Azithromycin reduces bronchial wall thickening in infants with cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: COMBAT-CF showed that children aged 0-3 years treated with azithromycin did clinically better than placebo but there was no effect on CT-scores. We reanalysed CTs using an automatic bronchus-artery (BA) analysis. METHOD: Inspiratory and expiratory CTs at 12 and 36 months were analysed. BA-analysis measures BA-diameters: bronchial outer wall (Bout), bronchial inner wall (Bin), artery (A), and bronchial wall thickness (Bwt) and computes BA-ratios: Bout/A and Bin/A for bronchial widening, Bwt/A and Bwa/Boa (bronchial wall area/bronchial outer area) for bronchial wall thickening. Low attenuation regions (LAR) were analysed using an automatic method. Mixed-effect model was used to compare BA-outcomes at 36 months between treatment groups. RESULTS: 228 CTs (59 placebo; 66 azithromycin) were analysed. The azithromycin group had lower Bwa/Boa (p = 0.0034) and higher Bin/A (p = 0.001) relative to placebo. Bout/A (p = 0.0088) was higher because of a reduction in artery diameters which correlated to a reduction in LAR. CONCLUSION: Azithromycin-treated infants with CF show a reduction in bronchial wall thickness and possibly a positive effect on lung perfusion.

Predicting lung function decline in cystic fibrosis: the impact of initiating ivacaftor therapy.

BACKGROUND: Modulator therapies that seek to correct the underlying defect in cystic fibrosis (CF) have revolutionized the clinical landscape. Given the heterogeneous nature of lung disease progression in the post-modulator era, there is a need to develop prediction models that are robust to modulator uptake. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal cohort study of the CF Foundation Patient Registry (N = 867 patients carrying the G551D mutation who were treated with ivacaftor from 2003 to 2018). The primary outcome was lung function (percent predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s or FEV1pp). To characterize the association between ivacaftor initiation and lung function, we developed a dynamic prediction model through covariate selection of demographic and clinical characteristics. The ability of the selected model to predict a decline in lung function, clinically known as an FEV1-indicated exacerbation signal (FIES), was evaluated both at the population level and individual level. RESULTS: Based on the final model, the estimated improvement in FEV1pp after ivacaftor initiation was 4.89% predicted (95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.90 to 5.89). The rate of decline was reduced with ivacaftor initiation by 0.14% predicted/year (95% CI: 0.01 to 0.27). More frequent outpatient visits prior to study entry and being male corresponded to a higher overall FEV1pp. Pancreatic insufficiency, older age at study entry, a history of more frequent pulmonary exacerbations, lung infections, CF-related diabetes, and use of Medicaid insurance corresponded to lower FEV1pp. The model had excellent predictive accuracy for FIES events with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.83 (95% CI: 0.83 to 0.84) for the independent testing cohort and 0.90 (95% CI: 0.89 to 0.90) for 6-month forecasting with the masked cohort. The root-mean-square errors of the FEV1pp predictions for these cohorts were 7.31% and 6.78% predicted, respectively, with standard deviations of 0.29 and 0.20. The predictive accuracy was robust across different covariate specifications. CONCLUSIONS: The methods and applications of dynamic prediction models developed using data prior to modulator uptake have the potential to inform post-modulator projections of lung function and enhance clinical surveillance in the new era of CF care.

Structural Lung Disease and Clinical Phenotype in Bronchiectasis Patients: The EMBARC CT Study.

