Evaluating Osteoarthritis Management Programs: outcome domain recommendations from the OARSI Joint Effort Initiative.

OBJECTIVE: To develop sets of core and optional recommended domains for describing and evaluating Osteoarthritis Management Programs (OAMPs), with a focus on hip and knee Osteoarthritis (OA). DESIGN: We conducted a 3-round modified Delphi survey involving an international group of researchers, health professionals, health administrators and people with OA. In Round 1, participants ranked the importance of 75 outcome and descriptive domains in five categories: patient impacts, implementation outcomes, and characteristics of the OAMP and its participants and clinicians. Domains ranked as "important" or "essential" by ≥80% of participants were retained, and participants could suggest additional domains. In Round 2, participants rated their level of agreement that each domain was essential for evaluating OAMPs: 0 = strongly disagree to 10 = strongly agree. A domain was retained if ≥80% rated it ≥6. In Round 3, participants rated remaining domains using same scale as in Round 2; a domain was recommended as "core" if ≥80% of participants rated it ≥9 and as "optional" if ≥80% rated it ≥7. RESULTS: A total of 178 individuals from 26 countries participated; 85 completed all survey rounds. Only one domain, "ability to participate in daily activities", met criteria for a core domain; 25 domains met criteria for an optional recommendation: 8 Patient Impacts, 5 Implementation Outcomes, 5 Participant Characteristics, 3 OAMP Characteristics and 4 Clinician Characteristics. CONCLUSION: The ability of patients with OA to participate in daily activities should be evaluated in all OAMPs. Teams evaluating OAMPs should consider including domains from the optional recommended set, with representation from all five categories and based on stakeholder priorities in their local context.

The patient enablement instrument for back pain: reliability, content validity, construct validity and responsiveness.

BACKGROUND: Currently, there are no outcome measures assessing the ability of people with non-specific low back pain to self-manage their illness. Inspired by the 'Patient Enablement Instrument', we developed the Patient Enablement Instrument for Back Pain (PEI-BP). The aim of this study was to describe the development of the Patient Enablement Instrument for Back Pain (PEI-BP) and investigate content validity, construct validity, internal consistency, test-retest reliability, measurement error, responsiveness and floor and ceiling effects. METHODS: The PEI-BP consists of 6 items that are rated on a 0-10 Numeric Rating Scale. Measurement properties were evaluated using the COSMIN taxonomy and were based on three cohorts from primary care with low back pain: The content validity cohort (N = 14) which participated in semi-structured interviews, the GLA:D® Back cohort (N = 272) and the test-retest cohort (N = 37) which both completed self-reported questionnaires. For construct validity and responsiveness, enablement was compared to disability (Oswestry Disability Index), back pain beliefs (Brief Illness Perception Questionnaire), fear avoidance (Fear-Avoidance Beliefs Questionnaire-physical activity), mental health (SF-36), educational level and number of previous episodes of low back pain. RESULTS: The PEI-BP was found to have acceptable content validity, construct validity, reliability (internal consistency, test-retest reliability and measurement error) and responsiveness. The Smallest Detectable Change was 10.1 points illustrating that a patient would have to change more than 1/6 of the scale range for it to be a true change. A skewed distribution towards the high scores were found at baseline indicating a potentially problematic ceiling effect in the current population. CONCLUSIONS: The PEI-BP can be considered a valid and reliable tool to measure enablement on people seeking care for non-specific LBP. Further testing of the PEI-BP in populations with more severe LBP is recommended. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Not applicable.

Group Differences in Facial Emotion Expression in Autism: Evidence for the Utility of Machine Classification.

Effective social communication relies, in part, on accurate nonverbal expression of emotion. To evaluate the nature of facial emotion expression (FEE) deficits in children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), we compared 20 youths with ASD to a sample of typically developing (TD) youth (n = 20) using a machine-based classifier of FEE. Results indicate group differences in FEE for overall accuracy across emotions. In particular, a significant group difference in accuracy of FEE was observed when participants were prompted by a video of a human expressing an emotion, F(2, 36) = 4.99, p = .032, η2 = .12. Specifically, youth with ASD made significantly more errors in FEE relative to TD youth. Findings support continued refinement of machine-based approaches to assess and potentially remediate FEE impairment in youth with ASD.

