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1.
Front Public Health ; 12: 1354645, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38633235

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic presented numerous challenges that required immediate attention to mitigate its devastating consequences on a local and global scale. In March 2020, the Chilean government, along with health and science authorities, implemented a strategy aimed at generating relevant evidence to inform effective public health decisions. One of the key strengths of this strategy was the active involvement of the scientific community, employing transdisciplinary approaches to address critical questions and support political decision-making. The strategy promoted collaborations between the government, public and private institutions, and transdisciplinary academic groups throughout each phase of the pandemic. By focusing on pressing problems and questions, this approach formed the foundation of this report which reflects the collaborative effort throughout the pandemic of individuals from the Instituto de Sistemas Complejos de Ingeniería (ISCI), the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Chile, government authorities and industry. Early in the pandemic, it became crucial to gather evidence on how to minimize the impact of infection and disease while awaiting the availability of vaccines. This included studying the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children, assessing the impact of quarantines on people's mobility, implementing strategies for widespread SARS-CoV-2 polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, and exploring pool testing for large populations. The urgent need to reduce disease severity and transmission posed a significant challenge, as it was essential to prevent overwhelming healthcare systems. Studies were conducted to predict ICU bed requirements at the local level using mathematical models. Additionally, novel approaches, such as using cellphone mobility-based technology to actively identify infected individuals, and to optimize population sampling, were explored following the first wave of the pandemic. Chile took early action in addressing vaccination through a high-level scientific board, before vaccines became available. Studies conducted during this period included population-based immunologic evaluations of different vaccines, which helped build confidence in the population and supported the need for booster doses and potential vaccination of children. These studies and collaborations, which will be discussed here, have provided valuable insights and will inform future approaches in a post-pandemic world. Importantly, highly conservative estimates indicate that 3,000 lives and more than 300 million USD were saved by this academic-public-private collaborative effort.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Criança , Humanos , Chile , Pesquisa Interdisciplinar , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação
2.
PLoS One ; 18(3): e0283085, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36961774

RESUMO

The 2021 wave of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Chile was characterized by an explosive increase in ICU admissions, which disproportionately affected individuals younger than 60 years. This second wave was also accompanied by an explosive increase in Gamma (P.1) variant detections and the massive vaccine rollout. We unveil the role the Gamma variant played in stressing the use of critical care, by developing and calibrating a queueing model that uses data on new onset cases and actual ICU occupancy, symptom's onset to ICU admission interval, ICU length-of-stay, genomic surveillance, and vaccine effectiveness. Our model shows that infection with the Gamma (P.1) variant led to a 3.5-4.7-fold increase in ICU admission for people younger than 60 years. This situation occurred on top of the already reported higher infection rate of the Gamma variant. Importantly, our results also strongly suggest that the vaccines used in Chile (inactivated mostly, but also an mRNA), were able to curb Gamma variant ICU admission over infections.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Substâncias Explosivas , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Chile/epidemiologia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva
3.
Lancet Microbe ; 4(3): e149-e158, 2023 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36716754

