Self-testing strategy to eliminate Hepatitis C as per WHO's goal: Analysis of disease burden and cost-effectiveness.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The World Health Organization (WHO) aims to eliminate hepatitis C Virus (HCV) by 2030, therefore, widespread HCV screening is required. The WHO recommends HCV self-testing (HCVST) as a new approach. We aimed to evaluate disease burden reduction using the HCVST screening strategy and identify the most cost-effective approach. METHODS: We developed a dynamic open-cohort Markov model to assess the long-term effects and cost-effectiveness of HCVST in the Republic of Korea from 2024 to 2030. Strategies for comparison included universal, birth cohort, high-risk group screening, and no screening, focusing on the following: (1) incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) saved; (2) severe liver disease cases; and (3) liver-related death reduction. RESULTS: Universal HCVST screening is the most effective strategy for achieving the WHO goal by 2030, substantially lowering the incidence of severe liver disease by 71% and preventing liver-related deaths by 69 %, thereby averting 267,942 DALYs. Moreover, with an ICER of $8,078 per DALY and high cost-effectiveness, the sensitivity results prove that cost-effectiveness is robust. Although high-risk group screening offers the lowest cost compared with other strategies, its effectiveness in preventing severe liver disease is minimal, falling short of the current WHO goal. CONCLUSIONS: Our study confirms that universal HCVST screening is a cost-effective strategy aligned with the WHO goal to eliminate HCV by 2030. Despite its higher costs compared to risk-based screening, the disease burden can be significantly reduced by providing effective HCVST access to individuals who might otherwise not be tested.

Incidence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and advanced fibrosis and impact of overweight/obesity in elderly population: a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is increasing worldwide, coinciding with aging population. However, limited studies have evaluated its incidence and progression to advanced fibrosis in the elderly population. Therefore, our study aimed to investigate the incidence of MASLD and advanced fibrosis in this age group. METHODS: We included 878 686 individuals aged ≥60 years from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Senior cohort. After excluding participants with preexisting MASLD, 329 388 individuals were finally analyzed. Participants were categorized into four groups based on the presence of overweight/obesity and additional risk factors (aRF) included in the cardiometabolic diagnostic criteria of MASLD. RESULTS: The overall incidence of MASLD was 1.94 per 100 person-years, and the incidence of advanced fibrosis in MASLD patients was 1.78 per 100 person-years. MASLD development was significantly higher in overweight/obese patients (2.65 per 100 person-years) compared to lean patients (1.09 per 100 person-years), and this trend persisted after stratification by the presence of aRF. Similarly, the incidence of advanced fibrosis among MASLD patients was higher in overweight/obese individuals (2.06 per 100 person-years) compared to lean counterparts (0.87 per 100 person-years), irrespective of aRF. CONCLUSIONS: The lower incidence of MASLD in the elderly population compared to the general population underscores the importance of identifying age-specific risk factors. Overweight/obesity emerged as a robust predictor of MASLD development and advanced fibrosis. Additionally, the presence of additional cardiometabolic risk factors further increased the risk of incident MASLD and advanced fibrosis among the elderly.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease Is Associated with Increased Risk of Kidney Cancer: A Nationwide Study.

Background: This study investigated the association between metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and Kidney Cancer Risk, as the incidence of both diseases gradually increases owing to metabolic health issues. Methods: Participants (aged 20-79) undergoing a national health examination between 2009 and 2010 were monitored for new-onset kidney cancer. The MASLD spectrum was classified as non-MASLD, MASLD, or MASLD with increased alcohol uptake (MetALD). Kidney Cancer Risk associated with the MASLD spectrum was estimated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. Age- and sex-stratified analyses were also performed. Results: Among 8,829,510 participants (median follow-up 13.3 years), the proportion of non-MASLD, MASLD, and MetALD was 64.9%, 30.3%, and 4.7%, respectively, with newly developed kidney cancer in 17,555 participants. Kidney cancer was significantly increased with MASLD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.51, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.46-1.56) and MetALD (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 1.42-1.61), compared with the non-MASLD group. Kidney Cancer Risk was the highest among young populations (aHR 1.93, 95% CI 1.77-2.11 for MASLD and aHR 1.91, 95% CI 1.65-2.22 for MetALD), according to stratification analysis. Furthermore, the cumulative relationship between metabolic dysfunction and Kidney Cancer Risk was confirmed across all MASLD spectra. Conclusions: Our study highlights the positive association between MASLD and Kidney Cancer Risk, emphasizing a comprehensive approach to metabolic health. This also serves as a call to devote closer attention to the metabolic health of younger patients.

