Diagnostic and prognostic performance of the LiverRisk score in tertiary care.

Background & Aims: The LiverRisk score has been proposed as a blood-based tool to estimate liver stiffness measurement (LSM), thereby stratifying the risk of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD, LSM ≥10 kPa) and liver-related events in patients without known chronic liver disease (CLD). We aimed to evaluate its diagnostic/prognostic performance in tertiary care. Methods: Patients referred to two hepatology outpatient clinics (cohort I, n = 5,897; cohort II, n = 1,558) were retrospectively included. Calibration/agreement of the LiverRisk score with LSM was assessed, and diagnostic accuracy for cACLD was compared with that of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4)/aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI). The prediction of hepatic decompensation and utility of proposed cut-offs were evaluated. Results: In cohort I/II, mean age was 48.3/51.8 years, 44.2%/44.7% were female, predominant etiologies were viral hepatitis (51.8%)/metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (63.7%), median LSM was 6.9 (IQR 5.1-10.9)/5.8 (IQR 4.5-8.8) kPa, and 1,690 (28.7%)/322 (20.7%) patients had cACLD.Despite a moderate correlation (Pearson's r = 0.325/0.422), the LiverRisk score systematically underestimated LSM (2.93/1.80 points/kPa lower), and range of agreement was wide, especially at higher values.The diagnostic accuracy of the LiverRisk score for cACLD (area under the receiver operator characteristics curve [AUROC] 0.757/0.790) was comparable to that of FIB-4 (AUROC 0.769/0.813) and APRI (AUROC 0.747/0.765). The proposed cut-off of 10 points yielded an accuracy of 74.2%/81.2%, high specificity (91.9%/93.4%), but low negative predictive value (76.6%/84.5%, Cohen's κ = 0.260/0.327).In cohort I, 208 (3.5%) patients developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up 4.7 years). The LiverRisk score showed a reasonable accuracy for predicting hepatic decompensation within 1-5 years (AUROC 0.778-0.832). However, it was inferior to LSM (AUROC 0.847-0.901, p <0.001) and FIB-4 (AUROC 0.898-0.913, p <0.001). Similar to the strata of other non-invasive tests, the proposed LiverRisk groups had distinct risks of hepatic decompensation. Conclusions: The LiverRisk score did not improve the diagnosis of cACLD or prediction of hepatic decompensation in the tertiary care setting. Impact and implications: The LiverRisk score has been proposed as a non-invasive tool to estimate liver stiffness measurement and thus the risk of compensated advanced chronic liver disease and liver-related events. As automatic implementation into lab reports is being discussed, the question of its applicability outside of opportunistic screening in the general population arises. In two large cohorts of patients referred to hepatology outpatient clinics, the LiverRisk score did not accurately predict liver stiffness, did not improve cACLD identification, and had a lower predictive performance for hepatic decompensation as compared with FIB-4. Although it represents a major step forward for screening patients without known liver disease in primary care, our findings indicate that the LiverRisk score does not improve patient management outside the primary care setting, that is, in cohorts with a higher pre-test probability of cACLD.

