Acute kidney injury in nonagenarians: clinical characteristics and mortality / Injúria renal aguda em nonagenários: características clínicas e mortalidade

Abstract Introduction: Nonagenarians constitute a rising percentage of inpatients, with acute kidney injury (AKI) being frequent in this population. Thus, it is important to analyze the clinical characteristics of this demographic and their impact on mortality. Methods: Retrospective study of nonagenarian patients with AKI at a tertiary hospital between 2013 and 2022. Only the latest hospital admission was considered, and patients with incomplete data were excluded. A logistic regression analysis was conducted to define risk factors for mortality. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total of 150 patients were included, with a median age of 93.0 years (91.2-95.0), and males accounting for 42.7% of the sample. Sepsis was the most common cause of AKI (53.3%), followed by dehydration/hypovolemia (17.7%), and heart failure (17.7%). ICU admission occurred in 39.3% of patients, mechanical ventilation in 14.7%, vasopressors use in 22.7% and renal replacement therapy (RRT) in 6.7%. Death occurred in 56.7% of patients. Dehydration/hypovolemia as an etiology of AKI was associated with a lower risk of mortality (OR 0.18; 95% CI 0.04-0.77, p = 0.020). KDIGO stage 3 (OR 3.15; 95% CI 1.17-8.47, p = 0.023), ICU admission (OR 12.27; 95% CI 3.03-49.74, p < 0.001), and oliguria (OR 5.77; 95% CI 1.98-16.85, p = 0.001) were associated with mortality. Conclusion: AKI nonagenarians had a high mortality rate, with AKI KDIGO stage 3, oliguria, and ICU admission being associated with death.

Resumo Introdução: Nonagenários constituem um percentual de pacientes internados em ascensão, sendo a injúria renal aguda (IRA) frequente nesses pacientes. Sendo assim, é importante analisar as características clínicas dessa população e seu impacto na mortalidade. Métodos: Estudo retrospectivo de pacientes nonagenários com IRA entre 2013 e 2022 em um hospital terciário. Apenas o último internamento foi considerado e pacientes com dados incompletos foram excluídos. Uma análise por regressão logística foi realizada para definir fatores de risco para mortalidade. Um valor de p < 0,05 foi considerado significativo. Resultados: Foram incluídos 150 pacientes com mediana de idade 93,0 anos (91,2-95,0) e sexo masculino em 42,7%. Sepse foi a causa mais comum de IRA (53,3%), seguida de desidratação/hipovolemia (17,7%) e insuficiência cardíaca (17,7%). Admissão na UTI ocorreu em 39,3% dos pacientes, ventilação mecânica em 14,7%, uso de vasopressores em 22,7% e realização de terapia renal substitutiva (TRS) em 6,7%. Óbito ocorreu em 56,7% dos pacientes. Desidratação/hipovolemia como etiologia da IRA foi associado a menor risco de mortalidade (OR 0,18; IC 95% 0,04-0,77, p = 0,020). Estágio KDIGO 3 (OR 3,15; IC 95% 1,17-8,47, p = 0,023), admissão na UTI (OR 12,27; IC 95% 3,03-49,74, p < 0,001) e oligúria (OR 5,77; IC 95% 1,98-16,85, p = 0,001) foram associados à mortalidade. Conclusão: Nonagenários com IRA apresentaram alta mortalidade e IRA KDIGO 3, oligúria e admissão na UTI foram associadas ao óbito.

Predictors of autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease progression: a Brazilian single-center cohort / Preditores de progressão da doença renal policística autossômica dominante: uma coorte brasileira de centro único

Abstract Introduction: Identifying risk factors for autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease (ADPKD) progression is important. However, studies that have evaluated this subject using a Brazilian sample is sparce. Therefore, the aim of this study was to identify risk factors for renal outcomes and death in a Brazilian cohort of ADPKD patients. Methods: Patients had the first medical appointment between January 2002 and December 2014, and were followed up until December 2019. Associations between clinical and laboratory variables with the primary outcome (sustained decrease of at least 57% in the eGFR from baseline, need for dialysis or renal transplantation) and the secondary outcome (death from any cause) were analyzed using a multiple Cox regression model. Among 80 ADPKD patients, those under 18 years, with glomerular filtration rate <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, and/or those with missing data were excluded. There were 70 patients followed. Results: The factors independently associated with the renal outcomes were total kidney length - adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.137 (1.057-1.224), glomerular filtration rate - HR (95% CI): 0.970 (0.949-0.992), and serum uric acid level - HR (95% CI): 1.643 (1.118-2.415). Diabetes mellitus - HR (95% CI): 8.115 (1.985-33.180) and glomerular filtration rate - HR (95% CI): 0.957 (0.919-0.997) were associated with the secondary outcome. Conclusions: These findings corroborate the hypothesis that total kidney length, glomerular filtration rate and serum uric acid level may be important prognostic predictors of ADPKD in a Brazilian cohort, which could help to select patients who require closer follow up.

