Patterns of Failure in Patients With Borderline Resectable/Locally Advanced Pancreatic Cancer After Preoperative Chemotherapy and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy.

Purpose: The role of preoperative stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) in pancreatic cancer is controversial, and questions regarding the optimal dose and radiation treatment field remain. To better inform future investigations of SBRT dose and radiation fields, we evaluated the patterns of failure in patients with borderline resectable/locally advanced pancreatic cancer (BR/LAPC) after preoperative chemotherapy and SBRT in patients who underwent surgical resection. Methods and Materials: We performed a single-institution retrospective review of consecutive patients treated from September 2017 to January 2022 with BR/LAPC. Patients who underwent preoperative chemotherapy and SBRT followed by surgical resection were reviewed. SBRT was delivered to a dose of 33 Gy in 5 fractions. Kaplan-Meier overall survival and progression-free survival estimates were calculated. Results: In total, 18 patients (12 BRPC, 6 LAPC) were included. Median age was 69 years (range 41-84 years). Median follow-up was 30 months (range 13-59 months). Seventeen patients (94%) had a R0 resection and 13 (72%) underwent vascular reconstruction. Median overall survival and progression-free survival was 42 months (range 13-59 months) and 23 months (range 1-45 months), respectively. In total, 61% (11/18) patients experienced progression at any point during follow-up. Of the patients who experienced recurrence, 27% (3/11) experienced local progression as component of their first recurrence, whereas 100% (11/11) experienced distant progression as a component of their first recurrence. When examining all recurrences that occurred at any point in follow-up, 28% (5/18) of patients experienced local or locoregional recurrence and 61% (11/18) experienced distant progression. Conclusions: Local control and margin negative resection rates were excellent with preoperative chemotherapy and nondose-escalated SBRT in surgically resected patients with BR/LAPC. Distant recurrence was the predominant site of failure with lower incidences of isolated locoregional recurrences. Additional research is needed to determine the ideal treatment volume and patients who may benefit from dose escalation.

The Disproportionate Rise in Pancreatic Cancer in Younger Women Is Due to a Rise in Adenocarcinoma and Not Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Nationwide Time-Trend Analysis Using 2001-2018 United States Cancer Statistics Databases.

In previous studies, a significant increase in the incidence of pancreatic cancer among younger women compared to men in the United States was noted. However, the specific histopathologic characteristics were not delineated. This population-based study aimed to assess whether this disproportionate rise in pancreatic cancer in younger women was contributed by pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) or pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PanNET). The United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database was used to identify patients with pancreatic cancer between 2001 and 2018. The results showed that, in younger adults, the incidence of PDAC has increased in women [average annual percentage change (AAPC) = 0.62%], while it has remained stable in men (AAPC = -0.09%). The PDAC incidence rate among women increased at a greater rate compared to men with a statistically significant difference in AAPC (p < 0.001), with neither identical nor parallel trends. In contrast, cases of PanNET did not demonstrate a statistically significant sex-specific AAPC difference. In conclusion, this study demonstrated that the dramatic increase in the incidence rate of PDAC explains the disproportionate rise in pancreatic cancer incidence in younger women. This prompts further prospective studies to investigate the underlying reasons for these sex-specific disparities in PDAC.

A practical guide for assessing and managing cardiovascular risk during androgen-deprivation therapy in patients with prostate cancer.

Prostate cancer is the most common malignancy among men worldwide, and androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) is a mainstay of treatment. There are observational data demonstrating an increased risk of cardiovascular events in patients who receive ADT, particularly those who have an elevated baseline cardiovascular risk. Because, for most patients with prostate cancer, death is predominantly from noncancer-related causes, cardiovascular disease and its risk factors should be optimized during cancer treatment. This review provides an overview of the landscape of ADT treatment and serves as a guide for appropriate cardiovascular screening and risk-mitigation strategies. The authors emphasize the importance of shared communication between the multidisciplinary cancer team and primary care to improve baseline cardiovascular screening and treatment of modifiable risk factors within this higher risk population.

