Serum proteomic panel validated for prediction of knee osteoarthritis progression.

Objective: To further validate a serum proteomics panel for predicting radiographic (structural) knee OA progression. Design: Serum peptides were targeted by multiple-reaction-monitoring mass spectrometry in the New York University cohort (n â€‹= â€‹104). Knee OA progression was defined as joint space narrowing ≥1 in the tibiofemoral compartment of one knee per study participant over a 24-month follow-up. The discriminative ability of an 11-peptide panel was evaluated by multivariable logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), without and with demographic characteristics of age, sex, and body mass index. The association of each peptide with OA progression was assessed by odds ratios (OR) in multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for demographics. Results: The cohort included 46 (44%) knee OA progressors. The panel of 11 peptides alone yielded AUC â€‹= â€‹0.66 (95% CI [0.55, 0.77]) for discriminating progressors from non-progressors; demographic traits alone yielded AUC â€‹= â€‹0.66 (95% CI [0.55, 0.77]). Together the 11 peptides and demographics yielded AUC â€‹= â€‹0.72 (95% CI [0.62, 0.83]). CRAC1 had the highest odds for predicting OA progression (OR 2.014, 95% CI [0.996, 4.296], p â€‹= â€‹0.058). Conclusions: We evaluated a parsimonious serum proteomic panel and found it to be a good discriminator of knee radiographic OA progression from non-progression. Since these biomarkers are quantifiable in serum, they could be deployed relatively easily to provide a simple, cost-effective strategy for identifying and monitoring individuals at high risk of knee OA progression.

Pathological tissue formation and degradation biomarkers correlate with patient reported pain outcomes: an explorative study.

Background: The lack of disease modifying drugs in Osteoarthritis (OA) may be attributed to the difficulty in robust response based on patient-reported outcomes (PROs) linked to drug mechanism of action. Joint tissue turnover biomarkers are associated with disease progression. A subset of patients has elevated serum levels of CRP metabolite (CRPM). This explorative study investigates the associations between PROs and joint tissue turnover markers in patients with high or low CRPM. Methods: Serum of 146 knee OA patients of the New York Inflammation cohort and 21 healthy donors were assessed for biomarkers of collagen degradation (C1M, C2M, C3M, C4M), formation (PRO-C1, PRO-C2, PRO-C3, PRO-C4), and CRPM. Mean (SD) age was 62.5 (10.1); BMI, 26.6 (3.6); 62% women; and, 67.6% had symptomatic OA. WOMAC pain, stiffness, function, and total were recorded at baseline and at two-year follow-up. Associations were adjusted for race, sex, age, BMI, and NSAID. Results: There was no difference in markers between donors and patients. C2M correlated with the WOMAC scores in all CRPM groups. Significant correlations were observed between PROs and PRO-C4, C1M, and C3M in the CRPMhigh group. The best predictive models for improvement were found for function and total with AUCs of 0.74 (p â€‹< â€‹0.01) and 0.78 (p â€‹< â€‹0.01). The best predictive models for worsening were found for function and total with AUCs of 0.84 (p â€‹< â€‹0.01) and 0.80 (p â€‹< â€‹0.05). Conclusion: We hypothesize that collagen markers are prognostic tools for segregating patient populations in clinical trials.

Interleukin-1 receptor antagonist gene ( IL1RN ) variants modulate the cytokine release syndrome and mortality of SARS-CoV-2.