Diabetic foot ulcer incidence and survival with improved diabetic foot services: an 18-year study.

AIMS: To ascertain the effects of improvements in diabetic foot services over 18 years on incidence of diabetic foot ulceration. We also compared survival time from first ulcer development with presence of neuropathy, peripheral vascular disease, age and healing. METHODS: Persons with new ulceration and those at high risk of ulcer development were referred to community podiatry from 1998. Their details were recorded, with verbal consent, on a central database. The effects of neuropathy, peripheral vascular disease, healing and age on survival were analysed by Cox proportional hazards ratios. RESULTS: The incidence of first ulcer presentation decreased from 11.1 to 6.1 per 1000 persons between 2003 to 2017 (P <0.0001). Recurrent ulceration incidence remained stable. Prevalence of chronic and new foot ulceration combined increased from 20.7 to 33.1 per 1000 persons (P <0.0001). Ten-year survival was 85% for persons presenting with first ulcer and aged < 65 years, 50% for those aged 65-74 years and 25% for those aged 75-81 years (P < 0.0001). In those with peripheral vascular disease 5-year survival was 35% (P <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Integrated care for the diabetic foot in one National Health Service (NHS) health service area over 18 years was associated with a reduction in first presentations of diabetic foot ulceration, but failed to reduce recurrent ulceration. Cumulative prevalence of all ulcers continues to increase. Monitoring ulceration incidence can inform audit and planning of diabetic foot care services. Survival is better than reported previously in persons < 65 years and in the absence of peripheral vascular disease.

Task Dependency When Evaluating Association Between Facial Emotion Recognition and Facial Emotion Expression in Children with ASD.

The impact of facial emotion recognition (FER) deficits on facial emotion expression (FEE) during interaction with a novel computerized system was investigated in children with ASD (n = 20), in comparison to typically developing (TD) peers (n = 20). Although there was not clear evidence of impaired FEE, children with ASD showed more atypical FEE. In children with ASD, better FER predicted better FEE when the participants were asked to express a labeled emotion (t(18) = - 2.75, p = .01, d = 1.24). The stronger relationship between FER and FEE in children with ASD, relative to controls, suggests that intervention targeting social communication deficits might have maximal effect when both processes are considered.

A comparison of drug substance predicted chemical stability with ICH compliant stability studies.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to demonstrate the applicability of predictive stability studies to the degradation of drug substances. SIGNIFICANCE: The use of predicted stability studies during pharmaceutical development and in regulatory submissions is increasing, particularly in early phase to support an initial retest period/shelf life claim in the absence of standard stability data. These studies offer an alternative to standard stability testing and can facilitate clinical trials to be started earlier and medicines to reach patients faster. They involve a short-term stressed stability study, typically designed to degrade a drug substance or product to the specification level of the shelf life limiting attribute. The results are used to predict degradation under long-term storage conditions and enable stability understanding to be gained over a short time frame, using limited amounts of material. METHODS: In this work, Accelerated Stability Assessment Program (ASAP) studies were performed for 10 different drug substances and the predictions obtained for chemical degradation were compared to ICH compliant stability data. RESULTS: Across the studies good agreement was achieved, with the initial retest period predictions from the ASAP studies being conservative by design. When minimal degradation was observed during an ASAP study, it was demonstrated that at least a 12-month initial retest period could be supported. CONCLUSION: This comparison of ASAP predictions and ICH compliant stability data has demonstrated the ability of well-designed ASAP studies to predict the long-term chemical stability of drug substances.

Centralized Clinical Trial Imaging Data Management: Practical Guidance from a Comprehensive Cancer Center's Experience.

Medical imaging is an integral part of clinical trial research and it must be managed properly to provide accurate data to the sponsor in a timely manner (Clune in Cancer Inform 4:33-56, 2007; Wang et al. in Proc SPIE Int Soc Opt Eng 7967, 2011). Standardized workflows for site qualification, protocol preparation, data storage, retrieval, de-identification, submission, and query resolution are paramount to achieve quality clinical trial data management such as reducing the number of imaging protocol deviations and avoiding delays in data transfer. Centralization of data management and implementation of relational databases and electronic workflows can help maintain consistency and accuracy of imaging data. This technical note aims at sharing the practical implementation of our centralized clinical trial imaging data management processes to avoid the fragmentation of tasks among various disease centers and research staff, and enable us to provide quality, accurate, and timely imaging data to clinical trial sponsors.