Rationale: Chest computed tomography (CT) scans are essential to diagnose and monitor bronchiectasis (BE). To date, few quantitative data are available about the nature and extent of structural lung abnormalities (SLAs) on CT scans of patients with BE. Objectives: To investigate SLAs on CT scans of patients with BE and the relationship of SLAs to clinical features using the EMBARC (European Multicenter Bronchiectasis Audit and Research Collaboration) registry. Methods: CT scans from patients with BE included in the EMBARC registry were analyzed using the validated Bronchiectasis Scoring Technique for CT (BEST-CT). The subscores of this instrument are expressed as percentages of total lung volume. The items scored are atelectasis/consolidation, BE with and without mucus plugging (MP), airway wall thickening, MP, ground-glass opacities, bullae, airways, and parenchyma. Four composite scores were calculated: total BE (i.e., BE with and without MP), total MP (i.e., BE with MP plus MP alone), total inflammatory changes (i.e., atelectasis/consolidation plus total MP plus ground-glass opacities), and total disease (i.e., all items but airways and parenchyma). Measurements and Main Results: CT scans of 524 patients with BE were analyzed. Mean subscores were 4.6 (range, 2.3-7.7) for total BE, 4.2 (1.2-8.1) for total MP, 8.3 (3.5-16.7) for total inflammatory changes, and 14.9 (9.1-25.9) for total disease. BE associated with primary ciliary dyskinesia was associated with more SLAs, whereas chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was associated with fewer SLAs. Lower FEV1, longer disease duration, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and nontuberculous mycobacterial infections, and severe exacerbations were all independently associated with worse SLAs. Conclusions: The type and extent of SLAs in patients with BE are highly heterogeneous. Strong relationships between radiological disease and clinical features suggest that CT analysis may be a useful tool for clinical phenotyping.

External Validation of a Dynamic Prediction Model for Upper Limb Function After Stroke.

Objective: To externally validate the dynamic prediction model for prediction of upper limb (UL) function 6 months after stroke. The dynamic prediction model has been developed and cross-validated on data from 4 Dutch studies. Design: Data from a prospective Danish cohort study were used to assess prediction accuracy. Setting: A Danish neurorehabilitation hospital. Participants: In this external validation study, follow-up data for 80 patients in the subacute phase after stroke (N=80), mean age 64 (SD11), 43% women, could be obtained. They were assessed at 2 weeks, 3 months, and 6 months after stroke with the Action Research Arm Test (ARAT), Fugl-Meyer Motor Assessment upper limb (FMA), and Shoulder Abduction (SA) Finger Extension (FE), (SAFE) test. Intervention: Not applicable. Main Outcome Measures: Prediction accuracy at 6 months was examined for 3 categories of ARAT (0-57 points): mild (48-57), moderate (23-47), and severe (0-22). Two individual predictions of ARAT scores at ±6 months post-stroke were computed based on, respectively, baseline (2 weeks) and 3 months ARAT, FE, SA values. The absolute individual differences between observed and predicted ARAT scores were summarized. Results: The prediction model performed best for patients with relatively good UL motor function, with an absolute error median (IQR) of 3 (2-9), and worst for patients with severe UL impairment, with a median (IQR) of 30 (3-39) at baseline. In general, prediction accuracy substantially improved when data obtained 3 months after stroke was included compared with baseline at 2 weeks after stroke. Conclusion: We found limited clinical usability due to the lack of prediction accuracy 2 weeks after stroke and for patients with severe UL impairments. The dynamic prediction model could probably be refined with data from biomarkers.

Establishing how much improvement in lung function and distance walked is clinically important for adult patients with Pompe disease.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Pompe disease is a rare, inheritable, progressive metabolic myopathy. This study aimed to estimate the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) for an improvement in forced vital capacity in the upright seated position (FVCup) and the 6-min walk test (6MWT) after a year of treatment with enzyme replacement therapy. METHODS: Data were obtained from two prospective follow-up studies. Between-group and within-group MCIDs were estimated using anchor-based methods. Additionally, a distribution-based method was used to generate supportive evidence. As anchors, self-reported change in health and in physical functioning, shortness of breath and a categorization of the Short-Form 36 Physical Component Summary score were used. Anchor appropriateness was assessed using Spearman correlations (absolute values ≥0.29) and a sufficient number of observations in each category. RESULTS: In all, 102 patients had at least one FVCup or 6MWT measurement during enzyme replacement therapy. Based on the anchors assessed as appropriate, the between-group MCID for an improvement in FVCup ranged from 2.47% to 4.83% points. For the 6MWT, it ranged from 0.35% to 7.47% points which is equivalent to a distance of 2.18-46.61 m and 1.97-42.13 m for, respectively, a man and a woman of age 50, height 1.75 m and weight 80 kg. The results of the distribution-based method were within these ranges when applied to change in the outcome values. CONCLUSION: The MCIDs for FVCup and 6MWT derived in this study can be used to interpret differences between and within groups of patients with Pompe disease in clinical trials and cohort studies.