Resumo Introdução: É importante identificar fatores de risco para progressão da doença renal policística autossômica dominante (DRPAD). Entretanto, são escassos os estudos que avaliam esse assunto utilizando amostra brasileira. Portanto, o objetivo deste estudo foi identificar fatores de risco para desfechos renais e óbito em coorte brasileira de pacientes com DRPAD. Métodos: Os pacientes tiveram o primeiro atendimento médico entre janeiro/2002 e dezembro/2014, sendo acompanhados até dezembro/2019. Associações entre variáveis clínicas e laboratoriais com desfecho primário (redução sustentada de pelo menos 57% na TFGe em relação ao valor basal, necessidade de diálise ou transplante renal) e desfecho secundário (óbito por qualquer causa) foram analisadas pelo modelo de regressão múltipla de Cox. Entre 80 pacientes com DRPAD, foram excluídos aqueles menores de 18 anos, com TFG <30 mL/min/1,73 m2 e/ou aqueles com dados ausentes. Foram acompanhados 70 pacientes. Resultados: Fatores independentemente associados aos desfechos renais foram: comprimento renal total - Razão de Risco (HR) ajustada com intervalo de confiança de 95% (IC 95%): 1,137 (1,057-1,224), taxa de filtração glomerular - HR (IC 95%): 0,970 (0,949-0,992) e nível sérico de ácido úrico - HR (IC 95%): 1,643 (1,118-2,415). Diabetes mellitus - HR (IC 95%): 8,115 (1,985-33,180) e TFG - HR (IC 95%): 0,957 (0,919-0,997) foram associados ao desfecho secundário. Conclusões: Esses achados corroboram a hipótese de que comprimento renal total, TFG e nível sérico de ácido úrico podem ser importantes preditores prognósticos de DRPAD em uma coorte brasileira, o que pode ajudar a selecionar pacientes que necessitam de acompanhamento mais próximo.

Liver Cancer Mortality Disparities at a Fine Scale Among Subpopulations in China: Nationwide Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Trends.

Background: China has the highest number of liver cancers worldwide, and liver cancer is at the forefront of all cancers in China. However, current research on liver cancer in China primarily relies on extrapolated data or relatively lagging data, with limited focus on subregions and specific population groups. Objective: The purpose of this study is to identify geographic disparities in liver cancer by exploring the spatial and temporal trends of liver cancer mortality and the years of life lost (YLL) caused by it within distinct geographical regions, climate zones, and population groups in China. Methods: Data from the National Death Surveillance System between 2013 and 2020 were used to calculate the age-standardized mortality rate of liver cancer (LASMR) and YLL from liver cancer in China. The spatial distribution and temporal trends of liver cancer were analyzed in subgroups by sex, age, region, and climate classification. Estimated annual percentage change was used to describe liver cancer trends in various regions, and partial correlation was applied to explore associations between LASMR and latitude. Results: In China, the average LASMR decreased from 28.79 in 2013 to 26.38 per 100,000 in 2020 among men and 11.09 to 9.83 per 100,000 among women. This decline in mortality was consistent across all age groups. Geographically, Guangxi had the highest LASMR for men in China, with a rate of 50.15 per 100,000, while for women, it was Heilongjiang, with a rate of 16.64 per 100,000. Within these regions, the LASMR among men in most parts of Guangxi ranged from 32.32 to 74.98 per 100,000, whereas the LASMR among women in the majority of Heilongjiang ranged from 13.72 to 21.86 per 100,000. The trend of LASMR varied among regions. For both men and women, Guizhou showed an increasing trend in LASMR from 2013 to 2020, with estimated annual percentage changes ranging from 10.05% to 29.07% and from 10.09% to 21.71%, respectively. Both men and women observed an increase in LASMR with increasing latitude below the 40th parallel. However, overall, LASMR in men was positively correlated with latitude (R=0.225; P<.001), while in women, it showed a negative correlation (R=0.083; P=.04). High LASMR areas among men aligned with subtropical zones, like Cwa and Cfa. The age group 65 years and older, the southern region, and the Cwa climate zone had the highest YLL rates at 4850.50, 495.50, and 440.17 per 100,000, respectively. However, the overall trends in these groups showed a decline over the period. Conclusions: Despite the declining overall trend of liver cancer in China, there are still marked disparities between regions and populations. Future prevention and control should focus on high-risk regions and populations to further reduce the burden of liver cancer in China.

