Early-onset vasomotor symptoms and development of depressive symptoms among premenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: We investigated the association between vasomotor symptoms (VMSs) and the onset of depressive symptoms among premenopausal women. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 4376 premenopausal women aged 42-52 years, and the cohort study included 2832 women without clinically relevant depressive symptoms at baseline. VMSs included the symptoms of hot flashes and night sweats. Depressive symptoms were evaluated using the Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale; a score of ≥16 was considered to define clinically relevant depressive symptoms. RESULTS: Premenopausal Women with VMSs at baseline exhibited a higher prevalence of depressive symptoms compared with women without VMSs at baseline (multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratio 1.76, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.47-2.11). Among the 2832 women followed up (median, 6.1 years), 406 developed clinically relevant depressive symptoms. Women with versus without VMSs had a significantly higher risk of developing clinically relevant depressive symptoms (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio, 1.72; 95 % CI 1.39-2.14). VMS severity exhibited a dose-response relationship with depressive symptoms (P for trend <0.05). LIMITATIONS: Self-reported questionnaires were only used to obtain VMSs and depressive symptoms, which could have led to misclassification. We also could not directly measure sex hormone levels. CONCLUSIONS: Even in the premenopausal stage, women who experience hot flashes or night sweats have an increased risk of present and developed clinically relevant depressive symptoms. It is important to conduct mental health screenings and provide appropriate support to middle-aged women who experience early-onset VMSs.

Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Risk of Early-Onset Vasomotor Symptoms in Lean and Overweight Premenopausal Women.

The role of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in vasomotor symptom (VMS) risk in premenopausal women is unknown. We examined the prevalence of early-onset VMSs according to NAFLD status in lean and overweight premenopausal women. This cross-sectional study included 4242 premenopausal Korean women (mean age 45.4 years). VMSs (hot flashes and night sweats) were assessed using the Korean version of the Menopause-Specific Quality of Life questionnaire. Hepatic steatosis was determined using liver ultrasound; lean was defined as a body mass index of <23 kg/m2. Participants were categorized into four groups: NAFLD-free lean (reference), NAFLD-free overweight, lean NAFLD, and overweight NAFLD. Compared with the reference, the multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratios (PRs) (95% confidence intervals (CIs)) for VMSs in NAFLD-free overweight, lean NAFLD, and overweight NAFLD were 1.22 (1.06−1.41), 1.38 (1.06−1.79), and 1.49 (1.28−1.73), respectively. For moderate-to-severe VMSs, the multivariable-adjusted PRs (95% CIs) comparing NAFLD-free overweight, lean NAFLD, and overweight NAFLD to the reference were 1.38 (1.10−1.74), 1.73 (1.16−2.57), and 1.74 (1.37−2.21), respectively. NAFLD, even lean NAFLD, was significantly associated with an increased risk of prevalent early-onset VMSs and their severe forms among premenopausal women. Further studies are needed to determine the longitudinal association between NAFLD and VMS risk.

Blood eosinophil counts and the development of obstructive lung disease: the Kangbuk Samsung Health Study.

AIM: The impact of blood eosinophil counts on the development of chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD) is unknown. We investigated whether a higher blood eosinophil count was associated with the risk of developing obstructive lung disease (OLD) in a large cohort of men and women free from lung disease at baseline. METHODS: This was a cohort study of 359 456 Korean adults without a history of asthma and without OLD at baseline who participated in health screening examinations including spirometry. OLD was defined as pre-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) <0.7 and FEV1 <80% predicted. RESULTS: After a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 5.6 (2.9-9.2) years, 5008 participants developed incident OLD (incidence rate 2.1 (95% CI 2.1-2.2) per 1000 person-years). In the fully adjusted model, the hazard ratios for incident OLD comparing eosinophil counts of 100- <200, 200- <300, 300- <500 and ≥500 versus <100 cells·µL-1 were 1.07 (95% CI 1.00-1.15), 1.30 (95% CI 1.20-1.42), 1.46 (95% CI 1.33-1.60) and 1.72 (95% CI 1.51-1.95), respectively (ptrend<0.001). These associations were consistent in clinically relevant subgroups, including never-, ex- and current smokers. CONCLUSION: In this large longitudinal cohort study, blood eosinophil counts were positively associated with the risk of developing of OLD. Our findings indicate a potential role of the eosinophil count as an independent risk factor for developing COPD.

