Differentiated Thyroid Cancer in Children and Adolescents: Long Term Outcome and Risk Factors for Persistent Disease.

Background: Pediatric differentiated thyroid cancer (P-DTC) frequently presents with advanced disease. The study aim was to evaluate the outcome of P-DTC and a modified 2015 American Thyroid Association risk classification (ATA-R). Methods: A retrospective study of consecutive P-DTC patients was performed. The ATA-R for P-DTC was used with a cut-off of ≤ 5 N1a for low-risk. The outcome could be excellent response (ER) (thyroglobulin < 1 ng/mL and no evidence of disease (EoD) at imaging), biochemical incomplete response (BIR) (thyroglobulin ≥ 1 ng/mL and no EoD at imaging) or structural incomplete response (SIR) (EoD at imaging). Results: We studied 260 P-DTC (70% females; median age at diagnosis 14 years; 93% total thyroidectomy and 82% lymph node dissection). The ATA-R was low in 30% cases, intermediate in 15% and high in 55%, including 31.5% with distant metastases. Radioiodine treatment was administered in 218 (83.8%), and further radioiodine and surgery was performed in 113 (52%) and 76 (29%) patients, respectively. After a median follow-up of 8.2 years, the outcome was ER in 193 (74.3%), BIR in 17 (6.5%) and SIR in 50 (19.2%). Independent predictors of SIR or BIR at first and last visits were ATA-R intermediate or high. Conclusion: P-DTC has an excellent prognosis. Modified ATA-R is a useful prognostic tool in P-DTC to guide management.

Surveillance of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer and indeterminate response: a longitudinal study on basal thyroglobulin trend.

PURPOSE: This is a longitudinal study of retrospective data aimed at verifying whether repeated measurements of serum non-stimulated thyroglobulin (Tg) allow the prediction of persistent disease in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and indeterminate response. METHODS: We examined 145 DTC patients with indeterminate response to therapy followed up for a median time of 68 months. Tg measurements and neck ultrasound (US) were performed every 6-12 months. The changes over time of repeated measurements of basal Tg were analyzed through the multilevel linear regression. RESULTS: Seventy (48.3%) out of 145 patients spontaneously achieved an excellent response, while persistent indeterminate response was observed in 62 (42.7%) patients. The remaining 13 (9.0%) patients had progression: 3/13 with biochemical disease and 10/13 with structural disease. Tg steadily increased in patients with progressive disease (mean percentage change + 27.1% at each follow-up visit), while Tg decreased in patients without any evidence of progression (mean percentage change - 8.8%). This different trend between the two groups was not related to either different values of median TSH at baseline (0.32 vs 0.28 mIU/l, respectively) or to different trend of TSH during follow-up (p = 0.76). Basal Tg values did not increase in three out of ten patients with structural disease that was identified by neck US. CONCLUSIONS: The importance of the study is that, in DTC patients with indeterminate response, rising values of unstimulated Tg, independently from the basal levels, may be useful to identify patients with progressive disease. These results are also useful to avoid unnecessary TSH stimulation.

Differentiated thyroid cancer in children: Heterogeneity of predictive risk factors.

OBJECTIVE: To correlate clinical and pathological characteristics at diagnosis with patient long-term outcomes and to evaluate ongoing risk stratifications in a large series of paediatric differentiated thyroid cancers (DTC). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of clinical and pathological prognostic factors of 124 paediatric patients with DTC (age at diagnosis <19 years) followed up for 10.4 ± 8.4 years. Patients with a follow-up >3 years (n = 104) were re-classified 18 months after surgery on the basis of their response to therapy (ongoing risk stratification). RESULTS: Most patients had a papillary histotype (96.0%), were older than 15 years (75.0%) and were diagnosed because of clinical local symptoms (63.7%). Persistent/recurrent disease was present in 31.5% of cases during follow-up, but at the last evaluation, only 12.9% had biochemical or structural disease. The presence of metastases in the lymph nodes of the lateral compartment (OR 3.2, 95% CI, 1.28-7.16, P = 0.01) was the only independent factor associated with recurrent/persistent disease during follow-up. At the last evaluation, biochemical/structural disease was associated with node metastases (N1a, N1b) by univariate but not multivariate analysis. Ongoing risk stratification compared to the initial risk classification method better identified patients with a lower probability of persistent/recurrent disease (NPV = 100%). CONCLUSIONS: In spite of the aggressive presentations at diagnosis, paediatric patients with DTC show an excellent response to treatment and often a favourable outcome. N1b status should be considered a strong predictor of persistent/recurrent disease which, as in adults, is better predicted by ongoing risk stratification.

