Deciphering Popliteal Artery Aneurysm Patient Diversity: Insights From a Cluster Analysis of the POPART Registry.

BACKGROUND: Popliteal artery aneurysms (PAAs) are the most common peripheral aneurysm. However, due to its rarity, the cumulative body of evidence regarding patient patterns, treatment strategies, and perioperative outcomes is limited. This analysis aims to investigate distinct phenotypical patient profiles and associated treatment and outcomes in patients with a PAA by performing an unsupervised clustering analysis of the POPART (Practice of Popliteal Artery Aneurysm Repair and Therapy) registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: A cluster analysis (using k-means clustering) was performed on data obtained from the multicenter POPART registry (42 centers from Germany and Luxembourg). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore validity and stability. Using 2 clusters, patients were primarily separated by the absence or presence of clinical symptoms. Within the cluster of symptomatic patients, the main difference between patients with acute limb ischemia presentation and nonemergency symptomatic patients was PAA diameter. When using 6 clusters, patients were primarily grouped by comorbidities, with patients with acute limb ischemia forming a separate cluster. Despite markedly different risk profiles, perioperative complication rates appeared to be positively associated with the proportion of emergency patients. However, clusters with a higher proportion of patients having any symptoms before treatment experienced a lower rate of perioperative complications. CONCLUSIONS: The conducted analyses revealed both an insight to the public health reality of PAA care as well as patients with PAA at elevated risk for adverse outcomes. This analysis suggests that the preoperative clinic is a far more crucial adjunct to the patient's preoperative risk assessment than the patient's epidemiological profile by itself.

Rationale and design of the PACIFIC-PRESERVED (PhenomApping, ClassIFication and Innovation for Cardiac dysfunction in patients with heart failure and PRESERVED left ventricular ejection fraction) study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogeneous syndrome that is poorly defined, reflecting an incomplete understanding of its pathophysiology. AIM: To redefine the phenotypic spectrum of HFpEF. METHODS: The PACIFIC-PRESERVED study is a prospective multicentre cohort study designed to perform multidimensional deep phenotyping of patients diagnosed with HFpEF (left ventricular ejection fraction≥50%), patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (left ventricular ejection fraction≤40%) and subjects without overt heart failure (3:2:1 ratio). The study proposes prospective investigations in patients during a 1-day hospital stay: physical examination; electrocardiogram; performance-based tests; blood samples; cardiac magnetic resonance imaging; transthoracic echocardiography (rest and low-level exercise); myocardial shear wave elastography; chest computed tomography; and non-invasive measurement of arterial stiffness. Dyspnoea, depression, general health and quality of life will be assessed by dedicated questionnaires. A biobank will be established. After the hospital stay, patients are asked to wear a connected garment (with digital sensors) to collect electrocardiography, pulmonary and activity variables in real-life conditions (for up to 14 days). Data will be centralized for machine-learning-based analyses, with the aim of reclassifying HFpEF into more distinct subgroups, improving understanding of the disease mechanisms and identifying new biological pathways and molecular targets. The study will also serve as a platform to enable the development of innovative technologies and strategies for the diagnosis and stratification of patients with HFpEF. CONCLUSIONS: PACIFIC-PRESERVED is a prospective multicentre phenomapping study, using novel analytical techniques, which will provide a unique data resource to better define HFpEF and identify new clinically meaningful subgroups of patients.

Phenotypic Clustering of Beta-Thalassemia Intermedia Patients Using Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance.

We employed an unsupervised clustering method that integrated demographic, clinical, and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) data to identify distinct phenogroups (PGs) of patients with beta-thalassemia intermedia (ß-TI). We considered 138 ß-TI patients consecutively enrolled in the Myocardial Iron Overload in Thalassemia (MIOT) Network who underwent MR for the quantification of hepatic and cardiac iron overload (T2* technique), the assessment of biventricular size and function and atrial dimensions (cine images), and the detection of replacement myocardial fibrosis (late gadolinium enhancement technique). Three mutually exclusive phenogroups were identified based on unsupervised hierarchical clustering of principal components: PG1, women; PG2, patients with replacement myocardial fibrosis, increased biventricular volumes and masses, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction; and PG3, men without replacement myocardial fibrosis, but with increased biventricular volumes and masses and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. The hematochemical parameters and the hepatic and cardiac iron levels did not contribute to the PG definition. PG2 exhibited a significantly higher risk of future cardiovascular events (heart failure, arrhythmias, and pulmonary hypertension) than PG1 (hazard ratio-HR = 10.5; p = 0.027) and PG3 (HR = 9.0; p = 0.038). Clustering emerged as a useful tool for risk stratification in TI, enabling the identification of three phenogroups with distinct clinical and prognostic characteristics.