Longitudinal evaluation of individuals with severe alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency (Pi*ZZ genotype).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Homozygous Pi*Z mutation in alpha-1 antitrypsin (Pi*ZZ genotype) predisposes to pulmonary loss-of-function and hepatic gain-of-function injury. To facilitate selection into clinical trials typically targeting only one organ, we systematically evaluated an international, multicenter, longitudinal, Pi*ZZ cohort to uncover natural disease course and surrogates for future liver- and lung-related endpoints. METHODS: Cohort 1 recruited 737 Pi*ZZ individuals from 25 different centers without known liver comorbidities that received a baseline clinical and laboratory assessment as well as liver stiffness measurement (LSM). A follow-up interview was performed after at least six months. Cohort 2 consisted of 135 Pi*ZZ subjects without significant liver fibrosis, who received a standardized baseline and follow-up examination at least two years later, both including LSM. RESULTS: During 2634 patient-years of follow-up, 39 individuals died, with liver and lung being responsible for 46% and 36% of deaths, respectively. 41 Pi*ZZ subjects who developed a hepatic endpoint presented with significantly higher baseline liver fibrosis surrogates, i.e., LSM (24 vs. 5 kPa, p<.001) and AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI, 1.1 vs. 0.3 units, p<.001). Liver-related endpoints within five years were most accurately predicted by LSM (area under the curve [AUC] 0.95) followed by APRI (0.92). Baseline lung parameters displayed only a moderate predictive utility for lung-related endpoints within five years (FEV1 AUC 0.76). Fibrosis progression in those with no/mild fibrosis at baseline was rare and primarily seen in those with preexisting risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Non-invasive liver fibrosis surrogates accurately stratify liver-related risks in Pi*ZZ individuals. Our findings have direct implications for routine care and future clinical trials of Pi*ZZ patients.

Reflex testing for anti-HDV in HBsAg-positive patients offers high diagnostic yield in a large Central European tertiary care center.

Current guidelines recommend reflex testing for hepatitis D virus (HDV) coinfection in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive patients over risk-factor based screening. We aimed to evaluate the feasibility and diagnostic yield of reflex anti-HDV testing at a Central European tertiary care center. We retrospectively included 560 consecutive patients who had a recorded (first) positive HBsAg test result at the Vienna General Hospital between 2018 and 2022. While reflex anti-HDV testing had been implemented in our hepatitis outpatient clinic (n = 153, 'reflex testing cohort'), HDV screening needed to be manually ordered in the remaining patients (n = 407, 'standard testing cohort'). Overall, 98.0% and 65.1% of patients in the reflex and standard testing cohort were screened for anti-HDV, respectively, and the overall seroprevalence of anti-HDV among screened patients was 6.7% (n = 28, reflex testing cohort: 9.3%, standard testing cohort: 5.3%). Risk factors for HDV were present in 49.1% of all included and in 89.3% of anti-HDV positive patients, respectively. Anti-HDV positive patients showed higher ALT (54 [33-83] vs. 29 [19-49] U/L; p = 0.005) and a higher proportion of low-to-undetectable HBV-DNA (61.5% vs. 33.2%; p < 0.001), as compared to anti-HDV negative patients. HDV-RNA PCR was ordered in n = 21/28 (75.0%) of anti-HDV positive patients, and 76.2% had detectable HDV-RNA. Among viremic patients, 75% and 37.5% had significant fibrosis (≥ F2) or cirrhosis (F4), respectively. The prevalence of anti-HDV among HBsAg-positive patients is considerable in a large hospital located in Central Europe. Double reflex testing, i.e., anti-HDV being triggered by the presence of HBsAg and HDV-PCR bring triggered by the presence of anti-HDV, seems warranted to increase the diagnostic yield.

A systematic PCR record-based re-call of HCV-RNA-positive people enables re-linkage to care and HCV elimination in Austria - The ELIMINATE project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Identification of people living with hepatitis C virus (HCV) via readily available laboratory records could be a key strategy for macro-elimination, aligning with the WHO elimination goal. Therefore, the ELIMINATE(ELIMINation of HCV in AusTria East) project aimed to systematically re-link people with a 'last-positive' HCV-RNA PCR record to care. METHODS: In 10 major liver centres in Eastern Austria, a systematic readout of 'last-positive' HCV-RNA PCR test records obtained between 2008 and 2020 were conducted and linked to available patient contact data. Between 2020 and 2023, individuals were contacted first by phone, then by letter, to inform them about the availability of effective direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment and invite them for pre-treatment evaluation. RESULTS: The overall cohort of last-positive HCV+ individuals included 5695 subjects (62.5% males, mean age 57.3 ± 17.3 years); of note, 1931 (34%) of them had died and 759 (13%) individuals had no valid contact information. Of the remaining 3005 individuals, 1171 (40.0%) had already achieved sustained virological response (SVR) at the time of re-call. We successfully reached 617 (20.5%), of whom 417 (67.6%) attended their pre-treatment visit, and 397 (64.3%) commenced DAA-therapy. HCV cure has been confirmed in 326 individuals, corresponding to an SVR rate of 82.1%. CONCLUSION: The ELIMINATE project identified 5695 people living with HCV who were 'lost to care' despite documented HCV viraemia. While invalid contact data were an evident barrier to HCV elimination, premature deaths among the cohort underscored the severity of untreated HCV. The implementation of a systematic HCV-RNA PCR recorded-based re-call workflow represents an effective strategy supporting the WHO goal of HCV elimination.

