Is the future evidence-based?

This paper is concerned with how the future information needs of the medical community should be met. The current dominant belief within medicine is that these information needs should be met from bespoke research studies. The necessity of this approach is far from certain. Health organisations worldwide are currently investing vast resources into centralising and amalgamating every day patient data. Is there a future for these Electronic Medical Records in informing medical decisions? This paper describes the challenges to be met in using both research studies and every day patient data to inform medical decisions. It then describes an ongoing practical project to evaluate these information sources' ability to meet the information needs of cancer care decision makers. Details of background, methodology and initial promising results are presented.

A pilot study of spatial patterns in referrals to a multicentre cancer genetics service.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse spatial and temporal patterns in patients referred to a cancer genetics service in order to monitor service utilization and accessibility. METHODS: Postcodes of patients during a 4-year period were used to examine spatial patterns using a Geographical Information System (GIS). Referral rates were compared visually and statistically to explore yearly variation for administrative areas in Wales. RESULTS: There has been a four-fold increase in actual referrals to the service over the period of study. The variance between unitary authority referral rates has decreased from the inception of the service from an almost ten-fold difference between lowest and highest in year 1 to less than a three-fold difference in year 4. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows the potential of GIS to highlight spatial variations in referral rates across Wales. Although the disparity in referral rates has decreased, trends in referral rates are not consistent. Ongoing research will examine those referral and referrer characteristics affecting uptake.