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1.
Urology ; 2024 Jun 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38880345

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To compare the risk of intentional self-harm (ISH) and suicide in older men using 5-α reductase inhibitors (5-ARIs) and alpha-blockers for benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH). Observational research of older men with BPH suggested an increase in ISH with 5-ARI use compared with nonuse; we aimed to address potential confounding by indication with an active comparator reference group. METHODS: Using Medicare data linked to the National Death Index (NDI) from 2007-2016, we implemented a retrospective cohort design in males aged ≥65 years who initiated 5-ARI or alpha-blocker use for BPH. ISH was identified using ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM diagnosis codes. Suicides were identified through cause-of-death information from the NDI. We used inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards regression to compare time-to-event between treatment groups, with robust variance estimation. RESULTS: The event rates for ISH and suicide, respectively, were 0.314 and 0.308 per 1000 person-years (PY) among 5-ARI users (n=181,675), and 0.364 and 0.382 per 1000PY among alpha-blocker users (n=850,476). For 5-ARI use relative to alpha-blocker use, hazard ratios (HRs) for ISH and suicide, respectively, were 0.88 (95% CI:0.62-1.25) and 0.82 (95% CI:0.54-1.24); for the composite outcome (non-fatal ISH or suicide), the HR was 0.88 (95% CI:0.66-1.16). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses supported these results. CONCLUSION: 5-ARI use was not associated with an increased risk for ISH or suicide compared to alpha-blocker use in older men with BPH. Study limitations included low event rates and potentially low sensitivity for ISH events.

2.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 32(7): 735-751, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36779261

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To evaluate the impact of increased federal restrictions on hydrocodone combination product (HCP) utilization, misuse, abuse, and overdose death. METHODS: We assessed utilization, misuse, abuse, and overdose death trends involving hydrocodone versus select opioid analgesics (OAs) and heroin using descriptive and interrupted time-series (ITS) analyses during the nine quarters before and after the October 2014 rescheduling of HCPs from a less restrictive (CIII) to more restrictive (CII) category. RESULTS: Hydrocodone dispensing declined >30% over the study period, and declines accelerated after rescheduling. ITS analyses showed that immediately postrescheduling, quarterly hydrocodone dispensing decreased by 177M dosage units while codeine, oxycodone, and morphine dispensing increased by 49M, 62M, and 4M dosage units, respectively. Postrescheduling, hydrocodone-involved misuse/abuse poison center (PC) case rates had a statistically significant immediate drop but a deceleration of preperiod declines. There were small level increases in codeine-involved PC misuse/abuse and overdose death rates immediately after HCP's rescheduling, but these were smaller than level decreases in rates for hydrocodone. Heroin-involved PC case rates and overdose death rates increased across the study period, with exponential increases in PC case rates beginning 2015. CONCLUSIONS: HCP rescheduling was associated with accelerated declines in hydrocodone dispensing, only partially offset by smaller increases in codeine, oxycodone, and morphine dispensing. The net impact on hydrocodone and other OA-involved misuse/abuse and fatal overdose was unclear. We did not detect an immediate impact on heroin abuse or overdose death rates; however, the dynamic nature of the crisis and data limitations present challenges to causal inference.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas , Hidrocodona , Humanos , Oxicodona/efeitos adversos , Heroína , Padrões de Prática Médica , Analgésicos Opioides , Codeína/efeitos adversos , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , Overdose de Drogas/tratamento farmacológico , Morfina/efeitos adversos
3.
Epidemiology ; 34(1): 33-37, 2023 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36007092

