[Five-year outcomes in patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack after widespread use of direct oral anticoagulants].

The long-term outcomes of patients with stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) after widespread use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) were investigated. Patients with ischemic stroke or TIA admitted between April 2014 and September 2015 were prospectively enrolled and followed for up to 5 years after the index stroke or TIA. Primary outcome measures were any cause of death and stroke recurrence. A total of 555 consecutive patients (323 men; mean age, 75 years; ischemic stroke, n = 520; TIA, n = 35) were analyzed. The follow-up rate was 93%, and the mean follow-up period was 48 ± 20 months. DOACs accounted for 52% of anticoagulants at discharge. During follow-up, 162 patients died, for cumulative mortality rates of 30% (particularly, 53% in cardioembolism) at 5 years. Recurrent stroke occurred in 90 patients, with cumulative risks of stroke recurrence of 19% at 5 years. The 5-year mortality rate remain even after widespread use of DOACs, and further treatment approaches are warranted.

Poststroke Cognitive Impairment and the Risk of Recurrent Stroke and Mortality: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Poststroke cognitive impairment (PSCI) occurs in about 60% of patients with stroke in the first year after stroke. However, the question regarding risks of recurrent stroke and mortality in patients with PSCI remains controversial. The goal of this study was to conduct a meta-analysis of published literature to estimate the risks of stroke recurrence and mortality associated with PSCI. METHODS AND RESULTS: Electronic databases were screened for eligible studies published from 1990 to 2023. The primary end points of this study were recurrent stroke and mortality. Pooled estimates were calculated as hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CIs. Meta-regression analyses evaluated moderating effects of PSCI severity, study design, and study period on recurrent stroke and mortality. Pooled data from 27 studies comprised 39 412 patients with ischemic stroke. Nine studies evaluated the association between PSCI and risk of stroke recurrence that showed the hazard of recurrent stroke risk was significantly higher in patients with PSCI compared with those without it (HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.29-1.94]; I2=52.2%). Eighteen studies examined the impact of PSCI on mortality risk. The pooled hazard of mortality was significantly higher in the group with PSCI relative to the non-PSCI group (HR, 2.07 [95% CI, 1.65 -2.59]; I2=89.3%). Meta-regressions showed that the average effect of PSCI on mortality risk differed across study period and study design. CONCLUSIONS: Based on this meta-analysis PSCI was statistically significantly associated with increased risks of recurrent stroke and all-cause mortality. Poststroke neurocognitive assessment may identify patients at a higher risk who may require more aggressive interventions for secondary prevention.

IL-6 and stroke recurrence in ischemic stroke.

Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of IL-6 for stroke recurrence in acute ischemic stroke.Methods: Patients who were admitted within 48 h of onset were included. At 3-month, stroke recurrence was assessed. IL-6 levels were measured in serum samples taken upon admission.Results: Out of the 305 patients, 47 (15.4%) experienced a stroke recurrence. The risk of stroke recurrence increased by 8% (OR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.04-1.11; p < 0.001) for every 1 pg/ml increase in IL-6 serum level, both in unadjusted and adjusted analyses (6%; OR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.10; p = 0.001).Conclusion: The study supports the usefulness of IL-6 as a predictive biomarker for stroke recurrence after acute ischemic stroke.

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Mediation effect of stroke recurrence in the association between post-stroke lactate dehydrogenase and functional disability.

