Predicting factors and clinical outcome of biochemical incomplete response in middle eastern differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was evaluate biochemical incomplete response (BIR) in Middle Eastern differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), identify factors that could predict BIR before radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation and to investigate the long-term clinical outcome of DTC patient exhibiting BIR to initial therapy. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated 1286 DTCs from Middle Eastern ethnicity who underwent total thyroidectomy and RAI therapy. Demograpic and clinico-pathological factors predicting BIR were evaluated. The outcome of these patients was analyzed using primary outcome of structural disease and disease-free survival (DFS). RESULTS: With a median follow-up of 10 years, 266 (20.7%) patients had BIR. High pre-ablation stimulated thyroglobulin (presTg), presence of lymph node metastasis, male gender and delayed initial RAI therapy (≥3 months) after thyroidectomy were significant independent predictors of BIR. Upon evaluating long-term clinical outcomes in 266 patients with BIR, we found 36.8% of patients developed structural disease. Male sex (OR = 1.56; 95% CI = 1.05-2.30; p = 0.0272) and increasing Tg after initial therapy (OR = 4.25; 95% CI = 1.93-10.82; p = 0.0001) were independent risk factors for structural disease in patients with BIR. DFS was significantly worse if both these risk factors existed concomitantly (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: To achieve the fair efficacy of RAI therapy, early prediction of BIR before RAI ablation is desirable. Our finding of the clinico-pathological factors (high presTg level, LNM, delayed RAI therapy and male gender) could serve as easy and robust early predictors of BIR. In addition, DTC patients exhibiting BIR had a high risk of structural disease and hence personalized management approach would be preferable for BIR patients to ensure best clinical outcome.

Recurrent Middle Eastern Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma Has Worse Outcomes Than Persistent Disease.

Background: Despite the excellent prognosis of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC), recurrent and persistent disease remain major challenges. Emerging studies to differentiate between recurrent and persistent disease are controversial, with studies from the Middle East lacking. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 1691 patients who underwent surgery ± I131 treatment for DTC, with a median age of 38.7 years and median follow-up of 95.3 months. Results: We found a similar prevalence rate for persistent and recurrent disease (17.7% vs. 17.9%) in Middle Eastern DTC patients. Relative to patients with persistent disease, patients with recurrent disease were significantly older (median age: 36.1 vs. 45.8 years; p < 0.0001) and were more likely to have ATA high-risk tumors (61.5% vs. 75.2%; p = 0.0003). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, both T and N status were independent predictors for recurrent as well as structural persistent disease. However, older age, bilaterality and extrathyroidal extension were independent predictors of recurrent disease alone. In addition, patients with recurrent disease had significantly worse cancer-specific survival (p < 0.0001), which remained significant in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Although persistent and recurrent disease in Middle Eastern DTC have similar frequencies, recurrent disease has worse outcomes compared to persistent disease. Hence, differentiating recurrence from persistence has great potential clinical relevance for therapeutic and follow-up approaches, contributing to improving the outcomes of DTC patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity.

PLK1 and FoxM1 expressions positively correlate in papillary thyroid carcinoma and their combined inhibition results in synergistic anti-tumor effects.