Penalized Model-Based Unsupervised Phenomapping Unravels Distinctive HFrEF Phenotypes With Improved Outcomes Discrimination From Sacubitril/Valsartan Treatment Independent of MAGGIC Score.

Background The angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (LCZ696) has emerged as a promising pharmacological intervention against renin-angiotensin system inhibitor in reduced ejection fraction heart failure (HFrEF). Whether the therapeutic benefits may vary among heterogeneous HFrEF subgroups remains unknown. Methods and Results This study comprised a pooled 2-center analysis including 1103 patients with symptomatic HFrEF with LCZ696 use and another 1103 independent HFrEF control cohort (with renin-angiotensin system inhibitor use) matched for age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction, and comorbidity conditions. Three main distinct phenogroup clusterings were identified from unsupervised machine learning using 29 clinical variables: phenogroup 1 (youngest, relatively lower diabetes prevalence, highest glomerular filtration rate with largest left ventricular size and left ventricular wall stress); phenogroup 2 (oldest, lean, highest diabetes and vascular diseases prevalence, lowest highest glomerular filtration rate with smallest left ventricular size and mass), and phenogroup 3 (lowest clinical comorbidity with largest left ventricular mass and highest hypertrophy prevalence). During the median 1.74-year follow-up, phenogroup assignment provided improved prognostic discrimination beyond Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure risk score risk score (all net reclassification index P<0.05) with overall good calibrations. While phenogroup 1 showed overall best clinical outcomes, phenogroup 2 demonstrated highest cardiovascular death and worst renal end point, with phenogroup 3 having the highest all-cause death rate and HF hospitalization among groups, respectively. These findings were broadly consistent when compared with the renin-angiotensin system inhibitor control as reference group. Conclusions Phenomapping provided novel insights on unique characteristics and cardiac features among patients with HFrEF with sacubitril/valsartan treatment. These findings further showed potentiality in identifying potential sacubitril/valsartan responders and nonresponders with improved outcome discrimination among patients with HFrEF beyond clinical scoring.

Artificial intelligence and heart failure: A state-of-the-art review.

Heart failure (HF) is a heterogeneous syndrome affecting more than 60 million individuals globally. Despite recent advancements in understanding of the pathophysiology of HF, many issues remain including residual risk despite therapy, understanding the pathophysiology and phenotypes of patients with HF and preserved ejection fraction, and the challenges related to integrating a large amount of disparate information available for risk stratification and management of these patients. Risk prediction algorithms based on artificial intelligence (AI) may have superior predictive ability compared to traditional methods in certain instances. AI algorithms can play a pivotal role in the evolution of HF care by facilitating clinical decision making to overcome various challenges such as allocation of treatment to patients who are at highest risk or are more likely to benefit from therapies, prediction of adverse outcomes, and early identification of patients with subclinical disease or worsening HF. With the ability to integrate and synthesize large amounts of data with multidimensional interactions, AI algorithms can supply information with which physicians can improve their ability to make timely and better decisions. In this review, we provide an overview of the AI algorithms that have been developed for establishing early diagnosis of HF, phenotyping HF with preserved ejection fraction, and stratifying HF disease severity. This review also discusses the challenges in clinical deployment of AI algorithms in HF, and the potential path forward for developing future novel learning-based algorithms to improve HF care.

