Renal Outcomes of Rhythm Control in Patients Recently Diagnosed With Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with impaired renal function and chronic kidney disease (CKD). OBJECTIVES: This study assessed the effects of rhythm control on renal function compared with rate control among patients recently diagnosed with AF. METHODS: A total of 20,886 patients with AF and available baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) data undergoing rhythm control (antiarrhythmic drugs or ablation) or rate control therapy, initiated within 1 year of AF diagnosis in 2005 to 2015, were identified from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. The composite outcome of ≥30% decline in eGFR, acute kidney injury, kidney failure, or death from renal or cardiovascular causes was compared with the use of propensity overlap weighting between rhythm or rate control strategies in patients with or without significant CKD (eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2). RESULTS: Of the included patients (median age 62 years, 32.7% female), 2,213 (10.6%) had eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Among patients with significant CKD, early rhythm control, compared with rate control, was associated with a lower risk of the primary composite outcome (weighted incidence rate: 2.77 vs 3.92 per 100 person-years; weighted HR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.52-0.95). In patients without significant CKD, there was no difference in the risk of the primary composite outcome between rhythm and rate control groups (weighted incidence rate: 3.41 vs 3.21 per 100 person-years; weighted HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.96-1.18). No differences in safety outcomes were found between rhythm and rate control strategies in patients without or with significant CKD. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with AF and CKD, early rhythm control was associated with lower risks of adverse renal outcomes than rate control was.

Relationship between systolic blood pressure and renal function on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the prospective AF-GEN-UK Registry.

BACKGROUND: Blood pressure (BP) extremes and renal (dys)function contribute to poor outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Using data from the prospective AF-GEN-UK study, we investigated the effect of systolic BP and interaction with renal function for prognostication. METHODS: Baseline systolic BP (SBP) values were recorded for 1580 patients (mean [SD] age 71 [11] years, 60% male) and categorized as follows: 120-129 mmHg (n = 289, reference group) <110 mmHg (n = 165), 110-119 mmHg, (n = 254), 130-139 mmHg (n = 321), 140-159 mmHg (n = 385) and ≥160 mmHg (n = 166). Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age, oral anticoagulation (OAC) and CHA2DS2-VASc score established the impact of SBP, renal function and their interaction on 1-year outcomes. SBP groups were compared using ANOVA and chi-square tests. RESULTS: OAC use was 84% and similar across SBP groups. Renal dysfunction [estimated baseline glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 ml/min] was present in 24%, with significantly lower eGFR values in the SBP 110-119 mmHg group. History of heart failure was significantly higher in those with SBP <110 mmHg. SBP <110 mmHg was predictive of all cause-death on univariate [hazard ratio (HR) 2.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-4.64] and adjusted (aHR 9.71, 95% CI 1.73-54.5) regression. There was no statistically significant interaction between SBP and eGFR, no associations of SBP with haemorrhagic or thromboembolic events. CONCLUSIONS: In people with AF, SBP <110 mmHg was independently predictive of all-cause death, with no significant interaction between SBP and renal (dys)function. This may reflect general poor health and/or excessive antihypertensive therapy, which should be avoided.

Free fatty acids and mortality among adults in the United States: a report from US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

