A targeted gene expression biomarker predicts clinic low-risk meningioma recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Despite reassuring clinical and histological features, low grade meningiomas can recur after surgery. Targeted gene expression profiling improves risk stratification of meningiomas, but the utility of this approach for clinical low-risk meningiomas is incompletely understood. METHODS: This was a multicenter retrospective cohort study of meningiomas from patients who were treated at 4 institutions from 1992 to 2023. Adult patients with newly diagnosed or recurrent World Health Organization (WHO) grade 1 meningiomas that were treated with gross total resection (GTR) or subtotal resection (STR), or newly diagnosed WHO grade 2 meningiomas that were treated with GTR, were included. A 34-gene expression biomarker and gene expression risk score (continuous from 0 to 1) was evaluated in all samples. RESULTS: The study cohort was comprised of 723 patients, none of which were used for discovery or training of the gene expression biomarker and 265 of which were previously unreported. There were 626 WHO grade 1 meningiomas, 490 with GTR and 126 with STR, and 97 WHO grade 2 meningiomas with GTR. Targeted gene expression profiling classified 51.3% of clinical low-risk meningiomas as molecular intermediate-risk and 9.5% as molecular high-risk. Combining the gene expression biomarker with extent of resection revealed 19.8% of clinical low-risk meningiomas had unfavorable local freedom from recurrence (LFFR) and overall survival (OS), including 7.1% of newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas with GTR. The risk score was prognostic for LFFR (HR per 0.1 increase in risk score 1.89, 95% CI 1.58-2.25) across all WHO grades, extents of resection, and newly diagnosed or recurrent presentations. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted gene expression profiling can identify clinical low-risk meningiomas that are likely to recur after surgery.

Clinical and methylomic features of spinal meningiomas.

PURPOSE: The objective of our study was to analyze methylomic and clinical features of a cohort of spinal meningiomas (SMs) resected at our institution. METHODS: This is a retrospective study of patients undergoing SM resection at our institution between 2010 and 2023. Clinical and radiographic characteristics were reviewed and analyzed with standard statistical methods. A Partitioning Around Medoids approach was used to cluster SMs with methylation data in a combined cohort from our institution and a publicly available dataset by methylation profiles. Clinical variables and pathway analyses were compared for the resulting clusters. RESULTS: Sixty-five SMs were resected in 53 patients with median radiographic follow-up of 34 months. Forty-six (87%) patients were female. The median age at surgery was 65 years and median tumor diameter was 1.9 cm. The five-year progression-free survival rate was 90%, with subtotal resection being associated with recurrence or progression (p = .017). SMs clustered into hypermethylation, intermediate methylation, and hypomethylation subgroups. Tumors in the hypermethylated subgroup were associated with higher WHO grade (p = .046) and higher risk histological subtypes (p <.001), while tumors in the hypomethylated subgroup were least likely to present with copy-number loss in chromosome 22q (p <.0001). SMs classified as immune-enriched under a previously developed intracranial meningioma classifier did not have increased leukocyte fractions or hypomethylation of genes typically hypomethylated in immune-enriched tumors. CONCLUSION: SMs are more benign than their intracranial counterparts, and gross-total resection results in long term PFS. Methylation profiling identifies subgroups with differences in clinical variables.

RNA splicing as a biomarker and phenotypic driver of meningioma DNA methylation groups.