Insulin-like growth factor-1 in cirrhosis is linked to hepatic dysfunction and fibrogenesis and predicts liver-related mortality.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to characterise insulin-like growth factor-1 (IGF-1) signalling in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] measurement were prospectively included. Clinical stages were defined as follows: probable ACLD (pACLD): liver stiffness ≥10 kPa and HVPG ≤5 mmHg, S0: mild PH (HVPG 6-9 mmHg), S1: clinically significant PH (CSPH), S2: CSPH with varices, S3: past variceal bleeding, S4: past/current non-bleeding hepatic decompensation and S5: further decompensation. RESULTS: In total, 269 patients were included; 105 were compensated (pACLD: n = 18; S0: n = 30; S1: n = 20; S2: n = 37), and 164 were decompensated (S3: n = 11; S4: n = 89; S5: n = 64). Median levels of IGF-1 decreased with progressive cirrhosis (from pACLD: 88.5 ng/mL to S5: 51.0 ng/mL; p < 0.001). Patients with CSPH had significantly lower IGF-1 levels (63.5 ng/mL vs. 81.0 ng/mL; p = 0.001). IGF-1 showed an independent negative association with body mass index (BMI; aB: -1.56; p < 0.001), enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test (aB: -8.43; p < 0.001), MELD (aB: -1.13; p = 0.042) and age (per 10 years; aB: -6.87; p < 0.001). IGF-1 exhibited an excellent AUROC (0.856) for the prediction of liver-related death at 6 months of follow-up. Lower IGF-1 (per 10 ng/mL) was linked to higher risk of (further) decompensation (0.90; 95% CI: 0.83-0.98; p = 0.016), acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; asHR: 0.80; 95% CI: 0.68-0.93; p = 0.004) and liver-related death (asHR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.63-0.91; p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: Decreased levels of IGF-1 reflect impaired hepatic function and fibrogenesis in patients with cirrhosis, which seems particularly relevant in obesity since low IGF-1 was independently linked to high BMI. Lower IGF-1 in cirrhosis predicts decompensation, ACLF and liver-related death.

High histamine levels are associated with acute-on-chronic liver failure and liver-related death in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The role of histamine in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is poorly understood. We investigated plasma histamine levels across ACLD stages and their prognostic value. METHODS: We included patients with evidence of ACLD, defined by portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) and/or a liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography ≥10 kPa, who underwent HVPG measurement between 2017 and 2020. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and/or liver-related death were defined as composite endpoint. RESULTS: Of 251 patients, 82.5% had clinically significant portal hypertension (median HVPG: 17 mmHg [interquartile range (IQR) 12-21]) and 135 patients (53.8%) were decompensated at baseline. Median plasma histamine was 8.5 nmol/L (IQR: 6.4-11.5), 37.1% of patients showed elevated values (>9.9 nmol/L). Histamine levels did not differ significantly across Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) stages nor strata of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) or HVPG. Histamine levels correlated with markers of circulatory dysfunction (i.e. sodium, renin and aldosterone). During a median follow-up of 29.2 months, 68 patients developed ACLF or liver-related death. In univariate as well as in multivariate analysis (adjusting for age, sex, HVPG as well as either MELD, clinical stage, and serum albumin or CTP and serum sodium), elevated histamine levels remained associated with the composite endpoint. CTP-based multivariate model adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio (asHR): 1.010 (95% CI: 1.004-1.021), p < .001; MELD-based multivariate model asHR: 1.030 (95% CI: 1.017-1.040), p < .001. CONCLUSION: High levels of histamine were linked to circulatory dysfunction in ACLD patients and independently associated with increased risks of ACLF or liver-related death. Further mechanistic studies on the link between histamine signalling and development of hyperdynamic circulation and ACLF are warranted.

