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1.
Biology (Basel) ; 13(9)2024 Aug 30.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39336104

ABSTRACT

Consumption of whole-grain wheat has been associated with positive health outcomes, but it remains unclear whether different types of wheat elicit varying effects on the gut microbiome and intestinal inflammation. The objectives of this research were to investigate the effect of two whole-grain wheat flours versus refined wheat flour on the diversity of the human gut microbiota, as well as on butyrate production capacity and gastrointestinal inflammation, using one-week dietary interventions. For this study, 28 participants were recruited, with ages ranging from 18 to 55 years and a mean BMI of 26.0 kg/m2. For four weeks, participants were provided 80 g daily servings of different wheat crackers: Week A was a run-in period of crackers made from soft white wheat flour, Week B crackers were whole-grain soft white wheat flour, Week C crackers were a wash-out period identical to Week A, and Week D crackers were whole-grain soft red wheat flour. At the end of each week, participants provided fecal samples that were analyzed for markers of intestinal inflammation, including lipocalin and calprotectin, using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays and quantitative real-time PCR. The primary outcome, gut bacterial community alpha and beta diversity, was similar across timepoints. Three taxa significantly differed in abundance following both whole-grain wheat flour interventions: Escherichia/Shigella and Acidaminococcus were significantly depleted, and Lachnospiraceae NK4A136 group was enriched. Secondary outcomes determined that protein markers of intestinal inflammation and genes related to putative butyrate production capacity were similar throughout the study period, with no significant changes. Lipocalin concentrations ranged from 14.8 to 22.6 ng/mL while calprotectin ranged from 33.2 to 62.5 ng/mL across all 4 weeks. The addition of wheat crackers to the adult human subjects' usual diet had a minimal impact on their gastrointestinal inflammation or the gut microbiota.

2.
Compr Rev Food Sci Food Saf ; 23(5): e70017, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39289806

ABSTRACT

Petrochemical solvents are widely used for the extraction and fractionation of biomolecules from edible oils and fats at an industrial scale. However, owing to its safety concerns, toxicity, price fluctuations, and sustainability, alternative solvents and technologies have been actively explored in recent years. Technologies, such as ultrasound and microwave-assisted extraction, supercritical carbon dioxide extraction, supercritical fluid fractionation, and sub-critical water extraction, and solvents, like ionic liquids and deep eutectic solvents, are reported for extraction and fractionation of biomolecules. Among them, supercritical carbon dioxide extraction and fractionation are some of the most promising green technologies with the potential to replace petrochemical-based conventional techniques. The addition of cosolvents, such as water, ethanol, and acetone, improves the extraction of amphiphilic and polar compounds from edible oils and fats. Supercritical fluid processing has diverse applications, including concentration of solutes, selective separation of desired molecules, and separation of undesirable compounds from the feed material. Temperature, pressure, particle size, porosity, flow rate, solvent-to-feed ratio, density, viscosity, diffusivity, solubility, partition coefficient, and separation factor are the fundamental factors governing the extraction and fractionation of desired biomolecules from lipids. Supercritical fluids stand alone compared to conventional fluids, because of their tunable solvent properties. Overall, it is to be noted that supercritical fluid-based methods have lots of scope to replace conventional solvent-based methods and progress toward the creation of sustainable food-processing techniques. This review critically evaluates the parameters responsible for the extraction and fractionation of biomolecules from edible oils and fats under supercritical conditions.


Subject(s)
Chromatography, Supercritical Fluid , Plant Oils , Chromatography, Supercritical Fluid/methods , Plant Oils/chemistry , Solvents/chemistry , Fats/chemistry
3.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 43(7): 910-921, 2024 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38865652