A machine learning model to predict liver-related outcomes after the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and hepatic decompensation persists after hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model to predict the risk of liver-related outcomes (LROs) following HBsAg seroclearance. METHODS: A total of 4,787 consecutive patients who achieved HBsAg seroclearance between 2000 and 2022 were enrolled from six centers in South Korea and a territory-wide database in Hong Kong, comprising the training (n = 944), internal validation (n = 1,102), and external validation (n = 2,741) cohorts. Three machine learning-based models were developed and compared in each cohort. The primary outcome was the development of any LRO, including HCC, decompensation, and liver-related death. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 55.2 (IQR 30.1-92.3) months, 123 LROs were confirmed (1.1%/person-year) in the Korean cohort. The model with the best predictive performance in the training cohort was selected as the final model (designated as PLAN-B-CURE), which was constructed using a gradient boosting algorithm and seven variables (age, sex, diabetes, alcohol consumption, cirrhosis, albumin, and platelet count). Compared to previous HCC prediction models, PLAN-B-CURE showed significantly superior accuracy in the training cohort (c-index: 0.82 vs. 0.63-0.70, all p <0.001; area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.86 vs. 0.62-0.72, all p <0.01; area under the precision-recall curve: 0.53 vs. 0.13-0.29, all p <0.01). PLAN-B-CURE showed a reliable calibration function (Hosmer-Lemeshow test p >0.05) and these results were reproduced in the internal and external validation cohorts. CONCLUSION: This novel machine learning model consisting of seven variables provides reliable risk prediction of LROs after HBsAg seroclearance that can be used for personalized surveillance. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Using large-scale multinational data, we developed a machine learning model to predict the risk of liver-related outcomes (i.e., hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation, and liver-related death) after the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The new model named PLAN-B-CURE was constructed using seven variables (age, sex, alcohol consumption, diabetes, cirrhosis, serum albumin, and platelet count) and a gradient boosting machine algorithm, and it demonstrated significantly better predictive accuracy than previous models in both the training and validation cohorts. The inclusion of diabetes and significant alcohol intake as model inputs suggests the importance of metabolic risk factor management after the functional cure of CHB. Using seven readily available clinical factors, PLAN-B-CURE, the first machine learning-based model for risk prediction after the functional cure of CHB, may serve as a basis for individualized risk stratification.

Similar recurrence after curative treatment of HBV-related HCC, regardless of HBV replication activity.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Antiviral therapy (AVT) is required in patients with newly diagnosed hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), if HBV DNA is detectable. We compared the risk of recurrence according to HBV replication activity at the curative treatment of HBV-related HCC. METHODS: Patients with HBV-related HCC who underwent surgical resection or radiofrequency ablation between 2013 and 2018 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. Patients were categorized into two groups according to HBV replication activity at the curative treatment of HBV-related HCC (group 1: patients who met the AVT indication for HBV-related HCC due to detectable HBV DNA but did not meet the AVT indication if without HCC; group 2: patients who met the AVT indication, regardless of HCC). RESULTS: In the entire cohort (n = 911), HCC recurred in 303 (33.3%) patients during a median follow-up of 4.7 years. After multivariate adjustment, group 2 showed a statistically similar risk of HCC recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.18, P = 0.332) compared to that of group 1. In addition, group 2 showed statistically similar risks of early (< 2 years; aHR = 1.31) and late (≥ 2 years; aHR = 0.83) recurrence than that of group 1 (all P>0.05). Propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis also yielded similar risks of HCC recurrence between the two groups (all P>0.05, log-rank tests). CONCLUSIONS: The risk of HCC recurrence in patients who received curative treatment for newly diagnosed HBV-related HCC was similar regardless of HBV replication activity, if AVT was properly initiated.

