Measurable Residual Disease as Predictor of Post-Day +100 Relapses Following Allografting in Adult AML.

Measurable residual disease (MRD) by multiparametric flow cytometry (MFC) before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) identifies patients at high risk of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) relapse, often occurring early after allografting. To examine the role of MFC MRD testing for the prediction of later relapses, we examined 935 adults with AML or myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS)/AML transplanted in first or second morphologic remission who underwent bone marrow restaging studies between day 70 and 100 post-HCT and were alive and without relapse by day +100. Of these 136 (15%) had MRD before HCT, whereas only 11 (1%) had MRD at day +70-100. In day +100 landmark analyses, pre-HCT and day +70-100 MFC MRD were both associated with relapse (both P<0.001), relapse-free survival (RFS; both P<0.001) overall survival (OS; both P<0.001), and, for post-HCT MRD, non-relapse mortality (P=0.001) after multivariable adjustment. Importantly, while 126 of the 136 patients (92%) with MRD before HCT tested negative for MRD at day +70-100, their outcomes were inferior to those without MRD before HCT and at day +70-100, with 3-year relapse risk of 40% vs. 15% (P<0.001), 3-year RFS of 50% vs. 72% (P<0.001), and 3-year OS of 56% vs. 76% (P<0.001), whereas 3-year NRM estimates were similar (P=0.53). Thus, despite high MRD conversion rates, outcomes for MRDpos/MRDneg patients are inferior to MRDneg/MRDneg patients, suggesting all patients with pre-HCT MRD should be considered for pre-emptive therapeutic strategies after allografting.

Reverse Selection Designs for Accommodating Multiple Control Arms.

Evaluating a novel treatment in a randomized controlled trial requires comparison against existing therapies. If several existing therapies of similar benefit exist, the identification of a single control regimen may be difficult. For this situation, we propose a reverse selection design which, in its simplest form, includes a single experimental treatment arm and two control arms. Rather than carrying both control arms through the entire trial, the control arms are compared at an early interim analysis, ideally while accrual is ongoing. At this time, the worst-performing control arm is dropped and randomization continues to the remaining arms. At the end of the study, we compare the treatment to the remaining control arm. When no head-to-head comparison of the extant therapies is available or feasible, this design requires a smaller sample size than a traditional three-arm design or two sequential trials in which the extant therapies are compared and the better treatment is used in a subsequent trial as the control arm. This is because the final comparison is only between two arms and because the early interim analysis occurs prior to the end of accrual - yet with enough information such that any substantially better control arm will be selected. We evaluate the operating characteristics of a reverse selection design via simulation and show that it reduces the required sample size needed to compare the treatment against the best control, controls type I error, and likely selects the right control arm to use in the final analysis.

SWOG/NCI Phase II Dual Anti-CTLA-4/PD-1 Blockade in Rare Tumors (DART): Non-Epithelial Ovarian Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The role of dual checkpoint inhibition in advanced rare/ultra-rare non-epithelial ovarian cancers (NEOCs) is yet to be explored. METHODS: DART is a prospective, multicenter (1,016 US sites), multi-cohort, single-arm phase II trial conducted through the Early Therapeutics and Rare Cancer SWOG/NCI Committee, assessing ipilimumab (anti-CTLA-4) (1mg/kg every 6 weeks) and nivolumab (anti-PD-1) (240mg every 2 weeks) in adults with advanced NEOCs who lack beneficial standard therapy. Primary outcome was overall response rate [ORR; complete response (CR)/partial response (PR)]; secondary outcomes were progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), clinical benefit rate [CBR; stable disease (SD) ≥6 months plus ORR], and toxicity. RESULTS: Seventeen patients (median age: 64; number of prior therapies ranged from 0-8 with no immunotherapy exposure; 8 granulosa, 6 carcinosarcomas, 1 Sertoli-Leydig, 1 yolk sac, 1 Wolffian) were evaluated. In granulosa cell tumors, ORR was 25% (n=2/8; 1 CR, 1 PR) and CBR, 50% (n=4/8); PFS of 58.3 (CR), 50.7+ (PR), 30.4 (SD), and 8.7 (SD) months. Median PFS was 3.5 months (95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.7-11.2 months); median OS, 42.5 months (95% CI 10.1 months-not reached). One Sertoli-Leydig cell tumor showed a 22% regression (PFS 11.2 months). Carcinosarcomas had no response. Three participants (18%) discontinued treatment due to grade 3-4 adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Ipilimumab-nivolumab shows activity in treatment-refractory granulosa cell tumors, with 25% (n=2/8) of patients experiencing either CR or PR lasting over 4 years.​.