Phenomapping in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: insights, limitations, and future directions.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a heterogeneous entity with complex pathophysiology and manifestations. Phenomapping is the process of applying statistical learning techniques to patient data to identify distinct subgroups based on patterns in the data. Phenomapping has emerged as a technique with potential to improve the understanding of different HFpEF phenotypes. Phenomapping efforts have been increasing in HFpEF over the past several years using a variety of data sources, clinical variables, and statistical techniques. This review summarizes methodologies and key takeaways from these studies, including consistent discriminating factors and conserved HFpEF phenotypes. We argue that phenomapping results to date have had limited implications for clinical care and clinical trials, given that the phenotypes, as currently described, are not reliably identified in each study population and may have significant overlap. We review the inherent limitations of aggregating and utilizing phenomapping results. Lastly, we discuss potential future directions, including using phenomapping to optimize the likelihood of clinical trial success or to drive discovery in mechanisms of the disease process of HFpEF.

Machine Learning-Based Phenomapping in Patients with Heart Failure and Secondary Prevention Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implantation: A Proof-of-Concept Study.

Background: Previous studies have failed to implement risk stratification in patients with heart failure (HF) who are eligible for secondary implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation. We aimed to evaluate whether machine learning-based phenomapping using routinely available clinical data can identify subgroups that differ in characteristics and prognoses. Methods: A total of 389 patients with chronic HF implanted with an ICD were included, and forty-four baseline variables were collected. Phenomapping was performed using hierarchical k-means clustering based on factor analysis of mixed data (FAMD). The utility of phenomapping was validated by comparing the baseline features and outcomes of the first appropriate shock and all-cause death among the phenogroups. Results: During a median follow-up of 2.7 years for device interrogation and 5.1 years for survival status, 142 (36.5%) first appropriate shocks and 113 (29.0%) all-cause deaths occurred. The first 12 principal components extracted using the FAMD, explaining 60.5% of the total variability, were left for phenomapping. Three mutually exclusive phenogroups were identified. Phenogroup 1 comprised the oldest patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy; had the highest proportion of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia; and had the most favorable cardiac structure and function among the phenogroups. Phenogroup 2 included the youngest patients, mostly those with non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, who had intermediate heart dimensions and function, and the fewest comorbidities. Phenogroup 3 had the worst HF progression. Kaplan-Meier curves revealed significant differences in the first appropriate shock (p = 0.002) and all-cause death (p < 0.001) across the phenogroups. After adjusting for medications in Cox regression, phenogroups 2 and 3 displayed a graded increase in appropriate shock risk (hazard ratio [HR] 1.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-2.28, p = 0.033; HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.42-3.43, p < 0.001, respectively; p for trend < 0.001) compared to phenogroup 1. Regarding mortality risk, phenogroup 3 was associated with an increased risk (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.45-3.49, p < 0.001). In contrast, phenogroup 2 had a risk (p = 0.124) comparable with phenogroup 1. Conclusions: Machine-learning-based phenomapping can identify distinct phenotype subgroups in patients with clinically heterogeneous HF with secondary prophylactic ICD therapy. This novel strategy may aid personalized medicine for these patients.

Phenomapping approach to interpreting coronary dimensions in febrile children.

Importance: Coronary artery dilation may occur in febrile children with and without Kawasaki disease (KD). Objective: We explored the application of unsupervised learning algorithms in the detection of novel patterns of coronary artery phenotypes in febrile children with and without KD. Methods: A total of 239 febrile children (59 non-KD and 180 KD patients), were recruited. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis of phenotypic data including age, hemoglobin, white cell count, platelet count, C-reactive protein, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, albumin, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and coronary artery z scores were performed. Results: Using a cutoff z score of 2.5, the specificity was 98.3% and the sensitivity was 22.1% for differentiating non-KD from KD patients. Clustering analysis identified three phenogroups that differed in a clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic parameters. Compared with phenogroup I, phenogroup III had the highest prevalence of KD (91%), worse inflammatory markers, more deranged liver function, higher coronary artery z scores, and lower hematocrit and albumin levels. Abnormal blood parameters in febrile children with z scores of coronary artery segments <0.5 and 0.5-1.5 was associated with increased risks of having KD to 8.7 (P = 0.003) and 4.4 (P = 0.002), respectively. Interpretation: Phenomapping of febrile children with and without KD identified useful laboratory parameters that aid the diagnosis of KD in febrile children with relatively normal-sized coronary arteries.

Unsupervised clustering of patients with severe aortic stenosis: A myocardial continuum.