BACKGROUND: Advances in our understanding of the molecular biology of meningiomas have led to significant gains in the ability to predict patient prognosis and tumor recurrence and to identify novel targets for therapeutic design. Specifically, classification of meningiomas based on DNA methylation has greatly improved our ability to risk stratify patients, however new questions have arisen in terms of the underlying impact these DNA methylation signatures have on meningioma biology. METHODS: This study utilizes RNA-seq data from 486 meningioma samples corresponding to three meningioma DNA methylation groups (Merlin-intact, Immune-enriched, and Hypermitotic), followed by in vitro experiments utilizing human meningioma cell lines. RESULTS: We identify alterations in RNA splicing between meningioma DNA methylation groups including individual splicing events that correlate with Hypermitotic meningiomas and predict tumor recurrence and overall patient prognosis and compile a set of splicing events that can accurately predict DNA methylation classification based on RNA-seq data. Furthermore, we validate these events using RT-PCR in patient samples and meningioma cell lines. Additionally, we identify alterations in RNA binding proteins and splicing factors that lie upstream of RNA splicing events, including upregulation of SRSF1 in Hypermitotic meningiomas which we show drives alternative RNA splicing changes. Finally, we design splice switching antisense oligonucleotides to target RNA splicing changes in NASP and MFF observed in Hypermitotic meningiomas, providing a rationale for RNA-based therapeutic design. CONCLUSIONS: RNA splicing is an important driver of meningioma phenotypes that can be useful in prognosticating patients and as a potential exploit for therapeutic vulnerabilities.

Gene Expression Changes Associated With Recurrence After Gross Total Resection of Newly Diagnosed World Health Organization Grade 1 Meningioma.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Patients who undergo gross total resection (GTR) of Central Nervous System World Health Organization (WHO) grade 1 meningioma constitute a "low-risk" group, but some low-risk meningiomas can recur despite reassuring clinical and histological features. In this study, gene expression values in newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that had undergone GTR were evaluated for their association with recurrence. METHODS: This was a retrospective, international, multicenter cohort study that included WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR, as first treatment, based on postoperative magnetic resonance imaging. Normalized gene expression values from a previously validated 34-gene panel were evaluated for their association with recurrence. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, and K-means clustering were performed to assess the association of genes of interest with recurrence and identify molecular subgroups among clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas. RESULTS: In total, 442 patients with WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR and had available gene expression profiling data were included in the study. The median follow-up was 5.0 years (interquartile range 2.6-7.7 years), local recurrence occurred in 36 patients (8.1%), 5-year local freedom from recurrence was 90.5%, and median time to recurrence was 2.9 years (range 0.5-10.7 years). Eleven genes were associated with local recurrence, including lower expression of ARID1B, ESR1, LINC02593, PGR, and TMEM30B and higher expression of CDK6, CDKN2C, CKS2, KIF20A, PGK1, and TAGLN. Of these genes, PGK1 had the largest effect size. K-means clustering based on these 11 genes distinguished 2 molecular groups of clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas with significant differences in local freedom from recurrence (hazard ratio 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.1, P = .016). CONCLUSION: Gene expression profiling may help to identify newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that have an elevated risk of recurrence despite GTR.

Treatment Terminations During Radiation Therapy: A 10-Year Experience.

PURPOSE: Patients undergoing radiation therapy may terminate treatment for any number of reasons. The incidence of treatment termination (TT) during radiation therapy has not been studied. Herein, we present a cohort of TT at a large multicenter radiation oncology department over 10 years. METHODS AND MATERIALS: TTs between January 2013 and January 2023 were prospectively analyzed as part of an ongoing departmental quality and safety program. TT was defined as any premature discontinuation of therapy after initiating radiation planning. The rate of TT was calculated as a percentage of all patients starting radiation planning. All cases were presented at monthly morbidity and mortality conferences with a root cause reviewed. RESULTS: A total of 1448 TTs were identified out of 31,199 planned courses of care (4.6%). Six hundred eighty-six (47.4%) involved patients treated with curative intent, whereas 753 (52.0%) were treated with palliative intent, and 9 (0.6%) were treated for benign disease. The rate of TT decreased from 8.49% in 2013 to 3.02% in 2022, with rates decreasing yearly. The most common disease sites for TT were central nervous system (21.7%), head and neck (19.3%), thorax (17.5%), and bone (14.2%). The most common causes of TT were hospice and/or patient expiration (35.9%), patient choice unrelated to toxicity (35.2%), and clinician choice unrelated to toxicity (11.5%). CONCLUSIONS: This 10-year prospective review of TTs identified a year-over-year decrease in TTs as a percentage of planned patients. This decrease may be associated with the addition of root cause reviews for TTs and discussions monthly at morbidity and mortality rounds, coupled with departmental upstream quality initiatives implemented over time. Understanding the reasons behind TTs may help decrease preventable TTs. Although some TTs may be unavoidable, open discourse and quality improvement changes effectively reduce TT incidents over time.