Identification of factors predicting low-risk febrile neutropenia admissions in adults with acute myeloid leukemia (AML).

Febrile neutropenia (FN) is the most common reason for hospital readmission following chemotherapy for AML and is a major driver of healthcare resource utilization. While FN risk models exist, these have largely been developed and validated in solid tumors. We therefore examined whether baseline characteristics could predict which AML patients with FN have a lower risk of progression to severe illness. We identified adults with high-grade myeloid neoplasm (³10% blasts in blood/marrow) who received intensive chemotherapy and were admitted for FN from 2016-2023. We collected baseline clinical and disease variables. Outcomes were: infections identified, hospital length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and survival. A "lower-risk [LR]" outcome was defined as LOS <72hrs without ICU admission or inpatient death. Univariate and multivariable (MV) logistic regression models were used to assess covariate associations with outcomes. We identified 397 FN admissions in 248 patients (median age 61 [range: 29-77] years). The median hospital LOS was 6 (range: 1-56) days; 10% required ICU admission and 3.5% died inpatient. Only 15% of admissions were LR. Infection was identified in 59% of admissions. Physiologic parameters including heart rate, blood pressure and fever height were the best predictors of LR admission and infection. We developed MV models to predict LR admission and infection with AUCs of 0.82 and AUC 0.72, respectively. Established FN and critical illness models were not predictive of outcomes in AML, where we could not identify a lower risk group; thus an AML-specific FN risk model requires further development and validation.

Phase II basket trial of dual anti-CTLA-4 and anti-PD-1 blockade in rare tumors (DART) SWOG S1609: the desmoid tumors.

BACKGROUND: Dual inhibition using anti-programmed death-1 (PD-1) and anti-cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen-4 (CTLA-4) checkpoint inhibitors has proven effective in many cancers. However, its efficacy in rare solid cancers remains unclear. Desmoid tumors are ultrarare soft-tissue tumors, traditionally treated with surgery. This study reviews the first results of using ipilimumab and nivolumab in the desmoid tumor cohort of the SWOG S1609 Dual Anti-CTLA-4 & Anti-PD-1 blockade in Rare Tumors (DART) trial. METHODS: DART is a prospective/open-label/multicenter (1,016 US sites)/multicohort phase II trial of ipilimumab (1 mg/kg intravenously every 6 weeks) plus nivolumab (240 mg intravenously every 2 weeks) that opened at 1,016 US sites. The primary endpoint included overall response rate (ORR) defined as confirmed complete (CR) and partial responses (PR) based on Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) v.1.1. Secondary endpoints include progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), clinical benefit rate (CBR; stable disease (SD) ≥6 months plus CR and PR) and toxicity. RESULTS: Sixteen evaluable patients (median age: 37) with desmoid tumors and a median of 1.5 prior therapies (with no prior exposure to immunotherapy) were analyzed. The tumors varied in location (eight abdomen, three lower limb, two upper limb, two pelvis, and one neck). ORR was 18.8% (3/16; 3 confirmed PR): 40% regression (PFS 30+ months), 83% regression (PFS 16 months) and 71% regression (PFS 8.4 months). Seven additional patients (43.8%) had prolonged SD over 6 months (PFS: 16.5, 22.4+, 22.6, 30.1, 38.2+, 48.3+ and 60.7+ months). Overall CBR was 62.5% (10/16). Median PFS was 19.4 months, with 6-month PFS of 73% and 1-year PFS of 67%. All patients were alive at 1 year; median OS was not assessable, as 13 patients were alive at analysis. Common adverse events included fatigue, nausea and hypothyroidism, with 50% experiencing grade 3-4 events. There were no grade 5 events. CONCLUSION: Treatment with ipilimumab and nivolumab in desmoid tumors yielded an ORR of 18.8% and a CBR of 62.5% with durable responses seen. This is the first prospective study exploring the efficacy of this combination in this rare disease. Ongoing studies aim to identify markers for response and resistance. Expanded trials are necessary. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02834013.