Feasibility and acceptability of ChatGPT generated radiology report summaries for cancer patients.

Objective: Patients now have direct access to their radiology reports, which can include complex terminology and be difficult to understand. We assessed ChatGPT's ability to generate summarized MRI reports for patients with prostate cancer and evaluated physician satisfaction with the artificial intelligence (AI)-summarized report. Methods: We used ChatGPT to summarize five full MRI reports for patients with prostate cancer performed at a single institution from 2021 to 2022. Three summarized reports were generated for each full MRI report. Full MRI and summarized reports were assessed for readability using Flesch-Kincaid Grade Level (FK) score. Radiation oncologists were asked to evaluate the AI-summarized reports via an anonymous questionnaire. Qualitative responses were given on a 1-5 Likert-type scale. Fifty newly diagnosed prostate cancer patient MRIs performed at a single institution were additionally assessed for physician online portal response rates. Results: Fifteen summarized reports were generated from five full MRI reports using ChatGPT. The median FK score for the full MRI reports and summarized reports was 9.6 vs. 5.0, (p < 0.05), respectively. Twelve radiation oncologists responded to our questionnaire. The mean [SD] ratings for summarized reports were factual correctness (4.0 [0.6], understanding 4.0 [0.7]), completeness (4.1 [0.5]), potential for harm (3.5 [0.9]), overall quality (3.4 [0.9]), and likelihood to send to patient (3.1 [1.1]). Current physician online portal response rates were 14/50 (28%) at our institution. Conclusions: We demonstrate a novel application of ChatGPT to summarize MRI reports at a reading level appropriate for patients. Physicians were likely to be satisfied with the summarized reports with respect to factual correctness, ease of understanding, and completeness. Physicians were less likely to be satisfied with respect to potential for harm, overall quality, and likelihood to send to patients. Further research is needed to optimize ChatGPT's ability to summarize radiology reports and understand what factors influence physician trust in AI-summarized reports.

Association of Parental Status and Gender With Burden of Multidisciplinary Tumor Boards Among Oncology Physicians.

Importance: Tumor boards are integral to the care of patients with cancer. However, data investigating the burden of tumor boards on physicians are limited. Objective: To investigate what physician-related and tumor board-related factors are associated with higher tumor board burden among oncology physicians. Design, Setting, and Participants: Tumor board burden was assessed by a cross-sectional convenience survey posted on social media and by email to Cedars-Sinai Medical Center cancer physicians between March 3 and April 3, 2022. Tumor board start times were independently collected by email from 22 top cancer centers. Main Outcomes and Measures: Tumor board burden was measured on a 4-point scale (1, not at all burdensome; 2, slightly burdensome; 3, moderately burdensome; and 4, very burdensome). Univariable and multivariable probabilistic index (PI) models were performed. Results: Surveys were completed by 111 physicians (median age, 42 years [IQR, 36-50 years]; 58 women [52.3%]; 60 non-Hispanic White [54.1%]). On multivariable analysis, factors associated with higher probability of tumor board burden included radiology or pathology specialty (PI, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.54-0.79; P = .02), attending 3 or more hours per week of tumor boards (PI, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.58-0.76; P < .001), and having 2 or more children (PI, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.52-0.77; P = .03). Early or late tumor boards (before 8 am or at 5 pm or after) were considered very burdensome by 33 respondents (29.7%). Parents frequently reported a negative burden on childcare (43 of 77 [55.8%]) and family dynamics (49 of 77 [63.6%]). On multivariable analysis, a higher level of burden from early or late tumor boards was independently associated with identifying as a woman (PI, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.57-0.78; P = .003) and having children (PI, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.62-0.84; P < .001). Independent assessment of 358 tumor boards from 22 institutions revealed the most common start time was before 8 am (88 [24.6%]). Conclusions and Relevance: This survey study of tumor board burden suggests that identifying as a woman or parent was independently associated with a higher level of burden from early or late tumor boards. The burden of early or late tumor boards on childcare and family dynamics was commonly reported by parents. Having 2 or more children, attending 3 or more hours per week of tumor boards, and radiology or pathology specialty were associated with a significantly higher tumor board burden overall. Future strategies should aim to decrease the disparate burden on parents and women.