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis is a serious gastrointestinal disease that is an important target for drug safety surveillance. Little is known about the accuracy of ICD-10 codes for acute pancreatitis in the United States, or their performance in specific clinical settings. We conducted a validation study to assess the accuracy of acute pancreatitis ICD-10 diagnosis codes in inpatient, emergency department (ED), and outpatient settings. METHODS: We reviewed electronic medical records for encounters with acute pancreatitis diagnosis codes in an integrated healthcare system from October 2015 to December 2019. Trained abstractors and physician adjudicators determined whether events met criteria for acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Out of 1,844 eligible events, we randomly sampled 300 for review. Across all clinical settings, 182 events met validation criteria for an overall positive predictive value (PPV) of 61% (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 55, 66). The PPV was 87% (95% CI = 79, 92%) for inpatient codes, but only 45% for ED (95% CI = 35, 54%) and outpatient (95% CI = 34, 55%) codes. ED and outpatient encounters accounted for 43% of validated events. Acute pancreatitis codes from any encounter type with lipase >3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of 92% (95% CI = 86, 95%) and identified 85% of validated events (95% CI = 79, 89%), while codes with lipase <3 times the upper limit of normal had a PPV of only 22% (95% CI = 16, 30%). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that ICD-10 codes accurately identified acute pancreatitis in the inpatient setting, but not in the ED and outpatient settings. Laboratory data substantially improved algorithm performance.


Assuntos
Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde , Pancreatite , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Pancreatite/diagnóstico , Pancreatite/epidemiologia , Classificação Internacional de Doenças , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Lipase
4.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 31(11): 1164-1173, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35909259

RESUMO

PURPOSE: Cutaneous small vessel vasculitis (CSVV) was identified as a safety signal among patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC). This study aimed to determine if CSVV risk differed among patients with atrial fibrillation (Afib) who newly initiated warfarin or a DOAC. METHODS: We identified enrollees aged ≥21 years diagnosed with Afib who newly initiated rivaroxaban, dabigatran, apixaban, and warfarin in the Sentinel Distributed Database from October 19, 2010 to February 29, 2020. We selected and followed patients who did not have evidence of the following in the 183 days prior to initiating treatment: CSVV diagnosis, dispensing of other study drugs, select autoimmune diseases or autoimmune medications, cancer diagnoses or chemotherapeutic treatment, kidney dialysis or transplant, alternative anticoagulation indications, or an institutional (nursing home, hospice, hospital) stay on the treatment initiation date (index date) until CSVV outcome or pre-specified censoring. We conducted 1:1 propensity score matching in six comparisons. RESULTS: CSVV incidence rates for DOACs and warfarin ranged from 3.3 to 5.6 per 10 000-person years in our matched Afib population. The adjusted CSVV hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) was 0.94 (0.64, 1.39) for rivaroxaban versus warfarin; 1.17 (0.67, 2.06) for dabigatran vs. warfarin; 0.85 (0.62, 1.16) for apixaban vs. warfarin; 0.86 (0.49, 1.50) for rivaroxaban vs. dabigatran; 0.99 (0.68, 1.45) for rivaroxaban versus apixaban; and 1.70 (0.90, 3.21) for dabigatran versus apixaban. CONCLUSION: We did not find significant evidence of differential CSVV risk in pair-wise comparisons of DOACs and warfarin.


Assuntos
Fibrilação Atrial , Acidente Vascular Cerebral , Vasculite , Anticoagulantes , Fibrilação Atrial/complicações , Fibrilação Atrial/tratamento farmacológico , Fibrilação Atrial/epidemiologia , Estudos de Coortes , Dabigatrana/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Piridonas , Estudos Retrospectivos , Rivaroxabana , Acidente Vascular Cerebral/epidemiologia , Varfarina
5.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med ; 35(25): 6291-6296, 2022 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33926341