Objective: To explore the regulation of the inflammatory response in acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, we examined effects of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) of IL1RN , the gene encoding the anti-inflammatory IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra), on the cytokine release syndrome and mortality. Methods: We studied 2589 patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 between March 2020 and March 2021 at NYU Langone's Tisch Hospital. CTA and TTG haplotypes formed from three SNVs (rs419598, rs315952, rs9005) and the individual SNVs of the IL1RN gene were assessed for association with laboratory markers of the cytokine release syndrome (CRS) and mortality. Results: Mortality in the population was 15.3%, and was lower in women than men (13.1% vs.17.3%, p<0.0003). Carriers of the CTA-1/2 IL1RN haplotypes exhibited decreased inflammatory markers and increased plasma IL-1Ra relative to TTG carriers. Decreased mortality among CTA-1/2 carriers was observed in male patients between the ages of 55-74 [9.2% vs. 17.9%, p=0.001]. Evaluation of individual SNVs of the IL1RN gene (rs419598, rs315952, rs9005) indicated that carriers of the IL1RN rs419598 CC SNV exhibited lower inflammatory biomarker levels, and was associated with reduced mortality compared to the CT/TT genotype in men (OR 0.49 (0.23 - 1.00); 0.052), with the most pronounced effect observed between the ages of 55-74 [5.5% vs. 18.4%, p<0.001]. Conclusion: The IL1RN haplotype CTA, and sequence variant of rs419598 are associated with attenuation of the cytokine release syndrome and decreased mortality in males with acute SARS-CoV2 infection. The data suggest that IL1RN modulates the COVID-19 cytokine release syndrome via endogenous " anti-inflammatory" mechanisms. Significance statement: We provide evidence that variants of IL1RN modulate the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection. The IL1RN CTA haplotype and rs419598 CC single nucleotide variant are associated with decreased plasma levels of inflammatory markers, interleukin-1 beta (IL-1ß), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-2 (IL-2), C-reactive protein (CRP), D-dimer, ferritin, and procalcitonin, in association with higher levels of IL-1Ra and IL-10, anti-inflammatory proteins. Both haplotype CTA and rs419598 CC genotype are associated with a significant reduction in the mortality of men. These data provide genetic evidence that inflammasome activation and the IL-1 pathway plays an important role in the mortality and morbidity associated with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection, and that genetic regulation of inflammatory pathways by variants of IL1RN merits further evaluation in severe SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Role of Intestinal Dysbiosis and Nutrition in Rheumatoid Arthritis.

Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic systemic immune-mediated disease caused by genetic and environmental factors. It is often characterized by the generation of autoantibodies that lead to synovial inflammation and eventual multi-joint destruction. A growing number of studies have shown significant differences in the gut microbiota composition of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients compared to healthy controls. Environmental factors, and changes in diet and nutrition are thought to play a role in developing this dysbiosis. This review aims to summarize the current knowledge of intestinal dysbiosis, the role of nutritional factors, and its implications in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis and autoimmunity. The future direction focuses on developing microbiome manipulation therapeutics for RA disease management.

Interferon pathway lupus risk alleles modulate risk of death from acute COVID-19.

Type I interferon (IFN) is critical in our defense against viral infections. Increased type I IFN pathway activation is a genetic risk factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and a number of common risk alleles contribute to the high IFN trait. We hypothesized that these common gain-of-function IFN pathway alleles may be associated with protection from mortality in acute COVID-19. We studied patients admitted with acute COVID-19 (756 European-American and 398 African-American ancestry). Ancestral backgrounds were analyzed separately, and mortality after acute COVID-19 was the primary outcome. In European-American ancestry, we found that a haplotype of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) and alleles of protein kinase cGMP-dependent 1 (PRKG1) were associated with mortality from COVID-19. Interestingly, these were much stronger risk factors in younger patients (OR = 29.2 for PRKG1 in ages 45-54). Variants in the IRF7 and IRF8 genes were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in African-American subjects, and these genetic effects were more pronounced in older subjects. Combining genetic information with blood biomarker data such as C-reactive protein, troponin, and D-dimer resulted in significantly improved predictive capacity, and in both ancestral backgrounds the risk genotypes were most relevant in those with positive biomarkers (OR for death between 14 and 111 in high risk genetic/biomarker groups). This study confirms the critical role of the IFN pathway in defense against COVID-19 and viral infections, and supports the idea that some common SLE risk alleles exert protective effects in antiviral immunity.

Interferon pathway lupus risk alleles modulate risk of death from acute COVID-19.