Hepatitis B Reactivation and Vaccination Effectiveness after Solid Organ Transplantation: A Matched Case-Control Study.

Solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients are at significant risk of hepatitis B (HB) virus (HBV) reactivation (HBVr). Despite the clinical significance of HBVr after solid organ transplantation, data on the risk factors for HBVr and vaccine effectiveness in SOT recipients with resolved HBV infection are limited. This study evaluated the risk factors for HBVr and the seroconversion rates after HBV vaccination in SOT recipients. Patients who had undergone solid organ transplantation and those with a resolved HBV infection were identified. We matched patients who experienced post-transplantation HBVr with those who did not. We also explored the characteristics and seroconversion rates of HBV-vaccinated patients following transplantation. In total, 1299 SOT recipients were identified as having a resolved HBV infection at the time of transplantation. Thirty-nine patients experienced HBVr. Pre-transplant HB surface antibodies (anti-HBs) positivity and allograft rejection within 3 months after transplantation were independently associated with HBVr. Among the 17 HBV-vaccinated patients, 14 (82.4%) received three or fewer vaccine doses, and 13 (76.5%) had seroconversion with positive anti-HBs results. Pre-transplant anti-HBs(-) status and allograft rejection were risk factors for HBVr in SOT recipients with a resolved HBV infection, and HBV vaccination after transplantation resulted in a high rate of anti-HBs seroconversion. HBV vaccination after transplantation should be considered to reduce the HBVr risk.

Comparison between Nivolumab and Regorafenib as Second-line Systemic Therapies after Sorafenib Failure in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

PURPOSE: Nivolumab and regorafenib are second-line therapies for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to compare the effectiveness of nivolumab and regorafenib. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients with HCC treated with nivolumab or regorafenib after sorafenib failure. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed. An inverse probability of treatment weighting using the propensity score (PS) was performed to reduce treatment selection bias. RESULTS: Among the 189 patients recruited, 137 and 52 patients received regorafenib and nivolumab after sorafenib failure, respectively. Nivolumab users showed higher Child-Pugh B patients (42.3% vs. 24.1%) and shorter median sorafenib maintenance (2.2 months vs. 3.5 months) compared to regorafenib users. Nivolumab users showed shorter median OS (4.2 months vs. 7.4 months, p=0.045) than regorafenib users and similar median PFS (1.8 months vs. 2.7 months, p=0.070). However, the median overall and PFS did not differ between the two treatment groups after the 1:1 PS matching (log-rank p=0.810 and 0.810, respectively) and after the stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (log-rank p=0.445 and 0.878, respectively). In addition, covariate-adjusted Cox regression analyses showed that overall and PFS did not significantly differ between nivolumab and regorafenib users after 1:1 PS matching and stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting (all p>0.05). CONCLUSION: Clinical outcomes of patients treated with nivolumab and regorafenib after sorafenib treatment failure did not differ significantly.

Liver Cancer Risk Across Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease and/or Alcohol: A Nationwide Study.

INTRODUCTION: New terminologies of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) have been developed. We assessed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk across MASLD and/or alcohol intake. METHODS: We included participants aged 40-79 years receiving a national health checkup from 2009 to 2010 in the Republic of Korea, classified as follows: non-MASLD, MASLD, MASLD with increased alcohol intake (MetALD; weekly alcohol 210-420 g for male and 140-350 g for female individuals), and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD; excessive alcohol intake with weekly alcohol ≥420 g for male or ≥350 g for female individuals). The primary outcome was HCC incidence. HCC risk was estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Among 6,412,209 participants, proportions of non-MASLD, MASLD, MetALD, and ALD cases were 59.5%, 32.4%, 4.8%, and 3.4%, respectively. During follow-up (median 13.3 years), 27,118 had newly developed HCC. Compared with non-MASLD, the HCC risk increased from MASLD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.62-1.71) and MetALD (aHR 2.17, 95% CI 2.08-2.27) to ALD (aHR 2.34, 95% CI 2.24-2.45) in a stepwise manner. Furthermore, the older and non-cirrhosis subgroups were more vulnerable to detrimental effects of MASLD and/or alcohol intake, concerning HCC risk. Among the older, female, and cirrhosis subgroups, MetALD poses similar HCC risks as ALD. DISCUSSION: HCC risk increased from MASLD and MetALD to ALD in a stepwise manner, compared with non-MASLD. For an effective primary prevention of HCC, a comprehensive approach should be required to modify both metabolic dysfunction and alcohol intake habit.

