Longitudinal NT-proBNP: Associations With Echocardiographic Changes and Outcomes in Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: The relationship of serial NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) measurements with changes in cardiac features and outcomes in heart failure (HF) remains incompletely understood. We determined whether common clinical covariates impact these relationships. METHODS AND RESULTS: In 2 nationwide observational populations with HF, the relationship of serial NT-proBNP measurements with serial echocardiographic parameters and outcomes was analyzed, further stratified by HF with reduced versus preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, inpatient versus outpatient enrollment, age, obesity, chronic kidney disease, atrial fibrillation, and attainment of ≥50% guideline-recommended doses of renin-angiotensin system inhibitors and ß-blockers. Among 1911 patients (mean±SD age, 65.1±13.4 years; 26.6% women; 62% inpatient and 38% outpatient), NT-proBNP declined overall, with more rapid declines among inpatients, those with obesity, those with atrial fibrillation, and those attaining ≥50% guideline-recommended doses. Each doubling of NT-proBNP was associated with increases in left ventricular volume (by 6.1 mL), E/e' (transmitral to mitral annular early diastolic velocity ratio) (by 1.4 points), left atrial volume (by 3.6 mL), and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (by -2.1%). The effect sizes of these associations were lower among patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction, atrial fibrillation, or advanced age (Pinteraction<0.001). A landmark analysis identified that an SD increase in NT-proBNP over 6 months was associated with a 27% increase in the risk of the composite event of HF hospitalization or all-cause death between 6 months and 2 years (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.15-1.40]; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The relationships between NT-proBNP and structural/functional remodeling differed by age, presence of atrial fibrillation, and HF phenotypes. The association of increased NT-proBNP with increased risk of adverse outcomes was consistent in all subgroups.

Glycated Hemoglobin Variability Is Associated With Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure Irrespective of Diabetic Status.

BACKGROUND: The effect of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) variability on adverse outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF) is unclear. We aim to investigate the predictive value of HbA1c variability on the risks of all-cause death and HF rehospitalization in patients with HF irrespective of their diabetic status. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using a previously validated territory-wide clinical data registry, HbA1c variability was assessed by average successive variability (ASV) or SD of all HbA1c measurements after HF diagnosis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% CI. A total of 65 950 patients with HF were included in the study. Over a median follow-up of 6.7 (interquartile range, 4.0-10.6) years, 34 508 patients died and 52 446 required HF rehospitalization. Every unit increment of variability in HbA1c was significantly associated with higher HF rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.18-1.23]) and all-cause death (HR ASV, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.47-1.53]). Diabetes significantly modified the association between HbA1c variability and outcomes (Pinteraction<0.001). HbA1c variability in patients with HF without diabetes conferred a higher risk of rehospitalization (HR ASV, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.70-2.17] versus HR ASV, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.17-1.21]), and all-cause death (HR ASV, 3.90 [95% CI, 3.31-4.61] versus HR ASV, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.43-1.50] compared with patients with diabetes). CONCLUSIONS: HbA1c variability is significantly associated with greater risk of rehospitalization and all-cause death in patients with HF, irrespective of their diabetic status. These observations were more pronounced in patients with HF without diabetes.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus and cardiometabolic outcomes in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease population.

The metabolic syndrome, characterized by type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and obesity, collectively increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a prominent manifestation, affecting over a third of the global population with a concerning annual increase in prevalence. Nearly 70 % of overweight individuals have NAFLD, and NAFLD-related deaths are predicted to rise, especially among young adults. The association of T2DM and NAFLD has led to the proposal of "metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease" (MASLD) terminology, encompassing individuals with T2DM, overweight/obesity, hypertension, hypertriglyceridemia, or low HDL-cholesterol. Patients with MASLD will likely have double the risk of developing T2DM, and the combination of insulin resistance, overweight/obesity, and MASLD significantly elevates the risk of T2DM. Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of mortality in the MASLD and T2DM population, with MASLD directly associated with coronary artery disease, compounded by coexisting insulin resistance and T2DM. Urgency lies in early detection of subclinical cardiovascular diseases among patients with T2DM and MASLD. Novel strategies targeting multiple pathways offer hope for effectively improving cardiometabolic health. Understanding and addressing the intertwined factors contributing to these disorders can pave the way towards better management and prevention of cardiometabolic complications.