Polo-like kinase 1 (PLK1; also known as serine/threonine-protein kinase PLK1) serves as a central player in cell proliferation, exerting critical regulatory roles in mitotic processes and cell survival. We conducted an analysis of PLK1 protein expression in a large cohort of samples from papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients and examined its functional significance in PTC cell lines, both in vitro and in vivo. PLK1 overexpression was noted in 54.2% of all PTC and was significantly associated with aggressive clinicopathological parameters; it was also found to be an independent prognostic marker for shorter recurrence-free survival. Given the significant association between PLK1 and forkhead box protein M1 (FoxM1), and their concomitant overexpression in a large proportion of PTC samples, we explored their correlation and their combined inhibitions in PTC in vitro and in vivo. Inhibition of PLK1 expression indeed suppressed cell proliferation, leading to cell cycle arrest and apoptosis in PTC cell lines. Significantly, the downregulation of PLK1 reduced the self-renewal capability of spheroids formed from PTC cells. Immunoprecipitation analysis shows that PLK1 binds to FoxM1 and vice versa in vitro. Mechanistically, PLK1 knockdown suppresses FoxM1 expression, whereas inhibition of FoxM1 does not affect PLK1 expression, which suggests that PLK1 acts through the FoxM1 pathway. The combined treatment of a PLK1 inhibitor (volasertib) and a FoxM1 inhibitor (thiostrepton) demonstrated a synergistic effect in reducing PTC cell growth in vitro and delaying tumor growth in vivo. This study highlights the important role of PLK1 in PTC tumorigenesis and prognosis. It also highlights the synergistic therapeutic potential of dual-targeting PLK1 and FoxM1 in PTC, unveiling a potential innovative therapeutic strategy for managing aggressive forms of PTC.

Identification and characterization of ATM founder mutation in BRCA-negative breast cancer patients of Arab ethnicity.

Breast cancer (BC) is the most prevalent malignancy among women worldwide with germline pathogenic variants/likely pathogenic variants (PVs/LPVs) in BRCA1/2 accounting for a large portion of hereditary cases. Recently, heterozygous PVs/LPVs in the ATM serine/threonine kinase or Ataxia-telangiectasia mutated gene (ATM) has been identified as a moderate susceptibility factor for BC in diverse ethnicities. However, the prevalence of ATM PVs/LPVs in BC susceptibility in Arab populations remains largely unexplored. This study investigated the prevalence of ATM PVs/LPVs among BC patients from Saudi Arabia, employing capture-sequencing technology for ATM PVs/LPVs screening in a cohort of 715 unselected BC patients without BRCA1/2 PVs/LPVs. In addition, founder mutation analysis was conducted using the PHASE program. In our entire cohort, four unique PVs/LPVs in the ATM gene were identified in six cases (0.8%). Notably, one recurrent LPV, c.6115G > A:p.Glu2039Lys was identified in three cases, for which haplotype analysis confirmed as a novel putative founder mutation traced back to 13 generations on average. This founder mutation accounted for half of all identified mutant cases and 0.4% of total screened cases. This study further reveals a significant correlation between the presence of ATM mutation and family history of BC (p = 0.0127). These findings underscore an approximate 0.8% prevalence of ATM germline PVs/LPVs in Arab BC patients without BRCA1/2 PVs/LPVs and suggest a founder effect of specific recurrent ATM mutation. These insights can help in the design of a genetic testing strategy tailored to the local population in Saudi Arabia, thereby, enabling more accurate clinical management and risk prediction.

Predictive risk factors for distant metastasis in pediatric differentiated thyroid cancer from Saudi Arabia.

Background: Despite their excellent prognosis, children and young adults (CAYA) with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) tend to have more frequent occurrence of distant metastasis (DM) compared to adult DTC. Data about DM in CAYA from Middle Eastern ethnicity is limited. Methods: Medical records of 170 patients with DTC ≤18 years were retrospectively reviewed. Clinico-pathological factors associated with lung metastasis in CAYA, their clinical presentation and outcome were analyzed. Rick factors related to distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) for the whole cohort were evaluated. Results: DM was observed in 27 patients and all were lung metastasis. Lung metastasis was significantly associated with younger age (≤15 years), extrathyroidal extension (ETE), multifocal tumors, bilaterality, presence of lymph node (LN) disease and high post-operative stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg). Highest negative predictive values were seen with low post-operative sTg (97.9%), absence of LN disease (93.8%), absence of ETE (92.2%) and age older than 15 years (92.9%). Post-therapy whole body scan (WBS) identified most of the lung metastasis (21 of 27; 77.8%). Upon evaluating patients response according to ATA guidelines, excellent response was seen in only one patient, while biochemical persistence and structural persistence were seen in 11.1% (3/27) and 77.8% (21/27), respectively. Elevated post-operative sTg (>10ng/ml) was the only risk factor found to be significantly associated with both biochemical persistence (with or without structural persistence (p = 0.0143)) and structural persistence (p = 0.0433). Cox regression analysis identified age and post-operative sTg as independent risk factors related to DMFS. Based on these two risk factors for DMFS, patients were divided into 3 groups: low risk (no risk factors), intermediate risk (1 risk factor) and high risk (both risk factors). 20-year DMFS rates in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 100.0%, 81.3% and 23.7% respectively (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Higher suspicion for metastatic pediatric DTC should be considered in patients who are young, have LN disease, extrathyroidal extension and elevated post-operative sTg. Persistent disease, despite therapy, is very common and it appears to be related to post-operative sTg level. Hence, risk adaptive management is desirable in CAYA with DTC.