Spatial genomic, biochemical and cellular mechanisms underlying meningioma heterogeneity and evolution.

Intratumor heterogeneity underlies cancer evolution and treatment resistance, but targetable mechanisms driving intratumor heterogeneity are poorly understood. Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors and are resistant to all medical therapies, and high-grade meningiomas have significant intratumor heterogeneity. Here we use spatial approaches to identify genomic, biochemical and cellular mechanisms linking intratumor heterogeneity to the molecular, temporal and spatial evolution of high-grade meningiomas. We show that divergent intratumor gene and protein expression programs distinguish high-grade meningiomas that are otherwise grouped together by current classification systems. Analyses of matched pairs of primary and recurrent meningiomas reveal spatial expansion of subclonal copy number variants associated with treatment resistance. Multiplexed sequential immunofluorescence and deconvolution of meningioma spatial transcriptomes using cell types from single-cell RNA sequencing show decreased immune infiltration, decreased MAPK signaling, increased PI3K-AKT signaling and increased cell proliferation, which are associated with meningioma recurrence. To translate these findings to preclinical models, we use CRISPR interference and lineage tracing approaches to identify combination therapies that target intratumor heterogeneity in meningioma cell co-cultures.

Perivascular NOTCH3+ Stem Cells Drive Meningioma Tumorigenesis and Resistance to Radiotherapy.

Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors. Treatments for patients with meningiomas are limited to surgery and radiotherapy, and systemic therapies remain ineffective or experimental. Resistance to radiotherapy is common in high-grade meningiomas and the cell types and signaling mechanisms that drive meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy are incompletely understood. Here, we report that NOTCH3 drives meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy and find that perivascular NOTCH3+ stem cells are conserved across meningiomas from humans, dogs, and mice. Integrating single-cell transcriptomics with lineage tracing and imaging approaches in genetically engineered mouse models and xenografts, we show NOTCH3 drives tumor-initiating capacity, cell proliferation, angiogenesis, and resistance to radiotherapy to increase meningioma growth and reduce survival. To translate these findings to patients, we show that an antibody stabilizing the extracellular negative regulatory region of NOTCH3 blocks meningioma tumorigenesis and sensitizes meningiomas to radiotherapy, reducing tumor growth and improving survival. Significance: There are no effective systemic therapies to treat meningiomas, and meningioma stem cells are poorly understood. Here, we report perivascular NOTCH3+ stem cells to drive meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy. Our results identify a conserved mechanism and a therapeutic vulnerability to treat meningiomas that are resistant to standard interventions.

Meningioma transcriptomic landscape demonstrates novel subtypes with regional associated biology and patient outcome.

Meningiomas, although mostly benign, can be recurrent and fatal. World Health Organization (WHO) grading of the tumor does not always identify high-risk meningioma, and better characterizations of their aggressive biology are needed. To approach this problem, we combined 13 bulk RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) datasets to create a dimension-reduced reference landscape of 1,298 meningiomas. The clinical and genomic metadata effectively correlated with landscape regions, which led to the identification of meningioma subtypes with specific biological signatures. The time to recurrence also correlated with the map location. Further, we developed an algorithm that maps new patients onto this landscape, where the nearest neighbors predict outcome. This study highlights the utility of combining bulk transcriptomic datasets to visualize the complexity of tumor populations. Further, we provide an interactive tool for understanding the disease and predicting patient outcomes. This resource is accessible via the online tool Oncoscape, where the scientific community can explore the meningioma landscape.