Low Levels of Alcohol Consumption and Risk of Intestinal Metaplasia: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The impact of alcohol drinking on gastric precancerous lesions remains unclear. We investigated the relationship of alcohol intake with risk of atrophic gastritis (AG) and intestinal metaplasia (IM). METHODS: This study included 202,675 Korean adults free from AG and IM on their initial endoscopy who were followed with repeated endoscopic examinations. A parametric proportional hazards model was used to estimate the adjusted HR (aHR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident AG and IM based on endoscopic diagnosis. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 4.7 years, 64,853 incident AG cases and 4,536 IM cases were identified. Alcohol consumption including drinking frequency, quantity, and binge drinking were consistently associated with increased risk of both AG and IM in a dose-response manner. After adjustment for confounders, the multivariable aHRs (95% CIs) for incident IM comparing average alcohol intake of <10, 10-<20, 20-<40, and ≥40 g/day with lifetime abstainers were 1.27 (1.02-1.56), 1.34 (1.07-1.66), 1.50 (1.20-1.86), and 1.54 (1.23-1.93), respectively. Former drinkers were also at a higher risk for AG and IM compared with lifetime abstainers. These associations were consistently observed in never smokers and in time-dependent analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of Korean individuals, alcohol intake even at low levels was independently associated with increased risk of developing endoscopic AG and IM, supporting a role of alcohol consumption in the pathogenesis of AG and IM, the precursor lesions of stomach cancer. IMPACT: Alcohol consumption from low-level drinking may contribute to gastric carcinogenesis.

Mammographic breast density, its changes, and breast cancer risk in premenopausal and postmenopausal women.

BACKGROUND: The risk of breast cancer related to changes in breast density over time, including its regression and persistence, remains controversial. The authors investigated the relationship between breast density and its changes over time with the development of breast cancer in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. METHODS: The current cohort study included 74,249 middle-aged Korean women (aged ≥35 years) who were free of breast cancer at baseline and who underwent repeated screening mammograms. Mammographic breast density was categorized according to the American College of Radiology Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS). A dense breast was defined as heterogeneously dense or extremely dense, and changes in dense breasts between baseline and subsequent follow-up were classified as none, developed, regressed, or persistent dense breast. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 6.1 years (interquartile range, 4.1-8.8 years), a total of 803 incident breast cancers were identified. Baseline breast density was found to be positively associated with incident breast cancer in a dose-response manner, and this association did not significantly differ by menopausal status. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for breast cancer comparing "heterogeneously dense" and "extremely dense" categories with the nondense category were 1.96 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.40-2.75) and 2.86 (95% CI, 2.04-4.01), respectively. With respect to changes in dense breasts over time, multivariable-adjusted HRs for breast cancer comparing persistent dense breast with none were 2.37 (95% CI, 1.34-4.21) in premenopausal women and 3.61 (95% CI, 1.78-7.30) in postmenopausal women. CONCLUSIONS: Both baseline dense breasts and their persistence over time were found to be strongly associated with an increased risk of incident breast cancer in premenopausal and postmenopausal women. LAY SUMMARY: Both baseline breast density and its changes over time were found to be independently associated with the risk of breast cancer in both premenopausal and postmenopausal women. The risk of incident breast cancer increased in women with persistent dense breasts, whereas the breast cancer risk decreased as dense breasts regressed. The findings of the current study support that both dense breasts at baseline and their persistence over time are independent risk factors for developing breast cancer.

Menopausal Transition, Body Mass Index, and Prevalence of Mammographic Dense Breasts in Middle-Aged Women.