Type I interferon (IFN) is critical in our defense against viral infections. Increased type I IFN pathway activation is a genetic risk factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and a number of common risk alleles contribute to the high IFN trait. We hypothesized that these common gain-of-function IFN pathway alleles may be associated with protection from mortality in acute COVID-19. We studied patients admitted with acute COVID-19 (756 European-American and 398 African-American ancestry). Ancestral backgrounds were analyzed separately, and mortality after acute COVID-19 was the primary outcome. In European-American ancestry, we found that a haplotype of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) and alleles of protein kinase cGMP-dependent 1 (PRKG1) were associated with mortality from COVID-19. Interestingly, these were much stronger risk factors in younger patients (OR=29.2 for PRKG1 in ages 45-54). Variants in the IRF7 and IRF8 genes were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in African-American subjects, and these genetic effects were more pronounced in older subjects. Combining genetic information with blood biomarker data such as C-reactive protein, troponin, and D-dimer resulted in significantly improved predictive capacity, and in both ancestral backgrounds the risk genotypes were most relevant in those with positive biomarkers (OR for death between 14 and 111 in high risk genetic/biomarker groups). This study confirms the critical role of the IFN pathway in defense against COVID-19 and viral infections, and supports the idea that some common SLE risk alleles exert protective effects in anti-viral immunity. BACKGROUND: We find that a number of IFN pathway lupus risk alleles significantly impact mortality following COVID-19 infection. These data support the idea that type I IFN pathway risk alleles for autoimmune disease may persist in high frequency in modern human populations due to a benefit in our defense against viral infections. TRANSLATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE: We develop multivariate prediction models which combine genetics and known biomarkers of severity to result in greatly improved prediction of mortality in acute COVID-19. The specific associated alleles provide some clues about key points in our defense against COVID-19.

Methotrexate hampers immunogenicity to BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in immune-mediated inflammatory disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the humoral and cellular immune response to messenger RNA (mRNA) COVID-19 vaccines in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) on immunomodulatory treatment. METHODS: Established patients at New York University Langone Health with IMID (n=51) receiving the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination were assessed at baseline and after second immunisation. Healthy subjects served as controls (n=26). IgG antibody responses to the spike protein were analysed for humoral response. Cellular immune response to SARS-CoV-2 was further analysed using high-parameter spectral flow cytometry. A second independent, validation cohort of controls (n=182) and patients with IMID (n=31) from Erlangen, Germany, were also analysed for humoral immune response. RESULTS: Although healthy subjects (n=208) and patients with IMID on biologic treatments (mostly on tumour necrosis factor blockers, n=37) demonstrate robust antibody responses (over 90%), those patients with IMID on background methotrexate (n=45) achieve an adequate response in only 62.2% of cases. Similarly, patients with IMID on methotrexate do not demonstrate an increase in CD8+ T-cell activation after vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: In two independent cohorts of patients with IMID, methotrexate, a widely used immunomodulator for the treatment of several IMIDs, adversely affected humoral and cellular immune response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. Although precise cut-offs for immunogenicity that correlate with vaccine efficacy are yet to be established, our findings suggest that different strategies may need to be explored in patients with IMID taking methotrexate to increase the chances of immunisation efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 as has been demonstrated for augmenting immunogenicity to other viral vaccines.

Methotrexate Hampers Immunogenicity to BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine in Immune-Mediated Inflammatory Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the humoral and cellular immune response to mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) on immunomodulatory treatment. METHODS: Established patients at NYU Langone Health with IMID (n=51) receiving the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination were assessed at baseline and after second immunization. Healthy subjects served as controls (n=26). IgG antibody responses to the spike protein were analyzed for humoral response. Cellular immune response to SARS-CoV-2 was further analyzed using high-parameter spectral flow cytometry. A second independent, validation cohort of controls (n=182) and patients with IMID (n=31) from Erlangen, Germany were also analyzed for humoral immune response. RESULTS: Although healthy subjects (n=208) and IMID patients on biologic treatments (mostly on TNF blockers, n=37) demonstrate robust antibody responses (over 90%), those patients with IMID on background methotrexate (n=45) achieve an adequate response in only 62.2% of cases. Similarly, IMID patients do not demonstrate an increase in CD8+ T cell activation after vaccination. CONCLUSIONS: In two independent cohorts of IMID patients, methotrexate, a widely used immunomodulator for the treatment of several IMIDs, adversely affected humoral and cellular immune response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. Although precise cut offs for immunogenicity that correlate with vaccine efficacy are yet to be established, our findings suggest that different strategies may need to be explored in patients with IMID taking methotrexate to increase the chances of immunization efficacy against SARS-CoV-2 as has been demonstrated for augmenting immunogenicity to other viral vaccines. KEY MESSAGES: What is already known about this subject?: The impact of COVID-19 has been felt across the globe and new hope has arisen with the approval of mRNA vaccines against the SARS-CoV-2. Studies have shown immunogenicity and efficacy rates of over 90% in the immunocompetent adult population. However, there is a lack of knowledge surrounding the response of patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) who may also be on immunomodulatory medications.Patients with IMID have been shown to have attenuated immune responses to seasonal influenza vaccination.What does this study add?: This study looks at the humoral and cellular immune response to two doses of BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine in participants with IMID (on immunomodulators) compared with healthy controls.Individuals with IMID on methotrexate demonstrate up to a 62% reduced rate of adequate immunogenicity to the BNT162b2 mRNA vaccination. Those on anti-cytokine or non-methotrexate oral medications demonstrate similar levels of immunogenicity as healthy controls (greater than 90%).Similarly, vaccination did not induce an activated CD8+ T cell response in participants on background methotrexate, unlike healthy controls and patients with IMID not receiving methotrexate.How might this impact of clinical practice or future developments?: These results suggest that patients on methotrexate may need alternate vaccination strategies such as additional doses of vaccine, dose modification of methotrexate, or even a temporary discontinuation of this drug. Further studies will be required to explore the effect of these approaches on mRNA vaccine immunogenicity.