Diabetes-related major lower limb amputation incidence is strongly related to diabetic foot service provision and improves with enhancement of services: peer review of the South-West of England.

AIMS: To investigate the relationship between high diabetes-related lower limb amputation incidence and foot care services in the South-West region of England. METHODS: The introduction of 10 key elements of foot care service provision in one area of the South-West resulted in stabilization of foot ulcer incidence and sustained reduction in amputation incidence from 2007. Services introduced included administrative support, standardized general practice foot screening, improved community podiatry staffing, hospital multidisciplinary foot clinics, effective care pathways, availability of an orthotist and audit. Peer reviews of the region's diabetes foot care services were undertaken to assess delivery of these service provisions and compare this with major amputation incidence in other regions with data provided by Yorkshire and Humber Public Health Observatory Hospital Episode Statistics. Recommendations were made to improve service provision. In 2015 changes in service provision and amputation incidence were reviewed. RESULTS: Initial reviews in 2013 showed that the 3-year diabetes-related major amputation incidence correlated inversely with adequate delivery of diabetes foot care services (P=0.0024, adjusted R2 =0.51). Repeat reviews in 2015 found that two or more foot care service improvements were reported by six diabetes foot care providers, with improvement in outcomes. The negative relationship between major amputation incidence and service provision remained strong both in the period 2012-2015 and in the year 2015 only (P ≤0.0012, adjusted R2 =0.56, and P= 0.0005, R2 =0.62, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Major diabetes-related lower limb amputation incidence is significantly inversely correlated with foot care services provision. Introduction of more effective service provision resulted in significant reductions in major amputation incidence within 2 years. Failure to improve unsatisfactory service provision resulted in continued high amputation incidence.

Implementing an electronic clinical handover system in a university teaching hospital.

INTRODUCTION: Clinical handover is defined as inter-clinician communication occurring at care interfaces. In this study, we analyse the clinical outcomes and physician attitudes associated with the implementation of a electronic clinical handover system in our medical department. AIM: The aim of this project was to introduce a reliable, standardised, reproducible method of communicating information regarding inpatients within our medical department. We also sought to assess the attitudes of physicians within our department to medical handover. METHODS: We designed and implemented an electronic handover template with a protocol to guide staff as to its use. Handover was audited weekly. In addition, we surveyed attitudes of doctors to handover before and after our handover pilot. RESULTS: An average of 32 patients were handed over each week. Compliance with mandatory handover of ICU/CCU patients averaged at 59%. Extrapolating our pilot results for the year would result in approximately 1655 handover events per annum in our department. One hundred percent of physicians surveyed felt that documentation of handover was beneficial, and staff satisfaction with handover improved after initiation of the pilot (81 vs 24%, p = 0.000914). While 64% of staff were concerned that typed electronic handover would increase their workload, only 6% of the post pilot survey group felt that it did increase workload significantly. CONCLUSION: Electronic clinical handover is feasible and practical within the Irish healthcare system. In addition, it was found in our study to be attractive and effective to physicians without increasing their workload.

A multi-institutional analysis of intraoperative radiotherapy for early breast cancer: Does age matter?

BACKGROUND: Single-session intraoperative radiation therapy (IORT) minimizes treatment demands associated with traditional whole breast radiation therapy (WBRT) but outcomes on local disease control and morbidity among the elderly is limited. METHODS: A multi-institutional retrospective registry was established from 19 centers utilizing IORT from 2007 to 2013. Patient, tumor, and treatment variables were analyzed for ages <70 and ≥70. RESULTS: We evaluated 686 patients (<70 = 424; ≥70 = 262) who were margin and lymph node negative. Patients <70 were more likely to have longer operative time, oncoplastic closure, higher rates of IORT used as planned boost, and receive chemotherapy and post-operative WBRT. Wound complication rates were low and not significantly different between age groups. Median follow-up was 1.06 (range 0.51-1.9) years for < 70 and 1.01 (range 0.5-1.68) years for ≥ 70. There were 5 (0.73%) breast recurrences (4 in <70 and 1 ≥ 70, p = 0.65) and no axillary recurrences during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: IORT was associated with a low rate of wound complication and local recurrence on short-term follow-up in this cohort.

