%, p = 0.017) were both lower in the CLV group than in the control group. The percentage of time with a MAP > 90 mmHg was not statistically different between groups. In patients admitted to the ICU after high-risk abdominal surgery, closed-loop control of norepinephrine infusion better maintained a MAP target of 80 to 90 mmHg and significantly decreased postoperative hypotensive when compared to manual norepinephrine titration.

Novel Preoperative Risk Stratification Using Digital Phenotyping Applying a Scalable Machine-Learning Approach.

BACKGROUND: Classification of perioperative risk is important for patient care, resource allocation, and guiding shared decision-making. Using discriminative features from the electronic health record (EHR), machine-learning algorithms can create digital phenotypes among heterogenous populations, representing distinct patient subpopulations grouped by shared characteristics, from which we can personalize care, anticipate clinical care trajectories, and explore therapies. We hypothesized that digital phenotypes in preoperative settings are associated with postoperative adverse events including in-hospital and 30-day mortality, 30-day surgical redo, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and hospital length of stay (LOS). METHODS: We identified all laminectomies, colectomies, and thoracic surgeries performed over a 9-year period from a large hospital system. Seventy-seven readily extractable preoperative features were first selected from clinical consensus, including demographics, medical history, and lab results. Three surgery-specific datasets were built and split into derivation and validation cohorts using chronological occurrence. Consensus k -means clustering was performed independently on each derivation cohort, from which phenotypes' characteristics were explored. Cluster assignments were used to train a random forest model to assign patient phenotypes in validation cohorts. We reconducted descriptive analyses on validation cohorts to confirm the similarity of patient characteristics with derivation cohorts, and quantified the association of each phenotype with postoperative adverse events by using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). We compared our approach to American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) alone and investigated a combination of our phenotypes with the ASA score. RESULTS: A total of 7251 patients met inclusion criteria, of which 2770 were held out in a validation dataset based on chronological occurrence. Using segmentation metrics and clinical consensus, 3 distinct phenotypes were created for each surgery. The main features used for segmentation included urgency of the procedure, preoperative LOS, age, and comorbidities. The most relevant characteristics varied for each of the 3 surgeries. Low-risk phenotype alpha was the most common (2039 of 2770, 74%), while high-risk phenotype gamma was the rarest (302 of 2770, 11%). Adverse outcomes progressively increased from phenotypes alpha to gamma, including 30-day mortality (0.3%, 2.1%, and 6.0%, respectively), in-hospital mortality (0.2%, 2.3%, and 7.3%), and prolonged hospital LOS (3.4%, 22.1%, and 25.8%). When combined with the ASA score, digital phenotypes achieved higher AUROC than the ASA score alone (hospital mortality: 0.91 vs 0.84; prolonged hospitalization: 0.80 vs 0.71). CONCLUSIONS: For 3 frequently performed surgeries, we identified 3 digital phenotypes. The typical profiles of each phenotype were described and could be used to anticipate adverse postoperative events.

Medical Informatics Operating Room Vitals and Events Repository (MOVER): a public-access operating room database.

Objectives: Artificial intelligence (AI) holds great promise for transforming the healthcare industry. However, despite its potential, AI is yet to see widespread deployment in clinical settings in significant part due to the lack of publicly available clinical data and the lack of transparency in the published AI algorithms. There are few clinical data repositories publicly accessible to researchers to train and test AI algorithms, and even fewer that contain specialized data from the perioperative setting. To address this gap, we present and release the Medical Informatics Operating Room Vitals and Events Repository (MOVER). Materials and Methods: This first release of MOVER includes adult patients who underwent surgery at the University of California, Irvine Medical Center from 2015 to 2022. Data for patients who underwent surgery were captured from 2 different sources: High-fidelity physiological waveforms from all of the operating rooms were captured in real time and matched with electronic medical record data. Results: MOVER includes data from 58 799 unique patients and 83 468 surgeries. MOVER is available for download at https://doi.org/10.24432/C5VS5G, it can be downloaded by anyone who signs a data usage agreement (DUA), to restrict traffic to legitimate researchers. Discussion: To the best of our knowledge MOVER is the only freely available public data repository that contains electronic health record and high-fidelity physiological waveforms data for patients undergoing surgery. Conclusion: MOVER is freely available to all researchers who sign a DUA, and we hope that it will accelerate the integration of AI into healthcare settings, ultimately leading to improved patient outcomes.

