Investigating One Health risks for human colonisation with extended spectrum ß-lactamase-producing Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae in Malawian households: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Low-income countries have high morbidity and mortality from drug-resistant infections, especially from enteric bacteria such as Escherichia coli. In these settings, sanitation infrastructure is of variable and often inadequate quality, creating risks of extended-spectrum ß-lactamase (ESBL)-producing Enterobacterales transmission. We aimed to describe the prevalence, distribution, and risks of ESBL-producing Enterobacterales colonisation in sub-Saharan Africa using a One Health approach. METHODS: Between April 29, 2019, and Dec 3, 2020, we recruited 300 households in Malawi for this longitudinal cohort study: 100 each in urban, peri-urban, and rural settings. All households underwent a baseline visit and 195 were selected for longitudinal follow-up, comprising up to three additional visits over a 6 month period. Data on human health, antibiotic usage, health-seeking behaviours, structural and behavioural environmental health practices, and animal husbandry were captured alongside human, animal, and environmental samples. Microbiological processing determined the presence of ESBL-producing E coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae, and hierarchical logistic regression was performed to evaluate the risks of human ESBL-producing Enterobacterales colonisation. FINDINGS: A paucity of environmental health infrastructure and materials for safe sanitation was identified across all sites. A total of 11 975 samples were cultured, and ESBL-producing Enterobacterales were isolated from 1190 (41·8%) of 2845 samples of human stool, 290 (29·8%) of 973 samples of animal stool, 339 (66·2%) of 512 samples of river water, and 138 (46·0%) of 300 samples of drain water. Multivariable models illustrated that human ESBL-producing E coli colonisation was associated with the wet season (adjusted odds ratio 1·66, 95% credible interval 1·38-2·00), living in urban areas (2·01, 1·26-3·24), advanced age (1·14, 1·05-1·25), and living in households where animals were observed interacting with food (1·62, 1·17-2·28) or kept inside (1·58, 1·00-2·43). Human ESBL-producing K pneumoniae colonisation was associated with the wet season (2·12, 1·63-2·76). INTERPRETATION: There are extremely high levels of ESBL-producing Enterobacterales colonisation in humans and animals and extensive contamination of the wider environment in southern Malawi. Urbanisation and seasonality are key risks for ESBL-producing Enterobacterales colonisation, probably reflecting environmental drivers. Without adequate efforts to improve environmental health, ESBL-producing Enterobacterales transmission is likely to persist in this setting. FUNDING: Medical Research Council, National Institute for Health and Care Research, and Wellcome Trust. TRANSLATION: For the Chichewa translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on morbidity and mortality from bloodstream infections in Blantyre, Malawi: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The burden of antimicrobial resistance is a major threat to global health; however, prospective clinical outcome data from Africa are scarce. In Malawi, third-generation cephalosporins are the antibiotics of choice in patients admitted to hospital despite a rapid proliferation of resistance to these drugs. We aimed to quantify the effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on mortality and length of hospital stay among patients with bloodstream infections. METHODS: We did a prospective cohort study of patients admitted to Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi. Patients of all ages who had positive blood cultures for Enterobacterales were included, with the exception of those from the genus Salmonella, and were followed up for 180 days. We characterised blood culture isolates using whole-genome sequencing and used Cox regression models to estimate the effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on length of hospital stay, in-hospital mortality, and survival. FINDINGS: Between Jan 31, 2018, and Jan 13, 2020, we recruited 326 patients, from whom 220 (68%) of 326 isolates were resistant to third-generation cephalosporins. The case fatality proportion was 45% (99 of 220) in patients with bloodstream infections that were resistant to third-generation cephalosporins, and 34% (36 of 106) in patients with bloodstream infections that were sensitive to third-generation cephalosporins. Resistance to third-generation cephalosporins was associated with an increased probability of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1·44, 95% CI 1·02-2·04), longer hospital stays (1·5 days, 1·0-2·0) and decreased probability of discharge alive (HR 0·31, 0·22-0·45). Whole-genome sequencing showed a high diversity of sequence types of both Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae. Although isolates associated with death were distributed across clades, we identified three E coli clades (ST410, ST617, and ST648) that were isolated from 14 patients who all died. INTERPRETATION: Resistance to third-generation cephalosporins is associated with increased mortality and longer hospital stays in patients with bloodstream infections in Malawi. These data show the urgent need for allocation of resources towards antimicrobial resistance mitigation strategies in Africa. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust and Wellcome Asia and Africa Programme.