Applying the UTAUT2 framework to patients' attitudes toward healthcare task shifting with artificial intelligence.

BACKGROUND: Increasing patient loads, healthcare inflation and ageing population have put pressure on the healthcare system. Artificial intelligence and machine learning innovations can aid in task shifting to help healthcare systems remain efficient and cost effective. To gain an understanding of patients' acceptance toward such task shifting with the aid of AI, this study adapted the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology 2 (UTAUT2), looking at performance and effort expectancy, facilitating conditions, social influence, hedonic motivation and behavioural intention. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study which took place between September 2021 to June 2022 at the National Heart Centre, Singapore. One hundred patients, aged ≥ 21 years with at least one heart failure symptom (pedal oedema, New York Heart Association II-III effort limitation, orthopnoea, breathlessness), who presented to the cardiac imaging laboratory for physician-ordered clinical echocardiogram, underwent both echocardiogram by skilled sonographers and the experience of echocardiogram by a novice guided by AI technologies. They were then given a survey which looked at the above-mentioned constructs using the UTAUT2 framework. RESULTS: Significant, direct, and positive effects of all constructs on the behavioral intention of accepting the AI-novice combination were found. Facilitating conditions, hedonic motivation and performance expectancy were the top 3 constructs. The analysis of the moderating variables, age, gender and education levels, found no impact on behavioral intention. CONCLUSIONS: These results are important for stakeholders and changemakers such as policymakers, governments, physicians, and insurance companies, as they design adoption strategies to ensure successful patient engagement by focusing on factors affecting the facilitating conditions, hedonic motivation and performance expectancy for AI technologies used in healthcare task shifting.

Toward a Universal Definition of Etiologies in Heart Failure: Categorizing Causes and Advancing Registry Science.

Heart failure (HF) is a well-described final common pathway for a broad range of diseases however substantial confusion exists regarding how to describe, study, and track these underlying etiologic conditions. We describe (1) the overlap in HF etiologies, comorbidities, and case definitions as currently used in HF registries led or managed by members of the global HF roundtable; (2) strategies to improve the quality of evidence on etiologies and modifiable risk factors of HF in registries; and (3) opportunities to use clinical HF registries as a platform for public health surveillance, implementation research, and randomized registry trials to reduce the global burden of noncommunicable diseases. Investment and collaboration among countries to improve the quality of evidence in global HF registries could contribute to achieving global health targets to reduce noncommunicable diseases and overall improvements in population health.

Global longitudinal strain and plasma biomarkers for prognosis in heart failure complicated by diabetes: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) and diabetes are associated with increased incidence and worse prognosis of each other. The prognostic value of global longitudinal strain (GLS) measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has not been established in HF patients with diabetes. METHODS: In this prospective, observational study, consecutive patients (n = 315) with HF underwent CMR at 3T, including GLS, late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), native T1, and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) mapping. Plasma biomarker concentrations were measured including: N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T(hs-TnT), growth differentiation factor 15(GDF-15), soluble ST2(sST2), and galectin 3(Gal-3). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality or HF hospitalisation. RESULTS: Compared to those without diabetes (n = 156), the diabetes group (n = 159) had a higher LGE prevalence (76 vs. 60%, p < 0.05), higher T1 (1285±42 vs. 1269±42ms, p < 0.001), and higher ECV (30.5±3.5 vs. 28.8±4.1%, p < 0.001). The diabetes group had higher NT-pro-BNP, hs-TnT, GDF-15, sST2, and Gal-3. Diabetes conferred worse prognosis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.33 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.43-3.79], p < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression analysis including clinical markers and plasma biomarkers, sST2 alone remained independently associated with the primary outcome (HR per 1 ng/mL 1.04 [95% CI 1.02-1.07], p = 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression models in the diabetes group, both GLS and sST2 remained prognostic (GLS: HR 1.12 [95% CI 1.03-1.21], p = 0.01; sST2: HR per 1 ng/mL 1.03 [95% CI 1.00-1.06], p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to HF patients without diabetes, those with diabetes have worse plasma and CMR markers of fibrosis and a more adverse prognosis. GLS by CMR is a powerful and independent prognostic marker in HF patients with diabetes.