Background: We aimed to use lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) as a marker of inflammation burden and quantify post-stroke inflammation's direct and indirect effect on functional disability. Methods: We analyzed 5,129 patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) admitted to Shenyang First People's Hospital. Stroke recurrence and functional outcome measured by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) were assessed at 90 days. Functional disability was defined as mRS score > 2. Receiver operating characteristic curve and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis were conducted to illustrate the associations between LDH levels and 90-day functional outcomes in patients with AIS. Mediation analyses were performed to examine the potential causal chain in which stroke recurrence may mediate the relationship between LDH and functional outcome. Positive correlation between LDH and hs-CRP was found and mediation effects of stroke recurrence in the association between LDH or hs-CRP and functional disability were both less than 20%. Sensitivity analyses in different subgroups showed comparable results. Results: Among 5,129 included AIS patients, the median (IQR) level of LDH was 186 (161-204.4) U/L. Functional disability was seen in 1200 (23.4%) patients and recurrence was observed in 371(7.2%) patients at 90-day follow-up. Each standard deviation increase in the concentration of LDH was linked to an increased risk of functional disability (adjusted odds ratio[aOR], 1.07; 95%CI,1.04-1.09) and stroke recurrence (aOR,1.02; 95%CI, 1.01-1.04) within 90 days. The highest quartile of LDH (>204.2 U/L) had an elevated risk of suffering functional disability (aOR, 1.21; 95%CI, 1.00-1.47) and recurrence (aOR, 1.21; 95%CI,1.00-1.47) compared with the lowest quartile of LDH (<161 U/L). Stroke recurrence during follow-up explained 12.90% (95%CI, 6.22-21.16%) of the relationship between LDH and functional disability. Positive correlation between LDH and hs-CRP was found and mediation effects of recurrence in the association between LDH or hs-CRP and functional disability were both less than 20%. Sensitivity analyses in different subgroups showed comparable results. Conclusion: The relationship between LDH and functional disability at 90 days among AIS patients is partially mediated by stroke recurrence, accounting for less than 20%. LDH deserves equal attention as hs-CRP in predicting recurrence and functional outcome. In addition to traditional secondary prevention measures, innovative anti-inflammatory strategies warrant further investigation.

Efficacy and safety of batroxobin in patients with acute ischemic stroke: A multicenter retrospective analysis.

AIMS: The objective of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of batroxobin in improving functional outcomes and reducing stroke recurrence among patients with acute ischemic stroke beyond the therapeutic time window for thrombolytic therapy. METHODS: This multicenter, retrospective study enrolled 492 patients with acute moderate-to-severe ischemic stroke within 24 h. 238 patients were given standard (basic) therapy. On the basis of standard treatment, 254 patients received an initial intravenous infusion of batroxobin 10 U on day 1, followed by subsequent infusions of batroxobin 5 U on the 3rd and 5th days, respectively. RESULTS: In the batroxobin group, 8.3% of patients experienced recurrence stroke, compared to 17.2% in the control group (HR, 0.433; 95% CI, 0.248 to 0.757; p = 0.003). Furthermore, intravenous batroxobin significantly improved the distribution of 90-120 day disability. Moderate-to-severe bleeding events were reported in three patients (1.2%) in the batroxobin group and one patient (0.4%) in the control group (p = 0.369). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with acute moderate-to-severe ischemic stroke beyond the time window for thrombolytic therapy, treatment with intravenous batroxobin had a lower risk of stroke recurrence and a better recovery of function outcome without increasing bleeding events. Prospective studies are needed to further confirm.

Assessing Stroke Recurrence Risk by Using a Lipoprotein-Associated Phospholipase A2 and Platelet Count-Based Nomogram.

Stroke recurrence remains a critical challenge in clinical neurology, necessitating the identification of reliable predictive markers for better management and treatment strategies. This study investigates the interaction between lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) and platelets as a potential predictor for stroke recurrence, aiming to refine risk assessment and therapeutic approaches. In a retrospective cohort of 580 ischemic stroke patients, we analyzed clinical data with a focus on Lp-PLA2 and platelet levels. By using multivariable logistic regression, we identified independent predictors of stroke recurrence. These predictors were then used to develop a comprehensive nomogram. The study established diabetes mellitus, hypertension, low-density lipoprotein (LDL), Lp-PLA2 levels, and platelet counts as independent predictors of stroke recurrence. Crucially, the interaction parameter Lp-PLA2 * platelet (multiplication of Lp-PLA2 and platelet count) exhibited superior predictive power over each factor considered separately. Our nomogram incorporated diabetes mellitus, cerebral infarction causes, hypertension, LDL, and the Lp-PLA2 * platelet count interaction and demonstrated enhanced accuracy in predicting stroke recurrence compared to traditional risk models. The interaction between Lp-PLA2 and platelets emerged as a significant predictor for stroke recurrence when integrated with traditional risk factors. The developed nomogram offers a novel and practical tool in molecular neurobiology for assessing individual risks, facilitating personalized treatment strategies. This approach underscores the importance of multifactorial assessment in stroke management and opens avenues for targeted interventions to mitigate recurrence risks.