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: By June 30, 2022, 92·6% of the Chilean population older than 18 years had received a full primary SARS-CoV-2 vaccine series, mostly with CoronaVac (Sinovac Biotech), and 78·4% had received a booster dose, mostly heterologous with BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and ChAdOx1 (AstraZeneca). We previously reported national seroprevalence data from lateral flow testing of IgG SARS-CoV-2 antibodies up to 16 weeks after primary vaccination. Our aim here was to study IgG seropositivity dynamics up to 30 weeks after primary vaccination and, in CoronaVac recipients, up to 26 weeks after booster vaccination, and to establish the correlation between lateral flow tests and neutralising antibody titres. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, testing stations for SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection were selected and installed from March 12, 2021, in hotspots in 24 large Chilean cities, and were maintained until March 31, 2022. Individuals voluntarily approaching the testing stations were invited to perform a rapid lateral flow test via a finger prick and complete a questionnaire. Between Aug 12, 2021, and April 1, 2022, volunteers seeking medical care in the Mutual de Seguridad de la Cámara Chilena de la Construcción provided blood samples for lateral flow testing and neutralising antibody studies; inclusion criteria were age at least 18 years, history of complete primary vaccination series with CoronaVac, BNT162b2, or ChAdOx1, or no vaccine, and no previous COVID-19 diagnosis. We tested the difference in IgG positivity across time, and between primary and booster doses, in all eligible participants with complete records, controlling for age, gender, and comorbidities. We also assessed the predictive power of neutralising antibody titres and sociodemographic characteristics on the probability of IgG positive results using multivariable logistic regression. FINDINGS: Of 107 220 individuals recruited at the testing stations, 101 070 were included in our analysis (59 862 [59·2%] women and 41 208 [40·8%] men). 65 902 (65·2%) received primary vaccination series with CoronaVac, 18 548 (18·4%) with BNT162b2, and 606 (0·6%) with ChAdOx1, and 16 014 (15·8%) received no vaccine. Among the 61 767 individuals with a complete primary vaccination series with CoronaVac, 608 (1·0%) received a CoronaVac booster, 10 095 (16·3%) received a BNT162b2 booster, and 5435 (8·8%) received a ChAdOx1 booster. After ChAdOx1 primary vaccination, seropositivity peaked at week 5 after the second dose, occurring in 13 (92·9%, 95% CI 79·4-100·0) of 14 individuals. In participants who received a complete CoronaVac primary series, the decline in seropositivity stabilised at week 18 after the second dose (86 [44·7%, 95% CI 41·8-47·7] of 1087 individuals), whereas after receiving BNT162b2, seropositivity declined slightly by week 25 after the second dose (161 [94·2%, 90·6-97·7] of 171). A lower proportion of individuals who received the CoronaVac primary series and a homologous booster were seropositive (279 [85·6%, 95% CI 81·8-89·4] of 326) by weeks 2-18 than those who received a BNT162b2 booster (7031 [98·6%, 98·4-98·9] of 7128) or a ChAdOx1 booster (2893 [98·0%, 97·5-98·5] of 2953). The correlation between IgG positivity and log of the infectious dose in 50% of neutralising antibodies was moderate, with a sensitivity of 81·4% (95% CI 76·3-86·6) and specificity of 92·5% (73·3-100·0). INTERPRETATION: Dynamic monitoring of IgG positivity to SARS-CoV-2 can characterise antibody waning over time in the absence or presence of booster doses, providing relevant data for the design of vaccination strategies. The correlation between lateral flow test IgG titres and neutralising antibody concentrations suggests that they could be a quick and effective surveillance tool to measure protection against SARS-CoV-2. FUNDING: Instituto Sistemas Complejos de Ingeniería, Subsecretaría de Redes Asistenciales, Ministry of Health, Chile, and Mutual de Seguridad de la Cámara Chilena de la Construcción.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Chile , Estudos Transversais , Vacina BNT162 , SARS-CoV-2 , Teste para COVID-19 , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Anticorpos Antivirais , Imunoglobulina G
4.
Dalton Trans ; 51(38): 14673-14685, 2022 Oct 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36098070

RESUMO

A series of 15 lanthanide-containing coordination polymers, both 3D- and 2D-networks, as well as complexes of Ln-trichlorides with 3-(3-pyridyl)pyrazole (3-PyPzH), were synthesized. A large structural diversity is observed depending on the ligand content: 3∞[Ln(3-PyPzH)Cl3], Ln = Eu and Gd, of sra topology, 2∞[Sm(3-PyPzH)Cl3], 2∞[Ln2(3-PyPzH)3Cl6]·2solv, Ln = Eu3+, Tb3+, Dy3+, Ho3+ and Er3+, solv = Tol and MeCN, of sql topology and 2∞[Ln(3-PyPzH2)Cl4], Ln = La and Nd, of hcb topology with salt like complexes of the formula [(3-PyPzH2)][Ln(3-PyPzH)2Cl4], Ln = Eu, Tb, Dy and Ho. The products were characterized by single-crystal and powder X-ray diffraction, high-temperature X-ray diffraction, differential thermal analysis and thermogravimetry (DTA/TG) combined with mass spectrometry, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), IR-spectroscopy, UV-visible spectrophotometry, photoluminescence spectroscopy, and magnetic susceptibility. Absorption spectroscopy shows ion-specific 4f-4f transitions that can be assigned to Sm3+, Eu3+, Dy3+, Ho3+ and Er3+ in a wide range from the UV-VIS to NIR region. An excellent antenna effect through ligand-metal energy transfer was observed in 2∞[Tb2(3-PyPzH)3Cl6]·2solv, leading to high efficiency of the luminescence indicated by a quantum yield up to 76%. Direct current magnetic susceptibility studies reveal the absence of interatomic interaction for Dy3+ and Er3+ and weak ferromagnetic interaction for Ho3+. Thermal analysis shows good stability up to 365 °C for 2∞[Ho2(3-PyPzH)3Cl6]·2MeCN.