Socioeconomic disparities in patients with small bowel neuroendocrine tumors.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Demographic and socioeconomic disparities affect cancer specific outcomes in numerous malignancies, but the impact of these for patients with small bowel neuroendocrine tumors (SBNETs) is not well understood. The primary objective was to investigate the impact of demographic and socioeconomic factors on overall survival (OS) for patients with SBNETs. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study utilizing the National Cancer Database to assess patients diagnosed with SBNET between 2004 and 2015. Patients were stratified by demographics, socioeconomic factors, insurance status, and place of living. RESULTS: The 5-year OS for the entire cohort was 78.5%. The 5-year survival was worse in patients with lower income (p < 0.0001), lower education (p < 0.0001), not in proximity to a metro area (p = 0.0004), and treatment at a community cancer center (p < 0.0001). Adjusting for age and sex, factors associated with worse OS were lower income (<$38 000) (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.04-1.28), lower education (>20% no HSD) (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02-1.26), no insurance (HR: 1.66, 95% CI: 1.33-2.06), and not living in proximity to a metro area (HR: 1.27, 95% CI: 1.10-1.47). CONCLUSIONS: Patient demographics and socioeconomic factors play an important role in survival of patients with SBNETs, specifically proximity to a metro area, median income, education level, and type of treatment center. Strategies to improve access to care must be considered in this at-risk population.

POLE-Mutant Colon Cancer Treated with PD-1 Blockade Showing Clearance of Circulating Tumor DNA and Prolonged Disease-Free Interval.

Colon cancer with high microsatellite instability is characterized by a high tumor mutational burden and responds well to immunotherapy. Mutations in polymerase ɛ, a DNA polymerase involved in DNA replication and repair, are also associated with an ultra-mutated phenotype. We describe a case where a patient with POLE-mutated and hypermutated recurrent colon cancer was treated with pembrolizumab. Treatment with immunotherapy in this patient also led to the clearance of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA). ctDNA is beginning to emerge as a marker for minimal residual disease in many solid malignancies, including colon cancer. Its clearance with treatment suggests that the selection of pembrolizumab on the basis of identifying a POLE mutation on next-generation sequencing may increase disease-free survival in this patient.

Associations of combined physical activity and body mass index groups with colorectal cancer survival outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity and BMI have been individually associated with cancer survivorship but have not yet been studied in combinations in colorectal cancer patients. Here, we investigate individual and combined associations of physical activity and BMI groups with colorectal cancer survival outcomes. METHODS: Self-reported physical activity levels (MET hrs/wk) were assessed using an adapted version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) at baseline in 931 patients with stage I-III colorectal cancer and classified into 'highly active' and'not-highly active'(≥ / < 18 MET hrs/wk). BMI (kg/m2) was categorized into 'normal weight', 'overweight', and 'obese'. Patients were further classified into combined physical activity and BMI groups. Cox-proportional hazard models with Firth correction were computed to assess associations [hazard ratio (HR), 95% profile HR likelihood confidence interval (95% CI) between individual and combined physical activity and BMI groups with overall and disease-free survival in colorectal cancer patients. RESULTS: 'Not-highly active' compared to 'highly active' and 'overweight'/ 'obese' compared to 'normal weight' patients had a 40-50% increased risk of death or recurrence (HR: 1.41 (95% CI: 0.99-2.06), p = 0.03; HR: 1.49 (95% CI: 1.02-2.21) and HR: 1.51 (95% CI: 1.02-2.26), p = 0.04, respectively). 'Not-highly active' patients had worse disease-free survival outcomes, regardless of their BMI, compared to 'highly active/normal weight' patients. 'Not-highly active/obese' patients had a 3.66 times increased risk of death or recurrence compared to 'highly active/normal weight' patients (HR: 4.66 (95% CI: 1.75-9.10), p = 0.002). Lower activity thresholds yielded smaller effect sizes. CONCLUSION: Physical activity and BMI were individually associated with disease-free survival among colorectal cancer patients. Physical activity seems to improve survival outcomes in patients regardless of their BMI.