Impact of intrapartum quality improvement interventions on stillbirths and other adverse pregnancy outcomes: A protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Stillbirths are a major global health concern. Half of stillbirths occur during intrapartum period, mostly in low- and middle-income countries of sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Achieving a stillbirth rate of less than 12 per 1000 births by 2030 is the global target of Every Newborn Action Plan and Sustainable Development Goals. Evidence suggests that improving intrapartum quality of care can help reduce stillbirths and other adverse pregnancy outcomes. This study will explore whether quality improvement (QI) packages at intrapartum care points can reduce stillbirths and other outcomes such as maternal and neonatal mortality. METHODS: We will conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis. Comprehensive search strategy will be developed for databases PubMed, Web of Science, ScienceDirect, ProQuest, Cochrane and China National Knowledge Infrastructure. We will include randomized controlled trials, controlled non-randomized trials, controlled clinical trials, interrupted time series, cohort studies, case-control and nested case-control studies which assess the impact of QI interventions at intrapartum points of care on stillbirths and other adverse pregnancy outcomes. We will search grey literature such as unpublished research studies, dissertations and unfinished trials. English and non-English language articles will be included to avoid language bias. We will also evaluate reporting quality and risk of bias. Sensitivity tests will be carried out for heterogeneity. Pooled estimates of effect sizes will be computed with random-effects models. Supplementation of the quantitative synthesis with a qualitative narrative synthesis would be added, if deemed necessary. We will explore publication bias using funnel plot and Egger's regression test will be used for evaluation, if needed. DISCUSSION: We will report pooled effectiveness of different intrapartum QI interventions across multiple settings in averting stillbirths and other adverse outcomes such as maternal mortality and neonatal mortality.

Revisiting the Role of Balloon Atrial Septostomy Prior to the Arterial Switch Operation.

OBJECTIVES: Patients with dextro-transposition of the great arteries (d-TGA) frequently undergo balloon atrial septostomy (BAS) prior to the arterial switch operation (ASO) to promote atrial-level mixing. Balloon atrial septostomy has inherent risks as an invasive procedure and may not always be necessary. This study revisits the routine utilization of BAS prior to ASO. METHODS: Single-center, retrospective review of d-TGA patients undergoing the ASO from July 2018 to March 2023. Preoperative patient characteristics, pulse oximetry oxygen saturations (SpO2), cerebral/renal near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) readings along with prostaglandin status at the time of the ASO were analyzed with descriptive and univariate statistics. RESULTS: Thirty patients underwent the ASO. Of these, 7 (23%) were female, 25 (83%) were white, and median weight at ASO was 3.2 kg (range 0.8-4.2). Twenty-two (73%) patients underwent BAS. There were no demographic differences between BAS and no-BAS patients. Of those who underwent BAS, there was a significant increase in SpO2 (median 83% [range 54-92] to median 87% [range 72-95], P = .007); however, there was no change in NIRS from pre-to-post BAS. Six (27%) patients in the BAS group were prostaglandin-free at ASO. Balloon atrial septostomy patients underwent the ASO later compared with no-BAS patients (median 8 [range 3-32] vs 4 [range 2-10] days old, P = .016) and had a longer hospital length of stay (median 13 [range 7-43] vs 10 [range 8-131] days, P = .108). CONCLUSIONS: While BAS is an accepted preoperative procedure in d-TGA patients to improve oxygen saturations, it is also an additional invasive procedure, does not guarantee prostaglandin-free status at the time of ASO, and may increase the interval to ASO. Birth to direct early ASO, with prostaglandin support, should be revisited as an alternative, potentially more expeditious strategy.

COVID-19 deaths in dental occupations and other healthcare occupations among U.S. decedents in 2020.