Dynamic risk stratification in the follow-up of thyroid cancer: what is still to be discovered in 2017?

The adequate risk stratification in thyroid carcinoma is crucial to avoid on one hand the overtreatment of low-risk and on the other hand the undertreatment of high-risk patients. The question how to properly assess the risk of relapse has been discussed during recent years and resulted in a substantial change in our approach to risk stratification in differentiated thyroid cancer, proposed by the newest ATA guidelines. First initial risk stratification, based on histopathological data is carried out just after primary surgery. It should be emphasized, that a high quality of histopathological report is crucial for proper risk stratification. Next, during the follow-up, patients are restratified considering their response to treatment applied and classified to one of the following categories: excellent response, biochemical incomplete response, structural incomplete or indeterminate response. This new approach is called dynamic risk stratification as, in contrary to the previous rigid evaluation performed at diagnosis, reflects a real-time prognosis and thereby substantially influences and personalizes disease management. In this review, we raise some unresolved questions, among them the lack of prospective studies, fulfilling evidence-based criteria, necessary to validate this model of risk stratification. We also provided some data concerning the use of dynamic risk stratification in medullary thyroid cancer, not yet reflected in ATA guidelines. In conclusion, dynamic risk stratification allows for better prediction of the risk of recurrence in thyroid carcinoma, what has been demonstrated in numerous retrospective analyses. However, the validation of this approach in prospective studies seems to be our task for near future.

Tall cell and diffuse sclerosing variants of papillary thyroid cancer: outcome and predicting value of risk stratification methods.

PURPOSE: Tall cell (TCV) and diffuse sclerosing (DSV) variants are aggressive variants of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC). We compared the risk of recurrent/persistent disease in patients with TCV, DSV and classical PTC (cPTC) and evaluated the prognostic accuracy of initial vs. ongoing risk stratification. METHODS: A consecutive series of DSV (n = 54), TCV (n = 72) and cPTC (n = 184) patients was retrospectively analyzed. TCV and DSV patients were first risk stratified for recurrent/persistent disease without considering the histotype as a risk factor and subsequently, 6-24 months after initial treatment, re-classified on the basis of the response to therapy (ongoing risk stratification). RESULTS: Extrathyroidal extension was more frequent in DSV than in TCV and cPTC patients (p < 0.05); moreover, only DSV tumors had a higher rate of recurrent/persistent disease when compared to cPTC treated with the same protocol (total thyroidectomy followed by 131I treatment) (p < 0.01). After initial treatment, 54.2% of TCV and 20.4% of DSV patients were classified at low risk, while at ongoing risk stratification, the excellent response (low risk) was higher for both TCV (77.8%) and DSV (50.0%) patients relative to initial stratification (both p < 0.01). Using ongoing risk classification, positive predictive value (PPV) for persistent/recurrent disease was higher relative to initial risk stratification for both TCV (PPV = 93.8 vs. 39.4%) and DSV (PPV = 63.0 vs. 34.9%), p < 0.05 for both. CONCLUSIONS: In our series DSV, but not TCV patients, had poorer outcome than cPTC treated with the same protocol. Moreover, the ongoing risk stratification predicted outcome better than the initial classification in both TCV and DSV patients.