Epigenetic reprogramming shapes the cellular landscape of schwannoma.

Mechanisms specifying cancer cell states and response to therapy are incompletely understood. Here we show epigenetic reprogramming shapes the cellular landscape of schwannomas, the most common tumors of the peripheral nervous system. We find schwannomas are comprised of 2 molecular groups that are distinguished by activation of neural crest or nerve injury pathways that specify tumor cell states and the architecture of the tumor immune microenvironment. Moreover, we find radiotherapy is sufficient for interconversion of neural crest schwannomas to immune-enriched schwannomas through epigenetic and metabolic reprogramming. To define mechanisms underlying schwannoma groups, we develop a technique for simultaneous interrogation of chromatin accessibility and gene expression coupled with genetic and therapeutic perturbations in single-nuclei. Our results elucidate a framework for understanding epigenetic drivers of tumor evolution and establish a paradigm of epigenetic and metabolic reprograming of cancer cells that shapes the immune microenvironment in response to radiotherapy.

Functional interactions between neurofibromatosis tumor suppressors underlie Schwann cell tumor de-differentiation and treatment resistance.

Schwann cell tumors are the most common cancers of the peripheral nervous system and can arise in patients with neurofibromatosis type-1 (NF-1) or neurofibromatosis type-2 (NF-2). Functional interactions between NF1 and NF2 and broader mechanisms underlying malignant transformation of the Schwann lineage are unclear. Here we integrate bulk and single-cell genomics, biochemistry, and pharmacology across human samples, cell lines, and mouse allografts to identify cellular de-differentiation mechanisms driving malignant transformation and treatment resistance. We find DNA methylation groups of Schwann cell tumors can be distinguished by differentiation programs that correlate with response to the MEK inhibitor selumetinib. Functional genomic screening in NF1-mutant tumor cells reveals NF2 loss and PAK activation underlie selumetinib resistance, and we find that concurrent MEK and PAK inhibition is effective in vivo. These data support a de-differentiation paradigm underlying malignant transformation and treatment resistance of Schwann cell tumors and elucidate a functional link between NF1 and NF2.

A Prospective Registry Study of 68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT Incorporation Into Treatment Planning of Intracranial Meningiomas.

PURPOSE: The current standard for meningioma treatment planning involves magnetic resonance imaging-based guidance. Somatostatin receptor ligands such as 68Ga-DOTATATE are being explored for meningioma treatment planning due to near-universal expression of somatostatin receptors 1 and 2 in meningioma tissue. We hypothesized that 68Ga-DOTATATE positron emission tomography (PET)-guided treatment management for patients with meningiomas is safe and effective and can identify which patients benefit most from adjuvant radiation therapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A single-institution prospective registry study was created for inclusion of patients with intracranial meningiomas who received a 68Ga-DOTATATE PET/CT to assist with radiation oncologist decision making. Patients who received a PET scan from January 1, 2018, to February 25, 2022, were eligible for inclusion. RESULTS: Of the 60 patients included, 40%, 47%, and 5% had World Health Organization grades 1, 2, and 3 meningiomas, respectively, and 8% (5 patients) had no grade assigned. According to Radiation Therapy Oncology Group 0539 criteria, 22%, 72%, and 7% were categorized as high, intermediate, and low risk, respectively. After completing their PET scans, 48 patients, 11 patients, and 1 patient proceeded with radiation therapy, observation, and redo craniotomy, respectively. The median follow-up for the entire cohort was 19.5 months. Of the 3 patients (5%) who experienced local failure between 9.2 and 28.5 months after diagnosis, 2 had PET-avid disease in their postoperative cavity and elected for observation before recurrence, and 1 high-risk patient with multifocal disease experienced local failure 2 years after a second radiation course and multiple previous recurrences. Notably, 5 patients did not have any local PET uptake and were observed; none of these patients experienced recurrence. Only 1 grade 3 toxicity was attributed to PET-guided radiation. CONCLUSIONS: This study examined one of the largest known populations of patients with intracranial meningiomas followed by physicians who used 68Ga-DOTATATE PET-guided therapy. Incorporating 68Ga-DOTATATE PET into future trials may assist with clinician decision making and improve patient outcomes.