A pulmonary vein atlas for radiotherapy planning.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cardiac arrhythmia is a recognised potential complication of thoracic radiotherapy, but the responsible cardiac substructures for arrhythmogenesis have not been identified. Arrhythmogenic tissue is commonly located in the pulmonary veins (PVs) of cardiology patients with arrhythmia, however these structures are not currently considered organs-at-risk during radiotherapy planning. A standardised approach to their delineation was developed and evaluated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The gross and radiological anatomy relevant to atrial fibrillation was derived from cardiology and radiology literature by a multidisciplinary team. A region of interest and contouring instructions for radiotherapy computed tomography scans were iteratively developed and subsequently evaluated. Radiation oncologists (n = 5) and radiation technologists (n = 2) contoured the PVs on the four-dimensional planning datasets of five patients with locally advanced lung cancer treated with 1.8-2.75 Gy fractions. Contours were compared to reference contours agreed by the researchers using geometric and dosimetric parameters. RESULTS: The mean dose to the PVs was 35% prescription dose. Geometric and dosimetric similarity of the observer contours with reference contours was fair, with an overall mean Dice of 0.80 ± 0.02. The right superior PV (mean DSC 0.83 ± 0.02) had better overlap than the left (mean DSC 0.80 ± 0.03), but the inferior PVs were equivalent (mean DSC of 0.78). The mean difference in mean dose was 0.79 Gy ± 0.71 (1.46% ± 1.25). CONCLUSION: A PV atlas with multidisciplinary approval led to reproducible delineation for radiotherapy planning, supporting the utility of the atlas in future clinical radiotherapy cardiotoxicity research encompassing arrhythmia endpoints.

A Single-Institution Retrospective Study of Three-Fraction HDR Accelerated Partial Breast Irradiation.

PURPOSE: Accelerated partial breast irradiation (APBI) delivered with high-dose-rate brachytherapy is a standard of care treatment typically delivered over 10 fractions. The TRIUMPH-T multi-institutional study recently demonstrated promising results using a shorter three fraction regimen, however there are limited additional published series using this regimen. Here, we report our experience and outcomes for patients treated as per the TRIUMPH-T regimen. METHODS AND MATERIALS: This study was a retrospective single-institution analysis of patients who underwent lumpectomy followed by APBI (22.5 Gy in 3 fractions delivered over 2-3 days) using a Strut Adjusted Volume Implant (SAVI) applicator between November 2016 and January 2021. Dose-volume metrics were obtained from the clinically treated plan. Chart review was performed to determine locoregional recurrence and toxicities according to CTCAE v5.0. RESULTS: Between 2016 and 2021, 31 patients were treated per the TRIUMPH-T protocol. Median followup was 31 months from completion of brachytherapy. There were no acute/late Grade 3 or higher toxicities. Cumulative late Grade 1 and 2 toxicities were seen in 58.1% and 9.7% of patients, respectively. Of note, four patients experienced locoregional recurrence: three ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences and one nodal recurrence. All three ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences occurred in patients who would be classified as "cautionary" based on ASTRO consensus guidelines due to age ≤50, lobular histology, or high grade. CONCLUSIONS: Three-fraction HDR brachytherapy APBI was well-tolerated with no grade 3 or higher toxicities and an acceptably small percentage of grade 2 toxicities. Given the small sample size, the number of recurrences suggests that attention to appropriate patient selection is necessary until more long-term followup data is available.