Relationship between morphologic remission with or without hematologic recovery and outcome after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in adult acute myeloid leukemia.

Outcomes of adults with AML after allografting vary widely. While numerous covariates have been associated with relapse, non-relapse mortality (NRM), and/or shorter survival, the impact of incomplete blood count recovery before transplantation has remained unclear. To address this uncertainty, we examined all adults with AML or MDS/AML who received an allograft in first or second remission between 2006 and 2023 at a single institution. Of 1264 patients, 891 (70%) met criteria for CR, whereas 291 (23%), 24 (2%), and 58 (5%) were classified as CRh, CRi, and morphologic leukemia-free state (MLFS), respectively. CR, CRh, CRi, and MLFS patients differed significantly regarding demographics, disease biology, pre-transplant measurable residual disease, and types of transplants. After multivariable adjustment, outcomes for CRh and CRi patients were not significantly different from each other or from those of CR patients. In contrast, outcomes of MLFS patients were substantially worse than those of CR and CRh patients, with significantly higher risk of NRM and relapse, and significantly shorter relapse-free and overall survival. Similar results were obtained in several distinct subsets. Together, our analysis provides empiric evidence for the importance of distinguishing MLFS from CR and CRh patients for optimized risk assessment and, possibly, individualized treatment decision making.

Care Patterns and Barriers to Outpatient Care for Adults With AML Following Intensive Chemotherapy at NCCN Member Institutions.

BACKGROUND: Prolonged hospitalization following intensive (re)induction chemotherapy for acute myeloid leukemia (AML), while standard, is costly and resource intense, limits inpatient bed capacity, and negatively impacts quality of life. Early hospital discharge (EHD) following completion of chemotherapy has proven safe as an alternative at select institutions, but is not widely implemented. PATIENTS AND METHODS: From February 2023 through May 2023, the NCCN Best Practices Committee conducted a survey evaluating AML hospitalization patterns, care models, and barriers to EHD at its 33 member institutions. RESULTS: A total of 30 (91%) institutions completed the survey; two-thirds treat >100 patients with AML annually and 45% treat more than half of these with intensive chemotherapy. In the (re)induction setting, 80% of institutions keep patients hospitalized until blood count recovery, whereas 20% aim to discharge patients after completion of chemotherapy if medically stable and logistically feasible. The predominant reasons for the perceived need for ongoing hospitalization were high risk of infection, treatment toxicities, and lack of nearby/accessible housing. There was no significant association between ability to practice EHD and annual AML volume or treatment intensity patterns (P=.60 and P=.11, respectively). In contrast, in the postremission setting, 87% of centers support patients following chemotherapy in the outpatient setting unless toxicities arise requiring readmission. Survey responses showed that 80% of centers were interested in exploring EHD after (re)induction but noted significant barriers, including accessible housing (71%), transportation (50%), high toxicity/infection rate (50%), high transfusion burden (50%), and limited bed availability for rehospitalization (50%). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization and care patterns following intensive AML therapy vary widely across major US cancer institutions. Although only 20% of surveyed centers practice EHD following intensive (re)induction chemotherapy, 87% do so following postremission therapy. Given the interest in exploring the EHD approach given potential advantages of EHD for both patients and health care systems, strategies to address identified medical and logistical barriers should be explored.

Phase II basket trial of Dual Anti-CTLA-4 and Anti-PD-1 blockade in Rare Tumors (DART) SWOG S1609: adrenocortical carcinoma cohort.