The interrelationship between menopausal stage, excessive adiposity and dense breasts remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the relationship between menopausal stage and dense-breast prevalence in midlife women while considering a possible effect modification of being overweight. The present cross-sectional study comprised 82,677 Korean women, aged 35-65 years, who attended a screening exam. Menopausal stages were categorized based on the Stages of Reproductive Aging Workshop (STRAW + 10) criteria. Mammographic breast density was categorized according to Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS). Dense breasts were defined as BI-RADS Breast Density category D (extremely dense). The prevalence of dense breasts decreased as menopausal stage increased (p-trend < 0.001), and this pattern was pronounced in overweight women than non-overweight women (p-interaction = 0.016). Compared with pre-menopause, the multivariable-adjusted prevalence ratios (and 95% confidence intervals) for dense breasts were 0.98 (0.96-1.00) in early transition, 0.89 (0.86-0.92) in late transition, and 0.55 (0.52-0.59) in post-menopause, among non-overweight women, while corresponding prevalence ratios were 0.92 (0.87-0.98), 0.83 (0.77-0.90) and 0.36 (0.31-0.41) among overweight women. The prevalence of dense breasts was inversely associated with increasing menopausal stages and significantly decreased from the late menopausal transition, with stronger declines among overweight women.

Alcoholic and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Incident Hospitalization for Liver and Cardiovascular Diseases.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We compared the associations of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and alcohol-associated fatty liver disease (AFLD) with risk of incident hospitalization for liver and cardiovascular diseases. METHODS: We collected data from the Kangbuk Samsung Health Study on 218,030 men and women in Korea who underwent a health examination from 2011 through 2016. Fatty liver disease (FLD) was detected by ultrasound during the initial examination. The Fibrosis-4 index was used to identify individuals with liver fibrosis. Participants were followed up for as long as 5.9 years and data on hospitalizations for liver and cardiovascular diseases were collected. RESULTS: The prevalence of NAFLD was 22.0% and the prevalence of AFLD was 6.4%. Over a median follow-up period of 4.2 years, we observed 51 and 1097 incident cases of liver disease- or cardiovascular disease-related hospitalizations, respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for liver disease-related hospitalization, comparing NAFLD and AFLD with the reference category (no excessive alcohol intake and no FLD), were 1.73 (95% CI, 0.76-3.96) and 5.00 (95% CI, 2.12-11.83), respectively. The corresponding hazard ratios for cardiovascular disease hospitalization were 1.20 (95% CI, 1.02-1.40) and 1.08 (95% CI, 0.86-1.34), respectively. Among participants with FLD, the risk of liver disease-related hospitalization increased with high Fibrosis-4 index scores, whereas the risk of incident cardiovascular disease did not. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort study, we found an increased risk of liver disease-related hospitalizations for patients with NAFLD or AFLD, especially among those with Fibrosis-4 index scores. An increased risk of cardiovascular disease-associated hospitalization was observed in patients with NAFLD but not AFLD.

Low Levels of Alcohol Consumption, Obesity, and Development of Fatty Liver With and Without Evidence of Advanced Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The effects of low-level alcohol consumption on fatty liver disease and the potential for effect modification by obesity is uncertain. We investigated associations among low-level alcohol consumption, obesity status, and the development of incident hepatic steatosis (HS), either with or without an increase in noninvasive liver fibrosis score category (from low to intermediate or high category). APPROACH AND RESULTS: A total of 190,048 adults without HS and a low probability of fibrosis with alcohol consumption less than 30 g/day (men) and less than 20 g/day (women) were followed for up to 15.7 years. Alcohol categories of no, light, and moderate consumption were defined as 0, 1-9.9, and 10-29.9 g/day (10-19.9 g/day for women), respectively. HS was diagnosed by ultrasonography, and the probability of fibrosis was estimated using the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). Parametric proportional hazards models were used to estimate multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A total of 43,466 participants developed HS, 2,983 of whom developed HS with an increase in FIB-4 index (to intermediate or high scores). Comparing light drinkers and moderate drinkers with nondrinkers, multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for incident HS were 0.93 (0.90-0.95) and 0.90 (0.87-0.92), respectively. In contrast, comparing light drinkers and moderate drinkers with nondrinkers, multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for developing HS plus intermediate/high FIB-4 were 1.15 (1.04-1.27) and 1.49 (1.33-1.66), respectively. The association between alcohol consumption categories and incident HS plus intermediate/high FIB-4 was observed in both nonobese and obese individuals, although the association was stronger in nonobese individuals (P for interaction by obesity = 0.017). CONCLUSIONS: Light/moderate alcohol consumption has differential effects on the development of different stages of fatty liver disease, which is modified by the presence of obesity.