Prevalence and prognostic value of zinc and selenium deficiency in advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Zinc and selenium are essential trace elements involved in important (patho)physiological processes. The prevalence and prognostic implications of zinc and selenium deficiency in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) remain unknown. METHODS: We determined serum zinc and selenium concentrations in 309 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement between 2019 and 2022. We evaluated the prevalence of zinc/selenium deficiency and assessed its association with severity of ACLD and liver-related events (LRE, i.e. first/further hepatic decompensation/liver-related death). RESULTS: Among 309 ACLD patients (median: age: 57 [IQR: 50-64], MELD: 11 [IQR: 9-16], HVPG: 17 [IQR: 11-20]), 73% (227) and 63% (195) were deficient in zinc and selenium, respectively. Decompensated (dACLD) patients showed significantly lower serum zinc (median: 48 [IQR: 38-59] vs. compensated, cACLD: 65 [IQR: 54-78], p < 0.001) and selenium levels (median: 4.9 [IQR 4.0-6.2] vs. cACLD: 6.1 [IQR 5.1-7.3], p < 0.001). Significant correlations of zinc/selenium levels were found with MELD (zinc: ρ = -0.498, p < 0.001; selenium: ρ = -0.295, p < 0.001), HVPG (zinc: ρ = -0.400, p < 0.001; selenium: ρ = -0.157, p = 0.006) and liver disease-driving mechanisms (IL6, bile-acid homeostasis). On multivariable analysis, low zinc/selenium levels, age and MELD remained independently associated with LRE. CONCLUSION: Zinc and selenium deficiencies are common in ACLD patients especially with higher MELD and HVPG. Low zinc and selenium levels independently predicted hepatic decompensation and liver-related death. The effect of zinc/selenium supplementation in ACLD should be investigated in future trials.

Long-term outcome and risk stratification in compensated advanced chronic liver disease after HCV-cure.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Around 750,000 patients per year will be cured of HCV infection until 2030. Those with compensated advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk for hepatic decompensation and de novo HCC. Algorithms have been developed to stratify risk early after cure; however, data on long-term outcomes and the prognostic utility of these risk stratification algorithms at later time points are lacking. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively analyzed a cohort of 2335 patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (liver stiffness measurement≥10 kPa) who achieved HCV-cure by interferon-free therapies from 15 European centers (median age 60.2±11.9 y, 21.1% obesity, 21.2% diabetes).During a median follow-up of 6 years, first hepatic decompensation occurred in 84 patients (3.6%, incidence rate: 0.74%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 3.2%); 183 (7.8%) patients developed de novo HCC (incidence rate: 1.60%/y, cumulative incidence at 6 y: 8.3%), with both risks being strictly linear over time.Baveno VII criteria to exclude (FU-liver stiffness measurement <12 kPa and follow-up platelet count >150 g/L) or rule-in (FU-liver stiffness measurement ≥25 kPa) clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) stratified the risk of hepatic decompensation with proportional hazards. Estimated probability of CSPH discriminated patients developing versus not developing hepatic decompensation in the gray zone (ie, patients meeting none of the above criteria).Published HCC risk stratification algorithms identified high-incidence and low-incidence groups; however, the size of the latter group varied substantially (9.9%-69.1%). A granular "HCC-sustained virologic response" model was developed to inform an individual patient's HCC risk after HCV-cure. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease, the risks of hepatic decompensation and HCC remain constant after HCV-cure, even in the long term (>3 y). One-time post-treatment risk stratification based on noninvasive criteria provides important prognostic information that is maintained during long-term follow-up, as the hazards remain proportional over time.