Loss of CDH16 expression is a strong independent predictor for lymph node metastasis in Middle Eastern papillary thyroid cancer.

Papillary Thyroid Cancer (PTC) is the most common type of thyroid cancer. The membrane-associated glycoprotein cadherin-16 (CDH16) plays a significant role in the embryonal development of thyroid follicles and cell adhesion. Previous studies have indicated a substantial downregulation of CDH16 in PTC. However, its role in Middle Eastern PTC has not been elucidated. We analyzed a tissue microarray comprising 1606 PTC and 240 normal thyroid tissues using immunohistochemistry to assess CDH16 expression and determine its clinico-pathological associations. We also conducted BRAF and TERT mutations analyses through Sanger sequencing. Disease-free survival (DFS) was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. CDH16 immunostaining was seen in 100% of normal thyroid tissues but only in 9.4% of PTC tissues (p < 0.0001). The loss of CDH16 expression was associated with aggressive PTC characteristics including bilaterality, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, tall cell variant, lymph node metastasis (LNM) and distant metastasis. Additionally a correlation between loss of CDH16 expression and BRAF and TERT mutations was identified. Intriguingly, upon conducting multivariate logistic regression analysis, CDH16 was determined to be an independent predictor for LNM (Odds ratio = 2.46; 95% confidence interval = 1.60-3.79; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, CDH16 loss was associated with a shorter DFS (p = 0.0015). However, when we further subdivided CDH16 negative patients based on the co-existence of TERT and/or BRAF mutations, we found that patients with both CDH16 negative expression and TERT mutation exhibited the shortest DFS (p < 0.0001). In conclusion, our results suggest that CDH16 protein expression could serve as a valuable diagnostic tool for PTC. Furthermore, these findings demonstrate that the loss of CDH16 expression is an independent predictor of LNM and may contribute to the aggressiveness of PTC. Therefore, downregulation of CDH16 in PTC might be a potential target for designing novel therapeutic strategies to treat PTC.

Whole Exome-Wide Association Identifies Rare Variants in GALNT9 Associated with Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Risk.

Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is the commonest thyroid cancer. The majority of inherited causes of PTC remain elusive. However, understanding the genetic underpinnings and origins remains a challenging endeavor. An exome-wide association study was performed to identify rare germline variants in coding regions associated with PTC risk in the Middle Eastern population. By analyzing exome-sequencing data from 249 PTC patients (cases) and 1395 individuals without any known cancer (controls), GALNT9 emerged as being strongly associated with rare inactivating variants (RIVs) (4/249 cases vs. 1/1395 controls, OR = 22.75, p = 5.09 × 10-5). Furthermore, three genes, TRIM40, ARHGAP23, and SOX4, were enriched for rare damaging variants (RDVs) at the exome-wide threshold (p < 2.5 × 10-6). An additional seven genes (VARS1, ZBED9, PRRC2A, VWA7, TRIM31, TRIM40, and COL8A2) were associated with a Middle Eastern PTC risk based on the sequence kernel association test (SKAT). This study underscores the potential of GALNT9 and other implicated genes in PTC predisposition, illuminating the need for large collaborations and innovative approaches to understand the genetic heterogeneity of PTC predisposition.