Diabetes mellitus is associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes mellitus (DM) has been considered a potential risk factor for gastric cancer, but the evidence is conflicting. We evaluated the association of DM with incident gastric cancer in a large cohort of men and women with endoscopic assessment at baseline and during follow-up. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of 195,312 adult men and women who underwent upper endoscopy at baseline and during follow-up between 2003 and 2014. DM was defined as fasting serum glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL, self-reported history of DM or current use of antidiabetic medications. Gastric cancer was confirmed histologically. RESULTS: The prevalence of DM at baseline was 3.0% (n = 5774). Over 865,511 person-years of follow-up, 198 participants developed gastric cancer. The fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for incident gastric cancer comparing participants with and without DM at baseline was 1.76 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-2.97; P = 0.033). When we evaluated DM as a time-varying covariate, the fully adjusted HR was 1.66 (95% CI 1.04-2.68; P = 0.036). The association between DM and incident gastric cancer did not differ by the presence of intestinal metaplasia (P for interaction = 0.61). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort with endoscopic follow-up, DM was independently associated with increased gastric cancer incidence. The increased risk was independent of mucosal atrophy and intestinal metaplasia and was consistent in participants with newly developed DM during follow-up. Patients with DM may require more intensive endoscopic follow-up for gastric cancer screening.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and risk of lung cancer mortality in a low-risk population: A cohort study.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is associated with poor prognosis in patients with lung cancer, but the predictive role of NLR on the risk of developing lung cancer is unknown. We investigated the association between NLR and lung cancer mortality in lung cancer-free adults. A cohort study was performed with 527,124 Korean adults who were free of lung cancer and were followed for up to 16 years. Vital status and lung cancer-related deaths were ascertained through national death records. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for lung cancer mortality were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. During 4,567,495.8 person-years of follow-up, 574 lung cancer deaths were identified. A higher NLR was positively associated with lung cancer mortality. The multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for lung cancer mortality comparing quintiles 2, 3, 4 and 5 of NLR to the lowest quintile were 1.26 (0.96-1.67), 1.23 (0.93-1.63), 1.33 (1.01-1.75) and 1.47 (1.13-1.92), respectively. The highest risk of lung cancer mortality was also observed in the highest NLR quintile among never-smokers and low-risk individuals after adjusting for lung function and other possible confounders. Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio showed an inverse J-shaped association with lung cancer mortality in men but the trends in women, low-risk individuals or never-smokers were neither linear nor U-shaped. In this large cohort of young and middle-aged individuals, NLR was independently associated with increased risk of lung cancer mortality in low-risk individuals, indicating a role of systemic inflammation in lung cancer mortality in our study population.