OBJECTIVES: Multiple common cancers benefit from immunotherapy; however, less is known about efficacy in rare tumors. We report the results of the adrenocortical carcinoma cohort of NCI/SWOG S1609 Dual Anti-CTLA-4 and Anti-PD-1 blockade in Rare Tumors. DESIGN/SETTING: A prospective, phase 2 clinical trial of ipilimumab plus nivolumab was conducted by the SWOG Early Therapeutics and Rare Cancers Committee for multiple rare tumor cohorts across >1,000 National Clinical Trial Network sites. PARTICIPANTS: 21 eligible patients were registered. Median age was 53 years (range 26-69); 16 (76%) were women. INTERVENTIONS: Ipilimumab 1 mg/kg intravenously every 6 weeks with nivolumab 240 mg intravenously every 2 weeks was administered until disease progression, symptomatic deterioration, treatment delay for any reason >56 days, unacceptable or immune-related toxicity with inability to decrease prednisone to <10 mg daily, or per patient request. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary endpoint was the overall response rate (ORR) (RECIST V.1.1). Secondary endpoints include clinical benefit rate (CBR) (includes stable disease (SD)>6 months), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and toxicity. Immune-related outcomes included immune ORR (iORR), immune CBR (iCBR), and immune PFS (iPFS). A two-stage design was used assuming: null=5% alternative=30%, n=6 in the first stage, 16 max, one-sided alpha=13%. RESULTS: The median number of prior therapy lines was 2 (range: 1-9). 3 of 21 patients attained confirmed partial response (PR) (ORR=14%). In addition, one patient had an unconfirmed PR; one, stable disease (SD)>6 months; one, immune-related RECIST (iRECIST) PR (iPR); and one patient attained iSD>6 months: clinical benefit rate (response or SD>6 months)=5/21 (24%), iORR=4/21 (19%), iCBR=7/21 (33%). The 6-month PFS was 24%; 6-month iPFS, 33%. The PFS for patients (N=7) with iRECIST clinical benefit were 57, 52, 18, 15, 13, 7, and 7 months. The 6-month OS was 76%; the median OS, was 15.8 months. The most common toxicities were fatigue (62%) and rash (38%), and the most common grade 3/4 immune-related adverse events were hepatic dysfunction (9.5%) and adrenal insufficiency (9.5%). Treatment-related adverse events leading to discontinuation of therapy in four patients (21%). There were no grade 5 adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Ipilimumab plus nivolumab is active in refractory metastatic adrenocortical cancer meeting the primary endpoint of the study, with a 19% iORR and 33% iCBR (includes SD/iSD>6 months) and with the longest PFS/iPFS of 52 and 57 months. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT02834013 (registered 15 July, 2016; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT02834013).

Association between class III obesity and overall survival in previously untreated younger patients with acute myeloid leukemia enrolled on SWOG S1203.

There has been ongoing debate on the association between obesity and outcomes in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Currently few studies have stratified outcomes by class I obesity, class II obesity, and class III obesity, and a more nuanced understanding is becoming increasingly important with the rising prevalence of obesity. We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in previously untreated AML in younger patients (age ≤60) enrolled in SWOG S1203 (n = 729). Class III obesity was associated with an increased rate of early death (p = 0.004) and worse overall survival (OS) in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.62-3.80 versus normal weight). Class III obesity was also associated with worse OS after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HR 2.37, 95% CI 1.24-4.54 versus normal weight). These findings highlight the unique risk of class III obesity in AML, and the importance of further investigation to better characterize this patient population.

Second Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Relapsed Adult Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Outcomes and Prognostic Factors.

Second allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT2) is potentially curative for adults with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS)/AML experiencing relapse after a first allograft (HCT1), but prognostic factors for outcomes are poorly characterized. To provide a detailed analysis of HCT2 outcomes and associated prognostic factors in a large single-center cohort, with a focus on identifying predictors of relapse and nonrelapse mortality (NRM), we studied adults ≥18 years who underwent HCT2 at a single institution between April 2006 and June 2022 for relapsed AML (n = 73) or MDS/AML (n = 8). With a median follow-up among survivors of 74.0 (range: 10.4 to 187.3) months, there were 30 relapses and 57 deaths, of which 29 were NRM events, contributing to the estimates for relapse, overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS), and NRM. Three-year estimates for relapse, RFS, and OS were 37% (95% confidence interval: 27% to 48%), 32% (23% to 44%), and 35% (26% to 47%). The rate of NRM at 100 days and 18 months was 20% (12% to 29%) and 28% (19% to 39%). Outcomes differed markedly across patient subsets and were substantially worse for patients who underwent HCT2 with active disease (ie, morphologic evidence of bone marrow and/or extramedullary disease), for patients who relapsed ≤6 months after HCT1, and for patients with higher HCT-specific Comorbidity Index (HCT-CI) or treatment-related mortality (TRM) scores. After multivariable adjustment, active disease was associated with a higher risk of relapse (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.19, P = .006) and shorter RFS (HR = 2.41, P = .008) as well as OS (HR = 2.17, P = .027) compared to transplant in morphologic remission without multiparameter flow cytometric evidence of measurable residual disease. Similarly, a relapse-free interval ≤6 months after the first allograft was associated with higher risk of relapse (HR = 5.86, P < .001) and shorter RFS (HR = 2.86; P = .001) and OS (HR = 2.45, P = .003). Additionally, a high HCT-CI score was associated with increased NRM (HR = 4.30, P = .035), and shorter RFS (HR = 3.87, P = .003) and OS (HR = 3.74, P = .006). Likewise, higher TRM scores were associated with increased risk of relapse (HR = 2.27; P = .024) and NRM (HR = 2.01, P = .001), and inferior RFS (HR = 1.90 P = .001) and OS (HR = 1.88, P = .001). A significant subset of patients with AML or MDS/AML relapse after HCT1 are alive and leukemia-free 3 years after undergoing HCT2. Our study identifies active leukemia at the time of HCT2 and early relapse after HCT1 as major adverse prognostic factors, highlighting patient subsets in particular need of novel therapeutic approaches, and supports the use of the HCT-CI and TRM scores for outcome prognostication.