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved Makena® (hydroxyprogesterone caproate [HPC] injection) in February 2011 for reducing the risk of preterm birth (PTB) in women with a singleton pregnancy who had a history of singleton spontaneous PTB (sPTB). Makena was approved under accelerated approval and required a postmarketing study to verify its clinical benefits. However, the postmarketing trial (PROLONG) failed to verify Makena's clinical benefit to neonates and substantiate its effect on reducing the risk of recurrent PTB. This study examined the utilization of HPC, along with another progestogen (vaginal progesterone) used to reduce the risk of sPTB during pregnancy, to inform the landscape of HPC use in the United States. METHODS: We included pregnant women aged 10-54 years with a live birth delivery from 1 January, 2008 to 31 December, 2018 in the Sentinel Distributed Database (SDD). We examined the prevalence of injectable HPC (Makena and its generics), compounded HPC, and vaginal progesterone use during the second and third trimesters during the study period. We also assessed the proportion of these HPC-exposed pregnancies with obstetrical conditions of interest as potential reasons for use: (1) history of preterm delivery; (2) cervical shortening in the current pregnancy; and (3) preterm labor in the current pregnancy. RESULTS: We identified a total of 3,445,739 live-birth pregnancies (among 2.9 million women) between 2008 and 2018 in the SDD. Of these pregnancies, 6.5 per 1,000 pregnancies used injectable HPC, 2.3 per 1,000 pregnancies used compounded HPC, and 1.5 per 1,000 pregnancies used vaginal progesterone during the second and/or third trimesters. The yearly uptakeof pregnancies with injectable HPC use increased during the study period from 2.1 per 1,000 pregnancies in 2012 to 12.6 per 1,000 pregnancies in 2018; use of compounded HPC decreased from 3.3 per 1,000 pregnancies to 0.25 per 1,000 pregnancies over the same period. Of 16,524 pregnancies with injectable HPC use, 12,054 (73%) had at least one related obstetrical condition, including 6,439 (39%) with a recorded history of preterm delivery. In addition, 4,665 (28%) had a PTB recorded as the outcome for the current pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: We found modest use of HPC during the second and/or third trimesters among all live-birth pregnancies in SDD. The majority of pregnancies with injectable HPC use had at least one of three obstetrical indications of interest recorded before or during the pregnancy.


Assuntos
Hidroxiprogesteronas , Nascimento Prematuro , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Gravidez , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Caproato de 17 alfa-Hidroxiprogesterona , Hidroxiprogesteronas/uso terapêutico , Progesterona , Nascimento Prematuro/epidemiologia , Nascimento Prematuro/prevenção & controle , Nascido Vivo/epidemiologia , Redes de Comunicação de Computadores
6.
Int Urogynecol J ; 32(11): 2891-2897, 2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34505923

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: Recent publications describe pigmentary changes in the retina associated with the use of pentosan polysulfate sodium, the only FDA-approved oral agent for relief of bladder pain or discomfort associated with interstitial cystitis. METHODS: To evaluate this association, we reviewed data from the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System and published case reports and observational studies. RESULTS: The totality of clinical and epidemiology evidence does not resolve the question of causation between pentosan use and retinal pigmentary changes; however, several elements support a potential association. CONCLUSION: Here, we provide our perspective on the available evidence the agency weighed when retinal pigmentary changes were added to pentosan labeling. It is important for urogynecologists prescribing pentosan to be aware of this potential association and be vigilant about assessing eye health in pentosan users.


Assuntos
Cistite Intersticial , Poliéster Sulfúrico de Pentosana , Humanos , Dor Pélvica , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
7.
Pharmacotherapy ; 40(11): 1099-1107, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33090530

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Cutaneous small vessel vasculitis (CSVV) has been reported after exposure to direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), such as dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban, and edoxaban. OBJECTIVE: We used the U.S. Food and Drug Administration Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) to describe clinical characteristics associated with CSVV among DOAC-exposed patients. Furthermore, we characterized this signal in the Sentinel System to relate the clinical data from the individual FAERS cases to population-based electronic healthcare data. METHODS: We queried FAERS for all cases of CSVV associated with DOACs from U.S. approval date of each DOAC through March 16, 2018. Within the Sentinel System, we identified incident CSVV cases using ICD-9 and ICD-10 diagnosis codes among adults aged ≥ 30 years who received a DOAC in the prior 90 days between January 1, 2010, and June 30, 2018. We excluded patients with evidence of select autoimmune diagnoses in the 183 days prior to their CSVV diagnoses and reported patient characteristics in the 183-day period prior to CSVV diagnoses. RESULTS: In FAERS, we identified 50 cases of CSVV reported with rivaroxaban (n=26), apixaban (n=14), dabigatran (n=9), and edoxaban (n=1). Approximately 50% of the cases reported time to onset within 10 days after DOAC exposure. When specified, the predominant type of CSVV reported was leukocytoclastic vasculitis (n=31), followed by Henoch-Schonlein purpura (n=4). Hospitalization occurred in most of the cases (n=37). Switching of the offending agent after the development of CSVV was reported (n=26). Three rivaroxaban (n=3) cases and one dabigatran case (n=1) reported positive rechallenge. In the Sentinel system, we identified 3659 CSVV cases with prior DOAC exposure, with 85% of events occurring within 10 days. CONCLUSIONS: The assessment of FAERS cases, combined with the temporal clustering of the Sentinel System cases suggest a possible causal relationship of DOACs and CSVV. Future efforts should characterize the risk of CSVV among the various DOAC users.