Targeted gene expression profiling predicts meningioma outcomes and radiotherapy responses.

Surgery is the mainstay of treatment for meningioma, the most common primary intracranial tumor, but improvements in meningioma risk stratification are needed and indications for postoperative radiotherapy are controversial. Here we develop a targeted gene expression biomarker that predicts meningioma outcomes and radiotherapy responses. Using a discovery cohort of 173 meningiomas, we developed a 34-gene expression risk score and performed clinical and analytical validation of this biomarker on independent meningiomas from 12 institutions across 3 continents (N = 1,856), including 103 meningiomas from a prospective clinical trial. The gene expression biomarker improved discrimination of outcomes compared with all other systems tested (N = 9) in the clinical validation cohort for local recurrence (5-year area under the curve (AUC) 0.81) and overall survival (5-year AUC 0.80). The increase in AUC compared with the standard of care, World Health Organization 2021 grade, was 0.11 for local recurrence (95% confidence interval 0.07 to 0.17, P < 0.001). The gene expression biomarker identified meningiomas benefiting from postoperative radiotherapy (hazard ratio 0.54, 95% confidence interval 0.37 to 0.78, P = 0.0001) and suggested postoperative management could be refined for 29.8% of patients. In sum, our results identify a targeted gene expression biomarker that improves discrimination of meningioma outcomes, including prediction of postoperative radiotherapy responses.

Radiotherapy and radiosurgery for meningiomas.

Meningiomas comprise a histologically and clinically diverse set of tumors arising from the meningothelial lining of the central nervous system. In the past decade, remarkable progress has been made in deciphering the biology of these common neoplasms. Nevertheless, effective systemic or molecular therapies for meningiomas remain elusive and are active areas of preclinical and clinical investigation. Thus, standard treatment modalities for meningiomas are limited to maximal safe resection, radiotherapy, or radiosurgery. This review examines the history, clinical rationale, and future directions of radiotherapy and radiosurgery as integral and effective treatments for meningiomas.

Molecular Features of Resected Melanoma Brain Metastases, Clinical Outcomes, and Responses to Immunotherapy.