Outcome of Transarterial Radioembolization in the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Glass Versus Resin Microsphere.

PURPOSE: To compare the treatment outcomes of glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and evaluate the prognostic factors that influence the outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 251 consecutive patients who underwent radioembolization for the treatment of HCC at a single tertiary center. Imaging responses after radioembolization were evaluated using the modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) 1.1. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the prognostic factors. RESULTS: A total of 195 patients were included in this study (glass microsphere, n = 75; resin microsphere, n = 120). The complete and objective response rates were 16.0% and 50.7% in the glass microsphere group and 17.5% and 58.3% in the resin microsphere group, respectively. Median PFS was 241 days in the glass microsphere group and 268 days in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.871). Median OS was 29 months in the glass microsphere group and 40 months in the resin microsphere group (p = 0.669). The only significant prognostic factor was bilobar tumor distribution, which favored resin microspheres (p = 0.023). Procedure-related adverse events occurred more frequently in the resin microsphere group (glass, 2.7% vs. resin, 5.0%; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Glass and resin microspheres for the treatment of HCC did not show a significant difference in survival, though major adverse events occurred more frequently with the use of resin microspheres.

Global prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The global proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributable to metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is unclear. The MAFLD diagnostic criteria allows objective diagnosis in the presence of steatosis plus defined markers of metabolic dysfunction, irrespective of concurrent liver disease. We aimed to determine the total global prevalence of MAFLD in HCC cohorts (total-MAFLD), including the proportion with MAFLD as their sole liver disease (single-MAFLD), and the proportion of those with concurrent liver disease where MAFLD was a contributary factor (mixed-MAFLD). METHODS: This systematic review and meta-analysis included studies systematically ascertaining MAFLD in HCC cohorts, defined using international expert panel criteria including ethnicity-specific BMI cut-offs. A comparison of clinical and tumour characteristics was performed between single-MAFLD, mixed-MAFLD, and non-MAFLD HCC. RESULTS: 22 studies (56,565 individuals with HCC) were included. Total and single-MAFLD HCC prevalence was 48.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 34.5-63.0%) and 12.4% (95% CI 8.3-17.3%), respectively. In HCC due to chronic hepatitis B, C, and alcohol-related liver disease, mixed-MAFLD prevalence was 40.0% (95% CI 30.2-50.3%), 54.1% (95% CI 40.4-67.6%) and 64.3% (95% CI 52.7-75.0%), respectively. Mixed-MAFLD HCC had significantly higher likelihood of cirrhosis and lower likelihood of metastatic spread compared to single-MAFLD HCC, and a higher platelet count and lower likelihood of macrovascular invasion compared to non-MAFLD HCC. CONCLUSION: MAFLD is common as a sole aetiology, but more so as a co-factor in mixed-aetiology HCC, supporting the use of positive diagnostic criteria.

Sorafenib vs. Lenvatinib in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma after atezolizumab/bevacizumab failure: A real-world study.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (ATE+BEV) therapy has become the recommended first-line therapy for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) because of favorable treatment responses. However, there is a lack of data on sequential regimens after ATE+BEV treatment failure. We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes of patients with advanced HCC who received subsequent systemic therapy for disease progression after ATE+BEV. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective study included patients who started second-line systemic treatment with sorafenib or lenvatinib after HCC progressed on ATE+BEV between August 2019 and December 2022. Treatment response was assessed using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1.). Clinical features of the two groups were balanced through propensity score (PS) matching. RESULTS: This study enrolled 126 patients, 40 (31.7%) in the lenvatinib group, and 86 (68.3%) in the sorafenib group. The median age was 63 years, and males were predominant (88.1%). In PS-matched cohorts (36 patients in each group), the objective response rate was similar between the lenvatinib- and sorafenib-treated groups (5.6% vs. 8.3%; P=0.643), but the disease control rate was superior in the lenvatinib group (66.7% vs. 22.2%; P<0.001). Despite the superior progression- free survival (PFS) in the lenvatinib group (3.5 vs. 1.8 months, P=0.001), the overall survival (OS, 10.3 vs. 7.5 months, P=0.353) did not differ between the two PS-matched treatment groups. CONCLUSION: In second-line therapy for unresectable HCC after ATE+BEV failure, lenvatinib showed better PFS and comparable OS to sorafenib in a real-world setting. Future studies with larger sample sizes and longer follow-ups are needed to optimize second-line treatment.

