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1.
Thorax ; 79(10): 982-985, 2024 Sep 18.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39256044

ABSTRACT

We quantified the proportion of diagnoses of pulmonary fibrosis (PF) among 25 136 people with lung cancer and 250 583 matched controls and compared the natural history of lung cancer in people with and without PF. Diagnoses of PF were more common in people with lung cancer than those without (1.5% vs 0.8%, OR 1.97; 95% CI 1.77 to 2.21). Within people with PF, squamous cell carcinoma was more (22.9% vs 19.1%), and adenocarcinoma was less common (18.0% vs 21.3%). People with PF were less likely to have stage 4 disease at diagnosis (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.65) but their survival was worse.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Pulmonary Fibrosis , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Lung Neoplasms/diagnosis , Male , Female , Aged , Middle Aged , Pulmonary Fibrosis/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/epidemiology , Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/pathology , Registries , United Kingdom/epidemiology , Adenocarcinoma/epidemiology , Case-Control Studies , Aged, 80 and over , Adult , Neoplasm Staging
2.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39088770

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) are the cornerstone of asthma treatment and significantly improve morbidity and mortality. Adverse effects of oral corticosteroids are well documented, but less is known about ICS. METHODS: We conducted observational studies in adults with asthma using two different UK nationwide datasets: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum and CPRD GOLD. The exposure was incident ICS; the outcomes were major adverse cardiac events (MACE), arrhythmia, pulmonary embolism (PE) and pneumonia over 12-months. Our main analyses used a cohort method with stabilized inverse probability treatment weighting to balance confounding between exposed and unexposed patients. Secondary analyses included nested case-control studies, and self-controlled case series. ICS was treated both as a categorical and continuous variable. Absolute risk was estimated using weighted flexible parametric models. FINDINGS: From 162,202 patients in our main cohort, there was an association with all outcomes at medium daily ICS dose or higher (HR, 95%CI at 201-599mcg: MACE=2.63, 1.66-4.15, arrhythmia=2.21, 1.60-3.04, PE=2.10, 1.37-3.22, pneumonia=2.25, 1.77-2.85; at ≥600mcg: MACE=4.63, 2.62-8.17, arrhythmia=2.91, 1.72-4.91, PE=3.32, 1.69-6.50, pneumonia=4.09, 2.98-5.60). There were no associations with lower doses of ICS. Secondary analyses produced similar results. The number needed to harm (95%CI) using 12-months of ICS 201-599mcg: MACE=473 (344-754), arrhythmia=567 (395-1006), PE=1221 (744-3388) and pneumonia=230 (177-327) and using ICS ≥600mcg: MACE=224 (148-461), arrhythmia=396 (228-1523), PE=577 (309-4311), pneumonia=93 (69-141). INTERPRETATION: Short-term use of low dose ICS was not associated with adverse effects. Moderate-high daily ICS doses were associated with an increased risk, but low-frequency, of cardiovascular events, pulmonary embolism and pneumonia. It is important for clinicians to adhere to guideline recommendations to use the lowest effective ICS dose. This article is open access and distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

3.
Eur Respir J ; 64(2)2024 Aug.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38871377

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Previous research has suggested that the incidence of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is increasing in the UK and elsewhere. The aim of this study is to provide contemporary estimates of IPF mortality rates across 24 European Union (EU) countries from 2013 to 2018, using death certificate data from the European Statistics Institution (EUROSTAT) database. METHODS: We extracted country data for IPF (International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision: code J84.1) mortality from the EUROSTAT dataset. We calculated country-, age- and sex-specific death registration rates between 2013 and 2018. We used direct standardisation to compare rates between countries. We calculated annual trends in mortality rate ratios using a segmented regression model. RESULTS: The overall standardised mortality rate in 24 EU countries during this period was 3.90 (95% CI 3.80-3.90) per 100 000 person-years, with the rate rising from 3.70 in 2013 to 4.00 in 2018 (average annual percent change 1.74%, 95% CI 0.91-2.59%). We observed substantial inter-country differences, with the highest rates detected in Ireland, the UK and Finland, the lowest rate in Bulgaria, and middle rates in Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal and Slovenia. CONCLUSIONS: The IPF mortality rate is increasing across Europe. There are currently more than 17 000 deaths recorded from IPF each year in Europe but the marked geographical differences we observed suggest that this figure may underestimate the true rate considerably.