HR-MRI-based nomogram network calculator to predict stroke recurrence in high-risk non-disabling ischemic cerebrovascular events patients.

Background and objective: To investigate the use of high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (HR-MRI) to identify the characteristics of culprit plaques in intracranial arteries, and to evaluate the predictive value of the characteristics of culprit plaques combined with the modified Essen score for the recurrence risk of high-risk non-disabling ischemic cerebrovascular events (HR-NICE) patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 180 patients with HR-NICE at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, including 128 patients with no recurrence (non-recurrence group) and 52 patients with recurrence (recurrence group). A total of 65 patients with HR-NICE were collected from the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Shanghai Jiaotong University as a validation group, and their modified Essen scores, high-resolution magnetic resonance vessel wall images, and clinical data were collected. The culprit plaques were analyzed using VesselExplorer2 software. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for recurrence, and a nomogram was constructed using R software to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate the model performance. Calibration curves and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the model efficacy. Results: Intra-plaque hemorrhage (OR = 3.592, 95% CI = 1.474-9.104, p = 0.006), homocysteine (OR = 1.098, 95% CI = 1.025-1.179, p = 0.007), and normalized wall index (OR = 1.114, 95% CI = 1.027-1.222, p = 0.015) were significantly higher in the recurrent stroke group than in the non-recurrent stroke group, and were independent risk factors for recurrent stroke. The performance of the nomogram model (AUC = 0.830, 95% CI: 0.769-0.891; PR-AUC = 0.628) was better than that of the modified Essen scoring model (AUC = 0.660, 95% CI: 0.583-0.738) and the independent risk factor combination model (AUC = 0.827, 95% CI: 0.765-0.889). The nomogram model still had good model performance in the validation group (AUC = 0.785, 95% CI: 0.671-0.899), with a well-fitting calibration curve and a DCA curve indicating good net benefit efficacy for patients. Conclusion: High-resolution vessel wall imaging combined with a modified Essen score can effectively assess the recurrence risk of HR-NICE patients, and the nomogram model can provide a reference for identifying high-risk populations with good clinical application prospects.

An Integrated Multi-omics prediction model for stroke recurrence based on Lnet transformer layer and dynamic weighting mechanism.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Stroke is a disease with high mortality and disability. Importantly, the fatality rate demonstrates a significant increase among patients afflicted by recurrent strokes compared to those experiencing their initial stroke episode. Currently, the existing research encounters three primary challenges. The first is the lack of a reliable, multi-omics image dataset related to stroke recurrence. The second is how to establish a high-performance feature extraction model and eliminate noise from continuous magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data. The third is how to integration multi-omics data and dynamically weighted for different omics data. METHODS: We systematically compiled MRI and conventional detection data from a cohort comprising 737 stroke patients and established PSTSZC, a multi-omics dataset for predicting stroke recurrence. We introduced the first-ever Integrated Multi-omics Prediction Model for Stroke Recurrence, MPSR, which is based on ResNet, Lnet-transformer, LSTM and dynamically weighted DNN. The MPSR model comprises two principal modules, the Feature Extraction Module, and the Integrated Multi-Omics Prediction Module. In the Feature Extraction module, we proposed a novel Lnet regularization layer, which effectively addresses noise issues in MRI data. In the Integrated Multi-omics Prediction Module, we propose a dynamic weighted mechanism based on evaluators, which mitigates the noise impact brought about by low-performance omics. RESULTS: We compared seven single-omics models and six state-of-the-art multi-omics stroke recurrence models. The experimental results demonstrate that the MPSR model exhibited superior performance. The accuracy, AUROC, specificity, and sensitivity of the MPSR model can reach 0.96, 0.97, 1, and 0.94, respectively, which is higher than the results of contrast model. CONCLUSION: MPSR is the first available high-performance multi-omics prediction model for stroke recurrence. We assert that the MPSR model holds the potential to function as a valuable tool in assisting clinicians in accurately diagnosing individuals with a predisposition to stroke recurrence.

Prevalence and Factors Associated with Carotid Stenosis in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients with Atrial Fibrillation.