BACKGROUND: Early studies during the COVID-19 pandemic suggested dental occupations were among the highest risk for exposure to SARs-CoV-2 because of multiple factors increasing exposure, including close proximity to unmasked patients and performance of aerosol-generating procedures. However, to date, few studies have investigated COVID-19 deaths in United States dental occupations, and compared COVID-19 deaths among healthcare occupations. METHODS: We analyzed 2020 mortality data collected by the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics System. Multivariable logistic regression was used to generate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals for COVID-19 as the underlying cause of death in relation to occupation in working-age decedents (≤65 years), after adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, and medical conditions associated with severe COVID-19. RESULTS: Dental occupations did not have significantly higher risk for COVID-19 death when compared to all other occupations combined. Among healthcare occupations with frequent, direct patient- or client interactions, LPNs and LVNs, and speech and language pathologists had significantly elevated adjusted ORs for COVID-19 death when compared to dentists, dental hygienists, or dental assistants. Similarly, nurse practitioners had significantly higher ORs for COVID-19 mortality than dentists or dental hygienists, and approached significance when compared to dental assistants. Conversely, massage therapists and other health diagnosing and treating practitioners had significantly lower adjusted ORs for COVID-19 death compared with dental occupations. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights potential differences in work-related transmission of SARs-CoV-2 and subsequent COVID-19 deaths in healthcare occupations, and furthers a previously limited understanding of COVID-19 deaths in healthcare occupations in 2020, before COVID-19 vaccine availability. Our results indicate that dental occupations were not among the highest, nor lowest risk, healthcare occupations for COVID-19 deaths in 2020, despite their known risks of direct exposure.

Mortality among veterans with epilepsy: Temporal significance of traumatic brain injury exposure.

OBJECTIVE: Epilepsy is associated with significant mortality risk. There is limited research examining how traumatic brain injury (TBI) timing affects mortality in relation to the onset of epilepsy. We aimed to assess the temporal relationship between epilepsy and TBI regarding mortality in a cohort of post-9/11 veterans. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included veterans who received health care in the Defense Health Agency and the Veterans Health Administration between 2000 and 2019. For those diagnosed with epilepsy, the index date was the date of first antiseizure medication or first seizure; we simulated the index date for those without epilepsy. We created the study groups by the index date and first documented TBI: (1) controls (no TBI, no epilepsy), (2) TBI only, (3) epilepsy only, (4) TBI before epilepsy, (5) TBI within 6 months after epilepsy, and (6) TBI >6 months after epilepsy. Kaplan-Meier estimates of all-cause mortality were calculated, and log-rank tests were used to compare unadjusted cumulative mortality rates among groups compared to controls. Cox proportional hazard models were used to compute hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Among 938 890 veterans, 27 436 (2.92%) met epilepsy criteria, and 264 890 (28.22%) had a TBI diagnosis. Mortality was higher for veterans with epilepsy than controls (6.26% vs. 1.12%; p < .01). Veterans with TBI diagnosed ≤6 months after epilepsy had the highest mortality hazard (HR = 5.02, 95% CI = 4.21-5.99) compared to controls, followed by those with TBI before epilepsy (HR = 4.25, 95% CI = 3.89-4.58), epilepsy only (HR = 4.00, 95% CI = 3.67-4.36), and TBI >6 months after epilepsy (HR = 2.49, 95% CI = 2.17-2.85). These differences were significant across groups. SIGNIFICANCE: TBI timing relative to epilepsy affects time to mortality; TBI within 6 months after epilepsy or before epilepsy diagnosis was associated with earlier time to death compared to those with epilepsy only or TBI >6 months after epilepsy.

Treatment Adherence Rates and Long-Term Mortality in a Quaternary Multidisciplinary Heart Team: An Observational Cohort.

BACKGROUND: A multidisciplinary heart team (HT) approach to patients with complex coronary artery disease has a class IB recommendation, yet there are limited data on adherence to HT treatment recommendations and long-term clinical follow-up. The objective of this study was to assess adherence rates to HT recommendations and assess long-term mortality rates among patients with complex CAD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Six hundred eighty-four sequential HT cases for complex coronary artery disease from January 2015 to May 2017 were reviewed. After excluding cases with significant comorbid valve disease, baseline characteristics were compared based on HT treatment recommendations: optimal medical therapy, percutaneous coronary intervention, and coronary artery bypass grafting. Adherence rates were manually extracted, and 5-year mortality rates were obtained from the Michigan Death Registry. Seventy-two percent of 405 included patients were men (mean age 66±11 years), with high rates of medical comorbidities. Estimated surgical risk scores were lowest in the coronary artery bypass grafting group. Optimal medical therapy was recommended in 138 patients (34%), percutaneous coronary intervention in 95 (23%), and coronary artery bypass grafting in 172 (42%). Adherence to HT recommendations across groups was high (96%) and did not differ between treatment groups. Over 5 years of follow-up, there were 119 deaths, resulting in a cumulative mortality rate of 29%. CONCLUSIONS: In the largest HT cohort in the United States to date, high rates of adherence to HT recommendations were observed among high-risk patients with coronary artery disease. High rates of adherence to HT recommendations were observed irrespective of treatment group recommendation, suggesting that HT recommendations were individualized and acceptable to both patients and physicians alike.