Weight Regain After Bariatric Surgery: Scope of the Problem, Causes, Prevention, and Treatment.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Although bariatric surgery is the most effective treatment of severe obesity, a proportion of patients experience clinically significant weight regain (WR) with further out from surgery. The purpose of this review is to summarize the prevalence, predictors, and causes of weight regain. RECENT FINDINGS: Estimating the prevalence of WR is limited by a lack of consensus on its definition. While anatomic failures such as dilated gastric fundus after sleeve gastrectomy and gastro-gastric fistula after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass can lead to WR, the most common causes appear to be dysregulated/maladaptive eating behaviors, lifestyle factors, and physiological compensatory mechanisms. To date, dietary, supportive, behavioral, and exercise interventions have not demonstrated a clinically meaningful impact on WR, and there is limited evidence for pharmacotherapy. Future studies should be aimed at better defining WR to begin to understand the etiologies. Additionally, there is a need for non-surgical interventions with demonstrated efficacy in rigorous randomized controlled trials for the prevention and reversal of WR after bariatric surgery.

Increasing Pancreatic Cancer Incidence in Young Women in the United States: A Population-Based Time-Trend Analysis, 2001-2018.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Previous studies have shown an increasing incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC), especially in younger women; however, this has not been externally validated. In addition, there are limited data about contributing factors to this trend. We report age and sex-specific time-trend analysis of PC age-adjusted incidence rates (aIRs) using the National Program of Cancer Registries database without Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results data. METHODS: PC aIR, mortality rates, annual percentage change, and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated and assessed for parallelism and identicalness. Age-specific analyses were conducted in older (≥55 years) and younger (<55 years) adults. PC incidence based on demographics, tumor characteristics, and mortality were evaluated in younger adults. RESULTS: A total of 454,611 patients were diagnosed with PC between 2001 and 2018 with significantly increasing aIR in women (AAPC = 1.27%) and men (AAPC = 1.14%) without a difference (P = .37). Similar results were seen in older adults. However, in younger adults (53,051 cases; 42.9% women), women experienced a greater increase in aIR than men (AAPCs = 2.36%, P < .001 vs 0.62%, P = 0.62) with nonparallel trends (P < .001) and AAPC difference of 1.74% (P < .001). This AAPC difference appears to be due to rising aIR in Blacks (2.23%; P < .001), adenocarcinoma histopathologic subtype (0.89%; P = .003), and location in the head-of-pancreas (1.64%; P < .001). PC mortality was found to be unchanged in women but decreasing in counterpart men (AAPC difference = 0.54%; P = .001). CONCLUSION: Using nationwide data, covering ≈64.5% of the U.S. population, we externally validate a rapidly increasing aIR of PC in younger women. There was a big separation of the incidence trend between women and men aged 15-34 years between 2001 and 2018 (>200% difference), and it did not show slowing down.

Pancreatic Cancer Incidence Trends by Race, Ethnicity, Age and Sex in the United States: A Population-Based Study, 2000-2018.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Pancreatic cancer (PC) incidence is increasing at a greater rate in young women compared to young men. We performed a race- and ethnicity-specific evaluation of incidence trends in subgroups stratified by age and sex to investigate the association of race and ethnicity with these trends. METHODS: Age-adjusted PC incidence rates (IR) from the years 2000 to 2018 were obtained from the SEER 21 database. Non-Hispanic White (White), Non-Hispanic Black (Black) and Hispanic patients were included. Age categories included older (ages ≥ 55) and younger (ages < 55) adults. Time-trends were described as annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC). RESULTS: Younger White [AAPC difference = 0.73, p = 0.01)], Black [AAPC difference = 1.96, p = 0.01)] and Hispanic [AAPC difference = 1.55, p = 0.011)] women experienced a greater rate of increase in IR compared to their counterpart men. Younger Hispanic women experienced a greater rate of increase in IR compared to younger Black women [AAPC difference = -1.28, p = 0.028)] and younger White women [AAPC difference = -1.35, p = 0.011)]. CONCLUSION: Younger women of all races and ethnicities experienced a greater rate of increase in PC IR compared to their counterpart men; however, younger Hispanic and Black women experienced a disproportionately greater increase. Hispanic women experienced a greater rate of increase in IR compared to younger Black and White women.