Avoiding Delays in Reporting Time-to-Event Randomized Trials: Calendar Backstops and Other Approaches.

New oncology therapies that extend patients' lives beyond initial expectations and improving later-line treatments can lead to complications in clinical trial design and conduct. In particular, for trials with event-based analyses, the time to observe all the protocol-specified events can exceed the finite follow-up of a clinical trial or can lead to much delayed release of outcome data. With the advent of multiple classes of oncology therapies leading to much longer survival than in the past, this issue in clinical trial design and conduct has become increasingly important in recent years. We propose a straightforward prespecified backstop rule for trials with a time-to-event analysis and evaluate the impact of the rule with both simulated and real-world trial data. We then provide recommendations for implementing the rule across a range of oncology clinical trial settings.

Intensive Reinduction Chemotherapy Followed by Early Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation for Relapsed/Refractory High-Grade Myeloid Neoplasms.

Outcomes for adults with relapsed/refractory (R/R) high-grade myeloid neoplasms remain poor, with allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) the sole therapy likely to result in cure. We conducted the present study to determine the feasibility of early HCT-within 60 days of beginning reinduction chemotherapy-to see whether getting patients to HCT in an expeditious manner would expand the number of patients being offered this curative option. In this proof-of-principle feasibility study, we included adults age 18 to 75 years with R/R myeloid malignancies with ≥10% blood/marrow blasts at diagnosis who were eligible for a reduced-intensity HCT. Subjects received reinduction chemotherapy with cladribine, cytarabine, mitoxantrone, and filgrastim (CLAG-M) and proceeded to HCT with reduced-intensity conditioning (fludarabine/ melphalan). We enrolled 30 subjects, all of whom received CLAG-M reinduction, although only 9 underwent HCT within 60 days (<15, the predetermined threshold for feasibility "success"), with a median time to HCT of 48 days (range, 42 to 60 days). Eleven additional subjects received HCT beyond the target 60 days (off-study), with a median time to transplantation of 83 days (range, 53 to 367 days). Barriers to early HCT included infection, physician preference, lack of an HLA-matched donor, logistical delays, and disease progression, all of which may limit the real-world uptake of such early-to-transplantation protocols.

Association between class III obesity and overall survival in previously untreated younger patients with acute myeloid leukemia enrolled on SWOG S1203.

There has been ongoing debate on the association between obesity and outcomes in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Currently there are few studies that have stratified outcomes by class I obesity, class II obesity, and class III obesity; and a more nuanced understanding is becoming increasingly important with the rising prevalence of obesity. We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and outcomes in previously untreated AML in younger patients (age ≤60) enrolled in SWOG S1203 (n=729). Class III obesity was associated with an increased rate of early death (p=0.004) and worse overall survival (OS) in multivariate analysis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.62-3.80 versus normal weight). Class III obesity was also associated with worse OS after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HR 2.37, 95% CI 1.24-4.54 versus normal weight). These findings highlight the unique risk of class III obesity in AML, and the importance of further investigation to better characterize this patient population.