Remnant cholesterol and all-cause mortality risk: findings from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2003-2015.

Aims: Cholesterol carried in triglyceride-rich lipoproteins, also called remnant cholesterol, is increasingly acknowledged as an important causal risk factor for atherosclerosis. Elevated remnant cholesterol, marked by elevated plasma triglycerides, is associated causally with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. However, the association with all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality is inconclusive. This study aimed to test the hypothesis that remnant cholesterol levels and plasma triglycerides are associated with increased all-cause mortality and mortality from cardiovascular disease, cancer, and other causes. Methods and results: Using a contemporary population-based cohort, 7,962 individuals from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) aged over 40 years at baseline in 2003-2015 were included. During up to 109.2 (± 1.44) months of follow-up, 1,323 individuals died: 385 individuals died from cardiovascular disease, 290 from cancer, 80 from cerebrovascular disease, and 568 from other causes. Compared with the middle tertile remnant cholesterol level, multivariable-adjusted mortality hazard ratios were 1.20 (95% confidence interval 1.02-1.40) for all-cause mortality. For the highest tertile remnant cholesterol level, multivariable-adjusted mortality hazard ratios were 1.21 (95% confidence interval 1.05,1.40). Our conclusions remained stable in subgroup analyses. Exploratory analysis of the cause of death subcategories showed corresponding hazard ratios of 1.25 (1.13-1.38) for Non-cardiovascular and Non-cerebrovascular Death for lower remnant cholesterol individuals, 1.47 (1.01-2.15) for cancer death for lower remnant cholesterol (RC) individuals, and 1.80 (1.36-2.38) for cancer death for higher RC individuals. Conclusion: RC levels were associated with U-shaped all-cause mortality. RC was associated with mortality from non-cardiovascular, non-cerebrovascular, and cancer, but not from cardiovascular causes. This novel finding should be confirmed in other cohorts.

Association of high fibrinogen to albumin ratio with long-term mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

Background: The association between fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) and in-hospital mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) has been established. However, the association with long-term mortality in spontaneous ICH remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association between FAR and long-term mortality in these patients. Methods: Our retrospective study involved 3,538 patients who were diagnosed with ICH at West China Hospital, Sichuan University. All serum fibrinogen and serum albumin samples were collected within 24 h of admission and participants were divided into two groups according to the FAR. We conducted a Cox proportional hazard analysis to evaluate the association between FAR and long-term mortality. Results: Out of a total of 3,538 patients, 364 individuals (10.3%) experienced in-hospital mortality, and 750 patients (21.2%) succumbed within one year. The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) showed significant associations with in-hospital mortality (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.31-1.99), 1-year mortality (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.25-1.67), and long-term mortality (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.28-1.64). Notably, the HR for long-term mortality remained statistically significant at 1.47 (95% CI, 1.15-1.88) even after excluding patients with 1-year mortality. Conclusion: A high admission FAR was significantly correlated with an elevated HR for long-term mortality in patients with ICH. The combined assessment of the ICH score and FAR at admission showed higher predictive accuracy for long-term mortality than using the ICH score in isolation.

Mortality Rate of COVID-19 With Comorbid Pneumonia in a Rural Area.

BACKGROUND: A myriad of risk factors and comorbidities have been determined to influence COVID-19 mortality rates; among these is pneumonia. This study considers pneumonia as a risk factor for increased mortality in patients admitted with COVID-19 in a rural healthcare system. We predicted that the presence of pneumonia of any kind would increase mortality rates in patients admitted with COVID-19. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was conducted using data collected from hospitals in the Freeman Health System (FHS) located in Joplin and Neosho, Missouri. Data were collected between April 1, 2020, and December 31, 2021. Using International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes, the investigators identified five distinct patient populations: patients with COVID-19 and pneumonia due to COVID-19 (P1); patients with COVID-19 but without pneumonia due to COVID-19 (P2); patients with COVID-19 and any type of pneumonia (P3); patients with COVID-19 but without any type of pneumonia (P4); and patients without COVID-19 and with any type of pneumonia (P5). In order to understand how pneumonia influences COVID-19 outcomes, the investigators used Wald's method and a two-sample proportion summary hypothesis test to determine the confidence interval and to compare the mortality rates between these populations, respectively. RESULTS: The population of patients with COVID-19 and any type of pneumonia (P3) and the population of patients with COVID-19 and pneumonia due to COVID-19 (P1) showed the highest mortality rates. The population of patients with COVID-19 but without any type of pneumonia (P4) had the lowest mortality rate. The data revealed that having pneumonia combined with COVID-19 in any patient population led to a higher mortality rate than COVID-19 alone. CONCLUSION: Mortality rates were higher among COVID-19 patients with pneumonia compared to COVID-19 patients without pneumonia. Additionally, pneumonia, by itself, was found to have a higher mortality rate compared to COVID-19 alone.