BACKGROUND: The relationship between free fatty acids (FFAs) and the risk of mortality remains unclear. There is a scarcity of prospective studies examining the associations between specific FFAs, rather than total concentrations, of their effect on long-term health outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the correlation between different FFAs and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in a large, diverse, nationally representative sample of adults in the US, and examine how different FFAs may mediate this association. METHODS: This cohort study included unsaturated fatty acids (USFA) and saturated fatty acids (SFA) groups in the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 2011 to 2014 and provided blood samples for FFAs levels. Multiple model calibration was performed using Cox regression analysis for known risk factors to explore the associations between FFAs and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. RESULTS: In the group of USFA, 3719 people were included, median follow-up, 6.7 years (5.8-7.8 years). In the SFA group, we included 3900 people with a median follow-up, 6.9 years (5.9-8 years). In the USFA group, myristoleic acid (14:1 n-5) (hazard ratio (HR) 1.02 [1.006-1.034]; P = 0.004), palmitoleic acid (16:1 n-7) (HR 1.001 [1.001-1.002]; P < 0.001), cis-vaccenic acid (18:1 n-7) (HR 1.006 [1.003-1.009]; P < 0.001), nervonic acid (24:1 n-9) (HR 1.007 [1.002-1.012]; P = 0.003), eicosatrienoic acid (20:3 n-9) (HR 1.027 [1.009-1.046]; P = 0.003), docosatetraenoic acid (22:4 n-6) (HR 1.024 [1.012-1.036]; P < 0.001), and docosapentaenoic acid (22:5 n-6) (HR 1.019 [1.006-1.032]; P = 0.005) were positively associated with the all-cause mortality, while docosahexaenoic acid (22:6 n-3) had a statistically lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR 0.998 [0.996-0.999]; P = 0.007). Among the SFA group, palmitic acid (16:0) demonstrated a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.00 [1.00-1.00]; P = 0.022), while tricosanoic acid (23:0) (HR 0.975 [0.959-0.991]; P = 0.002) and lignoceric acid (24:0) (HR 0.992 [0.984-0.999]; P = 0.036) were linked to a lower risk of all-cause mortality. Besides 23:0 and 24:0, the other FFAs mentioned above were linearly associated with the risks of all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationally representative cohort of US adults, some different FFAs exhibited significant associations with risk of all-cause mortality. Achieving optimal concentrations of specific FFAs may lower this risk of all-cause mortality, but this benefit was not observed in regards to cardiovascular mortality.

Phenotypic characterisation of people at risk of atrial fibrillation: Protocol for the FIND-AF longitudinal cohort study.

AIMS: The Future Innovations in Novel Detection of Atrial Fibrillation (FIND-AF) longitudinal cohort study is a multi-centre prospective cohort study of patients identified at risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). The aim of the FIND-AF longitudinal cohort study is to provide multi-modal phenotypic characterisation of these patients. METHODS AND RESULTS: 1955 participants identified as at risk of AF by the FIND-AF algorithm from primary care electronic health (EHR) data, aged 30 years and above and eligible for oral anticoagulation, will be be recruited between October 2023 and November 2024 to receive home-based intermittent ECG monitoring. About 500 participants without diagnosed AF will then undergo cross-sectional phenotypic characterisation including physical examination, symptoms assessment, serum blood biomarkers and echocardiography, and non-stress cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Longitudinal information about cardio-renal-metabolic-pulmonary outcomes will be ascertained from linkages to EHR data. The study is funded by the British Heart Foundation (CC/22/250026). The study has ethical approval (North West - Greater Manchester South Research Ethics Committee reference 23/NW/0180). Findings will be announced at relevant conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals in line with the Funder's open access policy. CONCLUSIONS: The FIND-AF multi-centre prospective longitudinal cohort study aims to (i) provide evidence for the impact of comorbidities on AF genesis (ii) uncover actionable targets to prevent AF, and (iii) act as a platform for cohort randomised clinical trials that investigate enhanced detection and prevention of AF.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common abnormal heart rhythm encountered in clinical practice but we know little about changes to the heart before AF starts, and whether these can be reversed to reduce the risk of future AF. In this study people we will recruit people who have been identified as higher risk of AF using a decision support tool in their medical records, but who have not been found to have AF at the moment when they have had their ECG checked.We will look at the structure and function of their hearts using ultrasound and MRI, and we will also check their blood tests. We aim to learn if people without AF, but at higher risk of AF, have changes to their heart and then conduct studies to establish if these changes can be reversed.

Exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation for adults with atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia, disrupts the heart's rhythm through numerous small re-entry circuits in the atrial tissue, leading to irregular atrial contractions. The condition poses significant health risks, including increased stroke risk, heart failure, and reduced quality of life. Given the complexity of AF and its growing incidence globally, exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation (ExCR) may provide additional benefits for people with AF or those undergoing routine treatment for the condition. OBJECTIVES: To assess the benefits and harms of ExCR compared with non-exercise controls for people who currently have AF or who have been treated for AF. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the following electronic databases: CENTRAL in the Cochrane Library, MEDLINE Ovid, Embase Ovid, PsycINFO Ovid, Web of Science Core Collection Thomson Reuters, CINAHL EBSCO, LILACS BIREME, and two clinical trial registers on 24 March 2024. We imposed no language restrictions. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised clinical trials (RCTs) that investigated ExCR interventions compared with any type of non-exercise control. We included adults 18 years of age or older with any subtype of AF or those who had received treatment for AF. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Five review authors independently screened and extracted data in duplicate. We assessed risk of bias using Cochrane's RoB 1 tool as outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions. We assessed clinical and statistical heterogeneity by visual inspection of the forest plots and by using standard Chi² and I² statistics. We performed meta-analyses using random-effects models for continuous and dichotomised outcomes. We calculated standardised mean differences where different scales were used for the same outcome. We used the GRADE approach to assess the certainty of the evidence. MAIN RESULTS: We included 20 RCTs involving a total of 2039 participants with AF. All trials were conducted between 2006 and 2024, with a follow-up period ranging from eight weeks to five years. We assessed the certainty of evidence as moderate to very low. Five trials assessed comprehensive ExCR programmes, which included educational or psychological interventions, or both; the remaining 15 trials compared exercise-only cardiac rehabilitation with controls. The overall risk of bias in the included studies was mixed. Details on random sequence generation, allocation concealment, and use of intention-to-treat analysis were typically poorly reported. Evidence from nine trials (n = 1173) suggested little to no difference in mortality between ExCR and non-exercise controls (risk ratio (RR) 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 1.49; I² = 0%; 101 deaths; low-certainty evidence). Based on evidence from 10 trials (n = 825), ExCR may have little to no effect on SAEs (RR 1.30, 95% CI 0.63 to 2.67; I² = 0%; 28 events; low-certainty evidence). Evidence from four trials (n = 378) showed that ExCR likely reduced AF recurrence (measured via Holter monitoring) compared to controls (RR 0.70, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.88; I² = 2%; moderate-certainty evidence). ExCR may reduce AF symptom severity (mean difference (MD) -1.59, 95% CI -2.98 to -0.20; I² = 61%; n = 600; low-certainty evidence); likely reduces AF symptom burden (MD -1.61, 95% CI -2.76 to -0.45; I² = 0%; n = 317; moderate-certainty evidence); may reduce AF episode frequency (MD -1.29, 95% CI -2.50 to -0.07; I² = 75%; n = 368; low-certainty evidence); and likely reduces AF episode duration (MD -0.58, 95% CI -1.14 to -0.03; I² = 0%; n = 317; moderate-certainty evidence), measured via the AF Severity Scale (AFSS) questionnaire. Moderate-certainty evidence from six trials (n = 504) showed that ExCR likely improved the mental component summary measure in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) of the 36-item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) (MD 2.66, 95% CI 1.22 to 4.11; I² = 2%), but the effect of ExCR on the physical component summary measure was very uncertain (MD 1.75, 95% CI -0.31 to 3.81; I² = 52%; very low-certainty evidence). ExCR also may improve individual components of HRQoL (general health, vitality, emotional role functioning, and mental health) and exercise capacity (peak oxygen uptake (VO2peak) and 6-minute walk test) following ExCR. The effects of ExCR on serious adverse events and exercise capacity were consistent across different models of ExCR delivery: centre compared to home-based, exercise dose, exercise only compared to comprehensive programmes, and aerobic training alone compared to aerobic plus resistance programmes. Using univariate meta-regression, there was evidence of significant association between location of trial and length of longest follow-up on exercise capacity. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Due to few randomised participants and typically short-term follow-up, the impact of ExCR on all-cause mortality or serious adverse events for people with AF is uncertain. ExCR likely improves AF-specific measures including reduced AF recurrence, symptom burden, and episode duration, as well as the mental components of HRQoL. ExCR may improve AF symptom severity, episode frequency, and VO2peak. Future high-quality RCTs are needed to assess the benefits of ExCR for people with AF on patient-relevant outcomes including AF symptom severity and burden, AF recurrence, AF-specific quality of life, and clinical events such as mortality, readmissions, and serious adverse events. High-quality trials are needed to investigate how AF subtype and clinical setting (i.e. primary and secondary care) may influence ExCR effectiveness.