Metabolically healthy versus unhealthy obesity and risk of fibrosis progression in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the impact of metabolically healthy obesity on fibrosis progression in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We investigated the association of body mass index (BMI) category, body fat percentage and waist circumference with worsening of noninvasive fibrosis markers in metabolically healthy and unhealthy individuals with NAFLD. METHODS: A cohort study was performed on 59 957 Korean adults with NAFLD (13 285 metabolically healthy and 46 672 metabolically unhealthy individuals) who were followed for a median of 7.7 years. Being metabolically healthy was defined as not having any metabolic syndrome component and having a homoeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance <2.5. Progression from low to intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis was assessed using the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). RESULTS: During 339 253.1 person-years of follow-up, 9857 subjects with low NFS at baseline progressed to intermediate or high NFS. Among metabolically healthy individuals, the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for NFS worsening comparing BMIs 23-24.9, 25-29.9 and ≥30 with a BMI of 18.5-22.9 kg/m2 were 1.19 (1.00-1.42), 1.79 (1.52-2.10) and 3.52 (2.64-4.69), respectively, whereas the corresponding HRs (95% CI) in metabolically unhealthy individuals were 1.37 (1.24-1.52), 2.18 (1.99-2.39) and 4.26 (3.83-4.75). A similar trend was observed in the analyses using body fat and waist circumference. CONCLUSION: In the large-scale cohort of young and middle-aged individuals with NAFLD, BMI was positively associated with worsening of noninvasive fibrosis marker regardless of metabolic health status. Excess adiposity per se, even without accompanying metabolic health status, may contribute to fibrosis progression in NAFLD.

Relationship of the Blood Pressure Categories, as Defined by the ACC/AHA 2017 Blood Pressure Guidelines, and the Risk of Development of Cardiovascular Disease in Low-Risk Young Adults: Insights From a Retrospective Cohort of Young Adults.

Background There are limited outcome studies of hypertension among young adults, especially using the new blood pressure ( BP ) categories from the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association. We examined associations between the new BP categories and the risk of incident cardiovascular disease ( CVD ) in low-risk and young adults. Methods and Results A cohort study was performed in 244 837 Korean adults (mean age, 39.0 years; SD , 8.9 years) who underwent a comprehensive health examination at Kangbuk Samsung Hospital from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2016; they were followed up for incident CVD via linkage to the Health Insurance and Review Agency database until the end of 2016, with a median follow-up of 4.3 years. BP was categorized according to the new American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) hypertension guidelines. During 924 420.7 person-years, 1435 participants developed new-onset  CVD (incidence rate of 16.0 per 104 person-years). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI s ) for CVD comparing elevated BP , stage 1 hypertension, stage 2 hypertension, treated and strictly controlled (systolic BP /diastolic BP <130/80 mm Hg with antihypertensive use), treated and controlled (systolic BP 130-139 and diastolic BP 80 to 89 mm Hg with antihypertensive use), treated uncontrolled, and untreated hypertension to normal BP were 1.37 (1.11-1.68), 1.45 (1.26-1.68), 2.12 (1.74-2.58), 1.41 (1.12-1.78), 1.97 (1.52-2.56), 2.29 (1.56-3.37) and 1.93 (1.53-2.45), respectively. Conclusions In this large cohort of low-risk and young adults, all categories of higher BP were independently associated with an increased risk of CVD compared with normal BP , underscoring the importance of BP management even in these low-risk populations.

Diffusely Increased 18F-FDG Uptake in the Thyroid Gland and Risk of Thyroid Dysfunction: A Cohort Study.

The impact of incidentally identified diffuse thyroid FDG uptake on 18F-FDG PET/CT scan on the incidence of thyroid dysfunction remains unclear. We examined the association of diffuse thyroid FDG uptake with the development of thyroid dysfunction. This cohort study involved 39,098 Korean adults who were free of malignancy and thyroid disease at baseline and underwent regular health checkup examinations including an 18F-FDG whole body PET/CT scan, thyroid-stimulating hormone and free thyroxine. The participants were annually or biennially followed for up to 5 years. A parametric proportional hazard model was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Diffuse thyroid uptake was positively associated with increased risk of thyroid dysfunction in both the cross-sectional and cohort studies. During 104,261.4 person-years of follow-up, 102 incident hypothyroidism cases and 172 hyperthyroidism cases were identified. Multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for incident hypothyroidism or hyperthyroidism comparing diffuse thyroid uptake to no uptake were 15.72 (9.23-26.77) and 7.38 (4.23-12.87), respectively. In this large cohort, incidentally, identified diffuse thyroid uptake on 18F-FDG PET/CT was associated with increased risk of both prevalent and incident thyroid dysfunction. Therefore, baseline and follow-up evaluations in individuals with diffuse thyroid uptake may help identify individuals with thyroid dysfunction.