ABSTRACT

Health care spending growth is expected to outpace that of the gross domestic product (GDP) during the coming decade, resulting in a health share of GDP that reaches 19.7 percent by 2032 (up from 17.3 percent in 2022). National health expenditures are projected to have grown 7.5 percent in 2023, when the COVID-19 public health emergency ended. This reflects broad increases in the use of health care, which is associated with an estimated 93.1 percent of the population being insured that year. In 2024, Medicaid enrollment is projected to decline significantly as states continue their eligibility redeterminations. Simultaneously, private health insurance enrollment is projected to increase because of the extension of enhanced subsidies for direct-purchase health insurance under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022, as well as a temporary special enrollment period for qualified people losing Medicaid coverage (after eligibility redeterminations). Over the course of 2024-26, the IRA expands Medicare's drug benefit generosity and implements drug price negotiations for beneficiaries; concurrently, the extended enhanced subsidies for direct-purchase health insurance expire in 2026. During 2027-32, personal health care price inflation and growth in the use of health care services and goods contribute to projected health spending that grows at a faster rate than the rest of the economy.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Health Expenditures , Medicaid , Medicare , Humans , Health Expenditures/trends , United States , Medicaid/economics , Medicare/economics , Pandemics , Insurance, Health/economics , SARS-CoV-2 , Health Policy , Forecasting
4.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 42(7): 886-898, 2023 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37315269

ABSTRACT

National health expenditures are projected to grow 5.4 percent, on average, over the course of 2022-31 and to account for roughly 20 percent of the economy by the end of that period. The insured share of the population is anticipated to exceed 92 percent through 2023, in part as a result of record-high Medicaid enrollment, and then decline toward 90 percent as coverage requirements related to the COVID-19 public health emergency expire. The prescription drug provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 are anticipated to lower out-of-pocket spending for Medicare Part D enrollees beginning in 2024 and to result in savings to Medicare beginning in 2031.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Medicare Part D , Aged , Humans , United States , Health Expenditures , Public Health , Insurance Coverage , Medicaid
5.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 41(4): 474-486, 2022 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35344446

ABSTRACT

Although considerable uncertainty remains, the COVID-19 pandemic and public health emergency are expected to continue to influence the near-term outlook for national health spending and enrollment. National health spending growth is expected to have decelerated from 9.7 percent in 2020 to 4.2 percent in 2021 as federal supplemental funding was expected to decline substantially relative to 2020. Through 2024 health care use is expected to normalize after the declines observed in 2020, health insurance enrollments are assumed to evolve toward their prepandemic distributions, and the remaining federal supplemental funding is expected to wane. Economic growth is expected to outpace health spending growth for much of this period, leading the projected health share of gross domestic product (GDP) to decline from 19.7 percent in 2020 to just over 18 percent over the course of 2022-24. For 2025-30, factors that typically drive changes in health spending and enrollment, such as economic, demographic, and health-specific factors, are again expected to primarily influence trends in the health sector. By 2030 the health spending share of GDP is projected to reach 19.6 percent.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Health Expenditures , Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product , Humans , Insurance, Health , Pandemics , United States/epidemiology
6.
Children (Basel) ; 9(1)2022 Jan 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35053739

ABSTRACT

The feasibility of gastrointestinal (GI) microbiome work in a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) to determine the GI microbiota composition of infants as compared to control infants from the same hospital was investigated. In a single-site observational study at an urban quaternary care children's hospital in Western Michigan, subjects less than 6 months of age, admitted to the PICU with severe respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) bronchiolitis, were compared to similarly aged control subjects undergoing procedural sedation in the outpatient department. GI microbiome samples were collected at admission (n = 20) and 72 h (n = 19) or at time of sedation (n = 10). GI bacteria were analyzed by sequencing the V4 region of the 16S rRNA gene. Alpha and beta diversity were calculated. Mechanical ventilation was required for the majority (n = 14) of study patients, and antibiotics were given at baseline (n = 8) and 72 h (n = 9). Control subjects' bacterial communities contained more Porphyromonas, and Prevotella (p = 0.004) than those of PICU infants. The ratio of Prevotella to Bacteroides was greater in the control than the RSV infants (mean ± SD-1.27 ± 0.85 vs. 0.61 ± 0.75: p = 0.03). Bacterial communities of PICU infants were less diverse than those of controls with a loss of potentially protective populations.