Diabetes mellitus and adverse clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: A report from the GLORIA-AF registry phase III.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) are both associated with adverse clinical events, but the associations have not been fully elucidated, particularly with concomitant insulin use. This study aimed to analyse the associations between adverse events and DM, as well as adverse events and sole insulin use. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our analysis included individuals with AF from the prospective Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-Thrombotic Treatment in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (GLORIA-AF) registry with 3-year follow-up. Outcomes included all-cause death, major bleeding, cardiovascular (CV) death, myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, thromboembolism and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). RESULTS: A total of 15 861 AF individuals were included (age 70.0 ± 10.2 years; 55% male, 20% Asian), of whom, 3666 had DM (age 70.0 ± 9.5 years ; 59% male, 21% Asian). After adjustment, those with DM had higher risks of all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.46, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-1.66), CV death (HR: 1.53 95% CI: 1.27-1.86), major bleeding (HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01-1.48), MI (HR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.17-1.94) and MACE (HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.23-1.63). Compared to individuals with DM receiving oral hypoglycaemic agents, those receiving insulin alone were associated with increased risks of all-cause death (HR: 2.16, 95% CI: 1.61-2.91), CV death (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.45-3.47), major bleeding (HR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1. 21-2.95), MI (HR: 2.24, 95% CI: 1.31-3.82) and MACE (HR: 2.11, 95% CI: 1.54-2.88). CONCLUSIONS: DM was independently associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE in AF individuals. Individuals receiving insulin alone were associated with higher risks of all-cause death, CV death, MI, major bleeding and MACE.

Association between exposure to air pollution and increased ischemic stroke incidence: a retrospective population-based cohort study (EP-PARTICLES study).

AIMS: Short-term effects of Polish smog, particularly benzo(alpha)pyrene (B(a)P), are unclear. We aimed to examine the association between short-term exposure to air pollution and ischemic stroke (IS) incidence. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study including an EP-PARTICLES cohort of 8 million inhabitants in the years 2011-2020 (80 million person-years of observation). Individual clinical data on emergency hospitalizations due to IS - ICD-10: I63.X was analyzed. We used quasi-Poisson models to examine municipality-specific associations between air pollutants and IS, considering various covariates. RESULTS: We recorded 146,262 cases of IS with a dominance of females (51.8%) and people over 65 years old (77.6%). In the overall population, exposure to PM2.5, NO2, B(a)P and SO2 increased the risk of IS onset on the day of exposure by 2.4%, 1%, 0.8%, and 0.6%, respectively. Age and sex were modifying variables for PM2.5, NO2 and B(a)P exposure with more pronounced effects in non-elderly individuals and women (all pinteraction< 0.001). Residents of regions with high tobacco and alcohol consumption were more sensitive to the effects of PM2.5 and SO2. The slopes of response-effect curves were non-linear and steeper at lower concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to air pollution may be associated with higher IS incidence, particularly posing a higher risk to non-elderly women. Harmful lifestyle habits might exacerbate its impact. Exposure to even low levels of air pollutants had negative effects.