Performance of spleen stiffness measurement to rule out high-risk varices in patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Baveno VII consensus suggests that screening endoscopy can be spared in patients with compensated cirrhosis when spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is ≤40 kPa as they have a low probability of high-risk varices (HRV). Conversely, screening endoscopy is required in all patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD). This study aimed to evaluate the performance of SSM-VCTE to rule out HRV in patients with PSVD and signs of portal hypertension. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We retrospectively included patients with PSVD, ≥1 sign of portal hypertension, without a history of variceal bleeding, who underwent an SSM-VCTE within 2 years before or after an upper endoscopy in 21 VALDIG centers, divided into a derivation and a validation cohort. One hundred fifty-four patients were included in the derivation cohort; 43% had HRV. By multivariable logistic regression analysis, SSM-VCTE >40 kPa and serum bilirubin ≥1 mg/dL were associated with HRV. SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL had a sensitivity of 96% to rule out HRV and could spare 38% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed, and a 95% negative predictive value. In the validation cohort, including 155 patients, SSM combined with bilirubin could spare 21% of screening endoscopies, with 4% of HRV missed and a 94% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: This study gathering a total of 309 patients with PSVD showed that SSM-VCTE ≤40 kPa combined with bilirubin <1 mg/dL identifies patients with PSVD and portal hypertension with a probability of HRV <5%, in whom screening endoscopy can be spared.

Rapid improvement of hepatic steatosis and liver stiffness after metabolic/bariatric surgery: a prospective study.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and related steatohepatitis (MASH) are common among obese patients and may improve after metabolic/bariatric surgery (MBS). 93 Patients undergoing MBS in 2021-2022 were prospectively enrolled. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM; via vibration-controlled transient elastography [VCTE], point [pSWE] and 2D [2DSWE] shear wave elastography) and non-invasive steatosis assessment (via controlled attenuation parameter [CAP]) were performed before (baseline [BL]) and three months (M3) after surgery. 93 patients (median age 40.9 years, 68.8% female, median BL-BMI: 46.0 kg/m2) were included. BL-liver biopsy showed MASLD in 82.8% and MASH in 34.4% of patients. At M3 the median relative total weight loss (%TWL) was 20.1% and the median BMI was 36.1 kg/m2. LSM assessed by VCTE and 2DSWE, as well as median CAP all decreased significantly from BL to M3 both in the overall cohort and among patients with MASH. There was a decrease from BL to M3 in median levels of ALT (34.0 U/L to 31 U/L; p = 0.025), gamma glutamyl transferase (BL: 30.0 to 21.0 U/L; p < 0.001) and MASLD fibrosis score (BL: - 0.97 to - 1.74; p < 0.001). Decreasing LSM and CAP, as well as liver injury markers suggest an improvement of MASLD/MASH as early as 3 months after MBS.