BACKGROUND: Traditional statistics, based on prediction models with a limited number of prespecified variables, are probably not adequate to provide an appropriate classification of a condition that is as heterogeneous as aortic stenosis (AS). AIMS: To investigate a new classification system for severe AS using phenomapping. METHODS: Consecutive patients from a referral centre (training cohort) who met the echocardiographic definition of an aortic valve area (AVA) ≤ 1 cm2 were included. Clinical, laboratory and imaging continuous variables were entered into an agglomerative hierarchical clustering model to separate patients into phenogroups. Individuals from an external validation cohort were then assigned to these original clusters using the K nearest neighbour (KNN) function and their 5-year survival was compared after adjustment for aortic valve replacement (AVR) as a time-dependent covariable. RESULTS: In total, 613 patients were initially recruited, with a mean±standard deviation AVA of 0.72±0.17 cm2. Twenty-six variables were entered into the model to generate a specific heatmap. Penalized model-based clustering identified four phenogroups (A, B, C and D), of which phenogroups B and D tended to include smaller, older women and larger, older men, respectively. The application of supervised algorithms to the validation cohort (n=1303) yielded the same clusters, showing incremental cardiac remodelling from phenogroup A to phenogroup D. According to this myocardial continuum, there was a stepwise increase in overall mortality (adjusted hazard ratio for phenogroup D vs A 2.18, 95% confidence interval 1.46-3.26; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Artificial intelligence re-emphasizes the significance of cardiac remodelling in the prognosis of patients with severe AS and highlights AS not only as an isolated valvular condition, but also a global disease.

The future of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction : Deep phenotyping for targeted therapeutics.

Heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a multi-organ, systemic syndrome that involves multiple cardiac and extracardiac pathophysiologic abnormalities. Because HFpEF is a heterogeneous syndrome and resistant to a "one-size-fits-all" approach it has proven to be very difficult to treat. For this reason, several research groups have been working on methods for classifying HFpEF and testing targeted therapeutics for the HFpEF subtypes identified. Apart from conventional classification strategies based on comorbidity, etiology, left ventricular remodeling, and hemodynamic subtypes, researchers have been combining deep phenotyping with innovative analytical strategies (e.g., machine learning) to classify HFpEF into therapeutically homogeneous subtypes over the past few years. Despite the growing excitement for such approaches, there are several potential pitfalls to their use, and there is a pressing need to follow up on data-driven HFpEF subtypes in order to determine their underlying mechanisms and molecular basis. Here we provide a framework for understanding the phenotype-based approach to HFpEF by reviewing (1) the historical context of HFpEF; (2) the current HFpEF paradigm of comorbidity-induced inflammation and endothelial dysfunction; (3) various methods of sub-phenotyping HFpEF; (4) comorbidity-based classification and treatment of HFpEF; (5) machine learning approaches to classifying HFpEF; (6) examples from HFpEF clinical trials; and (7) the future of phenomapping (machine learning and other advanced analytics) for the classification of HFpEF.

Phenotypic Clustering of Patients With Newly Diagnosed Coronary Artery Disease Using Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance and Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography.

Background: Epidemiological characteristics and prognostic profiles of patients with newly diagnosed coronary artery disease (CAD) are heterogeneous. Therefore, providing individualized cardiovascular (CV) risk stratification and tailored prevention is crucial. Objective: Phenotypic unsupervised clustering integrating clinical, coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) data were used to unveil pathophysiological differences between subgroups of patients with newly diagnosed CAD. Materials and Methods: Between 2008 and 2020, consecutive patients with newly diagnosed obstructive CAD on CCTA and further referred for vasodilator stress CMR were followed for the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined by cardiovascular death or non-fatal myocardial infarction. For this exploratory work, a cluster analysis was performed on clinical, CCTA, and CMR variables, and associations between phenogroups and outcomes were assessed. Results: Among 2,210 patients who underwent both CCTA and CMR, 2,015 (46% men, mean 70 ± 12 years) completed follow-up [median 6.8 (IQR 5.9-9.2) years], in which 277 experienced a MACE (13.7%). Three mutually exclusive and clinically distinct phenogroups (PG) were identified based upon unsupervised hierarchical clustering of principal components: (PG1) CAD in elderly patients with few traditional risk factors; (PG2) women with metabolic syndrome, calcified plaques on CCTA, and preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF); (PG3) younger men smokers with proximal non-calcified plaques on CCTA, myocardial scar, and reduced LVEF. Using survival analysis, the occurrence of MACE, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality (all p < 0.001) differed among the three PG, in which PG3 had the worse prognosis. In each PG, inducible ischemia was associated with MACE [PG1, Hazards Ratio (HR) = 3.09, 95% CI, 1.70-5.62; PG2, HR = 3.62, 95% CI, 2.31-5.7; PG3, HR = 3.55, 95% CI, 2.3-5.49; all p < 0.001]. The study presented some key limitations that may impact generalizability. Conclusions: Cluster analysis of clinical, CCTA, and CMR variables identified three phenogroups of patients with newly diagnosed CAD that were associated with distinct clinical and prognostic profiles. Inducible ischemia assessed by stress CMR remained associated with the occurrence of MACE within each phenogroup. Whether automated unsupervised phenogrouping of CAD patients may improve clinical decision-making should be further explored in prospective studies.