Periostin loss-of-function protects mice from post-traumatic and age-related osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Elevated levels of periostin (Postn) in the cartilage and bone are associated with osteoarthritis (OA). However, it remains unknown whether Postn loss-of-function can delay or prevent the development of OA. In this study, we sought to better understand the role of Postn in OA development and assessed the functional impact of Postn deficiency on post-traumatic and age-related OA in mice. METHODS: The effects of Postn deficiency were studied in two murine experimental OA models using Postn-/- (n = 32) and littermate wild-type (wt) mice (n = 36). Post-traumatic OA was induced by destabilization of the medial meniscus (DMM) in 10-week-old mice (n = 20); age-related OA was analyzed in 24-month-old mice (n = 13). Cartilage degeneration was assessed histologically using the OARSI scoring system, and synovitis was evaluated by measuring the synovial lining cell layer and the cells density in the synovial stroma. Bone changes were measured by µCT analysis. Serum levels of Postn were determined by ELISA. Expression of Postn and collagenase-3 (MMP-13) was measured by immunostaining. RNA-seq was performed on chondrocytes isolated from 21-day old Postn-/- (n = 3) and wt mice (n = 3) to discover genes and pathways altered by Postn knockout. RESULTS: Postn-/- mice exhibited significantly reduced cartilage degeneration and OARSI score relative to wt mice in post-traumatic OA after 8 weeks (maximum: 2.37 ± 0.74 vs. 4.00 ± 1.20, P = 0.011; summed: 9.31 ± 2.52 vs. 21.44 ± 6.01, P = 0.0002) and spontaneous OA (maximum: 1.93 ± 0.45 vs. 3.58 ± 1.16, P = 0.014; summed: 6.14 ± 1.57 vs. 11.50 ± 3.02, P = 0.003). Synovitis was significantly lower in Postn-/- mice than wt only in the DMM model (1.88 ± 1.01 vs. 3.17 ± 0.63; P = 0.039). Postn-/- mice also showed lower trabecular bone parameters such as BV/TV, vBMD, Tb.Th, and Tb.N and high Tb. Sp in both models. Postn-/- mice had negligible levels of serum Postn compared with wt. Immunofluorescent studies of cartilage indicated that Postn-/- mice expressed lower MMP-13 levels than wt mice. RNA-seq revealed that cell-cell-adhesion and cell-differentiation processes were enriched in Postn-/- mice, while those related to cell-cycle and DNA-repair were enriched in wt mice. CONCLUSIONS: Postn deficiency protects against DMM-induced post-traumatic and age-related spontaneous OA. RNA-seq findings warrant further investigations to better understand the mechanistic role of Postn and its potential as a therapeutic target in OA.

A low cartilage formation and repair endotype predicts radiographic progression of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis.