Evolution of liver function during immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Deterioration of liver function is a leading cause of death in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We evaluated the impact of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)-treatment on liver function and outcomes. METHOD: HCC patients receiving ICIs or sorafenib between 04/2003 and 05/2024 were included. Liver function (assessed by Child-Pugh score [CPS]) was evaluated at the start of ICI-treatment (baseline, BL) and 3 and 6 months thereafter. A ≥1 point change in CPS was defined as deterioration (-) or improvement (+), while equal CPS points were defined as stable (=). RESULTS: Overall, 182 ICI-treated patients (66.8 ± 11.8 years; cirrhosis: n = 134, 74%) were included. At BL, median CPS was 5 (IQR: 5-6; CPS-A: 147, 81%). After 3 months, liver function improved/stabilized in 102 (56%) and deteriorated in 61 (34%) patients, while 19 (10%) patients deceased/had missing follow-up (d/noFU). Comparable results were observed at 6 months (+/=: n = 82, 45%; -: n = 55, 30%; d/noFU: n = 45, 25%). In contrast, 54 (34%) and 33 (21%) out of 160 sorafenib patients achieved improvement/stabilization at 3 and 6 months, respectively. Radiological response was linked to CPS improvement/stabilization at 6 months (responders vs. non-responders, 73% vs. 50%; p = 0.007). CPS improvement/stabilization at 6 months was associated with better overall survival following landmark analysis (6 months: +/=: 28.4 [95% CI: 18.7-38.1] versus -: 14.2 [95% CI: 10.3-18.2] months; p < 0.001). Of 35 ICI-patients with CPS-B at BL, improvement/stabilization occurred in 16 (46%) patients, while 19 (54%) patients deteriorated/d/noFU at 3 months. Comparable results were observed at 6 months (CPS +/=: 14, 40%, -: 8, 23%). Importantly, 6/35 (17%) and 9/35 (26%) patients improved from CPS-B to CPS-A at 3 and 6 months. CONCLUSION: Radiological response to ICI-treatment was associated with stabilization or improvement in liver function, which correlated with improved survival, even in patients with Child-Pugh class B at baseline.

Use of the CytoSorb adsorber in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure.

CytoSorb is a hemoadsorptive column used to remove high concentrations of proinflammatory cytokines in septic shock. Data on CytoSorb application in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is lacking. This retrospective observational study analyzed 21 ACLF patients admitted to ICUs at the Vienna General Hospital who received CytoSorb adsorber therapy between 2017 and 2023. Median ICU length of stay was 8 days (IQR: 3-13), the ICU survival rate was 23.8% (n = 5). Significant decreases in bilirubin (median peak: 20.7 mg/dL to median post-treatment: 10.8 mg/dL; - 47.8%; p < 0.001), procalcitonin (1.34 to 0.74 pg/mL; - 44.6%; p < 0.001), interleukin-6 (385 to 131 ng/mL; - 66.0%; p = 0.0182)-but also of platelets (72 to 31 G/L; - 56.9%; p = 0.0014) and fibrinogen (230 to 154 mg/dL; - 33.0%; p = 0.0297) were detected. ICU survivors had a trend towards a stronger relative decrease in bilirubin (- 76.1% vs. - 48.2%), procalcitonin (- 90.6% vs. - 23.5%), and IL-6 (- 54.6% vs. - 17.8%) upon CytoSorb treatment. Moreover, no serious CytoSorb-attributed complications were detected. In conclusion, use of CytoSorb adsorber in ACLF patients results in a significant decrease in bilirubin and proinflammatory cytokines, while platelets and fibrinogen were also lowered. Prospective trials are warranted to investigate the impact of CytoSorb on clinical outcomes of ACLF patients with high proinflammatory cytokine levels.

Atezolizumab/bevacizumab or lenvatinib in hepatocellular carcinoma: Multicenter real-world study with focus on bleeding and thromboembolic events.