SWOG 1609 cohort 48: anti-CTLA-4 and anti-PD-1 for advanced gallbladder cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Most patients with advanced gallbladder cancer are treated with multiagent chemotherapy. Immune checkpoint inhibitors offer the possibility of a durable response with less toxicity. This prospective, multicenter, open-label study was designed to evaluate the anticancer activity of nivolumab plus ipilimumab in patients with advanced gallbladder cancer. METHODS: Nineteen patients with advanced gallbladder cancer refractory to ≥1 previous therapy received nivolumab 240 mg intravenously every 2 weeks and ipilimumab 1 mg/kg intravenously every 6 weeks until disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. The primary end point was confirmed radiographic overall response rate (ORR) (complete response [CR] + partial response [PR] confirmed on subsequent scan); secondary end points included unconfirmed overall response, clinical benefit rate (confirmed and unconfirmed responses + stable disease >6 months), progression-free survival, overall survival, and toxicity. RESULTS: The confirmed ORR was 16% (CR, n = 1 [5%]; PR, n = 2 [11%]); all were microsatellite stable, and the confirmed CR had undetectable programmed death-ligand 1 by immunohistochemistry. The unconfirmed ORR and clinical benefit rates were both 32%. The median duration of response was 14.8 months (range, 4-35.1+ months). The 6-month progression-free survival was 26% (95% CI, 12-55). The median overall survival was 7.0 months (95% CI, 3.9-19.1). The most common toxicities were fatigue (32%), anemia (26%), and anorexia (26%). Aspartate aminotransferase elevation was the most common grade 3/4 toxicity (11%). There was 1 possibly related death (sepsis with attendant hepatic failure). CONCLUSIONS: Ipilimumab plus nivolumab was well tolerated and showed modest efficacy with durable responses in previously treated patients with advanced gallbladder cancer. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02834013 (ClincialTrials.gov). PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: This prospective study assessed the efficacy and safety of nivolumab plus ipilimumab in 19 patients with advanced gallbladder cancer refractory to previous therapy. The combination demonstrated modest efficacy with a 16% confirmed overall response rate, durable responses, and manageable toxicities, suggesting potential benefits for this challenging patient population.

Relative prognostic value of flow cytometric measurable residual disease before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for adults with MDS/AML or AML.

Multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC) measurable residual disease (MRD) before allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) independently predicts poor outcomes in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Conversely, its prognostic value in the newly defined disease entity, myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS)/AML is unknown. To assess the relationship between disease type, pre-HCT MRD, and post-HCT outcomes, we retrospectively analyzed 1265 adults with MDS/AML (n = 151) or AML (n = 1114) who received a first allograft in first or second morphologic remission at a single institution between April 2006 and March 2023. At 3 years, relapse rates (29% for MDS/AML vs. 29% for AML, p = .98), relapse-free survival (RFS; 50% vs. 55%, p = .22), overall survival (OS; 52% vs. 60%, p = .073), and non-relapse mortality (22% vs. 16%, p = .14) were not statistically significantly different. However, a significant interaction was found between pre-HCT MFC MRD and disease type (MDS/AML vs. AML) for relapse (p = .009), RFS (p = .011), and OS (p = .039). The interaction models indicated that the hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between pre-HCT MRD and post-HCT outcomes were lower in patients with MDS/AML (for relapse: HR = 1.75 [0.97-3.15] in MDS/AML vs. 4.13 [3.31-5.16] in AML; for RFS: HR = 1.58 [1.02-2.45] vs. 2.98 [2.48-3.58]; for OS: HR = 1.50 [0.96-2.35] vs. 2.52 [2.09-3.06]). On the other hand, residual cytogenetic abnormalities at the time of HCT were equally informative in MDS/AML as in AML patients. Our data indicate that MFC-based pre-HCT MRD testing, but not testing for residual cytogenetic abnormalities, is less informative for MDS/AML than AML patients when used for prognostication of post-HCT outcomes.

Impact of socioeconomic disparities on outcomes in adults undergoing allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for acute myeloid leukemia.