INTRODUCTION: Among stroke patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), it is not uncommon to identify carotid atherosclerosis. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of, and factors associated with, carotid atherosclerosis among patients with AF and acute ischemic stroke. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Prospectively collected data from consecutive patients with anterior ischemic stroke and AF who underwent carotid imaging from 10 stroke registries were categorized retrospectively according to the degree of stenosis in: no atherosclerosis, stenosis <50%, stenosis ≥50%, and occlusion. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis. RESULTS: Among 2,955 patients with ischemic stroke and AF, carotid atherosclerosis was evident in 1,022 (34.6%) patients, while carotid stenosis ≥50% and occlusion were identified in 204 (6.9%) and 168 (5.7%) patients, respectively. Ipsilateral carotid stenosis ≥50% or occlusion was associated with higher age (OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.01-1.32, per decade), previous ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (OR: 1.70, 95% CI: 1.29-2.25), peripheral artery disease (OR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.23-2.78), coronary artery disease (OR: 1.53, 95% CI: 1.16-2.04), and statin treatment on admission (OR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.01-1.67). Patients with lacunar stroke had a lower likelihood of stenosis ≥50% or occlusion (OR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.13-0.68). Compared to the absence of atherosclerotic disease, atherosclerosis in one and two arterial beds was associated with the identification of ipsilateral carotid stenosis (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.22-2.98 and OR: 3.18, 95% CI: 1.85-5.49, respectively). CONCLUSION: Among acute ischemic stroke patients with AF, 1 out of 3 had ipsilateral carotid atherosclerosis, and 1 out of 8 had ipsilateral carotid stenosis ≥50% or occlusion. Atherosclerosis in two arterial beds was the most important predictor for the identification of ipsilateral carotid stenosis. Among ischemic stroke patients with AF, carotid atherosclerosis is common, while carotid imaging should not be overlooked, especially in those with coronary or/and peripheral artery disease.

The joint association of lipoprotein(a) and Lp-PLA2 with the risk of stroke recurrence.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Currently little is known about the joint association of lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] and Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) with stroke recurrence. METHODS: In this prospective multicenter cohort study, 10,675 consecutive acute ischemic stroke (IS) and transient ischemic attack patients (TIA) with Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 were enrolled. The association of stroke recurrence within 1 year with Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 was assessed using Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier curves. The interaction between Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 with stroke recurrence was evaluated by multiplicative and additive scales. RESULTS: A significant joint association of Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 with the risk of stroke recurrence was observed. Multivariate cox regression analysis demonstrated that the combination of elevated Lp(a) (≥ 50 mg/dL) and Lp-PLA2 (≥175.1 ng/ml) was independently associated with the risk of stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.42; 95 % CI: 1.15-1.76). Both significant multiplicative [(exp(ß3):1.63, 95 % CI: 1.17-2.29, P = 0.004] and additive interaction (RERI:0.55, 95 % CI: 0.20-0.90, P = 0.002; AP: 0.39, 95 %CI, 0.24-0.53) were observed between Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicated that Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 have a joint association with the risk of stroke recurrence in IS/TIA patients. Patients with concomitant presence of elevated Lp(a) and Lp-PLA2 have greater risk of stroke recurrence.

Case management-based post-stroke care for patients with acute stroke and TIA (SOS-Care): a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The high incidence of stroke recurrence necessitates effective post-stroke care. This study investigates the effectiveness of a case management-based post-stroke care program in patients with acute stroke and TIA. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, patients with TIA, ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage were enrolled into a 12-month case management-based program (SOS-Care) along with conventional care. Control patients received only conventional care. The program included home and phone consultations by case managers, focusing on education, medical and social needs and guideline-based secondary prevention. The primary outcome was the composite of stroke recurrence and vascular death after 12 months. Secondary outcomes included vascular risk factor control at 12 months. RESULTS: From 11/2011 to 12/2020, 1109 patients (17.9% TIA, 77.5% ischemic stroke, 4.6% intracerebral hemorrhage) were enrolled. After 85 (7.7%) dropouts, 925 SOS-Care patients remained for comparative analysis with 99 controls. Baseline characteristics were similar, except for fewer males and less frequent history of dyslipidemia in post-stroke care. At 12 months, post-stroke care was associated with a reduction in the composite endpoint compared to controls (4.9 vs. 14.1%; HR 0.30, 95% CI 0.16-0.56, p < 0.001), with consistent results in ischemic stroke patients alone (HR 0.32, 95% CI 0.17-0.61, p < 0.001). Post-stroke care more frequently achieved treatment goals for hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, BMI and adherence to secondary prevention medication (p < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Case management-based post-stroke care may effectively mitigate the risk of vascular events in unselected stroke patients. These findings could guide future randomized trials investigating the efficacy of case management-based models in post-stroke care.