Assuntos
Anticoagulantes/efeitos adversos , Vasculite/epidemiologia , Administração Oral , Adolescente , Adulto , Sistemas de Notificação de Reações Adversas a Medicamentos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Anticoagulantes/administração & dosagem , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , United States Food and Drug Administration , Vasculite/etiologia , Adulto Jovem
8.
Epidemiol Infect ; 146(11): 1366-1371, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29843825

RESUMO

Retrospective data evaluated increases in advanced medical support for children with medically attended acute respiratory illness (MAARI) during influenza outbreak periods (IOP). Advanced support included hospitalisation, intensive care unit admission, or mechanical ventilation, for children aged 0-17 years hospitalised in Maryland's 50 acute-care hospitals over 12 influenza seasons. Weekly numbers of positive influenza tests in the Maryland area defined IOP for each season as the fewest consecutive weeks, including the peak week containing at least 85% of positive tests with a 2-week buffer on either side of the IOP. Peak IOP (PIOP) was defined as four consecutive weeks containing the peak week with the most number of positive influenza tests. Off-PIOP was defined as the 'shoulder' weeks during each IOP. Non-influenza season (NIS) was the remaining weeks of that study season. Rate ratios of mean daily MAARI-related admissions resulting in advanced medical support outcomes during PIOP or Off-PIOP were compared with the NIS and were significantly elevated for all 12 study seasons combined. The results suggest that influenza outbreaks are associated with increased advanced medical support utilisation by children with MAARI. We feel that this data may help preparedness for severe influenza epidemics or pandemic.


Assuntos
Surtos de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Doença Aguda , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Lactente , Influenza Humana/terapia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica/estatística & dados numéricos , Masculino , Maryland/epidemiologia , Distribuição de Poisson , Respiração Artificial/estatística & dados numéricos , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologia , Doenças Respiratórias/terapia , Estudos Retrospectivos
9.
Ann Intern Med ; 166(11): 792-798, 2017 Jun 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28437794

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) are used increasingly to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Reports were published recently on hepatitis B virus (HBV) reactivation (HBV-R) in patients with HBV-HCV co-infection. Hepatitis B virus reactivation, defined as an abrupt increase in HBV replication in patients with inactive or resolved HBV infection, may result in clinically significant hepatitis. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether HBV-R is a safety concern in patients receiving HCV DAAs. DESIGN: Descriptive case series. SETTING: U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS). PATIENTS: 29 patients with HBV-R receiving HCV DAAs. MEASUREMENTS: Clinical and laboratory data. RESULTS: The FDA identified 29 unique reports of HBV-R in patients receiving DAAs from 22 November 2013 to 15 October 2016. Two cases resulted in death and 1 case in liver transplantation. Patients in whom HBV-R developed were heterogeneous regarding HCV genotype, DAAs received, and baseline HBV characteristics. At baseline, 9 patients had a detectable HBV viral load, 7 had positive results on hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) testing and had an undetectable HBV viral load, and 3 had negative results on HBsAg testing and had an undetectable HBV viral load. For the remaining 10 patients, data points were not reported or the data were uninterpretable. Despite provider knowledge of baseline HBV, HBV-R diagnosis and treatment were delayed in 7 cases and possibly 7 others. LIMITATIONS: The quality of information varied among reports. Because reporting is voluntary, HBV-R associated with DAAs likely is underreported. CONCLUSION: Hepatitis B virus reactivation is a newly identified safety concern in patients with HBV-HCV co-infection treated with DAAs. Patients with a history of HBV require clinical monitoring while receiving DAA therapy. Studies would help determine the risk factors for HBV-R, define monitoring frequency, and identify patients who may benefit from HBV prophylaxis and treatment. DAAs remain a safe and highly effective treatment for the management of HCV infection. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: None.