Children with severe asthma have substantial structural airway changes on computed tomography.

Background: In adults with severe asthma (SA) bronchial wall thickening, bronchiectasis and low attenuation regions (LAR) have been described on chest computed tomography (CT) scans. The extent to which these structural abnormalities are present in children with SA is largely unknown. Our aim was to study the presence and extent of airway abnormalities on chest CT of children with SA. Methods: 161 inspiratory and expiratory CT scans, either spirometer-controlled or technician-controlled, obtained in 131 children with SA (mean±SD age 11.0±3.8 years) were collected retrospectively. Inspiratory scans were analysed manually using a semi-quantitative score and automatically using LungQ (v2.1.0.1; Thirona B.V., Nijmegen, the Netherlands). LungQ segments the bronchial tree, identifies the generation for each bronchus-artery (BA) pair and measures the following BA dimensions: outer bronchial wall diameter (Bout), adjacent artery diameter (A) and bronchial wall thickness (Bwt). Bronchiectasis was defined as Bout/A ≥1.1, bronchial wall thickening as Bwt/A ≥0.14. LAR, reflecting small airways disease (SAD), was measured automatically on inspiratory and expiratory scans and manually on expiratory scans. Functional SAD was defined as FEF25-75 and/or FEF75 z-scores <-1.645. Results are shown as median and interquartile range. Results: Bronchiectasis was present on 95.8% and bronchial wall thickening on all CTs using the automated method. Bronchiectasis was present on 28% and bronchial wall thickening on 88.8% of the CTs using the manual semi-quantitative analysis. The percentage of BA pairs defined as bronchiectasis was 24.62% (12.7-39.3%) and bronchial wall thickening was 41.7% (24.0-79.8%) per CT using the automated method. LAR was observed on all CTs using the automatic analysis and on 82.9% using the manual semi-quantitative analysis. Patients with LAR or functional SAD had more thickened bronchi than patients without. Conclusion: Despite a large discrepancy between the automated and the manual semi-quantitative analysis, bronchiectasis and bronchial wall thickening are present on most CT scans of children with SA. SAD is related to bronchial wall thickening.

Key inflammatory markers in bronchoalveolar lavage predict bronchiectasis progression in young children with CF.

INTRODUCTION: Inflammation appears early in cystic fibrosis (CF) pathogenesis, with specific elevated inflammatory markers in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) correlating with structural lung disease. Our aim was to identify markers of airway inflammation able to predict bronchiectasis progression over two years with high sensitivity and specificity. METHODS: Children with CF with two chest computed tomography (CT) scans and bronchoscopies at a two-year interval were included (n= 10 at 1 and 3 years and n= 27 at 3 and 5 years). Chest CTs were scored for increase in bronchiectasis (Δ%Bx), using the PRAGMA-CF score. BALF collected with the first CT scan were analyzed for neutrophil% (n= 36), myeloperoxidase (MPO) (n= 25), neutrophil elastase (NE) (n= 26), and with a protein array for inflammatory and fibrotic markers (n= 26). RESULTS: MPO, neutrophil%, and inducible T-cell costimulator ligand (ICOSLG), but not clinical characteristics, correlated significantly with Δ%Bx. Evaluation of neutrophil%, NE, MPO, interleukin-8 (IL-8), ICOSLG, and hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), for predicting an increase of > 0.5% of Δ%Bx in two years, showed that IL-8 had the best sensitivity (82%) and specificity (73%). Neutrophil%, ICOSLG and HGF had sensitivities of 85, 82, and 82% and specificities of 59, 67 and 60%, respectively. The odds ratio for risk of >0.5% Δ%Bx was higher for IL-8 (12.4) than for neutrophil%, ICOSLG, and HGF (5.9, 5.3, and 6.7, respectively). Sensitivity and specificity were lower for NE and MPO). CONCLUSIONS: High levels of IL-8, neutrophil%, ICOSGL and HGF in BALF may be good predictors for progression of bronchiectasis in young children with CF.