Do group 1 metal salts form deep eutectic solvents?

Mixtures of metal salts such as ZnCl2, AlCl3 and CrCl3·6H2O form eutectic mixtures with complexing agents, such as urea. The aim of this research was to see if alkali metal salts also formed eutectics in the same way. It is shown that only a limited number of sodium salts form homogeneous liquids at ambient temperatures and then only with glycerol. None of these mixtures showed eutectic behaviour but the liquids showed the physical properties similar to the group of mixtures classified as deep eutectic solvents. This study focussed on four sodium salts: NaBr, NaOAc, NaOAc·3H2O and Na2B4O7·10H2O. The ionic conductivity and viscosity of these salts with glycerol were studied, and it was found that unlike previous studies of quaternary ammonium salts with glycerol, where the salt decreased the viscosity, most of the sodium salts increased the viscosity. This suggests that sodium salts have a structure making effect on glycerol. This phenomenon is probably due to the high charge density of Na+, which coordinates to the glycerol. 1H and 23Na NMR diffusion and relaxation methods have been used to understand the molecular dynamics in the glycerol-salt mixtures, and probe the effect of water on some of these systems. The results reveal a complex dynamic behaviour of the different species within these liquids. Generally, the translational dynamics of the 1H species, probed by means of PFG NMR diffusion coefficients, is in line with the viscosity of these liquids. However, 1H and 23Na T1 relaxation measurements suggest that the Na-containing species also play a crucial role in the structure of the liquids.

A progressively wetter climate in southern East Africa over the past 1.3 million years.

African climate is generally considered to have evolved towards progressively drier conditions over the past few million years, with increased variability as glacial-interglacial change intensified worldwide. Palaeoclimate records derived mainly from northern Africa exhibit a 100,000-year (eccentricity) cycle overprinted on a pronounced 20,000-year (precession) beat, driven by orbital forcing of summer insolation, global ice volume and long-lived atmospheric greenhouse gases. Here we present a 1.3-million-year-long climate history from the Lake Malawi basin (10°-14° S in eastern Africa), which displays strong 100,000-year (eccentricity) cycles of temperature and rainfall following the Mid-Pleistocene Transition around 900,000 years ago. Interglacial periods were relatively warm and moist, while ice ages were cool and dry. The Malawi record shows limited evidence for precessional variability, which we attribute to the opposing effects of austral summer insolation and the temporal/spatial pattern of sea surface temperature in the Indian Ocean. The temperature history of the Malawi basin, at least for the past 500,000 years, strongly resembles past changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide and terrigenous dust flux in the tropical Pacific Ocean, but not in global ice volume. Climate in this sector of eastern Africa (unlike northern Africa) evolved from a predominantly arid environment with high-frequency variability to generally wetter conditions with more prolonged wet and dry intervals.

Efficient continuous synthesis of high purity deep eutectic solvents by twin screw extrusion.

Mechanochemical synthesis has been applied to the rapid synthesis of Deep Eutectic Solvents (DESs), including Reline 200 (choline chloride : urea, 1 : 2), in a continuous flow methodology by Twin Screw Extrusion (TSE). This gave products in higher purity and with Space Time Yields (STYs), four orders of magnitude greater than for batch methods.

Long-term Mortality in Patients with Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis: Implications for Statin Therapy.