Phenomapping Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Using Machine Learning Cluster Analysis: Prognostic and Therapeutic Implications.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is characterized by a high rate of hospitalization and mortality (up to 84% at 5 years), which are similar to those observed for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). These epidemiologic data claim for the development of specific and innovative therapies to reduce the burden of morbidity and mortality associated with this disease. Compared with HFrEF, which is due to a primary myocardial damage (eg ischemia, cardiomyopathies, toxicity), a heterogeneous etiologic background characterizes HFpEF. The authors discuss these phenotypes and specificities for defining therapeutic strategies that could be proposed according to phenotypes.

Precision Phenomapping of Acute Coronary Syndromes to Improve Patient Outcomes.

Acute coronary syndromes (ACS) are a global leading cause of death. These syndromes show heterogeneity in presentation, mechanisms, outcomes and responses to treatment. Precision medicine aims to identify and synthesize unique features in individuals, translating the acquired data into improved personalised interventions. Current precision treatments of ACS include immediate coronary revascularisation driven by ECG ST-segment elevation, early coronary angiography based on elevated blood cardiac troponins in patients without ST-segment elevation, and duration of intensified antithrombotic therapy according to bleeding risk scores. Phenotypically stratified analyses of multi-omic datasets are urgently needed to further refine and couple the diagnosis and treatment of these potentially life-threatening conditions. We provide definitions, examples and possible ways to advance precision treatments of ACS.

A phenomapping-derived tool to personalize the selection of anatomical vs. functional testing in evaluating chest pain (ASSIST).

AIMS: Coronary artery disease is frequently diagnosed following evaluation of stable chest pain with anatomical or functional testing. A more granular understanding of patient phenotypes that benefit from either strategy may enable personalized testing. METHODS AND RESULTS: Using participant-level data from 9572 patients undergoing anatomical (n = 4734) vs. functional (n = 4838) testing in the PROMISE (PROspective Multicenter Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain) trial, we created a topological representation of the study population based on 57 pre-randomization variables. Within each patient's 5% topological neighbourhood, Cox regression models provided individual patient-centred hazard ratios for major adverse cardiovascular events and revealed marked heterogeneity across the phenomap [median 1.11 (10th to 90th percentile: 0.52-2.61]), suggestive of distinct phenotypic neighbourhoods favouring anatomical or functional testing. Based on this risk phenomap, we employed an extreme gradient boosting algorithm in 80% of the PROMISE population to predict the personalized benefit of anatomical vs. functional testing using 12 model-derived, routinely collected variables and created a decision support tool named ASSIST (Anatomical vs. Stress teSting decIsion Support Tool). In both the remaining 20% of PROMISE and an external validation set consisting of patients from SCOT-HEART (Scottish COmputed Tomography of the HEART Trial) undergoing anatomical-first vs. functional-first assessment, the testing strategy recommended by ASSIST was associated with a significantly lower incidence of each study's primary endpoint (P = 0.0024 and P = 0.0321 for interaction, respectively), as well as a harmonized endpoint of all-cause mortality or non-fatal myocardial infarction (P = 0.0309 and P < 0.0001 for interaction, respectively). CONCLUSION: We propose a novel phenomapping-derived decision support tool to standardize the selection of anatomical vs. functional testing in the evaluation of stable chest pain, validated in two large and geographically diverse clinical trial populations.