7.
Soc Sci Med ; 298: 114800, 2022 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35287066

RESUMO

Despite unprecedented progress in developing COVID-19 vaccines, global vaccination levels needed to reach herd immunity remain a distant target, while new variants keep emerging. Obtaining near universal vaccine uptake relies on understanding and addressing vaccine resistance. Simple questions about vaccine acceptance however ignore that the vaccines being offered vary across countries and even population subgroups, and differ in terms of efficacy and side effects. By using advanced discrete choice models estimated on stated choice data collected in 18 countries/territories across six continents, we show a substantial influence of vaccine characteristics. Uptake increases if more efficacious vaccines (95% vs 60%) are offered (mean across study areas = 3.9%, range of 0.6%-8.1%) or if vaccines offer at least 12 months of protection (mean across study areas = 2.4%, range of 0.2%-5.8%), while an increase in severe side effects (from 0.001% to 0.01%) leads to reduced uptake (mean = -1.3%, range of -0.2% to -3.9%). Additionally, a large share of individuals (mean = 55.2%, range of 28%-75.8%) would delay vaccination by 3 months to obtain a more efficacious (95% vs 60%) vaccine, where this increases further if the low efficacy vaccine has a higher risk (0.01% instead of 0.001%) of severe side effects (mean = 65.9%, range of 41.4%-86.5%). Our work highlights that careful consideration of which vaccines to offer can be beneficial. In support of this, we provide an interactive tool to predict uptake in a country as a function of the vaccines being deployed, and also depending on the levels of infectiousness and severity of circulating variants of COVID-19.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Vacinas , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Imunidade Coletiva , Vacinação
8.
Plant Physiol ; 189(1): 375-387, 2022 05 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35171289

RESUMO

The proton concentration gradient (ΔpH) and membrane potential (Δψ) formed across the thylakoid membrane contribute to ATP synthesis in chloroplasts. Additionally, ΔpH downregulates photosynthetic electron transport via the acidification of the thylakoid lumen. K+ exchange antiporter 3 (KEA3) relaxes this downregulation by substituting ΔpH with Δψ in response to fluctuation of light intensity. In the Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana) line overexpressing KEA3 (KEA3ox), the rate of electron transport is elevated by accelerating the relaxation of ΔpH after a shift from high light (HL) to low light. However, the plant cannot control electron transport toward photosystem I (PSI), resulting in PSI photodamage. In this study, we crossed the KEA3ox line with the line (Flavodiiron [Flv]) expressing the Flv proteins of Physcomitrium patens. In the double transgenic line (Flv-KEA3ox), electrons overloading toward PSI were pumped out by Flv proteins. Consequently, photodamage of PSI was alleviated to the wild-type level. The rate of CO2 fixation was enhanced in Flv and Flv-KEA3ox lines during HL periods of fluctuating light, although CO2 fixation was unaffected in any transgenic lines in constant HL. Upregulation of CO2 fixation was accompanied by elevated stomatal conductance in fluctuating light. Consistent with the results of gas exchange experiments, the growth of Flv and Flv-KEA3ox plants was better than that of WT and KEA3ox plants under fluctuating light.


Assuntos
Proteínas de Arabidopsis , Arabidopsis , Arabidopsis/metabolismo , Proteínas de Arabidopsis/genética , Proteínas de Arabidopsis/metabolismo , Dióxido de Carbono/metabolismo , Transporte de Elétrons , Fotossíntese/genética , Complexo de Proteína do Fotossistema I/genética , Complexo de Proteína do Fotossistema I/metabolismo , Tilacoides/metabolismo
9.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 22(1): 56-63, 2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34509185