The present study aimed to analyze the association between exposure to air pollution and IS incidence: Exposure to even low levels of air pollution, including B(a)P, might be associated with higher IS incidence and characteristics of the patients or their place of residence can modify its effectThe most vulnerable phenotype is non-elderly woman and harmful lifestyle habits, such as smoking and drinking alcohol, can further increase the negative effects of air pollution.

Components of the Atrial fibrillation Better Care pathway for holistic care of patients with atrial fibrillation: a win ratio analysis from the COOL-AF registry.

AIMS: Compliance with integrated care based on the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway has been associated with improved clinical outcomes. The primary objective of this study was to compare clinical outcomes of AF patients according to the compliant status of each component of the ABC pathway in a hierarchical win ratio approach. METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied AF patients in the COOL-AF registry. Each patient was followed every 6 months until 3 years. A win ratio analysis was performed, as not all clinical outcomes are equivalent. The hierarchical outcomes were (1) all-cause death, (2) intracranial haemorrhage (ICH), (3) ischaemic stroke/systemic embolism, (4) non-ICH major bleedings, and (5) acute myocardial infarction or heart failure. We also assessed win ratio and win proportion variance over the follow-up time, and the variations over time. A total of 3405 patients (mean age 67.8 ± 11.3; 41.8% female) were studied. Win ratio of ABC-compliant (all three components) vs. ABC-not-compliant was 1.57 (1.35-1.83), P < 0.001. When adding time in therapeutic range (TTR) data for compliant criteria for those who were on warfarin, the win ratio increased to 2.28 (1.89-2.75), P < 0.001. The A-compliant group (plus TTR data), B-compliant, and C-compliant had the win ratio of 1.81 (1.51-2.12), 1.82 (1.53-2.16), and 1.39 (1.18-1.62), all P < 0.001, compared to not compliant group. CONCLUSION: Management of AF patients according to each component of the ABC pathway is associated with better clinical outcomes compared to those non-compliant to ABC pathway. This finding underscores the importance of a holistic management approach strategy for AF patients.

Residual Risks of Thrombotic Complications in Anticoagulated Patients with Atrial Fibrillation: A Cluster Analysis Approach from the GLORIA-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: Assessment of residual thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) prescribed oral anticoagulants (OACs) remains unexplored. We performed hierarchical cluster analysis to identify phenotypic profiles of these patients and their risks of residual thromboembolic events. METHODS: We utilised data from non-valvular AF patients on OACs, as documented in phases II and III of the GLORIA-AF (Global Registry on Long-Term Oral Anti-thrombotic Treatment in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation) registry. We performed a hierarchical cluster analysis to identify distinct phenotypic profiles. We compared the incidence and risks of thromboembolic events (composite of ischaemic stroke, transient ischaemic attack, or systemic embolism) and related outcomes (major bleeding and all-cause death) across the profiles. We determined the optimal number of profiles through visual inspection of the generated dendrograms. RESULTS: We included 22,410 patients (mean age 70 ± 8 years; 56% male), from which five phenotypes were identified: profile 1 ("uncontrolled hypertension"), profile 2 ("young with a history of coronary artery disease"), profile 3 ("young and obese"), profile 4 ("frailty"), and profile 5 ("non-paroxysmal AF with tachycardia"). Profile 4 was associated with the highest rates of thromboembolic events (1.66/100 person-years [95% confidence interval, 1.46-1.89]), major bleeding (1.92/100 person-years [1.70-2.16]), and death (6.02/100 person-years [5.62-6.43]). Profile 3 was associated with the lowest risk across all measured outcomes (thromboembolic events, 0.64 events/100 person-years [0.48-0.82]; major bleeding, 0.83 events/100 person-years [0.65-1.04]; and death, 1.44 events/100 person-years [1.21-1.71]). Profile 1 had a moderate thromboembolic event rate (1.04/100 person-years [0.91-1.08]), while profiles 2 and 5 showed lower rates. CONCLUSIONS: The phenotypic profiles of patients with AF prescribed OACs identified using hierarchical cluster analysis are associated with distinct residual thromboembolic risks and related outcomes. This approach has the potential to enhance patient risk-stratification and holistic approaches to management.

Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator and Resynchronization Therapy in Patients With Overt Chronic Kidney Disease: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

Heart failure and chronic kidney disease are common and clinically important conditions that regularly coexist. Electrophysiologic changes of advanced heart failure often result in abnormal conduction, causing dyssynchronous contraction, and development of ventricular arrhythmias, which can lead to sudden cardiac arrest. In the last 2 decades, implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy devices have been developed to address these complications. However, when the coexisting chronic kidney disease is advanced, the associated pathophysiologic cardiovascular changes can alter the efficacy and safety of those interventions and complicate the management. This review explores the impact of comorbid advanced heart failure and advanced chronic kidney disease on the efficacy and safety of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, the currently available evidence, and potential future directions.

Atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery: identifying candidate predictors through a Delphi process.

OBJECTIVES: This study was undertaken to identify potential predictors of atrial fibrillation after cardiac surgery (AFACS) through a modified Delphi process and expert consensus. These will supplement predictors identified through a systematic review and cohort study to inform the development of two AFACS prediction models as part of the PARADISE project (NCT05255224). Atrial fibrillation is a common complication after cardiac surgery. It is associated with worse postoperative outcomes. Reliable prediction of AFACS would enable risk stratification and targeted prevention. Systematic identification of candidate predictors is important to improve validity of AFACS prediction tools. DESIGN: This study is a Delphi consensus exercise. SETTING: This study was undertaken through remote participation. PARTICIPANTS: The participants are an international multidisciplinary panel of experts selected through national research networks. INTERVENTIONS: This is a two-stage consensus exercise consisting of generating a long list of variables, followed by refinement by voting and retaining variables selected by at least 40% of panel members. RESULTS: The panel comprised 15 experts who participated in both stages, comprising cardiac intensive care physicians (n=3), cardiac anaesthetists (n=2), cardiac surgeons (n=1), cardiologists (n=4), cardiac pharmacists (n=1), critical care nurses (n=1), cardiac nurses (n=1) and patient representatives (n=2). Our Delphi process highlighted candidate AFACS predictors, including both patient factors and those related to the surgical intervention. We generated a final list of 72 candidate predictors. The final list comprised 3 demographic, 29 comorbidity, 4 vital sign, 13 intraoperative, 10 postoperative investigation and 13 postoperative intervention predictors. CONCLUSIONS: A Delphi consensus exercise has the potential to highlight predictors beyond the scope of existing literature. This method proved effective in identifying a range of candidate AFACS predictors. Our findings will inform the development of future AFACS prediction tools as part of the larger PARADISE project. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05255224.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation and multimorbidity: a Swedish national register-based cohort study.