Cadherin-16 (CDH16) immunohistochemistry: a useful diagnostic tool for renal cell carcinoma and papillary carcinomas of the thyroid.

Cadherin-16 (CDH16) plays a role in the embryonal development in kidney and thyroid. Downregulation of CDH16 RNA was found in papillary carcinomas of the thyroid. To determine the expression of CDH16 in tumors and to assess the diagnostic utility a tissue microarray containing 15,584 samples from 152 different tumor types as well as 608 samples of 76 different normal tissue types was analyzed. A membranous CDH16 immunostaining was predominantly seen in thyroid, kidney, cauda epididymis, and mesonephric remnants. In the thyroid, CDH16 staining was seen in 100% of normal samples, 86% of follicular adenomas, 60% of follicular carcinomas, but only 7% of papillary carcinomas (p < 0.0001). CDH16 positivity was frequent in nephrogenic adenomas (100%), oncocytomas (98%), chromophobe (97%), clear cell (85%), and papillary (76%) renal cell carcinomas (RCCs), various subtypes of carcinoma of the ovary (16-56%), various subtyped of carcinomas of the uterus (18-40%), as well as in various subtypes of neuroendocrine neoplasms (4-26%). Nineteen further tumor entities showed a weak to moderate CDH16 staining in up to 8% of cases. Our data suggest CDH16 as a potential diagnostic marker-as a part of a panel-for the identification of papillary carcinomas of the thyroid, nephrogenic adenomas, and the distinction of renal cell tumors from other neoplasms.

PALB2 germline mutations in a large cohort of Middle Eastern breast-ovarian cancer patients.

The PALB2 gene is a breast cancer (BC) and ovarian cancer (OC) predisposition gene involved in the homologous recombination repair pathway. However, the prevalence and clinicopathological association of PALB2 pathogenic/likely pathogenic (PV/LPV) variants in Middle East is still not fully explored. Total 918 BC/OC patients from Saudi Arabia were selected for PALB2 mutations screening using capture sequencing technology. Five heterozygous PVs or LPVs were identified in six cases, accounting for 0.65% (6/918) of entire cohort. Two cases (33.3%) harbored PVs and four cases (66.7%) carried LPVs. Four PVs/LPVs (80%) were frameshift along with one novel splicing LPV (c.2835-2_2835-1delinsTT). One recurrent LPV (c.3425delT: p.L1142fs) was identified in two cases. All six affected carriers have breast cancer diagnosis with median age of 39.5 years (range 34-49 years). Only two cases (33%) have documented family history of cancer. Breast cancer phenotype was invasive ductal unilateral cancer in all cases with 66.7% of hormone receptor positive and 16% of triple negative tumors. Germline PVs/LPVs in the PALB2 gene were observed in low frequency of 0.65% in Saudi BC and/or OC. Our study confirms one recurrent LPV and one novel LPV in Saudi breast cancer patients.

Overexpression of the pro-protein convertase furin predicts prognosis and promotes papillary thyroid carcinoma progression and metastasis through RAF/MEK signaling.

Furin belongs to the pro-protein convertases (PCs) family and its aberrant expression has been documented in various types of cancers; however, its role in thyroid cancer remains unclear. We investigated the expression of furin in a large cohort of Middle Eastern papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patient samples and explored its functional role and mechanism in PTC cell lines in vitro and in vivo. Furin overexpression was observed in 44.6% of all PTC cases and was significantly associated with aggressive clinicopathological parameters and poor outcomes. We show that the knockdown of FURIN suppresses tumor growth, proliferation, migration, invasion, spheroid growth, and progression of epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in B-Raf proto-oncogene, serine/threonine kinase (BRAF) mutant cells, whereas its overexpression in BRAF wild-type PTC cell lines reversed the effect. FURIN knockdown in the BRAF mutant cell line led to reduced tumor growth and increased apoptosis. Mechanistically, FURIN knockdown led to MEK/ERK pathway suppression in BRAF mutant cells, although inhibition of MEK did not affect furin expression, which suggests that furin acts through the MEK/ERK pathway. Furthermore, our study revealed the synergistic antitumor effect of furin depletion and anti-MEK inhibitor treatment. Overall, these results indicate that furin is an important prognostic marker in Middle Eastern PTC and that it plays a crucial role in BRAF-associated MAP/ERK pathway activation and tumorigenesis. Furin inhibition could be a potential therapeutic target for aggressive PTC.