Serum concentration of thyroid hormones in abnormal and euthyroid ranges and breast cancer risk: A cohort study.

The impact of variations in serum thyroid hormone concentration within the euthyroid range on breast cancer risk remains unclear. We investigated the effect of serum thyrotropin (TSH) and thyroid hormone concentration on breast cancer risk. This cohort study involved 62,546 Korean women, aged ≥40 years, who were free of breast cancer at baseline and underwent health examination with determination of free thyroxine (FT4) and TSH. A parametric proportional hazard model was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). During a median follow-up of 4.8 years (interquartile range: 2.8-7.3 years), 834 incident breast cancers were identified. Compared to normal FT4 level, abnormally high serum FT4 level was associated with an increased risk of incident breast cancer with a corresponding multivariable aHR (95% CI) of 1.98 (1.02-3.83). This association tended to be stronger in postmenopausal women than in premenopausal women. Within the euthyroid range, the highest TSH tertile was associated with a lower risk of breast cancer than the lowest TSH tertile with a corresponding aHR (95% CI) of 0.68 (0.55-0.84). In contrast, highest FT4 tertile was associated with a higher risk of breast cancer than the lowest FT4 tertile. Abnormally high FT4 as well as higher FT4 within the euthyroid range were positively associated with breast cancer risk, while higher TSH concentration within the euthyroid range was negatively associated with breast cancer risk. Our findings indicate that thyroid function within both the abnormal and euthyroid ranges may contribute to the development of breast cancer.

Body Mass Index and Risk of Intestinal Metaplasia: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: We examined the association between body mass index (BMI) and development of endoscopic intestinal metaplasia. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 142,832 Korean adults free of endoscopic intestinal metaplasia and atrophic gastritis who underwent upper endoscopy at baseline and subsequent visits and were followed for up to 5 years. A parametric proportional hazards model was used to estimate the adjusted HR with 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident intestinal metaplasia. RESULTS: In more than 444,719.1 person-years of follow-up, 2,281 participants developed endoscopic intestinal metaplasia (incidence rate, 5.1 per 1,000 person-years). Increased BMI categories were associated with increased risk of new-onset intestinal metaplasia in a dose-response manner. After adjustment for age, sex, center, year of screening exam, smoking status, alcohol intake, exercise, total calorie intake, history of diabetes and hypertension, and history of Helicobacter pylori infection, the multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for incident intestinal metaplasia comparing BMIs of <18.5, 23-24.9, 25.0-29.9, and >30 kg/m2 with a BMI of 18.5-22.9 kg/m2 were 0.84 (0.64-1.09), 1.03 (0.93-1.16), 1.07 (0.96-1.20), and 1.48 (1.20-1.83), respectively. These associations did not differ by clinically relevant subgroups. Risk of endoscopic atrophic gastritis also increased as the baseline BMI category increased. CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of Korean men and women, obesity was independently associated with increased incidence of endoscopic atrophic gastritis and intestinal metaplasia. IMPACT: Excessive adiposity appears to play a role in development of stomach precursor lesions of stomach cancer, requiring further studies to determine whether strategies to reduce obesity will also help reduce precancerous lesions and, in turn, gastric cancer.