Stroke recurrence and osteoporotic conditions in postmenopausal patients with atherosclerotic ischemic stroke.

Recurrence after stroke is common, and associated with a high mortality rate. Degradation of the elastic tissue in the arterial wall has been shown to aggravate atherosclerosis in blood vessels. Considering that type 1 collagen is present in both bone and vascular smooth muscle cells, we explored whether osteoporotic conditions affect the likelihood of stroke recurrence in postmenopausal women following atherosclerotic ischemic stroke. To determine actual bone mineral density (BMD), the Hounsfield unit values in the frontal skull were evaluated using brain computed tomography (CT) scans taken at admission. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was also performed to examine if osteoporosis could independently predict stroke recurrence in postmenopausal patients with large artery atherosclerosis (LAA) or small vessel occlusion (SVO) stroke. This study included 2130 consecutive patients (both males and females aged 50 and older) with acute LAA or SVO strokes. After adjusting for all covariates, hypothetical osteoporosis was identified as an independent predictor of stroke recurrence in female patients ≥50 years with acute LAA or SVO stroke (hazard ratio, 1.84; 95 % confidence interval, 1.05 to 3.24; p = 0.034). Our findings showed that osteoporosis could potentially affect the recurrence of ischemic stroke in postmenopausal patients with LAA or SVO stroke.

Keeping prior anticoagulation treatment in the acute phase of ischaemic stroke: the REKOALA study.

INTRODUCTION: A consensus on the management of anticoagulated patients in the acute phase of ischaemic stroke has not yet been established. We aimed to evaluate clinical outcomes in such patients based on the continuation or discontinuation of anticoagulation. METHODS: Retrospective study of patients with acute ischaemic stroke and cardioembolic source receiving anticoagulant therapy is done. Patients were classified based on the continuation or discontinuation of anticoagulation at admission. Clinical outcomes, haemorrhagic and ischaemic events were assessed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis, propensity score matching (PSM) analysis and a sub-analysis of patients with severe ischaemic stroke at admission (NIHSS score ≥ 15) were performed. RESULTS: Anticoagulation was continued in 147 (78.8%) of 186 patients. Patients continuing anticoagulant had lower NIHSS (median 5 vs 18, p < 0.001). There were no differences in haemorrhagic or ischaemic events. In the multivariate analysis, good functional outcome at discharge was higher in the continuation group, OR (CI95%) 3.77 (1.2-11.2). PSM analysis adjusted for potential confounders such as NIHSS had higher rates of good functional outcomes at discharge (80% vs 36%, p = 0.004) and at 90 days (76% vs 44%, p = 0.042) in the continuation group. Patients with severe stroke in this group had lower 90-day mortality (34.6% vs 62.5%, p = 0.045) and higher rates of good clinical outcome at discharge (33.3% vs 8.3%, p = 0.032). No differences were observed in 90-day haemorrhagic or ischaemic events. CONCLUSION: Continuation of anticoagulation in patients with acute ischaemic stroke and cardioembolic source did not increase the risk of intracranial haemorrhage and may be associated with better functional outcomes.

Predictors of atrial fibrillation after embolic stroke of undetermined source in patients with implantable loop recorders.

BACKGROUND: In patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), underlying subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) is often suspected. Previous studies identifying predictors of AF have been limited in their ability to diagnose episodes of AF. Implantable loop recorders enable prolonged, continuous, and therefore more reliable detection of AF. The aim of this study was to identify clinical and ECG parameters as predictors of AF in ESUS patients with implantable loop recorders. METHODS: 101 ESUS patients who received an implantable loop recorder between 2012 and 2020 were included in this study. Patients were followed up regularly on a three-monthly outpatient interval. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 647 ± 385 days, AF was detected in 26 patients (26%). Independent risk factors of AF were age ≥ 60 years (HR 2.753, CI 1.129-6.713, p = 0.026), P-wave amplitude in lead II ≤ 0.075 mV (HR 3.751, CI 1.606-8.761, p = 0.002), and P-wave duration ≥ 125 ms (HR 4.299, CI 1.844-10.021, p < 0.001). In patients without risk factors, the risk of developing AF was 16%. In the presence of one risk factor, the probability increased only slightly to 18%. With two or three risk factors, the risk of AF increased to 70%. CONCLUSION: AF was detected in about one in four patients after ESUS in this study. A comprehensive evaluation involving multiple parameters and the existence of multiple risk factors yields the highest predictive accuracy for detecting AF in patients with ESUS.