PLK1 and PARP positively correlate in Middle Eastern breast cancer and their combined inhibition overcomes PARP inhibitor resistance in triple negative breast cancer.

Background: Despite advancements in treatment approaches, patients diagnosed with aggressive breast cancer (BC) subtypes typically face an unfavorable prognosis. Globally, these cancers continue to pose a significant threat to women's health, leading to substantial morbidity and mortality. Consequently, there has been a significant struggle to identify viable molecular targets for therapeutic intervention in these patients. Polo-like Kinase-1 (PLK1) represents one of these molecular targets currently undergoing rigorous scrutiny for the treatment of such tumors. Yet, its role in the pathogenesis of BC in Middle Eastern ethnicity remains unexplored. Methods: We investigated the expression of PLK1 protein in a cohort of more than 1500 Middle Eastern ethnicity BC cases by immunohistochemistry. Association with clinicopathological parameters and prognosis were performed. In vitro studies were conducted using the PLK1 inhibitor volasertib and the PARP inhibitor olaparib, either alone or in combination, in PTC cell lines. Results: Overexpression of PLK1 was detected in 27.4% of all BC cases, and this was notably correlated with aggressive clinicopathological markers. PLK1 was enriched in the triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) subtype and exhibited poor overall survival (p = 0.0347). Notably, there was a positive correlation between PLK1 and PARP overexpression, with co-expression of PLK1 and PARP observed in 15.7% of cases and was associated with significantly poorer overall survival (OS) compared to the overexpression of either protein alone (p = 0.0050). In vitro, we studied the effect of PLK1 and PARP inhibitors either single or combined treatments in two BRCA mutated, and one BRCA proficient TNBC cell lines. We showed that combined inhibition significantly reduced cell survival and persuaded apoptosis in TNBC cell lines. Moreover, our findings indicate that inhibition of PLK1 can reinstate sensitivity in PARP inhibitor (PARPi) resistant TNBC cell lines. Conclusion: Our results shed light on the role of PLK1 in the pathogenesis and prognosis of Middle Eastern BC and support the potential clinical development of combined inhibition of PLK1 and PARP, a strategy that could potentially broaden the use of PLK1 and PARP inhibitors beyond BC cases lacking BRCA.

X-linked inhibitor of apoptosis protein (XIAP) predicts disease-free survival in BRAFV600E mutant papillary thyroid carcinoma in middle eastern patients.