BACKGROUND: Osteoarthritis (OA) is a disease with multiple endotypes. A hallmark of OA is loss of cartilage; however, it is evident that the rate of cartilage loss differs among patients, which may partly be attributed to differential capacity for cartilage repair. We hypothesize that a low cartilage repair endotype exists and that such endotypes are more likely to progress radiographically. The aim of this study is to examine the associations of level of cartilage formation with OA severity and radiographic OA progression. We used the blood-based marker PRO-C2, reflecting type II collagen formation, to assess levels of cartilage formation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The type II collagen propeptide PRO-C2 was measured in the serum/plasma of knee OA subjects from New York University (NYU, n = 106) and a subcohort of the phase III oral salmon calcitonin (sCT) trial SMC021-2301 (SMC, n = 147). Risk of radiographic medial joint space narrowing (JSN) over 24 months was compared between quartiles (very low, low, moderate, and high) of PRO-C2. Associations were adjusted for age, gender, BMI, race, baseline pain levels, and baseline joint space width. RESULTS: In both the NYU and SMC cohorts, subjects with low PRO-C2 levels had greater JSN compared with subjects with high PRO-C2. Mean difference in JSN between subjects with very low and high levels of PRO-C2 was 0.65 mm (p = 0.002), corresponding to a 3.4 (1.4-8.6)-fold higher risk of progression. There was no significant effect of sCT treatment, compared with placebo, on JSN over 2 years before stratification based on baseline PRO-C2. However, there were proportionately fewer progressors in the sCT arm of the very low/low PRO-C2 group compared with the moderate/high group (Chi squared = 6.5, p = 0.011). CONCLUSION: Serum/plasma level of type II collagen formation, PRO-C2, may be an objective indicator of a low cartilage repair endotype, displaying radiographic progression and superior response to a proanabolic drug. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Level III post hoc exploratory analysis of one longitudinal cohort and a sub-study from one phase III clinical trial.

The Pretreatment Gut Microbiome Is Associated With Lack of Response to Methotrexate in New-Onset Rheumatoid Arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Although oral methotrexate (MTX) remains the anchor drug for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), up to 50% of patients do not achieve a clinically adequate outcome. In addition, there is a lack of prognostic tools for treatment response prior to drug initiation. This study was undertaken to investigate whether interindividual differences in the human gut microbiome can aid in the prediction of MTX efficacy in new-onset RA. METHODS: We performed 16S ribosomal RNA gene and shotgun metagenomic sequencing on the baseline gut microbiomes of drug-naive patients with new-onset RA (n = 26). Results were validated in an additional independent cohort (n = 21). To gain insight into potential microbial mechanisms, we conducted ex vivo experiments coupled with metabolomics analysis to evaluate the association between microbiome-driven MTX depletion and clinical response. RESULTS: Our analysis revealed significant associations of the abundance of gut bacterial taxa and their genes with future clinical response (q < 0.05), including orthologs related to purine and MTX metabolism. Machine learning techniques were applied to the metagenomic data, resulting in a microbiome-based model that predicted lack of response to MTX in an independent group of patients. Finally, MTX levels remaining after ex vivo incubation with distal gut samples from pretreatment RA patients significantly correlated with the magnitude of future clinical response, suggesting a possible direct effect of the gut microbiome on MTX metabolism and treatment outcomes. CONCLUSION: Taken together, these findings are the first step toward predicting lack of response to oral MTX in patients with new-onset RA and support the value of the gut microbiome as a possible prognostic tool and as a potential target in RA therapeutics.

The combination of an inflammatory peripheral blood gene expression and imaging biomarkers enhance prediction of radiographic progression in knee osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Predictive biomarkers of progression in knee osteoarthritis are sought to enable clinical trials of structure-modifying drugs. A peripheral blood leukocyte (PBL) inflammatory gene signature, MRI-based bone marrow lesions (BML) and meniscus extrusion scores, meniscal lesions, and osteophytes on X-ray each have been shown separately to predict radiographic joint space narrowing (JSN) in subjects with symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (SKOA). In these studies, we determined whether the combination of the PBL inflammatory gene expression and these imaging findings at baseline enhanced the prognostic value of either alone. METHODS: PBL inflammatory gene expression (increased mRNA for IL-1ß, TNFα, and COX-2), routine radiographs, and 3T knee MRI were assessed in two independent populations with SKOA: an NYU cohort and the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI). At baseline and 24 months, subjects underwent standardized fixed-flexion knee radiographs and knee MRI. Medial JSN (mJSN) was determined as the change in medial JSW. Progressors were defined by an mJSN cut-point (≥ 0.5 mm/24 months). Models were evaluated by odds ratios (OR) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: We validated our prior finding in these two independent (NYU and OAI) cohorts, individually and combined, that an inflammatory PBL inflammatory gene expression predicted radiographic progression of SKOA after adjustment for age, sex, and BMI. Similarly, the presence of baseline BML and meniscal lesions by MRI or semiquantitative osteophyte score on X-ray each predicted radiographic medial JSN at 24 months. The combination of the PBL inflammatory gene expression and medial BML increased the AUC from 0.66 (p = 0.004) to 0.75 (p < 0.0001) and the odds ratio from 6.31 to 19.10 (p < 0.0001) in the combined cohort of 473 subjects. The addition of osteophyte score to BML and PBL inflammatory gene expression further increased the predictive value of any single biomarker. A causal analysis demonstrated that the PBL inflammatory gene expression and BML independently influenced mJSN. CONCLUSION: The use of the PBL inflammatory gene expression together with imaging biomarkers as combinatorial predictive biomarkers, markedly enhances the identification of radiographic progressors. The identification of the SKOA population at risk for progression will help in the future design of disease-modifying OA drug trials and personalized medicine strategies.