Early Diagnosis and Treatment Outcomes of Fournier Gangrene in a Tertiary Center.

INTRODUCTION: Fournier gangrene is an uncommon urological emergency caused by microbial agents, resulting in necrosis of the genitalia and perineum. This study aims to evaluate the outcomes of early diagnosis and management of Fournier gangrene at KAMC in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted at KAMC, Saudi Arabia. The study population included all adult patients diagnosed with Fournier gangrene between 2015 and 2022. Data analysis was performed using RStudio (RStudio, Boston, MA). Frequencies and percentages were used to present categorical data, while medians and interquartile ranges were used to express numerical variables. RESULTS: The study included 41 patients with Fournier gangrene, the majority (95.12%) being male with a median age of 60 years. The most prevalent comorbidity was diabetes mellitus (85.37%). Ten patients presented to the hospital with sepsis, two of whom were in shock. Within 90 days of admission, two of them had expired. This resulted in a 20% mortality rate among septic patients. The mean FGSI in patients who had died during hospital stays was approximately two times the mean in surviving patients (8.17 and 4.32, respectively). The most utilized imaging study was a CT scan (70.7%). Most patients had undergone multiple debridements (87.7%). The median number of debridements per patient was three, and the interval between each debridement was three days. The most frequent tissue culture finding was mixed organisms, followed by Escherichia coli. Regarding empiric antibiotics, tazocin was the most used, accounting for 22.0%. The most frequently performed adjunctive procedure was the placement of a suprapubic catheter, accounting for 41.5%. Roughly 43.90% required a blood transfusion. Within 90 days of admission, six patients had died, which makes the mortality rate 14.6%. Four of them had died within 30 days of admission (9.76%). CONCLUSION: Fournier gangrene is a surgical emergency that requires prompt attention and resuscitation, antibiotic therapy, and surgical debridement. The study identified the demographic factors of patients who presented with the disease and provided the incidence, mortality rate, and outcomes of the disease. It also identified specifics of the pharmacological and surgical management and hospital courses.

Using Acidosis as a Surrogate for or Supplement to the Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis Scoring Prediction System Has a Nonsignificant Effect.

Currently, risk stratification calculators for acute pancreatitis (AP) can at best predict acute pancreatitis mortality at 12 hours from the presentation. Given the severe morbidity associated with AP, the identification of additional prognostic indicators, which may afford earlier prediction in length of stay (LOS) and mortality, is desired. Metabolic acidosis can be a prognostic marker for the severity of AP, and venous bicarbonate can reliably and accurately be substituted for arterial base deficit to detect metabolic acidosis. Since serum bicarbonate, anion gap (AG), and corrected AG (CAG) are routinely obtained upon presentation to the emergency department and often daily in the hospital, we conducted a retrospective analysis of 443 patients, evaluating if venous bicarbonate could predict the severity of pancreatitis as well as mortality, admission to the ICU, ICU LOS, and hospital LOS. The inclusion of venous bicarbonate, AG, and CAG in the first 12 hours only slightly improved the predictive capabilities of the Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) score for these secondary outcomes. None of our incorporations of acidemia improved severity predictions more than the BISAP alone. Adding CAG to BISAP scoring had the largest effect on predicting ICU admission and hospital LOS (area under the curve (AUC): 1.12 (confidence interval (CI) 95%: 1.06-1.19), p <.001 and AUC 1.02 (CI 95% 1.01-1.04), p <.001; respectively). ICU LOS was not impacted by the addition of AG, CAG, or venous bicarbonate. In-hospital death (n=12) was too small to be determined.

The burden of cardiovascular disease in Asia from 2025 to 2050: a forecast analysis for East Asia, South Asia, South-East Asia, Central Asia, and high-income Asia Pacific regions.