Neither hepatic steatosis nor fibrosis is associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal Behçet's disease.

BACKGROUND: Behçet's disease (BD) and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share pathogenetic mechanisms. In this study, we investigated whether NAFLD influences the clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD. METHODS: Patients with intestinal BD and available hepatic steatosis index (HSI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) scores were recruited between 2005 and 2022. An HSI of ≥30 and FIB-4 of ≥1.45 were used to diagnose hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis, respectively. The primary outcomes were intestinal BD-related hospitalization, surgery, emergency room visits, or the first use of corticosteroids, immunomodulators, or biologic agents for intestinal BD. RESULTS: A total of 780 patients with BD were selected. The prevalence of hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were 72.3% and 8.8%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that younger age, prior smoking history, concomitant skin lesions, higher white blood cell count, and lower serum albumin levels were independently associated with an increased risk of clinical relapse (all P < 0.05), whereas hepatic steatosis and significant liver fibrosis were not (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.164, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.923-1.468; P = 0.199 for hepatic steatosis; HR = 0.982, 95% CI 0.672-1.436; P = 0.927 for significant liver fibrosis). CONCLUSION: Hepatic steatosis and liver fibrotic burden were not independently associated with clinical outcomes in patients with intestinal BD.

Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver clinical practice guidelines on liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation is a highly complex and challenging field of clinical practice. Although it was originally developed in western countries, it has been further advanced in Asian countries through the use of living donor liver transplantation. This method of transplantation is the only available option in many countries in the Asia-Pacific region due to the lack of deceased organ donation. As a result of this clinical situation, there is a growing need for guidelines that are specific to the Asia-Pacific region. These guidelines provide comprehensive recommendations for evidence-based management throughout the entire process of liver transplantation, covering both deceased and living donor liver transplantation. In addition, the development of these guidelines has been a collaborative effort between medical professionals from various countries in the region. This has allowed for the inclusion of diverse perspectives and experiences, leading to a more comprehensive and effective set of guidelines.

Hepatitis C virus infection in patients undergoing surgery in a single tertiary academic center.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Lack of awareness disturbs proper care for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in patients undergoing surgery. We investigated the status of HCV screening, confirmation, and treatment in patients who underwent surgery. METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery at a tertiary academic center between 2019 and 2021 were eligible for this retrospective study. RESULTS: Between 2019 and 2021, 96 894 patients (40 121 males; 41.4%) who underwent surgery under general anesthesia were recruited. The median age of the participants was 55.0 years. Of the 83 920 (86.6%) patients who tested positive for anti-HCV antibodies, 576 (0.7%) showed positive results, with a higher proportion of patients with diabetes mellitus (32.6% vs 18.5%), hypertension (50.5% vs 28.6%), liver cirrhosis (13.2% vs 1.7%), and unfavorable laboratory test results when compared with those with negative results (all P < 0.05). HCV RNA was tested in 215 patients (37.3%), with a positivity rate of 20.5% (n = 44). Of the 44 patients, 42 (95.5%) were referred for antiviral treatment, and 29 (69.0%) were successfully treated with direct-acting antiviral therapy. HCV RNA confirmation rates were higher in the Department of Hepatobiliary and Transplant Surgery (76.6%) than in the other surgical departments (25.0-33.5%) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of patients who were positive for anti-HCV antibodies and failed to receive proper management after surgery was not negligible. Increased awareness of HCV infection among surgeons through appropriate education may be required.