Assuntos
Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Vírus da Hepatite B/fisiologia , Hepatite B/virologia , Hepatite C Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C Crônica/virologia , Ativação Viral , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Antivirais/efeitos adversos , Doença Hepática Induzida por Substâncias e Drogas/etiologia , Coinfecção , Feminino , Hepatite B/complicações , Hepatite C Crônica/complicações , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28167543

RESUMO

Extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Enterobacteriaceae strains are increasing in prevalence worldwide. Carbapenem antibiotics are used as a first line of therapy against ESBL-producing Enterobacteriaceae We examined a cohort of critical care patients for gastrointestinal colonization with carbapenem-resistant ESBL-producing strains (CR-ESBL strains). We cultured samples from this cohort of patients for ESBL-producing Klebsiella spp. and Escherichia coli and then tested the first isolate from each patient for susceptibility to imipenem, doripenem, meropenem, and ertapenem. Multilocus sequence typing was performed on isolates that produced an ESBL and that were carbapenem resistant. Among all patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU), 4% were positive for an ESBL-producing isolate and 0.64% were positive for a CR-ESBL strain on surveillance culture. Among the first ESBL-producing E. coli and Klebsiella isolates from the patients' surveillance cultures, 11.2% were carbapenem resistant. Sequence type 14 (ST14), ST15, ST42, and ST258 were the dominant sequence types detected in this cohort of patients, with ST15 and ST258 steadily increasing in prevalence from 2006 to 2009. Patients colonized by a CR-ESBL strain were significantly more likely to receive antipseudomonal and anti-methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (anti-MRSA) therapy prior to ICU admission than patients colonized by carbapenem-susceptible ESBL-producing strains. They were also significantly more likely to have received a cephalosporin or a carbapenem antibiotic than patients colonized by carbapenem-susceptible ESBL-producing strains. In conclusion, in a cohort of patients residing in intensive care units within the United States, we found that 10% of the isolates were resistant to at least one carbapenem antibiotic. The continued emergence of carbapenem-resistant ESBL-producing strains is of significant concern, as infections due to these organisms are notoriously difficult to treat.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Infecções por Escherichia coli/epidemiologia , Escherichia coli/efeitos dos fármacos , Infecções por Klebsiella/epidemiologia , Klebsiella/efeitos dos fármacos , Resistência beta-Lactâmica/genética , beta-Lactamases/genética , Adulto , Idoso , Carbapenêmicos/farmacologia , Cuidados Críticos , Doripenem , Ertapenem , Escherichia coli/genética , Escherichia coli/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Escherichia coli/metabolismo , Infecções por Escherichia coli/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Escherichia coli/microbiologia , Feminino , Expressão Gênica , Genótipo , Humanos , Imipenem/farmacologia , Klebsiella/genética , Klebsiella/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Klebsiella/metabolismo , Infecções por Klebsiella/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por Klebsiella/microbiologia , Masculino , Meropeném , Testes de Sensibilidade Microbiana , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tipagem de Sequências Multilocus , Tienamicinas/farmacologia , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , beta-Lactamases/metabolismo , beta-Lactamas/farmacologia
11.
Health Secur ; 14(1): 1-6, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26828799

RESUMO

Some types of public health emergencies could result in large numbers of patients with respiratory failure who need mechanical ventilation. Federal public health planning has included needs assessment and stockpiling of ventilators. However, additional federal guidance is needed to assist states in further allocating federally supplied ventilators to individual hospitals to ensure that ventilators are shipped to facilities where they can best be used during an emergency. A major consideration in planning is a hospital's ability to absorb additional ventilators, based on available space and staff expertise. A simple pro rata plan that does not take these factors into account might result in suboptimal use or unused scarce resources. This article proposes a conceptual framework that identifies the steps in planning and an important gap in federal guidance regarding the distribution of stockpiled mechanical ventilators during an emergency.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Saúde Pública , Alocação de Recursos/métodos , Ventiladores Mecânicos/provisão & distribuição , Humanos , Incidentes com Feridos em Massa , Insuficiência Respiratória/terapia , Estados Unidos
12.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 9(6): 634-41, 2015 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26450633