Background: X-linked inhibitor of apoptosis (XIAP) is the most potent caspase inhibitory IAP family member and its over-expression is implicated in aggressive behavior of various solid tumors, including papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). BRAFV600E mutation is the most common oncogenic event in PTC and is also known to be associated with aggressive clinico-pathological characteristics. In this study, we investigated the prevalence of XIAP expression in more than 1600 PTCs from Middle Eastern ethnicity and its prognostic value to predict disease-free survival (DFS), in combination with the BRAFV600E mutation. Methods: Clinical data, XIAP expression by immunohistochemistry and BRAF mutation status were analyzed in 1640 Saudi PTC patients seen at our institute between 1988 - 2020. Results: BRAFV600E mutation was found in 910 of 1640 patients (55.5%) and was significantly correlated with older age, extrathyroidal extension, bilaterality, multifocality and lymph node metastasis, but was not an independent predictor of DFS. XIAP was over-expressed in 758 of 1640 (46.2%) and was associated with aggressive clinico-pathological features. It was also found to be an independent prognostic marker for DFS (HR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.02 - 1.60, P = 0.0342). XIAP overexpression was correlated with presence of BRAFV600E mutation in PTC patients. Interestingly, we found the ability to predict shorter DFS was 2.7-fold higher in PTCs with over-expression of XIAP and BRAFV600E mutation compared to patients with high XIAP and wild-type BRAFV600E status (HR = 2.74, 95% CI = 2.19 - 3.44, p < 0.0001). Conclusion: XIAP expression is an independent predictor of prognosis in Middle Eastern PTC patients. Combination of XIAP expression and BRAFV600E mutation can synergistically improve the DFS prediction in PTC patients, which may help clinicians to establish the most appropriate initial care and long-term surveillance strategies.

Lynch Syndrome Identification in Saudi Cohort of Endometrial Cancer Patients Screened by Universal Approach.

Lynch syndrome (LS) is the most common cause of inherited endometrial cancer (EC). The prevalence and molecular characteristic of LS in Middle Eastern women with EC have been underexplored. To evaluate the frequency of LS in a cohort of EC patients from Saudi Arabia, a total of 436 EC cases were screened utilizing immunohistochemistry (IHC), MLH1 promoter methylation analysis and next-generation sequencing technology. A total of 53 of 436 (12.2%) ECs were classified as DNA mismatch repair-deficient (dMMR). MLH1 promoter hypermethylation was detected in 30 ECs (6.9%). Three ECs (0.7%) were found to be LS harboring germline pathogenic variants (PVs)/likely pathogenic variants (LPVs): two in the MSH2 gene and one in the MSH6 gene. Three ECs (0.7%) were Lynch-like syndrome (LLS) carrying double somatic MSH2 PVs/LPVs. Seven cases were found to have variants of uncertain significance in cancer-related genes other than MMR genes. Our results indicate that LS prevalence is low among Saudi EC patients and LLS is as common as LS in this ethnicity. Our findings could help in better understanding of the prevalence and mutational spectrum of this syndrome in Saudi Arabia, which may help in defining best strategies for LS identification, prevention and genetic counseling for EC patients.

Tumor size is an independent negative prognostic factor for event free survival in children with differentiated thyroid cancer.

Background: The incidence of pediatric differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is increasing. Despite the advanced disease at presentation, the overall prognosis of DTC in children is excellent. The aim of this study is to investigate the risk stratifying factors for event free survival (EFS) of pediatric DTC from Middle Eastern ethnicity. Methods: Eighty-eight patients aged ≤18 years with diagnosis of primary DTC were retrospectively analyzed. Cox proportional hazards model were used to calculate Hazard Ratios (HR) and Kaplan-Meier analysis were conducted to investigate EFS. Results: Eighty-eight (23 males and 65 females) pediatric DTCs who underwent surgery and radioactive iodine therapy had been reported (median age at diagnosis 15 years; range 5.9-17.9), with lymph node metastasis (LNM) noted in 70.5% and distant metastasis in 13.6%. Mean follow-up was 8.4 years. Ten-year overall survival rate was 98.4% while 10-year EFS was 79.2%. EFS was negatively impacted by the presence of LNM, distant metastasis and tumor size >4cm. American Thyroid Association risk stratification did not impact EFS in our cohort. Multivariate analysis revealed tumor size >4cm (HR = 5.34; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.36 - 20.22; p = 0.0177) and distant metastasis (HR = 8.73; 95% CI = 1.48 - 60.05; p = 0.0154) as independent negative prognostic factors for EFS. Conclusions: Primary tumor size and the presence of distant metastasis at diagnosis are the only independent prognostic risk factors for EFS in pediatric DTC in Middle Eastern ethnicity. Children with tumor size over 4cm had poor EFS, which may justify the need of more aggressive treatment and frequent follow-up.