Machine Learning of Physiologic Waveforms and Electronic Health Record Data: A Large Perioperative Data Set of High-Fidelity Physiologic Waveforms.

Perioperative morbidity and mortality are significantly associated with both static and dynamic perioperative factors. The studies investigating static perioperative factors have been reported; however, there are a limited number of previous studies and data sets analyzing dynamic perioperative factors, including physiologic waveforms, despite its clinical importance. To fill the gap, the authors introduce a novel large size perioperative data set: Machine Learning Of physiologic waveforms and electronic health Record Data (MLORD) data set. They also provide a concise tutorial on machine learning to illustrate predictive models trained on complex and diverse structures in the MLORD data set.

Physiological Modeling of Hemodynamic Responses to Sodium Nitroprusside.

BACKGROUND: Computational modeling of physiology has become a routine element in the development, evaluation, and safety testing of many types of medical devices. Members of the Food and Drug Administration have recently published a manuscript detailing the development, validation, and sensitivity testing of a computational model for blood volume, cardiac stroke volume, and blood pressure, noting that such a model might be useful in the development of closed-loop fluid administration systems. In the present study, we have expanded on this model to include the pharmacologic effect of sodium nitroprusside and calibrated the model against our previous experimental animal model data. METHODS: Beginning with the model elements in the original publication, we added six new parameters to control the effect of sodium nitroprusside: two for the onset time and clearance rates, two for the stroke volume effect (which includes venodilation as a "hidden" element), and two for the direct effect on arterial blood pressure. Using this new model, we then calibrated the predictive performance against previously collected animal study data using nitroprusside infusions to simulate shock with the primary emphasis on MAP. Root-mean-squared error (RMSE) was calculated, and the performance was compared to the performance of the model in the original study. RESULTS: RMSE of model-predicted MAP to actual MAP was lower than that reported in the original model, but higher for SV and CO. The individually fit models showed lower RMSE than using the population average values for parameters, suggesting the fitting process was effective in identifying improved parameters. Use of partially fit models after removal of the lowest variance population parameters showed a very minor decrement in improvement over the fully fit models. CONCLUSION: The new model added the clinical effects of SNP and was successfully calibrated against experimental data with an RMSE of <10% for mean arterial pressure. Model-predicted MAP showed an error similar to that seen in the original base model when using fluid shifts, heart rate, and drug dose as model inputs.

MOVER: Medical Informatics Operating Room Vitals and Events Repository.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) holds great promise for transforming the healthcare industry. However, despite its potential, AI is yet to see widespread deployment in clinical settings in significant part due to the lack of publicly available clinical data and the lack of transparency in the published AI algorithms. There are few clinical data repositories publicly accessible to researchers to train and test AI algorithms, and even fewer that contain specialized data from the perioperative setting. To address this gap, we present and release the Medical Informatics Operating Room Vitals and Events Repository, which includes data from 58,799 unique patients and 83,468 surgeries collected from the UCI Medical Center over a period of seven years. MOVER is freely available to all researchers who sign a data usage agreement, and we hope that it will accelerate the integration of AI into healthcare settings, ultimately leading to improved patient outcomes.

Laboratory Result Reference Ranges Stratified for Patient-Reported Sex and Ethnicity Are More Closely Associated With Postoperative Outcomes Than Currently Used Reference Ranges: A Retrospective Data Analysis.