Introduction: Current research on potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP) in polymedicated older adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) and multimorbidity is predominantly focused on PIP of oral anticoagulants (OAC). Our study aimed to assess (i) the overall prevalence of PIP in older multimorbid adults with AF, (ii) potential associated factors of PIP, and (iii) the association of PIP with adverse health outcomes in a nationwide sample of Swedish older adults. Methods: Swedish national registries were linked to establish a cohort with a 2-year follow-up of older adults (≥65y) who, on 1 January 2017, had a diagnosis of AF and had at least one comorbidity (n = 203,042). PIP was assessed using the reduced STOPP/START version 2 screening tool. The STOPP criteria identify potentially inappropriate prescribed medications (PIM), while the START criteria identify potential prescribing omissions (PPO). PIP is identified as having at least one PIM and/or PPO. Cox regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between PIP and adverse health outcomes: mortality, hospitalisation, stroke, bleeding, and falls. Results: PIP was highly prevalent in older adults with AF, with both polypharmacy (69.6%) and excessive polypharmacy (85.9%). In the study population, benzodiazepines (22.9%), hypnotic Z-medications (17.8%) and analgesics (8.7%) were the most frequent PIM. Anticoagulants (34.3%), statins (11.1%), vitamin D and calcium (13.4%) were the most frequent PPO. Demographic factors and polypharmacy were associated with different PIM and PPO categories, with the nature of these associations differing based on the specific type of PIM and PPO. The co-occurrence of PIM and PPO, compared to appropriate prescribing, was associated with an increased risk of adverse health outcomes compared to all appropriately prescribed medications: cardiovascular (CV) (Hazard ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval] = 1.97 [1.88-2.07]) and overall mortality (HR = 2.09 [2.03-2.16]), CV (HR = 1.34 [1.30-1.37]) and overall hospitalisation (HR = 1.48 [1.46-1.51]), stroke (HR = 1.93 [1.78-2.10]), bleeding (HR = 1.10 [1.01-1.21]), and falls (HR = 1.63 [1.56-1.71]). Conclusion: The present study reports a high prevalence of PIP in multimorbid polymedicated older adults with AF. Additionally, a nuanced relationship between prescribing patterns, patient characteristics, and adverse health outcomes was observed. These findings emphasise the importance of implementing tailored interventions to optimise medication management in this patient population.

Asundexian versus Apixaban in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Stroke prevention with direct-acting oral anticoagulant agents in patients with atrial fibrillation confers a risk of bleeding and limits their use. Asundexian, an activated factor XI (XIa) inhibitor, is an oral anticoagulant that may prevent strokes with less bleeding. METHODS: In a phase 3, international, double-blind trial, we randomly assigned high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation in a 1:1 ratio to receive asundexian at a dose of 50 mg once daily or standard-dose apixaban. The primary efficacy objective was to determine whether asundexian is at least noninferior to apixaban for the prevention of stroke or systemic embolism. The primary safety objective was to determine whether asundexian is superior to apixaban with respect to major bleeding events. RESULTS: A total of 14,810 randomly assigned patients were included in the intention-to-treat population. The mean (±SD) age of the patients was 73.9±7.7 years, 35.2% were women, 18.6% had chronic kidney disease, 18.2% had a previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, 16.8% had received oral anticoagulants for no more than 6 weeks, and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score (range, 0 to 9, with higher scores indicating a greater risk of stroke) was 4.3±1.3. The trial was stopped prematurely at the recommendation of the independent data monitoring committee. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 98 patients (1.3%) assigned to receive asundexian and in 26 (0.4%) assigned to receive apixaban (hazard ratio, 3.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.46 to 5.83). Major bleeding occurred in 17 patients (0.2%) who received asundexian and in 53 (0.7%) who received apixaban (hazard ratio, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.18 to 0.55). The incidence of any adverse event appeared to be similar in the two groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke, treatment with asundexian at a dose of 50 mg once daily was associated with a higher incidence of stroke or systemic embolism than treatment with apixaban in the period before the trial was stopped prematurely. There were fewer major bleeding events with asundexian than with apixaban during this time. (Funded by Bayer; OCEANIC-AF ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05643573; EudraCT number, 2022-000758-28.).

Metabolically "extremely unhealthy" obese and non-obese people with diabetes and the risk of cardiovascular adverse events: the Silesia Diabetes - Heart Project.