OBJECTIVE: Recent studies with asymptomatic carotid patients on best medical management have shown that the annual risk of stroke has decreased to approximately 1%. There is no evidence that a similar decrease in mortality has occurred. In addition, the intensity of statin therapy for these patients has not yet been determined. The aims of this review were to determine (a) the reported long-term all-cause and cardiac-related mortality in patients with asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) > 50%, (b) whether there has been a decrease in mortality in recent years, (c) the available methods of mortality risk stratification, and (d) whether the latest ACC/AHA guidelines on the treatment of serum lipids can be applied to this group of patients. METHODS: Systematic review of PubMed, EuroPubMed, and Cochrane Library and meta-analysis using random effects for pooled proportions were performed regarding long-term all-cause and cardiac-related mortality and the associated risk factors in ACS patients. The last day for literature search was October 30, 2014. RESULTS: Seventeen studies were retrieved reporting 5-year all-cause mortality in 11,391 patients with ACS >50%. The 5-year cumulative all-cause mortality across all 17 studies was 23.6% (95% CI 20.50-26.80). Twelve additional studies, reporting both all-cause and cardiac mortality with a minimum of 2 year follow-up and involving 4,072 patients were identified. Of the 930 deaths reported, 589 (62.9%; 95% CI 58.81-66.89) were cardiac-related. This translates into an average cardiac-related mortality of 2.9% per year. CONCLUSIONS: All-cause and cardiac mortality in ACS patients are very high. Although risk stratification is possible, most patients are classified as high risk. In view of this high risk, aggressive statin therapy is indicated if the new ACC/AHA guidelines on serum lipids are to be adhered to.

Bias in the use of randomized trials for carotid stenosis management.

BACKGROUND: Carotid artery procedures, such as surgery and stenting, although associated with significant risks and costs, are often recommended in guidelines which cite12- to 34-year-old randomized trial evidence of benefit; however, these recommendations exist although there is no evidence these procedures benefit patients who receive only current optimal medical treatment  (encouragement of a healthy lifestyle and appropriate use of medication). OBJECTIVE: To examine whether bias exists in the use of randomized trial evidence and its impact on guideline recommendations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Examples of how bias underpins endorsement of carotid procedures for patients with asymptomatic or symptomatic carotid stenosis were sought from available literature. . RESULTS: Many forms of procedural bias were identified involving the need for randomized trials, and their design and interpretation. Fundamental problems included failure to first adequately measure outcomes with non-invasive treatment alone, lack of appreciation of quality non-randomized trial measurements of risk in determining need for randomized trials and their applicability in routine practice, poor randomized trial methods with biased comparisons, inaccurate definitions of target populations, confusion of efficacy and safety outcomes, too much reliance on statistical rather than clinical significance and biased use of terminology to make procedures sound more effective. CONCLUSION: Procedural bias in design and interpretation of randomized trials has resulted in widespread loss of understanding of how to optimize outcomes in patients with carotid artery stenosis. Current guidelines reflect the cumulative impact of this bias and are an excellent starting point for efforts to improve prevention of stroke and other vascular disease complications; however, there is also need for clinicians, policy makers, health service funding bodies, educators and the general public to assist.

High proportion of rare and compound epidermal growth factor receptor mutations in an Australian population of non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation positivity in primary non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) may confer increased sensitivity to EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy with improved progression-free survival over EGFR wild-type tumours. Some mutation subtypes may not confer such TKI sensitivity. The incidence of rare and compound subtypes in the Australian lung cancer population is not fully defined. AIMS: The aim of the study was to audit the incidence of EGFR mutation in serial cases of primary non-squamous NSCLC presenting to two multidisciplinary team meetings in metropolitan Sydney for incidence, type of mutation and phenotypic association with mutation positivity. METHODS: Serially presenting cases of primary non-squamous NSCLC were tested for EGFR mutation. The cases presented to either of two multidisciplinary team meetings in metropolitan Sydney and were referred for EGFR mutation testing on the basis of non-squamous NSCLC histopathology. Samples from the two sites were analysed for EGFR mutation at one of three different laboratories, each using a slightly different assay. Data on phenotypic characteristics, smoking history and clinicopathological features of the tumour were collected. RESULTS: There is a relatively high incidence of EGFR mutation in non-squamous NSCLC in a series of patients drawn from two metropolitan multidisciplinary team meetings in Sydney at a rate of 23.8%. A high proportion of rare and compound EGFR mutations were identified (6/32 mutation positive cases, 18.8%). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of EGFR mutation may be higher in Australian populations than in other populations of predominantly European origin. Rare and compound EGFR mutations may occur and may have implications for treatment that differ from classically activating mutations.