Diabetes and risk of heart failure in people with and without cardiovascular disease: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: People with diabetes have an increased risk of heart failure (HF), compared to those without diabetes. However, no comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis has explored whether these associations could differ in relation to prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD). AIMS: To estimate the association between diabetes and incident heart failure (HF), compared to without diabetes, in individuals with and without CVD. METHODS: PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for observational cohort studies from the earliest dates to 22nd March 2023. A random-effects model calculated the pooled relative risk (RR). RESULTS: Of 11,609 articles, 31 and 6 studies reported data in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and type 1 diabetes (T1D) respectively. Individuals with T2D had an increased risk of HF irrespective of CVD prevalence: 1.61 (95% CI: 1.35-1.92) in those with CVD; 1.78 (1.60-1.99) without CVD; and 2.02 (1.75-2.33) with unspecified CVD prevalence. Meta-regression did not identify a significant difference comparing HF risk in T2D individuals with vs. without CVD (p = 0.232). CONCLUSION: Peoplewith T2D, compared to those without diabetes, have similar increased risk of HF, regardless of CVD prevalence. Strategiesproven to lower HF risk in T2D individuals should be prioritized for those with and without CVD.

Asia-Pacific Investigators and Asian Enrollment in Cardiometabolic Trials: Insights From Publications Between 2011 and 2020.

Background: A lack of geographic and racial diversity in clinical trial populations may arise from a disproportionate focus on the United States and Europe for trial leadership and conduct. Inadequate diversity may compromise the external validity to the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, where 60% of global cardiometabolic disease exists. Objectives: This study aimed to assess the proportion and trends of Asian race participants and APAC authorship in cardiometabolic trials. Methods: We performed a systematic review of all cardiovascular, diabetes and obesity-related randomized controlled trials (phase ≥2, n = ≥100) published in these major medical journals: the New England Journal of Medicine, the Lancet, and the Journal of the American Medical Association between January 1, 2011, and December 31, 2020. Trial leadership was defined by first authorship, and any listed author was considered a trial collaborator. Temporal trends were evaluated using the Jonckheere-Terpstra proportion test and correlations using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Participant-to-prevalence ratios (PPR) were determined using Global Health Data Exchange registry data. Results: A total of 8.3% (218,613 of 2,619,710) participants identified as being of Asian race and 7.7% of total enrollment occurred in APAC. APAC lead authorship occurred in 52 of 656 (7.9%) trials and collaboration in 10.1% (1312 of 13,000 of authors), which correlated with Asian enrollment (r = 0.63 and r = 0.76, respectively). A marginal increase in the proportion of Asian race (Δ1.40% ± 6.95%/year, P = 0.003) and APAC regional (Δ1.46% ± 8.67%/year, P = 0.003) enrollment was observed; however, severe regional underrepresentation persisted (PPR <0.30). Conclusions: Despite a favorable trend over the past decade, Asian participants and authors from APAC remain significantly underrepresented in seminal cardiometabolic trials; barriers to trial conduct and leadership in this region must be addressed.

Clinical Features of Heart Failure With Normal Ejection Fraction: Insights From the ASIAN-HF Registry.

Background: Heart failure and left ventricular ejection fraction in the normal range (HFnEF) (left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] of ≥55% for men and ≥60% for women) is understudied. Objectives: The authors aimed to characterize patients with HFnEF compared with those with preserved (≥50%) yet below the normal LVEF. Methods: In an Asian HF registry, clinical characteristics, echocardiographic features, and outcomes were compared across: 1) HFnEF; 2) heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (HFpEF) (LVEF of ≥50%) and below normal LVEF; and 3) community-based controls without HF. Cluster analysis of echocardiographic parameters was performed and validated in an external cohort. Results: Among 1,765 patients with HFpEF (age 68 ± 12 years; 50% women), 1,313 (74.4%) had HFnEF. Compared with patients with HFpEF and below normal LVEF, patients with HFnEF had less coronary artery disease (33.7% vs 27.9%), greater LV wall thickness, and higher stroke volume, but similar 2-year age-adjusted all-cause mortality (HR: 0.8; 95% CI: 0.6-1.2). Five echocardiographic clusters with similar 2-year mortality were identified: 1) normal LV (normal structure despite increased filling pressure; least comorbidities) in 25%; 2) restrictive (smallest stroke volume; predominantly elderly women) in 26%; 3) hypertrophic (most concentric hypertrophy; more men) in 25%; 4) high output (greatest stroke volume; predominantly obese younger men) in 10%; and 5) atrial dominant (most left atrial myopathy; mainly elderly women with multiple comorbidities) in 10%. Similar patterns were found in the validation cohort. Conclusions: The majority of patients with HFpEF had normal LVEF, which consists of patients with different patterns of cardiac features and clinical characteristics. Results may carry implications for targeted treatment approaches in HFpEF.