7.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 10(10): e29046, 2021 Oct 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34612840

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Daily fiber intake can increase the diversity of the human gut microbiota as well as the abundance of beneficial microbes and their metabolites. Whole-grain wheat is high in fiber. OBJECTIVE: This manuscript presents a study protocol designed to understand the effects of different types of wheat on gastrointestinal tract microbes. METHODS: Human adults will consume crackers made from three types of wheat flour (refined soft white wheat, whole-grain soft white wheat, and whole-grain soft red wheat). In this study, participants will alternate between crackers made from refined soft white wheat flour to those made from whole-grain soft white wheat and whole-grain soft red wheat flour. Survey and stool sample collection will occur after 7-day treatment periods. We will assess how wheat consumption affects gastrointestinal bacteria by sequencing the V4 region of 16S rRNA gene amplicons and the inflammatory state of participants' intestines using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. The butyrate production capacity of the gut microbiota will be determined by targeted quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. RESULTS: We will report the treatment effects on alpha and beta diversity of the microbiota and taxa-specific differences. Microbiota results will be analyzed using the vegan package in R. Butyrate production capacity and biomarkers of intestinal inflammation will be analyzed using parametric statistical methods such as analysis of variance or linear regression. We expect whole wheat intake to increase butyrate production capacity, bacterial alpha diversity, and abundance of bacterial taxa responsive to phenolic compounds. Soft red wheat is also expected to decrease the concentration of inflammatory biomarkers in the stool of participants. CONCLUSIONS: This protocol describes the methods to be used in a study on the impact of wheat types on the human gastrointestinal microbiota and biomarkers of intestinal inflammation. The analysis of intestinal responses to the consumption of two types of whole wheat will expand our understanding of how specific foods affect health-associated outcomes. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/29046.

8.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 39(4): 704-714, 2020 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32207998

ABSTRACT

National health expenditures are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.4 percent for 2019-28 and to represent 19.7 percent of gross domestic product by the end of the period. Price growth for medical goods and services is projected to accelerate, averaging 2.4 percent per year for 2019-28, which partly reflects faster expected growth in health-sector wages. Among all major payers, Medicare is expected to experience the fastest spending growth (7.6 percent per year), largely as a result of having the highest projected enrollment growth. The insured share of the population is expected to fall from 90.6 percent in 2018 to 89.4 percent by 2028.


Subject(s)
Health Expenditures , Medicare , Aged , Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product , Humans , Insurance, Health , United States
9.
Front Neurosci ; 13: 294, 2019.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31068769

ABSTRACT

Stroke is one of the leading causes of death and long-term disability worldwide. However, effective therapeutic approaches are still limited. The disruption of blood supply triggers complicated temporal and spatial events involving hemodynamic, biochemical, and neurophysiologic changes, eventually leading to pathological disturbance and diverse clinical symptoms. Ginseng (Panax ginseng), a popular herb distributed in East Asia, has been extensively used as medicinal and nutritional supplements for a variety of disorders worldwide. In recent years, ginseng has displayed attractive beneficial effects in distinct neurological disorders including stroke, involving multiple protective mechanisms. In this article, we reviewed the literature on ginseng studies in the experimental stroke field, particularly focusing on the in vivo evidence on the preventive or therapeutic efficacy and mechanisms of ginseng and ginsenosides in various stroke models of mice and rats. We also summarized the efficacy and underlying mechanisms of ginseng and ginsenosides on short- and long-term stroke outcomes.

10.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 38(3): 491-501, 2019 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30785832

ABSTRACT

National health expenditures are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.5 percent for 2018-27 and represent 19.4 percent of gross domestic product in 2027. Following a ten-year period largely influenced by the Great Recession and major health reform, national health spending growth during 2018-27 is expected to be driven primarily by long-observed demographic and economic factors fundamental to the health sector. Prices for health care goods and services are projected to grow 2.5 percent per year, on average, for 2018-27-faster than the average price growth experienced over the last decade-and to account for nearly half of projected personal health care spending growth. Among the major payers, average annual spending growth in Medicare (7.4 percent) is expected to exceed that in Medicaid (5.5 percent) and private health insurance (4.8 percent) over the projection period, mostly as a result of comparatively higher projected enrollment growth. The insured share of the population is expected to remain stable at around 90 percent throughout the period, as net gains in health coverage from all sources are projected to keep pace with population growth.