Periostin interaction with discoidin domain receptor-1 (DDR1) promotes cartilage degeneration.

Osteoarthritis (OA) is characterized by progressive loss of articular cartilage accompanied by the new bone formation and, often, a synovial proliferation that culminates in pain, loss of joint function, and disability. However, the cellular and molecular mechanisms of OA progression and the relative contributions of cartilage, bone, and synovium remain unclear. We recently found that the extracellular matrix (ECM) protein periostin (Postn, or osteoblast-specific factor, OSF-2) is expressed at high levels in human OA cartilage. Multiple groups have also reported elevated expression of Postn in several rodent models of OA. We have previously reported that in vitro Postn promotes collagen and proteoglycan degradation in human chondrocytes through AKT/ß-catenin signaling and downstream activation of MMP-13 and ADAMTS4 expression. Here we show that Postn induces collagen and proteoglycan degradation in cartilage by signaling through discoidin domain receptor-1 (DDR1), a receptor tyrosine kinase. The genetic deficiency or pharmacological inhibition of DDR1 in mouse chondrocytes blocks Postn-induced MMP-13 expression. These data show that Postn is signaling though DDR1 is mechanistically involved in OA pathophysiology. Specific inhibitors of DDR1 may provide therapeutic opportunities to treat OA.

Pharmacomicrobiomics in inflammatory arthritis: gut microbiome as modulator of therapeutic response.

In the past three decades, extraordinary advances have been made in the understanding of the pathogenesis of, and treatment options for, inflammatory arthritides, including rheumatoid arthritis and spondyloarthritis. The use of methotrexate and subsequently biologic therapies (such as TNF inhibitors, among others) and oral small molecules have substantially improved clinical outcomes for many patients with inflammatory arthritis; for others, however, these agents do not substantially improve their symptoms. The emerging field of pharmacomicrobiomics, which investigates the effect of variations within the human gut microbiome on drugs, has already provided important insights into these therapeutics. Pharmacomicrobiomic studies have demonstrated that human gut microorganisms and their enzymatic products can affect the bioavailability, clinical efficacy and toxicity of a wide array of drugs through direct and indirect mechanisms. This discipline promises to facilitate the advent of microbiome-based precision medicine approaches in inflammatory arthritis, including strategies for predicting response to treatment and for modulating the microbiome to improve response to therapy or reduce drug toxicity.

Signatures of medical student applicants and academic success.

The acceptance of students to a medical school places a considerable emphasis on performance in standardized tests and undergraduate grade point average (uGPA). Traditionally, applicants may be judged as a homogeneous population according to simple quantitative thresholds that implicitly assume a linear relationship between scores and academic success. This 'one-size-fits-all' approach ignores the notion that individuals may show distinct patterns of achievement and follow diverse paths to success. In this study, we examined a dataset composed of 53 variables extracted from the admissions application records of 1,088 students matriculating to NYU School of Medicine between the years 2006-2014. We defined training and test groups and applied K-means clustering to search for distinct groups of applicants. Building an optimized logistic regression model, we then tested the predictive value of this clustering for estimating the success of applicants in medical school, aggregating eight performance measures during the subsequent medical school training as a success factor. We found evidence for four distinct clusters of students-we termed 'signatures'-which differ most substantially according to the absolute level of the applicant's uGPA and its trajectory over the course of undergraduate education. The 'risers' signature showed a relatively higher uGPA and also steeper trajectory; the other signatures showed each remaining combination of these two main factors: 'improvers' relatively lower uGPA, steeper trajectory; 'solids' higher uGPA, flatter trajectory; 'statics' both lower uGPA and flatter trajectory. Examining the success index across signatures, we found that the risers and the statics have significantly higher and lower likelihood of quantifiable success in medical school, respectively. We also found that each signature has a unique set of features that correlate with its success in medical school. The big data approach presented here can more sensitively uncover success potential since it takes into account the inherent heterogeneity within the student population.