BACKGROUND: There is a growing burden of non-obese people with diabetes mellitus (DM). However, their cardiovascular risk (CV), especially in the presence of cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) comorbidities is poorly characterised. The aim of this study was to analyse the risk of major CV adverse events in people with DM according to the presence of obesity and comorbidities (hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and dyslipidaemia). METHODS: We analysed persons who were enrolled in the prospective Silesia Diabetes Heart Project (NCT05626413). Individuals were divided into 6 categories according to the presence of different clinical risk factors (obesity and CKM comorbidities): (i) Group 1: non-obese with 0 CKM comorbidities; (ii) Group 2: non-obese with 1-2 CKM comorbidities; (iii) Group 3: non-obese with 3 CKM comorbidities (non-obese "extremely unhealthy"); (iv) Group 4: obese with 0 CKM comorbidities; (v) Group 5: obese with 1-2 CKM comorbidities; and (vi) Group 6: obese with 3 CKM comorbidities (obese "extremely unhealthy"). The primary outcome was a composite of CV death, myocardial infarction (MI), new onset of heart failure (HF), and ischemic stroke. RESULTS: 2105 people with DM were included [median age 60 (IQR 45-70), 48.8% females]. Both Group 1 and Group 6 were associated with a higher risk of events of the primary composite outcome (aHR 4.50, 95% CI 1.20-16.88; and aHR 3.78, 95% CI 1.06-13.47, respectively). On interaction analysis, in "extremely unhealthy" persons the impact of CKM comorbidities in determining the risk of adverse events was consistent in obese and non-obese ones (Pint=0.824), but more pronounced in individuals aged < 65 years compared to older adults (Pint= 0.028). CONCLUSION: Both non-obese and obese people with DM and 3 associated CKM comorbidities represent an "extremely unhealthy" phenotype which are at the highest risk of CV adverse events. These results highlight the importance of risk stratification of people with DM for risk factor management utilising an interdisciplinary approach.

Incidence of new onset type 2 diabetes in adults living with obesity treated with tirzepatide or semaglutide: real world evidence from an international retrospective cohort study.

Background: Tirzepatide, a novel dual agonist of glucagon-like-peptide-1 (GLP-1) and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP), has demonstrated greater magnitude of weight loss compared to semaglutide in a phase 3 clinical trial. However, the effect of tirzepatide on incidence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in individuals with overweight and obesity, and the effect on major adverse cardiovascular outcomes in individuals with pre-existing T2D, remains unknown. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study of anonymised electronic medical records using the TriNetX network (TriNetX LLC, Cambridge, MA, USA) a global federated database. The data used in this study was collected on 5th June 2024. Two cohorts of individuals were generated: 1) without pre-existing T2D and, 2) with T2D. We adopted an active comparator new user design on new initiations of either tirzepatide or semaglutide therapy. Analysis began from the index event which was defined as individuals on respective therapy for 6 months only. Analysis of outcomes was conducted off-drug, in individuals without a pre-existing history of the disease of interest. Individuals were followed up for 12 months post the index event. Primary outcome for cohort 1 was incidence of T2D, and for cohort 2 was composite: all-cause mortality, cerebral infarction, acute coronary syndrome, and heart failure. Secondary outcomes for cohort 1 were change in HbA1c and body weight and for cohort 2: incidence of micro- and macrovascular complications, suicidal ideation and/or attempt, and all-cause mortality. We propensity score matched (1:1) for potential confounders: baseline demographics, socioeconomic circumstances, HbA1c, weight, relevant co-morbidities, and anti-obesity, hypoglycaemic and cardioprotective agents. Findings: The study population without T2D consisted of 13,846 individuals, equally split between tirzepatide and semaglutide users. Tirzepatide was associated with both lower risk for incident T2D (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.58-0.92, p < 0.001) and greater weight loss (-7.7 kg, [95% CI -6.8, -8.5 kg], p < 0.001), compared to semaglutide (-4.8 kg, [95% CI -3.9, -5.6 kg], p < 0.001). In individuals with pre-existing T2D (n = 8446), tirzepatide was associated with lower risk of the composite outcome (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.38-0.76, p < 0.001), cerebral infarction (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.24-0.84, p = 0.010) and all-cause mortality (HR 0.33, 95% CI 0.15-0.73, p = 0.004) compared to semaglutide. Interpretation: Tirzepatide is associated with significantly reduced risk of developing T2D and major adverse cardiovascular events in individuals living with obesity and T2D respectively. Randomised controlled trials investigating the utility of dual incretin agonists in the primary prevention of T2D and cardiovascular disease in higher risk populations are now required. Funding: Nil.