Background & Aims: Atezolizumab/bevacizumab (atezo/bev) and lenvatinib have demonstrated efficacy as first-line therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) inhibition with these therapies may be associated with the risk of bleeding and thromboembolic events. In this study, we evaluated the efficacy and safety with focus on the bleeding and thromboembolic events of atezo/bev vs. lenvatinib in a large, multicenter real-world population. Methods: This study is based on HCC cohorts from seven centers in Germany and Austria. Incidences of bleeding or thromboembolic events and efficacy outcomes were assessed and compared. Results: In total, 464 patients treated with atezo/bev (n = 325) or lenvatinib (n = 139) were analyzed. Both groups were balanced with respect to demographics, presence of liver cirrhosis, and variceal status. Duration of therapy did not differ between groups. Within 3 months of therapy, bleeding episodes were described in 57 (18%) patients receiving atezo/bev compared with 15 (11%) patients receiving lenvatinib (p = 0.07). Variceal hemorrhage occurred in 11 (3%) patients treated with atezo/bev compared with 4 (3%) patients treated with lenvatinib (p = 0.99). Thromboembolic events were reported in 19 (6%) of patients in the atezo/bev cohort compared with 5 (4%) patients in the lenvatinib cohort (p = 0.37). In addition, incidence of overall bleeding, variceal hemorrhage, and thromboembolic events did not differ significantly in patients who received either atezo/bev or lenvantinib for 6 months. Conclusions: Safety considerations related to bleeding and thromboembolic events may not be helpful in guiding clinical decision-making when choosing between atezo/bev and lenvatinib. Impact and implications: The inhibition of VEGF by current first-line therapies for HCC, such as atezolizumab/bevacizumab or lenvatinib, may be associated with the risk of bleeding and thromboembolic events. Studies comparing the incidence of these side effects between atezolizumab/bevacizumab and lenvatinib, which are preferred treatments over sorafenib for HCC, are needed. Differences in this side effect profile may influence the choice of first-line therapy by treating physicians. Because no significant differences were observed regarding bleeding or thromboembolic events between both therapies in the present study, we conclude that safety considerations related to these events may not be helpful in guiding clinical decision-making when choosing between atezolizumab/bevacizumab and lenvatinib.

Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. CONCLUSIONS: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Von Willebrand factor for outcome prediction within different clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prognostic performance of von Willebrand factor (VWF) may vary across clinical stages of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Therefore, we investigated the evolution of VWF and other biomarkers throughout the full ACLD spectrum and evaluated their stage-specific prognostic utility. METHODS: We retrospectively included Viennese ACLD patients with available information on hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), C-reactive protein (CRP)/VWF levels and outcomes. ACLD stages were defined according to D'Amico et al. We included an external validation cohort from Padua. RESULTS: We observed gradual increases in VWF throughout ACLD stages. In contrast, HVPG levelled off in decompensated ACLD (dACLD), whereas MELD showed only minor changes in the early stages and CRP did not increase until stage 3. VWF was associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in compensated ACLD (cACLD) in a fully adjusted model, while it was not independently predictive of ACLF/liver-related death in dACLD. After backward selection, HVPG/CRP/VWF remained the main predictors of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death in cACLD. Notably, the performance of the non-invasive CRP/VWF-based model was comparable to invasive HVPG-based models (C-index:0.765 ± 0.034 vs. 0.756 ± 0.040). The discriminative ability of the CRP/VWF-based model was confirmed in an external validation cohort using another VWF assay which yielded systematically lower values. CONCLUSION: VWF is the only biomarker that gradually increases across all ACLD stages. It is of particular prognostic value in cACLD, where a CRP/VWF-based model is equivalent to an invasive HVPG-based model. Systematic differences in VWF underline the importance of interlaboratory surveys. Moreover, our findings reinforce the notion that, already in cACLD, inflammation is a key disease-driving mechanism.