Subject(s)
Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis , Humans , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/mortality , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/epidemiology , Male , Female , Europe/epidemiology , Aged , Middle Aged , Aged, 80 and over , Mortality/trends , Sex Distribution , Age Distribution , Adult , Databases, Factual , European Union/statistics & numerical data
4.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1361891, 2024.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38711495

ABSTRACT

Background: To date, studies investigating the association between pre-biologic biomarker levels and post-biologic outcomes have been limited to single biomarkers and assessment of biologic efficacy from structured clinical trials. Aim: To elucidate the associations of pre-biologic individual biomarker levels or their combinations with pre-to-post biologic changes in asthma outcomes in real-life. Methods: This was a registry-based, cohort study using data from 23 countries, which shared data with the International Severe Asthma Registry (May 2017-February 2023). The investigated biomarkers (highest pre-biologic levels) were immunoglobulin E (IgE), blood eosinophil count (BEC) and fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO). Pre- to approximately 12-month post-biologic change for each of three asthma outcome domains (i.e. exacerbation rate, symptom control and lung function), and the association of this change with pre-biologic biomarkers was investigated for individual and combined biomarkers. Results: Overall, 3751 patients initiated biologics and were included in the analysis. No association was found between pre-biologic BEC and pre-to-post biologic change in exacerbation rate for any biologic class. However, higher pre-biologic BEC and FeNO were both associated with greater post-biologic improvement in FEV1 for both anti-IgE and anti-IL5/5R, with a trend for anti-IL4Rα. Mean FEV1 improved by 27-178 mL post-anti-IgE as pre-biologic BEC increased (250 to 1000 cells/µL), and by 43-216 mL and 129-250 mL post-anti-IL5/5R and -anti-IL4Rα, respectively along the same BEC gradient. Corresponding improvements along a FeNO gradient (25-100 ppb) were 41-274 mL, 69-207 mL and 148-224 mL for anti-IgE, anti-IL5/5R, and anti-IL4Rα, respectively. Higher baseline BEC was also associated with lower probability of uncontrolled asthma (OR 0.392; p=0.001) post-biologic for anti-IL5/5R. Pre-biologic IgE was a poor predictor of subsequent pre-to-post-biologic change for all outcomes assessed for all biologics. The combination of BEC + FeNO marginally improved the prediction of post-biologic FEV1 increase (adjusted R2: 0.751), compared to BEC (adjusted R2: 0.747) or FeNO alone (adjusted R2: 0.743) (p=0.005 and <0.001, respectively); however, this prediction was not improved by the addition of IgE. Conclusions: The ability of higher baseline BEC, FeNO and their combination to predict biologic-associated lung function improvement may encourage earlier intervention in patients with impaired lung function or at risk of accelerated lung function decline.


Subject(s)
Asthma , Biological Products , Biomarkers , Eosinophils , Immunoglobulin E , Humans , Asthma/drug therapy , Asthma/diagnosis , Asthma/immunology , Male , Female , Middle Aged , Immunoglobulin E/blood , Immunoglobulin E/immunology , Adult , Eosinophils/immunology , Biological Products/therapeutic use , Anti-Asthmatic Agents/therapeutic use , Treatment Outcome , Registries , Severity of Illness Index , Leukocyte Count , Nitric Oxide/metabolism , Aged , Cohort Studies
5.
Paediatr Anaesth ; 34(9): 970-976, 2024 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38610114