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: By July 14, 2021, 81·3 % of adults (aged ≥18 years) in Chile had received a first SARS-CoV-2 vaccine and 72·3% had received a second SARS-CoV-2 vaccine, with the majority of people given Sinovac's inactivated CoronaVac vaccine (75·3% of vaccines dispensed) or Pfizer-BioNTech's mRNA BNT162b2 vaccine (20·9% of vaccines dispensed). Due to the absence of simultaneous real-world data for these vaccines, we aimed to compare SARS-CoV-2 IgG positivity between vaccines using a dynamic national monitoring strategy. METHODS: From March 12, 2021, 28 testing stations for SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection were installed in hotspots based on cellular-phone mobility tracking within the most populated cities in Chile. Individuals voluntarily approaching the testing stations were invited to do a lateral flow test by finger prick and respond to a questionnaire on sociodemographic characteristics, vaccination status (including type of vaccine if one was received), variables associated with SARS-CoV-2 exposure, and comorbidities. We compared the proportion of individuals testing positive for anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG across sites by week since vaccination between recipients of CoronaVac and BNT162b2. Unvaccinated participants served as a control population and were matched to vaccinated individuals on the basis of date of presentation to the testing station, gender, and age group. Individuals were excluded from the analysis if they were younger than 18 years, had no declared gender, had an invalid IgG test result, had previously tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection on PCR, could not recall their vaccination status, or had been immunised against COVID-19 with vaccines other than CoronaVac or BNT162b2. Here, we report data collected up to July 2, 2021. FINDINGS: Of 64 813 individuals enrolled, 56 261 were included in the final analysis, of whom 33 533 (59·6%) had received at least one dose of the CoronaVac vaccine, 8947 (15·9%) had received at least one dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine, and 13 781 (24·5%) had not received a vaccine. SARS-CoV-2 IgG positivity during week 4 after the first dose of CoronaVac was 28·1% (95% CI 25·0-31·2; 220 of 783 individuals), reaching a peak of 77·4% (75·5-79·3; 1473 of 1902 individuals) during week 3 after the second dose. SARS-CoV-2 IgG positivity during week 4 after the first dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine was 79·4% (75·7-83·1; 367 of 462 individuals), increasing to 96·5% (94·9-98·1; 497 of 515 individuals) during week 3 after the second dose and remaining above 92% until the end of the study. For unvaccinated individuals, IgG seropositivity ranged from 6·0% (4·4-7·6; 49 of 810 individuals) to 18·7% (12·5-24·9; 28 of 150 individuals) during the 5 month period. Regression analyses showed that IgG seropositivity was significantly lower in men than women and in people with diabetes or chronic diseases for CoronaVac vaccine recipients (p<0·0001), and for individuals aged 60 years and older compared with people aged 18-39 years for both vaccines (p<0·0001), 3-16 weeks after the second dose. INTERPRETATION: IgG seropositivity was lower after CoronaVac than after BNT162b2 and declined over time since vaccination for CoronaVac recipients but not BNT162b2 recipients. Prolonged IgG monitoring will allow further evaluation of seropositivity overtime, providing data, in conjunction with effectiveness studies, for possible future re-assessment of vaccination strategies. FUNDING: Instituto Sistemas Complejos de Ingeniería and Ministerio de Salud Chile. TRANSLATION: For the Spanish translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antivirais/sangue , Vacina BNT162/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/imunologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Imunogenicidade da Vacina , Imunoglobulina G/sangue , SARS-CoV-2/imunologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Vacina BNT162/administração & dosagem , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/imunologia , Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , Chile/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Vigilância de Evento Sentinela , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Fatores Sexuais , Vacinação/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto Jovem
10.
Health Care Manag Sci ; 25(1): 146-165, 2022 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34453651

RESUMO

During the current COVID-19 pandemic, active testing has risen as a key component of many response strategies around the globe. Such strategies have a common denominator: the limited availability of diagnostic tests. In this context, pool testing strategies have emerged as a means to increase testing capacity. The efficiency gains obtained by using pool testing, derived from testing combined samples simultaneously, vary according to the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus in the population being tested. Motivated by the need for testing closed populations, such as long-term care facilities (LTCFs), where significant correlation in infections is expected, we develop a probabilistic model for settings where the test results are correlated, which we use to compute optimal pool sizes in the context of two-stage pool testing schemes. The proposed model incorporates the specificity and sensitivity of the test, which makes it possible to study the impact of these measures on both the expected number of tests required for diagnosing a population and the expected number and variance of false negatives. We use our experience implementing pool testing in LTCFs managed by SENAMA (Chile's National Service for the Elderly) to develop a simulation model of contagion dynamics inside LTCFs, which incorporates testing and quarantine policies implemented by SENAMA. We use this simulation to estimate the correlation of test results among collected samples when following SENAMA's testing guidelines. Our results show that correlation estimates are high in settings representative of LTCFs, which validates the use of the proposed model for incorporating correlation in determining optimal pool sizes for pool testing strategies. Generally, our results show that settings in which pool testing achieves efficiency gains, relative to individual testing, are likely to be found in practice. Moreover, the results show that incorporating correlation in the analysis of pool testing strategies both improves the expected efficiency and broadens the settings in which the technique is preferred over individual testing.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Idoso , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2
11.
PLoS One ; 16(1): e0245272, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33439917