Racial and socioeconomic disparities impact outcomes after chemotherapy and limit access to allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) in acute myeloid leukemia (AML), yet studies have yielded mixed results on the influence of disparities on post-HCT outcomes. Therefore, we studied 1024 adults with AML who underwent allogeneic HCT between 5/2006 and 10/2021 at a single large university-affiliated cancer center. Collected data included non-biologic and demographic characteristics (including race/ethnicity, marital status, distance traveled, and household size), transplant- and disease-related characteristics, and area-level and individual-level socioeconomic factors (i.e., area deprivation index and occupational status). After multivariable adjustment, no socioeconomic- or non-biologic factors were associated with non-relapse mortality (NRM), overall survival (OS), relapse-free survival (RFS), or relapse except being married (associated with improved NRM: hazard ratio [HR] = 0.7 [0.50-0.97]) and having no insurance (associated with worse OS: HR = 1.49 [1.05-2.12] and RFS: HR = 1.41 [1.00-1.98]). Despite a relatively racially homogenous cohort, Asian race was associated with improved NRM (HR = 0.47 [0.23-0.93]) and American Indian/Alaskan Native race was associated with higher relapse risk (HR = 2.45 [1.08-5.53]). In conclusion, in our retrospective analysis, socioeconomic-, demographic-, and non-biologic factors had limited impact on post-HCT outcomes in AML patients allografted in morphologic remission. Further research is needed to investigate disparities among HCT-eligible patients.

Correlation between tumor size change and outcome in a rare cancer immunotherapy basket trial.

BACKGROUND: RECIST criteria for progressive disease, partial response, and complete response, reflecting +20%, -30%, and -100% tumor size changes, respectively, are critical outcome variables in oncology clinical trials. Herein, we evaluated post-immunotherapy tumor size change correlation with outcomes. METHODS: We used a unique clinical trial data resource, a multicenter basket trial in patients with rare solid tumors treated with nivolumab (anti-PD-1) and ipilimumab (anti-CTLA-4) between 2017 and 2023 (National Cancer Institute/Southwest Oncology Group-sponsored DART trial [NCT02834013]) (open at 1083 sites at its peak). Outcome associations were evaluated by survival analysis techniques including Martingale residuals. RESULTS: In 638 evaluable patients, we found strong linear relationships between percent change in tumor measurement up to a 40%-50% increase and progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) (both Cox regression P < .001; landmark analyses based on day 65). Pearson R correlation between survival estimates and tumor change category were -0.94, -0.89, and -0.89 (PFS) and -0.84, -0.90, and -0.90 (OS) for median, 6-month (PFS), and 1-year (OS) and for 1-year (PFS) and 2-year (OS) estimates. CONCLUSIONS: Percent change in tumor measurement per RECISTv1.1 (the sum of longest dimensions of target lesions) has a linear association with PFS and OS up to a 40% to 50% increase in tumor measurement in this cohort of patients with rare cancers who received combination immune checkpoint blockade. Quantitative first scan tumor measurement changes include important information to evaluate the potential efficacy of a therapy beyond the proportion of patients who achieve an objective response.

Prognosis and conditional survival among women with newly diagnosed ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: An important question in determining long-term prognosis for women with ovarian cancer is whether risk of death changes the longer a woman lives. Large real-world datasets permit assessment of conditional survival (CS) given both prior overall survival (OS) and real-world progression-free survival (rwPFS). METHODS: Using a longitudinal dataset from US oncology centers, this study included 6778 women with ovarian cancer. We calculated CS rates as the Kaplan-Meier probability of surviving an additional 1 or 5 years, given no mortality (OS) or disease progression (rwPFS) event in the previous 0.5-5 years since first-line chemotherapy initiation, adjusted for factors associated with OS based on multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Median study follow-up was 9 years (range, 1-44) from first-line initiation to data cutoff (17-Feb-2021). Median OS was 58.0 months (95% CI, 54.9-60.8); median rwPFS was 18.4 months (17.4-19.4). The adjusted 1-year CS rate (ie, rate of 1 year additional survival) did not vary based on time alive, whereas the adjusted 5-year CS rate increased from 48.5% (47.0%-50.1%) for women who had already survived 6 months to 66.4% (63.3%-69.6%) for those already surviving 5 years (thus surviving 10 years total). The adjusted 1-year CS rate increased from 90.4% (89.5%-91.4%) with no rwPFS event at 6 months to 97.6% (96.4%-98.8%) with no rwPFS event at 5 years; adjusted 5-year CS rate increased from 53.7% (52.0%-55.5%) to 85.0% (81.2%-88.9%), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis extends the concept of CS by also conditioning on time progression-free. Patients with longer rwPFS experience longer survival than patients with shorter rwPFS.