Left Anterior Descending Coronary Artery Radiation Dose Association With All-Cause Mortality in NRG Oncology Trial RTOG 0617.

PURPOSE: A left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery volume (V) receiving 15 Gy (V15 Gy) ≥10% has been recently observed to be an independent risk factor of major adverse cardiac events and all-cause mortality in patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with radiation therapy. However, this dose constraint has not been validated in independent or prospective data sets. METHODS AND MATERIALS: The NRG Oncology/Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 0617 data set from the National Clinical Trials Network was used. The LAD coronary artery was manually contoured. Multivariable Cox regression was performed, adjusting for known prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier estimates of overall survival (OS) were calculated. For assessment of baseline cardiovascular risk, only age, sex, and smoking history were available. RESULTS: There were 449 patients with LAD dose-volume data and clinical outcomes available after 10 patients were excluded owing to unreliable LAD dose statistics. The median age was 64 years. The median LAD V15 Gy was 38% (interquartile range, 15%-62%), including 94 patients (21%) with LAD V15 Gy <10% and 355 (79%) with LAD V15 Gy ≥10%. Adjusting for prognostic factors, LAD V15 Gy ≥10% versus <10% was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.99; P = .037), whereas a mean heart dose ≥10 Gy versus <10 Gy was not (adjusted HR, 1.12; 95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.43; P = .36). The median OS for patients with LAD V15 Gy ≥10% versus <10% was 20.2 versus 25.1 months, respectively, with 2-year OS estimates of 47% versus 67% (P = .004), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In a reanalysis of RTOG 0617, LAD V15 Gy ≥10% was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. These findings underscore the need for improved cardiac risk stratification and aggressive risk mitigation strategies, including implementation of cardiac substructure dose constraints in national guidelines and clinical trials.

Therapeutic Advances and Challenges in the Management of HER2-Positive Gastroesophageal Cancers.

Gastroesophageal cancer is one of the most common cancers in the world, with a high rate of mortality. While there has been significant progress over the past decade, particularly with the addition of anti-HER2 therapies to platinum-based chemotherapy agents in the advanced setting, the prognosis remains poor and the treatment options for this disease entity remain limited. In this review, we discuss the current therapeutic landscape for HER2-positive gastroesphageal cancer and the seminal clinical trials that have shaped our approach to this disease entity. In addition, we highlight some of the challenges to the understanding and management of this disease, specifically discussing the breadth of molecular diversity and intratumoral heterogeneity of HER2 expression that impact the clinical efficacy and prognosis. Furthermore, we discuss the potential role of next-generation sequencing (NGS) and circulating-tumor DNA (ctDNA) as complementary tools to immunohistochemistry (IHC) and fluorescent in-situ hybridization (FISH) to guiding clinical decision making. Finally, we highlight promising clinical trials of new treatment regimens that will likely reshape the therapeutic approach to this disease entity.