Global Variations According to Sex in Patients Hospitalized for Heart Failure in the REPORT-HF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Previous reports suggest that risk factors, management, and outcomes of acute heart failure (AHF) may differ by sex, but they rarely extended analysis to low- and middle-income countries. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors sought to analyze sex differences in treatment and outcomes in patients hospitalized for AHF in 44 countries. METHODS: The authors investigated differences between men and women in treatment and outcomes in 18,553 patients hospitalized for AHF in 44 countries in the REPORT-HF (Registry to Assess Medical Practice With Longitudinal Observation for the Treatment of Heart Failure) registry stratified by country income level, income disparity, and world region. The primary outcome was 1-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Women (n = 7,181) were older than men (n = 11,372), were more likely to have heart failure with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction, had more comorbid conditions except for coronary artery disease, and had more severe signs and symptoms at admission. Coronary angiography, cardiac stress tests, and coronary revascularization were less frequently performed in women than in men. Women with AHF and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction were less likely to receive an implanted device, regardless of region or country income level. Women were more likely to receive treatments that could worsen HF than men (18% vs 13%; P < 0.0001). In countries with low-income disparity, women had better 1-year survival than men. This advantage was lost in countries with greater income disparity (Pinteraction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Women were less likely to have diagnostic testing or receive guideline-directed care than men. A survival advantage for women was observed only in countries with low income disparity, suggesting that equity of HF care between sexes remains an unmet goal worldwide.

Association Between Diabetes, Chronic Kidney Disease, and Outcomes in People With Heart Failure From Asia.

Background: Diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and heart failure (HF) are pathophysiologically linked and increasing in prevalence in Asian populations, but little is known about the interplay of DM and CKD on outcomes in HF. Objectives: This study sought to investigate outcomes in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) vs heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in relation to the presence of DM and CKD. Methods: Using the multinational ASIAN-HF registry, we investigated associations between DM only, CKD only, and DM+CKD with: 1) composite of 1-year mortality or HF hospitalization; and 2) Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores, according to HF subtype. Results: In 5,239 patients with HF (74.6% HFrEF, 25.4% HFpEF; mean age 63 years; 29.1% female), 1,107 (21.1%) had DM only, 1,087 (20.7%) had CKD only, and 1,400 (26.7%) had DM+CKD. Compared with patients without DM nor CKD, DM+CKD was associated with 1-year all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization in HFrEF (adjusted HR: 2.07; 95% CI: 1.68-2.55) and HFpEF (HR: 2.37; 95% CI: 1.40-4.02). In HFrEF, DM only and CKD only were associated with 1-year all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization (both HRs: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.14-1.80), while in HFpEF, CKD only (HR: 2.54; 95% CI: 1.46-4.41) but not DM only (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.52-1.95) was associated with increased risk (interaction P < 0.01). Adjusted Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire scores were lower in patients with DM+CKD (HFrEF: mean 60.50, SEM 0.77, HFpEF: mean 70.10, SEM 1.06; P < 0.001) than with no DM or CKD (HFrEF: mean 66.00, SEM 0.65; and HFpEF: mean 75.80, SEM 0.99). Conclusions: Combined DM and CKD adversely effected outcomes independently of HF subtype, with CKD a consistent predictor of worse outcomes. Strategies to prevent and treat DM and CKD in HF are urgently required.

Polypill Eligibility for Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction in the ASIAN-HF Registry: A Cross-Sectional Analysis.