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: A large-scale public health emergency, such as a severe influenza pandemic, can generate large numbers of critically ill patients in a short time. We modeled the number of mechanical ventilators that could be used in addition to the number of hospital-based ventilators currently in use. METHODS: We identified key components of the health care system needed to deliver ventilation therapy, quantified the maximum number of additional ventilators that each key component could support at various capacity levels (ie, conventional, contingency, and crisis), and determined the constraining key component at each capacity level. RESULTS: Our study results showed that US hospitals could absorb between 26,200 and 56,300 additional ventilators at the peak of a national influenza pandemic outbreak with robust pre-pandemic planning. CONCLUSIONS: The current US health care system may have limited capacity to use additional mechanical ventilators during a large-scale public health emergency. Emergency planners need to understand their health care systems' capability to absorb additional resources and expand care. This methodology could be adapted by emergency planners to determine stockpiling goals for critical resources or to identify alternatives to manage overwhelming critical care need.


Assuntos
Saúde Pública/instrumentação , Capacidade de Resposta ante Emergências/estatística & dados numéricos , Ventiladores Mecânicos/estatística & dados numéricos , Atenção à Saúde/normas , Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Planejamento em Desastres/normas , Recursos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidentes com Feridos em Massa
13.
Clin Infect Dis ; 60 Suppl 1: S52-7, 2015 May 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25878301

RESUMO

An outbreak in China in April 2013 of human illnesses due to avian influenza A(H7N9) virus provided reason for US public health officials to revisit existing national pandemic response plans. We built a spreadsheet model to examine the potential demand for invasive mechanical ventilation (excluding "rescue therapy" ventilation). We considered scenarios of either 20% or 30% gross influenza clinical attack rate (CAR), with a "low severity" scenario with case fatality rates (CFR) of 0.05%-0.1%, or a "high severity" scenario (CFR: 0.25%-0.5%). We used rates-of-influenza-related illness to calculate the numbers of potential clinical cases, hospitalizations, admissions to intensive care units, and need for mechanical ventilation. We assumed 10 days ventilator use per ventilated patient, 13% of total ventilator demand will occur at peak, and a 33.7% weighted average mortality risk while on a ventilator. At peak, for a 20% CAR, low severity scenario, an additional 7000 to 11,000 ventilators will be needed, averting a pandemic total of 35,000 to 55,000 deaths. A 30% CAR, high severity scenario, will need approximately 35,000 to 60,500 additional ventilators, averting a pandemic total 178,000 to 308,000 deaths. Estimates of deaths averted may not be realized because successful ventilation also depends on sufficient numbers of suitably trained staff, needed supplies (eg, drugs, reliable oxygen sources, suction apparatus, circuits, and monitoring equipment) and timely ability to match access to ventilators with critically ill cases. There is a clear challenge to plan and prepare to meet demands for mechanical ventilators for a future severe pandemic.


Assuntos
Planejamento em Desastres/métodos , Influenza Humana/terapia , Pandemias , Ventiladores Mecânicos/provisão & distribuição , Humanos , Subtipo H7N9 do Vírus da Influenza A/patogenicidade , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Influenza Humana/mortalidade , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/provisão & distribuição , Modelos Teóricos , Saúde Pública/métodos , Respiração Artificial/instrumentação , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
14.
Disaster Med Public Health Prep ; 8(2): 136-142, 2014 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24690525