Chemotherapy predictors and a time-dependent chemotherapy effect in metastatic esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Chemotherapy has long been shown to confer a survival benefit in patients with metastatic esophageal cancer. However, not all patients with metastatic disease receive chemotherapy. AIM: To evaluate a large cancer database of metastatic esophageal cancer cases to identify predictors of receipt to chemotherapy and survival. METHODS: We interrogated the National Cancer Database (NCDB) between 2004-2015 and included patients with M1 disease who had received or did not receive chemotherapy. A logistic regression model was used to examine the associations between chemotherapy and potential confounders and a Cox proportional hazards model was employed to examine the effect of chemotherapy on overall survival (OS). Propensity score analyses were further performed to balance measurable confounders between patients treated with and without chemotherapy. RESULTS: A total of 29182 patients met criteria for inclusion in this analysis, with 21911 (75%) receiving chemotherapy and 7271 (25%) not receiving chemotherapy. The median follow-up was 69.45 mo. The median OS for patients receiving chemotherapy was 9.53 mo (9.33-9.72) vs 2.43 mo (2.27-2.60) with no chemotherapy. Year of diagnosis 2010-2014 [odds ratio (OR): 1.29, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.17-1.43, P value < 0.001], median income > $46000 (OR: 1.49, 95%CI: 1.27-1.75, P value < 0.001), and node-positivity (OR: 1.35, 95%CI: 1.20-1.52, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of receiving chemotherapy, while female gender (OR: 0.86, 95%CI: 0.76-0.98, P = 0.019), black race (OR: 0.76, 95%CI: 0.67-0.93, P = 0.005), uninsured status (OR: 0.41, 95%CI: 0.33-0.52, P < 0.001), and high Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) (OR for CCI ≥ 2: 0.61, 95%CI: 0.50-0.74, P < 0.001) predicted for lower odds of receiving chemotherapy. Modeling the effect of chemotherapy on OS using a time-dependent coefficient showed that chemotherapy was associated with improved OS up to 10 mo, after which there is no significant effect on OS. Moreover, uninsured status [hazard ratio (HR): 1.20, 95%CI: 1.09-1.31, P < 0.001], being from the geographic Midwest (HR: 1.07, 95%CI: 1.01-1.14, P = 0.032), high CCI (HR for CCI ≥ 2: 1.16, 95%CI: 1.07-1.26, P < 0.001), and higher tumor grade (HR for grade 3 vs grade 1: 1.28, 95%CI: 1.14-1.44, P < 0.001) and higher T stage (HR for T1 vs T4: 0.89, 95%CI: 0.84-0.95, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of worse OS on multivariable analyses. CONCLUSION: In this large, retrospective NCDB analysis, we identified several socioeconomic and clinicopathologic predictors for receiving chemotherapy and OS in patients with metastatic esophageal cancer. The benefit of chemotherapy on OS is time-dependent and favors early initiation. Focused outreach in lower income and underinsured patients is critical as receipt of chemotherapy is associated with improved OS.

Quantitative Nodal Burden and Mortality Across Solid Cancers.

BACKGROUND: Nodal staging systems vary substantially across solid tumors, implying heterogeneity in the behavior of nodal variables in various contexts. We hypothesized, in contradiction to this, that metastatic lymph node (LN) number is a universal and dominant predictor of outcome across solid tumors. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of 1 304 498 patients in the National Cancer Database undergoing surgery between 2004 and 2015 across 16 solid cancer sites. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were constructed using restricted cubic splines to model the association between nodal number and mortality. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was used to derive nodal classification systems for each solid cancer based on metastatic LN count. The reproducibility of these findings was assessed in 1 969 727 patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry. Two-sided tests were used for all statistical analyses. RESULTS: Consistently across disease sites, mortality risk increased continuously with increasing number of metastatic LNs (P < .001 for all spline segments). Each RPA-derived nodal classification system produced multiple prognostic groups spanning a wide spectrum of mortality risk (P < .001). Multivariable models using these RPA-derived nodal classifications demonstrated improved concordance with mortality compared with models using American Joint Committee on Cancer staging in sites where nodal classification is not based on metastatic LN count. Each RPA-derived nodal classification system was reproducible in a large validation cohort for all-cause and cause-specific mortality (P < .001). High quantitative nodal burden was the single strongest tumor-intrinsic variable associated with mortality in 12 of 16 disease sites. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative metastatic LN burden is a fundamental driver of mortality across solid cancers and should serve as a foundation for pathologic nodal staging across solid tumors.