Stroke Recurrence Rate and Risk Factors Among Stroke Survivors in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Systematic Review.

Purpose: Evidence supporting secondary stroke in sub-Saharan Africa is scarce. This study describes the incidence of stroke recurrence and associated risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa. Methods and Materials: Scientific databases were systematically searched from January 2000 to December 2022 for population-based observational studies, case-control or cohort studies of recurrent stroke involving adults aged 18 years and above in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). We assessed the quality of the eligible studies using the Critical Appraisal Skills Program (CASP) checklist for observational studies. Results: Six studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this study. Stroke recurrence rates in SSA ranged from 9.4% to 25%. Majority of the studies were conducted from Western Africa and showed that stroke recurrence rates are high within sub-Saharan Africa ranging from 2% to 25%. The known stroke risk factors such as hypertension, chronic alcohol consumption, etc., remained the leading causes of stroke recurrence. The studies reported a higher mortality rate ranging from 20.5 -23% among those with recurrent strokes compared to primary strokes. Conclusion: This systematic review is an update and summary of the available literature on stroke recurrence within sub-Saharan Africa. Further studies are warranted to assess the outcomes and burden of stroke recurrence in SSA.

Development and validation of a clinical prediction model for ischemic stroke recurrence after successful stent implantation in symptomatic intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to analyze the risk factors for recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with symptomatic intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS) who underwent successful stent placement and to establish a nomogram prediction model. METHODS: We utilized data from a prospective collection of 430 consecutive patients at Jining NO.1 People's Hospital from November 2021 to November 2022, conducting further analysis on the subset of 400 patients who met the inclusion criteria. They were further divided into training (n=321) and validation (n=79) groups. In the training group, we used univariate and multivariate COX regression to find independent risk factors for recurrent stroke and then created a nomogram. The assessment of the nomogram's discrimination and calibration was performed through the examination of various measures including the Consistency index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC), and the calibration plots. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility of the nomogram by quantifying the net benefit to the patient under different threshold probabilities. RESULTS: The nomogram for predicting recurrent ischemic stroke in symptomatic ICAS patients after stent placement utilizes six variables: coronary heart disease (CHD), smoking, multiple ICAS, systolic blood pressure (SBP), in-stent restenosis (ISR), and fasting plasma glucose. The C-index (0.884 for the training cohort and 0.87 for the validation cohort) and the time-dependent AUC (>0.7) indicated satisfactory discriminative ability of the nomogram. Furthermore, DCA indicated a clinical net benefit from the nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive model constructed includes six predictive factors: CHD, smoking, multiple ICAS, SBP, ISR and fasting blood glucose. The model demonstrates good predictive ability and can be utilized to predict ischemic stroke recurrence in patients with symptomatic ICAS after successful stent placement.

Sex differences in modifiable risk factors for stroke incidence and recurrence: the UCC-SMART study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Risk factors for stroke differ between women and men in general populations. However, little is known about sex differences in secondary prevention. We investigated if sex interacted with modifiable risk factors for stroke in a large arterial disease cohort. METHODS: Within the prospective UCC-SMART study, 13,898 patients (35% women) with atherosclerotic disease or high-risk factor profile were followed up to 23 years for stroke incidence or recurrence. Hypertension, smoking, diabetes, overweight, dyslipidemia, high alcohol use, and physical inactivity were studied as risk factors. Association between these factors and ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke incidence or recurrence was studied in women and men using Cox proportional hazard models and Poisson regression models. Women-to-men relative hazard ratios (RHR) and rate differences (RD) were estimated for each risk factor. Left-truncated age was used as timescale. RESULTS: The age-adjusted stroke incidence rate was lower in women than men (3.9 vs 4.4 per 1000 person-years), as was the age-adjusted stroke recurrence rate (10.0 vs 11.7). Hypertension and smoking were associated with stroke risk in both sexes. HDL cholesterol was associated with lower stroke incidence in women but not in men (RHR 0.49; CI 0.27-0.88; and RD 1.39; CI - 1.31 to 4.10). Overweight was associated with a lower stroke recurrence in women but not in men (RHR 0.42; CI 0.23-0.80; and RD 9.05; CI 2.78-15.32). CONCLUSIONS: In high-risk population, sex modifies the association of HDL cholesterol on stroke incidence, and the association of overweight on stroke recurrence. Our findings highlight the importance of sex-specific secondary prevention.