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: American pediatric anesthesiologists have a long history of international volunteerism. However, the US healthcare system also benefits from the contributions of a large number of physicians who come from other nations to work within its borders. Despite this fact, little is known about the contribution of international medical graduates (IMG) to the pediatric anesthesiology subspecialty. AIMS: To characterize the contribution of IMG to the field of pediatric anesthesiology in the United States, and to elucidate the geographic and demographic distribution of their national origins so as to understand the movement of skilled personnel between countries. METHODS: Online physician directories of American children's hospitals were searched, and anesthesiologists were recorded for their national origin of medical education. International graduates were reported as a percentage of the pediatric anesthesiology workforce. Those attending medical colleges catering to American students ("offshore" medical schools) were analyzed separately from other IMGs. The cohort of non-offshore IMGs were analyzed for national and continental origins, and by national level of economic development. RESULTS: Of 1979 anesthesiologists analyzed, 397 attended medical school outside the United States, with 58 being from offshore schools. The remaining 338 represented 17.1% of the total pediatric anesthesiology workforce. They came from 58 countries on six continents. Of those, 65.1% attended medical school in low- and middle-income countries. CONCLUSIONS: International medical graduates, disproportionately from low- and middle-income countries, compose a large proportion of the US Pediatric Anesthesiology workforce. While these clinicians play a vital role in providing care for American children, the potential impacts of skilled physician loss on their nations of origin must also be considered.


Subject(s)
Anesthesiologists , Anesthesiology , Foreign Medical Graduates , Humans , United States , Anesthesiologists/statistics & numerical data , Anesthesiology/statistics & numerical data , Anesthesiology/education , Foreign Medical Graduates/statistics & numerical data , Pediatrics/statistics & numerical data , Demography , Emigration and Immigration/statistics & numerical data , Child , Workforce/statistics & numerical data , Brain Drain
6.
ERJ Open Res ; 10(1)2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38375425

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic interstitial pneumonia marked by progressive lung fibrosis and a poor prognosis. Recent studies have highlighted the potential role of infection in the pathogenesis of IPF, and a prior association of the HLA-DQB1 gene with idiopathic fibrotic interstitial pneumonia (including IPF) has been reported. Owing to the important role that the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) region plays in the immune response, here we evaluated if HLA genetic variation was associated specifically with IPF risk. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis of associations of the HLA region with IPF risk in individuals of European ancestry from seven independent case-control studies of IPF (comprising 5159 cases and 27 459 controls, including a prior study of fibrotic interstitial pneumonia). Single nucleotide polymorphisms, classical HLA alleles and amino acids were analysed and signals meeting a region-wide association threshold of p<4.5×10-4 and a posterior probability of replication >90% were considered significant. We sought to replicate the previously reported HLA-DQB1 association in the subset of studies independent of the original report. Results: The meta-analysis of all seven studies identified four significant independent single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with IPF risk. However, none met the posterior probability for replication criterion. The HLA-DQB1 association was not replicated in the independent IPF studies. Conclusion: Variation in the HLA region was not consistently associated with risk in studies of IPF. However, this does not preclude the possibility that other genomic regions linked to the immune response may be involved in the aetiology of IPF.

7.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 42: 100871, 2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38357389

ABSTRACT

Background: Published data on the epidemiology of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in Asia is scarce. Understanding the epidemiology is important for authorities in the health management planning. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence, incidence, and survival of ILD in Hong Kong from 2005 to 2020 and evaluate the change of trend over time. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified ILD patients between 2005 and 2020 using a territory-wide electronic health record database. Prevalence, incidence rates, and age- and sex-standardised incidence rates with United Nations population in 2020 as a reference were estimated. Trends in prevalence and incidence were analysed using joinpoint regression and the average annual percent change (AAPC) was estimated. Median survival, and risk factors of mortality were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard regression. Findings: We identified 5924 patients and included 5884 of them for analysis. The prevalence of ILD increased from 24.7 to 33.6 per 100,000 population from 2005 to 2020 with an AAPC of 1.94 (95% confidence interval, CI: 1.69-2.34). The standardized incidence rate decreased from 5.36 to 2.57 per 100,000 person from 2005 to 2020 (AAPC -3.56, 95% CI, -4.95 to -1.78). The median survival of ILD was 2.50 (95% CI, 2.32-2.69) years. Male, older age, higher Charlson comorbidity index, and IIP subtype were associated with increased mortality with statistical significance. Interpretation: This study provided the first epidemiological evaluation of ILD in Hong Kong. Further studies on ILD in multiple Asian cities and countries are warranted. Funding: None.