Risk Factors for Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma.

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) typically has an indolent course and excellent prognosis. Nonetheless, a subset of PTMC carries a risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) and local recurrence. PTC from the Middle Eastern population is unique with respect to demographic and clinico-pathological characteristics as compared to other ethnicities of the world. The risk factors of LNM in PTMC patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity have not been fully explored. The present study aims to investigate the influencing factors of LNM in Middle Eastern PTMC patients and its predictive impact on patient's outcome. A total of 226 confirmed PTMC cases were selected in this retrospective study. The correlation between clinico-pathological, as well as molecular, characteristics and LNM was evaluated. Multivariate analysis was performed by logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models. Among the 226 patients, the rate of LNM was 43.8% (99/226). Bilaterality, multifocality, gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and intermediate-to-high American Thyroid Association (ATA) risk tumors were significantly associated with LNM in PTMC. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that bilaterality and gross ETE were independent predictive factors for LNM in PTMC. The recurrence-free survival (RFS) was shorter in PTMC with LNM compared to those without LNM (p = 0.0051) and was significant on multivariate analysis. In conclusion, our study showed that bilaterality and gross ETE were independent influencing factors of LNM in Saudi patients with PTMC. LNM was also associated with shorter RFS. The identification of risk factors for LNM in patients of Middle Eastern ethnicity could help the individualization of clinical management for PTMC patients.

TERT Promoter Mutations Are an Independent Predictor of Distant Metastasis in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma.

Background: Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMCs) have been attributed to the recent increased incidence of thyroid cancer. Although indolent, a subset of PTMC could potentially develop distant metastasis (DM). This study aimed to evaluate the clinico-pathological features and molecular characteristics of PTMC and identify the risk factors for DM in PTMC patients from Middle Eastern ethnicity. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 210 patients with histologically confirmed PTMC. Clinico-pathological associations for DM, BRAF mutation and TERT mutation were analyzed successfully in 184 patients. Multivariate analysis was performed using Cox proportional hazards model and logistic regression analysis. Results: Among the PTMC patients included in this cohort, DM was noted in 6.0% (11/184), whereas tumor relapse occurred in 29/184 (15.8%). Of the 11 cases with DM, lung metastasis occurred in 8 cases, bone metastasis in 2 cases and brain metastasis in 1 case. Presence of extrathyroidal extension and male sex were significantly associated with DM. Molecular analysis showed BRAF V600E mutations to be the most frequent, being detected in 45.7% (84/184). TERT promoter mutations were detected in 16 (8.7%) cases and were significantly associated with DM and shorter metastasis-free survival in multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Our study indicates a surprisingly high frequency of TERT promoter mutation in Saudi patients with PTMC. Identifying TERT promoter mutations as an independent predictor of DM in patients with microcarcinoma could explain the inherent aggressive nature of PTMC from Middle Eastern ethnicity and magnify its role in patient risk stratification, which might help in improving therapeutic strategy for these patients.

Male Sex Is an Independent Predictor of Recurrence-Free Survival in Middle Eastern Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