Background: The rates of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) prescription for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in Asia remain sub-optimal. The primary objective of this study was to examine HFrEF polypill eligibility in the context of measured baseline prescription rates of individual components of GDMT among participants with HFrEF in Asia. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 4,868 patients with HFrEF from the multi-national ASIAN-HF registry was performed, and 3,716 patients were included in the final, complete case analysis. Eligibility for a HFrEF polypill, upon which patients were grouped and characterized, was based on the following: left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVEF < 40% on baseline echocardiography), systolic blood pressure ≥ 100 mm Hg, heart rate ≥ 50 beats/minute, eGFR ≥ 30 mL/min/1.73 m, and serum potassium ≤ 5.0 mEq/L. Regression analyses were performed to evaluate associations of the baseline sociodemographic factors with HFrEF polypill eligibility. Results: Among 3,716 patients with HFrEF in the ASIAN-HF registry, 70.3% were eligible for a HFrEF polypill. HFrEF polypill eligibility was significantly higher than baseline rates of triple therapy prescription of GDMT across sex, all studied geographical regions, and income levels. Patients were more likely to be eligible for a HFrEF polypill if they were younger and male, with higher BMI and systolic blood pressure, and less likely to be eligible if they were from Japan and Thailand. Conclusion: The majority of patients with HFrEF in ASIAN-HF were eligible for a HFrEF polypill and were not receiving conventional triple therapy. HFrEF polypills may be a feasible and scalable implementation strategy to help close the treatment gap among patients with HFrEF in Asia.

Patient-Reported Status and Heart Failure Outcomes in Asia by Sex, Ethnicity, and Socioeconomic Status.

Background: In heart failure (HF), symptoms and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) are known to vary among different HF subgroups, but evidence on the association between changing HRQoL and outcomes has not been evaluated. Objectives: The authors sought to investigate the relationship between changing symptoms, signs, and HRQoL and outcomes by sex, ethnicity, and socioeconomic status (SES). Methods: Using the ASIAN-HF (Asian Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure) Registry, we investigated associations between the 6-month change in a "global" symptoms and signs score (GSSS), Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire overall score (KCCQ-OS), and visual analogue scale (VAS) and 1-year mortality or HF hospitalization. Results: In 6,549 patients (mean age: 62 ± 13 years], 29% female, 27% HF with preserved ejection fraction), women and those in low SES groups had higher symptom burden but lower signs and similar KCCQ-OS to their respective counterparts. Malay patients had the highest GSSS (3.9) and lowest KCCQ-OS (58.5), and Thai/Filipino/others (2.6) and Chinese patients (2.7) had the lowest GSSS scores and the highest KCCQ-OS (73.1 and 74.6, respectively). Compared to no change, worsening of GSSS (>1-point increase), KCCQ-OS (≥10-point decrease) and VAS (>1-point decrease) were associated with higher risk of HF admission/death (adjusted HR: 2.95 [95% CI: 2.14-4.06], 1.93 [95% CI: 1.26-2.94], and 2.30 [95% CI: 1.51-3.52], respectively). Conversely, the same degrees of improvement in GSSS, KCCQ-OS, and VAS were associated with reduced rates (HR: 0.35 [95% CI: 0.25-0.49], 0.25 [95% CI: 0.16-0.40], and 0.64 [95% CI: 0.40-1.00], respectively). Results were consistent across all sex, ethnicity, and SES groups (interaction P > 0.05). Conclusions: Serial measures of patient-reported symptoms and HRQoL are significant and consistent predictors of outcomes among different groups with HF and provide the potential for a patient-centered and pragmatic approach to risk stratification.

Incidence, Clinical Correlates, and Prognostic Impact of Dementia in Heart Failure: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background: Heart failure (HF) may increase the risk of dementia via shared risk factors. Objectives: The authors investigated the incidence, types, clinical correlates, and prognostic impact of dementia in a population-based cohort of patients with index HF. Methods: The previously territory-wide database was interrogated to identify eligible patients with HF (N = 202,121) from 1995 to 2018. Clinical correlates of incident dementia and their associations with all-cause mortality were assessed using multivariable Cox/competing risk regression models where appropriate. Results: Among a total cohort aged ≥18 years with HF (mean age 75.3 ± 13.0 years, 51.3% women, median follow-up 4.1 [IQR: 1.2-10.2] years), new-onset dementia occurred in 22,145 (11.0%), with age-standardized incidence rate of 1,297 (95% CI: 1,276-1,318) per 10,000 in women and 744 (723-765) per 10,000 in men. Types of dementia were Alzheimer's disease (26.8%), vascular dementia (18.1%), and unspecified dementia (55.1%). Independent predictors of dementia included: older age (≥75 years, subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 2.22), female sex (SHR: 1.31), Parkinson's disease (SHR: 1.28), peripheral vascular disease (SHR: 1.46), stroke (SHR: 1.24), anemia (SHR: 1.11), and hypertension (SHR: 1.21). The population attributable risk was highest for age ≥75 years (17.4%) and female sex (10.2%). New-onset dementia was independently associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted SHR: 4.51; P < 0.001). Conclusions: New-onset dementia affected more than 1 in 10 patients with index HF over the follow-up, and portended a worse prognosis in these patients. Older women were at highest risk and should be targeted for screening and preventive strategies.