8.
ERJ Open Res ; 10(1)2024 Jan.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38288082

ABSTRACT

Background: There is no standard definition of respiratory-related hospitalisation, a common end-point in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) clinical trials. As diverse aetiologies and complicating comorbidities can present similarly, external adjudication is sometimes employed to achieve standardisation of these events. Methods: An algorithm for respiratory-related hospitalisation was developed through a literature review of IPF clinical trials with respiratory-related hospitalisation as an end-point. Experts reviewed the algorithm until a consensus was reached. The algorithm was validated using data from the phase 3 ISABELA trials (clinicaltrials.gov identifiers NCT03711162 and NCT03733444), by assessing concordance between nonadjudicated, investigator-defined, respiratory-related hospitalisations and those defined by the adjudication committee using the algorithm. Results: The algorithm classifies respiratory-related hospitalisation according to cause: extraparenchymal (worsening respiratory symptoms due to left heart failure, volume overload, pulmonary embolism, pneumothorax or trauma); other (respiratory tract infection, right heart failure or exacerbation of COPD); "definite" acute exacerbation of IPF (AEIPF) (worsening respiratory symptoms within 1 month, with radiological or histological evidence of diffuse alveolar damage); or "suspected" AEIPF (as for "definite" AEIPF, but with no radiological or histological evidence of diffuse alveolar damage). Exacerbations ("definite" or "suspected") with identified triggers (infective, post-procedural or traumatic, drug toxicity- or aspiration-related) are classed as "known AEIPF"; "idiopathic AEIPF" refers to exacerbations with no identified trigger. In the ISABELA programme, there was 94% concordance between investigator- and adjudication committee-determined causes of respiratory-related hospitalisation. Conclusion: The algorithm could help to ensure consistency in the reporting of respiratory-related hospitalisation in IPF trials, optimising its utility as an end-point.

9.
medRxiv ; 2024 Jan 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38293162

ABSTRACT

Background: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic lung condition that is more prevalent in males than females. The reasons for this are not fully understood, with differing environmental exposures due to historically sex-biased occupations, or diagnostic bias, being possible explanations. To date, over 20 independent genetic variants have been identified to be associated with IPF susceptibility, but these have been discovered when combining males and females. Our aim was to test for the presence of sex-specific associations with IPF susceptibility and assess whether there is a need to consider sex-specific effects when evaluating genetic risk in clinical prediction models for IPF. Methods: We performed genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)-by-sex interaction studies of IPF risk in six independent IPF case-control studies and combined them using inverse-variance weighted fixed effect meta-analysis. In total, 4,561 cases (1,280 females and 2,281 males) and 23,500 controls (8,360 females and 14,528 males) of European genetic ancestry were analysed. We used polygenic risk scores (PRS) to assess differences in genetic risk prediction between males and females. Findings: Three independent genetic association signals were identified. All showed a consistent direction of effect across all individual IPF studies and an opposite direction of effect in IPF susceptibility between females and males. None had been previously identified in IPF susceptibility genome-wide association studies (GWAS). The predictive accuracy of the PRSs were similar between males and females, regardless of whether using combined or sex-specific GWAS results. Interpretation: We prioritised three genetic variants whose effect on IPF risk may be modified by sex, however these require further study. We found no evidence that the predictive accuracy of common SNP-based PRSs varies significantly between males and females.

10.
Thorax ; 79(1): 83-85, 2023 12 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37932123

ABSTRACT

Early changes in lung cancer care can affect survival. Given the decrease in diagnosis during lockdowns, we calculated their impact on survival using National Lung Cancer Audit data. Percentage survival and HRs for death were compared between 2019 and lockdown periods of 2020. Decreased survival was observed from the first national lockdown onwards and within 90 days of diagnosis. HRs were highest for people diagnosed at the end of 2020 at 1.26 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.32) for death within 90 days and 1.51 (95% CI 1.42 to 1.60) for death between 91 and 270 days. Further work is needed on measures to mitigate this impact.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Lung Neoplasms , Humans , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Communicable Disease Control
11.
medRxiv ; 2023 Jul 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37546732