Background: Given the rapidly growing burden of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Asia, this study forecasts the CVD burden and associated risk factors in Asia from 2025 to 2050. Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study was used to construct regression models predicting prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD and risk factors in Asia in the coming decades. Findings: Between 2025 and 2050, crude cardiovascular mortality is expected to rise 91.2% despite a 23.0% decrease in the age-standardised cardiovascular mortality rate (ASMR). Ischaemic heart disease (115 deaths per 100,000 population) and stroke (63 deaths per 100,000 population) will remain leading drivers of ASMR in 2050. Central Asia will have the highest ASMR (676 deaths per 100,000 population), more than three-fold that of Asia overall (186 deaths per 100,000 population), while high-income Asia sub-regions will incur an ASMR of 22 deaths per 100,000 in 2050. High systolic blood pressure will contribute the highest ASMR throughout Asia (105 deaths per 100,000 population), except in Central Asia where high fasting plasma glucose will dominate (546 deaths per 100,000 population). Interpretation: This forecast forewarns an almost doubling in crude cardiovascular mortality by 2050 in Asia, with marked heterogeneity across sub-regions. Atherosclerotic diseases will continue to dominate, while high systolic blood pressure will be the leading risk factor. Funding: This was supported by the NUHS Seed Fund (NUHSRO/2022/058/RO5+6/Seed-Mar/03), National Medical Research Council Research Training Fellowship (MH 095:003/008-303), National University of Singapore Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine's Junior Academic Fellowship Scheme, NUHS Clinician Scientist Program (NCSP2.0/2024/NUHS/NCWS) and the CArdiovascular DiseasE National Collaborative Enterprise (CADENCE) National Clinical Translational Program (MOH-001277-01).

Higher ultraviolet light exposure is associated with lower mortality: An analysis of data from the UK biobank cohort study.

We aimed to examine associations between ultraviolet (UV) exposure and mortality among older adults in the United Kingdom (UK). We used data from UK Biobank participants with two UV exposures, validated with measured vitamin D levels: solarium use and annual average residential shortwave radiation. Associations between the UV exposures, all-cause and cause-specific mortality were examined as adjusted hazard ratios. The UV exposures were inversely associated with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality. Solarium users were also at a lower risk of non-CVD/non-cancer mortality. The benefits of UV exposure may outweigh the risks in low-sunlight countries.

Suicide among patients with oral cancer: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with oral cancer usually experience disfigurement and dysfunction which are shared risk factors of suicide. The aim of the study was to comprehensively assess the characteristics of suicide and risk factors for suicide in patients with oral cancer. METHODS: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to acquire information of patients with common malignant tumors including oral cancer from 1975 to 2020. The aim was to explore the incidence of suicide, and timing of suicide among patients with oral cancer. A Fine-Gray competing risks regression model was employed to analyze risk factors associated with suicide among patients with various demographic and tumor characteristics. RESULTS: Totally, 7685 patients with different malignant tumors committed suicide. Among them, 203 patients with oral cancer died due to suicide, presenting a suicide rate of 54.5/100,000 person-years, which was almost 3.5 times that of the US general population and 1.5 times that of the overall US patients with cancer in our study. Approximately 18 %, 40 %, and 55 % of suicides occurred in first year, first 3 years, and first 5 years after diagnosis. Being male, White race, and having a single primary tumor might be regarded as the risk factors for suicide. CONCLUSION: As oral cavity is closely associated with appearance, pronunciation and ingestion, patients with oral cancer have a significant high risk of suicide. Tremendous attention needs to be paid to patients with oral cancer particularly those exhibiting characteristics associated with a high risk of suicide.

Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index and 30-Day Postoperative Mortality in Geriatric Burn Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) can easily identify malnutrition-associated morbidity and mortality. We investigated the association between preoperative GNRI and 30-d mortality in geriatric burn patients who underwent surgery. METHODS: The study involved geriatric burn patients (aged ≥ 65 y) who underwent burn surgery between 2012 and 2022. The GNRI was computed using the following formula: 1.489 × serum albumin concentration (mg/L) + 41.7 × patient body weight/ideal body weight. Patients were dichotomized into the high GNRI (≥ 82) and low GNRI (< 82) groups. GNRI was evaluated as an independent predictor of 30-d postoperative mortality. The study also evaluated the association between GNRI and sepsis, the need for continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), major adverse cardiac events (MACE), and pneumonia. RESULTS: Out of 270 patients, 128 (47.4%) had low GNRI (< 82). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that low GNRI was significantly associated with 30-d postoperative mortality (hazard ratio: 1.874, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.146-3.066, P = 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that the 30-day mortality rate differed significantly between the low and high GNRI groups (log-rank test, P < 0.001). The 30-d postoperative mortality (hazard ratio: 2.677, 95% CI: 1.536-4.667, P < 0.001) and the incidence of sepsis (odds ratio [OR]: 2.137, 95% CI: 1.307-3.494, P = 0.004), need for CRRT (OR: 1.919, 95% CI: 1.101-3.344, P = 0.025), MACE (OR: 1.680, 95% CI: 1.018-2.773, P = 0.043), and pneumonia (OR: 1.678, 95% CI: 1.019-2.764, P = 0.044), were significantly higher in the low GNRI group than in the high GNRI group. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative low GNRI was associated with increased 30-d postoperative mortality, sepsis, need for CRRT, MACE, and pneumonia in geriatric burn patients.