Interleukin 1 receptor antagonist (IL1RN) gene variants predict radiographic severity of knee osteoarthritis and risk of incident disease.

OBJECTIVE: In these studies, we examined the association of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the IL1RN gene with radiographic severity of symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (SKOA) and the risk of incident OA. We also explored these genetic polymorphisms in patients with new onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: Over 1000 subjects who met American College of Rheumatology criteria for tibiofemoral OA were selected from three independent, National Institute of Health (NIH)-funded cohorts. CTA and TTG haplotypes formed from three SNPs of the IL1RN gene (rs419598, rs315952, rs9005) were assessed for association with radiographic severity, and risk for incident radiographic OA (rOA) in a nested case-control cohort. These IL1RN haplotypes were also assessed for association with disease activity (DAS28) and plasma inflammatory markers in patients with RA. RESULTS: Carriage of the IL1RN TTG haplotype was associated with increased odds of more severe rOA compared with age-matched, sex-matched and body mass index-matched individuals. Examination of the osteoarthritis initiative Incidence Subcohort demonstrated that carriage of the TTG haplotype was associated with 4.1-fold (p=0.001) increased odds of incident rOA. Plasma IL-1Ra levels were lower in TTG carriers, while chondrocytes from TTG carriers exhibited decreased secretion of IL-1Ra. In patients with RA, the TTG haplotype was associated with increased DAS28, decreased plasma IL-1Ra and elevations of plasma inflammatory markers (hsCRP, interleukin 6 (IL-6)). CONCLUSION: Carriage of the IL1RN TTG haplotype is associated with more severe rOA, increased risk for incident OA, and increased evidence of inflammation in RA. These data suggest that the IL1RN TTG risk haplotype, associated with decreased IL-1Ra plasma levels, impairs endogenous 'anti-inflammatory' mechanisms.

Vascular Adhesion Protein-1 (VAP-1) as Predictor of Radiographic Severity in Symptomatic Knee Osteoarthritis in the New York University Cohort.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the expression of vascular adhesion protein-1 (VAP-1) in joint tissues and serum in symptomatic knee osteoarthritis (SKOA) patients and examine whether VAP-1 levels predict increased risk of disease severity in a cross-sectional study. METHODS: Baseline VAP-1 expression and soluble VAP-1 (sVAP-1) levels were assessed in the synovium synovial fluid and in the serum in cohorts of patients with tibiofemoral medial knee OA and healthy subjects. Standardized fixed-flexion poster anterior knee radiographs scored for Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade (0-4) and medial joint space width (JSW). KL1/2 vs. KL3/4 scores defined early and advanced radiographic severity, respectively. Biochemical markers assessed in serum or synovial fluids (SF) comprised sVAP-1, interleukin 1 receptor antagonist (IL-1Ra), interleukin 6 (IL-6), soluble receptor for advanced glycation end-products (sRAGE), C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2), C-C motif chemokine ligand 4 (CCL4), cluster of differentiation 163 (CD163), high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), and matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs)-1,-3,-9. Associations between biomarkers and radiographic severity KL1/2 vs. KL3/4 (logistic regression controlling for covariates) and pain (Spearman correlation) were evaluated. RESULTS: Elevated levels of sVAP-1 observed in OA synovial fluid and VAP-1 expression in synovium based on immunohistochemical, microarray, and real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) analyses. However, serum sVAP-1 levels in OA patients were lower than in controls and inversely correlated with pain and inflammation markers (hsCRP and soluble RAGE). Soluble VAP-1 levels in serum were also lower in radiographically advanced (KL3/4) compared with early KL1/2 knee SKOA patients. CONCLUSION: Local (synovial fluid) semicarbazide-sensitive amine oxidase (SSAO)/sVAP-1 levels were elevated in OA and correlated with radiographic severity. However, systemic (serum) sVAP-1 levels were lower in SKOA patients than normal and inversely correlated with pain and inflammation markers. Serum sVAP-1 levels were higher in early (KL1/2) compared with advanced (KL3/4) SKOA patients.