ABSTRACT

Introduction: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic interstitial pneumonia marked by progressive lung fibrosis and a poor prognosis. Recent studies have highlighted the potential role of infection in the pathogenesis of IPF and a prior association of the HLA-DQB1 gene with idiopathic fibrotic interstitial pneumonia (including IPF) has been reported. Due to the important role that the Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) region plays in the immune response, here we evaluated if HLA genetic variation was associated specifically with IPF risk. Methods: We performed a meta-analysis of associations of the HLA region with IPF risk in individuals of European ancestry from seven independent case-control studies of IPF (comprising a total of 5,159 cases and 27,459 controls, including the prior study of fibrotic interstitial pneumonia). Single nucleotide polymorphisms, classical HLA alleles and amino acids were analysed and signals meeting a region-wide association threshold p<4.5×10-4 and a posterior probability of replication >90% were considered significant. We sought to replicate the previously reported HLA-DQB1 association in the subset of studies independent of the original report. Results: The meta-analysis of all seven studies identified four significant independent single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with IPF risk. However, none met the posterior probability for replication criterion. The HLA-DQB1 association was not replicated in the independent IPF studies. Conclusion: Variation in the HLA region was not consistently associated with risk in studies of IPF. However, this does not preclude the possibility that other genomic regions linked to the immune response may be involved in the aetiology of IPF.

12.
Rheumatology (Oxford) ; 62(12): 3828-3837, 2023 12 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37018139

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: To calculate the rates of COVID-19 infection and COVID-19-related death among people with rare autoimmune rheumatic diseases (RAIRD) during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in England, and describe the impact of corticosteroids on outcomes. METHODS: Hospital Episode Statistics data were used to identify people alive on 1 August 2020 with ICD-10 codes for RAIRD from the whole population of England. Linked national health records were used to calculate rates and rate ratios of COVID-19 infection and death up to 30 April 2021. Primary definition of COVID-19-related death was mention of COVID-19 on the death certificate. NHS Digital and Office for National Statistics general population data were used for comparison. The association between 30-day corticosteroid usage and COVID-19-related death, COVID-19-related hospital admissions and all-cause deaths was also described. RESULTS: Of 168 330 people with RAIRD, 9961 (5.92%) had a positive COVID-19 PCR test. The age-standardized infection rate ratio between RAIRD and the general population was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97, 1.00). 1342 (0.80%) people with RAIRD died with COVID-19 on their death certificate and the age-sex-standardized mortality rate for COVID-19-related death was 2.76 (95% CI: 2.63, 2.89) times higher than in the general population. There was a dose-dependent relationship between 30-day corticosteroid usage and COVID-19-related death. There was no increase in deaths due to other causes. CONCLUSIONS: During the second wave of COVID-19 in England, people with RAIRD had the same risk of COVID-19 infection but a 2.76-fold increased risk of COVID-19-related death compared with the general population, with corticosteroids associated with increased risk.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Rheumatic Diseases , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , SARS-CoV-2 , Pandemics , England/epidemiology , Rheumatic Diseases/drug therapy , Rheumatic Diseases/epidemiology , Adrenal Cortex Hormones/therapeutic use
13.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 207(11): 1515-1524, 2023 06 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36780644

ABSTRACT

Rationale: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a devastating disease characterized by limited treatment options and high mortality. A better understanding of the molecular drivers of IPF progression is needed. Objectives: To identify and validate molecular determinants of IPF survival. Methods: A staged genome-wide association study was performed using paired genomic and survival data. Stage I cases were drawn from centers across the United States and Europe and stage II cases from Vanderbilt University. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify gene variants associated with differential transplantation-free survival (TFS). Stage I variants with nominal significance (P < 5 × 10-5) were advanced for stage II testing and meta-analyzed to identify those reaching genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Downstream analyses were performed for genes and proteins associated with variants reaching genome-wide significance. Measurements and Main Results: After quality controls, 1,481 stage I cases and 397 stage II cases were included in the analysis. After filtering, 9,075,629 variants were tested in stage I, with 158 meeting advancement criteria. Four variants associated with TFS with consistent effect direction were identified in stage II, including one in an intron of PCSK6 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 6) reaching genome-wide significance (hazard ratio, 4.11 [95% confidence interval, 2.54-6.67]; P = 9.45 × 10-9). PCSK6 protein was highly expressed in IPF lung parenchyma. PCSK6 lung staining intensity, peripheral blood gene expression, and plasma concentration were associated with reduced TFS. Conclusions: We identified four novel variants associated with IPF survival, including one in PCSK6 that reached genome-wide significance. Downstream analyses suggested that PCSK6 protein plays a potentially important role in IPF progression.