Importance: Central nervous system (CNS)-penetrant systemic therapies have significantly advanced care for patients with melanoma brain metastases. However, improved understanding of the molecular landscape and microenvironment of these lesions is needed to both optimize patient selection and advance treatment approaches. Objective: To evaluate how bulk and single-cell genomic features of melanoma brain metastases are associated with clinical outcome and treatment response. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed bulk DNA sequencing and single nuclear RNA-sequencing data from resected melanoma brain metastases and included 94 consecutive patients with a histopathologically confirmed diagnosis of melanoma brain metastasis who underwent surgical resection at a single National Comprehensive Cancer Network cancer center in San Francisco, California, from January 1, 2009, to December 31, 2022. Exposure: A Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments-certified targeted sequencing assay was used to analyze tumor resection specimens, with a focus on BRAF V600E alteration. For frozen pathologic specimens from CNS treatment-naive patients undergoing surgical resection, commercial single nuclear RNA sequencing approaches were used. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Secondary outcomes included CNS progression-free survival (PFS), microenvironmental composition with decreased T-cell and macrophage populations, and responses to immunotherapy. Results: To correlate molecular status with clinical outcome, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis of 94 consecutive patients (median age, 64 years [range, 24-82 years]; 70 men [74%]) with targeted BRAF alteration testing showed worse median intracranial PFS (BRAF variant: 3.6 months [IQR, 0.1-30.6 months]; BRAF wildtype: 11.0 months [IQR, 0.8-81.5 months]; P < .001) and OS (BRAF variant: 9.8 months [IQR, 2.5-69.4 months]; BRAF wildtype: 23.2 months [IQR, 1.1-102.5 months]; P = .005; log-rank test) in BRAF V600E variant tumors. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that BRAF V600E status was an independent variable significantly associated with both PFS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.65; 95% CI, 1.54-4.57; P < .001) and OS (HR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.08-3.55; P = .03). For the 45 patients with resected melanoma brain metastases undergoing targeted DNA sequencing, molecular classification recapitulated The Cancer Genome Atlas groups (NRAS variant, BRAF variant, NF1 variant, and triple wildtype) with no subtype enrichment within the brain metastasis cohort. On a molecular level, BRAF V600E variant lesions were found to have a significantly decreased tumor mutation burden. Moreover, single nuclear RNA sequencing of treatment-naive BRAF V600E variant (n = 3) brain metastases compared with BRAF wildtype (n = 3) brain metastases revealed increased immune cell populations in BRAF wildtype tumors (mean [SD], 11% [4.1%] vs 3% [1.6%] CD45-positive cells; P = .04). Survival analysis of postoperative immunotherapy responses by BRAF status revealed that BRAF wildtype lesions were associated with a response to checkpoint inhibition (median OS: with immunotherapy, undefined; without immunotherapy, 13.0 months [range, 1.1-61.7 months]; P = .001; log-rank test) while BRAF variant lesions (median OS: with immunotherapy, 9.8 months [range, 2.9-39.8 months]; without immunotherapy, 9.5 months [range, 2.5-67.2 months]; P = .81; log-rank test) were not. Conclusions and Relevance: This molecular analysis of patients with resected melanoma brain metastases found that BRAF V600E alteration is an important translational biomarker associated with worse clinical outcomes, differential microenvironmental composition, and benefit from immunotherapy. Patients with BRAF V600E variant melanoma brain metastases may thus benefit from alternative CNS-penetrant systemic regimens.

NOTCH3 drives meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy.

Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumors1-3. Treatments for patients with meningiomas are limited to surgery and radiotherapy, and systemic therapies remain ineffective or experimental4,5. Resistance to radiotherapy is common in high-grade meningiomas6, and the cell types and signaling mechanisms driving meningioma tumorigenesis or resistance to radiotherapy are incompletely understood. Here we report NOTCH3 drives meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy and find NOTCH3+ meningioma mural cells are conserved across meningiomas from humans, dogs, and mice. NOTCH3+ cells are restricted to the perivascular niche during meningeal development and homeostasis and in low-grade meningiomas but are expressed throughout high-grade meningiomas that are resistant to radiotherapy. Integrating single-cell transcriptomics with lineage tracing and imaging approaches across mouse genetic and xenograft models, we show NOTCH3 drives tumor initiating capacity, cell proliferation, angiogenesis, and resistance to radiotherapy to increase meningioma growth and reduce survival. An antibody stabilizing the extracellular negative regulatory region of NOTCH37,8 blocks meningioma tumorigenesis and sensitizes meningiomas to radiotherapy, reducing tumor growth and improving survival in preclinical models. In summary, our results identify a conserved cell type and signaling mechanism that underlie meningioma tumorigenesis and resistance to radiotherapy, revealing a new therapeutic vulnerability to treat meningiomas that are resistant to standard interventions.

Hypermitotic meningiomas harbor DNA methylation subgroups with distinct biological and clinical features.