Background: Disparity between sexes with regard to incidence, disease aggressiveness, and prognosis has been documented in several cancers. Although various reports have documented the association between male sex and aggressive papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), the prognostic impact of sex on PTC has been inconsistent. The role of sex in PTC aggressiveness and outcome in Middle Eastern PTC remains unknown. Therefore, our study retrospectively analyzed the data of a large cohort of Middle Eastern PTC patients to address this issue. Methods: We compared men and women with respect to clinico-pathological characteristics, disease persistence, structural recurrence, risk stratification, and prognosis. We included 1,430 patients-1,085 (75.9%) women and 345 (24.1%) men. Results: The median follow-up was 9.3 years. At diagnosis, 27% (93/345) of men were ≥55 years, compared with 17.8% (193/1085) of women (p = 0.0003). Men had significantly more advanced disease at presentation: higher stage (p = 0.0074), larger tumor size (p = 0.0069), higher rates of lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.0129), extrathyroidal extension (p = 0.0086), regional lymph node metastasis (p = 0.0279), and distant metastasis (p = 0.0101). There was a higher rate of recurrence (p < 0.0001) and TERT mutations (p = 0.0003) in male PTC patients than in female patients. Additionally, radioiodine refractoriness was higher in male PTC patients (p = 0.0014). In multivariate analysis, male sex was an independent prognostic factor for poor recurrence-free survival (RFS) (hazard ratio = 1.58; 95% confidence interval = 1.20-2.06; p = 0.0011). Conclusions: Men with PTC are more likely to present with more advanced and aggressive disease. Importantly, male sex was an independent prognostic factor for RFS. Thus, men may benefit from more aggressive management and therapeutic interventions.

APOBEC SBS13 Mutational Signature-A Novel Predictor of Radioactive Iodine Refractory Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma.

Standard surgery followed by radioactive iodine (131I, RAI) therapy are not curative for 5−20% of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with RAI refractory disease. Early predictors indicating therapeutic response to RAI therapy in PTC are yet to be elucidated. Whole-exome sequencing was performed (at median depth 198x) on 66 RAI-refractory and 92 RAI-avid PTCs with patient-matched germline. RAI-refractory tumors were significantly associated with distinct aggressive clinicopathological features, including positive surgical margins (p = 0.016) and the presence of lymph node metastases at primary diagnosis (p = 0.012); higher nonsilent tumor mutation burden (p = 0.011); TERT promoter (TERTp) mutation (p < 0.0001); and the enrichment of the APOBEC-related single-base substitution (SBS) COSMIC mutational signatures 2 (p = 0.030) and 13 (p < 0.001). Notably, SBS13 (odds ratio [OR] 30.4, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.43−647.22) and TERTp mutation (OR 41.3, 95% CI 4.35−391.60) were revealed to be independent predictors of RAI refractoriness in PTC (p = 0.029 and 0.001, respectively). Although SBS13 and TERTp mutations alone highly predicted RAI refractoriness, when combined, they significantly increased the likelihood of predicting RAI refractoriness in PTC. This study highlights the APOBEC SBS13 mutational signature as a novel independent predictor of RAI refractoriness in a distinct subgroup of PTC.

Lymph node ratio is superior to AJCC N stage for predicting recurrence in papillary thyroid carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: Recently, lymph node ratio (LNR) has emerged as an alternative to American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) N stage, with superior prognostic value. The utility of LNR in Middle Eastern papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) remains unknown. Therefore, we retrospectively analyzed a large cohort of 1407 PTC patients for clinicopathological associations of LNR. METHODS: Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to determine the cut-off for LNR. We also performed multivariate logistic regression analysis to determine whether LNR or AJCC N stage was superior in predicting recurrence in PTC. RESULTS: Based on ROC curve analysis, a cut-off of 0.15 was chosen for LNR. High LNR was significantly associated with adverse clinicopathological characteristics such as male sex, extrathyroidal extension, lymphovascular invasion, multifocality, bilateral tumors, T4 tumors, lateral lymph node (N1b) involvement, distant metastasis, advanced tumor stage, American Thyroid Association (ATA) high-risk category and tumor recurrence. On multivariate analysis, we found that LNR was a better predictor of tumor recurrence than AJCC N stage (odds ratio: 1.96 vs 1.30; P value: 0.0184 vs 0.3831). We also found that LNR combined with TNM stage and ATA risk category improved the prediction of recurrence-free survival, compared to TNM stage or ATA risk category alone. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests LNR is an independent predictor of recurrence in Middle Eastern PTC. Integration of LNR with 8th edition AJCC TNM staging system and ATA risk stratification will improve the accuracy to predict recurrence in Middle Eastern PTC and help in tailoring treatment and surveillance strategies in these patients.