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Information on surges in critical care services including mechanical ventilator use during seasonal influenza outbreaks is limited. To potentially facilitate preparedness plans for future pandemics, we retrospectively quantitated surges in all-cause mechanical ventilator use during peak influenza for 12 consecutive years in all certified hospitals in Maryland. METHODS: Influenza testing data obtained for the Centers for Disease Control and Protection, Health and Human Services region 3, included defined peak influenza outbreak periods (PIOP), non-influenza time periods (non-ITP), and proportions of circulating influenza types for all study years. Procedure codes for mechanical ventilator use and diagnostic codes for medically attended acute respiratory illness (MAARI) were reviewed for every Maryland hospitalization. Daily counts of hospitalizations associated with ventilator use or MAARI during PIOP compared to non-ITP were analyzed using Poisson regression adjusted for month and year. RESULTS: Ventilator use increased during PIOP by 7% (95% CI, 5-10) over non-ITP (P < .0001) for all study years. These annual surges correlated with influenza season intensity, as measured by MAARI-related hospitalizations (correlation coefficient = 0.91, P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: Surges in ventilator use were temporally associated with PIOP and were positively correlated with influenza season intensity, as measured by hospitalizations associated with acute respiratory illness. This information may assist resource planning for future pandemics. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2014;x:1-7).

15.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 34(5): 453-8, 2013 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23571360

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE. To quantify the association between admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) room most recently occupied by a patient positive for extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (EBSL)-producing gram-negative bacteria and acquisition of infection or colonization with that pathogen. DESIGN. Retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PATIENTS. The study included patients admitted to medical and surgical ICUs of an academic medical center between September 1, 2001, and June 30, 2009. METHODS. Perianal surveillance cultures were obtained at admission to the ICU, weekly, and at discharge from the ICU. Patients were included if they had culture results that were negative for ESBL-producing gram-negative bacteria at ICU admission and had an ICU length of stay longer than 48 hours. Pulsed-field gel electrophoresis (PFGE) was performed on ESBL-positive isolates from patients who acquired the same bacterial species (eg, Klebsiella species or Escherichia coli) as the previous room occupant. RESULTS. Among 9,371 eligible admissions (7,651 unique patients), 267 (3%) involved patients who acquired an ESBL-producing pathogen in the ICU; of these patients, 32 (12%) were hospitalized in a room in which the prior occupant had been positive for ESBL. Logistic regression results suggested that the prior occupant's ESBL status was not significantly associated with acquisition of an ESBL-producing pathogen (adjusted odds ratio, 1.39 [95% confidence interval, 0.94-2.08]) after adjusting for colonization pressure and antibiotic exposure in the ICU. PFGE results suggested that 6 (18%) of 32 patients acquired a bacterial strain that was the same as or closely related to the strain obtained from the prior occupant. CONCLUSIONs. These data suggest that environmental contamination may not play a substantial role in the transmission of ESBL-producing pathogens among ICU patients. Intensifying environmental decontamination may be less effective than other interventions in preventing transmission of ESBL-producing pathogens.


Assuntos
Infecção Hospitalar/microbiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/transmissão , Escherichia coli/enzimologia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Klebsiella/enzimologia , beta-Lactamases/metabolismo , Centros Médicos Acadêmicos , Adulto , Idoso , Canal Anal/microbiologia , Técnicas de Tipagem Bacteriana , Infecções por Escherichia coli/microbiologia , Infecções por Escherichia coli/transmissão , Feminino , Humanos , Infecções por Klebsiella/microbiologia , Infecções por Klebsiella/transmissão , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Admissão do Paciente , Alta do Paciente , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
16.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 34(1): 93-5, 2013 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23221199

RESUMO

We assessed whether age modified the association between methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) anterior nares colonization and subsequent infection. Among 7,405 patients (9,511 admissions), MRSA colonization was significantly associated with infection (adjusted odds ratio, 13.7 [95% confidence interval, 7.3-25.7]) but did not differ significantly by age group.