Potential Protein Signatures for Recurrence Prediction of Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Acute ischemic stroke is a major cause of mortality and disability worldwide, with approximately 7.4% to 7.7% recurrence within the first 3 months. This study aimed to identify potential biomarkers for predicting stroke recurrence. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a nested case-control study using a hospital-based cohort from the Third China National Stroke Registry selecting 214 age- and sex-matched patients with ischemic stroke with hypertension and no history of diabetes or heart disease. Using data-independent acquisition for discovery and multiple reaction monitoring for quantitative validation, we identified 26 differentially expressed proteins in large-artery atherosclerosis (Causative Classification of Ischemic Stroke [CCS]1), 16 in small-artery occlusion (CCS3), and 25 in undetermined causes (CCS5) among patients with recurrent stroke. In the CCS1 and CCS3 subgroups, differentially expressed proteins were associated with platelet aggregation, neuronal death/cerebroprotection, and immune response, whereas differentially expressed proteins in the CCS5 subgroup were linked to altered metabolic functions. Validated recurrence predictors included proteins associated with neutrophil activity and vascular inflammation (TAGLN2 [transgelin 2], ITGAM [integrin subunit α M]/TAGLN2 ratio, ITGAM/MYL9 [myosin light chain 9] ratio, TAGLN2/RSU1 [Ras suppressor protein 1] ratio) in the CCS3 subgroup and proteins associated with endothelial plasticity and blood-brain barrier integrity (ITGAM/MYL9 ratio and COL1A2 [collagen type I α 2 chain]/MYL9 ratio) in the CCS3 and CCS5 subgroups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide a foundation for developing a blood-based biomarker panel, using causative classifications, which may be used in routine clinical practice to predict stroke recurrence.

Secular Trends in Outcomes and Impact of Novel Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation-Related Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are currently recommended for the secondary prevention of stroke in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) accompanied by atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the impact of NOACs on clinical outcomes in real-world practice remains ambiguous. This study analyzes the trend of clinical events in patients with AF-related AIS and determines how much the introduction of NOACs has mediated this trend. METHODS: We identified patients with AIS and AF between January 2011 and December 2019 using a multicenter stroke registry. Annual rates of NOAC prescriptions and clinical events within 1 year were evaluated. The primary outcome was a composite of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality. To assess the mediation effect of NOACs on the relationship between the calendar year and these outcomes, we used natural effect models and conducted exposure-mediator, exposure-outcome, and mediator-outcome analyses using multivariable regression models or accelerated failure time models, adjusting for potential confounders. RESULTS: Among the 12 977 patients with AF-related AIS, 12 500 (average age: 74.4 years; 51.3% male) were analyzed after excluding cases of valvular AF. Between 2011 and 2019, there was a significant decrease in the 1-year incidence of the primary composite outcome from 28.3% to 21.7%, while the NOAC prescription rate increased from 0% to 75.6%. A 1-year increase in the calendar year was independently associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.14]) and increased NOAC prescription (adjusted odds ratio, 2.20 [95% CI, 2.14-2.27]). Increased NOAC prescription was associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 3.82 [95% CI, 3.17 to 4.61]). Upon controlling for NOAC prescription (mediator), the calendar year no longer influenced the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.00]). This suggests that NOAC prescription mediates the association between the calendar year and the primary outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights a temporal reduction in major clinical events or death in Korean patients with AF-related AIS, mediated by increased NOAC prescription, emphasizing NOAC use in this population.