RESUMO

By early May 2020, the number of new COVID-19 infections started to increase rapidly in Chile, threatening the ability of health services to accommodate all incoming cases. Suddenly, ICU capacity planning became a first-order concern, and the health authorities were in urgent need of tools to estimate the demand for urgent care associated with the pandemic. In this article, we describe the approach we followed to provide such demand forecasts, and we show how the use of analytics can provide relevant support for decision making, even with incomplete data and without enough time to fully explore the numerical properties of all available forecasting methods. The solution combines autoregressive, machine learning and epidemiological models to provide a short-term forecast of ICU utilization at the regional level. These forecasts were made publicly available and were actively used to support capacity planning. Our predictions achieved average forecasting errors of 4% and 9% for one- and two-week horizons, respectively, outperforming several other competing forecasting models.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Previsões , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Estatísticos , Redes Neurais de Computação , Pandemias
12.
Plant Physiol ; 184(3): 1291-1302, 2020 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32917772

RESUMO

In response to light, plants efficiently induce photosynthesis. Light activation of thiol enzymes by the thioredoxin (Trx) systems and cyclic electron transport by the PROTON GRADIENT REGULATION5 (PGR5)-dependent pathway contribute substantially to regulation of photosynthesis. Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana) mutants lacking f-type Trxs (trx f1f2) show delayed activation of carbon assimilation due to impaired photoreduction of Calvin-Benson cycle enzymes. To further study regulatory mechanisms that contribute to efficiency during the induction of photosynthesis, we analyzed the contributions of PSI donor- and acceptor-side regulation in the trx f1f2 mutant background. The cytochrome b 6 f complex is involved in PSI donor-side regulation, whereas PGR5-dependent PSI cyclic electron transport is required for both donor and acceptor functions. Introduction of the pgr1 mutation, which is conditionally defective in cytochrome b 6 f complex activity, into the trx f1f2 mutant background did not further affect the induction of photosynthesis, but the combined deficiency of Trx f and PGR5 severely impaired photosynthesis and suppressed plant growth under long-day conditions. In the pgr5 trx f1f2 mutant, the acceptor-side of PSI was almost completely reduced, and quantum yields of PSII and PSI hardly increased during the induction of photosynthesis. We also compared the photoreduction of thiol enzymes between the trx f1f2 and pgr5 trxf1f2 mutants. The pgr5 mutation did not result in further impaired photoreduction of Calvin-Benson cycle enzymes or ATP synthase in the trx f1f2 mutant background. These results indicated that acceptor-side limitations in the pgr5 trx f1f2 mutant suppress photosynthesis initiation, suggesting that PGR5 is required for efficient photosynthesis induction.


Assuntos
Arabidopsis/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Arabidopsis/genética , Arabidopsis/metabolismo , Tiorredoxinas de Cloroplastos/metabolismo , Transporte de Elétrons/fisiologia , Complexo de Proteínas do Centro de Reação Fotossintética/metabolismo , Complexo de Proteína do Fotossistema I/metabolismo , Regulação da Expressão Gênica de Plantas , Genes de Plantas , Variação Genética , Genótipo , Mutação
13.
Plant Physiol ; 184(4): 2078-2090, 2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32978277