Alcoholic and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease and Liver-Related Mortality: A Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: We compared liver-related mortality by fibrosis severity between 2 types of fatty liver disease (FLD), nonalcoholic FLD (NAFLD) and alcoholic FLD (AFLD), in a large cohort of nonobese and obese individuals. METHODS: A cohort study was performed with 437,828 Korean adults who were followed up for up to 14 years. Steatosis was diagnosed based on ultrasonography; fibrosis severity was determined by the fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) score. Vital status and liver-related deaths were ascertained through linkage to national death records. RESULTS: The prevalence of NAFLD and AFLD was 20.9% and 4.0%, respectively. During 3,145,541.1 person-years of follow-up, 109 liver-related deaths were identified (incidence rate of 3.5 per 10 person-years). When changes in fatty liver status, FIB-4 scores, and confounders during follow-up were updated as time-varying covariates, compared with the reference (absence of both excessive alcohol use and FLD), the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for liver-related mortality among those with low, intermediate, and high FIB-4 scores were 0.43 (0.19-0.94), 2.74 (1.23-6.06), and 84.66 (39.05-183.54), respectively, among patients with NAFLD, whereas among patients with AFLD, the corresponding hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were 0.67 (0.20-2.25), 5.44 (2.19-13.49), and 59.73 (27.99-127.46), respectively. The associations were more evident in nonobese individuals than in obese individuals (P for interaction = 0.004). DISCUSSION: In this large cohort of young and middle-aged individuals, NAFLD and AFLD with intermediate to high fibrosis scores were associated with an increased risk of liver-related mortality in a dose-dependent manner, especially among nonobese individuals.

Metabolic Obesity Phenotypes and Thyroid Cancer Risk: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: No cohort studies have evaluated the effect of obesity on the incidence of thyroid cancer according to metabolic health status. Therefore, this study examined the association of body mass index (BMI) and metabolic health status with thyroid cancer risk. METHODS: A cohort study was performed involving 255,051 metabolically healthy (MH) and metabolically unhealthy (MUH) adults free of thyroid cancer at baseline who were followed for a median of 5.3 years. A parametric proportional hazard model was used to estimate the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: During 1,402,426.3 person-years of follow-up, 2927 incident thyroid cancers were identified. Among men, the multivariable aHR for thyroid cancer comparing obesity, defined as a BMI ≥25 kg/m2, with a BMI of 18.5-22.9 kg/m2 was 1.47 [CI 1.12-1.93] in MH individuals, whereas the corresponding HR in MUH individuals was 1.26 [CI 1.03-1.53]. Among women, the corresponding HR in MH individuals was 1.05 [CI 0.80-1.36], whereas the corresponding HR in MUH individuals was 1.43 [CI 1.22-1.69]. Increasing quartiles of waist circumference were positively associated with risk of thyroid cancer in MUH men and women (p for trend <0.005) but not in MH individuals. CONCLUSIONS: In both MH and MUH men, obesity was associated with an increased risk of incident thyroid cancer, indicating excessive adiposity per se as an independent risk factor for thyroid cancer. Conversely, women with MUH obesity but not MH obesity were found to have an increased risk of thyroid cancer, indicating that obesity with accompanying metabolic abnormalities may affect thyroid cancer risk in women.

Obesity and Weight Gain Are Associated With Progression of Fibrosis in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The effects of weight change on the progression of liver fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in the general population are unclear. We evaluated the association of weight change and baseline body mass index (BMI) with fibrosis progression, determined by non-invasive measurement of a marker, in young and middle-aged adults with NAFLD. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study of 40,700 adults with NAFLD in Korea who received regular health screening examinations and were followed for a median 6.0 years. Weight change was defined as the difference between weights measured at baseline and at a subsequent follow-up visit. The progression from a low to an intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis was assessed using the aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI). RESULTS: During 275,421.5 person-years of follow-up, 5454 subjects with a low APRI progressed to an intermediate or high APRI. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for APRI progression, determined by comparing the first and second weight change quintiles (the weight-loss group) and the fourth and fifth quintiles (weight-gain group) with the third quintile (weight-stable group, reference), were 0.68 (95% CI, 0.62-0.74), 0.86 (95% CI, 0.78-0.94), 1.17 (95% CI, 1.07-1.28), and 1.71 (95% CI, 1.58-1.85), respectively. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for APRI progression were determined by comparing subjects with BMIs of 23-24.9, 25-29.9, and ≥30 with subjects with BMIs of 18.5-22.9 kg/m2 (reference); these ratios were 1.13 (95% CI, 1.02-1.26), 1.41 (95% CI, 1.28-1.55), and 2.09 (95% CI, 1.86-2.36), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a prospective cohort study of 40,700 adults with NAFLD, we found obesity and weight gain to be independently associated with increased risk of fibrosis progression, based on APRI. Maintaining a normal healthy weight and preventing weight gain may help reduce fibrosis progression in individuals with NAFLD.