Subject(s)
Genome-Wide Association Study , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis , Humans , Lung , Proportional Hazards Models , Europe , Serine Endopeptidases , Proprotein Convertases
14.
Chest ; 163(6): 1599-1607, 2023 06.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36640995

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruption to health-care services and delivery worldwide. The impact of the pandemic and associated national lockdowns on lung cancer incidence in England have yet to be assessed. RESEARCH QUESTION: What was the impact of the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic on the incidence and presentation of lung cancer in England? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, incidence rates for lung cancer were calculated from The National Lung Cancer Audit Rapid Cancer Registration Datasets for 2019 and 2020, using midyear population estimates from the Office of National Statistics as the denominators. Rates were compared using Poisson regression according to time points related to national lockdowns in 2020. RESULTS: Sixty-four thousand four hundred fifty-seven patients received a diagnosis of lung cancer across 2019 (n = 33,088) and 2020 (n = 31,369). During the first national lockdown, a 26% reduction in lung cancer incidence was observed compared with the equivalent calendar period of 2019 (adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.74; 95% CI, 0.71-0.78). This included a 23% reduction in non-small cell lung cancer (adjusted IRR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.74-0.81) and a 45% reduction in small cell lung cancer (adjusted IRR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.46-0.65) incidence. Thereafter, incidence rates almost recovered to baseline, without overcompensation (adjusted IRR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.98). INTERPRETATION: The incidence rates of lung cancer in England fell significantly by 26% during the first national lockdown in 2020 and did not compensate later in the year.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung , Lung Neoplasms , Humans , Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology , Incidence , Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , Pandemics , Communicable Disease Control , England/epidemiology
15.
BMJ Open ; 13(1): e063645, 2023 01 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36639216

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: During COVID-19 vaccination programmes, new safety signals have emerged for vaccines, including extremely rare cases of thrombosis with thrombocytopaenia syndrome (TTS). Background event rates before and during the pandemic are essential for contextualisation of such infrequent events. In the literature, most studies do not report an overall TTS event rate. Rather, background rates are mainly reported for subtypes of thrombotic/thromboembolic diagnoses included in the TTS clinical definition mostly by anatomical location, with reported rates for TTS subtypes varying widely. The objective of this study was to report prepandemic TTS background event rates in the general population. METHODS: Prepandemic background TTS rates were generated via secondary data analysis using a cohort design in the IBM Truven MarketScan (now Merative MarketScan) US health insurance claims database, from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2019. Two algorithms were applied: thrombocytopaenia occurring±7 days (algorithm 1) or occurring 1 day prior to ≤14 days after the thrombotic/thromboembolic event (algorithm 2). RESULTS: The study population derived from the MarketScan database analysis included approximately 9.8 million adults (aged ≥18 years; mean age 45 years, 52% females). Using this study population, prepandemic background TTS incidence was estimated as 9.8-11.1 per 100 000 person-years. Event rates were higher in males and increased with age. Similar patterns were observed with both algorithms. CONCLUSIONS: This study presents an estimate of aggregate prepandemic background TTS event rates including by type of thrombosis/thromboembolism and age group. The background event rates are dependent on the precision of capturing underlying TTS events in variable data sources, and the ability of electronic health records or insurance claims databases to reflect the TTS clinical definition. Differences between reported event rates demonstrate that estimating background event rates for rare, unprecedented safety events is methodologically challenging.


Subject(s)
Anemia , COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Thrombocytopenia , Thromboembolism , Thrombosis , Adolescent , Adult , Female , Humans , Male , Middle Aged , Anemia/epidemiology , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Pandemics , Thrombocytopenia/epidemiology , Thrombocytopenia/etiology , Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Thrombosis/epidemiology , Thrombosis/etiology , Vaccination/adverse effects
16.
Lancet Respir Med ; 11(1): 65-73, 2023 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35985358