Heart Failure and Multimorbidity in Asia.

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW: Multimorbidity, the presence of two or more comorbidities, is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and worsens clinical outcomes. In Asia, multimorbidity has become the norm rather than the exception. Therefore, we evaluated the burden and unique patterns of comorbidities in Asian patients with HF. RECENT FINDINGS: Asian patients with HF are almost a decade younger than Western Europe and North American patients. However, over two in three patients have multimorbidity. Comorbidities usually cluster due to the close and complex links between chronic medical conditions. Elucidating these links may guide public health policies to address risk factors. In Asia, barriers in treating comorbidities at the patient, healthcare system and national level hamper preventative efforts. Asian patients with HF are younger yet have a higher burden of comorbidities than Western patients. A better understanding of the unique co-occurrence of medical conditions in Asia can improve the prevention and treatment of HF.

Machine learning-based prediction of infarct size in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: A multi-center study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) is the gold standard for measuring infarct size (IS). However, this method is expensive and requires a specially trained technologist to administer. We therefore sought to quantify the IS using machine learning (ML) based analysis on clinical features, which is a convenient and cost-effective alternative to CMR. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 315 STEMI patients with CMR examined one week after morbidity in final analysis. After feature selection by XGBoost on fifty-six clinical features, we used five ML algorithms (random forest (RF), light gradient boosting decision machine, deep forest, deep neural network, and stacking) to predict IS with 26 (selected by XGBoost with information gain greater than average level of 56 features) and the top 10 features, during which 5-fold cross-validation were used to train and optimize models. We then evaluated the value of actual and ML-IS for the prediction of adverse remodeling. Our finding indicates that MLs outperform the linear regression in predicting IS. Specifically, the RF with five predictors identified by the exhaustive method performed better than linear regression (LR) with 10 indicators (R2 of RF: 0.8; LR: 0). The finding also shows that both actual and ML-IS were independently associated with adverse remodeling. ML-IS ≥ 21% was associated with a twofold increase in the risk of LV remodeling (P < 0.01) compared with patients with reference IS (1st tertile). CONCLUSION: ML-based methods can predict IS with widely available clinical features, which provide a proof-of-concept tool to quantitatively assess acute phase IS.

Patient-Reported Versus Physician-Assessed Health Status in Heart Failure With Reduced and Preserved Ejection Fraction From ASIAN-HF Registry.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to assess if discordance between patient-reported Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)-overall summary (os) score and physician-assessed New York Heart Association (NYHA) class is common among patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced or preserved ejection fraction, and determine its association with outcomes. METHODS: A total of 4818 patients with HF were classified according to KCCQ-os score (range 0-100, dichotomized by median value 71.9 into high [good] versus low [bad]) and NYHA class (I/II [good] or III/IV [bad]) as concordant good (low NYHA class, high KCCQ-os score), concordant bad (high NYHA class, low KCCQ-os score), discordant worse NYHA class (high NYHA class, high KCCQ-os score), and discordant worse KCCQ-os score (low NYHA class, low-KCCQ-os score). The composite of HF hospitalization or death at 1 year was compared across groups. RESULTS: There were 2070 (43.0%) concordant good, 1099 (22.8%) concordant bad, 331 (6.9%) discordant worse NYHA class, and 1318 (27.4%) discordant worse KCCQ-os score patients. Compared with concordant good, adverse outcomes were the highest in concordant bad (HR, 2.7 [95% CI, 2.2-3.5]) followed by discordant worse KCCQ-os score (HR, 1.8 [95% CI, 1.4-2.2]) and discordant worse NYHA class (HR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.0-2.3]); with no modification by HF phenotype (preserved versus reduced ejection fraction, Pinteraction=0.52). At 6 months, 1403 (48%) experienced clinically significant improvement in KCCQ-os score (≥5 points increase over 6 months). Patients with improved KCCQ-os at 6 months (HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.47-0.92]) had better outcomes and the association was not modified by HF phenotype (Pinteraction=0.40). CONCLUSIONS: One-third of patients with HF had discordance between patient-reported and clinician-assessed health status, largely attributable to worse patient-reported outcomes. Such discordance, particularly in those with discordantly worse KCCQ, should alert physicians to an increased risk of HF hospitalization and death, and prompt further assessment for potential drivers of worse patient-reported outcomes relative to physicians' assessment.