Clinical and prognostic implications of phenomapping in patients with heart failure receiving cardiac resynchronization therapy.

BACKGROUND: Despite having an indication for cardiac resynchronization therapy according to current guidelines, patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction who receive cardiac resynchronization therapy do not consistently derive benefit from it. AIM: To determine whether unsupervised clustering analysis (phenomapping) can identify distinct phenogroups of patients with differential outcomes among cardiac resynchronization therapy recipients from routine clinical practice. METHODS: We used unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis of phenotypic data after data reduction (55 clinical, biological and echocardiographic variables) to define new phenogroups among 328 patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction from routine clinical practice enrolled before cardiac resynchronization therapy. Clinical outcomes and cardiac resynchronization therapy response rate were studied according to phenogroups. RESULTS: Although all patients met the recommended criteria for cardiac resynchronization therapy implantation, phenomapping analysis classified study participants into four phenogroups that differed distinctively in clinical, biological, electrocardiographic and echocardiographic characteristics and outcomes. Patients from phenogroups 1 and 2 had the most improved outcome in terms of mortality, associated with cardiac resynchronization therapy response rates of 81% and 78%, respectively. In contrast, patients from phenogroups 3 and 4 had cardiac resynchronization therapy response rates of 39% and 59%, respectively, and the worst outcome, with a considerably increased risk of mortality compared with patients from phenogroup 1 (hazard ratio 3.23, 95% confidence interval 1.9-5.5 and hazard ratio 2.49, 95% confidence interval 1.38-4.50, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction with an indication for cardiac resynchronization therapy from routine clinical practice, phenomapping identifies subgroups of patients with differential clinical, biological and echocardiographic features strongly linked to divergent outcomes and responses to cardiac resynchronization therapy. This approach may help to identify patients who will derive most benefit from cardiac resynchronization therapy in "individualized" clinical practice.

Identification of Patients with Heart Failure in Large Datasets.

Large registries, administrative data, and the electronic health record (EHR) offer opportunities to identify patients with heart failure, which can be used for research purposes, process improvement, and optimal care delivery. Identification of cases is challenging because of the heterogeneous nature of the disease, which encompasses various phenotypes that may respond differently to treatment. The increasing availability of both structured and unstructured data in the EHR has expanded opportunities for cohort construction. This article reviews the current literature on approaches to identification of heart failure, and looks toward the future of machine learning, big data, and phenomapping.

Phenomapping of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction using machine learning-based unsupervised cluster analysis.

AIM: To identify distinct phenotypic subgroups in a highly-dimensional, mixed-data cohort of individuals with heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) using unsupervised clustering analysis. METHODS AND RESULTS: The study included all Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) participants from the Americas (n = 1767). In the subset of participants with available echocardiographic data (derivation cohort, n = 654), we characterized three mutually exclusive phenogroups of HFpEF participants using penalized finite mixture model-based clustering analysis on 61 mixed-data phenotypic variables. Phenogroup 1 had higher burden of co-morbidities, natriuretic peptides, and abnormalities in left ventricular structure and function; phenogroup 2 had lower prevalence of cardiovascular and non-cardiac co-morbidities but higher burden of diastolic dysfunction; and phenogroup 3 had lower natriuretic peptide levels, intermediate co-morbidity burden, and the most favourable diastolic function profile. In adjusted Cox models, participants in phenogroup 1 (vs. phenogroup 3) had significantly higher risk for all adverse clinical events including the primary composite endpoint, all-cause mortality, and HF hospitalization. Phenogroup 2 (vs. phenogroup 3) was significantly associated with higher risk of HF hospitalization but a lower risk of atherosclerotic event (myocardial infarction, stroke, or cardiovascular death), and comparable risk of mortality. Similar patterns of association were also observed in the non-echocardiographic TOPCAT cohort (internal validation cohort, n = 1113) and an external cohort of patients with HFpEF [Phosphodiesterase-5 Inhibition to Improve Clinical Status and Exercise Capacity in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (RELAX) trial cohort, n = 198], with the highest risk of adverse outcome noted in phenogroup 1 participants. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning-based cluster analysis can identify phenogroups of patients with HFpEF with distinct clinical characteristics and long-term outcomes.