RESUMO

In angiosperms, the NADH dehydrogenase-like (NDH) complex mediates cyclic electron transport around PSI (CET). K+ Efflux Antiporter3 (KEA3) is a putative thylakoid H+/K+ antiporter and allows an increase in membrane potential at the expense of the ∆pH component of the proton motive force. In this study, we discovered that the chlororespiratory reduction2-1 (crr2-1) mutation, which abolished NDH-dependent CET, enhanced the kea3-1 mutant phenotypes in Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana). The NDH complex pumps protons during CET, further enhancing ∆pH, but its physiological function has not been fully clarified. The observed effect only took place upon exposure to light of 110 µmol photons m-2 s-1 after overnight dark adaptation. We propose two distinct modes of NDH action. In the initial phase, within 1 min after the onset of actinic light, the NDH-dependent CET engages with KEA3 to enhance electron transport efficiency. In the subsequent phase, in which the ∆pH-dependent down-regulation of the electron transport is relaxed, the NDH complex engages with KEA3 to relax the large ∆pH formed during the initial phase. We observed a similar impact of the crr2-1 mutation in the genetic background of the PROTON GRADIENT REGULATION5 overexpression line, in which the size of ∆pH was enhanced. When photosynthesis was induced at 300 µmol photons m-2 s-1, the contribution of KEA3 was negligible in the initial phase and the ∆pH-dependent down-regulation was not relaxed in the second phase. In the crr2-1 kea3-1 double mutant, the induction of CO2 fixation was delayed after overnight dark adaptation.


Assuntos
Arabidopsis/genética , Arabidopsis/fisiologia , Adaptação à Escuridão/fisiologia , NADH Desidrogenase/fisiologia , Fotossíntese/fisiologia , Antiportadores de Potássio-Hidrogênio/fisiologia , Adaptação à Escuridão/genética , Variação Genética , Genótipo , Mutação , NADH Desidrogenase/genética , Fenótipo , Fotossíntese/genética , Plantas Geneticamente Modificadas , Antiportadores de Potássio-Hidrogênio/genética
14.
Accid Anal Prev ; 137: 105436, 2020 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32014629

RESUMO

Previous real-time crash prediction models have scarcely used data disaggregated by vehicle type such as light, heavy and motorcycles. Thus, little effort has been made to quantify the impact of flow composition variables as crash precursors. We analyze the advantages of having access to this data by analyzing two scenarios, namely, with aggregated and disaggregated data. For each case, we build Logistics Regressions and Support Vector Machines models to predict accidents in a major urban expressway in Santiago, Chile. Our results show that having access to disaggregated data by vehicle type increases the prediction power up to 30 % providing, at the same time, much better intuition about the actual traffic conditions that may lead to accidents. These results may be useful when evaluating technology investments and developments in urban freeways.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Máquina de Vetores de Suporte , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Ambiente Construído , Chile , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Motocicletas/estatística & dados numéricos
16.
Eur J Orthop Surg Traumatol ; 24(4): 545-51, 2014 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23633085

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Tranexamic acid (TXA) administered during arthroplasty intervention can prevent blood loss and blood transfusions. The purpose of the present study is to evaluate the benefit of TXA administration on blood transfusion rates in patients undergoing joint arthroplasty, and to perform cost-benefit analysis. METHODS: The study population included 100 patients admitted for arthroplasty intervention between 1st June 2008 and 31st October 2008 who did not receive TXA, and 98 patients admitted between 1st June 2009 and 31st October 2009 receiving TXA during the intervention. Blood transfusion was the main outcome. Risk factors for transfusion were evaluated in logistic regression models. Costs of autologous blood donation, TXA administration, autotransfusion and homologous blood transfusion were used to perform a cost-benefit evaluation. RESULTS: In the multivariate adjusted analysis, high preoperative haemoglobin level and TXA administration were significantly associated with a reduced risk of transfusion. Seventy-five percent of patients not receiving TXA required at least one transfusion versus 40.8% of patients receiving TXA, with a reduction of 45.6%. The mean number of blood units transfused was reduced of 26%. The reduction in transfusions was higher in hip arthroplasty. Among patients receiving TXA, the reduction in Hb level was lower both at days 1 and 2 after the intervention. The mean saving related to TXA administration was of 138 per patient. CONCLUSIONS: The administration of TXA during arthroplasty intervention reduces the need of transfusion among patients undertaking arthroplasty interventions and can be considered a cost-effective practice for the National Health System.