Subject(s)
Demography/statistics & numerical data , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Demography/trends , Forecasting , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Health Care Costs/trends , Health Expenditures/trends , Humans , Medicaid/statistics & numerical data , Medicaid/trends , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Medicare/trends , Population Growth , United States
11.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 37(3): 482-492, 2018 03.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29443634

ABSTRACT

Under current law, national health spending is projected to grow 5.5 percent annually on average in 2017-26 and to represent 19.7 percent of the economy in 2026. Projected national health spending and enrollment growth over the next decade is largely driven by fundamental economic and demographic factors: changes in projected income growth, increases in prices for medical goods and services, and enrollment shifts from private health insurance to Medicare that are related to the aging of the population. The recent enactment of tax legislation that eliminated the individual mandate is expected to result in only a small reduction to insurance coverage trends.


Subject(s)
Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product/statistics & numerical data , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Insurance Coverage/trends , Medicare/economics , Uncertainty , Commerce , Economic Development/trends , Gross Domestic Product/trends , Health Expenditures/trends , Humans , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act , United States
12.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 36(7): 1318-1327, 2017 07 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28615193

ABSTRACT

As the US health sector evolves and changes, it is informative to estimate and analyze health spending trends at the state level. These estimates, which provide information about consumption of health care by residents of a state, serve as a baseline for state and national-level policy discussions. This study examines per capita health spending by state of residence and per enrollee spending for the three largest payers (Medicare, Medicaid, and private health insurance) through 2014. Moreover, it discusses in detail the impacts of the Affordable Care Act implementation and the most recent economic recession and recovery on health spending at the state level. According to this analysis, these factors affected overall annual growth in state health spending and the payers and programs that paid for that care. They did not, however, substantially change state rankings based on per capita spending levels over the period.


Subject(s)
Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Medicaid/statistics & numerical data , Medicare/statistics & numerical data , Delivery of Health Care/economics , Economic Recession/statistics & numerical data , Health Expenditures/trends , Humans , Medicaid/economics , Medicare/economics , United States
13.
Value Health ; 20(6): 736-744, 2017 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28577690

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to explore the trade-offs society and payers make when expanding treatment access to patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in early stages of disease as well as to vulnerable, high-risk populations, such as people who inject drugs (PWID) and HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM-HIV). METHODS: A discrete time Markov model simulated HCV progression and treatment over 20 years. Population cohorts were defined by behaviors that influence the risk of HCV exposure: PWID, MSM-HIV, an overlap cohort of individuals who are both PWID and MSM-HIV, and all other adults. Six different treatment scenarios were modeled, with varying degrees of access to treatment at different fibrosis stages and to different risk cohorts. Benefits were measured as quality-adjusted life-years and a $150,000/quality-adjusted life-year valuation was used to assess social benefits. RESULTS: Compared with limiting treatment to METAVIR fibrosis stages F3 or F4 and excluding PWID, expanding treatment to patients in all fibrosis stages and including PWID reduces cumulative new infections by 55% over a 20-year horizon and reduces the prevalence of HCV by 93%. We find that treating all HCV-infected individuals is cost saving and net social benefits are over $500 billion greater compared with limiting treatment. Including PWID in treatment access saves 12,900 to 41,200 lives. CONCLUSIONS: Increased access to treatment brings substantial value to society and over the long-term reduces costs for payers, as the benefits accrued from long-term reduction in prevalent and incident cases, mortality, and medical costs outweigh the cost of treatment.


Subject(s)
Comprehensive Health Care/economics , Health Care Costs/statistics & numerical data , Health Services Accessibility/economics , Hepatitis C, Chronic/therapy , Liver Cirrhosis/therapy , Adult , Cost Savings , Disease Progression , Drug Users , HIV Infections/complications , Hepatitis C, Chronic/economics , Hepatitis C, Chronic/pathology , Homosexuality, Male , Humans , Liver Cirrhosis/economics , Liver Cirrhosis/virology , Male , Markov Chains , Prevalence , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Risk Factors , Substance Abuse, Intravenous/epidemiology , Time Factors
14.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 36(3): 553-563, 2017 03 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28202501

ABSTRACT

Under current law, national health expenditures are projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.6 percent for 2016-25 and represent 19.9 percent of gross domestic product by 2025. For 2016, national health expenditure growth is anticipated to have slowed 1.1 percentage points to 4.8 percent, as a result of slower Medicaid and prescription drug spending growth. For the rest of the projection period, faster projected growth in medical prices is partly offset by slower projected growth in the use and intensity of medical goods and services, relative to that observed in 2014-16 associated with the Affordable Care Act coverage expansions. The insured share of the population is projected to increase from 90.9 percent in 2015 to 91.5 percent by 2025.