External Validation of Predictors of Mortality in Polytrauma Patients.

INTRODUCTION: The Parkland Trauma Index of Mortality (PTIM) is an integrated, machine learning 72-h mortality prediction model that automatically extracts and analyzes demographic, laboratory, and physiological data in polytrauma patients. We hypothesized that this validated model would perform equally as well at another level 1 trauma center. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed including ∼5000 adult level 1 trauma activation patients from January 2022 to September 2023. Demographics, physiologic and laboratory values were collected. First, a test set of models using PTIM clinical variables (CVs) was used as external validation, named PTIM+. Then, multiple novel mortality prediction models were developed considering all CVs designated as the Cincinnati Trauma Index of Mortality (CTIM). The statistical performance of the models was then compared. RESULTS: PTIM CVs were found to have similar predictive performance within the PTIM + external validation model. The highest correlating CVs used in CTIM overlapped considerably with those of the PTIM, and performance was comparable between models. Specifically, for prediction of mortality within 48 h (CTIM versus PTIM): positive prediction value was 35.6% versus 32.5%, negative prediction value was 99.6% versus 99.3%, sensitivity was 81.0% versus 82.5%, specificity was 97.3% versus 93.6%, and area under the curve was 0.98 versus 0.94. CONCLUSIONS: This external cohort study suggests that the variables initially identified via PTIM retain their predictive ability and are accessible in a different level 1 trauma center. This work shows that a trauma center may be able to operationalize an effective predictive model without undertaking a repeated time and resource intensive process of full variable selection.

Evaluating the effectiveness of a sliding window technique in machine learning models for mortality prediction in ICU cardiac arrest patients.

Extensive research has been devoted to predicting ICU mortality, to assist clinical teams managing critical patients. Electronic health records (EHR) contain both static and dynamic medical data, with the latter accumulating during ICU stays. Existing models often rely on a fixed time window (e.g., first 24 h) for prediction, potentially missing vital post-24-hour data. The present study aims to improve mortality prediction for ICU patients following Cardiac Arrest (CA) using a dynamic sliding window approach that accommodates evolving data characteristics. Our cohort included 2331 CA patients, of whom 684 died in the ICU and 1647 survived. Applying the sliding window technique, we created six different time windows and used each separately for model training and validation. We compared our results to a baseline accumulative window. The different time windows created by the sliding window technique differed in their prediction performance and outperformed the baseline 24-hour window significantly. The XGBoost model outperformed all other models, with the 30-42 h time window achieving the best results (AUC = 0.8, accuracy = 0.77). Our work shows that the sliding window technique is effective in improving mortality prediction. We demonstrated how important time-window selection is and showed that enhancing it can save time and thus improve mortality prediction. These findings promise to improve the clinical team's efficiency in prioritizing patients and giving greater attention to higher-risk patients. To conclude, mortality prediction in the ICU can be improved if we consider alternative time windows instead of the 24-hour window, which is currently the most widely accepted among scoring systems today.

Developing a nomogram for forecasting the 28-day mortality rate of individuals with bleeding esophageal varices using MELD scores.

BACKGROUND: The goal is to create a nomogram using the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) that can better predict the risk of 28-day mortality in patients with bleeding esophageal varices. METHODS: Data on patients with bleeding esophageal varices were gathered retrospectively from the marketplace for medical information in intensive care (MIMIC) database. Variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-Logistic regression, then used to construct a prognostic nomogram. The nomogram was evaluated against the MELD model through various methods including receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration plotting, net reclassification improvement (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision-curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 280 patients were included in the study. Patient's use of vasopressin and norepinephrine, respiratory rate (RR), temperature, mean corpuscular volume (MCV), and MELD score were included in the nomogram. The area under the curve (AUC), NRI, IDI, and DCA of the nomogram showed that it performs better than the MELD alone. CONCLUSION: A nomogram was created that outperformed the MELD score in forecasting the risk of 28-day mortality in individuals with bleeding esophageal varices.