Assuntos
Antifibrinolíticos/administração & dosagem , Artroplastia de Quadril/economia , Artroplastia do Joelho/economia , Transfusão de Sangue/economia , Ácido Tranexâmico/administração & dosagem , Idoso , Perda Sanguínea Cirúrgica/prevenção & controle , Transfusão de Sangue/estatística & dados numéricos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Custos Hospitalares , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Estudos Retrospectivos
17.
Auton Neurosci ; 122(1-2): 21-8, 2005 Oct 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16139573

RESUMO

The cardiovascular effects of microinjection of the amino acids glutamate and glycine within the rostral ventrolateral medulla (RVLM) after swimming training (ST) in unrestrained awake rats were investigated. Unilateral microinjection of l-glutamate (5, 20 and 50 mM, in 100 nl) produced a dose dependent increase in mean arterial pressure (MAP) in control (C) (16+/-5 mm Hg; 29+/-6 mm Hg; 43+/-6 mm Hg) and swim (SW) (1+/-1 mm Hg; 16+/-2 mm Hg; 25+/-3 mm Hg) groups. However, the magnitude of this response was lower in the swim group. Prazosin injection produced hypotension and tachycardia in both groups (C=-43+/-3 mm Hg/98+/-16 bpm; SW=-61+/-5 mm Hg/115+/-32 bpm). In the SW group the hypotension caused by prazosin was greater compared to C group, but the tachycardia was not different between them. After prazosin, glutamate response in RVLM was blocked in both groups as well. When glycine (10 mM or 1 M, in 100 nl) were microinjected into the RVLM of C group we observed two different effects: decrease in MAP with the lower dose and an increase in MAP with the higher dose (10 mM=-13+/-2 mm Hg; 1 M=47+/-6 mm Hg). However, after ST the hypertensive response to glycine was blunted with no alterations in the hypotensive response (10 mM=-14+/-1 mm Hg; 1 M=18+/-4 mm Hg). These findings suggest that RVLM is involved in the modulation of the sympathetic outflow to the cardiovascular system during exercise training.


Assuntos
Ácido Glutâmico/administração & dosagem , Glicina/administração & dosagem , Bulbo/efeitos dos fármacos , Bulbo/fisiologia , Condicionamento Físico Animal/fisiologia , Animais , Anti-Hipertensivos/farmacologia , Pressão Sanguínea/efeitos dos fármacos , Sistema Cardiovascular/efeitos dos fármacos , Estado de Consciência , Relação Dose-Resposta a Droga , Frequência Cardíaca/efeitos dos fármacos , Hipertensão/fisiopatologia , Hipotensão/fisiopatologia , Injeções Intraventriculares , Masculino , Microinjeções , Prazosina/farmacologia , Ratos , Ratos Wistar , Natação/fisiologia , Taquicardia/fisiopatologia
18.
Säo Paulo; Escola de Administraçäo de Empresas de Säo Paulo. Núcleo de Pesquisas e Publicaçöes; 1999. 46 p. ilus.(NPP. Relatórios de Pesquisa, 21).
Monografia em Português | LILACS | ID: lil-334170

RESUMO

Examina alguns modelos de integraçäo de arrecadaçäo de tributos e benefícios (elaborados por Richard Musgrave e James Meade) e aplica-os à realidade brasileira. Pretende responder a questäo da exiqüibilidade da implantaçäo de um programa de renda básica no Brasil. Conclui que renda básica suficente para cobrir as necessidades de cada indivíduo (alimentaçäo, saúde, educaçäo) é impraticável devido a alta alíquota necessária, restando a opçäo de trabalhar-se com renda mínima para segmentos da populaçäo. Avalia o modelo de bem-estar europeu, enfatizando as características do modelo sulista, bem similar ao brasileiro, e alertando para características indesejáveis do modelo que devem ser suprimidas. Incorpora na análise uma característica marcante do federalismo americano, a descentralizaçäo, que bem estruturada pode contribuir para uma melhor avaliaçäo e controle dos gastos públicos.


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Renda , Formulação de Políticas , Política Pública , Brasil , Gastos de Capital , Europa (Continente) , Apoio Financeiro , Programas Governamentais/organização & administração , Modelos Organizacionais , Impostos , Estados Unidos
19.
São Paulo perspect ; 5(2): 76-83, abr.-jun. 1991. tab
Artigo em Português | LILACS | ID: lil-399982

RESUMO

Analisa o comportamento dos investimentos municipais no período de 1985-88, o seu financiamento e as perspectivas para 1992. A limitação da análise ao período 1985-88 deve-se à indisponibilidade dos dados relativos a anos mais recentes


Assuntos
Cidades , Financiamento Governamental , Investimentos em Saúde , Apoio Financeiro , Brasil
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