Subject(s)
Aging , Commerce/economics , Health Expenditures/statistics & numerical data , Health Expenditures/trends , Insurance Coverage/trends , Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product/trends , Humans , Insurance, Health/economics , Insurance, Health/trends , Medicaid , Medicare , Prescription Drugs , United States
15.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 35(8): 1522-31, 2016 08 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27411572

ABSTRACT

Health spending growth in the United States for 2015-25 is projected to average 5.8 percent-1.3 percentage points faster than growth in the gross domestic product-and to represent 20.1 percent of the total economy by 2025. As the initial impacts associated with the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions fade, growth in health spending is expected to be influenced by changes in economic growth, faster growth in medical prices, and population aging. Projected national health spending growth, though faster than observed in the recent history, is slower than in the two decades before the recent Great Recession, in part because of trends such as increasing cost sharing in private health insurance plans and various Medicare payment update provisions. In addition, the share of total health expenditures paid for by federal, state, and local governments is projected to increase to 47 percent by 2025.


Subject(s)
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, U.S./trends , Health Expenditures/trends , Insurance Coverage/trends , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/organization & administration , Aging , Economic Development/trends , Economic Recession/trends , Female , Forecasting , Humans , Male , Risk Assessment , United States
16.
Am J Manag Care ; 22(6 Spec No.): SP227-35, 2016 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27266953

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the value of expanding screening and treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in the United States. STUDY DESIGN: Discrete-time Markov model. METHODS: We modeled HCV progression and transmission to analyze the costs and benefits of investment in screening and treatment over a 20-year time horizon. Population-level parameters were estimated using National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data and published literature. We considered 3 screening scenarios that vary in terms of clinical guidelines and physician awareness of guidelines. For each screening scenario, we modeled 3 approaches to treatment, varying the fibrosis stage of treatment initiation. Net social value was the key model outcome, calculated as the value of benefits from improved quality-adjusted survival and reduced transmission minus screening, treatment, and medical costs. RESULTS: Expanded screening policies generated the largest value to society. However, this value is constrained by the availability of treatment to diagnosed patients. Screening all individuals in the population generates $0.68 billion in social value if diagnosed patients are treated in fibrosis stages F3-F4 compared with $824 billion if all diagnosed patients in stages F0-F4 are treated. Moreover, increased screening generates cumulative net social value by year 8 to 9 under expanded treatment policies compared with 20 years if only patients in stages F3-F4 are treated. CONCLUSIONS: Although increasing screening for HCV may generate some value to society, only when paired with expanded access to treatment at earlier disease stages will it produce considerable value. Such a "test and treat" strategy is likely to entail higher short-term costs but also yield the greatest social benefits.


Subject(s)
Antiviral Agents/economics , Hepatitis C, Chronic/economics , Mass Screening/economics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Disease Progression , Drug Costs , Early Diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/transmission , Humans , Markov Chains , Models, Economic , Nutrition Surveys/statistics & numerical data , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Social Values , United States
17.
Am J Manag Care ; 22(6 Spec No.): SP236-44, 2016 May.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27266954

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment incentives for private payers may be misaligned because payers must bear immediate costs and may not realize long-term benefits. However, these benefits may accrue to future payers, including Medicare. We examined how and to what extent private payers' current HCV treatment coverage decisions impact Medicare's and private payers' future costs. STUDY DESIGN: Discrete-time Markov model. METHODS: We modeled HCV disease progression and transmission to simulate the economic and social effects of different private-payer HCV treatment scenarios on Medicare. The model examined differences between a baseline scenario (current practice guidelines) and 2 alternative scenarios that expand treatment coverage. Spillover effects were measured as reduced HCV treatment costs and medical expenditures in Medicare. We calculated the spillover effects and net social value of each scenario (total value of quality-adjusted life-years accrued over time minus cumulative treatment and medical costs). RESULTS: With expanded HCV treatment coverage, private payers experience reduced medical expenditures in the 3-to-5-year time horizon; however, they still face higher treatment costs. Over a 20-year horizon, private payers experience overall savings of $10 billion to $14 billion after treatment costs. The expansion of coverage by private payers generates positive spillover benefits to Medicare of $0.3 billion to $0.7 billion over a 5-year horizon, and $4 billion to $11 billion over a 20-year horizon. CONCLUSIONS: When private payers increase HCV treatment coverage, they may achieve significant savings while inducing spillover benefits to Medicare. Future savings, however, may not motivate immediate treatment investments among private payers who experience high beneficiary turnover.