High burden of drug therapy in adult congenital heart disease: polypharmacy as marker of morbidity and mortality.

AIMS: To assess medication use in adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients compared to the age- and sex-matched general population, identify patterns of pharmacotherapy, and analyse associations between pharmacotherapy and adverse outcomes in ACHD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data of 14 138 ACHD patients from the CONCOR registry [35 (24-48) years, 49% male] and age- and sex-matched referents (1:10 ratio) were extracted from the Dutch Dispensed Drug Register for the years 2006-14. Adult congenital heart disease patients had more cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular drugs than referents (median 3 vs. 1, P < 0.001). Polypharmacy, defined as ≥5 dispensed drug types yearly, was present in 30% of ACHD and 15% of referents {odds ratio [OR] = 2.47 [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.39-2.54]}. Polypharmacy was independently associated with female sex [OR = 1.92 (95% CI 1.88-1.96)], older age [for men: OR = 2.3/10 years (95% CI 2.2-2.4) and for women: OR = 1.6/10 years (95% CI 1.5-1.6); Pinteraction < 0.001], and ACHD severity [mild: OR = 2.51 (95% CI 2.40-2.61), moderate: OR = 3.22 (95% CI 3.06-3.40), severe: OR = 4.87 (95% CI 4.41-5.38)]. Cluster analysis identified three subgroups with distinct medication patterns; a low medication use group (8-year cumulative survival: 98%), and a cardiovascular and comorbidity group with lower survival (92% and 95%, respectively). Cox regression revealed a strong association between polypharmacy and mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 3.94 (95% CI 3.22-4.81)], corrected for age, sex, and defect severity. Polypharmacy also increased the risk of hospitalization for adverse drug events [HR = 4.58 (95% CI 2.04-10.29)]. CONCLUSION: Both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular medication use is high in ACHD with twice as much polypharmacy compared with the matched general population. Patients with polypharmacy had a four-fold increased risk of mortality and adverse drug events. Recognition of distinct medication patterns can help identify patients at highest risk. Drug regimens need repeating evaluation to assess the appropriateness of all prescriptions. More high-quality studies are needed to improve ACHD care with more evidence-based pharmacotherapy.

Clinical phenomapping and outcomes after heart transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Survival after heart transplantation (HTx) is limited by complications related to alloreactivity, immune suppression, and adverse effects of pharmacologic therapies. We hypothesize that time-dependent phenomapping of clinical and molecular data sets is a valuable approach to clinical assessments and guiding medical management to improve outcomes. METHODS: We analyzed clinical, therapeutic, biomarker, and outcome data from 94 adult HTx patients and 1,557 clinical encounters performed between January 2010 and April 2013. Multivariate analyses were used to evaluate the association between immunosuppression therapy, biomarkers, and the combined clinical end point of death, allograft loss, retransplantation, and rejection. Data were analyzed by K-means clustering (K = 2) to identify patterns of similar combined immunosuppression management, and percentile slopes were computed to examine the changes in dosages over time. Findings were correlated with clinical parameters, human leucocyte antigen antibody titers, and peripheral blood mononuclear cell gene expression of the AlloMap (CareDx, Inc., Brisbane, CA) test genes. An intragraft, heart tissue gene coexpression network analysis was performed. RESULTS: Unsupervised cluster analysis of immunosuppressive therapies identified 2 groups, 1 characterized by a steeper immunosuppression minimization, associated with a higher likelihood for the combined end point, and the other by a less pronounced change. A time-dependent phenomap suggested that patients in the group with higher event rates had increased human leukocyte antigen class I and II antibody titers, higher expression of the FLT3 AlloMap gene, and lower expression of the MARCH8 and WDR40A AlloMap genes. Intramyocardial biomarker-related coexpression network analysis of the FLT3 gene showed an immune system-related network underlying this biomarker. CONCLUSIONS: Time-dependent precision phenotyping is a mechanistically insightful, data-driven approach to characterize patterns of clinical care and identify ways to improve clinical management and outcomes.