Assuntos
Portador Sadio/epidemiologia , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Infecções Estafilocócicas/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Idoso , Baltimore/epidemiologia , Portador Sadio/prevenção & controle , Suscetibilidade a Doenças , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Cavidade Nasal/microbiologia , Vigilância da População , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Infecções Estafilocócicas/prevenção & controle
17.
J Infect Dis ; 206(6): 915-23, 2012 Sep 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22807524

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Staphylococcus aureus has numerous virulence factors, including exotoxins that may increase the severity of infection. This study was aimed at assessing whether preexisting antibodies to S. aureus toxins are associated with a lower risk of sepsis in adults with S. aureus infection complicated by bacteremia. METHODS: We prospectively identified adults with S. aureus infection from 4 hospitals in Baltimore, MD, in 2009­2011. We obtained serum samples from prior to or at presentation of S. aureus bacteremia to measure total immunoglobulin G (IgG) and IgG antibody levels to 11 S. aureus exotoxins. Bacterial isolates were tested for the genes encoding S. aureus exotoxins using polymerase chain reaction (PCR). RESULTS: One hundred eligible subjects were included and 27 of them developed sepsis. When adjusted for total IgG levels and stratified for the presence of toxin in the infecting isolate as appropriate, the risk of sepsis was significantly lower in those patients with higher levels of IgG against α-hemolysin (Hla), δ-hemolysin (Hld), Panton Valentine leukocidin (PVL), staphylococcal enterotoxin C-1 (SEC-1), and phenol-soluble modulin α3 (PSM-α3). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that higher antibody levels against Hla, Hld, PVL, SEC-1, and PSM-α3 may protect against sepsis in patients with invasive S. aureus infections.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antibacterianos/sangue , Exotoxinas/imunologia , Sepse/microbiologia , Infecções Estafilocócicas/imunologia , Staphylococcus aureus/imunologia , Adulto , Idoso , Proteínas de Bactérias/imunologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco , Sepse/imunologia , Infecções Estafilocócicas/microbiologia , Staphylococcus aureus/metabolismo
18.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 32(7): 719-22, 2011 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21666406

RESUMO

Risk factors for development of intestinal colonization by imipenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (IRPA) may differ between those who acquire the organism via patient-to-patient transmission versus by antibiotic selective pressure. The aim of this study was to quantify potential risk factors for the development of IRPA not due to patient-to-patient transmission.


Assuntos
Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Infecção Hospitalar/transmissão , Imipenem/uso terapêutico , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Infecções por Pseudomonas/transmissão , Pseudomonas aeruginosa/isolamento & purificação , Resistência beta-Lactâmica , Estudos de Coortes , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Intestinos/microbiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Infecções por Pseudomonas/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco
19.
Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol ; 32(5): 481-9, 2011 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21515979

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Colonization pressure is an important infection control metric. The aim of this study was to describe the definition and measurement of and adjustment for colonization pressure in nosocomial-acquisition risk factor studies of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE), and Clostridium difficile. METHODS: We performed a computerized search of studies of nosocomial MRSA, VRE, and C. difficile acquisition published before July 1, 2009, through MEDLINE. Studies were included if a study outcome was MRSA, VRE, or C. difficile acquisition; the authors identified risk factors associated with MRSA, VRE, or C. difficile acquisition; and the study measured colonization pressure. RESULTS: The initial MEDLINE search yielded 505 articles. Sixty-six of these were identified as studies of nosocomial MRSA, VRE, or C. difficile acquisition; of these, 18 (27%) measured colonization pressure and were included in the final review. The definition of colonization pressure varied considerably between studies: the proportion of MRSA- or VRE-positive patients (5 studies), the proportion of MRSA- or VRE-positive patient-days (6 studies), or the total or mean number of MRSA-, VRE-, or C. difficile-positive patients or patient-days (7 studies) in the unit over periods of varying length. In 10 of 13 studies, colonization pressure was independently associated with MRSA, VRE, or C. difficile acquisition. CONCLUSION: There is a need for a simple and consistent method to quantify colonization pressure in both research and routine clinical care to accurately assess the effect of colonization pressure on cross-transmission of antibiotic-resistant bacteria.


Assuntos
Clostridioides difficile , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Enterococcus , Infecções por Bactérias Gram-Positivas/transmissão , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Resistência a Vancomicina , Infecções por Clostridium/transmissão , Contagem de Colônia Microbiana , Humanos , Controle de Infecções/métodos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Infecções Estafilocócicas/transmissão
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