Chronic kidney disease begets heart failure and vice versa: temporal associations between heart failure events in relation to incident chronic kidney disease in type 2 diabetes.

AIM: To investigate the interplay of incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) and/or heart failure (HF) and their associations with prognosis in a large, population-based cohort with type 2 diabetes (T2DM). METHODS: Patients aged ≥18 years with new-onset T2DM, without renal disease or HF at baseline, were identified from the territory-wide Clinical Data Analysis Reporting System between 2000 and 2015. Patients were followed up until December 31, 2020 for incident CKD and/or HF and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 102 488 patients (median age 66 years, 45.7% women, median follow-up 7.5 years), new-onset CKD occurred in 14 798 patients (14.4%), in whom 21.7% had HF. In contrast, among 9258 patients (9.0%) with new-onset HF, 34.6% had CKD. The median time from baseline to incident CKD or HF (4.4 vs. 4.1 years) did not differ. However, the median (interquartile range) time until incident HF after CKD diagnosis was 1.7 (0.5-3.6) years and was 1.2 (0.2-3.4) years for incident CKD after HF diagnosis (P < 0.001). The crude incidence of CKD was higher than that of HF: 17.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] 17.3-17.9) vs. 10.6 (95% CI 10.4-10.9)/1000 person-years, respectively, but incident HF was associated with a higher adjusted-mortality than incident CKD. The presence of either condition (vs. CKD/HF-free status) was associated with a three-fold hazard of death, whereas concomitant HF and CKD conferred a six to seven-fold adjusted hazard of mortality. CONCLUSION: Cardiorenal complications are common and are associated with high mortality risk among patients with new-onset T2DM. Close surveillance of these dual complications is crucial to reduce the burden of disease.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors and the Risk of Pneumonia and Septic Shock.

CONTEXT: Individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) have an increased risk of pneumonia and septic shock. Traditional glucose-lowering drugs have recently been found to be associated with a higher risk of infections. It remains unclear whether sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is), which have pleiotropic/anti-inflammatory effects, may reduce the risk of pneumonia and septic shock in DM. METHODS: MEDLINE, Embase, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from inception up to May 19, 2022, for randomized, placebo-controlled trials of SGLT2i that included patients with DM and reported outcomes of interest (pneumonia and/or septic shock). Study selection, data extraction, and quality assessment (using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool) were conducted by independent authors. A fixed-effects model was used to pool the relative risk (RRs) and 95% CI across trials. RESULTS: Out of 4568 citations, 26 trials with a total of 59 264 patients (1.9% developed pneumonia and 0.2% developed septic shock) were included. Compared with placebo, SGLT2is significantly reduced the risk of pneumonia (pooled RR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78-0.98) and septic shock (pooled RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.44-0.95). There was no significant heterogeneity of effect size among trials. Subgroup analyses according to the type of SGLT2i used, baseline comorbidities, glycemic control, duration of DM, and trial follow-up showed consistent results without evidence of significant treatment-by-subgroup heterogeneity (all Pheterogeneity > .10). CONCLUSION: Among DM patients, SGLT2is reduced the risk of pneumonia and septic shock compared with placebo. Our findings should be viewed as hypothesis generating, with concepts requiring validation in future studies.

Epidemiology and Clinical Features of Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection (HFpEF) constitutes a large and growing proportion of patients with HF around the world, and is now responsible for more than half of all HF cases in ageing societies. While classically described as a condition of elderly, hypertensive women, recent studies suggest heterogeneity in clinical phenotypes involving differential characteristics and pathophysiological mechanisms. Despite a paucity of disease-modifying therapy for HFpEF, an understanding of phenotypic similarities and differences among patients with HFpEF around the world provides the foundation to recognise the clinical condition for early treatment, as well as to identify modifiable risk factors for preventive intervention. This review summarises the epidemiology of HFpEF, its common clinical features and risk factors, as well as differences by age, comorbidities, race/ethnicity and geography.