Validation of Baveno VII criteria and other non-invasive diagnostic algorithms for clinically significant portal hypertension in hepatitis delta.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) require validation in patients with hepatitis D virus (HDV)-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). Therefore, we aimed to validate existing NIT algorithms for CSPH in this context. METHODS: Patients with HDV-cACLD (LSM ≥10 kPa or histological METAVIR F3/F4 fibrosis) who underwent paired HVPG and NIT assessment at Medical University of Vienna or Hannover Medical School between 2013 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were assessed. Individual CSPH risk was calculated according to previously published models (ANTICIPATE, 3P/5P). The diagnostic performance of Baveno VII criteria and refined algorithms (Baveno VII-VITRO, Baveno VII-SSM) was evaluated. The prognostic utility of NITs was investigated in the main cohort and an independent, multicenter, validation cohort. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (HVPG ≥10 mmHg/CSPH prevalence: 62.7%, varices: 42.2%) were included. Patients with CSPH had significantly higher LSM (25.8 [17.2-31.0] vs. 14.0 [10.5-19.8] kPa; p <0.001), VITRO (n = 31, 3.5 [2.7-4.5] vs. 1.3 [0.6-2.0] %/[G/L]; p <0.001), and SSM (n = 20, 53.8 [41.7-75.5] vs. 24.0 [17.0-33.9] kPa; p <0.001). Composite CSPH risk models yielded excellent AUROCs (ANTICIPATE: 0.885, 3P: 0.903, 5P: 0.912). Baveno VII criteria ruled out CSPH with 100% sensitivity and ruled in CSPH with 84.2% specificity. The Baveno VII 'grey zone' (41.1%) was significantly reduced by Baveno VII-VITRO or Baveno VII-SSM algorithms, which maintained diagnostic accuracy. Hepatic decompensation within 2 years only occurred in patients who had CSPH or met Baveno VII rule-in criteria. The prognostic value of NITs was confirmed in the validation cohort comprising 92 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Standalone and composite NIT/diagnostic algorithms are useful for CSPH diagnosis in patients with HDV-cACLD. Thus, NITs may be applied to identify and prioritize patients with CSPH for novel antiviral treatments against chronic hepatitis D. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests (NITs) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) have been developed to identify patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) at risk of decompensation, but conflicting data has been published regarding the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for the staging of fibrosis in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). In our study, including 51 patients with HDV-cACLD, LSM- and lab-based NITs yielded high AUROCs for CSPH. Moreover, only patients with CSPH or high non-invasively assessed CSPH risk were at risk of decompensation within 2 years, with the prognostic value of NITs confirmed in a validation cohort. Thus, NITs should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients with HDV-cACLD at short-term risk of clinical events; NITs may also guide prioritization for novel antiviral treatment options.

A meta-analysis and real-world cohort study on the sex-related differences in efficacy and safety of immunotherapy for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Background & Aims: Sex-related differences in the immune pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), particularly related to oestrogen-dependent secretion of pro-tumourigenic cytokines, are well-known. Whether sex influences the efficacy and safety of immunotherapy is not known. Methods: We performed a restricted maximum likelihood random effects meta-analysis of five phase III trials that evaluated immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) in advanced HCC and reported overall survival (OS) hazard ratios (HRs) stratified by sex to evaluate sex-related differences in OS. In a real-world cohort of 840 patients with HCC from 22 centres included between 2018 and 2023, we directly compared the efficacy and safety of atezolizumab + bevacizumab (A+B) between sexes. Radiological response was reported according to RECIST v1.1. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed for OS and progression-free survival (PFS). Results: In the meta-analysis, immunotherapy was associated with a significant OS benefit only in male (pooled HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.73-0.86) but not in female (pooled HR 0.85; 95% CI 0.70-1.03) patients with HCC. When directly comparing model estimates, no differences in the treatment effect between sexes were observed. Among 840 patients, 677 (81%) were male (mean age 66 ± 11 years), and 163 (19%) were female (mean age 67 ± 12 years). Type and severity of adverse events were similar between the two groups. OS and PFS were comparable between males and females upon uni- and multivariable analyses (aHR for OS and PFS: 0.79, 95% CI 0.59-1.04; 1.02, 95% CI 0.80-1.30, respectively). Objective response rates (24%/22%) and disease control rates (59%/59%) were also similar between sexes. Conclusion: Female phase III trial participants experienced smaller OS benefit following ICI therapy for advanced HCC, while outcomes following A+B treatment were comparable between sexes in a large real-world database. Based on the ambiguous sex-related differences in survival observed here, further investigation of sex-specific clinical and biologic determinants of responsiveness and survival following ICIs are warranted. Impact and implications: While immune checkpoint inhibitors have emerged as standard of care for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma, there are conflicting reports on whether the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy differs between females and males. Our study suggests ambiguous sex-related differences in outcomes from immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma. Further investigation of sex-specific clustering in clinicopathologic and immunologic determinants of responsiveness to immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy should be prioritised. Systematic review registration: PROSPERO CRD42023429625.