Nonheavy Drinking and Worsening of Noninvasive Fibrosis Markers in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Cohort Study.

The effect of modest alcohol consumption on fibrosis progression in the general population with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains unclear. We examined the association of nonheavy alcohol consumption with worsening of noninvasive fibrosis indices in a large-scale, low-risk population with NAFLD. A cohort study was performed in 58,927 Korean adults with NAFLD and low fibrosis scores who were followed for a median of 4.9 years. Non-, light, and moderate drinkers were defined as 0 g/day, 1-9.9 g/day, and 10-29.9 g/day (10-19.9 g/day for women), respectively. Progression from low to intermediate or high probability of advanced fibrosis was assessed using noninvasive indices including NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4). A parametric proportional hazards model was used to estimate the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). During 347,925.4 person-years of follow-up, 5,630 subjects with low FIB-4 progressed to intermediate or high FIB-4. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CI) for worsening of FIB-4 comparing light and moderate drinkers with nondrinkers were 1.06 (0.98-1.16) and 1.29 (1.18-1.40), respectively. Similarly, using NFS, corresponding HRs (95% CI) comparing light and moderate drinkers with nondrinkers were 1.09 (1.02-1.16) and 1.31 (1.23-1.40), respectively. Furthermore, the association of moderate drinkers with worsening of either FIB-4 or NFS remained significant after introducing alcohol use and confounders treated as time-varying covariates. Conclusion: In this large-scale cohort of young and middle-aged individuals with NAFLD, nonheavy alcohol consumption, especially moderate alcohol consumption, was significantly and independently associated with worsening of noninvasive markers of fibrosis, indicating that even moderate alcohol consumption might be harmful.

Alcoholic and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and associations with coronary artery calcification: evidence from the Kangbuk Samsung Health Study.

OBJECTIVE: Recent evidence suggests that alcoholic fatty liver disease (AFLD) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) may differentially affect risk of cardiovascular mortality. To investigate whether early liver disease due to AFLD or NAFLD have similar or dissimilar effects on risk of early coronary artery atherosclerosis, we have investigated the associations between AFLD and NAFLD and coronary artery calcium (CAC). DESIGN: A cross-sectional study was performed in 105 328 Korean adults who attended a health check-up programme. CAC score was assessed using CT, daily alcohol intake was recorded as grams/day and liver fat by ultrasound. Logistic regression model was used to calculate ORs with 95% CIs for prevalent CAC. RESULTS: Both NAFLD and AFLD were positively associated with CAC score. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariable-adjusted OR (95% CIs) for CAC >0 comparing NAFLD and AFLD to the reference (absence of both excessive alcohol use and fatty liver disease) were 1.10 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.16) and 1.20 (95% CI 1.11 to 1.30), respectively. In post hoc analysis, OR (95% CI) for detectable CAC comparing AFLD to NAFLD was 1.09 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.17). Associations of NAFLD and AFLD with CAC scores were similar in both non-obese and obese individuals without significant interaction by obesity (p for interaction=0.088). After adjusting for homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance and high-sensitivity C reactive protein, the associations between fatty liver disease and CAC scores remained statistically significant. CONCLUSION: In this large sample of young and middle-aged individuals, early liver disease due to NAFLD and AFLD were both significantly associated with the presence of coronary artery calcification.