BACKGROUND: A single laboratory range for all individuals may fail to take into account underlying physiologic differences based on sex and genetic factors. We hypothesized that laboratory distributions differ based on self-reported sex and ethnicity and that ranges stratified by these factors better correlate with postoperative mortality and acute kidney injury (AKI). METHODS: Results from metabolic panels, complete blood counts, and coagulation panels for patients in outpatient encounters were identified from our electronic health record. Patients were grouped based on self-reported sex (2 groups) and ethnicity (6 groups). Stratified ranges were set to be the 2.5th/97.5th percentile for each sex/ethnic group. For patients undergoing procedures, each patient/laboratory result was classified as normal/abnormal using the stratified and nonstratified (traditional) ranges; overlap in the definitions was assessed between the 2 classifications by looking for the percentage of agreement in result classifications of normal/abnormal using the 2 methods. To assess which definitions of normal are most associated with adverse postoperative outcomes, the odds ratio (OR) for each outcome/laboratory result pair was assessed, and the frequency that the confidence intervals of ORs for the stratified versus nonstratified range did not overlap was examined. RESULTS: Among the 300 unique combinations (race × sex × laboratory type), median proportion overlap (meaning patient was either "normal" or "abnormal" for both methodologies) was 0.86 [q1, 0.80; q3, 0.89]. All laboratory results except 6 overlapped at least 80% of the time. The frequency of overlap did not differ among the racial/ethnic groups. In cases where the ORs were different, the stratified range was better associated with both AKI and mortality (P < .001). There was no trend of bias toward any specific sex/ethnic group. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline "normal" laboratory values differ across sex and ethnic groups, and ranges stratified by these groups are better associated with postoperative AKI and mortality as compared to the standard reference ranges.

A Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator-Derived Predictive Model for Postoperative Respiratory Failure in a Heterogeneous Adult Elective Surgery Patient Population.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative respiratory failure (PRF) is associated with increased hospital charges and worse patient outcomes. Reliable prediction models can help to guide postoperative planning to optimize care, to guide resource allocation, and to foster shared decision-making with patients. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can a predictive model be developed to accurately identify patients at high risk of PRF? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In this single-site proof-of-concept study, we used structured query language to extract, transform, and load electronic health record data from 23,999 consecutive adult patients admitted for elective surgery (2014-2021). Our primary outcome was PRF, defined as mechanical ventilation after surgery of > 48 h. Predictors of interest included demographics, comorbidities, and intraoperative factors. We used logistic regression to build a predictive model and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator procedure to select variables and to estimate model coefficients. We evaluated model performance using optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating curve and area under the precision-recall curve and calculated sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and Brier scores. RESULTS: Two hundred twenty-five patients (0.94%) demonstrated PRF. The 18-variable predictive model included: operations on the cardiovascular, nervous, digestive, urinary, or musculoskeletal system; surgical specialty orthopedic (nonspine); Medicare or Medicaid (as the primary payer); race unknown; American Society of Anesthesiologists class ≥ III; BMI of 30 to 34.9 kg/m2; anesthesia duration (per hour); net fluid at end of the operation (per liter); median intraoperative FIO2, end title CO2, heart rate, and tidal volume; and intraoperative vasopressor medications. The optimism-corrected area under the receiver operating curve was 0.835 (95% CI,0.808-0.862) and the area under the precision-recall curve was 0.156 (95% CI, 0.105-0.203). INTERPRETATION: This single-center proof-of-concept study demonstrated that a structured query language extract, transform, and load process, based on readily available patient and intraoperative variables, can be used to develop a prediction model for PRF. This PRF prediction model is scalable for multicenter research. Clinical applications include decision support to guide postoperative level of care admission and treatment decisions.

Opioid-Free Anesthesia: The Pros and Cons.

Appropriate perioperative pain control is essential to aid in patients' recovery after surgery; however, acute postsurgical pain remains poorly treated and there continues to be an overreliance on opiates. Perioperative pain control starts in the operating room, and opiate-free anesthesia (OFA), where no opiates are used intraoperatively, has been proposed as a feasible strategy to further minimize opiates in the perioperative period. In this article, we address the potential benefits and shortcomings of OFA, while exploring tools available to accomplish multimodal anesthesia and ideally OFA, and the evidence behind the techniques proposed.