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is an incurable lung disease characterised by progressive scarring leading to alveolar stiffness, reduced lung capacity, and impeded gas transfer. We aimed to identify genetic variants associated with declining lung capacity or declining gas transfer after diagnosis of IPF. METHODS: We did a genome-wide meta-analysis of longitudinal measures of forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO) in individuals diagnosed with IPF. Individuals were recruited to three studies between June, 1996, and August, 2017, from across centres in the US, UK, and Spain. Suggestively significant variants were investigated further in an additional independent study (CleanUP-IPF). All four studies diagnosed cases following American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society guidelines. Variants were defined as significantly associated if they had a meta-analysis p<5 × 10-8 when meta-analysing across all discovery and follow-up studies, had consistent direction of effects across all four studies, and were nominally significant (p<0·05) in each study. FINDINGS: 1329 individuals with a total of 5216 measures were included in the FVC analysis. 975 individuals with a total of 3361 measures were included in the DLCO analysis. For the discovery genome-wide analyses, 7 611 174 genetic variants were included in the FVC analysis and 7 536 843 in the DLCO analysis. One variant (rs115982800) located in an antisense RNA gene for protein kinase N2 (PKN2) showed a genome-wide significant association with FVC decline (-140 mL/year per risk allele [95% CI -180 to -100]; p=9·14 × 10-12). INTERPRETATION: Our analysis identifies a genetic variant associated with disease progression, which might highlight a new biological mechanism for IPF. We found that PKN2, a Rho and Rac effector protein, is the most likely gene of interest from this analysis. PKN2 inhibitors are currently in development and signify a potential novel therapeutic approach for IPF. FUNDING: Action for Pulmonary Fibrosis, Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, and National Institutes of Health National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.


Subject(s)
Genome-Wide Association Study , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis , Humans , Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis/diagnosis , Lung , Vital Capacity , Lung Volume Measurements
18.
Semin Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth ; 26(3): 241-244, 2022 Sep.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35593202

ABSTRACT

Mutations of the transport and Golgi organization 2 (TANGO2) genes are linked with both long-term neurological decline and acute metabolic crises during stress, leading to significant anesthetic risk. Crises are marked by rhabdomyolysis, lactic acidosis, seizures, cardiac dysfunction, and dysrhythmias. Much is unknown about optimal management of this condition, especially in the acute and critical care settings. The following report describes the anesthetic challenges of a patient with simultaneous TANGO2 gene deletion, DiGeorge Syndrome, and Tetralogy of Fallot, who presented for an interventional cardiac procedure with the goal of metabolic crisis-avoidance and facilitation of safe but expeditious recovery and discharge home.


Subject(s)
Anesthetics , DiGeorge Syndrome , Tetralogy of Fallot , DiGeorge Syndrome/genetics , Gene Deletion , Humans , Mutation , Tetralogy of Fallot/genetics , Tetralogy of Fallot/surgery
19.
Thorax ; 77(7): 724-726, 2022 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35483893

ABSTRACT

Accurately explaining perioperative mortality and risk to patients is an essential part of shared decision making. In the case of lung cancer surgery, the currently available multivariable mortality prediction tools perform poorly, and could mislead patients. Using data from 2004 to 2012, this group has previously produced data tables for 90-day postoperative mortality, to be used as a communication aid in the consenting process. Using National Lung Cancer Clinical Outcomes audit data from 2017 to 2018, we have produced updated early mortality tables, to reflect current thoracic surgery practice.


Subject(s)
Lung Neoplasms , Thoracic Surgical Procedures , Humans , Pneumonectomy/adverse effects
20.
Expert Syst Appl ; 198: 116882, 2022 Jul 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35308584

ABSTRACT

The World Health Organization (WHO) declared on 11th March 2020 the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) a pandemic. The traditional infectious disease surveillance had failed to alert public health authorities to intervene in time and mitigate and control the COVID-19 before it became a pandemic. Compared with traditional public health surveillance, harnessing the rich data from social media, including Twitter, has been considered a useful tool and can overcome the limitations of the traditional surveillance system. This paper proposes an intelligent COVID-19 early warning system using Twitter data with novel machine learning methods. We use the natural language processing (NLP) pre-training technique, i.e., fine-tuning BERT as a Twitter classification method. Moreover, we implement a COVID-19 forecasting model through a Twitter-based linear regression model to detect early signs of the COVID-19 outbreak. Furthermore, we develop an expert system, an early warning web application based on the proposed methods. The experimental results suggest that it is feasible to use Twitter data to provide COVID-19 surveillance and prediction in the US to support health departments' decision-making.

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