Subject(s)
Hepatitis C, Chronic/economics , Insurance Coverage/economics , Insurance, Health/economics , Antiviral Agents/economics , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Computer Simulation , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Disease Progression , Early Diagnosis , Hepatitis C, Chronic/drug therapy , Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology , Hepatitis C, Chronic/transmission , Humans , Insurance Coverage/standards , Insurance, Health/standards , Markov Chains , Medicare/economics , Models, Economic , Nutrition Surveys/statistics & numerical data , Private Sector/economics , Quality-Adjusted Life Years , Time Factors , United States/epidemiology
18.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 34(8): 1407-17, 2015 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26220668

ABSTRACT

Health spending growth in the United States is projected to average 5.8 percent for 2014-24, reflecting the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions, faster economic growth, and population aging. Recent historically low growth rates in the use of medical goods and services, as well as medical prices, are expected to gradually increase. However, in part because of the impact of continued cost-sharing increases that are anticipated among health plans, the acceleration of these growth rates is expected to be modest. The health share of US gross domestic product is projected to rise from 17.4 percent in 2013 to 19.6 percent in 2024.


Subject(s)
Drug Costs/trends , Health Expenditures/trends , Insurance Coverage/trends , Insurance, Health/trends , Prescription Drugs/economics , Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product/trends , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Hospitals/trends , Humans , Insurance, Health/economics , Medicaid/economics , Medicaid/trends , Medicare/economics , Medicare/trends , Models, Econometric , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/trends , Physicians/statistics & numerical data , Physicians/trends , Prescription Drugs/therapeutic use , United States
19.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 33(10): 1841-50, 2014 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25187525

ABSTRACT

In 2013 health spending growth is expected to have remained slow, at 3.6 percent, as a result of the sluggish economic recovery, the effects of sequestration, and continued increases in private health insurance cost-sharing requirements. The combined effects of the Affordable Care Act's coverage expansions, faster economic growth, and population aging are expected to fuel health spending growth this year and thereafter (5.6 percent in 2014 and 6.0 percent per year for 2015-23). However, the average rate of increase through 2023 is projected to be slower than the 7.2 percent average growth experienced during 1990-2008. Because health spending is projected to grow 1.1 percentage points faster than the average economic growth during 2013-23, the health share of the gross domestic product is expected to rise from 17.2 percent in 2012 to 19.3 percent in 2023.


Subject(s)
Health Expenditures/trends , Insurance Coverage/trends , Drug Costs/trends , Forecasting , Gross Domestic Product/trends , Hospitals/statistics & numerical data , Hospitals/trends , Humans , Insurance, Health/economics , Insurance, Health/trends , Medicaid/economics , Medicaid/trends , Medicare/economics , Medicare/trends , Models, Econometric , Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act/trends , Physicians/statistics & numerical data , Physicians/trends , Prescription Drugs/economics , Prescription Drugs/therapeutic use , United States
20.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 32(10): 1820-31, 2013 Oct.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24047555

ABSTRACT

Health spending growth through 2013 is expected to remain slow because of the sluggish economic recovery, continued increases in cost-sharing requirements for the privately insured, and slow growth for public programs. These factors lead to projected growth rates of near 4 percent through 2013. However, improving economic conditions, combined with the coverage expansions in the Affordable Care Act and the aging of the population, drive faster projected growth in health spending in 2014 and beyond. Expected growth for 2014 is 6.1 percent, with an average projected growth of 6.2 percent per year thereafter. Over the 2012-22 period, national health spending is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 5.8 percent. By 2022 health spending financed by federal, state, and local governments is projected to account for 49 percent of national health spending and to reach a total of $2.4 trillion.


Subject(s)
Economic Recession , Health Expenditures/trends , Insurance Coverage/trends , Insurance, Health , Humans , United States
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