BACKGROUND: Meningiomas, the most common primary intracranial tumors, can be separated into 3 DNA methylation groups with distinct biological drivers, clinical outcomes, and therapeutic vulnerabilities. Alternative meningioma grouping schemes using copy number variants, gene expression profiles, somatic short variants, or integrated molecular models have been proposed. These data suggest meningioma DNA methylation groups may harbor subgroups unifying contrasting theories of meningioma biology. METHODS: A total of 565 meningioma DNA methylation profiles from patients with comprehensive clinical follow-up at independent discovery (n = 200) or validation (n = 365) institutions were reanalyzed and classified into Merlin-intact, Immune-enriched, or Hypermitotic DNA methylation groups. RNA sequencing from the discovery (n = 200) or validation (n = 302) cohort were analyzed in the context of DNA methylation groups to identify subgroups. Biological features and clinical outcomes were analyzed across meningioma grouping schemes. RESULTS: RNA sequencing revealed differential enrichment of FOXM1 target genes across two subgroups of Hypermitotic meningiomas. Differential expression and ontology analyses showed the subgroup of Hypermitotic meningiomas without FOXM1 target gene enrichment was distinguished by gene expression programs driving macromolecular metabolism. Analysis of genetic, epigenetic, gene expression, or cellular features revealed Hypermitotic meningioma subgroups were concordant with Proliferative or Hypermetabolic meningiomas, which were previously reported alongside Merlin-intact and Immune-enriched tumors using an integrated molecular model. The addition of DNA methylation subgroups to clinical models refined the prediction of postoperative outcomes compared to the addition of DNA methylation groups. CONCLUSIONS: Meningiomas can be separated into three DNA methylation groups and Hypermitotic meningiomas can be subdivided into Proliferative and Hypermetabolic subgroups, each with distinct biological and clinical features.

Supervised machine learning algorithms demonstrate proliferation index correlates with long-term recurrence after complete resection of WHO grade I meningioma.

OBJECTIVE: Meningiomas are the most common primary intracranial tumor, and resection is a mainstay of treatment. It is unclear what duration of imaging follow-up is reasonable for WHO grade I meningiomas undergoing complete resection. This study examined recurrence rates, timing of recurrence, and risk factors for recurrence in patients undergoing a complete resection (as defined by both postoperative MRI and intraoperative impression) of WHO grade I meningiomas. METHODS: The authors conducted a retrospective, single-center study examining recurrence risk for adult patients with a single intracranial meningioma that underwent complete resection. Uni- and multivariate nominal logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to identify variables associated with recurrence and time to recurrence. Two supervised machine learning algorithms were then implemented to confirm factors within the cohort that were associated with recurrence. RESULTS: The cohort consisted of 823 patients who met inclusion criteria, and 56 patients (6.8%) had recurrence on imaging follow-up. The median age of the cohort was 56 years, and 77.4% of patients were female. The median duration of head imaging follow-up for the entire cohort was 2.7 years, but for the subgroup of patients who had a recurrence, the median follow-up was 10.1 years. Estimated 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year recurrence-free survival rates were 99.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 98.8%-99.9%), 91.0% (95% CI 87.7%-93.6%), 83.6% (95% CI 78.6%-87.6%), and 77.3% (95% CI 69.7%-83.4%), respectively, for the entire cohort. On multivariate analysis, MIB-1 index (odds ratio [OR] per 1% increase: 1.34, 95% CI 1.13-1.58, p = 0.0003) and follow-up duration (OR per year: 1.12, 95% CI 1.03-1.21, p = 0.012) were both associated with recurrence. Gradient-boosted decision tree and random forest analyses both identified MIB-1 index as the main factor associated with recurrence, aside from length of imaging follow-up. For tumors with an MIB-1 index < 8, recurrences were documented up to 8 years after surgery. For tumors with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8, recurrences were documented up to 12 years following surgery. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term imaging follow-up is important even after a complete resection of a meningioma. Higher MIB-1 labeling index is associated with greater risk of recurrence. Imaging screening for at least 8 years in patients with an MIB-1 index < 8 and at least 12 years for those with an MIB-1 index ≥ 8 may be needed to detect long-term recurrences.